Additive manufacturing(AM),particularly fused deposition modeling(FDM),has emerged as a transformative technology in modern manufacturing processes.The dimensional accuracy of FDM-printed parts is crucial for ensuring...Additive manufacturing(AM),particularly fused deposition modeling(FDM),has emerged as a transformative technology in modern manufacturing processes.The dimensional accuracy of FDM-printed parts is crucial for ensuring their functional integrity and performance.To achieve sustainable manufacturing in FDM,it is necessary to optimize the print quality and time efficiency concurrently.However,owing to the complex interactions of printing parameters,achieving a balanced optimization of both remains challenging.This study examines four key factors affecting dimensional accuracy and print time:printing speed,layer thickness,nozzle temperature,and bed temperature.Fifty parameter sets were generated using enhanced Latin hypercube sampling.A whale optimization algorithm(WOA)-enhanced support vector regression(SVR)model was developed to predict dimen-sional errors and print time effectively,with non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm Ⅲ(NSGA-Ⅲ)utilized for multi-objective optimization.The technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution(TOPSIS)was applied to select a balanced solution from the Pareto front.In experimental validation,the parts printed using the optimized parameters exhibited excellent dimensional accuracy and printing efficiency.This study comprehensively considered optimizing the printing time and size to meet quality requirements while achieving higher printing efficiency and aiding in the realization of sustainable manufacturing in the field of AM.In addition,the printing of a specific prosthetic component was used as a case study,highlighting the high demands on both dimensional precision and printing efficiency.The optimized process parameters required significantly less printing time,while satisfying the dimensional accuracy requirements.This study provides valuable insights for achieving sustainable AM using FDM.展开更多
The curse of dimensionality refers to the problem o increased sparsity and computational complexity when dealing with high-dimensional data.In recent years,the types and vari ables of industrial data have increased si...The curse of dimensionality refers to the problem o increased sparsity and computational complexity when dealing with high-dimensional data.In recent years,the types and vari ables of industrial data have increased significantly,making data driven models more challenging to develop.To address this prob lem,data augmentation technology has been introduced as an effective tool to solve the sparsity problem of high-dimensiona industrial data.This paper systematically explores and discusses the necessity,feasibility,and effectiveness of augmented indus trial data-driven modeling in the context of the curse of dimen sionality and virtual big data.Then,the process of data augmen tation modeling is analyzed,and the concept of data boosting augmentation is proposed.The data boosting augmentation involves designing the reliability weight and actual-virtual weigh functions,and developing a double weighted partial least squares model to optimize the three stages of data generation,data fusion and modeling.This approach significantly improves the inter pretability,effectiveness,and practicality of data augmentation in the industrial modeling.Finally,the proposed method is verified using practical examples of fault diagnosis systems and virtua measurement systems in the industry.The results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach in improving the accu racy and robustness of data-driven models,making them more suitable for real-world industrial applications.展开更多
With the continual deployment of power-electronics-interfaced renewable energy resources,increasing privacy concerns due to deregulation of electricity markets,and the diversification of demand-side activities,traditi...With the continual deployment of power-electronics-interfaced renewable energy resources,increasing privacy concerns due to deregulation of electricity markets,and the diversification of demand-side activities,traditional knowledge-based power system dynamic modeling methods are faced with unprecedented challenges.Data-driven modeling has been increasingly studied in recent years because of its lesser need for prior knowledge,higher capability of handling large-scale systems,and better adaptability to variations of system operating conditions.This paper discusses about the motivations and the generalized process of datadriven modeling,and provides a comprehensive overview of various state-of-the-art techniques and applications.It also comparatively presents the advantages and disadvantages of these methods and provides insight into outstanding challenges and possible research directions for the future.展开更多
The dynamical modeling of projectile systems with sufficient accuracy is of great difficulty due to high-dimensional space and various perturbations.With the rapid development of data science and scientific tools of m...The dynamical modeling of projectile systems with sufficient accuracy is of great difficulty due to high-dimensional space and various perturbations.With the rapid development of data science and scientific tools of measurement recently,there are numerous data-driven methods devoted to discovering governing laws from data.In this work,a data-driven method is employed to perform the modeling of the projectile based on the Kramers–Moyal formulas.More specifically,the four-dimensional projectile system is assumed as an It?stochastic differential equation.Then the least square method and sparse learning are applied to identify the drift coefficient and diffusion matrix from sample path data,which agree well with the real system.The effectiveness of the data-driven method demonstrates that it will become a powerful tool in extracting governing equations and predicting complex dynamical behaviors of the projectile.展开更多
Blades are essential components of wind turbines.Reducing their fatigue loads during operation helps to extend their lifespan,but it is difficult to quickly and accurately calculate the fatigue loads of blades.To solv...Blades are essential components of wind turbines.Reducing their fatigue loads during operation helps to extend their lifespan,but it is difficult to quickly and accurately calculate the fatigue loads of blades.To solve this problem,this paper innovatively designs a data-driven blade load modeling method based on a deep learning framework through mechanism analysis,feature selection,and model construction.In the mechanism analysis part,the generation mechanism of blade loads and the load theoretical calculationmethod based on material damage theory are analyzed,and four measurable operating state parameters related to blade loads are screened;in the feature extraction part,15 characteristic indicators of each screened parameter are extracted in the time and frequency domain,and feature selection is completed through correlation analysis with blade loads to determine the input parameters of data-driven modeling;in the model construction part,a deep neural network based on feedforward and feedback propagation is designed to construct the nonlinear coupling relationship between the unit operating parameter characteristics and blade loads.The results show that the proposed method mines the wind turbine operating state characteristics highly correlated with the blade load,such as the standard deviation of wind speed.The model built using these characteristics has reasonable calculation and fitting capabilities for the blade load and shows a better fitting level for untrained out-of-sample data than the traditional scheme.Based on the mean absolute percentage error calculation,the modeling accuracy of the two blade loads can reach more than 90%and 80%,respectively,providing a good foundation for the subsequent optimization control to suppress the blade load.展开更多
