期刊文献+
共找到444篇文章
< 1 2 23 >
每页显示 20 50 100
Assessment of Point and Nonpoint Sources Pollution in Songhua River Basin,Northeast China by Using Revised Water Quality Model 被引量:14
1
作者 YANG Yuhong YAN Baixing SHEN Wanbin 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2010年第1期30-36,共7页
Individual participation of pollutants in the pollution load should be estimated even if roughly for the appropriate environmental management of a river basin.It is difficult to identify the sources and to quantify th... Individual participation of pollutants in the pollution load should be estimated even if roughly for the appropriate environmental management of a river basin.It is difficult to identify the sources and to quantify the load, especially in modeling nonpoint source.In this study a revised model was established by integrating point and nonpoint sources into one-dimensional Streeter-Phelps(S-P) model on the basis of real-time hydrologic data and surface water quality monitoring data in the Jilin Reach of the Songhua River Basin.Chemical oxygen demand(COD) and ammonia nitrogen(NH 3-N) loads were estimated.Results showed that COD loads of point source and nonpoint source were 134 958 t/yr and 86 209 t/yr, accounting for 61.02% and 38.98% of total loads, respectively.NH 3-N loads of point source and nonpoint source were 16 739 t/yr and 14 272 t/yr, accounting for 53.98% and 46.02%, respectively.Point source pollution was stronger than nonpoint source pollution in the study area at present.The water quality of upstream was better than that of downstream of the rivers and cities.It is indispensable to treat industrial wastewater and municipal sewage out of point sources, to adopt the best management practices to control diffuse pollutants from agricultural land and urban surface runoff in improving water quality of the Songhua River Basin.The revised S-P model can be successfully used to identify pollution source and quantify point source and nonpoint source loads by calibrating and validating. 展开更多
关键词 ammonia nitrogen chemical oxygen demand nonpoint source pollution point source pollution revised water quality model Songhua River Basin
在线阅读 下载PDF
Characteristics of canopy interception and its simulation with a revised Gash model for a larch plantation in the Liupan Mountains, China 被引量:2
2
作者 Zebin Liu Yanhui Wang +7 位作者 Ao Tian Yu Liu Ashley A.Webb Yarui Wang Haijun Zuo Pengtao Yu Wei Xiong Lihong Xu 《Journal of Forestry Research》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2018年第1期187-198,共12页
Canopy interception is a significant proportion of incident rainfall and evapotranspiration of forest ecosystems. Hence, identifying its magnitude is vital for studies of eco-hydrological processes and hydrological im... Canopy interception is a significant proportion of incident rainfall and evapotranspiration of forest ecosystems. Hence, identifying its magnitude is vital for studies of eco-hydrological processes and hydrological impact evaluation. In this study, throughfall, stemflow and interception were measured in a pure Larix principis-rupprechtii Mayr.