This paper develops a simple trade model of heterogeneous firms, which incorporates the dual heterogeneity of credit constraints at the firm and industry levels and reveals the effects of the interaction mechanisms of...This paper develops a simple trade model of heterogeneous firms, which incorporates the dual heterogeneity of credit constraints at the firm and industry levels and reveals the effects of the interaction mechanisms of trade policy uncertainty and credit constraint heterogeneity on exporters’ behaviour. The model confirms that the higher the level of industrial credit constraints, the greater the interaction of trade policy uncertainty and credit constraint heterogeneity, but firms with lower levels of credit constraints within a specific industry are more affected by this interaction. Then, based on the highly dis-aggregated trade data of China’s firms from 2000 to 2013, this paper provides empirical evidence for the main predictions and mechanisms of the theoretical model.展开更多
On the basis of the new-new trade theory, this paper makes use of the micro-level export data of China's international trade with sixteen major trading partners from CEPII BACI international trade database of1996-...On the basis of the new-new trade theory, this paper makes use of the micro-level export data of China's international trade with sixteen major trading partners from CEPII BACI international trade database of1996-2011 and decomposes the total export growth into the intensive margin and expansion margin, so as to conduct an empirical analysis of the impact of trade promotion agency on China's export binary marginal growth with the GMM dynamic panel data model estimation method. The results show that trade promotion agency has a significant positive impact on the intensive margin and expansion margin of export growth,the promoting effect on the export growth expansion margin is greater than that on the intensive margin.The trade promotion committees can play more significant role in promoting export than embassies and consulates stationed abroad. The promoting effect of trade promotion agencies on export growth binary margin of medium and high-tech industry products is larger than that on the medium and lower technology industry products. Therefore, China should increase the number of trade promotion agencies, in particular,have more Trade Promotion Committees.展开更多
Japan is the largest export destination for Chinese agricultural products. The export status to Japan is directly related to the overall trend of China's agricultural exports. Based on the HS9-coded agricultural p...Japan is the largest export destination for Chinese agricultural products. The export status to Japan is directly related to the overall trend of China's agricultural exports. Based on the HS9-coded agricultural product trade data of the Japanese Ministry of Finance in 2001-2017,using the ternary marginal analysis method,the driving force of China's agricultural exports to Japan was analyzed in this paper from a static and dynamic perspective. The results showed that 98. 89% of the driving force of China's agricultural exports to Japan was from the contribution of quantity margin. The contribution of the extensive margin had been decreasing year by year after 2006,and it has been negative for many years. The reason was that technical barriers such as the Positive List System lead to less export of agricultural product in varieties and types. The average marginal contribution rate of price was 8. 26%. The average price of exported agricultural products has been basically higher than the world average level since 2013,suggesting that the quality of exported agricultural products has been improved. While maintaining the quantity of agricultural exports,improving the quality of agricultural products,expanding export varieties and increasing export value added are the sources of sustainable growth of China's agricultural exports in the future.展开更多
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (71873044)。
文摘This paper develops a simple trade model of heterogeneous firms, which incorporates the dual heterogeneity of credit constraints at the firm and industry levels and reveals the effects of the interaction mechanisms of trade policy uncertainty and credit constraint heterogeneity on exporters’ behaviour. The model confirms that the higher the level of industrial credit constraints, the greater the interaction of trade policy uncertainty and credit constraint heterogeneity, but firms with lower levels of credit constraints within a specific industry are more affected by this interaction. Then, based on the highly dis-aggregated trade data of China’s firms from 2000 to 2013, this paper provides empirical evidence for the main predictions and mechanisms of the theoretical model.
文摘On the basis of the new-new trade theory, this paper makes use of the micro-level export data of China's international trade with sixteen major trading partners from CEPII BACI international trade database of1996-2011 and decomposes the total export growth into the intensive margin and expansion margin, so as to conduct an empirical analysis of the impact of trade promotion agency on China's export binary marginal growth with the GMM dynamic panel data model estimation method. The results show that trade promotion agency has a significant positive impact on the intensive margin and expansion margin of export growth,the promoting effect on the export growth expansion margin is greater than that on the intensive margin.The trade promotion committees can play more significant role in promoting export than embassies and consulates stationed abroad. The promoting effect of trade promotion agencies on export growth binary margin of medium and high-tech industry products is larger than that on the medium and lower technology industry products. Therefore, China should increase the number of trade promotion agencies, in particular,have more Trade Promotion Committees.
基金Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(71673087,71373154)Shanghai Pujiang Talents Program(15PJC048)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(WN1822003)
文摘Japan is the largest export destination for Chinese agricultural products. The export status to Japan is directly related to the overall trend of China's agricultural exports. Based on the HS9-coded agricultural product trade data of the Japanese Ministry of Finance in 2001-2017,using the ternary marginal analysis method,the driving force of China's agricultural exports to Japan was analyzed in this paper from a static and dynamic perspective. The results showed that 98. 89% of the driving force of China's agricultural exports to Japan was from the contribution of quantity margin. The contribution of the extensive margin had been decreasing year by year after 2006,and it has been negative for many years. The reason was that technical barriers such as the Positive List System lead to less export of agricultural product in varieties and types. The average marginal contribution rate of price was 8. 26%. The average price of exported agricultural products has been basically higher than the world average level since 2013,suggesting that the quality of exported agricultural products has been improved. While maintaining the quantity of agricultural exports,improving the quality of agricultural products,expanding export varieties and increasing export value added are the sources of sustainable growth of China's agricultural exports in the future.
