With changes in global climate and land use,the area of desertified farmland in southeastern Horqin Sandy Land(HSL)has increased in recent years,and farmlands are being abandoned.These abandoned farmlands(AFs)nega-tiv...With changes in global climate and land use,the area of desertified farmland in southeastern Horqin Sandy Land(HSL)has increased in recent years,and farmlands are being abandoned.These abandoned farmlands(AFs)nega-tively impact the local ecology.Therefore,the aim of the present study was to select suitable trees and shrubs for those AFs to prevent and control the desertification tendency.In this study,three AFs were fenced for 2 years,then 37 arbor and shrub species or varieties of 21 families were planted in the fenced AFs and grown for 10 years.The ecological adaptability of the species was evaluated and ranked using a principal component analysis.The results showed that the biodiversity of the AFs significantly improved after 2 years of fencing;the Shannon-Wiener index and species rich-ness of perennial grasses and forbs were 1.45 and 3.6 times higher,respectively,than for the unfenced AF.Among all species planted in fenced AFs,nine tree species had posi-tive comprehensive F(CF)values;Pinus sylvestris(Russian Shira steppe provenance),Populus alba‘Berolinensis’and Gleditsia triacanthos had CF greater than 1,and the first(PC1),second(PC2)and third(PC3)principal component values(F_(1),F_(2),F_(3))were all positive.Among the shrubs,only Lespedeza bicolor and Rosa xanthina f.normalis had CF greater than 0.All these results suggest that fencing improves biodiversity and that planting trees and shrubs that have higher CF values on the basis of fencing is an effective way to green and beautify AFs in HSL.展开更多
Turkey ranked third place in the world for chestnut production after China and South Korea and the country has unique chestnut forests including valuable and diverse chestnut genotypes. This study was conducted to sel...Turkey ranked third place in the world for chestnut production after China and South Korea and the country has unique chestnut forests including valuable and diverse chestnut genotypes. This study was conducted to select superior chestnut genotypes within seedling popu- lations found in natural wild grown chestnut forest located in Isparta province in Turkey during 2010-2011 years. A total of 2500 wild grown chestnut trees were examined on the field first year and among them the most promising 22 genotypes were chosen according to relatively high yield capacity, earliness, tolerance to chestnut blight （Cryphonectria parasitica）, ink disease （Phytopthora cambivora）, and fruit quality characteristics. The selected 22 genotypes were evaluated for their detailed morpho- logical, phenological and pomological traits in 2010 and 2011. According to average of 2 years, nut weight, the number of nut per kilogram, nut width, nut length, nut height and nut shell thickness of 22 promising genotypes ranged from 10.26 to 22.32 g, 97.47 to 44.80/kg, 26.80 to 42.47, 16.92 to 25.91, 27.74 to 39.73, and 0.26 to 1.01 mm, respectively. The ash, crude protein, and total fat content of kernels were between 0.85 to 1.94, 3.69 to 7.06 and 1.32 to 4.52, respectively. The genotypes were evaluated with weighted ranking method and the highest general quality score was observed in genotypes of IY17, IYO1, IY42, IY43 and IY12.展开更多
Based on the extensive analysis of natural and social conditions,regional development,and characteristics of tree species in the Beijing-Tianjin corridor,a comprehensive evaluation index system that consists of A,B,C,...Based on the extensive analysis of natural and social conditions,regional development,and characteristics of tree species in the Beijing-Tianjin corridor,a comprehensive evaluation index system that consists of A,B,C,D layers was established for introduced tree species.Nine local representative introduced tree species were evaluated using the analytic hierarchy process(AHP).The results showed that Platanus orientalis,Quercus mongolicus,and Zizyphusjujube performed better comprehensively and were recommended as the dominant introduced tree species in the Beijing-Tianjin corridor.Other representative introduced tree species should be appropriately developed in the region.Main factors that should be taken into account for introduced tree species including drought tolerance,wintering habit,growth rate,leanness tolerance,pollution tolerance,saline tolerance,and disease resistance.展开更多
