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Landslide susceptibility mapping using an integrated model of information value method and logistic regression in the Bailongjiang watershed,Gansu Province,China 被引量:23
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作者 DU Guo-liang ZHANG Yong-shuang +2 位作者 IQBAL Javed YANG Zhi-hua YAO Xin 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2017年第2期249-268,共20页
Bailongjiang watershed in southern Gansu province, China, is one of the most landslide-prone regions in China, characterized by very high frequency of landslide occurrence. In order to predict the landslide occurrence... Bailongjiang watershed in southern Gansu province, China, is one of the most landslide-prone regions in China, characterized by very high frequency of landslide occurrence. In order to predict the landslide occurrence, a comprehensive map of landslide susceptibility is required which may be significantly helpful in reducing loss of property and human life. In this study, an integrated model of information value method and logistic regression is proposed by using their merits at maximum and overcoming their weaknesses, which may enhance precision and accuracy of landslide susceptibility assessment. A detailed and reliable landslide inventory with 1587 landslides was prepared and randomly divided into two groups,(i) training dataset and(ii) testing dataset. Eight distinct landslide conditioning factors including lithology, slope gradient, aspect, elevation, distance to drainages,distance to faults, distance to roads and vegetation coverage were selected for landslide susceptibility mapping. The produced landslide susceptibility maps were validated by the success rate and prediction rate curves. The validation results show that the success rate and the prediction rate of the integrated model are 81.7 % and 84.6 %, respectively, which indicate that the proposed integrated method is reliable to produce an accurate landslide susceptibility map and the results may be used for landslides management and mitigation. 展开更多
关键词 Landslide susceptibility integrated model Information value method Logistic regression Bailongjiang watershed
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A Modified Integrated Model of the Internal Structure of Chinese Cultured Pearls 被引量:4
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作者 马红艳 《Journal of Wuhan University of Technology(Materials Science)》 SCIE EI CAS 2011年第3期510-513,共4页
Optical and micro-infrared microscope were used to observe the internal structure and mineral composition of high and low quality Chinese seawater and freshwater cultured pearls.Results clearly reveal that aragonite a... Optical and micro-infrared microscope were used to observe the internal structure and mineral composition of high and low quality Chinese seawater and freshwater cultured pearls.Results clearly reveal that aragonite and calcite are found in seawater cultured pearls,but vaterite is not found.In contrast,vaterite and aragonite are found in freshwater cultured pearls,but calcite is not found.Based on our analysis and observations of the internal structure of high and low quality cultured pearls,a modified integrated model of the internal structure of Chinese cultured pearls was established.Our revisions to the previous model focus on significant differences within the prismatic layer of Chinese cultured pearls. 展开更多
关键词 cultured pearls aragonite vaterite calcite integrated model
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Integrated modeling of spacecraft relative motion dynamics using dual quaternion 被引量:1
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作者 PENG Xuan SHI Xiaoping GONG Yupeng 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2018年第2期367-377,共11页
To realize high accurate control of relative position and attitude between two spacecrafts, the coupling between position and attitude must be fully considered and a more precise model should be established. This pape... To realize high accurate control of relative position and attitude between two spacecrafts, the coupling between position and attitude must be fully considered and a more precise model should be established. This paper breaks the traditional divide and conquer idea, and uses a mathematical tool, namely dual quaternion to establish the integrated 6 degree-of-freedom(6-DOF) model of relative position and attitude, which describes the coupled relative motion in a compact and efficient form and needs less information of the target. Considering the complex operation rules and the unclarity of the current relative motion model in dual quaternion, necessary mathematical foundations are given at first, followed by clear and detailed modeling process and analysis. Finally a generalized proportion-derivative(PD) controller law is designed. The simulation results show that based on the integrated model established by dual quaternion, this control law can achieve a high control accuracy of relative motion. 展开更多
关键词 relative motion dual quaternion position and attitude coupling integrated modeling
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HOTSED:A new integrated model for assessing potential hotspots of sediment sources and related sediment dynamics at watershed scale
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作者 Manuel La Licata Alberto Bosino +4 位作者 Seyed Hamidreza Sadeghi Mattia De Amicis Andrea Mandarino Andrea Terret Michael Maerker 《International Soil and Water Conservation Research》 2025年第1期80-101,共22页