Pressure differential deviations under static conditions and pressure convergence fluctuations under dynamic disturbances are widely reported problems with pressure differential control in pharmaceutical cleanrooms,ye...Pressure differential deviations under static conditions and pressure convergence fluctuations under dynamic disturbances are widely reported problems with pressure differential control in pharmaceutical cleanrooms,yet their underlying mechanisms and key reasons remain insufficiently explored.This study performed a field survey and model-based simulations to identify the major influencing parameters and quantify their influence on pressure differentials.Twelve pharmaceutical cleanrooms with varying environmental control parameters were included in the field survey,all of which were served by a variable air volume(VAV)ventilation system.Large deviations between actual and design pressure differentials were found,ranging from 10%to 42.5%,and a total of 24 uncertain parameters and their respective uncertainty ranges were identified.Based on the field survey,a data-driven pressure differential response model was developed using MATLAB/Simulink platform.The model fully took into account the system dynamics and facilitated real-time monitoring and control of the pressure differential.Sobol-based sensitivity analysis was then conducted to identify key influencing parameters of pressure differential deviations.The simulated results revealed that static pressure differential deviations were predominantly influenced by pressure sensing accuracy,exhaust airflow accuracy,and duct impedance,while dynamic disturbances were mainly driven by room envelope airtightness and supply airflow accuracy.The interactions between connected zones were pronounced.Rooms with higher branch duct impedance experienced smaller pressure differential deviations due to natural buffering characteristics,while the parameter uncertainties in these rooms significantly affected pressure differential in other rooms.These findings offer practical guidance for the design and operation of precise pressure differential control in pharmaceutical cleanrooms.展开更多
Wetting deformation in earth-rockfill dams is a critical factor influencingdam safety.Although numerous mathematical models have been developed to describe this phenomenon,most of them rely on empirical formulations a...Wetting deformation in earth-rockfill dams is a critical factor influencingdam safety.Although numerous mathematical models have been developed to describe this phenomenon,most of them rely on empirical formulations and lack prior knowledge of model parameters,which is essential for Bayesian parameter inversion to enhance accuracy and reduce uncertainty.This study introduces a datadriven approach to establishing prior knowledge of earth-rockfill dams.Driving factors are utilized to determine the potential range of model parameters,and settlement changes within this range are calculated.The results are iteratively compared with actual monitoring data until the calculated range encompasses the observed data,thereby providing prior knowledge of the model parameters.The proposed method is applied to the right-bank earth-rockfilldam of Danjiangkou.Employing a Gibbs sample size of 30,000,the proposed method effectively calibrates the prior knowledge of the wetting model parameters,achieving a root mean square error(RMSE)of 5.18 mm for the settlement predictions.By comparison,the use of non-informative priors with sample sizes of 30,000 and 50,000 results in significantly larger RMSE values of 11.97 mm and 16.07 mm,respectively.Furthermore,the computational efficiencyof the proposed method is demonstrated by an inversion computation time of 902 s for 30,000 samples,which is notably shorter than the 1026 s and 1558 s required for noninformative priors with 30,000 and 50,000 samples,respectively.These findingsunderscore the superior performance of the proposed approach in terms of both prediction accuracy and computational efficiency.These results demonstrate that the proposed method not only improves the predictive accuracy but also enhances the computational efficiency,enabling optimal parameter identificationwith reduced computational effort.This approach provides a robust and efficientframework for advancing dam safety assessments.展开更多
In recent years,there has been an increasing need for climate information across diverse sectors of society.This demand has arisen from the necessity to adapt to and mitigate the impacts of climate variability and cha...In recent years,there has been an increasing need for climate information across diverse sectors of society.This demand has arisen from the necessity to adapt to and mitigate the impacts of climate variability and change.Likewise,this period has seen a significant increase in our understanding of the physical processes and mechanisms that drive precipitation and its variability across different regions of Africa.By leveraging a large volume of climate model outputs,numerous studies have investigated the model representation of African precipitation as well as underlying physical processes.These studies have assessed whether the physical processes are well depicted and whether the models are fit for informing mitigation and adaptation strategies.This paper provides a review of the progress in precipitation simulation overAfrica in state-of-the-science climate models and discusses the major issues and challenges that remain.展开更多
(Quasi-)closed-form results for the statistical properties of unmanned aerial vehicle(UAV)airto-ground channels are derived for the first time using a novel spatial-vector-based method from a threedimensional(3-D)arbi...(Quasi-)closed-form results for the statistical properties of unmanned aerial vehicle(UAV)airto-ground channels are derived for the first time using a novel spatial-vector-based method from a threedimensional(3-D)arbitrary-elevation one-cylinder model.The derived results include a closed-form expression for the space-time correlation function and some quasi-closed-form ones for the space-Doppler power spectrum density,the level crossing rate,and the average fading duration,which are shown to be the generalizations of those previously obtained from the two-dimensional(2-D)one-ring model and the 3-D low-elevation one-cylinder model for terrestrial mobile-to-mobile channels.The close agreements between the theoretical results and the simulations as well as the measurements validate the utility of the derived channel statistics.Based on the derived expressions,the impacts of some parameters on the channel characteristics are investigated in an effective,efficient,and explicable way,which leads to a general guideline on the manual parameter estimation from the measurement description.展开更多
In rock engineering,natural cracks in rock masses subjected to external loads tend to initiate and propagate,leading to potential safety hazards.To investigate the effect of cracking behavior on the mechanical propert...In rock engineering,natural cracks in rock masses subjected to external loads tend to initiate and propagate,leading to potential safety hazards.To investigate the effect of cracking behavior on the mechanical properties of rocks,the cracking processes of pre-cracked rocks have been extensively studied using numerical modeling methods.The peridynamics(PD)exhibits advantages over other numerical methods due to the absence of the requirements for remeshing and external crack growth criterion.However,for modeling pre-cracked rock cracking processes under impact,current PD implementations lack generally applicable rock constitutive models and impact contact models,which leads to difficulties in determining rock material parameters and efficiently calculating impact loads.This paper proposes a non-ordinary state-based peridynamics(NOSBPD)modeling method integrating the Drucker-Prager(DP)plasticity model and an efficient contact model to address the above problems.In the proposed method,the Drucker-Prager plasticity model is integrated into the NOSBPD,thereby equipping NOSBPD with the capability to accurately characterize the nonlinear stress-strain relationship inherent in rocks.An efficient contact model between particles and meshes is designed to calculate the impact loads,which is essentially a coupling method of PD with the finite element method(FEM).The effectiveness of the proposed NOSBPD modeling method is verified by comparison with other numerical methods and experiments.Experimental results indicate that the proposed method can effectively and accurately predict the 3D cracking processes of pre-cracked cracks under impact loading,and the maximum principal stress is the key driver behind wing crack formation in pre-cracked rocks.展开更多
