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Optimal two-channel switching false data injection attacks against remote state estimation of the unmanned aerial vehicle cyber-physical system
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作者 Juhong Zheng Dawei Liu +1 位作者 Jinxing Hua Xin Ning 《Defence Technology(防务技术)》 2025年第5期319-332,共14页
A security issue with multi-sensor unmanned aerial vehicle(UAV)cyber physical systems(CPS)from the viewpoint of a false data injection(FDI)attacker is investigated in this paper.The FDI attacker can employ attacks on ... A security issue with multi-sensor unmanned aerial vehicle(UAV)cyber physical systems(CPS)from the viewpoint of a false data injection(FDI)attacker is investigated in this paper.The FDI attacker can employ attacks on feedback and feed-forward channels simultaneously with limited resource.The attacker aims at degrading the UAV CPS's estimation performance to the max while keeping stealthiness characterized by the Kullback-Leibler(K-L)divergence.The attacker is resource limited which can only attack part of sensors,and the attacked sensor as well as specific forms of attack signals at each instant should be considered by the attacker.Also,the sensor selection principle is investigated with respect to time invariant attack covariances.Additionally,the optimal switching attack strategies in regard to time variant attack covariances are modeled as a multi-agent Markov decision process(MDP)with hybrid discrete-continuous action space.Then,the multi-agent MDP is solved by utilizing the deep Multi-agent parameterized Q-networks(MAPQN)method.Ultimately,a quadrotor near hover system is used to validate the effectiveness of the results in the simulation section. 展开更多
关键词 Unmanned aerial vehicle(UAV) Cyber physical systems(CPS) K-L divergence Multi-sensor fusion kalman filter Stealthy switching false data injection(FDI) ATTACKS
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ZTE Launches the World's Largest Capacity Data Center Switches
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作者 ZTE Corporation 《ZTE Communications》 2013年第3期45-45,共1页
24 September 2013, Shenzhen--ZTE today announced the release of the BigMatrix 9900 series of data center switches, the world' s largest-capacity data center switches. The BigMatrix 9900 product family comprises data... 24 September 2013, Shenzhen--ZTE today announced the release of the BigMatrix 9900 series of data center switches, the world' s largest-capacity data center switches. The BigMatrix 9900 product family comprises data switches with the largest capacity in the world. The switches are designed large cloud computing and big data scenarios and allow for higher-density deployment in data centers. Each single slot can support up to 144 10G ports, 36 40G ports, or 12 IOOG ports. The Big Matrix 9900 series comprises four switch models-9916, 9912, 9908, and 9904-each of which supports a maximum switching capacity of 84.48 Tbps. 展开更多
关键词 ZTE Launches the World’s Largest Capacity data Center switches World data
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A TestBed for Deployment of Datacenter Switches for Training Purposes
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作者 E. Sumanth Reddy K. Pavan Kumar Hamid Shahnasser 《Journal of Computer and Communications》 2017年第3期129-135,共7页