In this paper we introduce HOTSED,a novel,innovative GIS-based model designed for assessing potential hotspots of sediment dynamics at watershed scale.HOTSED integrates geomorphic spatial information with both structu... In this paper we introduce HOTSED,a novel,innovative GIS-based model designed for assessing potential hotspots of sediment dynamics at watershed scale.HOTSED integrates geomorphic spatial information with both structural and functional properties of connectivity.HOTSED provides a single and intuitive output that depicts the location of sediment source hotspots.Moreover,it enables the identification of“relative hazard”classes for sediment production and related effects.The general methodological framework is based on the initial elaboration of an Inventory Map(IM)of sediment-related landforms and processes,along with the implementation of a corresponding database.Subsequently,we used data stored in the IM to estimate the geomorphic Potential of Sediment Sources(PSS)through a relative scoring system.Furthermore,we computed Structural Sediment Connectivity(STC)and the Potential for Sediment Transport(PST)by combining terrain and hydrological parameters,vegetation roughness,and rainfall erosivity.Afterwards,PSS,STC,and PST components are integrated through a raster-based calculation method yielding the HOTSED model.We tested the HOTSED procedure in the upper Val d’Arda-Mignano watershed,which is a representative geomorphologically highly active Mediterranean area of the Northern Apennines(Italy).Through photointerpretation,terrain analysis,and fieldwork,we mapped sedimentrelated geomorphic features for a total of 4640 ha including:badlands and gullies(0.26%),rill-interrill erosion(15.03%),fluvial erosion(0.03%),landslides(70.06%),litho-structural erosional systems(0.87%),slope deposits(12.56%),and alluvial deposits(1.19%).HOTSED revealed hotspots with a very high hazard potential located near main channels or upstream of the reservoir.These areas are often linked with active landslides highly connected to the drainage system and frequently associated with other processes like bank erosion or surficial soil erosion.The model also highlighted linear hotspots corresponding to drainages flowing alongside or intersecting complex geomorphic systems such as landslides.Furthermore,HOTSED identified areas where sediments are stored in depositional landforms,exhibiting a low hazard potential,considering both low geomorphic potential and sediment connectivity.Our conceptual model is generally applicable but proves to be particularly effective in areas characterized by complex and polygenetic geomorphic systems,such as the Northern Apennines.HOTSED offers a valuable tool for watershed authorities to support sustainable watershed and reservoir management. 展开更多
关键词 Sediment sources identification Sediment connectivity Sediment dynamics assessment integrated model Sediment-related hazard map
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Application of the Integrated Medical-Care-Rehabilitation Nursing Model in Elderly Patients with Chronic Diseases
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作者 Hui Zhu 《Journal of Clinical and Nursing Research》 2025年第7期303-309,共7页
Objective:To explore the connotation of the integrated medical-care-rehabilitation nursing model and its application effect in elderly patients with chronic diseases.Methods:A total of 122 elderly patients with chroni... Objective:To explore the connotation of the integrated medical-care-rehabilitation nursing model and its application effect in elderly patients with chronic diseases.Methods:A total of 122 elderly patients with chronic diseases admitted to our hospital from January 2023 to June 2023 were selected and randomly divided into an observation group(62 cases)and a control group(60 cases).Both groups received routine nursing during hospitalization.After discharge,the control group received conventional continuous nursing,while the observation group was given the integrated medical-care-rehabilitation nursing model.The psychological status of the elderly patients in the two groups was compared before nursing and 6 months after nursing.Assessments were made on their clinical symptoms of mental health,self-care ability,health behaviors,and mastery of knowledge about elderly chronic diseases.Results:Six months after nursing,the scores of self-rated clinical symptoms of mental health and negative coping in both groups were lower than those before nursing(P<0.05).Meanwhile,the scores of negative coping,self-care ability,and health behaviors in both groups were higher than those before nursing(P<0.05).Conclusion:The integrated medical-care-rehabilitation nursing model can not only improve the nursing quality for elderly patients with chronic diseases but also foster their positive mentality,help them understand knowledge about diet and health care related to chronic diseases,enhance their self-care ability and health awareness,and assist them in achieving better recovery[1]. 展开更多
关键词 integrated medical-care-rehabilitation nursing model Elderly patients with chronic diseases Clinical nursing Application path
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An integrated chemical mass balance and source emission inventory model for the source apportionment of PM2.5 in typical coastal areas 被引量:8
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作者 Nana Cheng Cheng Zhang +4 位作者 Deji Jing Wei Li Tianjiao Guo Qiaoli Wang Sujing Li 《Journal of Environmental Sciences》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2020年第6期118-128,共11页
