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Maximum likelihood spectrum estimation method and its application in seismo-magnet-icrelation
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作者 曾小苹 林云芳 +5 位作者 赵跃辰 赵明 续春荣 于明鑫 汪江田 王居云 《Acta Seismologica Sinica(English Edition)》 CSCD 1996年第3期153-157,共5页
Maximumlikelihoodspectrumestimationmethodanditsapplicationinseismo┐magnet┐icrelationXIAO-PINGZENG1)(曾小苹),YUN... Maximumlikelihoodspectrumestimationmethodanditsapplicationinseismo┐magnet┐icrelationXIAO-PINGZENG1)(曾小苹),YUN-FANGLIN1)(林云芳),... 展开更多
关键词 Maximum likelihood spectrum estimation method transfer function.
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Maximum Likelihood Estimation of the Identification Parameters and Its Correction 被引量:2
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作者 An Kai, Ma Jiaguang & Fu Chengyu Institute of Optics and Electronics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Chengdu 610041, P. R. China 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2002年第4期31-38,共8页
By taking the subsequence out of the input-output sequence of a system polluted by white noise, an independent observation sequence and its probability density are obtained and then a maximum likelihood estimation of ... By taking the subsequence out of the input-output sequence of a system polluted by white noise, an independent observation sequence and its probability density are obtained and then a maximum likelihood estimation of the identification parameters is given. In order to decrease the asymptotic error, a corrector of maximum likelihood (CML) estimation with its recursive algorithm is given. It has been proved that the corrector has smaller asymptotic error than the least square methods. A simulation example shows that the corrector of maximum likelihood estimation is of higher approximating precision to the true parameters than the least square methods. 展开更多
关键词 Probability density Noise Least square methods Corrector of maximum likelihood estimation.
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Singularity of Some Software Reliability Models and Parameter Estimation Method 被引量:1
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作者 XU Ren-zuo ZHOU Rui YANG Xiao-qing (State Key Laboratory of Software Engineering, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, China) 《Wuhan University Journal of Natural Sciences》 EI CAS 2000年第1期35-40,共6页
According to the principle, “The failure data is the basis of software reliability analysis”, we built a software reliability expert system (SRES) by adopting the artificial intelligence technology. By reasoning out... According to the principle, “The failure data is the basis of software reliability analysis”, we built a software reliability expert system (SRES) by adopting the artificial intelligence technology. By reasoning out the conclusion from the fitting results of failure data of a software project, the SRES can recommend users “the most suitable model” as a software reliability measurement model. We believe that the SRES can overcome the inconsistency in applications of software reliability models well. We report investigation results of singularity and parameter estimation methods of experimental models in SRES. 展开更多
关键词 software reliability measurement models software reliability expert system SINGULARITY parameter estimation method path following method maximum likelihood ML-fitting algorithm
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CONVERGENCE OF ITERATION METHODS OF MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATOR AND ITS APPLICATIONS
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作者 史建清 韦博成 《Journal of Southeast University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 1992年第2期85-93,共9页
