Earth’s internal core and crustal magnetic fields,as measured by geomagnetic satellites like MSS-1(Macao Science Satellite-1)and Swarm,are vital for understanding core dynamics and tectonic evolution.To model these i...Earth’s internal core and crustal magnetic fields,as measured by geomagnetic satellites like MSS-1(Macao Science Satellite-1)and Swarm,are vital for understanding core dynamics and tectonic evolution.To model these internal magnetic fields accurately,data selection based on specific criteria is often employed to minimize the influence of rapidly changing current systems in the ionosphere and magnetosphere.However,the quantitative impact of various data selection criteria on internal geomagnetic field modeling is not well understood.This study aims to address this issue and provide a reference for constructing and applying geomagnetic field models.First,we collect the latest MSS-1 and Swarm satellite magnetic data and summarize widely used data selection criteria in geomagnetic field modeling.Second,we briefly describe the method to co-estimate the core,crustal,and large-scale magnetospheric fields using satellite magnetic data.Finally,we conduct a series of field modeling experiments with different data selection criteria to quantitatively estimate their influence.Our numerical experiments confirm that without selecting data from dark regions and geomagnetically quiet times,the resulting internal field differences at the Earth’s surface can range from tens to hundreds of nanotesla(nT).Additionally,we find that the uncertainties introduced into field models by different data selection criteria are significantly larger than the measurement accuracy of modern geomagnetic satellites.These uncertainties should be considered when utilizing constructed magnetic field models for scientific research and applications.展开更多
Kriging models are widely employed due to their simplicity and flexibility in a variety of fields.To gain more distributional information about the unknown parameters,we focus on constructing the fiducial distribution...Kriging models are widely employed due to their simplicity and flexibility in a variety of fields.To gain more distributional information about the unknown parameters,we focus on constructing the fiducial distribution of Kriging model parameters.To solve the challenge of constructing the fiducial marginal distribution for the spatially related parameter,we substitute the Bayesian posterior distribution for the fiducial distribution of this spatially related parameter and present a quasi-fiducial distribution for Kriging model parameters.A Gibbs sampling algorithm is given to get the samples of the quasi-fiducial distribution.Then a model selection criterion based on the quasi-fiducial distribution is proposed.Numerical studies demonstrate that the proposed method is superior to the Lasso and Elastic Net.展开更多
BACKGROUND Relieving pain is central to the early management of knee osteoarthritis,with a plethora of pharmacological agents licensed for this purpose.Intra-articular corticosteroid injections are a widely used optio...BACKGROUND Relieving pain is central to the early management of knee osteoarthritis,with a plethora of pharmacological agents licensed for this purpose.Intra-articular corticosteroid injections are a widely used option,albeit with variable efficacy.AIM To develop a machine learning(ML)model that predicts which patients will benefit from corticosteroid injections.METHODS Data from two prospective cohort studies[Osteoarthritis(OA)Initiative and Multicentre OA Study]was combined.The primary outcome was patientreported pain score following corticosteroid injection,assessed using the Western Ontario and McMaster Universities OA pain scale,with significant change defined using minimally clinically important difference and meaningful within person change.A ML algorithm was developed,utilizing linear discriminant analysis,to predict symptomatic improvement,and examine the association between pain scores and patient factors by calculating the sensitivity,specificity,positive predictive value,negative predictive value,accuracy,and F2 score.RESULTS A total of 330 patients were included,with a mean age of 63.4(SD:8.3).The mean Western Ontario and McMaster Universities OA pain score was 5.2(SD:4.1),with only 25.5%of patients achieving significant improvement in pain following corticosteroid injection.The ML model generated an accuracy of 67.8%(95%confidence interval:64.6%-70.9%),F1 score of 30.8%,and an area under the curve score of 0.60.CONCLUSION The model demonstrated feasibility to assist clinicians with decision-making in patient selection for corticosteroid injections.Further studies are required to improve the model prior to testing in clinical settings.展开更多
In clinical research,subgroup analysis can help identify patient groups that respond better or worse to specific treatments,improve therapeutic effect and safety,and is of great significance in precision medicine.This...In clinical research,subgroup analysis can help identify patient groups that respond better or worse to specific treatments,improve therapeutic effect and safety,and is of great significance in precision medicine.This article considers subgroup analysis methods for longitudinal data containing multiple covariates and biomarkers.We divide subgroups based on whether a linear combination of these biomarkers exceeds a predetermined threshold,and assess the heterogeneity of treatment effects across subgroups using the interaction between subgroups and exposure variables.Quantile regression is used to better characterize the global distribution of the response variable and sparsity penalties are imposed to achieve variable selection of covariates and biomarkers.The effectiveness of our proposed methodology for both variable selection and parameter estimation is verified through random simulations.Finally,we demonstrate the application of this method by analyzing data from the PA.3 trial,further illustrating the practicality of the method proposed in this paper.展开更多
Selecting proper descriptors(also known feature selection,FS)is key in the process of establishing mechanical properties prediction model of hot-rolled microalloyed steels by using machine learning(ML)algorithm.FS met...Selecting proper descriptors(also known feature selection,FS)is key in the process of establishing mechanical properties prediction model of hot-rolled microalloyed steels by using machine learning(ML)algorithm.FS methods based on data-driving can reduce the redundancy of data features and improve the prediction accuracy of mechanical properties.Based on the collected data of hot-rolled microalloyed steels,the association rules are used to mine the correlation information between the data.High-quality feature subsets are selected by the proposed FS method(FS method based on genetic algorithm embedding,GAMIC).Compared with the common FS method,it is shown on dataset that GAMIC selects feature subsets more appropriately.Six different ML algorithms are trained and tested for mechanical properties prediction.The result shows that the root-mean-square error of yield strength,tensile strength and elongation based on limit gradient enhancement(XGBoost)algorithm is 21.95 MPa,20.85 MPa and 1.96%,the correlation coefficient(R^(2))is 0.969,0.968 and 0.830,and the mean absolute error is 16.84 MPa,15.83 MPa and 1.48%,respectively,showing the best prediction performance.Finally,SHapley Additive exPlanation is used to further explore the influence of feature variables on mechanical properties.GAMIC feature selection method proposed is universal,which provides a basis for the development of high-precision mechanical property prediction model.展开更多
