In this paper we consider the empirical Bayes (EB) estimation problem for estimable function of regression coefficient in a multiple linear regression model Y=Xβ+e. where e with given β has a multivariate standard n...In this paper we consider the empirical Bayes (EB) estimation problem for estimable function of regression coefficient in a multiple linear regression model Y=Xβ+e. where e with given β has a multivariate standard normal distribution. We get the EB estimators by using kernel estimation of multivariate density function and its first order partial derivatives. It is shown that the convergence rates of the EB estimators are under the condition where an integer k > 1 . is an arbitrary small number and m is the dimension of the vector Y.展开更多
Aiming at the difficulty of accurately constructing the dynamic model of subtropical high, based on the potential height field time series over 500 hPa layer of T106 numerical forecast products, by using EOF（empirica...Aiming at the difficulty of accurately constructing the dynamic model of subtropical high, based on the potential height field time series over 500 hPa layer of T106 numerical forecast products, by using EOF（empirical orthogonal function） temporal-spatial separation technique, the disassembled EOF time coefficients series were regarded as dynamical model variables, and dynamic system retrieval idea as well as genetic algorithm were introduced to make dynamical model parameters optimization search, then, a reasonable non-linear dynamic model of EOF time-coefficients was established. By dynamic model integral and EOF temporal-spatial components assembly, a mid-/long-term forecast of subtropical high was carried out. The experimental results show that the forecast results of dynamic model are superior to that of general numerical model forecast results. A new modeling idea and forecast technique is presented for diagnosing and forecasting such complicated weathers as subtropical high.展开更多
We consider a functional partially linear additive model that predicts a functional response by a scalar predictor and functional predictors. The B-spline and eigenbasis least squares estimator for both the parametric...We consider a functional partially linear additive model that predicts a functional response by a scalar predictor and functional predictors. The B-spline and eigenbasis least squares estimator for both the parametric and the nonparametric components proposed. In the final of this paper, as a result, we got the variance decomposition of the model and establish the asymptotic convergence rate for estimator.展开更多
The Doubly Salient Electromagnetic Generator(DSEG) is a promising candidate in aircraft generator application due to the simplicity, robustness and reliability. However, the field windings and the armature windings ar...The Doubly Salient Electromagnetic Generator(DSEG) is a promising candidate in aircraft generator application due to the simplicity, robustness and reliability. However, the field windings and the armature windings are strongly coupled, which makes the inductance characteristics non-linear and too complex to model. The complex model with low precision also leads to difficulties in modeling and analysis of the entire aircraft Electrical Power System(EPS). A behavior level modeling method based on modified inductance Support Vector Machine(SVM) is proposed. The Finite Element Analysis(FEA) inductance data are modified based on the experiment results to improve the precision. A functional level modeling method based on input–output characteristics SVM is also proposed. The two modeling methods are applied to a 9 kW DSEG prototype. The steady state and transient process precision of the proposed methods are proved by comparing with the experiment results. Meanwhile, the modeling time consumption, the application time consumption and the calculation resource demand are compared. The DSEG behavior and functional modeling methods provide precious results with high efficiency, which accelerates theoretical analysis and expands the application foreground of the DSEG in the aircraft EPS.展开更多
This paper investigates the stability of the equilibria of the piecewise-linear models of genetic regulatory networks on the intersection of the thresholds of all variables. It first studies circling trajectories and ...This paper investigates the stability of the equilibria of the piecewise-linear models of genetic regulatory networks on the intersection of the thresholds of all variables. It first studies circling trajectories and derives some stability conditions by quantitative analysis in the state transition graph. Then it proposes a common Lyapunov function for convergence analysis of the piecewise-linear models and gives a simple sign condition. All the obtained conditions are only related to the constant terms on the right-hand side of the differential equation after bringing the equilibrium to zero.展开更多
General linear model (GLM) is the most popular method for functional magnetic resource imaging (fMRI) data analysis . However, its theory is imperfect. The key of this model is how to constitute the design-matrix to m...General linear model (GLM) is the most popular method for functional magnetic resource imaging (fMRI) data analysis . However, its theory is imperfect. The key of this model is how to constitute the design-matrix to model the interesting effects better and separate noises better. For the purpose of detecting brain function activation , according to the principle of GLM,a new convolution model is presented by a new dynamic function convolving with design-matrix,which combining with t-test can be used to detect brain active signal. The fMRI imaging result of visual stimulus experiment indicates that brain activities mainly concentrate among v1and v2 areas of visual cortex, and also verified the validity of this technique.展开更多