The source apportionment of PM2.5 is essential for pollution prevention.In view of the weaknesses of individual models,we proposed an integrated chemical mass balancesource emission inventory(CMB-SEI)model to acquire ... The source apportionment of PM2.5 is essential for pollution prevention.In view of the weaknesses of individual models,we proposed an integrated chemical mass balancesource emission inventory(CMB-SEI)model to acquire more accurate results.First,the SEI of secondary component precursors(SO2,NOx,NH3,and VOCs)was compiled to acquire the emission ratios of these sources for the precursors.Then,a regular CMB simulation was executed to obtain the contributions of primary particle sources and secondary components(SO4^2-,NO3^-3,NH4^+,and SOC).Afterwards,the contributions of secondary components were apportioned into primary sources according to the source emission ratios.The final source apportionment results combined the contributions of primary sources by CMB and SEI.This integrated approach was carried out via a case study of three coastal cities(Zhoushan,Taizhou,and Wenzhou;abbreviated WZ,TZ,and ZS)in Zhejiang Province,China.The regular CMB simulation results showed that PM2.5 pollution was mainly affected by secondary components and mobile sources.The SEI results indicated that electricity,industrial production and mobile sources were the largest contributors to the emission of PM2.5 gaseous precursors.The simulation results of the CMB-SEI model showed that PM2.5 pollution in the coastal areas of Zhejiang Province presented complex pollution characteristics dominated by mobile sources,electricity production sources and industrial production sources.Compared to the results of the CMB and SEI models alone,the CMB-SEI model completely apportioned PM2.5 to primary sources and simultaneously made the results more accurate and reliable in accordance with local industrial characteristics. 展开更多
关键词 integrated model Chemical mass balance Source emission inventory Source apportionment PM2.5
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An Integrated Hydrological Model for Water Balance Estimation in the Chirchik River Basin, Northern Uzbekistan 被引量:1
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作者 Saidislomkhon Usmanov Yasuhiro Mitani Tetsuya Kusuda 《Computational Water, Energy, and Environmental Engineering》 2016年第3期87-97,共12页
Accurate and detailed information of hydrological balance, and its dynamic nature is needed to develop strategies for sustainable use and management of water resources. In this concern, a fully integrated MIKE SHE mod... Accurate and detailed information of hydrological balance, and its dynamic nature is needed to develop strategies for sustainable use and management of water resources. In this concern, a fully integrated MIKE SHE model was developed to study the hydrological balance of the Chirchik River Basin, Uzbekistan. Parameters in the model were calibrated and simulated results were validated for the periods 2009-2011 and 2012-2013 in term of two observed hydrological parameters: streamflow rate and groundwater table. After the successful calibration of the parameters, the model produced quantitative results of the water cycle and provided better understanding of the surface and groundwater interactions. The results show that the hydrological balance is strongly dependent on the intensity of agricultural activity within the basin. An actual evapotranspiration was found as a main water loss element among the water transport components due to large-scale agricultural irrigation activities. This corresponds to 77% of the total water budget as an average. A satisfactory water balance simulation error was obtained after adjusting model parameters to basin environment. 展开更多
关键词 integrated model MIKE SHE MIKE 11 Hydrological Balance Component
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PREMISE Insect Model: Integrated Population Dynamics Model for the Ex-ante Evaluation of IPM against Insect Pest
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作者 Wil Hennen Aude Alaphilippe 《Journal of Agricultural Science and Technology(B)》 2015年第4期231-240,共10页
Codling moth Cydiapomonella L. is the most serious pest of apple and pear worldwide and causes damage and decreased yields. To minimize this risk, IPM tools can be applied to reduce the use of chemicals. A cost-effect... Codling moth Cydiapomonella L. is the most serious pest of apple and pear worldwide and causes damage and decreased yields. To minimize this risk, IPM tools can be applied to reduce the use of chemicals. A cost-effective application of IPM depends on the number of insects at the time of application. Several conditions and factors influence the lifecycle and numbers of generations within a year. In order to perform ex-ante evaluations of the cost-effectiveness of IPM measures against pest insects, the generic PREMISE insect model has been developed, which integrates insect's population dynamics, the climate and other conditions, applied measures, economics, environment and human health (residues). This paper describes these components of the PREMISE insect model, and how these components interact to assess the cost-effectiveness of IPM measures and the effects on the environment and human health. Codling moth is used as a case study for this generic model. 展开更多
关键词 IPM integrated model population dynamics ECONOMICS environment RESIDUES codling moth.