Today’s network industry needs highly qualified engineers to understand, configure, develop and upgrade switches that can build scalable high performance and ultra-low latency networks. This paper describes a new net... Today’s network industry needs highly qualified engineers to understand, configure, develop and upgrade switches that can build scalable high performance and ultra-low latency networks. This paper describes a new networking laboratory that has been set up to provide hands-on experience on datacenter network switches, such as ARISTA, programming and monitoring the traffic. This paper explains the networking laboratory coursework that students carry out during the course of a semester. The laboratory consists of six hands on experiments on the latest datacenter switches from Arista Networks, two programming assignments that teaches some of the protocols used at data link layer and routing protocols used at the network layer of OSI reference model. The final two laboratory experiments use the Wireshark software tool for traffic monitoring and peeking into details of some of the protocols in TCP/IP such as ARP protocol, Ethernet and so forth. The coursework details include the switch basics, switch hardware, Extensible Operating System (EOS), configuration of Link Aggregation Control Protocol, Multi-chassis Link Aggregation Protocol, Access Control Lists, and Open Short Path First version 2 on Arista switches 7050T-64 and 7048T-4S. The programming tasks cover High-level Data Link Control (HDLC) and Routing Algorithms. 展开更多
关键词 Arista data CENTRE switches Link Aggregation CONTROL Protocol MLAG Access CONTROL Lists OSPF WIRESHARK
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基于DataTaker采集器的传感器连接自动切换系统 被引量:3
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作者 苏成 谭林 +3 位作者 徐郁峰 潘志刚 陈宽德 李静 《华南理工大学学报(自然科学版)》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2008年第12期38-42,共5页
针对传统大跨度桥梁结构监测数据采集系统存在的数据采集成本高、效率低等问题,提出了基于DataTaker采集器的传感器连接自动切换系统.该系统将传感器与采集器的连接方式由直接相连变为通过集线器及控制器相连,并利用DataTaker采集器输... 针对传统大跨度桥梁结构监测数据采集系统存在的数据采集成本高、效率低等问题,提出了基于DataTaker采集器的传感器连接自动切换系统.该系统将传感器与采集器的连接方式由直接相连变为通过集线器及控制器相连,并利用DataTaker采集器输出的数字信号激发控制器,由控制器对集线器与传感器的连接进行自动切换,以完成采集器对传感器的数据采集.通过实验室测试,验证了该系统具有可靠性高、稳定性好的特点.将该系统应用于一大跨度拱桥的应力监测,发现该系统有效地降低了监测成本,提高了数据采集、存储与传输的效率,具有较强的实用性. 展开更多
关键词 桥梁监测 数据采集系统 自动切换系统 传感器 集线器 控制器 采集器
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基于改进Switching集成算法的具有类间重叠不平衡数据分类 被引量:2
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作者 张建同 李君昌 +1 位作者 王来 樊重俊 《系统工程》 CSSCI CSCD 北大核心 2024年第3期136-148,共13页
准确识别具有类间重叠的不平衡数据类别有着重要的理论意义与应用价值。首先,基于Switching集成学习框架,结合样本类间重叠度和邻域分布信息,定义了样本类别待转换的概率,进而提出了一种针对具有类间重叠的不平衡数据分类的集成学习算法... 准确识别具有类间重叠的不平衡数据类别有着重要的理论意义与应用价值。首先,基于Switching集成学习框架,结合样本类间重叠度和邻域分布信息,定义了样本类别待转换的概率,进而提出了一种针对具有类间重叠的不平衡数据分类的集成学习算法SwitchingHD。该方法在提升少数类样本可见性的同时,完全保留了少数类样本的真实信息,能有效克服已有Switching集成学习算法在具有类间重叠的不平衡数据分类中的局限性。其次,在3种评价指标下,对比了SwitchingHD与3类Switching集成算法及2类传统集成学习算法在33个具有类间重叠的不平衡数据集上的分类表现。再次,分析了6类集成学习算法分类效果对待转换样本比例和基分类器数目的敏感性,给出了最优待转换样本比例的范围及这两个因素的作用效果,分析表明SwitchingHD在AUC下的分类效果显著优于其他集成学习算法,针对具有类间重叠的不平衡数据分类问题具有有效性与优越性。最后,以某地区电信客户数据为例,进一步对比SwitchingHD与11种新颖集成学习算法识别潜在流失客户的效果。 展开更多
关键词 不平衡数据分类 类间重叠 邻域分布 switching算法
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Non-fragile switched H_∞ control for morphing aircraft with asynchronous switching 被引量:8