Glassy polymers are widely used in biomedical applications in a solvent environment,yet their long-term performance is governed by the competing effects of physical aging and solvent-induced plasticization.Here,we dev...Glassy polymers are widely used in biomedical applications in a solvent environment,yet their long-term performance is governed by the competing effects of physical aging and solvent-induced plasticization.Here,we develop a constitutive model that explicitly couples the solvent concentration,structural relaxation,and mechanical response.This framework is built on a multiplicative decomposition of deformation and an Eyring-type flow rule,with structural evolution described by an effective temperature.A generalized shift factor is introduced to quantify how the solvent concentration and effective temperature jointly affect the relaxation time,thereby integrating physical aging and plasticization.The model is subsequently applied to methacrylate(MA)-based copolymer networks immersed in phosphate-buffered saline for up to nine months.Simulations accurately capture key experimental features,including the strong softening of highly swellable networks,the partial recovery due to aging,and the mitigating role of hydrophobic crosslinking in reducing solvent uptake.While the current single-mode description cannot reproduce the full relaxation spectrum,it establishes an efficient framework for predicting the long-term mechanical performance under coupled environmental and mechanical loading.This study provides a constitutive description of solvent-swollen glassy polymers,offering mechanistic insight into the interplay between plasticization and aging.Beyond biomedical MA networks,this framework establishes a foundation for predicting the long-term performance of polymer glasses under coupled aqueous environmental and mechanical loading.展开更多
Activation pruning reduces neural network complexity by eliminating low-importance neuron activations,yet identifying the critical pruning threshold—beyond which accuracy rapidly deteriorates—remains computationally...Activation pruning reduces neural network complexity by eliminating low-importance neuron activations,yet identifying the critical pruning threshold—beyond which accuracy rapidly deteriorates—remains computationally expensive and typically requires exhaustive search.We introduce a thermodynamics-inspired framework that treats activation distributions as energy-filtered physical systems and employs the free energy of activations as a principled evaluation metric.Phase-transition-like phenomena in the free-energy profile—such as extrema,inflection points,and curvature changes—yield reliable estimates of the critical pruning threshold,providing a theoretically grounded means of predicting sharp accuracy degradation.To further enhance efficiency,we propose a renormalized free energy technique that approximates full-evaluation free energy using only the activation distribution of the unpruned network.This eliminates repeated forward passes,dramatically reducing computational overhead and achieving speedups of up to 550×for MLPs.Extensive experiments across diverse vision architectures(MLP,CNN,ResNet,MobileNet,Vision Transformer)and text models(LSTM,BERT,ELECTRA,T5,GPT-2)on multiple datasets validate the generality,robustness,and computational efficiency of our approach.Overall,this work establishes a theoretically grounded and practically effective framework for activation pruning,bridging the gap between analytical understanding and efficient deployment of sparse neural networks.展开更多
Kinetic impact is the most practical planetary-defense technique,with momentum-transfer efficiency central to deflection design.We present a Monte Carlo photometric framework that couples ejecta sampling,dynamical evo...Kinetic impact is the most practical planetary-defense technique,with momentum-transfer efficiency central to deflection design.We present a Monte Carlo photometric framework that couples ejecta sampling,dynamical evolution,and image synthesis to compare directly with HST,LICIACube,ground-based and Lucy observations of the DART impact.Decomposing ejecta into(1)a highvelocity(~1600 m/s)plume exhibiting Na/K resonance,(2)a low-velocity(~1 m/s)conical component shaped by binary gravity and solar radiation pressure,and(3)meter-scale boulders,we quantify each component’s mass and momentum.Fitting photometric decay curves and morphological evolution yields size-velocity distributions and,via scaling laws,estimates of Dimorphos’bulk density,cratering parameters,and cohesive strength that agree with dynamical constraints.Photometric ejecta modeling therefore provides a robust route to constrain momentum enhancement and target properties,improving predictive capability for kinetic-deflection missions.展开更多
Xylogenesis,the process through which wood cells are formed,results in the long-term storage of carbon in woody biomass,making it a key component of the global carbon cycle.Understanding how environmental drivers infl...Xylogenesis,the process through which wood cells are formed,results in the long-term storage of carbon in woody biomass,making it a key component of the global carbon cycle.Understanding how environmental drivers influence xylogenesis during the growing season is therefore of great interest.However,studying shortterm drivers of wood production using xylogenetic data is complicated by the usual sampling scheme and the influence of eccentric growth,i.e.,heterogeneous growth around the stem.In this study,we improve xylogenesis research by introducing a statistical approach that explicitly considers seasonal phenology,short-term growth rates,and growth eccentricity.To this end,we developed Bayesian models of xylogenesis and compared them with a conventional method based on the use of Gompertz functions.Our results show that eccentricity generated high temporal autocorrelation between successive samples,and that explicitly taking it into account improved both the representativeness of phenology and intra-ring variability.We observed consistent short-term patterns in the model residuals,suggesting the influence of an unaccounted-for environmental variable on cell production.The proposed models offer several advantages over traditional methods,including robust confidence intervals around predictions,consistency with phenology,and reduced sensitivity to extreme observations at the end of the growing season,often linked to eccentric growth.These models also provide a benchmark for mechanistic testing of short-term drivers of wood formation.展开更多
Industrial robot dynamics lay the foundation for high-precision and high-speed control, and accurate identification of dynamic parameters is essential for precise dynamic calculations. The choice of friction models is...Industrial robot dynamics lay the foundation for high-precision and high-speed control, and accurate identification of dynamic parameters is essential for precise dynamic calculations. The choice of friction models is a critical component in the identification of industrial robot dynamics. Traditional static friction models struggle to capture the hysteresis effects caused by robot joint elasticity and clearances, leading to large torque prediction errors when the joint velocity crosses zero. Due to the presence of hysteresis effects, the joint velocity crosses zero in the forward direction, and the reverse direction will have different friction patterns. Although the hysteresis effects can be modeled as an ordinary differential equation(ODE), it is difficult to determine the ODE structure that achieves both generalization and accuracy to describe the hysteresis effects of the friction model. To address this issue, we propose the neural hysteresis friction(NHF), which uses neural ODE to model the hysteresis effects in a data-driven manner, thereby mitigating the current inadequacies in the study of dynamic friction characteristics. The experiments on a real 6-axis industrial robot demonstrate that our proposed method can accurately model the friction dynamics during directional switching and outperform other modeling methods. Velocity tracking control experiments show that NHF can effectively reduce tracking errors when the velocity crosses zero.展开更多
Slopes are likely to fail in areas with frequent rainfall and earthquakes.The deformation characteristics of unsaturated slopes subjected to post-rainfall earthquakes are investigated using centrifuge model tests and ...Slopes are likely to fail in areas with frequent rainfall and earthquakes.The deformation characteristics of unsaturated slopes subjected to post-rainfall earthquakes are investigated using centrifuge model tests and finite element analyses.Three tests of the slope deformation under earthquake and post-rainfall earthquakes are first studied using image analysis techniques.Then,based on an elastoplastic constitutive model,numerical simulations are carried out using the finite element method and compared with the centrifuge test results.Finally,a parametric study is performed to clarify the effects of antecedent rainfall on earthquake-induced slope deformation.The results show that slope deformation caused by post-rainfall earthquakes differs from that caused by earthquakes without antecedent rainfall.The seepage flow and soil strength of the slope are affected by previous rainfall conditions,such as intensity and duration,which directly influence the slope deformation caused by the subsequent earthquake.Soil displacement and strain become greater and the slip surface is more noticeable during the post-rainfall earthquake of higher intensity.In addition,the time interval between the rainfall and the earthquake has a considerable impact on the detailed characteristics of the slope deformation,and the significant deformation occurs at the time of lowest soil strength when seepage flow reaches the lower part of the slope.Moreover,the repeated intermittent rainfall greatly affects the subsequent earthquake-induced slope deformation,the main characteristics of which are closely related to the changes in saturation and strength of the slope.However,with the prolonged time gap between each round of rainfall,the earthquake-induced slope deformation becomes insignificant.展开更多