目的:探讨乳腺癌患者5年生存预后的影响因素,构建生存预测模型,并评估其预测准确性。方法:调取2010年1月至2020年12月在新疆医科大学附属肿瘤医院因乳腺癌初治住院的17104例女性患者的病案数据及随访资料。依据LASSO(the least absolute...目的:探讨乳腺癌患者5年生存预后的影响因素,构建生存预测模型,并评估其预测准确性。方法:调取2010年1月至2020年12月在新疆医科大学附属肿瘤医院因乳腺癌初治住院的17104例女性患者的病案数据及随访资料。依据LASSO(the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator,LASSO)回归筛选出与乳腺癌预后强相关的变量构建乳腺癌患者5年生存预测模型,在此基础上绘制列线图和决策树,并与传统Logistic回归做比较,采用受试者工作曲线下面积(area under receiver operating characteristic curve,AUC)对模型的预测效能进行评价。结果:LASSO回归共筛选出16个乳腺癌预后影响因素,分别是年龄、民族、初潮年龄、肿瘤分期、肿瘤家族史、手术分组、组织学分级、雌激素受体状态、孕激素受体状态、Ki-67表达水平、HER-2 Fish状态、放疗、化疗、靶向治疗、内分泌治疗、新辅助治疗。决策树根节点为肿瘤分期,共7个内部节点、9个结果节点和16条决策路径。各自变量的重要性由高到低分别为肿瘤分期、年龄、肿瘤家族史、Ki-67表达水平、组织学分级、HER-2 Fish状态、手术类型、新辅助治疗。对列线图和决策树预测模型进行验证,列线图、决策树、Logistic回归的AUC值分别为0.934、0.917、0.903。结论:本研究构建的LASSO回归可用于乳腺癌患者临床数据筛选与预后强相关的变量,列线图与决策树模型预测效能良好,且列线图预测性能最优,该方法有助于医务人员对乳腺癌患者制定个体化动态综合治疗方案。展开更多
Background:Modern remote sensing methods enable the prediction of tree-level forest resource data.However,the benefits of using tree-level data in forest or harvest planning is not clear given a relative paucity of re...Background:Modern remote sensing methods enable the prediction of tree-level forest resource data.However,the benefits of using tree-level data in forest or harvest planning is not clear given a relative paucity of research.In particular,there is a need for tree-level methods that simultaneously account for the spatial distribution of trees and other objectives.In this study,we developed a spatial tree selection method that considers tree-level(relative value increment),neighborhood related(proximity of cut trees)and global objectives(total harvest).Methods:We partitioned the whole surface area of the stand to trees,with the assumption that a large tree occupies a larger area than a small tree.This was implemented using a power diagram.We also utilized spatially explicit tree-level growth models that accounted for competition by neighboring trees.Optimization was conducted with a variant of cellular automata.The proposed method was tested in stone pine(Pinus pinea L.)stands in Spain where we implemented basic individual tree detection with airborne laser scanning data.Results:We showed how to mimic four different spatial distributions of cut trees using alternative weightings of objective variables.The Non-spatial selection did not aim at a particular spatial layout,the Single-tree selection dispersed the trees to be cut,and the Tree group and Clearcut selections clustered harvested trees at different magnitudes.Conclusions:The proposed method can be used to control the spatial layout of trees while extracting trees that are the most economically mature.展开更多
A comprehensive evaluation system,which focused on optimal selection of raw material forest species for edible fungi,was established by combination of Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP)and Experts Grading Method(EGM).The...A comprehensive evaluation system,which focused on optimal selection of raw material forest species for edible fungi,was established by combination of Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP)and Experts Grading Method(EGM).The evaluation system had 4 indices of grade I and 12 indices of grade II.Among the 12 indices of grade II,the weighted values of production quality of edible fungi P2(0.2874),usable time P7(0.1873),annual average increment P8(0.1873),edible fungi production suitability P1(0.0958)were larger than the values of others.Based on the comprehensive evaluation system,this study analyzed and screened 47 broadleaf species of 40 genera of 25 families.There were 16 broadleaf species having the comprehensive evaluation scores of equal to or greater than2.4000,which were available as major tree species for edible fungi development of Guizhou Province,especially species such as Liriodendron chinense,Quercus acutissima,Alnus cremastogyne,Betula luminfera,Elaeocarpus duclouxii,Elaeocarpus sylvestris,Choerospondias axillaris.The 10 broadleaf tree species with comprehensive evaluation score of 2.1000≤Y 2.4000 were recommended as candidates for edible fungi production,while the 21 broadleaf species with the comprehensive evaluation score of less than 2.1000 were not recommended.展开更多
