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Productive Government Debt and Urban Innovation:An Empirical Study Based on Chinese City Panel Data
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作者 Wu Haijun Yang Qijing Yang Zhen 《China Economist》 2025年第4期102-124,共23页
Urban innovation is essential to strengthening national innovation capacity and technological capabilities,placing its sustained development at the heart of scholarly debate.This study explores the impact of productiv... Urban innovation is essential to strengthening national innovation capacity and technological capabilities,placing its sustained development at the heart of scholarly debate.This study explores the impact of productive-oriented local government debt expansion on urban innovation,leveraging China’s“Four Trillion Yuan”stimulus plan in 2008 as a natural experiment and drawing on urban panel data.Through the lens of productive government debt,we find that such expansion significantly boosts urban innovation,driven by three key mechanisms:infrastructure support,government innovation subsidies,and talent agglomeration.However,heterogeneity analysis reveals that this positive effect weakens in China’s central and western regions,cities with higher administrative status,and those with lower marketization levels,where the impact becomes negligible.Further scrutiny shows that local government financing vehicle(LGFV)bonds and special local government bonds earmarked for infrastructure effectively spur urban innovation,whereas general bonds and LGFV bonds used for“borrowing new to repay old”yield little to no benefit.These findings underscore that local government debt,when channeled toward productive ends,can fuel urban innovation.As the central government works to mitigate implicit debt risks,it must weigh the distinct roles of debt funds-considering regional economic conditions and institutional contexts-and tailor policies to time and place.This study offers theoretical insights and practical guidance for decoding the intricate link between government debt and innovation,enriching both scholarship and policy discourse. 展开更多
关键词 Financing platform productive government debt debt expansion urban innovation
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ESG disagreement and corporate debt maturity:evidence from China
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作者 Kangqi Jiang Jie Zhang +1 位作者 Mengling Zhou Zhongfei Chen 《Financial Innovation》 2025年第1期1013-1051,共39页
This study explores the relationship between corporate environmental,social,and governance(ESG)disagreements and corporate debt maturity.By examining panel samples from Chinese non-financial listed companies covering ... This study explores the relationship between corporate environmental,social,and governance(ESG)disagreements and corporate debt maturity.By examining panel samples from Chinese non-financial listed companies covering 2007 to 2020,we find that ESG disagreements negatively influence corporate debt maturity.Even after conducting a series of robustness tests and addressing endogeneity concerns,the adverse effects of ESG disagreements persisted.A heterogeneity analysis shows that this negative impact is more significant for non-state-owned enterprises,small enterprises,enterprises with high capital intensity,enterprises with low analyst attention,and enterprises in high-tech industries.Through a mechanism analysis,we discovered that ESG disagreements can lead to information asymmetry and heightened default risk,subsequently affecting the maturity of corporate debt.Further analysis confirms that the negative impact of ESG on the debt structure inhibits long-term investment and exacerbates the mismatch between investment and financing terms. 展开更多
关键词 ESG disagreement debt maturity Maturity mismatch China
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Liquidity constraints,real estate regulation,and local government debt risks
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作者 Xiao‑Li Gong Jin‑Yan Lu +1 位作者 Xiong Xiong Wei Zhang 《Financial Innovation》 2025年第1期83-110,共28页
Given the existence of real estate market bubbles and risks arising from high government debt,countries are faced with the challenge of preventing systemic risks.This study investigates the macroeconomic dynamics of t... Given the existence of real estate market bubbles and risks arising from high government debt,countries are faced with the challenge of preventing systemic risks.This study investigates the macroeconomic dynamics of the real estate market and local government debt risk from the perspective of liquidity constraints.We build a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with real estate and local government debt risk based on the New Keynesian-Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model(NK-DSGE)model to investigate the transmission path of local government debt risk under real estate regulation.In addition,we analyze the risk transmission between the real estate market and local government under different tax systems and investigate the shock to household welfare from a local government debt default.The results show monetary policy can effectively control the scale of local government debt to reduce default risk.An increase in property taxes that restrains housing demand can effectively regulate the real estate market.Although reducing taxes can increase macroeconomic output,reducing tax rates on consumption,capital,and labor weakens the liquidity of household assets.Further,lowering taxes increases local government default risk,which reduces household welfare and makes it more difficult for local governments to deleverage.Our findings provide important insights for countries seeking an effective real estate regulation mechanism to curb local government default risk. 展开更多