In deep coal mining,surrounding rock is subjected to both high in-situ stress and intense mining disturbances,leading to significant time-dependent behavior.Accurately capturing this behavior is essential for predicti...In deep coal mining,surrounding rock is subjected to both high in-situ stress and intense mining disturbances,leading to significant time-dependent behavior.Accurately capturing this behavior is essential for predicting long-term roadway stability,necessitating the development of a reliable constitutive creep model and numerical simulation approach.In this study,creep experiments were conducted on pre-damaged rock with varying initial damage levels to investigate the time-dependent mechanical properties.Based on the experimental results,an accelerated-creep criterion was proposed,and an elastic-viscoplastic creep damage model(EVPCD)was established that simultaneously considers the effects of time-dependent damage and instantaneous damage caused by stress disturbances on rock creep behavior.Subsequently,the effectiveness of the proposed creep model was verified using experimental data,and the secondary development of the EVPCD model was completed based on the FLAC3D platform.Following this,a long-term stability analysis method of deep surrounding rock that accounts for excavation-and mining-induced disturbances was proposed.Using the main roadway of Xutuan Coal Mine as a case study,numerical simulations were carried out to investigate the time-dependent deformation and failure characteristics of the surrounding rock following excavation and mining disturbance.Combined with on-site monitoring of the surrounding rock damage areas,the results indicate that the EVPCD outperforms the CVISC and Nishihara models in predicting the time-dependent behavior of deep surrounding rock.展开更多
Hepatitis B Virus(HBV)infection and heavy alcohol consumption are the two primary pathogenic causes of liver cirrhosis.In this paper,we proposed a deterministic mathematical model and a logistic equation to investigat...Hepatitis B Virus(HBV)infection and heavy alcohol consumption are the two primary pathogenic causes of liver cirrhosis.In this paper,we proposed a deterministic mathematical model and a logistic equation to investigate the dynamics of liver cirrhosis progression as well as to explain the implications of variations in alcohol consumption on chronic hepatitis B patients,respectively.The intricate interactions between liver cirrhosis,recovery,and treatment dynamics are captured by the model.This study aims to show that alcohol consumption by Hepatitis B-infected individuals accelerates liver cirrhosis progression while treatment of acutely infected individuals reduces it.We proved that a unique solution of the proposed model exists,which is positive and bounded.Using the next-generation matrix approach,two basic reproductive numbers R_(A_(0))and R_(A_(max))are calculated to identify future recurrence.The equilibrium points are calculated,and both equilibria are proved locally and globally asymptotically stable when R_(0)is below and above one,respectively.It is shown that bifurcation exists at R_(0)=1 and a detailed proof for forward bifurcation is given.Furthermore,we performed the sensitivity analysis of the model parameters on R_(0).For the confirmation of analytical work,we performed numerical simulations,and the results indicate that the treatment and the inhibitory effects reduce the risk of developing liver cirrhosis in individuals,while heavy alcohol consumption accelerates markedly the liver cirrhosis progression in patients with chronic hepatitis B.展开更多
Mount Kandil is situated in the eastern sector of the EAHP(Eastern Anatolian High Plateau),to the south of the Lesser Caucasus.The mountain lies at the westernmost end of the Aras Mountains,which extends approximately...Mount Kandil is situated in the eastern sector of the EAHP(Eastern Anatolian High Plateau),to the south of the Lesser Caucasus.The mountain lies at the westernmost end of the Aras Mountains,which extends approximately 80 km along a NW-SE axis.With a summit reaching~3214 m(a.s.l.),Mount Kandil is a stratovolcano that,like many other peaks within the EAHP and the Lesser Caucasus,experienced significant environmental changes during Late Pleistocene.Among these,glacial processes stand out as the most profound,having distinctly shaped the mountains geomorphic landscape.This study presents,for the first time,a comprehensive analysis of the glacial morphology of Mount Kandil based on multiple datasets.Field-based morphological observations indicate that an area of approximately 32.62 km^(2)has been sculpted by glacial activity.Within six glaciated regions on Mount Kandil,25 cirques and 6 glacial valleys have been identified.In addition,moraines in various locations exhibit characteristic morphologies.Furthermore,valley glaciers are inferred to have descended to altitudes as low as~2000 m.The paleoequilibrium line(p ELA)was estimated to use AABR method within GIS,yielding a mean pELA of~2730 m.Ice thickness modelling indicates that the thickness of glaciers in the Kandil Mountain valleys reaches up to~350 m.Due to its orographic extension,Mount Kandil is exposed to humid northwest winds and receives substantial frontal precipitation(~686 mm annually).The compiled geomorphic,cartographic and morphometric parameters suggest that the glaciation dynamics of Mount Kandil—situated between the Southeastern Taurus and the Lesser Caucasus—closely resemble those observed in the Lesser Caucasus.This indicates that glaciation was primarily governed by northern atmospheric systems with additional influences from southerly or westerly winds.The integrated data also underscores the role of multiple atmospheric systems in controlling the glaciation regime around the Lesser Caucasus.Additionally,findings on regional pELA question the common belief that pELA increases eastward in EAHP.展开更多
Accurate fault modeling is essential for understanding earthquake rupture processes and improving seismic hazard assessment.We present a unified framework that integrates geodetic data with multidisciplinary constrain...Accurate fault modeling is essential for understanding earthquake rupture processes and improving seismic hazard assessment.We present a unified framework that integrates geodetic data with multidisciplinary constraints,including relocated aftershocks,geological observations,and geophysical information,to adaptively model fault geometry and slip in diverse scenarios such as multi-segment and multi-event ruptures.The framework combines adaptive fault construction with a scenario-driven Bayesian joint inversion approach.Fault geometries are first built from prior constraints,such as surface ruptures and aftershocks,and then refined through probabilistic inference when such data are inadequate.To enhance computational efficiency,we introduce a Sequential Monte Carlo Fukuda-Johnson(SMC-FJ)strategy.This separates nonlinear parameters-including geometry,data weights,and smoothing factors-from linear slip parameters,which are conditionally solved via constrained least squares.Geometry updates follow a hierarchical adjustment scheme based on point,line,and structural units,enabling flexibility across rupture complexities.Synthetic tests and four case studies,including the 2022 Menyuan,2023 Türkiye,2022 Luding,and 2019 Ridgecrest earthquakes,demonstrate robustness under various constraints.For the Menyuan earthquake,full Bayesian inversion confirms that the fault geometry constrained by relocated aftershocks is highly accurate and needs only minor adjustment to match the observed surface deformation.The results further show that gradual changes in fault strike and dip modulated rupture arrest and postseismic stress accumulation,highlighting the critical role of inherited geometric structure in controlling rupture termination and delayed seismic activation.展开更多
基金supporteded by Natural Science Foundation of Shanghai(Grant No.22ZR1463900)State Key Laboratory of Mechanical System and Vibration(Grant No.MSV202318)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(Grant No.22120220649).