Background： In economically optimal management, trees that are removed in a thinning treatment should be selected on the basis of their value, relative value increment and the effect of removal on the growth of remai...Background： In economically optimal management, trees that are removed in a thinning treatment should be selected on the basis of their value, relative value increment and the effect of removal on the growth of remaining trees. Large valuable trees with decreased value increment should be removed, especially when they overtop smaller trees. Methods： This study optimized the tree selection rule in the thinning treatments of continuous cover managemen when the aim is to maximize the profitability of forest management. The weights of three criteria （stem value, relative value increment and effect of removal on the competition of remaining trees） were optimized together with thinning intervals. Results and conclusions： The results confirmed the hypothesis that optimal thinning involves removing predominantly large trees. Increasing stumpage value, decreasing relative value increment, and increasing competitive influence increased the likelihood that removal is optimal decision. However, if the spatial distribution of trees is irregular, it is optimal to leave large trees in sparse places and remove somewhat smaller trees from dense places. However, the benefit of optimal thinning, as compared to diameter limit cutting is not usually large in pure one-species stands. On the contrary, removing the smallest trees from the stand may lead to significant （30-40 %） reductions in the net present value of harvest incomes.展开更多
Plantations of tropical species axe becoming an increasingly important source of wood. However, it is important that research trials focus not only on tree growth performance, but also on wood quality. The aims of thi...Plantations of tropical species axe becoming an increasingly important source of wood. However, it is important that research trials focus not only on tree growth performance, but also on wood quality. The aims of this study were to assess the growth performance of six commercially and ecologically important tree species from separate plantation trials in Indonesia and to determine the relationships between tree growth and wood quality in terms of the dynamic modulus of elasticity （MOE） and wood density. Forty-eight 7-year Maesopsis eminii Engl. and thirty-five 9-year specimens （7 each of 5 Shorea spp.） were selected from two trials. The MOE, based on acoustic velocity, was indirectly measured to evaluate wood stiffness. Tree-growth performance was evaluated, and correlations between growth traits and acoustic velocity as well as density and wood stiffness properties were estimated. The growth performance of M. eminii in terms of tree volume was significantly different in three different cate- gories of growth （i.e. fast, medium, slow）. Of the five Shorea spp. studied, Shorea leprosula Miq. had the highest growth rate, as expected since it is known to be a fastgrowing Shorea species. Indirect measurement of wood quality by means of non-destructive ultrasonic methods showed a weak negative correlation between tree volume and acoustic velocity and dynamic MOE. Although each fast-growing tree could reach a merchantable size faster than other varieties or species, wood traits of various species tested were not significantly different based on tree growth rate performance. The findings from this study could be used to improve selection criteria in future breeding trials; indirect measurements of the dynamic modulus of elasticity can be used in mass pre-selection of genetic materials, to choose the most-promising material for in-depth evaluation.展开更多
Time and motion studies were conducted to evaluate the impact of selective cutting type on Chainsaw productivity in Caspian forests, the selective cutting performed as single and group selection cutting in the region....Time and motion studies were conducted to evaluate the impact of selective cutting type on Chainsaw productivity in Caspian forests, the selective cutting performed as single and group selection cutting in the region. The selective cutting was performed on a 42-ha tract with an average slope of 30%. The results indicate that felling time for per tree is most affected by diameter at breast height, the distance among harvested trees in single-tree selection method and diameter at breast height in group selection method. The production rate in single and group selection cutting were 21.2 m^3·h^-1 and 28.4 m^3·h^-1 for one person, respectively. Considering the gross and net production rate in single and group selection cutting, the unit cost was 1.11 USD.m^-3 and 0.88 USD.m^-3, respectively. The results indicate that group selection cutting can be more profitable than single-tree selection method.展开更多
基金This study was supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(31770675)National Key R&D Program of China(2017YFD0600505).
