The axle box bearings of high-speed trains often operate in extremely harsh environments,bearing loads from different directions.Long-term operation and frequent changes in working conditions can easily lead to axle b...The axle box bearings of high-speed trains often operate in extremely harsh environments,bearing loads from different directions.Long-term operation and frequent changes in working conditions can easily lead to axle box bearing failures.Therefore,it is extremely important to study the mechanism of axle box bearings.Firstly,the medium of thermal deformation establishes a coupling relationship between the system dynamics model and the thermal grid model,and then obtains the thermal force coupling model of the high-speed train axle box bearing.The coupling model is validated from the perspectives of system dynamics response and temperature response,proving its effectiveness in system dynamics response and temperature characteristic response.Comparing the coupling model with the dynamics model,it is found that thermal deformation complicates the dynamic re-sponse.Finally,using the Lundberg-Palmgren(L-P)bearing fatigue calculation method and damage accumu-lation theory,the bearing fatigue life is calculated,and it is found that thermal deformation deteriorates the bearing operating environment,reducing the bearing fatigue life.Finally,by comparing the bearing fatigue life under different working conditions,it is concluded that the faster the vehicle speed,the greater the load,and the smaller the initial radial clearance of the bearing,the fatigue life of the bearing is reduced.The shorter the lifespan.展开更多
In the present work,we used five different versions of the quark-meson coupling(QMC)model to compute astrophysical quantities related to the GW170817 event and the neutron star cooling process.Two of the models are ba...In the present work,we used five different versions of the quark-meson coupling(QMC)model to compute astrophysical quantities related to the GW170817 event and the neutron star cooling process.Two of the models are based on the original bag potential structure and three versions consider a harmonic oscillator potential to confine quarks.The bag-like models also incorporate the pasta phase used to describe the inner crust of neutron stars.With a simple method studied in the present work,we show that the pasta phase does not play a significant role.Moreover,the QMC model that satisfies the GW170817 constraints with the lowest slope of the symmetry energy exhibits a cooling profile compatible with observational data.展开更多
In this work,a trickle-bed reactor coupled with catalyst pellet model is employed to understand the effects of the temperature and catalyst pellet structures on the reaction-diffusion behaviors in gas oil hydrodesulfu...In this work,a trickle-bed reactor coupled with catalyst pellet model is employed to understand the effects of the temperature and catalyst pellet structures on the reaction-diffusion behaviors in gas oil hydrodesulfurization(HDS).The non-isothermal reactor model is determined to be reasonable due to non-negligible temperature variation caused by the reaction heat.The reaction rate along the reactor is mainly dominated by the temperature,and the sulfur concentration gradient in the catalyst pellet decreases gradually along the reactor,leading to the increased internal effectiveness factor.For the fixed catalyst bed volume,there exists a compromise between the catalyst reaction rate and effectiveness factor.Under commonly studied catalyst pellet size of 0.8-3 mm and porosity of 0.4-0.8,an optimization of the temperature and catalyst pellet structures is carried out,and the optimized outlet sulfur content decreases to 7.6 wppm better than the commercial level at 0.96 mm of the catalyst pellet size and 0.40 of the catalyst porosity.展开更多
Heat exchanger systems(HXSs)or heat recovery steam generators(HRSGs)are commonly used in 100 kW to 50 MW combined cooling,heating,and power(CCHP)systems.Power flow coupling(PFC)is found in HXSs and is complex for rese...Heat exchanger systems(HXSs)or heat recovery steam generators(HRSGs)are commonly used in 100 kW to 50 MW combined cooling,heating,and power(CCHP)systems.Power flow coupling(PFC)is found in HXSs and is complex for researchers to quantify.This could possibly mislead the dispatch schedule and result in the inaccurate dispatch.PFC is caused by the inlet and outlet temperatures of each component,gas flow pressure variation,conductive medium flow rate,and atmosphere condition variation.In this paper,the expression of PFC is built by using quadratic functions to fit the non!inearit>of thermal dynamics.While fitting the model,the environmental condition needs prediction,which is calculated using phase space reconstruction(PSR)Kalman filter.In order to solve the complex quadratic dispatch model,a hybrid following electricity load(FEL)and following thermal load(FTL)mode for reducing the dimension of dispatch model,and a feasible zone analysis(FZA)method are proposed.As a result,the PFC problem of CCHP system is solved,and the dispatch cost,investment cost,and the maximum power requirements are optimized.In this paper,a case in Jinan,China is studied.The PFC model is proven to be more precise and accurate compared with traditional models.展开更多
An improved coupling of numerical and physical models for simulating 2D wave propagation is developed in this paper. In the proposed model, an unstructured finite element model （FEM） based Boussinesq equations is ap...An improved coupling of numerical and physical models for simulating 2D wave propagation is developed in this paper. In the proposed model, an unstructured finite element model （FEM） based Boussinesq equations is applied for the numerical wave simulation, and a 2D piston-type wavemaker is used for the physical wave generation. An innovative scheme combining fourth-order Lagrange interpolation and Runge-Kutta scheme is described for solving the coupling equation. A Transfer function modulation method is presented to minimize the errors induced from the hydrodynamic invalidity of the coupling model and/or the mechanical capability of the wavemaker in area where nonlinearities or dispersion predominate. The overall performance and applicability of the coupling model has been experimentally validated by accounting for both regular and irregular waves and varying bathymetry. Experimental results show that the proposed numerical scheme and transfer function modulation method are efficient for the data transfer from the numerical model to the physical model up to a deterministic level.展开更多
The occurrence of top-down(TD)cracking has gradually become a prevalent issue in semi-rigid base asphalt pavements after prolonged service.A coupled simulation model integrating the finite difference method(FDM)and di...The occurrence of top-down(TD)cracking has gradually become a prevalent issue in semi-rigid base asphalt pavements after prolonged service.A coupled simulation model integrating the finite difference method(FDM)and discrete element method(DEM)was employed to investigate the mechanical behavior of asphalt pavement containing a pre-existing TD crack.The mesoscopic parameters of the model were calibrated based on the mixture modulus and the static mechanical response on the MLS66 test road.Finally,an analysis was performed to assess how variations in TD crack depth and longitudinal length affect the distribution patterns of transverse tensile stress,vertical shear stress,and vertical compressive stress.The results indicate that the vertical propagation of TD crack significantly increases both the tensile stress value and range on the middle surface,while the longitudinal development of TD crack has minimal impact.This phenomenon may result in more severe fatigue failure on the middle surface.With the vertical and longitudinal development of TD crack,the vertical shear stress and compressive stress show obvious"two-stage"characteristics.When the crack's vertical length reaches 40 mm,there is a sharp increase in stress on the upper surface.As the crack continues to propagate vertically,the growth of stress on the upper surface becomes negligible,while the stress in the middle and lower layers increased significantly.Conversely,for longitudinal development of TD crack,any changes in stress are insignificant when their length is less than 180 mm;however,as they continue to develop longitudinally beyond this threshold,there is a sharp increase in stress levels.These findings hold great significance for understanding pavement structure deterioration and maintenance behavior associated with TD crack.展开更多