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Integrating models of real aboveground scene and underground geological structures at an open pit mine
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作者 Biao DONG Wenjun TAN +4 位作者 Weichao CHANG Baoting LI Yanliang GUO Quanxing HU Guangwei LIU 《虚拟现实与智能硬件(中英文)》 2025年第4期406-420,共15页
Background As information technology has advanced and been popularized,open pit mining has rapidly developed toward integration and digitization.The three-dimensional reconstruction technology has been successfully ap... Background As information technology has advanced and been popularized,open pit mining has rapidly developed toward integration and digitization.The three-dimensional reconstruction technology has been successfully applied to geological reconstruction and modeling of surface scenes in open pit mines.However,an integrated modeling method for surface and underground mine sites has not been reported.Methods In this study,we propose an integrated modeling method for open pit mines that fuses a real scene on the surface with an underground geological model.Based on oblique photography,a real-scene model was established on the surface.Based on the surface-stitching method proposed,the upper and lower surfaces and sides of the model were constructed in stages to construct a complete underground three-dimensional geological model,and the aboveground and underground models were registered together to build an integrated open pit mine model.Results The oblique photography method used reconstructed a surface model of an open pit mine using a real scene.The surface-stitching algorithm proposed was compared with the ball-pivoting and Poisson algorithms,and the integrity of the reconstructed model was markedly superior to that of the other two reconstruction methods.In addition,the surface-stitching algorithm was applied to the reconstruction of different formation models and showed good stability and reconstruction efficiency.Finally,the aboveground and underground models were accurately fitted after registration to form an integrated model.Conclusions The proposed method can efficiently establish an integrated open pit model.Based on the integrated model,an open pit auxiliary planning system was designed and realized.It supports the functions of mining planning and output calculation,assists users in mining planning and operation management,and improves production efficiency and management levels. 展开更多
关键词 Three-dimensional reconstruction Computer graphics VISUALIZATION integrated model Open pit mine
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Integrated Exploration Model for Concealed Ore Deposit:A Case Study from Shuitou Fluorite Deposit,Inner Mongolia,North China 被引量:8
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作者 Liang Wang Shouting Zhang +1 位作者 Yi Fang Li Tang 《Journal of Earth Science》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2021年第2期370-389,共20页
The demand for fluorite resource is increasing rapidly as most fluorite deposits on Earth’s surface have been exhausted.The newly discovered fluorite deposits in Inner Mongolia are hosted by Permian metamorphosed san... The demand for fluorite resource is increasing rapidly as most fluorite deposits on Earth’s surface have been exhausted.The newly discovered fluorite deposits in Inner Mongolia are hosted by Permian metamorphosed sandy slate,intermediate-acid intrusive rocks and Cretaceous volcanic sedimentary rocks.The ore bodies are strictly controlled by faults and buried by cover rocks.The feasibility and effectiveness of multi-techniques for prospecting concealed fluorite ore bodies are evaluated,and 10 anomalies are delineated.On the basis of geological features and effectiveness of different methods,the optimum combinations of ore prospecting techniques are proposed for the exploration of zonal type and burial type concealed fluorite ore bodies.Based on comprehensive researches,an integrated exploration model is proposed:(i)select key prospecting targets based on geological backgrounds,regional geochemical anomalies of F and Ca,and remote sensing images;(ii)identify the spatial distribution of low resistivity anomaly and ore-controlling structure from geophysical survey;(iii)evaluate the mineralization potential in fault zone based on F and Ca anomalies in key sections selected from low resistivity anomaly zones;and(iv)evaluate the mineralization potential and reveal the spatial distribution of fluorite ore bodies and ore-controlling faults based on integrated geophysical and geochemical anomalies.The integrated exploration model is verified to be a powerful tool for prospecting concealed fluorite ore bodies in coverage area. 展开更多