In this paper,a feature selection method for determining input parameters in antenna modeling is proposed.In antenna modeling,the input feature of artificial neural network(ANN)is geometric parameters.The selection cr...In this paper,a feature selection method for determining input parameters in antenna modeling is proposed.In antenna modeling,the input feature of artificial neural network(ANN)is geometric parameters.The selection criteria contain correlation and sensitivity between the geometric parameter and the electromagnetic(EM)response.Maximal information coefficient(MIC),an exploratory data mining tool,is introduced to evaluate both linear and nonlinear correlations.The EM response range is utilized to evaluate the sensitivity.The wide response range corresponding to varying values of a parameter implies the parameter is highly sensitive and the narrow response range suggests the parameter is insensitive.Only the parameter which is highly correlative and sensitive is selected as the input of ANN,and the sampling space of the model is highly reduced.The modeling of a wideband and circularly polarized antenna is studied as an example to verify the effectiveness of the proposed method.The number of input parameters decreases from8 to 4.The testing errors of|S_(11)|and axis ratio are reduced by8.74%and 8.95%,respectively,compared with the ANN with no feature selection.展开更多
Feature selection(FS)is a pivotal pre-processing step in developing data-driven models,influencing reliability,performance and optimization.Although existing FS techniques can yield high-performance metrics for certai...Feature selection(FS)is a pivotal pre-processing step in developing data-driven models,influencing reliability,performance and optimization.Although existing FS techniques can yield high-performance metrics for certain models,they do not invariably guarantee the extraction of the most critical or impactful features.Prior literature underscores the significance of equitable FS practices and has proposed diverse methodologies for the identification of appropriate features.However,the challenge of discerning the most relevant and influential features persists,particularly in the context of the exponential growth and heterogeneity of big data—a challenge that is increasingly salient in modern artificial intelligence(AI)applications.In response,this study introduces an innovative,automated statistical method termed Farea Similarity for Feature Selection(FSFS).The FSFS approach computes a similarity metric for each feature by benchmarking it against the record-wise mean,thereby finding feature dependencies and mitigating the influence of outliers that could potentially distort evaluation outcomes.Features are subsequently ranked according to their similarity scores,with the threshold established at the average similarity score.Notably,lower FSFS values indicate higher similarity and stronger data correlations,whereas higher values suggest lower similarity.The FSFS method is designed not only to yield reliable evaluation metrics but also to reduce data complexity without compromising model performance.Comparative analyses were performed against several established techniques,including Chi-squared(CS),Correlation Coefficient(CC),Genetic Algorithm(GA),Exhaustive Approach,Greedy Stepwise Approach,Gain Ratio,and Filtered Subset Eval,using a variety of datasets such as the Experimental Dataset,Breast Cancer Wisconsin(Original),KDD CUP 1999,NSL-KDD,UNSW-NB15,and Edge-IIoT.In the absence of the FSFS method,the highest classifier accuracies observed were 60.00%,95.13%,97.02%,98.17%,95.86%,and 94.62%for the respective datasets.When the FSFS technique was integrated with data normalization,encoding,balancing,and feature importance selection processes,accuracies improved to 100.00%,97.81%,98.63%,98.94%,94.27%,and 98.46%,respectively.The FSFS method,with a computational complexity of O(fn log n),demonstrates robust scalability and is well-suited for datasets of large size,ensuring efficient processing even when the number of features is substantial.By automatically eliminating outliers and redundant data,FSFS reduces computational overhead,resulting in faster training and improved model performance.Overall,the FSFS framework not only optimizes performance but also enhances the interpretability and explainability of data-driven models,thereby facilitating more trustworthy decision-making in AI applications.展开更多
Deep neural network(DNN)models have achieved remarkable performance across diverse tasks,leading to widespread commercial adoption.However,training high-accuracy models demands extensive data,substantial computational...Deep neural network(DNN)models have achieved remarkable performance across diverse tasks,leading to widespread commercial adoption.However,training high-accuracy models demands extensive data,substantial computational resources,and significant time investment,making them valuable assets vulnerable to unauthorized exploitation.To address this issue,this paper proposes an intellectual property(IP)protection framework for DNN models based on feature layer selection and hyper-chaotic mapping.Firstly,a sensitivity-based importance evaluation algorithm is used to identify the key feature layers for encryption,effectively protecting the core components of the model.Next,the L1 regularization criterion is applied to further select high-weight features that significantly impact the model’s performance,ensuring that the encryption process minimizes performance loss.Finally,a dual-layer encryption mechanism is designed,introducing perturbations into the weight values and utilizing hyperchaotic mapping to disrupt channel information,further enhancing the model’s security.Experimental results demonstrate that encrypting only a small subset of parameters effectively reduces model accuracy to random-guessing levels while ensuring full recoverability.The scheme exhibits strong robustness against model pruning and fine-tuning attacks and maintains consistent performance across multiple datasets,providing an efficient and practical solution for authorization-based DNN IP protection.展开更多
Portfolio selection based on the global minimum variance(GMV)model remains a significant focus in financial research.The covariance matrix,central to the GMV model,determines portfolio weights,and its accurate estimat...Portfolio selection based on the global minimum variance(GMV)model remains a significant focus in financial research.The covariance matrix,central to the GMV model,determines portfolio weights,and its accurate estimation is key to effective strategies.Based on the decomposition form of the covariance matrix.This paper introduces semi-variance for improved financial asymmetric risk measurement;addresses asymmetry in financial asset correlations using distance,asymmetric,and Chatterjee correlations to refine covariance matrices;and proposes three new covariance matrix models to enhance risk assessment and portfolio selection strategies.Testing with data from 30 stocks across various sectors of the Chinese market confirms the strong performance of the proposed strategies.展开更多
Selective laser melting(SLM)plays a critical role in additive manufacturing,particularly in the fabrication of complex high-precision components.This study selects the AlSi10Mg alloy for its extensive use in the aeros...Selective laser melting(SLM)plays a critical role in additive manufacturing,particularly in the fabrication of complex high-precision components.This study selects the AlSi10Mg alloy for its extensive use in the aerospace and automotive industries,which require lightweight structures with superior thermal and mechanical properties.The thermal load induces residual tensile stress,leading to a decline in the geometric accuracy of the workpiece and causing cracks that reduce the fatigue life of the alloy.The rapid movement of the laser heat source during the material formation creates a localized and inhomogeneous temperature field in the powder bed.Significant temperature gradients are generated,resulting in thermal stresses and distortions within the part,affecting the quality of the molding.Therefore,understanding the effects of processing parameters and scanning strategies on the temperature field in SLM is crucial.To address these issues,this study proposes a multiscale method for predicting the complex transient temperature field during the manufacturing process based on the heat-conduction equation.Considering the influence of temperature on the material properties,a temperature-prediction model for discontinuous scanning paths in SLM and a temperature field-calculation model for irregular scanning paths are developed.The models are validated using finite-element results and are in excellent agreement.The analytical model is then used to investigate the effects of the laser power,scanning speed,and scanning spacing on the temperature distribution.The results reveal that the peak temperature decreases exponentially with increasing scanning speed and increases linearly with increasing laser power.In addition,with increasing scanning spacing,the peak temperature of the adjacent tracks near the observation point decreases linearly.These findings are critical for optimizing the SLM-process parameters and improving the material-forming quality.展开更多