The Electro–Hydrostatic Actuator(EHA)is applied to drive the control surface in flightcontrol system of more electric aircraft.In EHA,the Oil-Immersed Motor Pump(OMP)serves asthe core as a power assembly.However,the ...The Electro–Hydrostatic Actuator(EHA)is applied to drive the control surface in flightcontrol system of more electric aircraft.In EHA,the Oil-Immersed Motor Pump(OMP)serves asthe core as a power assembly.However,the compact integration of the OMP presents challenges inefficiently dissipating internal heat,leading to a performance degradation of the EHA due to ele-vated temperatures.Therefore,accurately modeling and predicting the internal thermal dynamicsof the OMP hold considerable significance for monitoring the operational condition of the EHA.In view of this,a modeling method considering cumulative thermal coupling was hereby proposed.Based on the proposed method,the thermal models of the motor and the pump were established,taking into account heat accumulation and transfer.Taking the leakage oil as the heat couplingpoint between the motor and the pump,the dynamic thermal coupling model of the OMP wasdeveloped,with the thermal characteristics of the oil considered.Additionally,the comparativeexperiments were conducted to illustrate the efficiency of the proposed model.The experimentalresults demonstrate that the proposed dynamic thermal coupling model accurately captured thethermal behavior of OMP,outperforming the static thermal parameter model.Overall,thisadvancement is crucial for effectively monitoring the health of EHA and ensuring flight safety.展开更多
Lithium-ion batteries(LIBs)are widely used in electrochemical battery energy storage systems(BESS)because of their high energy density,lack of memory effects,low self-discharge rate,and long cycle life.However,inadequ...Lithium-ion batteries(LIBs)are widely used in electrochemical battery energy storage systems(BESS)because of their high energy density,lack of memory effects,low self-discharge rate,and long cycle life.However,inadequate heat dissipation during their discharge process can significantly degrade battery performance.The improvement of BESS efficiency depends on the optimization of thermal management structures.In this work,we integrate the pseudo-two-dimensional(P2D)electrochemical model with a three-dimensional thermal model to analyze the heat generation and transfer processes within the BESS.The simulation results are closely aligned with the experimental results in terms of voltage and temperature rise curves.Under air cooling conditions of 293.15 K and 3 m·s^(-1),the BESS has a maximum temperature of 308.60 K and a temperature difference of 9.22 K,ensuring safe operation.At 1 C,we suggest that enlarging the inlet and outlet areas improves the air-cooling efficiency,and transitioning environmental air-cooling temperatures after 2400 s of discharge effectively reduces the temperature difference and the energy consumption of the cooling equipment.This work provides valuable theoretical insights for optimizing the thermal design of BESS.展开更多
The magnitude of El Nino determines the level of its global impact.Yet,how well our state-of-the-art models simulate this key aspect of El Nino is not well documented.Previous studies tend to ignore El Nino-Southern O...The magnitude of El Nino determines the level of its global impact.Yet,how well our state-of-the-art models simulate this key aspect of El Nino is not well documented.Previous studies tend to ignore El Nino-Southern Oscillation(ENSO)asymmetry and equate the variance of ENSO to the magnitude of El Nino.Moreover,previous evaluations are more focused on the surface manifestation of El Nino.Here,we quantify the magnitudes of El Nino and La Nina separately,both at the surface and subsurface levels.At the surface,we find that while the magnitude of La Nina events in most models is generally stronger than observed,the magnitude of El Nino is more diverse to observations.In fact,in many models,El Nino is weaker than observed.This bias in the magnitude of El Nino is more pronounced in the subsurface.We attribute this weakness in the subsurface to the generally weaker coupling strength and the apparent stronger ENSO at the surface to a lack of sufficiently strong negative feedback from the surface heat flux in the models.When normalized by the variance of ENSO,the lack of exceptionally strong El Nino events in the models is more common and pronounced.We further studied the lifespan of El Nino and La Nina events and have found that multi-year duration is not confined to just La Nina events.There are also El Nino events that last more than one year.Moreover,we have found that multi-year long La Nina events tend to occur over the decades with strong El Nino events.The study also briefly explores the impact of global warming on the duration of ENSO events through the use of a simple model and simulations by CMIP6 models.It has been found that the frequency of multi-year El Nino and La Nina events increases with global warming.展开更多
Coastal cities hold a special position in the fields of production,living,and ecological research because of their unique wetland resource advantages.However,with global urbanization and rapid economic development,con...Coastal cities hold a special position in the fields of production,living,and ecological research because of their unique wetland resource advantages.However,with global urbanization and rapid economic development,con-flicts among production,living and ecological land are prevalent in coastal cities in the process of maintaining sustainable wetland resources and further developing the social economy.By establishing an SD-PLUS-CCD cou-pling model,this paper analysed the evolution characteristics and driving mechanism of the production-living-ecological space(PLES)and the effects of wetland protection(WLP)on promoting or inhibiting the coordinated development of the PLES in Dongying city during 2005-2060.The results show that(1)from 2005 to 2020,the increase in urban population resulted in a significant transfer of arable land and a reduction of 914 km2 in pro-duction space(PS);(2)from 2020 to 2060,under the WLP scenario,the conversion of wetland ecological space will reduce the PS and living space(LS)by 193.92 km2 and 107.14 km2,respectively,and increase the ecological space(ES)by 327.52 km2;and(3)wetland protection has an inhibitory effect on the coordinated development of PLES in the study area,and the total proportion of noncoordinated areas of PE and living-ecological space will continue to increase during the simulation period.This paper provides a solid theoretical support for the sustain-able management and protection of wetlands in coastal cities and possible PLES conflict patterns and provides a scientific basis for future territorial spatial planning and policy balance analysis.展开更多
The numerical simulation of the fluid flow and the flexible rod(s)interaction is more complicated and has lower efficiency due to the high computational cost.In this paper,a semi-resolved model coupling the computatio...The numerical simulation of the fluid flow and the flexible rod(s)interaction is more complicated and has lower efficiency due to the high computational cost.In this paper,a semi-resolved model coupling the computational fluid dynamics and the flexible rod dynamics is proposed using a two-way domain expansion method.The gov-erning equations of the flexible rod dynamics are discretized and solved by the finite element method,and the fluid flow is simulated by the finite volume method.The interaction between fluids and solid rods is modeled by introducing body force terms into the momentum equations.Referred to the traditional semi-resolved numerical model,an anisotropic Gaussian kernel function method is proposed to specify the interactive forces between flu-ids and solid bodies for non-circle rod cross-sections.A benchmark of the flow passing around a single flexible plate with a rectangular cross-section is used to validate the algorithm.Focused on the engineering applications,a test case of a finite patch of cylinders is implemented to validate the accuracy and efficiency of the coupled model.展开更多