Iteration methods and their convergences of the maximum likelihoodestimator are discussed in this paper.We study Gauss-Newton method and give a set ofsufficient conditions for the convergence of asymptotic numerical s... Iteration methods and their convergences of the maximum likelihoodestimator are discussed in this paper.We study Gauss-Newton method and give a set ofsufficient conditions for the convergence of asymptotic numerical stability.The modifiedGauss-Newton method is also studied and the sufficient conditions of the convergence arepresented.Two numerical examples are given to illustrate our results. 展开更多
关键词 ASYMPTOTIC numerical stability generalized linear models ITERATION method MAXIMUM likelihood estimATE
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Estimation for constant-stress accelerated life test from generalized half-normal distribution 被引量:5
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作者 Liang Wang Yimin Shi 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2017年第4期810-816,共7页
In the constant-stress accelerated life test, estimation issues are discussed for a generalized half-normal distribution under a log-linear life-stress model. The maximum likelihood estimates with the corresponding fi... In the constant-stress accelerated life test, estimation issues are discussed for a generalized half-normal distribution under a log-linear life-stress model. The maximum likelihood estimates with the corresponding fixed point type iterative algorithm for unknown parameters are presented, and the least square estimates of the parameters are also proposed. Meanwhile, confidence intervals of model parameters are constructed by using the asymptotic theory and bootstrap technique. Numerical illustration is given to investigate the performance of our methods. 展开更多
关键词 accelerated life test maximum likelihood estimation least square method bootstrap technique asymptotic distribution
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EXACT MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATOR FOR DRIFT FRACTIONAL BROWNIAN MOTION AT DISCRETE OBSERVATION 被引量:5
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作者 胡耀忠 Nualart David +1 位作者 肖炜麟 张卫国 《Acta Mathematica Scientia》 SCIE CSCD 2011年第5期1851-1859,共9页
This paper deals with the problems of consistency and strong consistency of the maximum likelihood estimators of the mean and variance of the drift fractional Brownian motions observed at discrete time instants. Both ... This paper deals with the problems of consistency and strong consistency of the maximum likelihood estimators of the mean and variance of the drift fractional Brownian motions observed at discrete time instants. Both the central limit theorem and the Berry-Ess′een bounds for these estimators are obtained by using the Stein’s method via Malliavin calculus. 展开更多
关键词 maximum likelihood estimator fractional Brownian motions strong consistency central limit theorem Berry-Ess′een bounds Stein’s method Malliavin calculus
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On the Estimation of a Univariate Gaussian Distribution: A Comparative Approach 被引量:1
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作者 Cliff R. Kikawa Michael Y. Shatalov +1 位作者 Petrus H. Kloppers Andrew C. Mkolesia 《Open Journal of Statistics》 2015年第5期445-454,共10页
Estimation of the unknown mean, μ and variance, σ2 of a univariate Gaussian distribution given a single study variable x is considered. We propose an approach that does not require initialization of the sufficient u... Estimation of the unknown mean, μ and variance, σ2 of a univariate Gaussian distribution given a single study variable x is considered. We propose an approach that does not require initialization of the sufficient unknown distribution parameters. The approach is motivated by linearizing the Gaussian distribution through differential techniques, and estimating, μ and σ2 as regression coefficients using the ordinary least squares method. Two simulated datasets on hereditary traits and morphometric analysis of housefly strains are used to evaluate the proposed method (PM), the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE), and the method of moments (MM). The methods are evaluated by re-estimating the required Gaussian parameters on both large and small samples. The root mean squared error (RMSE), mean error (ME), and the standard deviation (SD) are used to assess the accuracy of the PM and MLE;confidence intervals (CIs) are also constructed for the ME estimate. The PM compares well with both the MLE and MM approaches as they all produce estimates whose errors have good asymptotic properties, also small CIs are observed for the ME using the PM and MLE. The PM can be used symbiotically with the MLE to provide initial approximations at the expectation maximization step. 展开更多