关键词 prospecting technique concealed fluorite deposit integrated exploration model Shuitou fluorite belt Inner Mongolia North China
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Modelling of Flood Risks to People’s Life and Property in the Lower Yellow River Under Different Floodplain Management Modes
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作者 Yifei Cheng Junqiang Xia +6 位作者 Hongwei Fang Meirong Zhou Zuhao Zhou Jun Lu Dongyang Li Roger A.Falconer Yuchuan Bai 《Engineering》 2025年第8期240-253,共14页
Quantification of river flood risks is a prerequisite for floodplain management and development.The lower Yellow River(LYR)is characterized by a complex channel–floodplain system,which is prone to flooding but inhabi... Quantification of river flood risks is a prerequisite for floodplain management and development.The lower Yellow River(LYR)is characterized by a complex channel–floodplain system,which is prone to flooding but inhabits a large population on the floodplains.Many floodplain management modes have been presented,but implementation effects of these management modes have not been evaluated correctly.An integrated model was first proposed to evaluate the flood risks to people’s life and property,covering an improved module of two-dimensional(2D)morphodynamic processes and a module of flood risk evaluation for people,buildings and crops on the floodplains.Two simulation cases were then conducted to validate the model accuracy,including the hyperconcentrated flood event and dike-breach induced flood event occurring in the LYR.Finally,the integrated model was applied to key floodplains in the LYR,and the effects of different floodplain management modes were quantified on the risks to people’s life and property under an extreme flood event.Results indicate that:①Satisfactory accuracy was achieved in the simulation of these two flood events.The maximum sediment concentration was just underestimated by 9%,and the simulated inundation depth agreed well with the field record;②severe inundation was predicted to occur in most domains under the current topography(SchemeⅠ),which would be alleviated after implementing different floodplain management modes,with the area in slight inundation degree accounting for a large proportion under the mode of“construction of protection embankment”(SchemeⅡ)and the area in medium inundation degree occupying a high ratio under the mode of“floodplain partition harnessing”(SchemeⅢ);and③compared with SchemeⅠ,the high-risk area for people’s life and property would reduce by 21%–49%under SchemeⅡ,and by 35%–93%under SchemeⅢ. 展开更多
关键词 integrated modelling People’s life and property Flood risk evaluation Floodplain management modes Lower Yellow River
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QBO Disruption-like Events in the China Meteorological Administration Climate Model
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作者 Yue WANG Jian RAO +1 位作者 Yixiong LU Zefan JU 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 2025年第9期1813-1832,共20页
As a prominent mode of variability in the tropical stratosphere on the interannual timescale,the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation(QBO)can significantly influence global atmospheric circulation and weather patterns.This stud... As a prominent mode of variability in the tropical stratosphere on the interannual timescale,the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation(QBO)can significantly influence global atmospheric circulation and weather patterns.This study explores the dynamic processes of QBO disruptions using the integrated climate model of the China Meteorological Administration(CMA)by nudging the tropical zonal winds toward observations.A comparative analysis with ERA5 reanalysis data shows that the nudged runs accurately replicate the general characteristics of the QBO,including the alternating QBO wind regimes and QBO disruption events.The evolution of the QBO winds is diagnosed using empirical orthogonal function and root-mean-square difference analyses,and the rarity of the disruption events is confirmed in the CMA model.Different aspects of the QBO disruptions and the relevant dynamics are present in the model.Firstly,the momentum budget analysis highlights the crucial roles of extratropical Rossby waves and non-orographic gravity waves in the transition from westerly to easterly winds during a disruption.Secondly,Kelvin waves and non-orographic gravity waves explain much of the transition from easterly to westerly winds near 40 hPa.Thirdly,the positive tendency from enhanced vertical advection further accelerates westerly momentum development via secondary meridional circulation.These findings underscore the importance of nudging techniques in understanding QBO dynamics,which provides valuable insights for future climate model improvements toward better forecasting QBO-related climate variability.Notably,due to model limitations,no QBO disruptions were simulated in the free-run experiments. 展开更多