(larch) plantation in the Liupan Mountains of northwestern China during the growing season(May–October) of 2015, and simulated using a revised Gash model. During the study period, the total precipitation was 499.0 mm; corresponding total throughfall, stemflow and canopy interception were 410.3, 2.0 and 86.7 mm,accounting for 82.2, 0.4 and 17.4% of the total precipitation, respectively. With increasing rainfall, the canopy interception ratio of individual rainfall events decreased initially and then tended to stabilize. Within the study period, the simulated total canopy interception, throughfall and stemflow were 2.2 mm lower, 2.5 mm higher and 0.3 mm lower than their measured values, with a relative error of 2.5, 0.6 and 15.0%, respectively. As quantified by the model, canopy interception loss(79%) mainly consisted of interception caused by canopy adsorption, while the proportions of additional interception and trunk interception were small. The revised Gash model was highly sensitive to the parameter of canopy storage capacity,followed by the parameters of canopy density and mean rainfall intensity, but less sensitive to the parameters of mean evaporation rate, trunk storage capacity, and stemflow ratio. The revised Gash model satisfactorily simulated the total canopy interception of the larch plantation within the growing season but was less accurate for some individual rainfall events, indicating that some flaws exist in the model structure. Further measures to improve the model’s ability in simulating the interception of individual rainfall events were suggested. 展开更多
关键词 Canopy interception Larch plantation revised Gash model STEMFLOW THROUGHFALL
在线阅读 下载PDF
Water Quality Evaluation in Tidal River Reaches of Liaohe River Estuary, China Using a Revised QUAL2K Model 被引量:7
3
作者 YE Hanfeng GUO Shuhai +1 位作者 LI Fengmei LI Gang 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2013年第3期301-311,共11页
Rivers in the Liaohe River Estuary area have been seriously polluted by discharges of wastewater containing petroleum pol- lutants and nutrients. In this paper, The Enhanced Stream Water Quality Model (QUAL2K) and i... Rivers in the Liaohe River Estuary area have been seriously polluted by discharges of wastewater containing petroleum pol- lutants and nutrients. In this paper, The Enhanced Stream Water Quality Model (QUAL2K) and its revised model as well as One-dimensional Tide Mean Model (1D model) were applied to predict and assess the water quality of the tidal fiver reach of the Liaohe River Estuary. Dissolved oxygen (DO), biochemical oxygen demand (BODs), ammonia nitrogen (NH3-N) and total phosphorus (TP) were chosen as water quality indices in the two model simulations. The modelled results show that the major reasons for degraded rivers remain petroleum and non-point source pollution. Tidal water also has a critical effect on the variation of water quality. The sensitivity analysis identifies that flow rate, point load and diffuse load are the most sensitive parameters for the four water quality indices in the revised QUAL2K simulation. Uncertainty analysis based on a Monte Carlo simulation gives the probability distribution of the four wa- ter quality indices at two locations (6.50 km and 44.84 km from the river mouth). The statistical outcomes indicate that the observed data fall within the 90% confidence intervals at all sites measured, and show that the revised QUAL2K gives better results in simulating the water quality of a tidal fiver. 展开更多