关键词 Liquidity constraints Real estate regulation Local government debt risks
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DEBT MATURITY STRUCTURE IN PROJECT FINANCING
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作者 黄福广 《Transactions of Tianjin University》 EI CAS 2001年第4期261-264,共4页
Based on the concept of debt duration,this paper proposes the elasticity of cash flow.Then,the debt maturity structure in project financing is discussed.The results show that in the project financing structure,the deb... Based on the concept of debt duration,this paper proposes the elasticity of cash flow.Then,the debt maturity structure in project financing is discussed.The results show that in the project financing structure,the debt maturity structure is closely related with debt capacity.Higher debt ratio requires short term debt,and vise versa. 展开更多
关键词 project financing debt maturity structure DURATION debt ratio
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Grand Strategies for Dealing With Chinese Local Government Debts
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作者 Mengzhong Zhang Youwei Qi 《Management Studies》 2017年第2期91-107,共17页
Local governmental debts in China seem to be in a more precarious position than local government debts in the USA. The scale of Chinese local government debts far surpasses that of the USA. Further, Chinese local gove... Local governmental debts in China seem to be in a more precarious position than local government debts in the USA. The scale of Chinese local government debts far surpasses that of the USA. Further, Chinese local government debts appear to be expanding at an alarming rate in the past decade or so. This research focuses on grand strategies for dealing with Chinese local government debts. There are five research questions for this paper: 1) What is the size of the Chinese government debts? 2) Are Chinese local government debts controllable? 3) Who or what caused the rapid increase of the Chinese local government debts? 4) Is it possible to have individual accountability for increasing local government debts in the future? and 5) Will it be helpful to create a local government debt management organization in the Chinese central government? Based on the available literature, this analysis also utilizes in death interviews with 13 government officials, policy analyst, and scholars. First, this paper identifies the size and categories of debts related to Chinese local governments. Then this paper illustrates various ways and methods of Chinese local governments to obtain leverage. After analyzing the causes and origins of these debts, the research demonstrates a potential local systematic risk. By contrast to its advantages and disadvantages, the paper suggests that the local governmental debts need to be constrained. It is important to restrict debt growth in terms of issuing, buying, repurchasing, collateralizing, etc. within a legal framework. With the consideration of political mechanisms in China, the research suggests that the central government establishes a specific organization to help normalize the local governmental debts with the function of supervision and management. The research also believes that it will be an effective way to control the growth of local debts if the central government can hold the relevant top leaders/officials of local governments to be accountable for their performances related to debt accumulation. 展开更多
关键词 debt debt size local government Chinese government individual ACCOUNTABILITY debt managementorganization
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Debt Rating Initiations: Natural Evolution or Opportunistic Behavior? 被引量:1
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作者 Laurence Booth Sean Cleary Lynnette Purda 《Journal of Modern Accounting and Auditing》 2013年第12期1574-1595,共22页
The authors examine a firm's decision to begin issuing debt in public bond markets and find that it is a function of both life cycle influences and opportunistic timing. Defining life cycle factors to encompass both ... The authors examine a firm's decision to begin issuing debt in public bond markets and find that it is a function of both life cycle influences and opportunistic timing. Defining life cycle factors to encompass both a firm's age in years and its underlying characteristics, the authors confirm that bond market participation is generally restricted to large, mature firms. Summary statistics show that finns obtain their initial bond ratings on average 9.5 years after their equity initial public offering (IPO) and 11.8 years after initiating dividend payments. Growth rates, capital expenditures, and cash flow volatility all decline as the firm accesses public debt markets, consistent with entry into the mature phase of its life cycle. With respect to opportunistic timing, it is asked whether entry into public bond markets follows strong performance (or precedes weak performance) at both the firm and market levels. At the firm level, the authors find that the debt IPO occurs following periods of strong operating performance and high excess stock returns. At the market level, entry coincides with favorable interest rates and default spreads. The benefits of careful timing result in firms receiving initial bond ratings that are stronger than what would be predicted; however, there is no evidence of abnormal numbers of downgrades for these firms in subsequent years. 展开更多