关键词 Quasi-biennial oscillation(QBO)disruption wave-mean flow interaction China Meteorological Administration(CMA)integrated model
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An Introduction to the Integrated Climate Model of the Center for Monsoon System Research and Its Simulated Influence of El Ni?no on East Asian–Western North Pacific Climate 被引量:5
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作者 HUANG Ping WANG Pengfei +4 位作者 HU Kaiming HUANG Gang ZHANG Zhihua LIU Yong YAN Bangliang 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2014年第5期1136-1146,共11页
This study introduces a new global climate model--the Integrated Climate Model (ICM)--developed for the seasonal prediction of East Asian-western North Pacific (EA-WNP) climate by the Center for Monsoon System Res... This study introduces a new global climate model--the Integrated Climate Model (ICM)--developed for the seasonal prediction of East Asian-western North Pacific (EA-WNP) climate by the Center for Monsoon System Research at the Institute of Atmospheric Physics (CMSR, IAP), Chinese Academy of Sciences. ICM integrates ECHAM5 and NEMO2.3 as its atmospheric and oceanic components, respectively, using OASIS3 as the coupler. The simulation skill of ICM is evaluated here, including the simulated climatology, interannual variation, and the influence of E1 Nifio as one of the most important factors on EA-WNP climate. ICM successfully reproduces the distribution of sea surface temperature (SST) and precipitation without climate shift, the seasonal cycle of equatorial Pacific SST, and the precipitation and circulation of East Asian summer monsoon. The most prominent biases of ICM are the excessive cold tongue and unrealistic westward phase propagation of equatorial Pacific SST. The main interannual variation of the tropical Pacific SST and EA-WNP climate E1 Nifio and the East Asia-Pacific Pattern--are also well simulated in ICM, with realistic spatial pattern and period. The simulated E1 Nifio has significant impact on EA-WNP climate, as in other models. The assessment shows ICM should be a reliable model for the seasonal prediction of EA-WNP climate. 展开更多
关键词 integrated Climate model (ICM) global climate model E1 Nifio East Asian climate
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Discretization Approach in Integrated Hydrologic Model for Surface and Groundwater Interaction 被引量:3
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作者 ZHANG Jing Mark A ROSS Jeffery GEURINK 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2012年第6期659-672,共14页
The commonly used discretization approaches for distributed hydrological models can be broadly categorized into four types,based on the nature of the discrete components:Regular Mesh,Triangular Irregular Networks(TINs... The commonly used discretization approaches for distributed hydrological models can be broadly categorized into four types,based on the nature of the discrete components:Regular Mesh,Triangular Irregular Networks(TINs),Representative Elementary Watershed(REWs) and Hydrologic Response Units(HRUs).In this paper,a new discretization approach for landforms that have similar hydrologic properties is developed and discussed here for the Integrated Hydrologic Model(IHM),a combining simulation of surface and groundwater processes,accounting for the interaction between the systems.The approach used in the IHM is to disaggregate basin parameters into discrete landforms that have similar hydrologic properties.These landforms may be impervious areas,related areas,areas with high or low clay or organic fractions,areas with significantly different depths-to-water-table,and areas with different types of land cover or different land uses.Incorporating discrete landforms within basins allows significant distributed parameter analysis,but requires an efficient computational structure.The IHM integration represents a new approach interpreting fluxes across the model interface and storages near the interface for transfer to the appropriate model component,accounting for the disparate discretization while rigidly maintaining mass conservation.The discretization approaches employed in IHM will provide some ideas and insights which are helpful to those researchers who have been working on the integrated models for surface-groundwater interaction. 展开更多
关键词 DISCRETIZATION distributed hydrological model integrated Hydrologic model(IHM) INTERACTION