关键词 tidal river reach water quality evaluation revised QUAL2K model uncertainty analysis Liaohe River Estuary
在线阅读 下载PDF
REVISED k-ε TURBULENCE MODEL IN ELECTROMAGNETIC CONTINUOUS CASTING OF MELT 被引量:1
4
作者 H.F. Huo and B.K. LiDepartment of Thermal Engineering, School of Materials and Metallurgy, Northeastern University, Shenyang 110004, China. 《Acta Metallurgica Sinica(English Letters)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2003年第5期395-400,共6页
The research is motivated by the ongoing the electromagnetic continuous casting of molten metal. The revised k-ε model considering the effect of magnetic field application was derived. The specific model equations fo... The research is motivated by the ongoing the electromagnetic continuous casting of molten metal. The revised k-ε model considering the effect of magnetic field application was derived. The specific model equations for the electromagnetic braking were used to calculate the velocity distribution in the continuous casting mold of steel. The results show that the revised k-ε model considering the effect of magnetic field application tends to suppress the production of turbulence and difference between the conventional and revised k-e model is small. 展开更多
关键词 revised k-ε turbulence model electromagnetic continuous casting magnetic field
在线阅读 下载PDF
A revised jump-diffusion and rotation-diffusion model
5
作者 Hua Li Yu-Hang Chen Bin-Ze Tang 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2019年第5期216-221,共6页
Quasi-elastic neutron scattering(QENS) has many applications that are directly related to the development of highperformance functional materials and biological macromolecules, especially those containing some water. ... Quasi-elastic neutron scattering(QENS) has many applications that are directly related to the development of highperformance functional materials and biological macromolecules, especially those containing some water. The analysis method of QENS spectra data is important to obtain parameters that can explain the structure of materials and the dynamics of water. In this paper, we present a revised jump-diffusion and rotation-diffusion model(rJRM) used for QENS spectra data analysis. By the rJRM, the QENS spectra from a pure magnesium-silicate-hydrate(MSH) sample are fitted well for the Q range from 0.3 ^(-1) to 1.9 ^(-1) and temperatures from 210 K up to 280 K. The fitted parameters can be divided into two kinds. The first kind describes the structure of the MSH sample, including the ratio of immobile water(or bound water) C and the confining radius of mobile water a_0. The second kind describes the dynamics of confined water in pores contained in the MSH sample, including the translational diffusion coefficient Dt, the average translational residence timeτ0, the rotational diffusion coefficient D_r, and the mean squared displacement(MSD) u^2. The r JRM is a new practical method suitable to fit QENS spectra from porous materials, where hydrogen atoms appear in both solid and liquid phases. 展开更多