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作者 Haoyu CHENG Chaoyang DONG +2 位作者 Weilai JIANG Qing WANG Yanze HOU 《Chinese Journal of Aeronautics》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2017年第3期1127-1139,共13页
This paper deals with the problem of non-fragile linear parameter-varying(LPV) H_∞ control for morphing aircraft with asynchronous switching.The switched LPV model of morphing aircraft is established by Jacobian li... This paper deals with the problem of non-fragile linear parameter-varying(LPV) H_∞ control for morphing aircraft with asynchronous switching.The switched LPV model of morphing aircraft is established by Jacobian linearization approach according to the nonlinear model.The data missing is taken into account in the link from sensors to controllers and the link from controllers to actuators,which satisfies Bernoulli distribution.The non-fragile switched LPV controllers are constructed with consideration of the uncertainties of controllers and asynchronous switching phenomenon.The parameter-dependent Lyapunov functional method and mode-dependent average dwell time(MDADT) method are combined to guarantee the stability and prescribed performance of the system.The sufficient conditions on the solvability of the problem are derived in the form of linear matrix inequalities(LMI).In order to achieve higher efficiency of the designing process,an algorithm is applied to divide the whole set into subsets automatically.Simulation results are provided to verify the effectiveness and superiority of the method in the paper. 展开更多
关键词 Asynchronous switching data missing Morphing aircraft Non-fragile H_∞ control switched linear parameter varying system
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A Piecewise Switched Linear Approach for Traffic Flow Modeling 被引量:1
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作者 Abdelhafid Zeroual Nadhir Messai +1 位作者 Sihem Kechida Fatiha Hamdi 《International Journal of Automation and computing》 EI CSCD 2017年第6期729-741,共13页
Traffic modeling is a key step in several intelligent transportation systems(ITS) applications. This paper regards the traffic modeling through the enhancement of the cell transmission model. It considers the traffi... Traffic modeling is a key step in several intelligent transportation systems(ITS) applications. This paper regards the traffic modeling through the enhancement of the cell transmission model. It considers the traffic flow as a hybrid dynamic system and proposes a piecewise switched linear traffic model. The latter allows an accurate modeling of the traffic flow in a given section by considering its geometry. On the other hand, the piecewise switched linear traffic model handles more than one congestion wave and has the advantage to be modular. The measurements at upstream and downstream boundaries are also used in this model in order to decouple the traffic flow dynamics of successive road portions. Finally, real magnetic sensor data, provided by the performance measurement system on a portion of the Californian SR60-E highway are used to validate the proposed model. 展开更多
关键词 switched systems modeling macroscopic traffic flow data calibration
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Formulations of Some Bit Switching Functions in DES 被引量:1
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作者 YOU Lin YANG Yilin WEN Wanli 《Wuhan University Journal of Natural Sciences》 CAS 2013年第5期402-406,共5页