Oxidative coupling of methane(OCM)is a catalytic partial oxidation process that directly converts methane into C_(2) products.For this high temperature reaction,understanding the radical behavior through experimental ...Oxidative coupling of methane(OCM)is a catalytic partial oxidation process that directly converts methane into C_(2) products.For this high temperature reaction,understanding the radical behavior through experimental investigation is important in correlating the catalytic activity and the products.In this work,a spatial resolution online mass spectrometry(MS)system was developed and applied to a Mn-Na_(2)WO_(4)/SiO_(2) catalyzed OCM system.In addition to the residue gas analysis,the system obtained the distribution information of the reactants and products in the reactor.At various setting temperatures,all species online MS signals were collected at different positions,mapping the reaction activity covering parameters including temperature,time and space.The distribution behavior of the catalytic activity,selectivity,and apparent activation energy were kinetically analyzed.Selectivity and additional carbon balance analysis strongly supported the radical coupling model of OCM and indicated that after the catalytic bed layer,there is a significant length in the reactor(>2 mm)filled with radicals.Based on the result,a designed new method by tuning the temperature field in the reactor was found effectively to improve the catalytic activity,especially the C_(2) yield from 702 to 773℃.展开更多
The largely bending bilayer electrode model battery has been widely used to measure the mechanical properties of composite electrode materials.The assumption used in the method that lithium is uniformly distributed in...The largely bending bilayer electrode model battery has been widely used to measure the mechanical properties of composite electrode materials.The assumption used in the method that lithium is uniformly distributed in the active layer lacks quantitative evaluation,and the uniformity of concentration distribution is crucial for accurate in-situ measurements of concentration-related material properties and stress in bilayer electrodes.Therefore,this paper proposes a mechanical-electrochemical coupled model to study the lithium concentration distribution in the active layer during lithiation.This model includes lithium concentration diffusion and active layer deformation.By comparing experimental and simulated curvature evolution of the active layer during lithiation and delithiation,the reliability of this simulation model is verified.We then derive the precise concentration distribution inside the active layer and suggest using relative error to quantitatively evaluate the uniformity of lithium concentration in the active layer.Results show that a low relative error in lithium concentration can be achieved in the middle region of the active layer.Additionally,the effects of different rates and geometric parameters on the lithium concentration distribution in the active layer are discussed.Results indicate that reduced rates,thinner active layers,shorter active layer lengths,and increased spacing between the working and counter electrodes can lead to a more uniform distribution of lithium concentration in the active layer.These insights help improve experimental methods and equipment,promoting uniform distribution of lithium in the active layer and enhancing measurement accuracy.展开更多
Since the implementation of the reform and opening-up policy,China has undergone a period of rapid development.However,this urban expansion has been accompanied by significant ecological challenges.Therefore,understan...Since the implementation of the reform and opening-up policy,China has undergone a period of rapid development.However,this urban expansion has been accompanied by significant ecological challenges.Therefore,understanding the relationship between urban expansion and ecological sustainability is crucial for future urban planning.This study analyzes land use data to investigate the spatiotemporal dynamics of urban agglomeration expansion from 2000 to 2020.Using MODIS satellite data,this study constructs a Remote Sensing Ecological Index(RSEI)model to assess ecological quality changes over the past two decades.Additionally,an improved coupling coordination model is applied to examine the interaction between urban expansion and ecological quality and to evaluate the spatiotemporal trends of their coordination.The results indicate that:①From 2000 to 2020,urban expansion in the Henan section of the Yellow River Basin followed a pattern of“growth-growthdecline”.Pattern recognition analysis indicated that both urban agglomerations and individual cities primarily expanded through edge extension and infill development,while enclave-style expansion occurred in only a small portion of the region.②Between 2000 and 2020,the ecological quality of urban agglomerations in the Henan section of the Yellow River Basin showed a slight improvement.RSEI values ranged from 0.4 to 0.7,indicating moderate ecological quality.Ecological quality exhibited a spatial pattern of being higher in the southwest and lower in the northeast.Significant declines in ecological quality were primarily concentrated in urban built-up areas,forming a patch-like distribution.Conversely,notable improvements in ecological quality occurred mainly in the mountainous regions of the southwest and north.③Between 2000 and 2020,the coupling coordination level of urban agglomerations showed an increasing trend.Coupling coordination values ranged from 0.248 to 0.734.Most cities were near an imbalance between urban expansion and ecological quality,while Zhengzhou was the only city to consistently maintain coordinated development over two decades.Spatially,highly imbalanced areas were mainly concentrated in the western and southern Henan sections,particularly in Sanmenxia and Luoyang.Conversely,areas with high coupling coordination were centered around Zhengzhou,showing a radial expansion pattern in recent years.展开更多
The uneven distribution of medical resources has led to increasingly frequent patient mobility;however, the interaction between this phenomenon and the healthcare supply-demand relationship remains underexplored. The ...The uneven distribution of medical resources has led to increasingly frequent patient mobility;however, the interaction between this phenomenon and the healthcare supply-demand relationship remains underexplored. The present study constructed the 2023Cross-City Patient Mobility Network in China using one million patient mobility data records obtained from online healthcare platforms. We applied urban network analysis to uncover mobility patterns and used the coupling coordination degree model to assess healthcare supply-demand relationships before and after patient mobility. Explainable machine learning further revealed the impact of supply-demand coupling on patient mobility. The results indicated the following: Patient mobility followed administrative boundaries, although megacities serve areas beyond provincial borders;The scale of healthcare supply and demand displayed a multi-centric spatial pattern with a general decline from east to west, and these characteristics of demand distribution were further solidified by patient mobility;Cities with low supply-demand coupling and undersupply experienced patient outflows, while cities with high coupling and oversupply attracted them. In turn, patient mobility helped balance healthcare supply and demand, optimising the coupling relationship across cities. Thus, this research not only provides a methodological reference for understanding the interaction between patient mobility and healthcare systems but also offers empirical insights for public health policy.展开更多