Metaheuristic optimization methods are iterative search processes that aim to efficiently solve complexoptimization problems. These basically find the solution space very efficiently, often without utilizing the gradi...Metaheuristic optimization methods are iterative search processes that aim to efficiently solve complexoptimization problems. These basically find the solution space very efficiently, often without utilizing the gradientinformation, and are inspired by the bio-inspired and socially motivated heuristics. Metaheuristic optimizationalgorithms are increasingly applied to complex feature selection problems in high-dimensional medical datasets.Among these, Teaching-Learning-Based optimization (TLBO) has proven effective for continuous design tasks bybalancing exploration and exploitation phases. However, its binary version (BTLBO) suffers from limited exploitationability, often converging prematurely or getting trapped in local optima, particularly when applied to discrete featureselection tasks. Previous studies reported that BTLBO yields lower classification accuracy and higher feature subsetvariance compared to other hybrid methods in benchmark tests, motivating the development of hybrid approaches.This study proposes a novel hybrid algorithm, BTLBO-Cheetah Optimizer (BTLBO-CO), which integrates the globalexploration strength of BTLBO with the local exploitation efficiency of the Cheetah Optimization (CO) algorithm. Theobjective is to enhance the feature selection process for cancer classification tasks involving high-dimensional data. Theproposed BTLBO-CO algorithm was evaluated on six benchmark cancer datasets: 11 tumors (T), Lung Cancer (LUC),Leukemia (LEU), Small Round Blue Cell Tumor or SRBCT (SR), Diffuse Large B-cell Lymphoma or DLBCL (DL), andProstate Tumor (PT).The results demonstrate superior classification accuracy across all six datasets, achieving 93.71%,96.12%, 98.13%, 97.11%, 98.44%, and 98.84%, respectively.These results validate the effectiveness of the hybrid approachin addressing diverse feature selection challenges using a Support Vector Machine (SVM) classifier.展开更多
Soil moisture is a key parameter in the exchange of energy and water between the land surface and the atmosphere.This parameter plays an important role in the dynamics of permafrost on the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau,China...Soil moisture is a key parameter in the exchange of energy and water between the land surface and the atmosphere.This parameter plays an important role in the dynamics of permafrost on the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau,China,as well as in the related ecological and hydrological processes.However,the region's complex terrain and extreme climatic conditions result in low-accuracy soil moisture estimations using traditional remote sensing techniques.Thus,this study considered parameters of the backscatter coefficient of Sentinel-1A ground range detected(GRD)data,the polarization decomposition parameters of Sentinel-1A single-look complex(SLC)data,the normalized difference vegetation index(NDVI)based on Sentinel-2B data,and the topographic factors based on digital elevation model(DEM)data.By combining these parameters with a machine learning model,we established a feature selection rule.A cumulative importance threshold was derived for feature variables,and those variables that failed to meet the threshold were eliminated based on variations in the coefficient of determination(R^(2))and the unbiased root mean square error(ubRMSE).The eight most influential variables were selected and combined with the CatBoost model for soil moisture inversion,and the SHapley Additive exPlanations(SHAP)method was used to analyze the importance of these variables.The results demonstrated that the optimized model significantly improved the accuracy of soil moisture inversion.Compared to the unfiltered model,the optimal feature combination led to a 0.09 increase in R^(2)and a 0.7%reduction in ubRMSE.Ultimately,the optimized model achieved a R²of 0.87 and an ubRMSE of 5.6%.Analysis revealed that soil particle size had significant impact on soil water retention capacity.The impact of vegetation on the estimated soil moisture on the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau was considerable,demonstrating a significant positive correlation.Moreover,the microtopographical features of hummocks interfered with soil moisture estimation,indicating that such terrain effects warrant increased attention in future studies within the permafrost regions.The developed method not only enhances the accuracy of soil moisture retrieval in the complex terrain of the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau,but also exhibits high computational efficiency(with a relative time reduction of 18.5%),striking an excellent balance between accuracy and efficiency.This approach provides a robust framework for efficient soil moisture monitoring in remote areas with limited ground data,offering critical insights for ecological conservation,water resource management,and climate change adaptation on the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau.展开更多
Traditional methods for selecting models in experimental data analysis are susceptible to researcher bias, hindering exploration of alternative explanations and potentially leading to overfitting. The Finite Informati...Traditional methods for selecting models in experimental data analysis are susceptible to researcher bias, hindering exploration of alternative explanations and potentially leading to overfitting. The Finite Information Quantity (FIQ) approach offers a novel solution by acknowledging the inherent limitations in information processing capacity of physical systems. This framework facilitates the development of objective criteria for model selection (comparative uncertainty) and paves the way for a more comprehensive understanding of phenomena through exploring diverse explanations. This work presents a detailed comparison of the FIQ approach with ten established model selection methods, highlighting the advantages and limitations of each. We demonstrate the potential of FIQ to enhance the objectivity and robustness of scientific inquiry through three practical examples: selecting appropriate models for measuring fundamental constants, sound velocity, and underwater electrical discharges. Further research is warranted to explore the full applicability of FIQ across various scientific disciplines.展开更多
This paper briefs the configuration and performance of large size gas turbines and their composed combined cycle power plants designed and produced by four large renown gas turbine manufacturing firms in the world, pr...This paper briefs the configuration and performance of large size gas turbines and their composed combined cycle power plants designed and produced by four large renown gas turbine manufacturing firms in the world, providing reference for the relevant sectors and enterprises in importing advanced gas turbines and technologies.展开更多