In the data encryption standard (DES) algorithm, there exist several bit-switching functions, including permutations, expansion, and permuted choices. They are generally presented in the form of matrixes and realize... In the data encryption standard (DES) algorithm, there exist several bit-switching functions, including permutations, expansion, and permuted choices. They are generally presented in the form of matrixes and realized by using table look-up technique in the implementation of the cryptosystem. This paper presents explicit formulas for the initial permutation IP, its inverse IP-1 , the expansion function E, and the permuted choice PC_1. It also gives the program realizations of these functions in C++ applying these formulas. With the advantage of the omission of the storage space for these matrixes and the tedious inputs of tables in the implementations of DES, our experimental results shows that the explicit formulas are useful in some situations, such as wireless sensor networks where the memory capacity is limited, especially when the size of file for encrypting is not too large, preferably smaller than 256KB. 展开更多
关键词 data encryption standard bit-switching functions explicit formulas
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Stock Trading with Genetic AlgorithmmSwitching from One Stock to Another
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作者 Tomio Kurokawa 《通讯和计算机(中英文版)》 2011年第2期143-149,共7页
关键词 股票交易 遗传 买卖 训练数据 样本数据 学习系统 交易模式 股票数据
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Data Guard在数据库主备切换中的应用研究 被引量:1
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作者 张小文 肖菊香 +2 位作者 魏能强 郭丽 朱润娟 《中国高新科技》 2022年第14期92-94,100,共4页
针对企业大型核心系统数据库高可用性需求,采用DataGuard数据库容灾解决方案,构建数据库“一主多从”容灾架构,提升数据库可靠性和数据安全性。在此基础上,针对应用系统新功能模块频繁部署的高可靠性的需求,提供与正式库完全一致的数据... 针对企业大型核心系统数据库高可用性需求,采用DataGuard数据库容灾解决方案,构建数据库“一主多从”容灾架构,提升数据库可靠性和数据安全性。在此基础上,针对应用系统新功能模块频繁部署的高可靠性的需求,提供与正式库完全一致的数据库测试环境,采用主备切换过程的数据日志复制及闪回技术,实现应用系统测试开发库和冷备库之间的多重角色履职。最后,采用Perl技术,将转换过程流程化、自动化,有效缩短切换时间,避免人工误判,实现数据库故障的秒级切换及冷备库、测试开发库之间的秒级转换。 展开更多
关键词 ORACLE data Guard 闪回技术 多角色转换
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SpaceVPX背板交换网络双冗余互连可靠性分析
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作者 吴侃侃 周军 +3 位作者 倪涛 李林伟 张小满 汪少林 《现代电子技术》 北大核心 2025年第8期45-50,共6页
SpaceVPX标准背板控制平面、数据平面双冗余交换网络互连拓扑是实现系统高可靠数据交换的关键。根据SpaceVPX插槽、背板配置规范及可靠性模型分类,建立了一种交换网络可靠性模型,分析了整机双冗余独立备份、交换机互连备份、功能节点交... SpaceVPX标准背板控制平面、数据平面双冗余交换网络互连拓扑是实现系统高可靠数据交换的关键。根据SpaceVPX插槽、背板配置规范及可靠性模型分类,建立了一种交换网络可靠性模型,分析了整机双冗余独立备份、交换机互连备份、功能节点交叉备份、功能节点交叉与交换机互连备份、全连接备份五种拓扑形式的系统可靠性概率。不同拓扑形式的可靠性概率仿真分析结果表明,功能节点交叉备份连接方式适用于控制平面和数据平面双冗余系统。 展开更多
关键词 SpaceVPX 交换网络可靠性模型 控制平面交换 数据平面交换 冗余备份 网络拓扑结构 可靠性概率
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大规模智算中心光电交换网络架构演化综述 被引量:1
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作者 叶通 胡卫生 《电信科学》 北大核心 2025年第4期32-43,2,共13页
随着智算中心规模向百万卡级演进,以“数据中心光互联(data center optical interconnection,DCI)+电分组交换(electrical packet switching,EPS)”为特征的传统智算中心网络面临功耗高、时延高、可靠性不足的挑战。近几年工业界开始探... 随着智算中心规模向百万卡级演进,以“数据中心光互联(data center optical interconnection,DCI)+电分组交换(electrical packet switching,EPS)”为特征的传统智算中心网络面临功耗高、时延高、可靠性不足的挑战。近几年工业界开始探索引入光子技术的方案,以降低智算中心网络的功耗并增强其扩展性、灵活性和可靠性。回顾了工业界研究的“DCI+EPS+光线路交换(optical circuit switching,OCS)”和“DCI+光分组交换(fast optical switching,FOS)”两类智算中心网络架构。结合工业界头部企业的实际案例及科研机构的相关探索,探讨了两种架构的技术路径、性能优势及待研究问题,为未来智算中心网络的设计提供参考。 展开更多
关键词 智算中心 光电交换网络 算力集群