Slope climbing of urban expansion(SCE),as a form of urbanization,has increasingly significant impacts on urban development.Unsustainable slope climbing of urban expansion can harm the natural environment,thereby affec...Slope climbing of urban expansion(SCE),as a form of urbanization,has increasingly significant impacts on urban development.Unsustainable slope climbing of urban expansion can harm the natural environment,thereby affecting human production and living conditions.Using a coupled coordination model and the geographically weighted regression(GTWR)model,leveraging night light remote sensing data and ecological environment quality index model,this study investigated the coupling relationship between urban expansion and ecological environment quality and its influencing factors in the Yangtze River Economic Belt of China from 2000 to 2020.The results indicate that from 2000 to 2020,the intensity of urban slope climbing in the Yangtze River Economic Belt showed a fluctuating upward trend,with the slope climbing intensity being most significant in Chongqing Municipality and Kunming of Yunnan Province.Overall,the ecological environment quality exhibited an upward trend,with over 80%of the study area maintaining stable or improved ecological quality.There is a certain spatial correspondence between ecological environment quality and urban slope climbing.Although these two aspects of development demonstrate a high degree of coordination,fluctuations still occur during the development process.Further research on the coupling coordination relationship between the two revealed that population density has a negative impact on coupling coordination in the eastern region,and technology expenditure in eastern coastal cities has shown a negative trend over time.To ensure the continued increase in the proportion of highly coordinated areas in the future,eastern coastal cities in the study region could prioritize ecological civilization construction,strengthen urban construction and development planning,adjust influencing factors,and ensure the coordinated development of urban growth with ecological environment quality.展开更多
A mathematical energy coupling model was developed to analyze the light transmission in the keyhole and energy distribution on the keyhole wall.The main characteristics of the model include：1） a prototype of the key...A mathematical energy coupling model was developed to analyze the light transmission in the keyhole and energy distribution on the keyhole wall.The main characteristics of the model include：1） a prototype of the keyhole and the inverse Bremsstrahlung absorption coefficient in the keyhole plasma are obtained from the experiments;2） instead of using a parallel incident beam,a focused laser beam with real Gaussian intensity distribution is implemented;3） both Fresnel absorption and inverse Bremsstrahlung absorption during multiple reflections are considered.The calculation results show that the distribution of absorbed laser intensity by the keyhole wall is not uniform.The maximum laser energy is absorbed by the bottom of the keyhole,although no rays irradiate directly onto the bottom.According to analysis of beam focusing characteristics,the location of the focal plane plays a more important role in the laser energy absorption by the front wall than by the rear wall.展开更多
For the feature of complex weapon manufacturing on internet,a coupling model is proposed.By using the model,the correlation between manufacturing cells in an extended manufacturing organization can be evaluated quanti...For the feature of complex weapon manufacturing on internet,a coupling model is proposed.By using the model,the correlation between manufacturing cells in an extended manufacturing organization can be evaluated quantitatively,so an appropriate control plan is determined.A strategy to improve and reduce the coupling relationship of the organization is studied.A correlation matrix of extended tasks is built to analyze the relationship between sub-tasks and manufacturing resources.An optimization method for manufacturing resource configuration is presented based on the coupling model.Finally,a software system for analyzing coupling model about manufacturing organization on internet is developed,and the result shows that the coupling model is effective.展开更多
In the northern Tarim River Basin,the Weigan River Basin is a critical endorheic system characterized by extreme aridity,where drought poses a major natural hazard to agricultural production and ecological stability.T...In the northern Tarim River Basin,the Weigan River Basin is a critical endorheic system characterized by extreme aridity,where drought poses a major natural hazard to agricultural production and ecological stability.This study assessed the future evolution of drought under climate change by employing the standardized moisture anomaly index(SZI)on the basis of multi-model the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6(CMIP6)simulations under historical conditions(1970–2014)and future scenarios(shared socioeconomic pathway(SSP)1-2.6,SSP2-4.5,SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5 for 2015–2100).The results show that precipitation–evapotranspiration anomalies are projected to first decline but then increase over time,with increased fluctuations and uncertainty under high-emission scenarios(SSP5-8.5).These trends indicate intensifying drought risks and reveal a strong influence of emission pathways on regional water cycling.Temporal analysis of SZI indicates a transition from wetting to drying under lowand medium-emission pathways(SSP1-2.6 and SSP2-4.5),whereas high-emission scenarios are characterized by persistent drying and increased variability.The significant lower-tail dependence(0.271)observed under SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 suggests that extreme droughts may be subject to nonlinear co-amplification across scenarios.The frequency of moderate and more severe drought events is expected to increase substantially,especially under SSP5-8.5,where drought occurrence is predicted to extend into spring and autumn and become more evenly distributed throughout the year.Spatially,drought duration shows significant positive autocorrelation across all scenarios,with hot spots consistently concentrated in the southern and southeastern regions of the basin.Random forest analysis,interpreted as association-based pattern attribution,indicates that meteorological variables(precipitation and potential evapotranspiration(PET))make the greatest contributions to the hot spot pattern,followed by topography and soil moisture.Among land use categories,farmland generally shows higher drought sensitivity than other land use types,as reflected by its relative contribution patterns across scenarios.The spatial pattern of drought is statistically structured by climatic forcing,surface conditions,and soil moisture status,reflecting their coupled associations with hot spot occurrence.In addition,a drought spatial uncertainty index was constructed from multi-scenario hot spot maps,revealing spatially heterogeneous structural variability throughout the basin.Correlation analysis further highlights strong internal couplings among environmental variables(e.g.,elevation-linked hydroclimatic gradients and grassland–bare soil contrasts).These findings offer a scientific basis for developing region-specific drought monitoring and adaptation strategies under future climate change conditions.展开更多
Nuclear reactor coolant pumps require frequent maintenance to ensure operational safety.One critical aspect of this maintenance is verifying the integrity of the mechanical sealing system.Due to the lack of an evaluat...Nuclear reactor coolant pumps require frequent maintenance to ensure operational safety.One critical aspect of this maintenance is verifying the integrity of the mechanical sealing system.Due to the lack of an evaluation criteria and an incomplete understanding of how end-face defects lead to failure,defective mechanical seals are often replaced empirically,which not only contributes to economic losses but also poses risks to reactor safety.To reveal the mechanism by which surface defects affect sealing performance,this study proposes a classification method for end-face defects based on the analysis of approximately one hundred used mechanical seals.A defect characterization model was established by extracting key features of the observed defects.The influence of these defects on sealing performance was analyzed using a liquid-thermal-solid coupling model.Changes in sealing gap,leakage rates,and film stiffness with respect to defect size,location,and other characteristics are discussed.This work contributes to a deeper understanding of defect failure mechanisms.These results can serve as a reference for evaluating defective seals.展开更多
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.12393780,12032017,12302067)College Education Scientific Research Project of Hebei Province(Grant No.JZX2024006)Hebei Provincial S&T Program(Grant No.21567622 H).