关键词 revised JUMP-DIFFUSION and rotation-diffusion model (rJRM) data analysis of quasi-elastic neutron scattering (QENS) spectra dynamics of water magnesium-silicate-hydrate (MSH) samples
原文传递
3D numerical simulation of high pressure squeezing process with revised Drucker-Prager/Cap model
6
作者 Zhang Qingdong Ni Changjiang +2 位作者 Jing Tao Wu Junjiao Makino Hiroyasu 《Journal of Southeast University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2017年第4期473-477,共5页
In order to investigate the sand mold strength after the aeration sand filling-high pressure squeeze moldingprocess,a tree-dimentional(3D)numerical simulation was introduced.The commercial finite element method(FEM)so... In order to investigate the sand mold strength after the aeration sand filling-high pressure squeeze moldingprocess,a tree-dimentional(3D)numerical simulation was introduced.The commercial finite element method(FEM)software ABAQUScombined with a revised Drucker-Prager/Cap model was used to simulate the squeeze compaction process.Additionally,the sand bulk density after the aeration sand filling process was tested by a specially designed experiment,which divided the whole sand bulk in the molding chamber into5x9regions and it was used as the input to simulate the squeeze process.During the simulation process,the uniform modeling simulation and the patition modeling simulation methods were used a d the3D numercal simulation results were compared with correlative benchmark testings.From the3D numerica simulation results,it can be concluded that the uniform sand bulk density distribution can obtain a high quality sandmold and the revised Drncker-Pager/Cap model is suitable for handling the situation with the complex paaern.The3D numerical simulation results can predict well the sand mold strength distribution and can be used as guidelines for the production practice. 展开更多
关键词 green sand aeration sand filling-high pressure squeeze molding revised Drucker-Prager/Cap model numerical simulation
在线阅读 下载PDF
A Revision Model in Writing for Novice Writers with a Focus on Audience and Feedback
7
作者 Guliz Turgut Dost 《Journal of Contemporary Educational Research》 2019年第1期6-19,共14页
Revision is a complex,yet important phase in writing to improve the quality of a text.Some revision models are created to explain its components and the ways these components work.However,analysis of available models ... Revision is a complex,yet important phase in writing to improve the quality of a text.Some revision models are created to explain its components and the ways these components work.However,analysis of available models shows that they are proposed mainly for expert writers,who can complete the complex revision process individually,without the need of support or feedback.Most of the available revision models also do not