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基于Datasheet的两电平逆变器损耗模型研究
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作者 洪欣雨 朱长青 《华北电力大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS 北大核心 2021年第3期47-56,共10页
为进一步提高市电领域中应用广泛的SPWM两电平逆变器输出效率并降低器件损耗,深入分析了双极性调制模式下的两电平无源逆变电源的工作过程,建立了基于数学分析方法的损耗模型并进行了仿真验证。采用基于非理想条件下的CMF10120D型SiC-MO... 为进一步提高市电领域中应用广泛的SPWM两电平逆变器输出效率并降低器件损耗,深入分析了双极性调制模式下的两电平无源逆变电源的工作过程,建立了基于数学分析方法的损耗模型并进行了仿真验证。采用基于非理想条件下的CMF10120D型SiC-MOS管与C4D05120A型SiC肖特基二极管(SBD),通过数据提取工具image2data与数据拟合方法获得Datasheet内功率管损耗与漏极电流、结温函数关系式,建立SiC-MOS与SBD的影响因子函数,最终得出两电平逆变器损耗模型。仿真分析表明所建立的模型正确可靠,脉冲宽度相对误差计算控制在0.75%以下,具有实用价值,能够为后续开展实验研究提供理论支撑。 展开更多
关键词 SPWM SiC-MOSFET 开关损耗 损耗模型 数据拟合
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Design and Implementation of Hybrid Light and Microwave Switches Based on Wavelength Selective Switch for Future Satellite Networks
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作者 Bin Wu Hongxi Yin +2 位作者 Anliang Liu Chang Liu Jingchao Wang 《Journal of Computer and Communications》 2016年第3期14-19,共6页
A hybrid switching node structure with light and microwave links is proposed, which is applicable to the future data relay satellite systems, aiming at the development trend of coexistence of light- link and microwave... A hybrid switching node structure with light and microwave links is proposed, which is applicable to the future data relay satellite systems, aiming at the development trend of coexistence of light- link and microwave-link in the future. An experimental system for the light and microwave hybrid switching node based on wavelength selective optical switches (WSS) and optical transceiver modules, is established. It is shown by our experiment that this hybrid switching node can realize the dynamic bandwidth allocation and wavelength routing while the bit error rate of light link is less than 10?12, which provides a method for solving the hybrid switching problem of light-link and microwave-link on the future data relay satellite systems. 展开更多
关键词 Light-Link and Microwave-Link data Relay Satellite WSS Hybrid switching
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An Approach towards Pulse Data Transmission Using Modified Negative Luo Converter (MNLC) for Telecoms
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作者 V. Chamundeeswari Dr. R. Seyezhai 《Circuits and Systems》 2016年第9期2712-2728,共17页
Telecom sectors generally operate at negative voltages to reduce the effect of corrosion caused in the metallic wire due to electrochemical reaction while communicating signals. To feed those lines and to have an effe... Telecom sectors generally operate at negative voltages to reduce the effect of corrosion caused in the metallic wire due to electrochemical reaction while communicating signals. To feed those lines and to have an effective digital data transmission, a power electronic converter referred as Modified Negative Luo Converter (MNLC) is proposed in this paper. MNLC is a high gain converter in which the output voltage increases in geometric progression. This paper portrays a novel concept of a 50 Hz pulse data transmission through RLCG (Resistance-inductance-capacitance with a shunt conductance) transmission line using MNLC. Signal frequency of 50 Hz to be transmitted is anded with a high frequency pulse that charges and discharges MNLC and produces the boosted negative output voltage. The boosted