文摘The axle box bearings of high-speed trains often operate in extremely harsh environments,bearing loads from different directions.Long-term operation and frequent changes in working conditions can easily lead to axle box bearing failures.Therefore,it is extremely important to study the mechanism of axle box bearings.Firstly,the medium of thermal deformation establishes a coupling relationship between the system dynamics model and the thermal grid model,and then obtains the thermal force coupling model of the high-speed train axle box bearing.The coupling model is validated from the perspectives of system dynamics response and temperature response,proving its effectiveness in system dynamics response and temperature characteristic response.Comparing the coupling model with the dynamics model,it is found that thermal deformation complicates the dynamic re-sponse.Finally,using the Lundberg-Palmgren(L-P)bearing fatigue calculation method and damage accumu-lation theory,the bearing fatigue life is calculated,and it is found that thermal deformation deteriorates the bearing operating environment,reducing the bearing fatigue life.Finally,by comparing the bearing fatigue life under different working conditions,it is concluded that the faster the vehicle speed,the greater the load,and the smaller the initial radial clearance of the bearing,the fatigue life of the bearing is reduced.The shorter the lifespan.
基金This work is a part of the projet INCT-FNA Proe.(464898/2014-5),was partially supprted by CNPq(Brazil)(301155.2017-8)(D.P.M.),310242/2017-7,406958/2018-1(O.L),308486/2015-3(T.F.),43369/2018-3(M.D.),by Capes-PNPD program(C.V.F),and by Fundacio de Amparo a Pesquisa do Estado de Sio Paulo(FAPESP)under the thematic projescts 2013/26258-4(OL,TF)and 2017/05660-0(OL,M.D.T.E.).R.N.also acknowledges that this project was parly funded by FAPERJ,under grant E-26/203.2992017.M.B.acknowledge the support from FAPESP Project No.2017/05660-0,and FOSTECT Project No.FOSTECT.2019B.04.PDS acknow ledges support from the UK STFC under projeet number ST/P005314/1。
文摘In the present work,we used five different versions of the quark-meson coupling(QMC)model to compute astrophysical quantities related to the GW170817 event and the neutron star cooling process.Two of the models are based on the original bag potential structure and three versions consider a harmonic oscillator potential to confine quarks.The bag-like models also incorporate the pasta phase used to describe the inner crust of neutron stars.With a simple method studied in the present work,we show that the pasta phase does not play a significant role.Moreover,the QMC model that satisfies the GW170817 constraints with the lowest slope of the symmetry energy exhibits a cooling profile compatible with observational data.
基金supported by the National Key R&D Program of China(2018YFB0604500)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(21922803 and 21776077)+4 种基金the Shanghai Natural Science Foundation(17ZR1407300 and 17ZR1407500)the Program for Professor of Special Appointment(Eastern Scholar)at Shanghai Institutions of Higher Learningthe Shanghai Rising-Star Program(17QA1401200)the Open Project of SKLOCE(SKL-Che-15C03)the 111 Project of the Ministry of Education of China(B08021)。
文摘In this work,a trickle-bed reactor coupled with catalyst pellet model is employed to understand the effects of the temperature and catalyst pellet structures on the reaction-diffusion behaviors in gas oil hydrodesulfurization(HDS).The non-isothermal reactor model is determined to be reasonable due to non-negligible temperature variation caused by the reaction heat.The reaction rate along the reactor is mainly dominated by the temperature,and the sulfur concentration gradient in the catalyst pellet decreases gradually along the reactor,leading to the increased internal effectiveness factor.For the fixed catalyst bed volume,there exists a compromise between the catalyst reaction rate and effectiveness factor.Under commonly studied catalyst pellet size of 0.8-3 mm and porosity of 0.4-0.8,an optimization of the temperature and catalyst pellet structures is carried out,and the optimized outlet sulfur content decreases to 7.6 wppm better than the commercial level at 0.96 mm of the catalyst pellet size and 0.40 of the catalyst porosity.
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.61733010).
文摘Heat exchanger systems(HXSs)or heat recovery steam generators(HRSGs)are commonly used in 100 kW to 50 MW combined cooling,heating,and power(CCHP)systems.Power flow coupling(PFC)is found in HXSs and is complex for researchers to quantify.This could possibly mislead the dispatch schedule and result in the inaccurate dispatch.PFC is caused by the inlet and outlet temperatures of each component,gas flow pressure variation,conductive medium flow rate,and atmosphere condition variation.In this paper,the expression of PFC is built by using quadratic functions to fit the non!inearit>of thermal dynamics.While fitting the model,the environmental condition needs prediction,which is calculated using phase space reconstruction(PSR)Kalman filter.In order to solve the complex quadratic dispatch model,a hybrid following electricity load(FEL)and following thermal load(FTL)mode for reducing the dimension of dispatch model,and a feasible zone analysis(FZA)method are proposed.As a result,the PFC problem of CCHP system is solved,and the dispatch cost,investment cost,and the maximum power requirements are optimized.In this paper,a case in Jinan,China is studied.The PFC model is proven to be more precise and accurate compared with traditional models.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.51079023 and 51221961)the National Basic Research Program of China(973 Program,Grant Nos.2013CB036101 and 2011CB013703)
文摘An improved coupling of numerical and physical models for simulating 2D wave propagation is developed in this paper. In the proposed model, an unstructured finite element model （FEM） based Boussinesq equations is applied for the numerical wave simulation, and a 2D piston-type wavemaker is used for the physical wave generation. An innovative scheme combining fourth-order Lagrange interpolation and Runge-Kutta scheme is described for solving the coupling equation. A Transfer function modulation method is presented to minimize the errors induced from the hydrodynamic invalidity of the coupling model and/or the mechanical capability of the wavemaker in area where nonlinearities or dispersion predominate. The overall performance and applicability of the coupling model has been experimentally validated by accounting for both regular and irregular waves and varying bathymetry. Experimental results show that the proposed numerical scheme and transfer function modulation method are efficient for the data transfer from the numerical model to the physical model up to a deterministic level.
基金supported by National Key R&D Program of China(Grant No.2021YFB2601200)Open Fund of National Engineering Research Center of Highway Maintenance Technology(Changsha University of Science&Technology)(No.kfj230207).