include audience as a component.Therefore,the purpose of this paper is to introduce an alternative revision model for novice writers at or higher than highschool level with a focus on audience and feedback.First,the definition of revision is made,which is followed by summaries of the importance of audience and feedback in writing.Second,available revision models in literature that serves as the basis of the alternative model are reviewed.Finally,the alternative revision model is introduced with its components and the way these components work is explained.The revision model presented in this paper will contribute to literature on writing by filling the gap in revision models by proposing a model for novice writers and highlighting the importance of audience and feedback. 展开更多
关键词 AUDIENCE FEEDBACK NOVICE writer revisION revisION models WRITING
在线阅读 下载PDF
概率评分及新型预测模型对不同人群肺栓塞预测价值的研究进展
8
作者 雷鹏 宁敏彤 刘文操 《安徽医药》 2026年第1期50-54,共5页
肺栓塞是静脉血栓栓塞发展的严重后果,可导致严重呼吸衰竭。因为临床表现缺乏特异性,容易漏诊、误诊,是第三大心血管疾病死亡原因。因此尽早快速地对肺栓塞作出诊断预测,是降低肺栓塞死亡率、改善预后的关键。临床概率模型Wells评分、... 肺栓塞是静脉血栓栓塞发展的严重后果,可导致严重呼吸衰竭。因为临床表现缺乏特异性,容易漏诊、误诊,是第三大心血管疾病死亡原因。因此尽早快速地对肺栓塞作出诊断预测,是降低肺栓塞死亡率、改善预后的关键。临床概率模型Wells评分、修订的Geneva评分等已然经过广泛验证,然而它们在不同人群的应用价值尚不完全清楚,因此仍然需要更多研究阐明Wells评分及修订的Geneva评分的作用,同时探索新的更加适合人群的肺栓塞预测模型。该研究将对临床概率模型及新型肺栓塞预测模型在不同人群中肺栓塞的预测价值作一综述。 展开更多
关键词 肺栓塞 概率评分 WELLS评分 修订的Geneva评分 预测模型 D-二聚体
暂未订购
Modeling spatial and temporal change of soil erosion based on multi-temporal remotely sensed data 被引量:1
9
作者 Pei Liu PeiJun Du +2 位作者 RuiMei Han Chao Ma YouFeng Zou 《Research in Cold and Arid Regions》 CSCD 2015年第6期702-708,共7页
In order to monitor the pattern, distribution, and trend of land use/cover change (LUCC) and its impacts on soil erosion, it is highly appropriate to adopt Remote Sensing (RS) data and Geographic Information Syst... In order to monitor the pattern, distribution, and trend of land use/cover change (LUCC) and its impacts on soil erosion, it is highly appropriate to adopt Remote Sensing (RS) data and Geographic Information System (GIS) to analyze, assess, simulate, and predict the spatial and temporal evolution dynamics. In this paper, multi-temporal Landsat TM/ETM+ re- motely sensed data are used to generate land cover maps by image classification, and the Cellular Automata Markov (CA_Markov) model is employed to simulate the evolution and trend of landscape pattern change. Furthermore, the Re- vised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE) is used to evaluate the situation of soil erosion in the case study mining area. The trend of soil erosion is analyzed according to total/average amount of soil erosion, and the rainfall (R), cover man- agement (C), and support practice (P) factors in RUSLE relevant to soil erosion are determined. The change trends of soil erosion and the relationship between land cover types and soil erosion amount are analyzed. The results demonstrate that the CA_Markov model is suitable to simulate and predict LUCC trends with good efficiency and accuracy, and RUSLE can calculate the total soil erosion effectively. In the study area, there was minimal erosion grade and this is expected to con- tinue to decline in the next few years, according to our prediction results. 展开更多