The morphology of Ni_(4)Ti_(3) precipitates is important in tuning the martensitic transformation(MT)behavior and mechanical properties of nitinol.Constrained ageing is effective in engineering the morphology of Ni_(4...The morphology of Ni_(4)Ti_(3) precipitates is important in tuning the martensitic transformation(MT)behavior and mechanical properties of nitinol.Constrained ageing is effective in engineering the morphology of Ni_(4)Ti_(3) precipitates due to the variant selection effect of external load which is still lacking.In this work,maps of variant selection effect of external load applied along all crystallographic directions are obtained by using a combination of theoretical analyses and phase field simulations.It is found that maps produced by uniaxial tension and uniaxial compression are quite different.The number and types of Ni_(4)Ti_(3) variants preferred by external load vary as the loading direction changes.Moreover,factors influencing the strength of variant selection effect are discovered.This work provides insights on understanding the Ni_(4)Ti_(3) precipitation process and sheds light on the engineering of morphology of Ni_(4)Ti_(3) precipitates for desired mechanical and functional properties.展开更多
In this paper, based on the theory of parameter estimation, we give a selection method and, in a sense of a good character of the parameter estimation, we think that it is very reasonable. Moreover, we offer a calcula...In this paper, based on the theory of parameter estimation, we give a selection method and, in a sense of a good character of the parameter estimation, we think that it is very reasonable. Moreover, we offer a calculation method of selection statistic and an applied example.展开更多
An improved social force model based on exit selection is proposed to simulate pedestrians' microscopic behaviors in subway station. The modification lies in considering three factors of spatial distance, occupant...An improved social force model based on exit selection is proposed to simulate pedestrians' microscopic behaviors in subway station. The modification lies in considering three factors of spatial distance, occupant density and exit width. In addition, the problem of pedestrians selecting exit frequently is solved as follows: not changing to other exits in the affected area of one exit, using the probability of remaining preceding exit and invoking function of exit selection after several simulation steps. Pedestrians in subway station have some special characteristics, such as explicit destinations, different familiarities with subway station. Finally, Beijing Zoo Subway Station is taken as an example and the feasibility of the model results is verified through the comparison of the actual data and simulation data. The simulation results show that the improved model can depict the microscopic behaviors of pedestrians in subway station.展开更多
In the helicopter transmission systems, it is important to monitor and track the tooth damage evolution using lots of sensors and detection methods. This paper develops a novel approach for sensor selection based on p...In the helicopter transmission systems, it is important to monitor and track the tooth damage evolution using lots of sensors and detection methods. This paper develops a novel approach for sensor selection based on physical model and sensitivity analysis. Firstly, a physical model of tooth damage and mesh stiffness is built. Secondly, some effective condition indicators （Cls） are presented, and the optimal Cls set is selected by comparing their test statistics according to Mann-Kendall test. Afterwards, the selected CIs are used to generate a health indicator （HI） through sen slop estimator. Then, the sensors are selected according to the monotonic relevance and sensitivity to the damage levels. Finally, the proposed method is verified by the simulation and experimental data. The results show that the approach can provide a guide for health monitor- ing of helicopter transmission systems, and it is effective to reduce the test cost and improve the system＇s reliability.展开更多
The traditional model selection criterions try to make a balance between fitted error and model complexity. Assumptions on the distribution of the response or the noise, which may be misspecified, should be made befor...The traditional model selection criterions try to make a balance between fitted error and model complexity. Assumptions on the distribution of the response or the noise, which may be misspecified, should be made before using the traditional ones. In this ar- ticle, we give a new model selection criterion, based on the assumption that noise term in the model is independent with explanatory variables, of minimizing the association strength between regression residuals and the response, with fewer assumptions. Maximal Information Coe^cient （MIC）, a recently proposed dependence measure, captures a wide range of associ- ations, and gives almost the same score to different type of relationships with equal noise, so MIC is used to measure the association strength. Furthermore, partial maximal information coefficient （PMIC） is introduced to capture the association between two variables removing a third controlling random variable. In addition, the definition of general partial relationship is given.展开更多
The performance of six statistical approaches,which can be used for selection of the best model to describe the growth of individual fish,was analyzed using simulated and real length-at-age data.The six approaches inc...The performance of six statistical approaches,which can be used for selection of the best model to describe the growth of individual fish,was analyzed using simulated and real length-at-age data.The six approaches include coefficient of determination(R2),adjusted coefficient of determination(adj.-R2),root mean squared error(RMSE),Akaike's information criterion(AIC),bias correction of AIC(AICc) and Bayesian information criterion(BIC).The simulation data were generated by five growth models with different numbers of parameters.Four sets of real data were taken from the literature.The parameters in each of the five growth models were estimated using the maximum likelihood method under the assumption of the additive error structure for the data.The best supported model by the data was identified using each of the six approaches.The results show that R2 and RMSE have the same properties and perform worst.The sample size has an effect on the performance of adj.-R2,AIC,AICc and BIC.Adj.-R2 does better in small samples than in large samples.AIC is not suitable to use in small samples and tends to select more complex model when the sample size becomes large.AICc and BIC have best performance in small and large sample cases,respectively.Use of AICc or BIC is recommended for selection of fish growth model according to the size of the length-at-age data.展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(42250101)the Macao Foundation。
文摘Earth’s internal core and crustal magnetic fields,as measured by geomagnetic satellites like MSS-1(Macao Science Satellite-1)and Swarm,are vital for understanding core dynamics and tectonic evolution.To model these internal magnetic fields accurately,data selection based on specific criteria is often employed to minimize the influence of rapidly changing current systems in the ionosphere and magnetosphere.However,the quantitative impact of various data selection criteria on internal geomagnetic field modeling is not well understood.This study aims to address this issue and provide a reference for constructing and applying geomagnetic field models.First,we collect the latest MSS-1 and Swarm satellite magnetic data and summarize widely used data selection criteria in geomagnetic field modeling.Second,we briefly describe the method to co-estimate the core,crustal,and large-scale magnetospheric fields using satellite magnetic data.Finally,we conduct a series of field modeling experiments with different data selection criteria to quantitatively estimate their influence.Our numerical experiments confirm that without selecting data from dark regions and geomagnetically quiet times,the resulting internal field differences at the Earth’s surface can range from tens to hundreds of nanotesla(nT).Additionally,we find that the uncertainties introduced into field models by different data selection criteria are significantly larger than the measurement accuracy of modern geomagnetic satellites.These uncertainties should be considered when utilizing constructed magnetic field models for scientific research and applications.