In this article, we propose a generalized empirical likelihood inference for the parametric component in semiparametric generalized partially linear models with longitudinal data. Based on the extended score vector, a...In this article, we propose a generalized empirical likelihood inference for the parametric component in semiparametric generalized partially linear models with longitudinal data. Based on the extended score vector, a generalized empirical likelihood ratios function is defined, which integrates the within-cluster?correlation meanwhile avoids direct estimating the nuisance parameters in the correlation matrix. We show that the proposed statistics are asymptotically?Chi-squared under some suitable conditions, and hence it can be used to construct the confidence region of parameters. In addition, the maximum empirical likelihood estimates of parameters and the corresponding asymptotic normality are obtained. Simulation studies demonstrate the performance of the proposed method.展开更多
In this article,a procedure for estimating the coefficient functions on the functional-coefficient regression models with different smoothing variables in different coefficient functions is defined.First step,by the l...In this article,a procedure for estimating the coefficient functions on the functional-coefficient regression models with different smoothing variables in different coefficient functions is defined.First step,by the local linear technique and the averaged method,the initial estimates of the coefficient functions are given.Second step,based on the initial estimates,the efficient estimates of the coefficient functions are proposed by a one-step back-fitting procedure.The efficient estimators share the same asymptotic normalities as the local linear estimators for the functional-coefficient models with a single smoothing variable in different functions.Two simulated examples show that the procedure is effective.展开更多
Generalized H2 （GH2） stability analysis and controller design of the uncertain discrete-time Takagi-Sugeno （T-S） fuzzy systems with state delay are studied based on a switching fuzzy model and piecewise Lyapunov f...Generalized H2 （GH2） stability analysis and controller design of the uncertain discrete-time Takagi-Sugeno （T-S） fuzzy systems with state delay are studied based on a switching fuzzy model and piecewise Lyapunov function. GH2 stability sufficient conditions are derived in terms of linear matrix inequalities （LMIs）. The interactions among the fuzzy subsystems are considered. Therefore, the proposed conditions are less conservative than the previous results. Since only a set of LMIs is involved, the controller design is quite simple and numerically tractable. To illustrate the validity of the proposed method, a design example is provided.展开更多
Modelling and simulation of projectile flight is at the core of ballistic computer software and is essential to the study of performance of rifles and projectiles in various engagement conditions.An effective and repr...Modelling and simulation of projectile flight is at the core of ballistic computer software and is essential to the study of performance of rifles and projectiles in various engagement conditions.An effective and representative numerical model of projectile flight requires a relatively good approximation of the aerodynamics.The aerodynamic coefficients of the projectile model should be described as a series of piecewise polynomial functions of the Mach number that ideally meet the following conditions:they are continuous,differentiable at least once,and have a relatively low degree.The paper provides the steps needed to generate such piecewise polynomial functions using readily available tools,and then compares Piecewise Cubic Hermite Interpolating Polynomial(PCHIP),cubic splines,and piecewise linear functions,and their variant,as potential curve fitting methods to approximate the aerodynamics of a generic small arms projectile.A key contribution of the paper is the application of PCHIP to the approximation of projectile aerodynamics,and its evaluation against a set of criteria.Finally,the paper provides a baseline assessment of the impact of the polynomial functions on flight trajectory predictions obtained with 6-degree-of-freedom simulations of a generic projectile.展开更多
In this paper, a linear programming method is proposed to solve model predictive control for a class of hybrid systems. Firstly, using the （max, ＋） algebra, a typical subclass of hybrid systems called max-plus-line...In this paper, a linear programming method is proposed to solve model predictive control for a class of hybrid systems. Firstly, using the （max, ＋） algebra, a typical subclass of hybrid systems called max-plus-linear （MPL） systems is obtained. And then, model predictive control （MPC） framework is extended to MPL systems. In general, the nonlinear optimization approach or extended linear complementarity problem （ELCP） were applied to solve the MPL-MPC optimization problem. A new optimization method based on canonical forms for max-min-plus-scaling （MMPS） functions （using the operations maximization, minimization, addition and scalar multiplication） with linear constraints on the inputs is presented. The proposed approach consists in solving several linear programming problems and is more efficient than nonlinear optimization. The validity of the algorithm is illustrated by an example.展开更多