关键词 land use/cover change (LUCC) soil erosion CA_Markov model revised universal soil loss equation (RUSLE)
在线阅读 下载PDF
Combining RUSLE model and the vegetation health index to unravel the relationship between soil erosion and droughts in southeastern Tunisia 被引量:2
10
作者 Olfa TERWAYET BAYOULI ZHANG Wanchang Houssem TERWAYET BAYOULI 《Journal of Arid Land》 SCIE CSCD 2023年第11期1269-1289,共21页
Droughts and soil erosion are among the most prominent climatic driven hazards in drylands,leading to detrimental environmental impacts,such as degraded lands,deteriorated ecosystem services and biodiversity,and incre... Droughts and soil erosion are among the most prominent climatic driven hazards in drylands,leading to detrimental environmental impacts,such as degraded lands,deteriorated ecosystem services and biodiversity,and increased greenhouse gas emissions.In response to the current lack of studies combining drought conditions and soil erosion processes,in this study,we developed a comprehensive Geographic Information System(GIS)-based approach to assess soil erosion and droughts,thereby revealing the relationship between soil erosion and droughts under an arid climate.The vegetation condition index(VCI)and temperature condition index(TCI)derived respectively from the enhanced vegetation index(EVI)MOD13A2 and land surface temperature(LST)MOD11A2 products were combined to generate the vegetation health index(VHI).The VHI has been conceived as an efficient tool to monitor droughts in the Negueb watershed,southeastern Tunisia.The revised universal soil loss equation(RUSLE)model was applied to quantitatively estimate soil erosion.The relationship between soil erosion and droughts was investigated through Pearson correlation.Results exhibited that the Negueb watershed experienced recurrent mild to extreme drought during 2000–2016.The average soil erosion rate was determined to be 1.8 t/(hm2•a).The mountainous western part of the watershed was the most vulnerable not only to soil erosion but also to droughts.The slope length and steepness factor was shown to be the most significant controlling parameter driving soil erosion.The relationship between droughts and soil erosion had a positive correlation(r=0.3);however,the correlation was highly varied spatially across the watershed.Drought was linked to soil erosion in the Negueb watershed.The current study provides insight for natural disaster risk assessment,land managers,and stake-holders to apply appropriate management measures to promote sustainable development goals in fragile environments. 展开更多
关键词 DROUGHTS soil erosion vegetation health index(VHI) revised universal soil loss equation(RUSLE)model southeastern Tunisia
在线阅读 下载PDF
Preservation Planning in the OAIS Model 被引量:1
11
作者 STEPHAN STRODL ANDREAS RAUBER 《现代图书情报技术》 CSSCI 北大核心 2008年第1期61-68,共8页