output is again transmitted through the RLCG transmission line from which 50 Hz data pulse is retrieved at the output of the transmission line by comparing with a comparator signal. This sort of MNLC aided data transmission not only introduces less loss in its transmitted data but also overcomes various health hazards of conventional radio frequency (RF) communication. This technique also proves that any data bit stream can be transmitted and retrieved using the proposed high gain DC-DC converter. The simulation model of the proposed system is implemented in MATLAB for various switching frequencies with its prototype of the converter developed and the results are verified. 展开更多
关键词 Pulse data Transmission MNLC RLCG Line switching Frequency High Gain Converter
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High Frequency Charging Techniques—Grid Connected Power Generation Using Switched Reluctance Generator
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作者 S. Sridharan S. Sudha 《Circuits and Systems》 2016年第14期4308-4321,共14页
Power generation becomes the need of developed, developing and under developed countries to meet their increasing power requirements. When affordability increases their requirement of power increases, this happens whe... Power generation becomes the need of developed, developing and under developed countries to meet their increasing power requirements. When affordability increases their requirement of power increases, this happens when increased per capita consumption. The existing power scenario states that highest power is produced using firing of coals called thermal energy. A high efficiency Switched Reluctance Generator (SRG) based high frequency switching scheme to enhance the output for grid connectivity is designed, fabricated and evaluated. This proposed method generates the output for the low wind speed. It provides output at low speed because of multi-level DC-DC converter and storage system. It is an efficient solution for low wind power generation. The real time readings and results are discussed. 展开更多
关键词 switched Reluctance Motor (SRM) Power Quality (PQ) On Screen data Logger (OSDL) switched Reluctance Generator (SRG) Battery Energy Storage System (BESS) Double-Fed Induction Generator (DFIG) Generator Company (GENCO)
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Data Intelligent Low Power High Performance TCAM for IP-Address Lookup Table
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作者 K. Mathan T. Ravichandran 《Circuits and Systems》 2016年第11期3734-3745,共12页
This paper represents current research in low-power Very Large Scale Integration (VLSI) domain. Nowadays low power has become more sought research topic in electronic industry. Power dissipation is the most important ... This paper represents current research in low-power Very Large Scale Integration (VLSI) domain. Nowadays low power has become more sought research topic in electronic industry. Power dissipation is the most important area while designing the VLSI chip. Today almost all of the high speed switching devices include the Ternary Content Addressable Memory (TCAM) as one of the most important features. When a device consumes less power that becomes reliable and it would work with more efficiency. Complementary Metal Oxide Semiconductor (CMOS) technology is best known for low power consumption devices. This