文摘With changes in global climate and land use,the area of desertified farmland in southeastern Horqin Sandy Land(HSL)has increased in recent years,and farmlands are being abandoned.These abandoned farmlands(AFs)nega-tively impact the local ecology.Therefore,the aim of the present study was to select suitable trees and shrubs for those AFs to prevent and control the desertification tendency.In this study,three AFs were fenced for 2 years,then 37 arbor and shrub species or varieties of 21 families were planted in the fenced AFs and grown for 10 years.The ecological adaptability of the species was evaluated and ranked using a principal component analysis.The results showed that the biodiversity of the AFs significantly improved after 2 years of fencing;the Shannon-Wiener index and species rich-ness of perennial grasses and forbs were 1.45 and 3.6 times higher,respectively,than for the unfenced AF.Among all species planted in fenced AFs,nine tree species had posi-tive comprehensive F(CF)values;Pinus sylvestris(Russian Shira steppe provenance),Populus alba‘Berolinensis’and Gleditsia triacanthos had CF greater than 1,and the first(PC1),second(PC2)and third(PC3)principal component values(F_(1),F_(2),F_(3))were all positive.Among the shrubs,only Lespedeza bicolor and Rosa xanthina f.normalis had CF greater than 0.All these results suggest that fencing improves biodiversity and that planting trees and shrubs that have higher CF values on the basis of fencing is an effective way to green and beautify AFs in HSL.
基金Ministry of Food, Agriculture and Livestock and Gaziosmanpasa University for financial support of this study
文摘Turkey ranked third place in the world for chestnut production after China and South Korea and the country has unique chestnut forests including valuable and diverse chestnut genotypes. This study was conducted to select superior chestnut genotypes within seedling popu- lations found in natural wild grown chestnut forest located in Isparta province in Turkey during 2010-2011 years. A total of 2500 wild grown chestnut trees were examined on the field first year and among them the most promising 22 genotypes were chosen according to relatively high yield capacity, earliness, tolerance to chestnut blight （Cryphonectria parasitica）, ink disease （Phytopthora cambivora）, and fruit quality characteristics. The selected 22 genotypes were evaluated for their detailed morpho- logical, phenological and pomological traits in 2010 and 2011. According to average of 2 years, nut weight, the number of nut per kilogram, nut width, nut length, nut height and nut shell thickness of 22 promising genotypes ranged from 10.26 to 22.32 g, 97.47 to 44.80/kg, 26.80 to 42.47, 16.92 to 25.91, 27.74 to 39.73, and 0.26 to 1.01 mm, respectively. The ash, crude protein, and total fat content of kernels were between 0.85 to 1.94, 3.69 to 7.06 and 1.32 to 4.52, respectively. The genotypes were evaluated with weighted ranking method and the highest general quality score was observed in genotypes of IY17, IYO1, IY42, IY43 and IY12.
文摘Based on the extensive analysis of natural and social conditions,regional development,and characteristics of tree species in the Beijing-Tianjin corridor,a comprehensive evaluation index system that consists of A,B,C,D layers was established for introduced tree species.Nine local representative introduced tree species were evaluated using the analytic hierarchy process(AHP).The results showed that Platanus orientalis,Quercus mongolicus,and Zizyphusjujube performed better comprehensively and were recommended as the dominant introduced tree species in the Beijing-Tianjin corridor.Other representative introduced tree species should be appropriately developed in the region.Main factors that should be taken into account for introduced tree species including drought tolerance,wintering habit,growth rate,leanness tolerance,pollution tolerance,saline tolerance,and disease resistance.