文摘The occurrence of top-down(TD)cracking has gradually become a prevalent issue in semi-rigid base asphalt pavements after prolonged service.A coupled simulation model integrating the finite difference method(FDM)and discrete element method(DEM)was employed to investigate the mechanical behavior of asphalt pavement containing a pre-existing TD crack.The mesoscopic parameters of the model were calibrated based on the mixture modulus and the static mechanical response on the MLS66 test road.Finally,an analysis was performed to assess how variations in TD crack depth and longitudinal length affect the distribution patterns of transverse tensile stress,vertical shear stress,and vertical compressive stress.The results indicate that the vertical propagation of TD crack significantly increases both the tensile stress value and range on the middle surface,while the longitudinal development of TD crack has minimal impact.This phenomenon may result in more severe fatigue failure on the middle surface.With the vertical and longitudinal development of TD crack,the vertical shear stress and compressive stress show obvious"two-stage"characteristics.When the crack's vertical length reaches 40 mm,there is a sharp increase in stress on the upper surface.As the crack continues to propagate vertically,the growth of stress on the upper surface becomes negligible,while the stress in the middle and lower layers increased significantly.Conversely,for longitudinal development of TD crack,any changes in stress are insignificant when their length is less than 180 mm;however,as they continue to develop longitudinally beyond this threshold,there is a sharp increase in stress levels.These findings hold great significance for understanding pavement structure deterioration and maintenance behavior associated with TD crack.
基金supported by the National Key R&D Program of China(No.2021YFB2011300)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.52275044,U2233212)。
文摘The Electro–Hydrostatic Actuator(EHA)is applied to drive the control surface in flightcontrol system of more electric aircraft.In EHA,the Oil-Immersed Motor Pump(OMP)serves asthe core as a power assembly.However,the compact integration of the OMP presents challenges inefficiently dissipating internal heat,leading to a performance degradation of the EHA due to ele-vated temperatures.Therefore,accurately modeling and predicting the internal thermal dynamicsof the OMP hold considerable significance for monitoring the operational condition of the EHA.In view of this,a modeling method considering cumulative thermal coupling was hereby proposed.Based on the proposed method,the thermal models of the motor and the pump were established,taking into account heat accumulation and transfer.Taking the leakage oil as the heat couplingpoint between the motor and the pump,the dynamic thermal coupling model of the OMP wasdeveloped,with the thermal characteristics of the oil considered.Additionally,the comparativeexperiments were conducted to illustrate the efficiency of the proposed model.The experimentalresults demonstrate that the proposed dynamic thermal coupling model accurately captured thethermal behavior of OMP,outperforming the static thermal parameter model.Overall,thisadvancement is crucial for effectively monitoring the health of EHA and ensuring flight safety.
基金sponsored by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(2022YFA1503501)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(22278127,22378112)+1 种基金the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(2022ZFJH004)21C Innovation Laboratory,Contemporary Amperex Technology Ltd by project No.21C-368 OP-202312,Shanghai Pilot Proaram for Basic Research(22T01400100-18)。
文摘Lithium-ion batteries(LIBs)are widely used in electrochemical battery energy storage systems(BESS)because of their high energy density,lack of memory effects,low self-discharge rate,and long cycle life.However,inadequate heat dissipation during their discharge process can significantly degrade battery performance.The improvement of BESS efficiency depends on the optimization of thermal management structures.In this work,we integrate the pseudo-two-dimensional(P2D)electrochemical model with a three-dimensional thermal model to analyze the heat generation and transfer processes within the BESS.The simulation results are closely aligned with the experimental results in terms of voltage and temperature rise curves.Under air cooling conditions of 293.15 K and 3 m·s^(-1),the BESS has a maximum temperature of 308.60 K and a temperature difference of 9.22 K,ensuring safe operation.At 1 C,we suggest that enlarging the inlet and outlet areas improves the air-cooling efficiency,and transitioning environmental air-cooling temperatures after 2400 s of discharge effectively reduces the temperature difference and the energy consumption of the cooling equipment.This work provides valuable theoretical insights for optimizing the thermal design of BESS.
基金The National Natural Science Foundation of China under contract No.42250710154。
文摘The magnitude of El Nino determines the level of its global impact.Yet,how well our state-of-the-art models simulate this key aspect of El Nino is not well documented.Previous studies tend to ignore El Nino-Southern Oscillation(ENSO)asymmetry and equate the variance of ENSO to the magnitude of El Nino.Moreover,previous evaluations are more focused on the surface manifestation of El Nino.Here,we quantify the magnitudes of El Nino and La Nina separately,both at the surface and subsurface levels.At the surface,we find that while the magnitude of La Nina events in most models is generally stronger than observed,the magnitude of El Nino is more diverse to observations.In fact,in many models,El Nino is weaker than observed.This bias in the magnitude of El Nino is more pronounced in the subsurface.We attribute this weakness in the subsurface to the generally weaker coupling strength and the apparent stronger ENSO at the surface to a lack of sufficiently strong negative feedback from the surface heat flux in the models.When normalized by the variance of ENSO,the lack of exceptionally strong El Nino events in the models is more common and pronounced.We further studied the lifespan of El Nino and La Nina events and have found that multi-year duration is not confined to just La Nina events.There are also El Nino events that last more than one year.Moreover,we have found that multi-year long La Nina events tend to occur over the decades with strong El Nino events.The study also briefly explores the impact of global warming on the duration of ENSO events through the use of a simple model and simulations by CMIP6 models.It has been found that the frequency of multi-year El Nino and La Nina events increases with global warming.
基金supported by the Joint Research program for Eco-logical Conservation and High-quality Development of the Yellow River Basin(Grant No.2022-YRUC-01-0103)Watershed Non-point Source Pollution Prevention and Control Technology and Application Demon-stration Project(Grant No.2021YFC3201505)+3 种基金the National Key Re-search and Development Project(Grant No.2016YFC0502106)the Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.41476161)the Spe-cial Project of National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.42442035)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Uni-versities.
文摘Coastal cities hold a special position in the fields of production,living,and ecological research because of their unique wetland resource advantages.However,with global urbanization and rapid economic development,con-flicts among production,living and ecological land are prevalent in coastal cities in the process of maintaining sustainable wetland resources and further developing the social economy.By establishing an SD-PLUS-CCD cou-pling model,this paper analysed the evolution characteristics and driving mechanism of the production-living-ecological space(PLES)and the effects of wetland protection(WLP)on promoting or inhibiting the coordinated development of the PLES in Dongying city during 2005-2060.The results show that(1)from 2005 to 2020,the increase in urban population resulted in a significant transfer of arable land and a reduction of 914 km2 in pro-duction space(PS);(2)from 2020 to 2060,under the WLP scenario,the conversion of wetland ecological space will reduce the PS and living space(LS)by 193.92 km2 and 107.14 km2,respectively,and increase the ecological space(ES)by 327.52 km2;and(3)wetland protection has an inhibitory effect on the coordinated development of PLES in the study area,and the total proportion of noncoordinated areas of PE and living-ecological space will continue to increase during the simulation period.This paper provides a solid theoretical support for the sustain-able management and protection of wetlands in coastal cities and possible PLES conflict patterns and provides a scientific basis for future territorial spatial planning and policy balance analysis.