关键词 debt rating debt issuance bond rating firm life cycle market timing
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Apples, oranges and lemons: public sector debt statistics in the 21st century
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作者 Mike Seiferling 《Financial Innovation》 2020年第1期611-627,共17页
In both academic research and policymaking,public sector debt and debt-to-GDP ratios are relied on for a multitude of important economic,political and socioeconomic decisions,especially as public sector balance sheets... In both academic research and policymaking,public sector debt and debt-to-GDP ratios are relied on for a multitude of important economic,political and socioeconomic decisions,especially as public sector balance sheets expand to an unprecedented size in the midst of the 2019–2020 COVID pandemic.The reliance on available data from reputable sources often overlooks the question of whether the denominator in this ratio is accurately measured or how well the denominator is understood by the audience interpreting it.Building on past work in international financial statistics,and making use of a unique and newly created dataset on media reporting of public sector debt,the purpose of this article is to examine the quality,accuracy,interpretation and overall meaningfulness of public sector financial statistics.The main findings suggest that i)most of the world’s governments still do not seem to feel sufficient pressure to voluntarily provide comprehensive financial statistics based on well-defined modern methodological frameworks and ii)high profile financial statistics,which are reported,have become increasingly numerous and complicated,making it difficult for non-experts to know which is most appropriate in the context of their analysis. 展开更多
关键词 Public finance statistics Economic measurement Public debt Government debt Politics of statistics
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Corporate Governance and Debt Management of Vietnam's SMEs
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作者 Pham Thu Ha Nguyen Tien Phong 《Economics World》 2015年第2期91-96,共6页
The paper aims to examine the relationship between corporate governance and debt management of Vietnam's small and medium enterprises (SMEs), in a case study of a specific enterprise. It reveals one case that corpo... The paper aims to examine the relationship between corporate governance and debt management of Vietnam's small and medium enterprises (SMEs), in a case study of a specific enterprise. It reveals one case that corporate governance factors have strong correlation with performance, due to transparency to the lender, innovative and consistent to the debt management. The results indicate that timely reporting and level of disclosure positively affect corporate performance and ability to raise funds in the financial market. The paper seeds new light into the relationship between corporate governance and debt management of Vietnam's SMEs in current context. It finds ways to solve financial dilemma and raise corporate equity value that most SMEs are facing. 展开更多
关键词 corporate governance RENOVATION TRANSPARENCY debt management small and medium enterprises(SMEs) debt restructuring
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Determinants of Private Sector Indebtedness in Greece: The Role of Deregulation
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作者 Demosthenes Georgopoulos Theodore Papadogonas George Sfakianakis 《Journal of Modern Accounting and Auditing》 2011年第1期76-85,共10页
In this paper we examine private debt developments in Greece from 1970 onwards. We find private debt nearly stationary for about 20 years (starting from extremely low values) and expanding thereafter in nearly explo... In this paper we examine private debt developments in Greece from 1970 onwards. We find private debt nearly stationary for about 20 years (starting from extremely low values) and expanding thereafter in nearly explosive terms. By disaggregating the time series of private debt, we pinpoint household debt (consumer, credit cards and mortgages) as the reason for this exponential increase. When considering demand and supply curves for household debt, shifts of the curves are to be interpreted: explanations from the demand side include, among others, expectations of future incomes. Regarding the supply side, the availability of loans (partly attributable to increased bank competition) and overall bank deregulation are proposed. Financial deregulation permitted banks to move promptly and offer to ambitious (but not necessarily solvent) customers a wide spectrum of choices: mortgages, credit cards, consumer loans and so on. Every single step in the process of financial deregulation was accompanied by a higher level of household indebtedness. Moving up from the household level to the macroeconomic level, increased debt had been also a solution to stalling effective demand, possibly due to the redistribution of income. Empirical analysis and causality tests are conducted along these lines and we find a two way causal relationship between GDP growth and private debt. 展开更多