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Application of Seasonal Auto-regressive Integrated Moving Average Model in Forecasting the Incidence of Hand-foot-mouth Disease in Wuhan,China 被引量:17
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作者 彭颖 余滨 +3 位作者 汪鹏 孔德广 陈邦华 杨小兵 《Journal of Huazhong University of Science and Technology(Medical Sciences)》 SCIE CAS 2017年第6期842-848,共7页
Outbreaks of hand-foot-mouth disease(HFMD) have occurred many times and caused serious health burden in China since 2008. Application of modern information technology to prediction and early response can be helpful ... Outbreaks of hand-foot-mouth disease(HFMD) have occurred many times and caused serious health burden in China since 2008. Application of modern information technology to prediction and early response can be helpful for efficient HFMD prevention and control. A seasonal auto-regressive integrated moving average(ARIMA) model for time series analysis was designed in this study. Eighty-four-month(from January 2009 to December 2015) retrospective data obtained from the Chinese Information System for Disease Prevention and Control were subjected to ARIMA modeling. The coefficient of determination(R^2), normalized Bayesian Information Criterion(BIC) and Q-test P value were used to evaluate the goodness-of-fit of constructed models. Subsequently, the best-fitted ARIMA model was applied to predict the expected incidence of HFMD from January 2016 to December 2016. The best-fitted seasonal ARIMA model was identified as(1,0,1)(0,1,1)12, with the largest coefficient of determination(R^2=0.743) and lowest normalized BIC(BIC=3.645) value. The residuals of the model also showed non-significant autocorrelations(P_(Box-Ljung(Q))=0.299). The predictions by the optimum ARIMA model adequately captured the pattern in the data and exhibited two peaks of activity over the forecast interval, including a major peak during April to June, and again a light peak for September to November. The ARIMA model proposed in this study can forecast HFMD incidence trend effectively, which could provide useful support for future HFMD prevention and control in the study area. Besides, further observations should be added continually into the modeling data set, and parameters of the models should be adjusted accordingly. 展开更多
关键词 hand-foot-mouth disease forecast surveillance modeling auto-regressive integrated moving average(ARIMA)
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Concise Modeling of Amorphous Dual-Gate In-Ga-Zn-O Thin-Film Transistors for Integrated Circuit Designs 被引量:1
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作者 Can Li Cong-Wei Liao +3 位作者 Tian-Bao Yu Jian-Yuan Ke Sheng-Xiang Huang Lian-Wen Deng 《Chinese Physics Letters》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2018年第2期93-96,共4页
An analytical model for current-voltage behavior of amorphous In-Ga-Zn-O thin-film transistors(a-IGZO TFTs)with dual-gate structures is developed.The unified expressions for synchronous and asynchronous operating mo... An analytical model for current-voltage behavior of amorphous In-Ga-Zn-O thin-film transistors(a-IGZO TFTs)with dual-gate structures is developed.The unified expressions for synchronous and asynchronous operating modes are derived on the basis of channel charges,which are controlled by gate voltage.It is proven that the threshold voltage of asynchronous dual-gate IGZO TFTs is adjusted in proportion to the ratio of top insulating capacitance to the bottom insulating capacitance(C_(TI)/C_(BI)).Incorporating the proposed model with Verilog-A,a touch-sensing circuit using dual-gate structure is investigated by SPICE simulations.Comparison shows that the touch sensitivity is increased by the dual-gate IGZO TFT structure. 展开更多
关键词 TFT Concise modeling of Amorphous Dual-Gate In-Ga-Zn-O Thin-Film Transistors for integrated Circuit Designs Zn
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Integrated numerical model of nitrogen transportation,absorption and transformation by two-dimension in soil-crop system
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作者 WANGHong-qi SHUYan QIYong-qiang ZHANGJun 《Journal of Environmental Sciences》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2005年第4期662-666,共5页
A series of simulation experiments of nitrogen transportation, absorption and transformation were conducted, and the different cropping patterns of winter wheat and wastewater irrigation plans were taken into consider... A series of simulation experiments of nitrogen transportation, absorption and transformation were conducted, and the different cropping patterns of winter wheat and wastewater irrigation plans were taken into consideration. Based on the experiments, an integrated model of crop growth, roots distribution, water and nitrogen absorption by roots, water and nitrogen movement and transformation in soil-crop system by two-dimension was developed. Parameters and boundary conditions were identified and an effective computing method for optimizing watering and wastewater irrigating plans was provided. 展开更多