As an extension of linear regression in functional data analysis, functional linear regression has been studied by many researchers and applied in various fields. However, in many cases, data is collected sequentially...As an extension of linear regression in functional data analysis, functional linear regression has been studied by many researchers and applied in various fields. However, in many cases, data is collected sequentially over time, for example the financial series, so it is necessary to consider the autocorrelated structure of errors in functional regression background. To this end, this paper considers a multiple functional linear model with autoregressive errors. Based on the functional principal component analysis, we apply the least square procedure to estimate the functional coefficients and autoregression coefficients. Under some regular conditions, we establish the asymptotic properties of the proposed estimators. A simulation study is conducted to investigate the finite sample performance of our estimators. A real example on China's weather data is applied to illustrate the validity of our model.展开更多
The class of bi-directional optimal velocity models can describe the bi-directional looking effect that usually exists in the reality and is even enhanced with the development of the connected vehicle technologies. It...The class of bi-directional optimal velocity models can describe the bi-directional looking effect that usually exists in the reality and is even enhanced with the development of the connected vehicle technologies. Its combined string stability condition can be obtained through the method of the ring-road based string stability analysis. However, the partial string stability about traffic fluctuation propagated backward or forward was neglected, which will be analyzed in detail in this work by the method of transfer function and its H∞ norm from the viewpoint of control theory. Then, through comparing the conditions of combined and partial string stabilities, their relationships can make traffic flow be divided into three distinguishable regions, displaying various combined and partial string stability performance. Finally, the numerical experiments verify the theoretical results and find that the final displaying string stability or instability performance results from the accumulated and offset effects of traffic fluctuations propagated from different directions.展开更多
The auto-regressive moving-average (ARMA) model with time-varying parameters is analyzed. The time-varying parameters are assumed to be a linear combination of a set of basis time-varying functions, and the feedbac...The auto-regressive moving-average (ARMA) model with time-varying parameters is analyzed. The time-varying parameters are assumed to be a linear combination of a set of basis time-varying functions, and the feedback linear estimation algorithm is used to estimate the time-varying parameters of the ARMA model. This algorithm includes 2 linear least squares estimations and a linear filter. The influence of the order of basis time-(varying) functions on parameters estimation is analyzed. The method has the advantage of simple, saving computation time and storage space. Theoretical analysis and experimental results show the validity of this method.展开更多
文摘In this paper we consider the empirical Bayes (EB) estimation problem for estimable function of regression coefficient in a multiple linear regression model Y=Xβ+e. where e with given β has a multivariate standard normal distribution. We get the EB estimators by using kernel estimation of multivariate density function and its first order partial derivatives. It is shown that the convergence rates of the EB estimators are under the condition where an integer k > 1 . is an arbitrary small number and m is the dimension of the vector Y.
基金Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.40375019) the Tropical Marine and Meteorology Science Foundation (No.200609) the Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster Foundation (No.KLME0507)
文摘Aiming at the difficulty of accurately constructing the dynamic model of subtropical high, based on the potential height field time series over 500 hPa layer of T106 numerical forecast products, by using EOF（empirical orthogonal function） temporal-spatial separation technique, the disassembled EOF time coefficients series were regarded as dynamical model variables, and dynamic system retrieval idea as well as genetic algorithm were introduced to make dynamical model parameters optimization search, then, a reasonable non-linear dynamic model of EOF time-coefficients was established. By dynamic model integral and EOF temporal-spatial components assembly, a mid-/long-term forecast of subtropical high was carried out. The experimental results show that the forecast results of dynamic model are superior to that of general numerical model forecast results. A new modeling idea and forecast technique is presented for diagnosing and forecasting such complicated weathers as subtropical high.
文摘We consider a functional partially linear additive model that predicts a functional response by a scalar predictor and functional predictors. The B-spline and eigenbasis least squares estimator for both the parametric and the nonparametric components proposed. In the final of this paper, as a result, we got the variance decomposition of the model and establish the asymptotic convergence rate for estimator.