文摘目的:探讨乳腺癌患者5年生存预后的影响因素,构建生存预测模型,并评估其预测准确性。方法:调取2010年1月至2020年12月在新疆医科大学附属肿瘤医院因乳腺癌初治住院的17104例女性患者的病案数据及随访资料。依据LASSO(the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator,LASSO)回归筛选出与乳腺癌预后强相关的变量构建乳腺癌患者5年生存预测模型,在此基础上绘制列线图和决策树,并与传统Logistic回归做比较,采用受试者工作曲线下面积(area under receiver operating characteristic curve,AUC)对模型的预测效能进行评价。结果:LASSO回归共筛选出16个乳腺癌预后影响因素,分别是年龄、民族、初潮年龄、肿瘤分期、肿瘤家族史、手术分组、组织学分级、雌激素受体状态、孕激素受体状态、Ki-67表达水平、HER-2 Fish状态、放疗、化疗、靶向治疗、内分泌治疗、新辅助治疗。决策树根节点为肿瘤分期,共7个内部节点、9个结果节点和16条决策路径。各自变量的重要性由高到低分别为肿瘤分期、年龄、肿瘤家族史、Ki-67表达水平、组织学分级、HER-2 Fish状态、手术类型、新辅助治疗。对列线图和决策树预测模型进行验证,列线图、决策树、Logistic回归的AUC值分别为0.934、0.917、0.903。结论:本研究构建的LASSO回归可用于乳腺癌患者临床数据筛选与预后强相关的变量,列线图与决策树模型预测效能良好,且列线图预测性能最优,该方法有助于医务人员对乳腺癌患者制定个体化动态综合治疗方案。
基金supported by the University of Eastern Finland Strategic Funding,School of Forest Sciences and the Strategic Research Council of the Academy of Finland for the FORBIO project(Decision Number 314224)partially funded by Portuguese National Funds through FCT-Fundacao para a Ciencia e a Tecnologia,I.P.in the scope of Norma Transitoria-DL57/2016/CP5151903067/CT4151900586the project MODFIRE-A multiple criteria approach to integrate wildfire behavior in forest management planning with the reference PCIF/MOS/0217/2017。
文摘Background:Modern remote sensing methods enable the prediction of tree-level forest resource data.However,the benefits of using tree-level data in forest or harvest planning is not clear given a relative paucity of research.In particular,there is a need for tree-level methods that simultaneously account for the spatial distribution of trees and other objectives.In this study,we developed a spatial tree selection method that considers tree-level(relative value increment),neighborhood related(proximity of cut trees)and global objectives(total harvest).Methods:We partitioned the whole surface area of the stand to trees,with the assumption that a large tree occupies a larger area than a small tree.This was implemented using a power diagram.We also utilized spatially explicit tree-level growth models that accounted for competition by neighboring trees.Optimization was conducted with a variant of cellular automata.The proposed method was tested in stone pine(Pinus pinea L.)stands in Spain where we implemented basic individual tree detection with airborne laser scanning data.Results:We showed how to mimic four different spatial distributions of cut trees using alternative weightings of objective variables.The Non-spatial selection did not aim at a particular spatial layout,the Single-tree selection dispersed the trees to be cut,and the Tree group and Clearcut selections clustered harvested trees at different magnitudes.Conclusions:The proposed method can be used to control the spatial layout of trees while extracting trees that are the most economically mature.