关键词 private debt household debt. deregulation structural break
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Measuring External Debt in a Context of Macroeconomic Imbalances
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作者 Joao Cadete de Matos Ana Margarida de Almeida +1 位作者 Ligia Maria Nunes Daniela Black Miranda 《Journal of Mathematics and System Science》 2014年第3期202-207,共6页
The exploitation of new methodologies and indicators is considered valuable in measuring a key macroeconomic indicator like the external debt. The recent Portuguese economic developments illustrate the need and useful... The exploitation of new methodologies and indicators is considered valuable in measuring a key macroeconomic indicator like the external debt. The recent Portuguese economic developments illustrate the need and usefulness of having a multidimensional approach of this indicator, with several balance of payment items, such as the current and the capital account balances, the foreign direct investment or the reserves assets being carefully analysed when reading the external conditions faced by the economy. Only such an approach can provide with a comprehensive measure of external debt consistent across the range of debt instruments, institutional sectors and valuation methods used. This paper develops an assessment of external debt measures and concludes about their potential advantages and disadvantages. Comparisons are made by focusing on alternatives like gross external debt against net external debt, external debt vis-h-vis international investment position, and external debt at nominal value against external debt at market value. 展开更多
关键词 External debt VALUATION debt instruments institutional sectors.
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Research on Problems and Countermeasures of Debt Restructuring
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作者 HE Simeng 《International English Education Research》 2018年第2期22-25,共4页
In an increasingly fierce market competition, listed companies may be unable to repay their debts on time due to intemal or external reasons and fall into financial difficulties. In this case, the company tends to cho... In an increasingly fierce market competition, listed companies may be unable to repay their debts on time due to intemal or external reasons and fall into financial difficulties. In this case, the company tends to choose the way of debt restructuring and adjust existing debt. This article selects listed companies from 2011 to 2015 in Shanghai and Shenzhen as research objects, analyzes the current status of debt restructuring, including the number of debt restructuring companies, the choice of debt restructuring methods, and debt restructuring of related parties. At the same time, it analyzes the motives of listed companies for debt restructuring and the problems existing in debt restructuring, and then proposes relevant improvement measures. 展开更多
关键词 debt restructuring debt?restructuring methods MOTIVATION Measures
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The Impact of Corporate Governance and Fair Value Accounting on Debt Contracts
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作者 Dan Wu 《Proceedings of Business and Economic Studies》 2024年第4期202-206,共5页
This paper investigates the theoretical relationship between corporate governance,fair value accounting,and debt contracts.It primarily examines the individual impacts of corporate governance and fair value accounting... This paper investigates the theoretical relationship between corporate governance,fair value accounting,and debt contracts.It primarily examines the individual impacts of corporate governance and fair value accounting on debt contracts,while also exploring the influence of corporate governance on fair value accounting.The study emphasizes the importance of considering the interests and legal status of creditors in the context of debt contracts.The findings indicate that strong corporate governance can reduce the likelihood of debt default and that the company’s restructuring costs in the event of a default determine whether improved corporate governance will increase or decrease debt costs.Additionally,the study reveals that the strength of corporate governance affects the value relevance of fair value accounting.However,the impact of fair value accounting on debt contracts is not inherently positive or negative;for instance,companies may use fair value adjustments with manipulative intent to enhance performance.Ultimately,the research highlights that discussions about corporate governance should not prioritize shareholder interests exclusively but also consider the legitimate position of creditors. 展开更多
关键词 Corporate governance debt contracts debt default Fair value accounting
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Beyond Conventional Sovereign Debt Instruments:Issuance of GDP-linked Bonds in OECD Countries?