关键词 Mean Squared ERROR method of MOMENTS MAXIMUM likelihood estimation Regression COEFFICIENTS
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Improved pseudo maximum likelihood estimation for survey data
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作者 Ziheng Feng Xianpeng Zong 《Science China Mathematics》 2026年第3期813-834,共22页
The pseudo maximum likelihood(PML)method is widely used in survey data analysis.In this paper,we modify sampling probabilities using a thresholding method and propose an improved pseudo maximum likelihood(IPML)estimat... The pseudo maximum likelihood(PML)method is widely used in survey data analysis.In this paper,we modify sampling probabilities using a thresholding method and propose an improved pseudo maximum likelihood(IPML)estimation for generalized linear models.The proposed IPML estimator is design consistent with the maximum likelihood estimator derived from the finite population,and it satisfies asymptotic normality.We compare the efciency of IPML and PML estimators in terms of their asymptotic covariance matrix.Some theoretical results of the IPML estimator under linear and logistic models are discussed in the paper.Additionally,we develop an improved model-assisted(IMA)estimation based on the generalized linear superpopulation models.The theoretical properties of the IMA estimator are also derived,and numerical simulations demonstrate that the improved estimators are more efcient than the original estimators. 展开更多
关键词 generalized linear models model-assisted inference pseudo likelihood estimation survey sampling thresholding method
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Parameter Estimations for Generalized RayleighDistribution under Progressively Type-I IntervalCensored Data
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作者 Y. L. Lio Ding-Geng Chen Tzong-Ru Tsai 《Open Journal of Statistics》 2011年第2期46-57,共12页
In this paper, inference on parameter estimation of the generalized Rayleigh distribution are investigated for progressively type-I interval censored samples. The estimators of distribution parameters via maximum like... In this paper, inference on parameter estimation of the generalized Rayleigh distribution are investigated for progressively type-I interval censored samples. The estimators of distribution parameters via maximum likelihood, moment method and probability plot are derived, and their performance are compared based on simulation results in terms of the mean squared error and bias. A case application of plasma cell myeloma data is used for illustrating the proposed estimation methods. 展开更多
关键词 Maximum likelihood estimATE method of MOMENTS EM Algorithm Type-I INTERVAL CENSORING
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A New Modified Inverse Lomax Distribution: Properties, Estimation and Applications to Engineering and Medical Data
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作者 Abdullah M.Almarashi 《Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences》 SCIE EI 2021年第5期621-643,共23页