基金Supported by the Fund Project for Research Personnel in Forestry of the Department of Forestry of Guizhou Province(Qianlinkehe J[2012]No.04)
文摘A comprehensive evaluation system,which focused on optimal selection of raw material forest species for edible fungi,was established by combination of Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP)and Experts Grading Method(EGM).The evaluation system had 4 indices of grade I and 12 indices of grade II.Among the 12 indices of grade II,the weighted values of production quality of edible fungi P2(0.2874),usable time P7(0.1873),annual average increment P8(0.1873),edible fungi production suitability P1(0.0958)were larger than the values of others.Based on the comprehensive evaluation system,this study analyzed and screened 47 broadleaf species of 40 genera of 25 families.There were 16 broadleaf species having the comprehensive evaluation scores of equal to or greater than2.4000,which were available as major tree species for edible fungi development of Guizhou Province,especially species such as Liriodendron chinense,Quercus acutissima,Alnus cremastogyne,Betula luminfera,Elaeocarpus duclouxii,Elaeocarpus sylvestris,Choerospondias axillaris.The 10 broadleaf tree species with comprehensive evaluation score of 2.1000≤Y 2.4000 were recommended as candidates for edible fungi production,while the 21 broadleaf species with the comprehensive evaluation score of less than 2.1000 were not recommended.
文摘Background： In economically optimal management, trees that are removed in a thinning treatment should be selected on the basis of their value, relative value increment and the effect of removal on the growth of remaining trees. Large valuable trees with decreased value increment should be removed, especially when they overtop smaller trees. Methods： This study optimized the tree selection rule in the thinning treatments of continuous cover managemen when the aim is to maximize the profitability of forest management. The weights of three criteria （stem value, relative value increment and effect of removal on the competition of remaining trees） were optimized together with thinning intervals. Results and conclusions： The results confirmed the hypothesis that optimal thinning involves removing predominantly large trees. Increasing stumpage value, decreasing relative value increment, and increasing competitive influence increased the likelihood that removal is optimal decision. However, if the spatial distribution of trees is irregular, it is optimal to leave large trees in sparse places and remove somewhat smaller trees from dense places. However, the benefit of optimal thinning, as compared to diameter limit cutting is not usually large in pure one-species stands. On the contrary, removing the smallest trees from the stand may lead to significant （30-40 %） reductions in the net present value of harvest incomes.
文摘Plantations of tropical species axe becoming an increasingly important source of wood. However, it is important that research trials focus not only on tree growth performance, but also on wood quality. The aims of this study were to assess the growth performance of six commercially and ecologically important tree species from separate plantation trials in Indonesia and to determine the relationships between tree growth and wood quality in terms of the dynamic modulus of elasticity （MOE） and wood density. Forty-eight 7-year Maesopsis eminii Engl. and thirty-five 9-year specimens （7 each of 5 Shorea spp.） were selected from two trials. The MOE, based on acoustic velocity, was indirectly measured to evaluate wood stiffness. Tree-growth performance was evaluated, and correlations between growth traits and acoustic velocity as well as density and wood stiffness properties were estimated. The growth performance of M. eminii in terms of tree volume was significantly different in three different cate- gories of growth （i.e. fast, medium, slow）. Of the five Shorea spp. studied, Shorea leprosula Miq. had the highest growth rate, as expected since it is known to be a fastgrowing Shorea species. Indirect measurement of wood quality by means of non-destructive ultrasonic methods showed a weak negative correlation between tree volume and acoustic velocity and dynamic MOE. Although each fast-growing tree could reach a merchantable size faster than other varieties or species, wood traits of various species tested were not significantly different based on tree growth rate performance. The findings from this study could be used to improve selection criteria in future breeding trials; indirect measurements of the dynamic modulus of elasticity can be used in mass pre-selection of genetic materials, to choose the most-promising material for in-depth evaluation.
文摘Time and motion studies were conducted to evaluate the impact of selective cutting type on Chainsaw productivity in Caspian forests, the selective cutting performed as single and group selection cutting in the region. The selective cutting was performed on a 42-ha tract with an average slope of 30%. The results indicate that felling time for per tree is most affected by diameter at breast height, the distance among harvested trees in single-tree selection method and diameter at breast height in group selection method. The production rate in single and group selection cutting were 21.2 m^3·h^-1 and 28.4 m^3·h^-1 for one person, respectively. Considering the gross and net production rate in single and group selection cutting, the unit cost was 1.11 USD.m^-3 and 0.88 USD.m^-3, respectively. The results indicate that group selection cutting can be more profitable than single-tree selection method.