文摘Additive manufacturing(AM),particularly fused deposition modeling(FDM),has emerged as a transformative technology in modern manufacturing processes.The dimensional accuracy of FDM-printed parts is crucial for ensuring their functional integrity and performance.To achieve sustainable manufacturing in FDM,it is necessary to optimize the print quality and time efficiency concurrently.However,owing to the complex interactions of printing parameters,achieving a balanced optimization of both remains challenging.This study examines four key factors affecting dimensional accuracy and print time:printing speed,layer thickness,nozzle temperature,and bed temperature.Fifty parameter sets were generated using enhanced Latin hypercube sampling.A whale optimization algorithm(WOA)-enhanced support vector regression(SVR)model was developed to predict dimen-sional errors and print time effectively,with non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm Ⅲ(NSGA-Ⅲ)utilized for multi-objective optimization.The technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution(TOPSIS)was applied to select a balanced solution from the Pareto front.In experimental validation,the parts printed using the optimized parameters exhibited excellent dimensional accuracy and printing efficiency.This study comprehensively considered optimizing the printing time and size to meet quality requirements while achieving higher printing efficiency and aiding in the realization of sustainable manufacturing in the field of AM.In addition,the printing of a specific prosthetic component was used as a case study,highlighting the high demands on both dimensional precision and printing efficiency.The optimized process parameters required significantly less printing time,while satisfying the dimensional accuracy requirements.This study provides valuable insights for achieving sustainable AM using FDM.
基金supported in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(NSFC)(92167106,61833014)Key Research and Development Program of Zhejiang Province(2022C01206)。
文摘The curse of dimensionality refers to the problem o increased sparsity and computational complexity when dealing with high-dimensional data.In recent years,the types and vari ables of industrial data have increased significantly,making data driven models more challenging to develop.To address this prob lem,data augmentation technology has been introduced as an effective tool to solve the sparsity problem of high-dimensiona industrial data.This paper systematically explores and discusses the necessity,feasibility,and effectiveness of augmented indus trial data-driven modeling in the context of the curse of dimen sionality and virtual big data.Then,the process of data augmen tation modeling is analyzed,and the concept of data boosting augmentation is proposed.The data boosting augmentation involves designing the reliability weight and actual-virtual weigh functions,and developing a double weighted partial least squares model to optimize the three stages of data generation,data fusion and modeling.This approach significantly improves the inter pretability,effectiveness,and practicality of data augmentation in the industrial modeling.Finally,the proposed method is verified using practical examples of fault diagnosis systems and virtua measurement systems in the industry.The results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach in improving the accu racy and robustness of data-driven models,making them more suitable for real-world industrial applications.
基金supported by the U.S.Department of Energy’s Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy(EERE)under the Solar Energy Technologies Office Award Number 38456.
文摘With the continual deployment of power-electronics-interfaced renewable energy resources,increasing privacy concerns due to deregulation of electricity markets,and the diversification of demand-side activities,traditional knowledge-based power system dynamic modeling methods are faced with unprecedented challenges.Data-driven modeling has been increasingly studied in recent years because of its lesser need for prior knowledge,higher capability of handling large-scale systems,and better adaptability to variations of system operating conditions.This paper discusses about the motivations and the generalized process of datadriven modeling,and provides a comprehensive overview of various state-of-the-art techniques and applications.It also comparatively presents the advantages and disadvantages of these methods and provides insight into outstanding challenges and possible research directions for the future.
基金the Six Talent Peaks Project in Jiangsu Province,China(Grant No.JXQC-002)。
文摘The dynamical modeling of projectile systems with sufficient accuracy is of great difficulty due to high-dimensional space and various perturbations.With the rapid development of data science and scientific tools of measurement recently,there are numerous data-driven methods devoted to discovering governing laws from data.In this work,a data-driven method is employed to perform the modeling of the projectile based on the Kramers–Moyal formulas.More specifically,the four-dimensional projectile system is assumed as an It?stochastic differential equation.Then the least square method and sparse learning are applied to identify the drift coefficient and diffusion matrix from sample path data,which agree well with the real system.The effectiveness of the data-driven method demonstrates that it will become a powerful tool in extracting governing equations and predicting complex dynamical behaviors of the projectile.
基金supported by Science and Technology Project funding from China Southern Power Grid Corporation No.GDKJXM20230245(031700KC23020003).
文摘Blades are essential components of wind turbines.Reducing their fatigue loads during operation helps to extend their lifespan,but it is difficult to quickly and accurately calculate the fatigue loads of blades.To solve this problem,this paper innovatively designs a data-driven blade load modeling method based on a deep learning framework through mechanism analysis,feature selection,and model construction.In the mechanism analysis part,the generation mechanism of blade loads and the load theoretical calculationmethod based on material damage theory are analyzed,and four measurable operating state parameters related to blade loads are screened;in the feature extraction part,15 characteristic indicators of each screened parameter are extracted in the time and frequency domain,and feature selection is completed through correlation analysis with blade loads to determine the input parameters of data-driven modeling;in the model construction part,a deep neural network based on feedforward and feedback propagation is designed to construct the nonlinear coupling relationship between the unit operating parameter characteristics and blade loads.The results show that the proposed method mines the wind turbine operating state characteristics highly correlated with the blade load,such as the standard deviation of wind speed.The model built using these characteristics has reasonable calculation and fitting capabilities for the blade load and shows a better fitting level for untrained out-of-sample data than the traditional scheme.Based on the mean absolute percentage error calculation,the modeling accuracy of the two blade loads can reach more than 90%and 80%,respectively,providing a good foundation for the subsequent optimization control to suppress the blade load.
基金supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Hunan Province of China(No.2024JJ9082)by the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(No.531118010378).
文摘Pressure differential deviations under static conditions and pressure convergence fluctuations under dynamic disturbances are widely reported problems with pressure differential control in pharmaceutical cleanrooms,yet their underlying mechanisms and key reasons remain insufficiently explored.This study performed a field survey and model-based simulations to identify the major influencing parameters and quantify their influence on pressure differentials.Twelve pharmaceutical cleanrooms with varying environmental control parameters were included in the field survey,all of which were served by a variable air volume(VAV)ventilation system.Large deviations between actual and design pressure differentials were found,ranging from 10%to 42.5%,and a total of 24 uncertain parameters and their respective uncertainty ranges were identified.Based on the field survey,a data-driven pressure differential response model was developed using MATLAB/Simulink platform.The model fully took into account the system dynamics and facilitated real-time monitoring and control of the pressure differential.Sobol-based sensitivity analysis was then conducted to identify key influencing parameters of pressure differential deviations.The simulated results revealed that static pressure differential deviations were predominantly influenced by pressure sensing accuracy,exhaust airflow accuracy,and duct impedance,while dynamic disturbances were mainly driven by room envelope airtightness and supply airflow accuracy.The interactions between connected zones were pronounced.Rooms with higher branch duct impedance experienced smaller pressure differential deviations due to natural buffering characteristics,while the parameter uncertainties in these rooms significantly affected pressure differential in other rooms.These findings offer practical guidance for the design and operation of precise pressure differential control in pharmaceutical cleanrooms.