基金supported by Shanghai 2021“Science and Technology Innovation Action Plan”:Social Development Science and Technology Research Project(Grant No.21DZ1202703).
文摘The numerical simulation of the fluid flow and the flexible rod(s)interaction is more complicated and has lower efficiency due to the high computational cost.In this paper,a semi-resolved model coupling the computational fluid dynamics and the flexible rod dynamics is proposed using a two-way domain expansion method.The gov-erning equations of the flexible rod dynamics are discretized and solved by the finite element method,and the fluid flow is simulated by the finite volume method.The interaction between fluids and solid rods is modeled by introducing body force terms into the momentum equations.Referred to the traditional semi-resolved numerical model,an anisotropic Gaussian kernel function method is proposed to specify the interactive forces between flu-ids and solid bodies for non-circle rod cross-sections.A benchmark of the flow passing around a single flexible plate with a rectangular cross-section is used to validate the algorithm.Focused on the engineering applications,a test case of a finite patch of cylinders is implemented to validate the accuracy and efficiency of the coupled model.
文摘Oxidative coupling of methane(OCM)is a catalytic partial oxidation process that directly converts methane into C_(2) products.For this high temperature reaction,understanding the radical behavior through experimental investigation is important in correlating the catalytic activity and the products.In this work,a spatial resolution online mass spectrometry(MS)system was developed and applied to a Mn-Na_(2)WO_(4)/SiO_(2) catalyzed OCM system.In addition to the residue gas analysis,the system obtained the distribution information of the reactants and products in the reactor.At various setting temperatures,all species online MS signals were collected at different positions,mapping the reaction activity covering parameters including temperature,time and space.The distribution behavior of the catalytic activity,selectivity,and apparent activation energy were kinetically analyzed.Selectivity and additional carbon balance analysis strongly supported the radical coupling model of OCM and indicated that after the catalytic bed layer,there is a significant length in the reactor(>2 mm)filled with radicals.Based on the result,a designed new method by tuning the temperature field in the reactor was found effectively to improve the catalytic activity,especially the C_(2) yield from 702 to 773℃.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.11872236).
文摘The largely bending bilayer electrode model battery has been widely used to measure the mechanical properties of composite electrode materials.The assumption used in the method that lithium is uniformly distributed in the active layer lacks quantitative evaluation,and the uniformity of concentration distribution is crucial for accurate in-situ measurements of concentration-related material properties and stress in bilayer electrodes.Therefore,this paper proposes a mechanical-electrochemical coupled model to study the lithium concentration distribution in the active layer during lithiation.This model includes lithium concentration diffusion and active layer deformation.By comparing experimental and simulated curvature evolution of the active layer during lithiation and delithiation,the reliability of this simulation model is verified.We then derive the precise concentration distribution inside the active layer and suggest using relative error to quantitatively evaluate the uniformity of lithium concentration in the active layer.Results show that a low relative error in lithium concentration can be achieved in the middle region of the active layer.Additionally,the effects of different rates and geometric parameters on the lithium concentration distribution in the active layer are discussed.Results indicate that reduced rates,thinner active layers,shorter active layer lengths,and increased spacing between the working and counter electrodes can lead to a more uniform distribution of lithium concentration in the active layer.These insights help improve experimental methods and equipment,promoting uniform distribution of lithium in the active layer and enhancing measurement accuracy.
基金State Key Laboratory of Spatial Datum(No.SKLSD2025-ZZ-17)National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.U21A2014)+2 种基金High-Resolution Satellite Project of the State Administration of Science,Technology,and Industry for National Defense of the PRC(No.80Y50G19-9001-22/23)National Science and Technology Platform Construction Project(No.2005DKA32300)Major Research Projects of the Ministry of Education(No.16JJD770019).
文摘Since the implementation of the reform and opening-up policy,China has undergone a period of rapid development.However,this urban expansion has been accompanied by significant ecological challenges.Therefore,understanding the relationship between urban expansion and ecological sustainability is crucial for future urban planning.This study analyzes land use data to investigate the spatiotemporal dynamics of urban agglomeration expansion from 2000 to 2020.Using MODIS satellite data,this study constructs a Remote Sensing Ecological Index(RSEI)model to assess ecological quality changes over the past two decades.Additionally,an improved coupling coordination model is applied to examine the interaction between urban expansion and ecological quality and to evaluate the spatiotemporal trends of their coordination.The results indicate that:①From 2000 to 2020,urban expansion in the Henan section of the Yellow River Basin followed a pattern of“growth-growthdecline”.Pattern recognition analysis indicated that both urban agglomerations and individual cities primarily expanded through edge extension and infill development,while enclave-style expansion occurred in only a small portion of the region.②Between 2000 and 2020,the ecological quality of urban agglomerations in the Henan section of the Yellow River Basin showed a slight improvement.RSEI values ranged from 0.4 to 0.7,indicating moderate ecological quality.Ecological quality exhibited a spatial pattern of being higher in the southwest and lower in the northeast.Significant declines in ecological quality were primarily concentrated in urban built-up areas,forming a patch-like distribution.Conversely,notable improvements in ecological quality occurred mainly in the mountainous regions of the southwest and north.③Between 2000 and 2020,the coupling coordination level of urban agglomerations showed an increasing trend.Coupling coordination values ranged from 0.248 to 0.734.Most cities were near an imbalance between urban expansion and ecological quality,while Zhengzhou was the only city to consistently maintain coordinated development over two decades.Spatially,highly imbalanced areas were mainly concentrated in the western and southern Henan sections,particularly in Sanmenxia and Luoyang.Conversely,areas with high coupling coordination were centered around Zhengzhou,showing a radial expansion pattern in recent years.
基金Humanities and Social Sciences Fund of Ministry of Education of China,No.24YJA630097National Natural Science Foundation of China,No.42471304。
文摘The uneven distribution of medical resources has led to increasingly frequent patient mobility;however, the interaction between this phenomenon and the healthcare supply-demand relationship remains underexplored. The present study constructed the 2023Cross-City Patient Mobility Network in China using one million patient mobility data records obtained from online healthcare platforms. We applied urban network analysis to uncover mobility patterns and used the coupling coordination degree model to assess healthcare supply-demand relationships before and after patient mobility. Explainable machine learning further revealed the impact of supply-demand coupling on patient mobility. The results indicated the following: Patient mobility followed administrative boundaries, although megacities serve areas beyond provincial borders;The scale of healthcare supply and demand displayed a multi-centric spatial pattern with a general decline from east to west, and these characteristics of demand distribution were further solidified by patient mobility;Cities with low supply-demand coupling and undersupply experienced patient outflows, while cities with high coupling and oversupply attracted them. In turn, patient mobility helped balance healthcare supply and demand, optimising the coupling relationship across cities. Thus, this research not only provides a methodological reference for understanding the interaction between patient mobility and healthcare systems but also offers empirical insights for public health policy.
