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Prediction on Cold Chain Logistics Demand of Urban Residents in Jiangsu Province during the Twelfth Five-Year Plan Period——Based on Estimates of GM(1,1)Model 被引量:2
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作者 ZHENG Yan-min ZHANG Yan-cai XU Hong-feng 《Asian Agricultural Research》 2011年第11期38-40,45,共4页
This paper takes the total yield of products that need refrigerated transport as the impact factors of transport aggregate of cold chain logistics,such as meat,aquatic products,quick-frozen noodle,fruits,vegetables,da... This paper takes the total yield of products that need refrigerated transport as the impact factors of transport aggregate of cold chain logistics,such as meat,aquatic products,quick-frozen noodle,fruits,vegetables,dairy,and medicine.Through selecting the consumption data of urban residents on transported products via cold chain in Jiangsu Province from 2005 to 2000 as sample,this paper establishes grey prediction model GM(1,1)of cold chain logistics demand and uses DPS7.05 software for test,to predict the cold chain logistics demand of urban residents in Jiangsu Province during the Twelfth Five-Year Plan period.The results show that in the period 2010-2015,the cold chain logistics demand of urban residents in Jiangsu Province is 1151.5891,1185.1366,1219.6613,1255.1918,1291.7573,1329.3881 t respectively;in the period 2005-2010,the cold chain logistics demand of urban residents in Jiangsu Province increases at annual growth rate of 3.9%;in the period 2011-2015,the growth rate declines to some extent,increasing slowly at rate of 2.9%. 展开更多
关键词 Cold chain logistics demand The Twelfth Five-Year Plan Jiangsu Province Grey prediction model China
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Prediction of Logistics Demand via Least Square Method and Multi-Layer Perceptron 被引量:1
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作者 WEI Leqin ZHANG Anguo 《Journal of Donghua University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2020年第6期526-533,共8页
To implement the prediction of the logistics demand capacity of a certain region,a comprehensive index system is constructed,which is composed of freight volume and other eight relevant economic indices,such as gross ... To implement the prediction of the logistics demand capacity of a certain region,a comprehensive index system is constructed,which is composed of freight volume and other eight relevant economic indices,such as gross domestic product(GDP),consumer price index(CPI),total import and export volume,port's cargo throughput,total retail sales of consumer goods,total fixed asset investment,highway mileage,and resident population,to form the foundation for the model calculation.Based on the least square method(LSM)to fit the parameters,the study obtains an accurate mathematical model and predicts the changes of each index in the next five years.Using artificial intelligence software,the research establishes the logistics demand model of multi-layer perceptron(MLP)neural network,makes an empirical analysis on the logistics demand of Quanzhou City,and predicts its logistics demand in the next five years,which provides some references for formulating logistics planning and development strategy. 展开更多
关键词 logistics demand least square method(LSM) multi-layer perceptron(MLP) PREDICTION strategic planning
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Logistics Demand Forecast of Fresh Food E-Commerce Based on Bi-LSTM Model 被引量:1
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作者 Shifeng Ni Yan Peng Zijian Liu 《Journal of Computer and Communications》 2022年第9期51-65,共15页
Fresh products have the characteristics of perishable, small batch and high frequency. Therefore, for fresh food e-commerce enterprises, market demand forecasting is particularly important. This paper takes the sales ... Fresh products have the characteristics of perishable, small batch and high frequency. Therefore, for fresh food e-commerce enterprises, market demand forecasting is particularly important. This paper takes the sales data of a fresh food e-commerce enterprise as the logistics demand, analyzes the influence of time and meteorological factors on the demand, extracts the characteristic factors with greater influence, and proposes a logistics demand forecast scheme of fresh food e-commerce based on the Bi-LSTM model. The scheme is compared with other schemes based on the BP neural network and LSTM neural network models. The experimental results show that the Bi-LSTM model has good prediction performance on the problem of logistics demand prediction. This facilitates further research on some supply chain issues, such as business decision-making, inventory control, and logistics capacity planning. 展开更多
关键词 Data Analysis Bi-LSTM Fresh Food E-Commerce logistics demand Forecast
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The Status Quo and Policy to Develop International Logistics Aiming at Southeast Asia in Yunnan Province
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作者 Jie Xu Songdong Ju Yana Chen 《Chinese Business Review》 2005年第1期6-12,共7页
This article focuses on the regional advantages to develop international logistics aiming at Southeast Asia in Yunnan province and intends to prove that it's of great significance to develop this kind of internati... This article focuses on the regional advantages to develop international logistics aiming at Southeast Asia in Yunnan province and intends to prove that it's of great significance to develop this kind of international logistics.Further,it analyzes the status quo,market demand and problems existing in Yunnan's international logistics and puts forward proposals as how to develop international logistics aiming at Southeast Asia in Yunnan province. 展开更多
关键词 Southeast Asia China-ASEAN free-trade area international logistics logistics demand regional logistics
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