基金co-supported by the National Natural Science Foundation for Outstanding Young Scholar of China (No. 51622704)Jiangsu Provincial Science Funds for Distinguished Young Scientists of China (No. BK20150033)Postgraduate Research & Practice Innovation Program of Jiangsu Province (No. KYLX16_0358)
文摘The Doubly Salient Electromagnetic Generator(DSEG) is a promising candidate in aircraft generator application due to the simplicity, robustness and reliability. However, the field windings and the armature windings are strongly coupled, which makes the inductance characteristics non-linear and too complex to model. The complex model with low precision also leads to difficulties in modeling and analysis of the entire aircraft Electrical Power System(EPS). A behavior level modeling method based on modified inductance Support Vector Machine(SVM) is proposed. The Finite Element Analysis(FEA) inductance data are modified based on the experiment results to improve the precision. A functional level modeling method based on input–output characteristics SVM is also proposed. The two modeling methods are applied to a 9 kW DSEG prototype. The steady state and transient process precision of the proposed methods are proved by comparing with the experiment results. Meanwhile, the modeling time consumption, the application time consumption and the calculation resource demand are compared. The DSEG behavior and functional modeling methods provide precious results with high efficiency, which accelerates theoretical analysis and expands the application foreground of the DSEG in the aircraft EPS.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 60672029)
文摘This paper investigates the stability of the equilibria of the piecewise-linear models of genetic regulatory networks on the intersection of the thresholds of all variables. It first studies circling trajectories and derives some stability conditions by quantitative analysis in the state transition graph. Then it proposes a common Lyapunov function for convergence analysis of the piecewise-linear models and gives a simple sign condition. All the obtained conditions are only related to the constant terms on the right-hand side of the differential equation after bringing the equilibrium to zero.
基金Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.90208003, 30200059), the 973 Project (No. 2003CB716106), Doctor training Fund of MOE, P.R.C., and Fok Ying Tong Education Foundation (No.91041)
文摘General linear model (GLM) is the most popular method for functional magnetic resource imaging (fMRI) data analysis . However, its theory is imperfect. The key of this model is how to constitute the design-matrix to model the interesting effects better and separate noises better. For the purpose of detecting brain function activation , according to the principle of GLM,a new convolution model is presented by a new dynamic function convolving with design-matrix,which combining with t-test can be used to detect brain active signal. The fMRI imaging result of visual stimulus experiment indicates that brain activities mainly concentrate among v1and v2 areas of visual cortex, and also verified the validity of this technique.
文摘In this article, we propose a generalized empirical likelihood inference for the parametric component in semiparametric generalized partially linear models with longitudinal data. Based on the extended score vector, a generalized empirical likelihood ratios function is defined, which integrates the within-cluster?correlation meanwhile avoids direct estimating the nuisance parameters in the correlation matrix. We show that the proposed statistics are asymptotically?Chi-squared under some suitable conditions, and hence it can be used to construct the confidence region of parameters. In addition, the maximum empirical likelihood estimates of parameters and the corresponding asymptotic normality are obtained. Simulation studies demonstrate the performance of the proposed method.
文摘In this article,a procedure for estimating the coefficient functions on the functional-coefficient regression models with different smoothing variables in different coefficient functions is defined.First step,by the local linear technique and the averaged method,the initial estimates of the coefficient functions are given.Second step,based on the initial estimates,the efficient estimates of the coefficient functions are proposed by a one-step back-fitting procedure.The efficient estimators share the same asymptotic normalities as the local linear estimators for the functional-coefficient models with a single smoothing variable in different functions.Two simulated examples show that the procedure is effective.
文摘Generalized H2 （GH2） stability analysis and controller design of the uncertain discrete-time Takagi-Sugeno （T-S） fuzzy systems with state delay are studied based on a switching fuzzy model and piecewise Lyapunov function. GH2 stability sufficient conditions are derived in terms of linear matrix inequalities （LMIs）. The interactions among the fuzzy subsystems are considered. Therefore, the proposed conditions are less conservative than the previous results. Since only a set of LMIs is involved, the controller design is quite simple and numerically tractable. To illustrate the validity of the proposed method, a design example is provided.