基金Under the auspices of National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.42371191)Science and Technology Planning of NIGLAS(No.NIGLAS2022GS06,2022NIGLAS-CJH04)。
文摘Slope climbing of urban expansion(SCE),as a form of urbanization,has increasingly significant impacts on urban development.Unsustainable slope climbing of urban expansion can harm the natural environment,thereby affecting human production and living conditions.Using a coupled coordination model and the geographically weighted regression(GTWR)model,leveraging night light remote sensing data and ecological environment quality index model,this study investigated the coupling relationship between urban expansion and ecological environment quality and its influencing factors in the Yangtze River Economic Belt of China from 2000 to 2020.The results indicate that from 2000 to 2020,the intensity of urban slope climbing in the Yangtze River Economic Belt showed a fluctuating upward trend,with the slope climbing intensity being most significant in Chongqing Municipality and Kunming of Yunnan Province.Overall,the ecological environment quality exhibited an upward trend,with over 80%of the study area maintaining stable or improved ecological quality.There is a certain spatial correspondence between ecological environment quality and urban slope climbing.Although these two aspects of development demonstrate a high degree of coordination,fluctuations still occur during the development process.Further research on the coupling coordination relationship between the two revealed that population density has a negative impact on coupling coordination in the eastern region,and technology expenditure in eastern coastal cities has shown a negative trend over time.To ensure the continued increase in the proportion of highly coordinated areas in the future,eastern coastal cities in the study region could prioritize ecological civilization construction,strengthen urban construction and development planning,adjust influencing factors,and ensure the coordinated development of urban growth with ecological environment quality.
基金Projects (51175162, 50805045) supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject supported by the Scientific Research Foundation for the Returned Overseas Chinese Scholars,Ministry of Education,China
文摘A mathematical energy coupling model was developed to analyze the light transmission in the keyhole and energy distribution on the keyhole wall.The main characteristics of the model include：1） a prototype of the keyhole and the inverse Bremsstrahlung absorption coefficient in the keyhole plasma are obtained from the experiments;2） instead of using a parallel incident beam,a focused laser beam with real Gaussian intensity distribution is implemented;3） both Fresnel absorption and inverse Bremsstrahlung absorption during multiple reflections are considered.The calculation results show that the distribution of absorbed laser intensity by the keyhole wall is not uniform.The maximum laser energy is absorbed by the bottom of the keyhole,although no rays irradiate directly onto the bottom.According to analysis of beam focusing characteristics,the location of the focal plane plays a more important role in the laser energy absorption by the front wall than by the rear wall.
基金Supported by the National Defense Industrial Technology Development Program of China~~
文摘For the feature of complex weapon manufacturing on internet,a coupling model is proposed.By using the model,the correlation between manufacturing cells in an extended manufacturing organization can be evaluated quantitatively,so an appropriate control plan is determined.A strategy to improve and reduce the coupling relationship of the organization is studied.A correlation matrix of extended tasks is built to analyze the relationship between sub-tasks and manufacturing resources.An optimization method for manufacturing resource configuration is presented based on the coupling model.Finally,a software system for analyzing coupling model about manufacturing organization on internet is developed,and the result shows that the coupling model is effective.
基金supported by the Key Research and Development Project of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region,China(2022B02049)the Major Science and Technology Special Project of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region,China(2024A03007-5).
文摘In the northern Tarim River Basin,the Weigan River Basin is a critical endorheic system characterized by extreme aridity,where drought poses a major natural hazard to agricultural production and ecological stability.This study assessed the future evolution of drought under climate change by employing the standardized moisture anomaly index(SZI)on the basis of multi-model the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6(CMIP6)simulations under historical conditions(1970–2014)and future scenarios(shared socioeconomic pathway(SSP)1-2.6,SSP2-4.5,SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5 for 2015–2100).The results show that precipitation–evapotranspiration anomalies are projected to first decline but then increase over time,with increased fluctuations and uncertainty under high-emission scenarios(SSP5-8.5).These trends indicate intensifying drought risks and reveal a strong influence of emission pathways on regional water cycling.Temporal analysis of SZI indicates a transition from wetting to drying under lowand medium-emission pathways(SSP1-2.6 and SSP2-4.5),whereas high-emission scenarios are characterized by persistent drying and increased variability.The significant lower-tail dependence(0.271)observed under SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 suggests that extreme droughts may be subject to nonlinear co-amplification across scenarios.The frequency of moderate and more severe drought events is expected to increase substantially,especially under SSP5-8.5,where drought occurrence is predicted to extend into spring and autumn and become more evenly distributed throughout the year.Spatially,drought duration shows significant positive autocorrelation across all scenarios,with hot spots consistently concentrated in the southern and southeastern regions of the basin.Random forest analysis,interpreted as association-based pattern attribution,indicates that meteorological variables(precipitation and potential evapotranspiration(PET))make the greatest contributions to the hot spot pattern,followed by topography and soil moisture.Among land use categories,farmland generally shows higher drought sensitivity than other land use types,as reflected by its relative contribution patterns across scenarios.The spatial pattern of drought is statistically structured by climatic forcing,surface conditions,and soil moisture status,reflecting their coupled associations with hot spot occurrence.In addition,a drought spatial uncertainty index was constructed from multi-scenario hot spot maps,revealing spatially heterogeneous structural variability throughout the basin.Correlation analysis further highlights strong internal couplings among environmental variables(e.g.,elevation-linked hydroclimatic gradients and grassland–bare soil contrasts).These findings offer a scientific basis for developing region-specific drought monitoring and adaptation strategies under future climate change conditions.
基金Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.51975315)National Science and Technology Major Project of China(Grant No.2019-IV-0020-0088).
文摘Nuclear reactor coolant pumps require frequent maintenance to ensure operational safety.One critical aspect of this maintenance is verifying the integrity of the mechanical sealing system.Due to the lack of an evaluation criteria and an incomplete understanding of how end-face defects lead to failure,defective mechanical seals are often replaced empirically,which not only contributes to economic losses but also poses risks to reactor safety.To reveal the mechanism by which surface defects affect sealing performance,this study proposes a classification method for end-face defects based on the analysis of approximately one hundred used mechanical seals.A defect characterization model was established by extracting key features of the observed defects.The influence of these defects on sealing performance was analyzed using a liquid-thermal-solid coupling model.Changes in sealing gap,leakage rates,and film stiffness with respect to defect size,location,and other characteristics are discussed.This work contributes to a deeper understanding of defect failure mechanisms.These results can serve as a reference for evaluating defective seals.