基金supported by the National Social Science Found of China[Grant number 23BTJ064].
文摘Kriging models are widely employed due to their simplicity and flexibility in a variety of fields.To gain more distributional information about the unknown parameters,we focus on constructing the fiducial distribution of Kriging model parameters.To solve the challenge of constructing the fiducial marginal distribution for the spatially related parameter,we substitute the Bayesian posterior distribution for the fiducial distribution of this spatially related parameter and present a quasi-fiducial distribution for Kriging model parameters.A Gibbs sampling algorithm is given to get the samples of the quasi-fiducial distribution.Then a model selection criterion based on the quasi-fiducial distribution is proposed.Numerical studies demonstrate that the proposed method is superior to the Lasso and Elastic Net.
基金Supported by National Institute For Health and Care Research,No.NIHR302632.
文摘BACKGROUND Relieving pain is central to the early management of knee osteoarthritis,with a plethora of pharmacological agents licensed for this purpose.Intra-articular corticosteroid injections are a widely used option,albeit with variable efficacy.AIM To develop a machine learning(ML)model that predicts which patients will benefit from corticosteroid injections.METHODS Data from two prospective cohort studies[Osteoarthritis(OA)Initiative and Multicentre OA Study]was combined.The primary outcome was patientreported pain score following corticosteroid injection,assessed using the Western Ontario and McMaster Universities OA pain scale,with significant change defined using minimally clinically important difference and meaningful within person change.A ML algorithm was developed,utilizing linear discriminant analysis,to predict symptomatic improvement,and examine the association between pain scores and patient factors by calculating the sensitivity,specificity,positive predictive value,negative predictive value,accuracy,and F2 score.RESULTS A total of 330 patients were included,with a mean age of 63.4(SD:8.3).The mean Western Ontario and McMaster Universities OA pain score was 5.2(SD:4.1),with only 25.5%of patients achieving significant improvement in pain following corticosteroid injection.The ML model generated an accuracy of 67.8%(95%confidence interval:64.6%-70.9%),F1 score of 30.8%,and an area under the curve score of 0.60.CONCLUSION The model demonstrated feasibility to assist clinicians with decision-making in patient selection for corticosteroid injections.Further studies are required to improve the model prior to testing in clinical settings.
基金Supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Fujian Province(2022J011177,2024J01903)the Key Project of Fujian Provincial Education Department(JZ230054)。
文摘In clinical research,subgroup analysis can help identify patient groups that respond better or worse to specific treatments,improve therapeutic effect and safety,and is of great significance in precision medicine.This article considers subgroup analysis methods for longitudinal data containing multiple covariates and biomarkers.We divide subgroups based on whether a linear combination of these biomarkers exceeds a predetermined threshold,and assess the heterogeneity of treatment effects across subgroups using the interaction between subgroups and exposure variables.Quantile regression is used to better characterize the global distribution of the response variable and sparsity penalties are imposed to achieve variable selection of covariates and biomarkers.The effectiveness of our proposed methodology for both variable selection and parameter estimation is verified through random simulations.Finally,we demonstrate the application of this method by analyzing data from the PA.3 trial,further illustrating the practicality of the method proposed in this paper.
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(Grant No.2021YFB3702404)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.52104370)+4 种基金the Reviving-Liaoning Excellence Plan(XLYC2203186)Science and Technology Special Projects of Liaoning Province(Grant No.2022JH25/10200001)the Postdoctoral Research Fund for Northeastern(Grant No.20210203)Independent Projects of Basic Scientific Research(ZZ2021005)CITIC Niobium Steel Development Award Fund(2022-M1824).