In this paper,a modified form of the traditional inverse Lomax distribution is proposed and its characteristics are studied.The new distribution which called modified logarithmic transformed inverse Lomax distribution... In this paper,a modified form of the traditional inverse Lomax distribution is proposed and its characteristics are studied.The new distribution which called modified logarithmic transformed inverse Lomax distribution is generated by adding a new shape parameter based on logarithmic transformed method.It contains two shape and one scale parameters and has different shapes of probability density and hazard rate functions.The new shape parameter increases the flexibility of the statistical properties of the traditional inverse Lomax distribution including mean,variance,skewness and kurtosis.The moments,entropies,order statistics and other properties are discussed.Six methods of estimation are considered to estimate the distribution parameters.To compare the performance of the different estimators,a simulation study is performed.To show the flexibility and applicability of the proposed distribution two real data sets to engineering and medical fields are analyzed.The simulation results and real data analysis showed that the Anderson-Darling estimates have the smallest mean square errors among all other estimates.Also,the analysis of the real data sets showed that the traditional inverse Lomax distribution and some of its generalizations have shortcomings in modeling engineering and medical data.Our proposed distribution overcomes this shortage and provides a good fit which makes it a suitable choice to model such data sets. 展开更多
关键词 Inverse lomax distribution logarithmic transformed method order statistics maximum likelihood estimation maximum product of spacing MANUSCRIPT preparation typeset FORMAT
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Estimation and Forecasting Survival of Diabetic CABG Patients (Kalman Filter Smoothing Approach)
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作者 M. Saleem K. H. Khan Nusrat Yasmin 《American Journal of Computational Mathematics》 2015年第4期405-413,共9页
In this paper, we present a new approach (Kalman Filter Smoothing) to estimate and forecast survival of Diabetic and Non Diabetic Coronary Artery Bypass Graft Surgery (CABG) patients. Survival proportions of the patie... In this paper, we present a new approach (Kalman Filter Smoothing) to estimate and forecast survival of Diabetic and Non Diabetic Coronary Artery Bypass Graft Surgery (CABG) patients. Survival proportions of the patients are obtained from a lifetime representing parametric model (Weibull distribution with Kalman Filter approach). Moreover, an approach of complete population (CP) from its incomplete population (IP) of the patients with 12 years observations/follow-up is used for their survival analysis [1]. The survival proportions of the CP obtained from Kaplan Meier method are used as observed values yt?at time t (input) for Kalman Filter Smoothing process to update time varying parameters. In case of CP, the term representing censored observations may be dropped from likelihood function of the distribution. Maximum likelihood method, in-conjunction with Davidon-Fletcher-Powell (DFP) optimization method [2] and Cubic Interpolation method is used in estimation of the survivor’s proportions. The estimated and forecasted survival proportions of CP of the Diabetic and Non Diabetic CABG patients from the Kalman Filter Smoothing approach are presented in terms of statistics, survival curves, discussion and conclusion. 展开更多
关键词 CABG PATIENTS Complete and Incomplete Populations Weibull & Distribution Kalman Filter Maximum likelihood method DFP method estimation and Forecasting of Survivor’s PROPORTIONS
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Quasi-Negative Binomial: Properties, Parametric Estimation, Regression Model and Application to RNA-SEQ Data
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作者 Mohamed M. Shoukri Maha M. Aleid 《Open Journal of Statistics》 2022年第2期216-237,共22页
