Recently,machine learning has become a powerful tool for predicting nuclear charge radius RC,providing novel insights into complex physical phenomena.This study employs a continuous Bayesian probability(CBP)estimator ...Recently,machine learning has become a powerful tool for predicting nuclear charge radius RC,providing novel insights into complex physical phenomena.This study employs a continuous Bayesian probability(CBP)estimator and Bayesian model averaging(BMA)to optimize the predictions of RCfrom sophisticated theoretical models.The CBP estimator treats the residual between the theoretical and experimental values of RCas a continuous variable and derives its posterior probability density function(PDF)from Bayesian theory.The BMA method assigns weights to models based on their predictive performance for benchmark nuclei,thereby accounting for the unique strengths of each model.In global optimization,the CBP estimator improved the predictive accuracy of the three theoretical models by approximately 60%.The extrapolation analyses consistently achieved an improvement rate of approximately 45%,demonstrating the robustness of the CBP estimator.Furthermore,the combination of the CBP and BMA methods reduces the standard deviation to below 0.02 fm,effectively reproducing the pronounced shell effects on RCof the Ca and Sr isotope chains.The studies in this paper propose an efficient method to accurately describe RCof unknown nuclei,with potential applications in research on other nuclear properties.展开更多
In this paper, a new statistic model named Center-Distance Continuous Probability Model (CDCPM) for speech recognition is described, which is based on Center-Distance Normal (CDN) distribution. In a CDCPM, the probabi...In this paper, a new statistic model named Center-Distance Continuous Probability Model (CDCPM) for speech recognition is described, which is based on Center-Distance Normal (CDN) distribution. In a CDCPM, the probability transition matrix is omitted, and the observation probability density function (PDF) in each state is in the form of embedded multiple-model (EMM) based on the Nearest Neighbour rule. The experimental results on two giant real-world Chinese speech databases and a real-world continuous-manner 2000 phrase system show that this model is a powerful one. Also,a distance measure for CDCPMs is proposed which is based on the Bayesian minimum classification error (MCE) discrimination.展开更多
Let (Ω, A, P) be a probability space, X(t, ω) a random function continuous in probability for t∈[0,+∞) or (-∞,+∞)(ω∈Ω), and F(t) a positive function continuous for t∈[0,+∞) or (-∞, +∞). If X(t, ω) and F(...Let (Ω, A, P) be a probability space, X(t, ω) a random function continuous in probability for t∈[0,+∞) or (-∞,+∞)(ω∈Ω), and F(t) a positive function continuous for t∈[0,+∞) or (-∞, +∞). If X(t, ω) and F(t) verify certain conditions, then there exists a sequence {Qn(t,ω)} of random polynomials such that we have almost surely: for t∈[0,+∞) or (-∞, +∞), lim|X(t, ω)-Qn(t, ω)|/F(t)=0.展开更多
Traditional precipitation skill scores are affected by the well-known"double penalty"problem caused by the slight spatial or temporal mismatches between forecasts and observations.The fuzzy(neighborhood)meth...Traditional precipitation skill scores are affected by the well-known"double penalty"problem caused by the slight spatial or temporal mismatches between forecasts and observations.The fuzzy(neighborhood)method has been proposed for deterministic simulations and shown some ability to solve this problem.The increasing resolution of ensemble forecasts of precipitation means that they now have similar problems as deterministic forecasts.We developed an ensemble precipitation verification skill score,i.e.,the Spatial Continuous Ranked Probability Score(SCRPS),and used it to extend spatial verification from deterministic into ensemble forecasts.The SCRPS is a spatial technique based on the Continuous Ranked Probability Score(CRPS)and the fuzzy method.A fast binomial random variation generator was used to obtain random indexes based on the climatological mean observed frequency,which were then used in the reference score to calculate the skill score of the SCRPS.The verification results obtained using daily forecast products from the ECMWF ensemble forecasts and quantitative precipitation estimation products from the OPERA datasets during June-August 2018 shows that the spatial score is not affected by the number of ensemble forecast members and that a consistent assessment can be obtained.The score can reflect the performance of ensemble forecasts in modeling precipitation and thus can be widely used.展开更多