文摘Selecting proper descriptors(also known feature selection,FS)is key in the process of establishing mechanical properties prediction model of hot-rolled microalloyed steels by using machine learning(ML)algorithm.FS methods based on data-driving can reduce the redundancy of data features and improve the prediction accuracy of mechanical properties.Based on the collected data of hot-rolled microalloyed steels,the association rules are used to mine the correlation information between the data.High-quality feature subsets are selected by the proposed FS method(FS method based on genetic algorithm embedding,GAMIC).Compared with the common FS method,it is shown on dataset that GAMIC selects feature subsets more appropriately.Six different ML algorithms are trained and tested for mechanical properties prediction.The result shows that the root-mean-square error of yield strength,tensile strength and elongation based on limit gradient enhancement(XGBoost)algorithm is 21.95 MPa,20.85 MPa and 1.96%,the correlation coefficient(R^(2))is 0.969,0.968 and 0.830,and the mean absolute error is 16.84 MPa,15.83 MPa and 1.48%,respectively,showing the best prediction performance.Finally,SHapley Additive exPlanation is used to further explore the influence of feature variables on mechanical properties.GAMIC feature selection method proposed is universal,which provides a basis for the development of high-precision mechanical property prediction model.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(62161048)Sichuan Science and Technology Program(2022NSFSC0547,2022ZYD0109)。
文摘In this paper,a feature selection method for determining input parameters in antenna modeling is proposed.In antenna modeling,the input feature of artificial neural network(ANN)is geometric parameters.The selection criteria contain correlation and sensitivity between the geometric parameter and the electromagnetic(EM)response.Maximal information coefficient(MIC),an exploratory data mining tool,is introduced to evaluate both linear and nonlinear correlations.The EM response range is utilized to evaluate the sensitivity.The wide response range corresponding to varying values of a parameter implies the parameter is highly sensitive and the narrow response range suggests the parameter is insensitive.Only the parameter which is highly correlative and sensitive is selected as the input of ANN,and the sampling space of the model is highly reduced.The modeling of a wideband and circularly polarized antenna is studied as an example to verify the effectiveness of the proposed method.The number of input parameters decreases from8 to 4.The testing errors of|S_(11)|and axis ratio are reduced by8.74%and 8.95%,respectively,compared with the ANN with no feature selection.
文摘Feature selection(FS)is a pivotal pre-processing step in developing data-driven models,influencing reliability,performance and optimization.Although existing FS techniques can yield high-performance metrics for certain models,they do not invariably guarantee the extraction of the most critical or impactful features.Prior literature underscores the significance of equitable FS practices and has proposed diverse methodologies for the identification of appropriate features.However,the challenge of discerning the most relevant and influential features persists,particularly in the context of the exponential growth and heterogeneity of big data—a challenge that is increasingly salient in modern artificial intelligence(AI)applications.In response,this study introduces an innovative,automated statistical method termed Farea Similarity for Feature Selection(FSFS).The FSFS approach computes a similarity metric for each feature by benchmarking it against the record-wise mean,thereby finding feature dependencies and mitigating the influence of outliers that could potentially distort evaluation outcomes.Features are subsequently ranked according to their similarity scores,with the threshold established at the average similarity score.Notably,lower FSFS values indicate higher similarity and stronger data correlations,whereas higher values suggest lower similarity.The FSFS method is designed not only to yield reliable evaluation metrics but also to reduce data complexity without compromising model performance.Comparative analyses were performed against several established techniques,including Chi-squared(CS),Correlation Coefficient(CC),Genetic Algorithm(GA),Exhaustive Approach,Greedy Stepwise Approach,Gain Ratio,and Filtered Subset Eval,using a variety of datasets such as the Experimental Dataset,Breast Cancer Wisconsin(Original),KDD CUP 1999,NSL-KDD,UNSW-NB15,and Edge-IIoT.In the absence of the FSFS method,the highest classifier accuracies observed were 60.00%,95.13%,97.02%,98.17%,95.86%,and 94.62%for the respective datasets.When the FSFS technique was integrated with data normalization,encoding,balancing,and feature importance selection processes,accuracies improved to 100.00%,97.81%,98.63%,98.94%,94.27%,and 98.46%,respectively.The FSFS method,with a computational complexity of O(fn log n),demonstrates robust scalability and is well-suited for datasets of large size,ensuring efficient processing even when the number of features is substantial.By automatically eliminating outliers and redundant data,FSFS reduces computational overhead,resulting in faster training and improved model performance.Overall,the FSFS framework not only optimizes performance but also enhances the interpretability and explainability of data-driven models,thereby facilitating more trustworthy decision-making in AI applications.
基金supported in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No.62172280in part by the Key Scientific Research Projects of Colleges and Universities in Henan Province,China under Grant No.23A520006in part by Henan Provincial Science and Technology Research Project under Grant No.222102210199.
文摘Deep neural network(DNN)models have achieved remarkable performance across diverse tasks,leading to widespread commercial adoption.However,training high-accuracy models demands extensive data,substantial computational resources,and significant time investment,making them valuable assets vulnerable to unauthorized exploitation.To address this issue,this paper proposes an intellectual property(IP)protection framework for DNN models based on feature layer selection and hyper-chaotic mapping.Firstly,a sensitivity-based importance evaluation algorithm is used to identify the key feature layers for encryption,effectively protecting the core components of the model.Next,the L1 regularization criterion is applied to further select high-weight features that significantly impact the model’s performance,ensuring that the encryption process minimizes performance loss.Finally,a dual-layer encryption mechanism is designed,introducing perturbations into the weight values and utilizing hyperchaotic mapping to disrupt channel information,further enhancing the model’s security.Experimental results demonstrate that encrypting only a small subset of parameters effectively reduces model accuracy to random-guessing levels while ensuring full recoverability.The scheme exhibits strong robustness against model pruning and fine-tuning attacks and maintains consistent performance across multiple datasets,providing an efficient and practical solution for authorization-based DNN IP protection.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(Project No.:12201579)。
文摘Portfolio selection based on the global minimum variance(GMV)model remains a significant focus in financial research.The covariance matrix,central to the GMV model,determines portfolio weights,and its accurate estimation is key to effective strategies.Based on the decomposition form of the covariance matrix.This paper introduces semi-variance for improved financial asymmetric risk measurement;addresses asymmetry in financial asset correlations using distance,asymmetric,and Chatterjee correlations to refine covariance matrices;and proposes three new covariance matrix models to enhance risk assessment and portfolio selection strategies.Testing with data from 30 stocks across various sectors of the Chinese market confirms the strong performance of the proposed strategies.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of the China Youth Program(Grant No.52205485)Sichuan Youth Fund Program of China(Grant No.2025ZNSFSC1275)the Young Scientific Research Team Cultivation Program of SUES(Grant No.QNTD202112)。
文摘Selective laser melting(SLM)plays a critical role in additive manufacturing,particularly in the fabrication of complex high-precision components.This study selects the AlSi10Mg alloy for its extensive use in the aerospace and automotive industries,which require lightweight structures with superior thermal and mechanical properties.The thermal load induces residual tensile stress,leading to a decline in the geometric accuracy of the workpiece and causing cracks that reduce the fatigue life of the alloy.The rapid movement of the laser heat source during the material formation creates a localized and inhomogeneous temperature field in the powder bed.Significant temperature gradients are generated,resulting in thermal stresses and distortions within the part,affecting the quality of the molding.Therefore,understanding the effects of processing parameters and scanning strategies on the temperature field in SLM is crucial.To address these issues,this study proposes a multiscale method for predicting the complex transient temperature field during the manufacturing process based on the heat-conduction equation.Considering the influence of temperature on the material properties,a temperature-prediction model for discontinuous scanning paths in SLM and a temperature field-calculation model for irregular scanning paths are developed.The models are validated using finite-element results and are in excellent agreement.The analytical model is then used to investigate the effects of the laser power,scanning speed,and scanning spacing on the temperature distribution.The results reveal that the peak temperature decreases exponentially with increasing scanning speed and increases linearly with increasing laser power.In addition,with increasing scanning spacing,the peak temperature of the adjacent tracks near the observation point decreases linearly.These findings are critical for optimizing the SLM-process parameters and improving the material-forming quality.