Background: The Poisson and the Negative Binomial distributions are commonly used to model count data. The Poisson is characterized by the equality of mean and variance whereas the Negative Binomial has a variance lar... Background: The Poisson and the Negative Binomial distributions are commonly used to model count data. The Poisson is characterized by the equality of mean and variance whereas the Negative Binomial has a variance larger than the mean and therefore both models are appropriate to model over-dispersed count data. Objectives: A new two-parameter probability distribution called the Quasi-Negative Binomial Distribution (QNBD) is being studied in this paper, generalizing the well-known negative binomial distribution. This model turns out to be quite flexible for analyzing count data. Our main objectives are to estimate the parameters of the proposed distribution and to discuss its applicability to genetics data. As an application, we demonstrate that the QNBD regression representation is utilized to model genomics data sets. Results: The new distribution is shown to provide a good fit with respect to the “Akaike Information Criterion”, AIC, considered a measure of model goodness of fit. The proposed distribution may serve as a viable alternative to other distributions available in the literature for modeling count data exhibiting overdispersion, arising in various fields of scientific investigation such as genomics and biomedicine. 展开更多
关键词 Queuing Models Overdispersion Moment estimators Delta method BOOTSTRAP Maximum likelihood estimation Fisher’s Information Orthogonal Polynomials Regression Models RNE-Seq Data
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逐步Ⅰ型混合截尾下多级恒定部分加速寿命试验的统计分析
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作者 费涛 陈建伟 倪文清 《集美大学学报(自然科学版)》 2026年第1期94-104,共11页
在逐步Ⅰ型混合截尾样本下,研究威布尔分布多级恒定部分加速寿命试验的参数估计问题。证明当分布参数和寿命试验的应力满足特定条件时,产品寿命形成几何过程,据此将恒定部分加速寿命试验的应力条件推广到多级。利用极大似然法得到未知... 在逐步Ⅰ型混合截尾样本下,研究威布尔分布多级恒定部分加速寿命试验的参数估计问题。证明当分布参数和寿命试验的应力满足特定条件时,产品寿命形成几何过程,据此将恒定部分加速寿命试验的应力条件推广到多级。利用极大似然法得到未知参数和加速因子的极大似然估计,并分别采用渐近似然理论和Bootstrap方法构建参数的近似置信区间。最后通过蒙特卡罗模拟对模型推广前后的估计量进行均方根误差比较,并讨论不同移走方案下的参数估计效果。结果表明,多级恒定部分加速寿命试验下的估计效果较好。 展开更多
关键词 部分加速寿命试验 威布尔分布 逐步Ⅰ型混合截尾 极大似然估计 BOOTSTRAP方法
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伴自杀意念的抑郁症患者静息态功能磁共振低频振幅的脑成像Meta分析
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作者 林然 王心怡 +2 位作者 阎锐 杜易珊 姚志剑 《临床精神医学杂志》 2026年第1期81-84,共4页
研究伴自杀意念(suicidal ideation,SI)的抑郁症患者、不伴自杀意念(no suicidal ideation,NSI)的抑郁症患者、健康对照(healthy controls,HC)的静息态功能性核磁共振(resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging,rs-fMRI)低... 研究伴自杀意念(suicidal ideation,SI)的抑郁症患者、不伴自杀意念(no suicidal ideation,NSI)的抑郁症患者、健康对照(healthy controls,HC)的静息态功能性核磁共振(resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging,rs-fMRI)低频振幅(amplitude of low frequency fluctuations,ALFF)的活动差异,通过对患者rs-fMRI的脑功能进行Meta分析。在Pubmed、Embase、Web of Science、Cochrane Library、中国知网、万方数据库中搜索关于伴SI的抑郁患者rs-fMRI的相关文献。依据系统评价的方法,对纳入文献进行筛选、质量评价、提取特征、激活似然估计法(activation likelihood estimation,ALE)Meta分析,汇总了既往文献的SI抑郁症患者、NSI抑郁症患者与HC之间的ALFF的收敛脑区。共纳入6篇文献,提取SI组患者175例,NSI组患者137例,HC组125名,其中SI组和NSI组之间的差异脑区共有18个。将差异脑区纳入ALE Meta分析,结果显示:SI组相较于NSI组ALFF增高的脑区有左侧枕叶舌回(ALE=1.859×10^(-2),P<0.01,Z=5.688)、右侧枕中回(ALE=1.823×10^(-2),P<0.01,Z=5.562)。左侧枕叶舌回及右侧枕中回异常激活与抑郁症患者的自杀意念可能相关。 展开更多
关键词 功能性核磁共振 抑郁症 自杀意念 低频振幅 激活似然估计法
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A comparative study on theoretical mechanisms and applicability of major parameter estimation methods
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作者 Hongyi Guo 《Advances in Operation Research and Production Management》 2025年第3期41-46,共6页
In recent years,with the rapid growth of data scale and the increasing complexity of statistical models,traditional parameter estimation methods have encountered new challenges.The continuous development of parameter ... In recent years,with the rapid growth of data scale and the increasing complexity of statistical models,traditional parameter estimation methods have encountered new challenges.The continuous development of parameter estimation techniques aims to improve accuracy and computational efficiency to meet practical needs in complex environments.This paper investigates the fundamental theories and major methods of parameter estimation,with particular emphasis on the underlying concepts,evaluation