关键词 nitrogen absorption and movement integrated numerical model soil-crop system
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Concurrent Engineering oriented Integrated Product Model Based on STEP
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作者 Song, Yuying Chu, Xiuping Cai, Fuzhi 《High Technology Letters》 EI CAS 1998年第2期11-16,共6页
In this paper, the generalized feature concept is put forward according to concurrent engineering. An integrated product model is established based on the generalized feature according to STEP in order to provide enri... In this paper, the generalized feature concept is put forward according to concurrent engineering. An integrated product model is established based on the generalized feature according to STEP in order to provide enrichment information for product concurrent development process. The integration of the information and function of CAD/CAPP can be realized based on the integrated product model that supports concurrent engineering. IPM has been used successfully in product concurrent development. 展开更多
关键词 Concurrent engineering Generalized feature integrated product model STEP
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Preservice Teachers' Applications of Integrated Design Models for Teaching and Learning of Solids
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作者 Clement Ayarebilla Ali 《Journal of Mathematics and System Science》 2016年第10期373-382,共10页
This study integrated instrumental and relational approaches to the teaching and learning of solids in a preservice teacher's class. The researcher guided the preservice teachers to gather various prisms, pyramids, a... This study integrated instrumental and relational approaches to the teaching and learning of solids in a preservice teacher's class. The researcher guided the preservice teachers to gather various prisms, pyramids, and spheres to study the total surface areas and volumes. At the end of the integrated models, the test scores showed closed relationships in the concurrent instructional strategies of the integrated models. The researcher therefore, recommended the design models for the teaching and learning of solids in mathematics. 展开更多
关键词 integrated design model preservice teachers relational and instrumental three-dimensional figures
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The Construction of Integrated Nursing Model Prevention of Oxaliplatin Chemotherapy-Induced Peripheral Nerve Injury
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作者 Qiong Wen Xiaomei Cai 《Journal of Biosciences and Medicines》 2024年第2期340-348,共9页
Objective: To investigate the effect of the integrated nursing model in the prevention of chemotherapy-induced peripheral injury. Methods: A total of 60 tumor patients receiving oxaliplatin for 1 - 6 cycles of chemoth... Objective: To investigate the effect of the integrated nursing model in the prevention of chemotherapy-induced peripheral injury. Methods: A total of 60 tumor patients receiving oxaliplatin for 1 - 6 cycles of chemotherapy from January to September 2023 were selected. 30 patients were selected from January to March and divided into the control group, and 30 patients were selected from July to 9 as the experimental group. The control group received conventional chemotherapy nursing, while the experimental group received integrated nursing. Anxiety, peripheral nerve toxicity stage and quality of life score were compared between the two groups before and after intervention. Results: After intervention, the scores of the self-rating Anxiety Scale (SAS) and the total scores of the oxaliplatin Levi specific sensory neurotoxicity scale in the experimental group were significantly lower than those in the control group, and the differences were statistically significant (P< 0.05);The Quality of Life Scale (FACT-G) score of cancer patients was higher than that of control group, and the difference was statistically significant (P< 0.05). Conclusion: The integrated nursing model can effectively reduce the anxiety of patients, reduce the incidence of peripheral nerve injury and improve the quality of life of patients. 展开更多
关键词 integrated Nursing Intervention model CHEMOTHERAPY Peripheral Nerve Toxicity ANXIETY Quality of Life
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