paper aims at designing a router application device which consumes less power and works more efficiently. Various strategies, methodologies and power management techniques for low power circuits and systems are discussed in this research. From this research the challenges could be developed that might be met while designing low power high performance circuit. This work aims at developing Data Aware AND-type match line architecture for TCAM. A TCAM macro of 256 × 128 was designed using Cadence Advanced Development Environment (ADE) with 90 nm technology file from Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC). The result shows that the proposed Data Aware architecture provides around 35% speed and 45% power improvement over existing architecture. 展开更多
关键词 Low Power TCAM switching Power Match Line Searchline data Aware and Speech Processing
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自动气象站实时监测及切换系统设计与开发
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作者 张朝明 《气象水文海洋仪器》 2025年第6期138-140,共3页
文章基于气象台站国家级主运行站和备份站之间无法实现自动业务切换,以及无法实时监测设备运行状态的实际情况,设计开发出了自动气象站实时监测及切换系统。该系统能够实现双套新型站互为备份与自动切换,实现对主备站观测采集数据的分... 文章基于气象台站国家级主运行站和备份站之间无法实现自动业务切换,以及无法实时监测设备运行状态的实际情况,设计开发出了自动气象站实时监测及切换系统。该系统能够实现双套新型站互为备份与自动切换,实现对主备站观测采集数据的分析对比和融合处理,实时监测仪器及网络运行状态并发送预警信息。该系统的设计开发对于保障山西省气象观测数据的稳定传输以及推动台站全面观测自动化进程具有重要的意义。 展开更多
关键词 自动气象站 实时监测及切换 气象观测数据
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面向智能运维的轨道交通转辙机模拟数据生成器设计与验证 被引量:1
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作者 邹劲柏 魏诗燕 +3 位作者 刘江 沙泉 吴杰 季国一 《城市轨道交通研究》 北大核心 2025年第1期188-192,共5页
[目的]由于轨道交通各类设备的故障数据难以轻易获取,导致在开展故障诊断与预测等机器智能算法研究时缺乏充足的数据支持。为了满足轨道交通智能运维对大量训练数据的迫切需求,有必要设计轨道交通转辙机模拟数据生成器并对其进行验证。... [目的]由于轨道交通各类设备的故障数据难以轻易获取,导致在开展故障诊断与预测等机器智能算法研究时缺乏充足的数据支持。为了满足轨道交通智能运维对大量训练数据的迫切需求,有必要设计轨道交通转辙机模拟数据生成器并对其进行验证。[方法]对S700K型转辙机正常动作与缓变性故障的功率曲线特征进行了分析,并探讨了故障发生原因。通过对比两种模拟数据生成方法,基于Borderline-Smote算法设计出转辙机模拟数据生成器,搭建转辙机模拟数据生成器平台,利用LSTM(长短期记忆)预测模型学习功率数据的时间序列特征,对生成的缓变性故障功率数据的峰值因子、标准差和方差等3个特征进行试验。[结果及结论]通过转辙机模拟数据生成器生成的功率数据训练出的LSTM预测模型,可以预测出S700K型转辙机的功率变化趋势。通过对比LSTM预测模型与周期性复制法计算得到的峰值因子、标准差、方差的均方根误差分别为0.3355、0.0239和0.0241,误差较小,证明转辙机模拟数据生成器的真实性及可行性。 展开更多
关键词 轨道交通 转辙机 模拟数据生成器 智能运维
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经济周期视角下区域协同发展研究——以西部地区为例 被引量:2
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作者 李梦丹 赵春艳 《重庆大学学报(社会科学版)》 北大核心 2025年第2期69-84,共16页
党的二十届三中全会强调,完善实施区域协调发展战略机制,健全推动西部大开发形成新格局的制度和政策体系。当前西部地区发展的不平衡与不充分依然突出,如何增强区域协同能力,强化区域经济联系,引领区域高质量发展已成为西部大开发亟待... 党的二十届三中全会强调,完善实施区域协调发展战略机制,健全推动西部大开发形成新格局的制度和政策体系。当前西部地区发展的不平衡与不充分依然突出,如何增强区域协同能力,强化区域经济联系,引领区域高质量发展已成为西部大开发亟待解决的现实问题。在此背景下,基于协同发展理念,以经济周期协同性为切入点,利用西部地区2006—2020年省域混频数据对西部地区协同发展水平进行量化评估,并在此基础上探讨其影响因素,对区域内部协同发展状况进行深入分析。研究结果表明:2006—2009年西部地区协同发展指数呈现“缓降急增”态势,之后指数波动幅度明显减缓,呈现“缓起缓落”态势。西北与西南地区协同发展水平出现明显分化,西北地区协同发展程度略高于西南地区。同时,川渝地区作为重要增长极与贵州、西藏协同发展程度较低,说明其对欠发达地区辐射能力有限。进一步分析发现,地方政府干预程度、产业结构相似程度和对外开放程度都会对区域协同发展造成影响,其中政府干预程度和产业结构相似程度是核心影响因素,表明地方政府对经济发展干预程度越相似,产业结构差别越大,越能推进区域协同发展。据此,提出如下研究建议:一是要推动区域内循环,应对外部冲击;二是树立协同发展观念,破除行政壁垒;三是要实施差别化产业结构,消除同质竞争;四是要优化交通设施布局,谨防虹吸效应。文章的创新之处主要体现在:研究视角上,文章构建经济周期协同性指数,为解释区域协同发展变化趋势提供了新的视角,考察西部地区协同发展动态变化过程;研究方法上,文章采用的马尔科夫混频动态因子模型突破了传统计量经济模型必须采用同频数据限制,既利用了月度数据及时刻画经济运行态势,又兼顾经济周期监测中GDP这一重要季度数据指标,更好地反映区域协同发展整体动态演化特征;研究内容上,在测度西部地区协同发展水平的基础上,讨论西部地区经济周期协同性的影响因素用来判断影响西部地区协同发展的核心因素,为促进区域协同发展,防止内部发展差距进一步扩大,提供一定的经验证据和重要的政策建议。 展开更多
关键词 区域协同发展 经济周期 马尔科夫区制模型 混频数据 西部地区
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