基金funded by the Deanship of Research andGraduate Studies at King Khalid University through the Large Research Project under grant number RGP2/417/46.
文摘Metaheuristic optimization methods are iterative search processes that aim to efficiently solve complexoptimization problems. These basically find the solution space very efficiently, often without utilizing the gradientinformation, and are inspired by the bio-inspired and socially motivated heuristics. Metaheuristic optimizationalgorithms are increasingly applied to complex feature selection problems in high-dimensional medical datasets.Among these, Teaching-Learning-Based optimization (TLBO) has proven effective for continuous design tasks bybalancing exploration and exploitation phases. However, its binary version (BTLBO) suffers from limited exploitationability, often converging prematurely or getting trapped in local optima, particularly when applied to discrete featureselection tasks. Previous studies reported that BTLBO yields lower classification accuracy and higher feature subsetvariance compared to other hybrid methods in benchmark tests, motivating the development of hybrid approaches.This study proposes a novel hybrid algorithm, BTLBO-Cheetah Optimizer (BTLBO-CO), which integrates the globalexploration strength of BTLBO with the local exploitation efficiency of the Cheetah Optimization (CO) algorithm. Theobjective is to enhance the feature selection process for cancer classification tasks involving high-dimensional data. Theproposed BTLBO-CO algorithm was evaluated on six benchmark cancer datasets: 11 tumors (T), Lung Cancer (LUC),Leukemia (LEU), Small Round Blue Cell Tumor or SRBCT (SR), Diffuse Large B-cell Lymphoma or DLBCL (DL), andProstate Tumor (PT).The results demonstrate superior classification accuracy across all six datasets, achieving 93.71%,96.12%, 98.13%, 97.11%, 98.44%, and 98.84%, respectively.These results validate the effectiveness of the hybrid approachin addressing diverse feature selection challenges using a Support Vector Machine (SVM) classifier.
基金supported by the Scientific Research Foundation for High-level Talents of Anhui University of Science and Technology(13230550)the Coal Industry Engineering Research Center of Mining Area Environmental and Disaster Cooperative Monitoring,Anhui University of Science and Technology(KSXTJC202305)+1 种基金the State Key Laboratory of Geodesy and Earth's Dynamics,Innovation Academy for Precision Measurement Science and Technology(SKLGED2023-5-1)the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation(2023M733604).
文摘Soil moisture is a key parameter in the exchange of energy and water between the land surface and the atmosphere.This parameter plays an important role in the dynamics of permafrost on the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau,China,as well as in the related ecological and hydrological processes.However,the region's complex terrain and extreme climatic conditions result in low-accuracy soil moisture estimations using traditional remote sensing techniques.Thus,this study considered parameters of the backscatter coefficient of Sentinel-1A ground range detected(GRD)data,the polarization decomposition parameters of Sentinel-1A single-look complex(SLC)data,the normalized difference vegetation index(NDVI)based on Sentinel-2B data,and the topographic factors based on digital elevation model(DEM)data.By combining these parameters with a machine learning model,we established a feature selection rule.A cumulative importance threshold was derived for feature variables,and those variables that failed to meet the threshold were eliminated based on variations in the coefficient of determination(R^(2))and the unbiased root mean square error(ubRMSE).The eight most influential variables were selected and combined with the CatBoost model for soil moisture inversion,and the SHapley Additive exPlanations(SHAP)method was used to analyze the importance of these variables.The results demonstrated that the optimized model significantly improved the accuracy of soil moisture inversion.Compared to the unfiltered model,the optimal feature combination led to a 0.09 increase in R^(2)and a 0.7%reduction in ubRMSE.Ultimately,the optimized model achieved a R²of 0.87 and an ubRMSE of 5.6%.Analysis revealed that soil particle size had significant impact on soil water retention capacity.The impact of vegetation on the estimated soil moisture on the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau was considerable,demonstrating a significant positive correlation.Moreover,the microtopographical features of hummocks interfered with soil moisture estimation,indicating that such terrain effects warrant increased attention in future studies within the permafrost regions.The developed method not only enhances the accuracy of soil moisture retrieval in the complex terrain of the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau,but also exhibits high computational efficiency(with a relative time reduction of 18.5%),striking an excellent balance between accuracy and efficiency.This approach provides a robust framework for efficient soil moisture monitoring in remote areas with limited ground data,offering critical insights for ecological conservation,water resource management,and climate change adaptation on the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau.