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作者 Sebastian Schich 《Journal of Economic Science Research》 2019年第2期22-39,共18页
Debt-to-GDP measures in major OECD countries are at historical highs and a considerable part of sovereign debt needs to be refinanced soon,while projections of real GDP growth are fairly weak and uncertain and assesse... Debt-to-GDP measures in major OECD countries are at historical highs and a considerable part of sovereign debt needs to be refinanced soon,while projections of real GDP growth are fairly weak and uncertain and assessed sovereign credit quality has declined.Against this,the OECD Committee on Financial Markets discussed proposals for sovereign debt managers to consider issuing GDP-linked sovereign bonds.The Committee considered proposals timely and the idea conceptually attractive,as additional insurance against economic downturns over the medium term would be available.It identified however also a number of issues that would complicate issuance in practise.Questions arise in particular as regards investor demand for such instruments and how an additional novelty,liquidity and indexation premium would compare to a potentially reduced default premium on more traditional debt.Debt management offices confirm and stress such practical difficulties and remain sceptical,quoting a lack of sustainable demand for such bonds.As a result,issuance of such bonds would be too costly.It is not clear however whether debt management offices take into account the full macroeconomic and financial stability risk-return trade-off that a broader perspective would take into account.Proposals for issuance of sovereign GDP-linked bonds among advanced economies,which had received increased attention after the German G20-presidency included the topic in the G20 finance track,may have lost some momentum,but there continues to be considerable support from both academics and some practitioners. 展开更多
关键词 Sovereign debt GDP-linked bonds Public debt management Borrowing instruments
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Managing Software Testing Technical Debt Using Evolutionary Algorithms 被引量:1
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作者 Muhammad Abid Jamil Mohamed K.Nour 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 SCIE EI 2022年第10期735-747,共13页
Technical debt(TD)happens when project teams carry out technical decisions in favor of a short-term goal(s)in their projects,whether deliberately or unknowingly.TD must be properly managed to guarantee that its negati... Technical debt(TD)happens when project teams carry out technical decisions in favor of a short-term goal(s)in their projects,whether deliberately or unknowingly.TD must be properly managed to guarantee that its negative implications do not outweigh its advantages.A lot of research has been conducted to show that TD has evolved into a common problem with considerable financial burden.Test technical debt is the technical debt aspect of testing(or test debt).Test debt is a relatively new concept that has piqued the curiosity of the software industry in recent years.In this article,we assume that the organization selects the testing artifacts at the start of every sprint.Implementing the latest features in consideration of expected business value and repaying technical debt are among candidate tasks in terms of the testing process(test cases increments).To gain the maximum benefit for the organization in terms of software testing optimization,there is a need to select the artifacts(i.e.,test cases)with maximum feature coverage within the available resources.The management of testing optimization for large projects is complicated and can also be treated as a multi-objective problem that entails a trade-off between the agile software’s short-term and long-term value.In this article,we implement a multi-objective indicatorbased evolutionary algorithm(IBEA)for fixing such optimization issues.The capability of the algorithm is evidenced by adding it to a real case study of a university registration process. 展开更多
关键词 Technical debt software testing optimization large scale agile projects evolutionary algorithms multiobjective optimization indicatorbased evolutionary algorithm(IBEA) pareto front
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Impact of carbon disclosure on debt financing costs 被引量:1
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作者 Yiming Hu Yunfeng Liang 《Chinese Journal of Population,Resources and Environment》 2024年第1期98-108,共11页