standards,and application frameworks in statistical models.By presenting the three core methods,namely Maximum Likelihood Estimation(MLE),Method of Moments(MoM),and Bayesian Estimation,this study analyzes their derivation logic,theoretical properties,and applicable scenarios.Furthermore,it explores computational bottlenecks in highdimensional Bayesian methods,the trade-off between subjective and objective prior selection,and the emerging trend of hybrid approaches based on empirical Bayes and regularization strategies.The results reveal both the commonalities and distinctions among the methods with respect to consistency,efficiency,and computational complexity.Besides,the potential of artificial intelligence to boost computational efficiency and enable more flexible,high-dimensional modeling in parameter estimation is emphasized,providing useful insights for both theoretical research and practical applications. 展开更多
关键词 parameter estimation Maximum likelihood estimation(MLE) method of Moments(MoM) Bayesian estimation method selection
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A Study of EM Algorithm as an Imputation Method: A Model-Based Simulation Study with Application to a Synthetic Compositional Data
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作者 Yisa Adeniyi Abolade Yichuan Zhao 《Open Journal of Modelling and Simulation》 2024年第2期33-42,共10页
Compositional data, such as relative information, is a crucial aspect of machine learning and other related fields. It is typically recorded as closed data or sums to a constant, like 100%. The statistical linear mode... Compositional data, such as relative information, is a crucial aspect of machine learning and other related fields. It is typically recorded as closed data or sums to a constant, like 100%. The statistical linear model is the most used technique for identifying hidden relationships between underlying random variables of interest. However, data quality is a significant challenge in machine learning, especially when missing data is present. The linear regression model is a commonly used statistical modeling technique used in various applications to find relationships between variables of interest. When estimating linear regression parameters which are useful for things like future prediction and partial effects analysis of independent variables, maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) is the method of choice. However, many datasets contain missing observations, which can lead to costly and time-consuming data recovery. To address this issue, the expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm has been suggested as a solution for situations including missing data. The EM algorithm repeatedly finds the best estimates of parameters in statistical models that depend on variables or data that have not been observed. This is called maximum likelihood or maximum a posteriori (MAP). Using the present estimate as input, the expectation (E) step constructs a log-likelihood function. Finding the parameters that maximize the anticipated log-likelihood, as determined in the E step, is the job of the maximization (M) phase. This study looked at how well the EM algorithm worked on a made-up compositional dataset with missing observations. It used both the robust least square version and ordinary least square regression techniques. The efficacy of the EM algorithm was compared with two alternative imputation techniques, k-Nearest Neighbor (k-NN) and mean imputation (), in terms of Aitchison distances and covariance. 展开更多
关键词 Compositional Data Linear Regression Model Least Square method Robust Least Square method Synthetic Data Aitchison Distance Maximum likelihood estimation Expectation-Maximization Algorithm k-Nearest Neighbor and Mean imputation
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时序InSAR相位连接方法研究进展 被引量:2
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作者 沈鹏 汪长城 +3 位作者 廖明生 张路 董杰 戴可人 《武汉大学学报(信息科学版)》 北大核心 2025年第8期1483-1497,I0002,共16页