We consider a class of generalized Fibonacci unimodal maps for which the central return times {Sn} satisfy that sn= sn-1 ＋ ksh-2 for some k≥ 1. We show that such a unimodal map admits a unique absolutely continuous...We consider a class of generalized Fibonacci unimodal maps for which the central return times {Sn} satisfy that sn= sn-1 ＋ ksh-2 for some k≥ 1. We show that such a unimodal map admits a unique absolutely continuous invariant probability with exactly stretched exponential decay of correlations if its critical order lies in （1, k ＋ 1）.展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.12475135,12035011,and 12475119)the Shandong Provincial Natural Science Foundation,China(No.ZR2020MA096)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(No.22CX03017A)。
文摘Recently,machine learning has become a powerful tool for predicting nuclear charge radius RC,providing novel insights into complex physical phenomena.This study employs a continuous Bayesian probability(CBP)estimator and Bayesian model averaging(BMA)to optimize the predictions of RCfrom sophisticated theoretical models.The CBP estimator treats the residual between the theoretical and experimental values of RCas a continuous variable and derives its posterior probability density function(PDF)from Bayesian theory.The BMA method assigns weights to models based on their predictive performance for benchmark nuclei,thereby accounting for the unique strengths of each model.In global optimization,the CBP estimator improved the predictive accuracy of the three theoretical models by approximately 60%.The extrapolation analyses consistently achieved an improvement rate of approximately 45%,demonstrating the robustness of the CBP estimator.Furthermore,the combination of the CBP and BMA methods reduces the standard deviation to below 0.02 fm,effectively reproducing the pronounced shell effects on RCof the Ca and Sr isotope chains.The studies in this paper propose an efficient method to accurately describe RCof unknown nuclei,with potential applications in research on other nuclear properties.
文摘In this paper, a new statistic model named Center-Distance Continuous Probability Model (CDCPM) for speech recognition is described, which is based on Center-Distance Normal (CDN) distribution. In a CDCPM, the probability transition matrix is omitted, and the observation probability density function (PDF) in each state is in the form of embedded multiple-model (EMM) based on the Nearest Neighbour rule. The experimental results on two giant real-world Chinese speech databases and a real-world continuous-manner 2000 phrase system show that this model is a powerful one. Also,a distance measure for CDCPMs is proposed which is based on the Bayesian minimum classification error (MCE) discrimination.
文摘Let (Ω, A, P) be a probability space, X(t, ω) a random function continuous in probability for t∈[0,+∞) or (-∞,+∞)(ω∈Ω), and F(t) a positive function continuous for t∈[0,+∞) or (-∞, +∞). If X(t, ω) and F(t) verify certain conditions, then there exists a sequence {Qn(t,ω)} of random polynomials such that we have almost surely: for t∈[0,+∞) or (-∞, +∞), lim|X(t, ω)-Qn(t, ω)|/F(t)=0.
基金Natural Science Foundation of China(41905091)National Key R&D Program of China(2017YFA0604502,2017YFC1501904)
文摘Traditional precipitation skill scores are affected by the well-known"double penalty"problem caused by the slight spatial or temporal mismatches between forecasts and observations.The fuzzy(neighborhood)method has been proposed for deterministic simulations and shown some ability to solve this problem.The increasing resolution of ensemble forecasts of precipitation means that they now have similar problems as deterministic forecasts.We developed an ensemble precipitation verification skill score,i.e.,the Spatial Continuous Ranked Probability Score(SCRPS),and used it to extend spatial verification from deterministic into ensemble forecasts.The SCRPS is a spatial technique based on the Continuous Ranked Probability Score(CRPS)and the fuzzy method.A fast binomial random variation generator was used to obtain random indexes based on the climatological mean observed frequency,which were then used in the reference score to calculate the skill score of the SCRPS.The verification results obtained using daily forecast products from the ECMWF ensemble forecasts and quantitative precipitation estimation products from the OPERA datasets during June-August 2018 shows that the spatial score is not affected by the number of ensemble forecast members and that a consistent assessment can be obtained.The score can reflect the performance of ensemble forecasts in modeling precipitation and thus can be widely used.
基金supported by AcRF-Tier 1 grant from MOE,Singapore(Grant No.R-146-000-199-112)
文摘We consider a class of generalized Fibonacci unimodal maps for which the central return times {Sn} satisfy that sn= sn-1 ＋ ksh-2 for some k≥ 1. We show that such a unimodal map admits a unique absolutely continuous invariant probability with exactly stretched exponential decay of correlations if its critical order lies in （1, k ＋ 1）.