文摘Traditional methods for selecting models in experimental data analysis are susceptible to researcher bias, hindering exploration of alternative explanations and potentially leading to overfitting. The Finite Information Quantity (FIQ) approach offers a novel solution by acknowledging the inherent limitations in information processing capacity of physical systems. This framework facilitates the development of objective criteria for model selection (comparative uncertainty) and paves the way for a more comprehensive understanding of phenomena through exploring diverse explanations. This work presents a detailed comparison of the FIQ approach with ten established model selection methods, highlighting the advantages and limitations of each. We demonstrate the potential of FIQ to enhance the objectivity and robustness of scientific inquiry through three practical examples: selecting appropriate models for measuring fundamental constants, sound velocity, and underwater electrical discharges. Further research is warranted to explore the full applicability of FIQ across various scientific disciplines.
文摘This paper briefs the configuration and performance of large size gas turbines and their composed combined cycle power plants designed and produced by four large renown gas turbine manufacturing firms in the world, providing reference for the relevant sectors and enterprises in importing advanced gas turbines and technologies.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.12372152)the Qilu Young Talent Program of Shandong University,Zhejiang Lab Open Research Project(Grant No.K2022PE0AB05)+1 种基金Shandong Provincial Natural Science Foundation(Grant No.ZR2023MA058)Guangdong Basic and Applied Basic Research Foundation(Grant No.2023A1515011819).
文摘The morphology of Ni_(4)Ti_(3) precipitates is important in tuning the martensitic transformation(MT)behavior and mechanical properties of nitinol.Constrained ageing is effective in engineering the morphology of Ni_(4)Ti_(3) precipitates due to the variant selection effect of external load which is still lacking.In this work,maps of variant selection effect of external load applied along all crystallographic directions are obtained by using a combination of theoretical analyses and phase field simulations.It is found that maps produced by uniaxial tension and uniaxial compression are quite different.The number and types of Ni_(4)Ti_(3) variants preferred by external load vary as the loading direction changes.Moreover,factors influencing the strength of variant selection effect are discovered.This work provides insights on understanding the Ni_(4)Ti_(3) precipitation process and sheds light on the engineering of morphology of Ni_(4)Ti_(3) precipitates for desired mechanical and functional properties.
基金Supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Anhui Education Committee
文摘In this paper, based on the theory of parameter estimation, we give a selection method and, in a sense of a good character of the parameter estimation, we think that it is very reasonable. Moreover, we offer a calculation method of selection statistic and an applied example.
基金Project(T14JB00200)supported by the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central UniversitiesChina+2 种基金Projects(RCS2012ZZ002RCS2012ZT003)supported by the State Key Laboratory of Rail Traffic Control and SafetyChina
文摘An improved social force model based on exit selection is proposed to simulate pedestrians' microscopic behaviors in subway station. The modification lies in considering three factors of spatial distance, occupant density and exit width. In addition, the problem of pedestrians selecting exit frequently is solved as follows: not changing to other exits in the affected area of one exit, using the probability of remaining preceding exit and invoking function of exit selection after several simulation steps. Pedestrians in subway station have some special characteristics, such as explicit destinations, different familiarities with subway station. Finally, Beijing Zoo Subway Station is taken as an example and the feasibility of the model results is verified through the comparison of the actual data and simulation data. The simulation results show that the improved model can depict the microscopic behaviors of pedestrians in subway station.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 51175502)
文摘In the helicopter transmission systems, it is important to monitor and track the tooth damage evolution using lots of sensors and detection methods. This paper develops a novel approach for sensor selection based on physical model and sensitivity analysis. Firstly, a physical model of tooth damage and mesh stiffness is built. Secondly, some effective condition indicators （Cls） are presented, and the optimal Cls set is selected by comparing their test statistics according to Mann-Kendall test. Afterwards, the selected CIs are used to generate a health indicator （HI） through sen slop estimator. Then, the sensors are selected according to the monotonic relevance and sensitivity to the damage levels. Finally, the proposed method is verified by the simulation and experimental data. The results show that the approach can provide a guide for health monitor- ing of helicopter transmission systems, and it is effective to reduce the test cost and improve the system＇s reliability.
基金partly supported by National Basic Research Program of China(973 Program,2011CB707802,2013CB910200)National Science Foundation of China(11201466)
文摘The traditional model selection criterions try to make a balance between fitted error and model complexity. Assumptions on the distribution of the response or the noise, which may be misspecified, should be made before using the traditional ones. In this ar- ticle, we give a new model selection criterion, based on the assumption that noise term in the model is independent with explanatory variables, of minimizing the association strength between regression residuals and the response, with fewer assumptions. Maximal Information Coe^cient （MIC）, a recently proposed dependence measure, captures a wide range of associ- ations, and gives almost the same score to different type of relationships with equal noise, so MIC is used to measure the association strength. Furthermore, partial maximal information coefficient （PMIC） is introduced to capture the association between two variables removing a third controlling random variable. In addition, the definition of general partial relationship is given.
基金Supported by the High Technology Research and Development Program of China (863 Program,No2006AA100301)
文摘The performance of six statistical approaches,which can be used for selection of the best model to describe the growth of individual fish,was analyzed using simulated and real length-at-age data.The six approaches include coefficient of determination(R2),adjusted coefficient of determination(adj.-R2),root mean squared error(RMSE),Akaike's information criterion(AIC),bias correction of AIC(AICc) and Bayesian information criterion(BIC).The simulation data were generated by five growth models with different numbers of parameters.Four sets of real data were taken from the literature.The parameters in each of the five growth models were estimated using the maximum likelihood method under the assumption of the additive error structure for the data.The best supported model by the data was identified using each of the six approaches.The results show that R2 and RMSE have the same properties and perform worst.The sample size has an effect on the performance of adj.-R2,AIC,AICc and BIC.Adj.-R2 does better in small samples than in large samples.AIC is not suitable to use in small samples and tends to select more complex model when the sample size becomes large.AICc and BIC have best performance in small and large sample cases,respectively.Use of AICc or BIC is recommended for selection of fish growth model according to the size of the length-at-age data.