合成孔径雷达干涉测量(interferometric synthetic aperture radar,InSAR)技术可获取广域高精度地表形变量,被广泛应用于地质灾害监测等领域,但是其监测性能取决于散射体在不同观测时间之间散射特性的相关程度。相位连接(phase linking,... 合成孔径雷达干涉测量(interferometric synthetic aperture radar,InSAR)技术可获取广域高精度地表形变量,被广泛应用于地质灾害监测等领域,但是其监测性能取决于散射体在不同观测时间之间散射特性的相关程度。相位连接(phase linking,PL)方法利用多时相干涉相位分析恢复系统相位序列,是解决时序InSAR(time-series InSAR,TSInSAR)低相干地表监测难题的关键所在。近十几年来,学者们提出了一系列行之有效的实现方法,其算法差异可归纳于所采用的定权策略不一致。从研究动机、统计基础、方法进展和结果分析等多个方面介绍了现有PL方法在TSInSAR地表形变监测等领域的研究进展,并对未来发展趋势进行了讨论。首先,从干涉相位分量和失相干源出发,分析永久散射体与分布式散射体相位一致性差异及其原因,并指出相位连接研究的必要性;其次,在介绍复协方差矩阵及其统计分布的基础上,对现有PL方法进行归类和对比,并指出极大似然估计器的优势及局限性和相位优化理论精度上限;然后,结合蒙特卡洛模拟实验和真实数据实验,定性和定量分析现有PL方法在干涉相位优化、形变测量精度和算法计算效率等方面的差异;最后,总结了PL方法在TSInSAR形变监测应用的局限性,并讨论其未来发展方向。 展开更多
关键词 时序InSAR 干涉相位优化 极大似然估计 分布式散射体 正则化 失相干 相位连接方法
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基于蒙特卡罗法的极地船舶冰载荷概率特性研究
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作者 董海波 冯士超 +1 位作者 刘俊杰 夏劲松 《船舶力学》 北大核心 2025年第8期1250-1260,共11页
考虑极地船舶与海冰作用过程中的不确定性因素,开展冰载荷的概率特性研究。通过将冰载荷估算公式和统计特性分析方法相结合,给出一种基于蒙特卡罗法的极地船舶冰载荷概率特性研究方法。针对典型海域和航线,分别考虑船舯、船艏与海冰作... 考虑极地船舶与海冰作用过程中的不确定性因素,开展冰载荷的概率特性研究。通过将冰载荷估算公式和统计特性分析方法相结合,给出一种基于蒙特卡罗法的极地船舶冰载荷概率特性研究方法。针对典型海域和航线,分别考虑船舯、船艏与海冰作用的场景,在研究相关变量概率分布类型和统计参数基础上,采用本文方法计算不同位置的冰载荷,获得对应的概率密度函数。研究表明,舯部的冰作用力可使用正态分布来描述其概率特性;艏部的水平冰作用力和垂直冰作用力均可使用威布尔分布来描述其概率特性;海冰压溃破坏时,船舶受到的水平冰作用力远大于其弯曲破坏时对应的冰作用力。研究结果可为船舶结构安全性评估提供更为精确的输入载荷。 展开更多
关键词 冰载荷概率特性 蒙特卡罗法 概率密度函数 概率图纸 极大似然估计
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新冠病毒物体表面存活时间的统计建模和评估方法
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作者 王丁一 王成杰 胡庆培 《应用与环境生物学报》 北大核心 2025年第5期827-835,共9页
新冠病毒感染的流行导致了一场全球公共卫生危机,给全世界人民的生命安全造成了极大威胁.准确量化评估新冠病毒在不同物体表面的生存时间对于疾病预防和病毒消杀有着重要意义,但现有研究缺少关于删失病毒生存数据分析的统计学方法比较.... 新冠病毒感染的流行导致了一场全球公共卫生危机,给全世界人民的生命安全造成了极大威胁.准确量化评估新冠病毒在不同物体表面的生存时间对于疾病预防和病毒消杀有着重要意义,但现有研究缺少关于删失病毒生存数据分析的统计学方法比较.系统比较常用统计学方法在病毒稳定性评估中的应用,并进一步考虑方法的扩展、贝叶斯先验选取等问题.通过分析带有下检测限和区间删失的病毒生存数据,比较最小二乘法、极大似然法和贝叶斯方法等病毒生存时间估计方法在点估计和置信区间上的表现.理论推导、实例分析以及大量模拟实验结果表明普通最小二乘估计具有较大的偏差,可能达到其他方法的几倍甚至几十倍.作为最小二乘法应用于区间删失数据的扩展,Buckley-James估计有效降低了偏差.通过数值模拟详细讨论了贝叶斯先验选取对病毒生存时间估计的影响,发现弱信息先验在保证估计精度的同时具有先验选取的鲁棒性.本研究表明对于删失病毒生存数据的建模分析,Buckley-James估计显著改进了普通最小二乘估计,极大似然法和基于弱信息先验的贝叶斯方法对病毒生存时间的估计更加准确和稳健.(图4表3参32) 展开更多
关键词 SARS-CoV-2 寿命估计 Buckley-James估计 极大似然法 贝叶斯方法
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On some problems of weak consistency of quasi-maximum likelihood estimates in generalized linear models 被引量:6
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作者 Zhang SanGuo Liao Yuan 《Science China Mathematics》 SCIE 2008年第7期1287-1296,共10页
In this paper, we explore some weakly consistent properties of quasi-maximum likelihood estimates (QMLE) concerning the quasi-likelihood equation $ \sum\nolimits_{i = 1}^n {X_i (y_i - \mu (X_i^\prime \beta ))} $ for u... In this paper, we explore some weakly consistent properties of quasi-maximum likelihood estimates (QMLE) concerning the quasi-likelihood equation $ \sum\nolimits_{i = 1}^n {X_i (y_i - \mu (X_i^\prime \beta ))} $ for univariate generalized linear model E(y|X) = μ(X′β). Given uncorrelated residuals {e i = Y i ? μ(X i ′ β0), 1 ? i ? n} and other conditions, we prove that $$ \hat \beta _n - \beta _0 = O_p (\underset{\raise0.3em\hbox{$\smash{\scriptscriptstyle-}$}}{\lambda } _n^{ - 1/2} ) $$ holds, where $ \hat \beta _n $ is a root of the above equation, β 0 is the true value of parameter β and $$ \underset{\raise0.3em\hbox{$\smash{\scriptscriptstyle-}$}}{\lambda } _n $$ denotes the smallest eigenvalue of the matrix S n = ∑ i=1 n X i X i ′ . We also show that the convergence rate above is sharp, provided independent non-asymptotically degenerate residual sequence and other conditions. Moreover, paralleling to the elegant result of Drygas (1976) for classical linear regression models, we point out that the necessary condition guaranteeing the weak consistency of QMLE is S n ?1 → 0, as the sample size n → ∞. 展开更多
关键词 generalized linear models (GLMs) quasi-maximum likelihood estimates (QMLE) weak consistency convergence rate 62E20 62J12
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