文摘Modelling and simulation of projectile flight is at the core of ballistic computer software and is essential to the study of performance of rifles and projectiles in various engagement conditions.An effective and representative numerical model of projectile flight requires a relatively good approximation of the aerodynamics.The aerodynamic coefficients of the projectile model should be described as a series of piecewise polynomial functions of the Mach number that ideally meet the following conditions:they are continuous,differentiable at least once,and have a relatively low degree.The paper provides the steps needed to generate such piecewise polynomial functions using readily available tools,and then compares Piecewise Cubic Hermite Interpolating Polynomial(PCHIP),cubic splines,and piecewise linear functions,and their variant,as potential curve fitting methods to approximate the aerodynamics of a generic small arms projectile.A key contribution of the paper is the application of PCHIP to the approximation of projectile aerodynamics,and its evaluation against a set of criteria.Finally,the paper provides a baseline assessment of the impact of the polynomial functions on flight trajectory predictions obtained with 6-degree-of-freedom simulations of a generic projectile.
基金This work was supported by the National Science Foundation of China (No. 60474051)the program for New Century Excellent Talents in University of China (NCET).
文摘In this paper, a linear programming method is proposed to solve model predictive control for a class of hybrid systems. Firstly, using the （max, ＋） algebra, a typical subclass of hybrid systems called max-plus-linear （MPL） systems is obtained. And then, model predictive control （MPC） framework is extended to MPL systems. In general, the nonlinear optimization approach or extended linear complementarity problem （ELCP） were applied to solve the MPL-MPC optimization problem. A new optimization method based on canonical forms for max-min-plus-scaling （MMPS） functions （using the operations maximization, minimization, addition and scalar multiplication） with linear constraints on the inputs is presented. The proposed approach consists in solving several linear programming problems and is more efficient than nonlinear optimization. The validity of the algorithm is illustrated by an example.
基金supported by National Nature Science Foundation of China(No.11861074,No.11371354 and N0.11301464)Key Laboratory of Random Complex Structures and Data Science,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100190,China(No.2008DP173182)Applied Basic Research Project of Yunnan Province(No.2019FB138).
文摘As an extension of linear regression in functional data analysis, functional linear regression has been studied by many researchers and applied in various fields. However, in many cases, data is collected sequentially over time, for example the financial series, so it is necessary to consider the autocorrelated structure of errors in functional regression background. To this end, this paper considers a multiple functional linear model with autoregressive errors. Based on the functional principal component analysis, we apply the least square procedure to estimate the functional coefficients and autoregression coefficients. Under some regular conditions, we establish the asymptotic properties of the proposed estimators. A simulation study is conducted to investigate the finite sample performance of our estimators. A real example on China's weather data is applied to illustrate the validity of our model.
基金Projects(51108465,71371192)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject(2014M552165)supported by China Postdoctoral Science FoundationProject(20113187851460)supported by Technology Project of the Ministry of Transport of China
文摘The class of bi-directional optimal velocity models can describe the bi-directional looking effect that usually exists in the reality and is even enhanced with the development of the connected vehicle technologies. Its combined string stability condition can be obtained through the method of the ring-road based string stability analysis. However, the partial string stability about traffic fluctuation propagated backward or forward was neglected, which will be analyzed in detail in this work by the method of transfer function and its H∞ norm from the viewpoint of control theory. Then, through comparing the conditions of combined and partial string stabilities, their relationships can make traffic flow be divided into three distinguishable regions, displaying various combined and partial string stability performance. Finally, the numerical experiments verify the theoretical results and find that the final displaying string stability or instability performance results from the accumulated and offset effects of traffic fluctuations propagated from different directions.
文摘The auto-regressive moving-average (ARMA) model with time-varying parameters is analyzed. The time-varying parameters are assumed to be a linear combination of a set of basis time-varying functions, and the feedback linear estimation algorithm is used to estimate the time-varying parameters of the ARMA model. This algorithm includes 2 linear least squares estimations and a linear filter. The influence of the order of basis time-(varying) functions on parameters estimation is analyzed. The method has the advantage of simple, saving computation time and storage space. Theoretical analysis and experimental results show the validity of this method.