The OAIS model has gained widespread acceptance as the fundamental design reference model for an archival system by the digital library community. One of its core entities is Preservation Planning, for which central f... The OAIS model has gained widespread acceptance as the fundamental design reference model for an archival system by the digital library community. One of its core entities is Preservation Planning, for which central functional entities are given yet without every detail breaking down into activities requirements. The Planets Preservation Planning approach addresses this by providing a way to make informed and accountable decisions on which preservation strategy to implement in order to most suitably preserve digital objects for a given preservation context. It allows the explicit definition of requirements and goals and offers a systematic way to evaluate preservation strategies. This paper shows the implementation of the Develop Preservation Strategies and Standards function of the OAIS model through the Planets Preservation Planning approach. Moreover, the paper examines the information flows within the OAIS Preservation Planning entity and with other functional entities with respect to the Planets model. 展开更多
关键词 OAIS模型 数字资源 长期保存 保存计划 保存策略 图书馆
在线阅读 下载PDF
不同海拔机场大气污染物及噪声排放清单的评估
12
作者 唐卫贞 代杰 +1 位作者 薛子涵 陈晟 《安全与环境学报》 北大核心 2025年第10期4043-4052,共10页
研究基于国际民航组织(International Civil Aviation Organization,ICAO)标准排放模型,对燃油流量、飞行时间和排放指数进行修正。以2016—2017年为基准时段,选取某高(>1 524 m)、中(457~1 524 m)、低(<457 m)海拔机场各一个进... 研究基于国际民航组织(International Civil Aviation Organization,ICAO)标准排放模型,对燃油流量、飞行时间和排放指数进行修正。以2016—2017年为基准时段,选取某高(>1 524 m)、中(457~1 524 m)、低(<457 m)海拔机场各一个进行研究,以代表从低海拔到高海拔机场的海拔范围。基于标准着陆和起飞循环(Landing and Take-off,LTO)阶段计算不同海拔机场的大气污染物和噪声排放清单。结果显示:高海拔机场的单位LTO氮氧化物排放量最高,达到0.029 5 t,而低海拔机场的噪声水平最高,为71.1 dB。在不同海拔机场的各个LTO循环阶段,排放特性存在显著差异。以爬升阶段为例,高海拔机场的NOx排放量占比高达71.8%,而低海拔机场仅为45.6%。此外,随着海拔升高,主要机型的气体污染物排放量也呈增加趋势。对于A320机型,从低海拔到高海拔,NOx排放量从10.55 kg/循环增加到20.48 kg/循环,CO排放量从10.88 kg/循环增至22.89 kg/循环。研究揭示了不同海拔机场的大气污染物及噪声排放特征,为评估机场环境影响提供了新的科学依据。 展开更多
关键词 环境工程学 海拔 大气污染物 噪声 排放清单 修正模型评估
原文传递
远红光辐照环境水稻幼苗气孔导度模型拟合及修正
13
作者 朱梅 栗昕羽 +1 位作者 刘硕硕 胡晨帆 《农业工程》 2025年第1期56-62,共7页
为探索远红光辐照环境下水稻幼苗气孔导度模型及提高模型模拟精度,开展了远红光辐照环境下两个品种水稻幼苗气体交换参数及气孔特性观测试验。选择Ball-Berry线性气孔导度半经验模型(BB模型)和最优气孔行为理论模型(USO模型),分别从宏... 为探索远红光辐照环境下水稻幼苗气孔导度模型及提高模型模拟精度,开展了远红光辐照环境下两个品种水稻幼苗气体交换参数及气孔特性观测试验。选择Ball-Berry线性气孔导度半经验模型(BB模型)和最优气孔行为理论模型(USO模型),分别从宏观与微观角度对水稻幼苗叶片气孔导度进行设定,研究远红光辐照环境下水稻幼苗气孔导度响应,拟合光控环境气孔导度模型,引入修正光合速率对远红光环境气孔导度模型进行修正,采用相关系数(R^(2))、标准误差(RMSE)、平均绝对误差(MAE)对修正模型进行评价。结果表明,修正后BB模型和USO模型模拟精度分别显著提高15.3%和8%,对光控农业水碳循环的计算和生物节水研究提供理论依据。 展开更多
关键词 远红光 辐照 水稻 气孔导度 修正模型
在线阅读 下载PDF
典型流量分配系统研究
14
作者 弋辉 《舰船电子工程》 2025年第8期20-28,共9页
论文针对典型流量分配系统建立了流量分配理论计算的数学修正模型,通过逐段对典型流量分配系统进行研究,总结了其流阻特性和流量分配特性。同时建立了典型流量分配系统的参数化仿真模型,针对多种工况进行了仿真计算,进一步得到典型流量... 论文针对典型流量分配系统建立了流量分配理论计算的数学修正模型,通过逐段对典型流量分配系统进行研究,总结了其流阻特性和流量分配特性。同时建立了典型流量分配系统的参数化仿真模型,针对多种工况进行了仿真计算,进一步得到典型流量分配系统的流阻特性和流量分配特性,并与理论计算结果进行对比验证。证明了仿真计算方法的准确性较好,且用于流量分配理论计算的数学修正模型实用性好。将流阻测试设备、典型流量分配系统和多种流阻负载搭建试验系统,测试流量分配系统的实际流阻特性和流量分配特性,进一步验证数学修正模型的实用性。 展开更多
关键词 流量分配 数学修正模型 仿真计算 试验系统
在线阅读 下载PDF
钢管混凝土拱桥拱肋灌浆无损检测技术研究
15
作者 王刚 《价值工程》 2025年第7期126-128,共3页