基金supported by the National Key R&D Program of China(Grant No.2023YFC3209504)Natural Science Foundation of Wuhan(Grant No.2024040801020271)the Fundamental Research Funds for Central Public Welfare Research Institutes(Grant No.CKSF2025718/YT).
文摘Wetting deformation in earth-rockfill dams is a critical factor influencingdam safety.Although numerous mathematical models have been developed to describe this phenomenon,most of them rely on empirical formulations and lack prior knowledge of model parameters,which is essential for Bayesian parameter inversion to enhance accuracy and reduce uncertainty.This study introduces a datadriven approach to establishing prior knowledge of earth-rockfill dams.Driving factors are utilized to determine the potential range of model parameters,and settlement changes within this range are calculated.The results are iteratively compared with actual monitoring data until the calculated range encompasses the observed data,thereby providing prior knowledge of the model parameters.The proposed method is applied to the right-bank earth-rockfilldam of Danjiangkou.Employing a Gibbs sample size of 30,000,the proposed method effectively calibrates the prior knowledge of the wetting model parameters,achieving a root mean square error(RMSE)of 5.18 mm for the settlement predictions.By comparison,the use of non-informative priors with sample sizes of 30,000 and 50,000 results in significantly larger RMSE values of 11.97 mm and 16.07 mm,respectively.Furthermore,the computational efficiencyof the proposed method is demonstrated by an inversion computation time of 902 s for 30,000 samples,which is notably shorter than the 1026 s and 1558 s required for noninformative priors with 30,000 and 50,000 samples,respectively.These findingsunderscore the superior performance of the proposed approach in terms of both prediction accuracy and computational efficiency.These results demonstrate that the proposed method not only improves the predictive accuracy but also enhances the computational efficiency,enabling optimal parameter identificationwith reduced computational effort.This approach provides a robust and efficientframework for advancing dam safety assessments.
基金the World Climate Research Programme(WCRP),Climate Variability and Predictability(CLIVAR),and Global Energy and Water Exchanges(GEWEX)for facilitating the coordination of African monsoon researchsupport from the Center for Earth System Modeling,Analysis,and Data at the Pennsylvania State Universitythe support of the Office of Science of the U.S.Department of Energy Biological and Environmental Research as part of the Regional&Global Model Analysis(RGMA)program area。
文摘In recent years,there has been an increasing need for climate information across diverse sectors of society.This demand has arisen from the necessity to adapt to and mitigate the impacts of climate variability and change.Likewise,this period has seen a significant increase in our understanding of the physical processes and mechanisms that drive precipitation and its variability across different regions of Africa.By leveraging a large volume of climate model outputs,numerous studies have investigated the model representation of African precipitation as well as underlying physical processes.These studies have assessed whether the physical processes are well depicted and whether the models are fit for informing mitigation and adaptation strategies.This paper provides a review of the progress in precipitation simulation overAfrica in state-of-the-science climate models and discusses the major issues and challenges that remain.
基金supported in part by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(2021YFB2900501)in part by the Shaanxi Science and Technology Innovation Team(2023-CX-TD-03)+3 种基金in part by the Science and Technology Program of Shaanxi Province(2021GXLH-Z-038)in part by the Natural Science Foundation of Hunan Province(2023JJ40607 and 2023JJ50045)in part by the Scientific Research Foundation of Hunan Provincial Education Department(23B0713 and 24B0603)in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(62401371,62101275,and 62372070).
文摘(Quasi-)closed-form results for the statistical properties of unmanned aerial vehicle(UAV)airto-ground channels are derived for the first time using a novel spatial-vector-based method from a threedimensional(3-D)arbitrary-elevation one-cylinder model.The derived results include a closed-form expression for the space-time correlation function and some quasi-closed-form ones for the space-Doppler power spectrum density,the level crossing rate,and the average fading duration,which are shown to be the generalizations of those previously obtained from the two-dimensional(2-D)one-ring model and the 3-D low-elevation one-cylinder model for terrestrial mobile-to-mobile channels.The close agreements between the theoretical results and the simulations as well as the measurements validate the utility of the derived channel statistics.Based on the derived expressions,the impacts of some parameters on the channel characteristics are investigated in an effective,efficient,and explicable way,which leads to a general guideline on the manual parameter estimation from the measurement description.
基金support from the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.42277161 and 42230709).
文摘In rock engineering,natural cracks in rock masses subjected to external loads tend to initiate and propagate,leading to potential safety hazards.To investigate the effect of cracking behavior on the mechanical properties of rocks,the cracking processes of pre-cracked rocks have been extensively studied using numerical modeling methods.The peridynamics(PD)exhibits advantages over other numerical methods due to the absence of the requirements for remeshing and external crack growth criterion.However,for modeling pre-cracked rock cracking processes under impact,current PD implementations lack generally applicable rock constitutive models and impact contact models,which leads to difficulties in determining rock material parameters and efficiently calculating impact loads.This paper proposes a non-ordinary state-based peridynamics(NOSBPD)modeling method integrating the Drucker-Prager(DP)plasticity model and an efficient contact model to address the above problems.In the proposed method,the Drucker-Prager plasticity model is integrated into the NOSBPD,thereby equipping NOSBPD with the capability to accurately characterize the nonlinear stress-strain relationship inherent in rocks.An efficient contact model between particles and meshes is designed to calculate the impact loads,which is essentially a coupling method of PD with the finite element method(FEM).The effectiveness of the proposed NOSBPD modeling method is verified by comparison with other numerical methods and experiments.Experimental results indicate that the proposed method can effectively and accurately predict the 3D cracking processes of pre-cracked cracks under impact loading,and the maximum principal stress is the key driver behind wing crack formation in pre-cracked rocks.
基金the funding support from the Smart Medicine and Engineering Interdisciplinary Innovation Project of Ningbo University(No.ZHYG003)。
文摘Glassy polymers are widely used in biomedical applications in a solvent environment,yet their long-term performance is governed by the competing effects of physical aging and solvent-induced plasticization.Here,we develop a constitutive model that explicitly couples the solvent concentration,structural relaxation,and mechanical response.This framework is built on a multiplicative decomposition of deformation and an Eyring-type flow rule,with structural evolution described by an effective temperature.A generalized shift factor is introduced to quantify how the solvent concentration and effective temperature jointly affect the relaxation time,thereby integrating physical aging and plasticization.The model is subsequently applied to methacrylate(MA)-based copolymer networks immersed in phosphate-buffered saline for up to nine months.Simulations accurately capture key experimental features,including the strong softening of highly swellable networks,the partial recovery due to aging,and the mitigating role of hydrophobic crosslinking in reducing solvent uptake.While the current single-mode description cannot reproduce the full relaxation spectrum,it establishes an efficient framework for predicting the long-term mechanical performance under coupled environmental and mechanical loading.This study provides a constitutive description of solvent-swollen glassy polymers,offering mechanistic insight into the interplay between plasticization and aging.Beyond biomedical MA networks,this framework establishes a foundation for predicting the long-term performance of polymer glasses under coupled aqueous environmental and mechanical loading.