Creditors,such as banks,often use disclosed environmental information to assess a company’s environmental risk and ensure the safety of debt funds.Consequently,carbon disclosures have become an important consideratio... Creditors,such as banks,often use disclosed environmental information to assess a company’s environmental risk and ensure the safety of debt funds.Consequently,carbon disclosures have become an important consideration for creditors when making investments.This study explores the relationship between carbon disclosure and debt financing costs using data on listed companies from 2008 to 2019.The results show that carbon disclosure can reduce the debt financing costs of enterprises,and that this influence is more significant for private companies than for state-owned enterprises.Instrumental variables and Propensity Score Matching(PSM)were used to evaluate the robustness of negative relationships.Furthermore,carbon disclosure has a more significant impact on debt costs with less environmental supervision pressure,weak residents’environmental awareness,and weak product market competition.These findings provide guidance for companies’carbon information disclosure and support the establishment of official carbon disclosure standards. 展开更多
关键词 Carbon disclosure debt financing cost State-owned enterprise Private enterprise
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Manager’s Characteristics, Debt Financing and Firm Value 被引量:1
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作者 He Ying Zhang Dawei 《China Economist》 2019年第5期96-110,共15页
Based on the behavioral finance theory and the upper echelons theory, this paper employs the data of China's A-share listed companies from 2008 to 2013 as research samples, and empirically tests the effects of man... Based on the behavioral finance theory and the upper echelons theory, this paper employs the data of China's A-share listed companies from 2008 to 2013 as research samples, and empirically tests the effects of managers with different characteristics on debt financing and firm value for enterprises of different ownership nature. Results of this study indicate that the debt financing of the listed companies in China can reduce the agency cost with a positive governance effect that promotes firm value. Male, better educated, short-tenured, and financially experienced managers are more likely to be overconfident and prefer debt financing. Specifically, the manager's age, level of education, and work experience can significantly promote the effect of debt financing on firm value. Compared with SOEs, private enterprises can improve their firm value more significantly through debt financing;the education and work experience of the managers of private enterprises are more positively correlated with debt financing and can more significantly improve firm value through debt financing. This paper's findings suggest that the manager's characteristics and firm ownership nature must be taken into account to reach valid conclusions on the governance effects of debt financing on firm value. Meanwhile, these conclusions help unravel the mechanism and economic implications of debt financing, and contribute to the improvement of the capital structure decisions and human resources management practices of China's listed companies. This study not only enriches the literature and empirical evidence on the correlation between managers' characteristics and firm financing, but indicate that managers' characteristics and firm ownership are important considerations for investigating the governance effects of debt financing on firm value and have a vital impact on the formulation and implementation of firm financing decisions. 展开更多
关键词 manager's CHARACTERISTICS debt FINANCING FIRM value FIRM OWNERSHIP nature
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China’s BRI Transportation Investments:Development Bonanza or Debt Trap? 被引量:2
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作者 Jin Gang Shen Kunrong 《China Economist》 2020年第5期30-44,共15页
Based on the China Global Investment Tracker(CGIT)database of 2005-2018,this paper creates a country-sector-year panel set for a study on the BRI’s investment effects on the transportation sector of BRI countries usi... Based on the China Global Investment Tracker(CGIT)database of 2005-2018,this paper creates a country-sector-year panel set for a study on the BRI’s investment effects on the transportation sector of BRI countries using the difference-in-differencesin-differences(DDD)method.Our study finds that the BRI has significantly increased transportation investments by Chinese companies in the BRI countries without causing significant rise in problem transactions.The"debt trap"narrative that the BRI aims to take control over host countries’sovereign rights in exchange for debt write-offs is not supported by evidence.Discussions on sub-samples reveal that the BRI has mainly propelled SOEs in making transportation investments to generate development effects in host countries,most of which are Asian countries,and that the preferred mode of investment is cross-border M&As. 展开更多
关键词 the Belt and Road Initiative transportation investment development effect debt trap
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