针对现有检测技术难以精准识别混凝土内部缺陷的难题,本研究提出了一种基于声波与电磁波融合的无损检测方法。通过构建钢管-混凝土界面信号传输修正模型,结合改进的时频域联合分析方法,对空洞、裂缝及离析等典型缺陷进行高精度定位与分... 针对现有检测技术难以精准识别混凝土内部缺陷的难题,本研究提出了一种基于声波与电磁波融合的无损检测方法。通过构建钢管-混凝土界面信号传输修正模型,结合改进的时频域联合分析方法,对空洞、裂缝及离析等典型缺陷进行高精度定位与分类。实验设计12组不同缺陷参数的试件,收集240组多维物理场数据,并开发智能分类算法。结果表明,该方法缺陷定位误差±3mm,分类准确率97.5%,较传统方法提升18.9%,且在工程应用中显著缩短检测周期40%。 展开更多
关键词 声波与电磁波融合 无损检测 修正模型 研究
在线阅读 下载PDF
文学翻译修改的三维评价机制研究 被引量:1
16
作者 冯全功 《外语研究》 北大核心 2025年第5期94-99,112,F0003,共8页
文学翻译修改普遍存在,如何评价译者、编辑等修改主体的修改行为是文学翻译修改研究的重要内容。本文提出了求真、务实与求美的三维评价机制,并指出这三个维度是“一体两翼”的关系,即求真为体,是文学翻译修改最根本的评价标准,务实与... 文学翻译修改普遍存在,如何评价译者、编辑等修改主体的修改行为是文学翻译修改研究的重要内容。本文提出了求真、务实与求美的三维评价机制,并指出这三个维度是“一体两翼”的关系,即求真为体,是文学翻译修改最根本的评价标准,务实与求美为两翼,是两大辅助性评价标准。对文学翻译修改的评价要遵循整体性、辩证性与和谐性三大原则,做到具体问题具体分析,看其是否有助于提高译文本身的文学性、适应性及其独立存在的价值。三维评价机制与三大原则不仅适用于对文学翻译修改的评价,而且也适用于整个文学翻译批评,有利于全面、辩证地评价译者以及其他翻译行动者的文本行为。 展开更多
关键词 文学翻译修改 评价机制 求真 务实 求美
在线阅读 下载PDF
简短视空间记忆测验-修订版对精神病临床高危综合征人群转化的预测效度
17
作者 熊凌川 崔慧茹 +6 位作者 徐丽华 魏燕燕 张丹 钱禛颖 唐莺莹 张天宏 王继军 《中国神经精神疾病杂志》 北大核心 2025年第9期528-534,共7页
目的探索简短视空间记忆测验-修订版(brief visuospatial memory test-revised,BVMT-R)在预测精神病临床高危综合征(clinical high-risk for psychosis,CHR-P)受试者精神病转化中的作用。方法募集217名CHR-P受试者,基线时进行BVMT-R评估... 目的探索简短视空间记忆测验-修订版(brief visuospatial memory test-revised,BVMT-R)在预测精神病临床高危综合征(clinical high-risk for psychosis,CHR-P)受试者精神病转化中的作用。方法募集217名CHR-P受试者,基线时进行BVMT-R评估,并进行3年的随访,评估其是否发生精神病转化。应用广义可加模型分析BVMT-R总分与CHR-P精神病转化概率的关系,并采用最大选择秩统计量法,计算BVMT-R总分预测CHR-P人群精神病转化的截断值,根据得到的截断值将BVMT-R总分划分为不同区间,计算不同区间的阳性似然比和在不同时点的精神病转化率。结果最终168例CHR-P完成3年随访。广义可加模型结果显示,BVMT-R总分与CHR-P精神病转化概率之间的关系呈现分段函数模型特征。最大选择秩统计量法确定截断值为18分和29分,进而将BVMT-R总分划分为0~18分、19~29分、30~36分3个区间,3个区间预测CHR-P精神病转化的阳性似然比两两之间差异存在统计学意义(均P<0.01),3个区间在不同随访时点的精神病转化率差异有统计学意义(均P<0.01)。结论BVMT-R总分可划分成3个区间,每个区间有着不同的预测CHR-P精神病转化的阳性似然比,据此BVMT-R总分可初步预测CHR-P人群的精神病转化概率。 展开更多
关键词 精神病 临床高危综合征 简短视空间记忆测验-修订版 转化 广义可加模型 最大选择秩统计量 贝叶斯分类 预测
暂未订购
基于多模型预测的虚拟电厂多时间尺度优化调度方法
18
作者 余蒙 吴华勇 +1 位作者 邹远耀 刘涵 《广西电力》 2025年第3期16-24,共9页
针对风光电厂实际出力不确定性给虚拟电厂运行带来损失的问题,提出一种基于多种深度学习模型进行日前规划、日内修正的虚拟电厂优化调度方法。基于iTransfomer模型在长时间序列预测中的优势,对风光出力进行日前预测。基于长短期记忆(lon... 针对风光电厂实际出力不确定性给虚拟电厂运行带来损失的问题,提出一种基于多种深度学习模型进行日前规划、日内修正的虚拟电厂优化调度方法。基于iTransfomer模型在长时间序列预测中的优势,对风光出力进行日前预测。基于长短期记忆(long short-term memory,LSTM)神经网络在短期时间序列预测中的优势,对风光出力进行日内滚动预测。虚拟电厂根据日前预测结果,以运行成本最低为目标规划日内调度计划,在日内根据短时预测结果并结合灵活性资源修正日前规划。通过CPLEX求解器对虚拟电厂模型进行求解,结果表明,相比于直接按照日前调度计划运行,本优化调度方法下系统的综合运营成本降低20.1%,市场惩罚成本降低87.8%,有效地减小了风光不确定性对虚拟电厂运营的影响。 展开更多
关键词 不确定性 深度学习模型 日内修正 灵活性资源 虚拟电厂
在线阅读 下载PDF
基于SCS-CN与MUSLE模型耦合的微地形侵蚀预测
19
作者 屈加琪 饶文利 +2 位作者 任凡斐 钱振宇 张青峰 《水土保持通报》 北大核心 2025年第5期81-90,共10页
[目的]探究耦合模型在不同坡度、雨强、时间和地表措施条件下定量微地形土壤流失量的预测精度,为微地形侵蚀量的精确预测提供科学参考。[方法]以黄土裸坡微地形为研究对象,提出根据地表实测径流(QT)和地表粗糙度(SR)对径流曲线法模型(SC... [目的]探究耦合模型在不同坡度、雨强、时间和地表措施条件下定量微地形土壤流失量的预测精度,为微地形侵蚀量的精确预测提供科学参考。[方法]以黄土裸坡微地形为研究对象,提出根据地表实测径流(QT)和地表粗糙度(SR)对径流曲线法模型(SCS-CN)进行修正以预测径流量,并与修正通用土壤流失方程(MUSLE)耦合进行侵蚀量预测。[结果]①与原始SCS-CN模型径流量预测结果QO(R2=0.7056)相比,通过QT反算CN值的修正模型SCS-Q和通过SR修正模型SCS-SR的径流量QCN(R2=0.9338)和QSR(R2=0.7691)预测精度分别提高了32%和9%;②在微地形条件下耦合模型精度与传统RUSLE因子组合模型相比有了明显提升,且相较SCS-Q与MUSLE的耦合模型(MUSLE-Q)(NSE∈[0.23,0.94]),SCS-SR与MUSLE的耦合模型(MUSLE-SR)表现出更高的预测精度(NSE∈[0.50,0.94]);③在微地形侵蚀量预测中,地表措施对耦合模型精度的影响(ΔNSE=63%)显著大于雨强(ΔNSE=52%)和坡度(ΔNSE=40%)的影响。[结论]在微地形条件下,耦合模型的预测精度随降雨时间显著提高,降雨前20 min精度较低(R²<0.5),而降雨20 min后精度显著提升(R²>0.8)。 展开更多
关键词 微地形 地表粗糙度 SCS-CN模型 MUSLE模型
在线阅读 下载PDF
上一页 1 2 23 下一页 到第
使用帮助 返回顶部