基金output of a research project implemented as part of the Basic Research Program at HSE University。
文摘Activation pruning reduces neural network complexity by eliminating low-importance neuron activations,yet identifying the critical pruning threshold—beyond which accuracy rapidly deteriorates—remains computationally expensive and typically requires exhaustive search.We introduce a thermodynamics-inspired framework that treats activation distributions as energy-filtered physical systems and employs the free energy of activations as a principled evaluation metric.Phase-transition-like phenomena in the free-energy profile—such as extrema,inflection points,and curvature changes—yield reliable estimates of the critical pruning threshold,providing a theoretically grounded means of predicting sharp accuracy degradation.To further enhance efficiency,we propose a renormalized free energy technique that approximates full-evaluation free energy using only the activation distribution of the unpruned network.This eliminates repeated forward passes,dramatically reducing computational overhead and achieving speedups of up to 550×for MLPs.Extensive experiments across diverse vision architectures(MLP,CNN,ResNet,MobileNet,Vision Transformer)and text models(LSTM,BERT,ELECTRA,T5,GPT-2)on multiple datasets validate the generality,robustness,and computational efficiency of our approach.Overall,this work establishes a theoretically grounded and practically effective framework for activation pruning,bridging the gap between analytical understanding and efficient deployment of sparse neural networks.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.12272018)the National Key Basic Research Project(2022JCJQZD20600).
文摘Kinetic impact is the most practical planetary-defense technique,with momentum-transfer efficiency central to deflection design.We present a Monte Carlo photometric framework that couples ejecta sampling,dynamical evolution,and image synthesis to compare directly with HST,LICIACube,ground-based and Lucy observations of the DART impact.Decomposing ejecta into(1)a highvelocity(~1600 m/s)plume exhibiting Na/K resonance,(2)a low-velocity(~1 m/s)conical component shaped by binary gravity and solar radiation pressure,and(3)meter-scale boulders,we quantify each component’s mass and momentum.Fitting photometric decay curves and morphological evolution yields size-velocity distributions and,via scaling laws,estimates of Dimorphos’bulk density,cratering parameters,and cohesive strength that agree with dynamical constraints.Photometric ejecta modeling therefore provides a robust route to constrain momentum enhancement and target properties,improving predictive capability for kinetic-deflection missions.
基金supported by the Discovery Grants program of the Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada(No.RGPIN-2021-03553)the Canadian Research Chair in dendroecology and dendroclimatology(CRC-2021-00368)+3 种基金the Ministère des Ressources Naturelles et des Forèts(MRNF,Contract no.142332177-D)the Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada(Alliance Grant No.ALLRP 557148-20,obtained in partnership with the MRNF and Resolute Forest Products)the Fonds de recherche du Qu ebec–Nature et technologies(Partnership Research Program on the Contribution of the Forestry Sector to Climate Change MitigationGrant No.2022-0FC-309064)。
文摘Xylogenesis,the process through which wood cells are formed,results in the long-term storage of carbon in woody biomass,making it a key component of the global carbon cycle.Understanding how environmental drivers influence xylogenesis during the growing season is therefore of great interest.However,studying shortterm drivers of wood production using xylogenetic data is complicated by the usual sampling scheme and the influence of eccentric growth,i.e.,heterogeneous growth around the stem.In this study,we improve xylogenesis research by introducing a statistical approach that explicitly considers seasonal phenology,short-term growth rates,and growth eccentricity.To this end,we developed Bayesian models of xylogenesis and compared them with a conventional method based on the use of Gompertz functions.Our results show that eccentricity generated high temporal autocorrelation between successive samples,and that explicitly taking it into account improved both the representativeness of phenology and intra-ring variability.We observed consistent short-term patterns in the model residuals,suggesting the influence of an unaccounted-for environmental variable on cell production.The proposed models offer several advantages over traditional methods,including robust confidence intervals around predictions,consistency with phenology,and reduced sensitivity to extreme observations at the end of the growing season,often linked to eccentric growth.These models also provide a benchmark for mechanistic testing of short-term drivers of wood formation.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No.52188102)。
文摘Industrial robot dynamics lay the foundation for high-precision and high-speed control, and accurate identification of dynamic parameters is essential for precise dynamic calculations. The choice of friction models is a critical component in the identification of industrial robot dynamics. Traditional static friction models struggle to capture the hysteresis effects caused by robot joint elasticity and clearances, leading to large torque prediction errors when the joint velocity crosses zero. Due to the presence of hysteresis effects, the joint velocity crosses zero in the forward direction, and the reverse direction will have different friction patterns. Although the hysteresis effects can be modeled as an ordinary differential equation(ODE), it is difficult to determine the ODE structure that achieves both generalization and accuracy to describe the hysteresis effects of the friction model. To address this issue, we propose the neural hysteresis friction(NHF), which uses neural ODE to model the hysteresis effects in a data-driven manner, thereby mitigating the current inadequacies in the study of dynamic friction characteristics. The experiments on a real 6-axis industrial robot demonstrate that our proposed method can accurately model the friction dynamics during directional switching and outperform other modeling methods. Velocity tracking control experiments show that NHF can effectively reduce tracking errors when the velocity crosses zero.
基金supported by the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation(CPSF)(Grant No.2024M762769)the Natural Science Basic Research Program of Shaanxi(Grant No.2024JC-YBQN-0333)the Postdoctoral Fellowship Program of CPSF(Grant No.GZC20232230).
文摘Slopes are likely to fail in areas with frequent rainfall and earthquakes.The deformation characteristics of unsaturated slopes subjected to post-rainfall earthquakes are investigated using centrifuge model tests and finite element analyses.Three tests of the slope deformation under earthquake and post-rainfall earthquakes are first studied using image analysis techniques.Then,based on an elastoplastic constitutive model,numerical simulations are carried out using the finite element method and compared with the centrifuge test results.Finally,a parametric study is performed to clarify the effects of antecedent rainfall on earthquake-induced slope deformation.The results show that slope deformation caused by post-rainfall earthquakes differs from that caused by earthquakes without antecedent rainfall.The seepage flow and soil strength of the slope are affected by previous rainfall conditions,such as intensity and duration,which directly influence the slope deformation caused by the subsequent earthquake.Soil displacement and strain become greater and the slip surface is more noticeable during the post-rainfall earthquake of higher intensity.In addition,the time interval between the rainfall and the earthquake has a considerable impact on the detailed characteristics of the slope deformation,and the significant deformation occurs at the time of lowest soil strength when seepage flow reaches the lower part of the slope.Moreover,the repeated intermittent rainfall greatly affects the subsequent earthquake-induced slope deformation,the main characteristics of which are closely related to the changes in saturation and strength of the slope.However,with the prolonged time gap between each round of rainfall,the earthquake-induced slope deformation becomes insignificant.
基金funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.52004098,U24B2041,and 52274079)the Key Research and Development Program of Henan Province(No.251111320400)+1 种基金the Key Research Project Plan for Higher Education Institutions in Henan Province(Nos.24A570006 and 25A570002)the Scientific and Technological Research Project in Henan Province(No.242102320061).
文摘In deep coal mining,surrounding rock is subjected to both high in-situ stress and intense mining disturbances,leading to significant time-dependent behavior.Accurately capturing this behavior is essential for predicting long-term roadway stability,necessitating the development of a reliable constitutive creep model and numerical simulation approach.In this study,creep experiments were conducted on pre-damaged rock with varying initial damage levels to investigate the time-dependent mechanical properties.Based on the experimental results,an accelerated-creep criterion was proposed,and an elastic-viscoplastic creep damage model(EVPCD)was established that simultaneously considers the effects of time-dependent damage and instantaneous damage caused by stress disturbances on rock creep behavior.Subsequently,the effectiveness of the proposed creep model was verified using experimental data,and the secondary development of the EVPCD model was completed based on the FLAC3D platform.Following this,a long-term stability analysis method of deep surrounding rock that accounts for excavation-and mining-induced disturbances was proposed.Using the main roadway of Xutuan Coal Mine as a case study,numerical simulations were carried out to investigate the time-dependent deformation and failure characteristics of the surrounding rock following excavation and mining disturbance.Combined with on-site monitoring of the surrounding rock damage areas,the results indicate that the EVPCD outperforms the CVISC and Nishihara models in predicting the time-dependent behavior of deep surrounding rock.
文摘Hepatitis B Virus(HBV)infection and heavy alcohol consumption are the two primary pathogenic causes of liver cirrhosis.In this paper,we proposed a deterministic mathematical model and a logistic equation to investigate the dynamics of liver cirrhosis progression as well as to explain the implications of variations in alcohol consumption on chronic hepatitis B patients,respectively.The intricate interactions between liver cirrhosis,recovery,and treatment dynamics are captured by the model.This study aims to show that alcohol consumption by Hepatitis B-infected individuals accelerates liver cirrhosis progression while treatment of acutely infected individuals reduces it.We proved that a unique solution of the proposed model exists,which is positive and bounded.Using the next-generation matrix approach,two basic reproductive numbers R_(A_(0))and R_(A_(max))are calculated to identify future recurrence.The equilibrium points are calculated,and both equilibria are proved locally and globally asymptotically stable when R_(0)is below and above one,respectively.It is shown that bifurcation exists at R_(0)=1 and a detailed proof for forward bifurcation is given.Furthermore,we performed the sensitivity analysis of the model parameters on R_(0).For the confirmation of analytical work,we performed numerical simulations,and the results indicate that the treatment and the inhibitory effects reduce the risk of developing liver cirrhosis in individuals,while heavy alcohol consumption accelerates markedly the liver cirrhosis progression in patients with chronic hepatitis B.
基金supported by Van Yüzüncü Yıl University,Scientific Research Projects Coordination Unit(Project No:SDK-2025-11935)Van Yüzüncü Yıl University,Scientific Research Projects Coordination Unit for supporting the study。
文摘Mount Kandil is situated in the eastern sector of the EAHP(Eastern Anatolian High Plateau),to the south of the Lesser Caucasus.The mountain lies at the westernmost end of the Aras Mountains,which extends approximately 80 km along a NW-SE axis.With a summit reaching~3214 m(a.s.l.),Mount Kandil is a stratovolcano that,like many other peaks within the EAHP and the Lesser Caucasus,experienced significant environmental changes during Late Pleistocene.Among these,glacial processes stand out as the most profound,having distinctly shaped the mountains geomorphic landscape.This study presents,for the first time,a comprehensive analysis of the glacial morphology of Mount Kandil based on multiple datasets.Field-based morphological observations indicate that an area of approximately 32.62 km^(2)has been sculpted by glacial activity.Within six glaciated regions on Mount Kandil,25 cirques and 6 glacial valleys have been identified.In addition,moraines in various locations exhibit characteristic morphologies.Furthermore,valley glaciers are inferred to have descended to altitudes as low as~2000 m.The paleoequilibrium line(p ELA)was estimated to use AABR method within GIS,yielding a mean pELA of~2730 m.Ice thickness modelling indicates that the thickness of glaciers in the Kandil Mountain valleys reaches up to~350 m.Due to its orographic extension,Mount Kandil is exposed to humid northwest winds and receives substantial frontal precipitation(~686 mm annually).The compiled geomorphic,cartographic and morphometric parameters suggest that the glaciation dynamics of Mount Kandil—situated between the Southeastern Taurus and the Lesser Caucasus—closely resemble those observed in the Lesser Caucasus.This indicates that glaciation was primarily governed by northern atmospheric systems with additional influences from southerly or westerly winds.The integrated data also underscores the role of multiple atmospheric systems in controlling the glaciation regime around the Lesser Caucasus.Additionally,findings on regional pELA question the common belief that pELA increases eastward in EAHP.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.42130101,42474002,42374003&42564002)the Jiangxi Provincial Natural Science Foundation(Grant No.20252BAC240262).
文摘Accurate fault modeling is essential for understanding earthquake rupture processes and improving seismic hazard assessment.We present a unified framework that integrates geodetic data with multidisciplinary constraints,including relocated aftershocks,geological observations,and geophysical information,to adaptively model fault geometry and slip in diverse scenarios such as multi-segment and multi-event ruptures.The framework combines adaptive fault construction with a scenario-driven Bayesian joint inversion approach.Fault geometries are first built from prior constraints,such as surface ruptures and aftershocks,and then refined through probabilistic inference when such data are inadequate.To enhance computational efficiency,we introduce a Sequential Monte Carlo Fukuda-Johnson(SMC-FJ)strategy.This separates nonlinear parameters-including geometry,data weights,and smoothing factors-from linear slip parameters,which are conditionally solved via constrained least squares.Geometry updates follow a hierarchical adjustment scheme based on point,line,and structural units,enabling flexibility across rupture complexities.Synthetic tests and four case studies,including the 2022 Menyuan,2023 Türkiye,2022 Luding,and 2019 Ridgecrest earthquakes,demonstrate robustness under various constraints.For the Menyuan earthquake,full Bayesian inversion confirms that the fault geometry constrained by relocated aftershocks is highly accurate and needs only minor adjustment to match the observed surface deformation.The results further show that gradual changes in fault strike and dip modulated rupture arrest and postseismic stress accumulation,highlighting the critical role of inherited geometric structure in controlling rupture termination and delayed seismic activation.
