The goal of this paper is to propose a unique control method that permits the evolution of both timed continuous Petri net (TCPN) and T-timed discrete Petri net (T-TDPN) from an initial state to a desired one. Mod...The goal of this paper is to propose a unique control method that permits the evolution of both timed continuous Petri net (TCPN) and T-timed discrete Petri net (T-TDPN) from an initial state to a desired one. Model predictive control (MPC) is a robust control scheme against perturbation and a consistent real-time constraints method. Hence, the proposed approach is studied using the MPC. However, the computational complexity may prevent the use of the MPC for large systems and for large prediction horizons. Then, the proposed approach provides some new techniques in order to reduce the high computational complexity; among them one is taking constant control actions during the prediction.展开更多
A continuous time delay-difference model(CTDDM) has been established that considers continuous time delays of biological processes.The southern Atlantic albacore(Thunnus alalunga) stock is the one of the commercially ...A continuous time delay-difference model(CTDDM) has been established that considers continuous time delays of biological processes.The southern Atlantic albacore(Thunnus alalunga) stock is the one of the commercially important tuna population in the marine world.The age structured production model(ASPM) and the surplus production model(SPM) have already been used to assess the albacore stock.However,the ASPM requires detailed biological information and the SPM lacks the biological realism.In this study,we focus on applying a CTDDM to the southern Atlantic albacore(T.alalunga) species,which provides an alternative method to assess this fishery.It is the first time that CTDDM has been provided for assessing the Atlantic albacore(T.alalunga) fishery.CTDDM obtained the 80%confidence interval of MSY(maximum sustainable yield) of(21 510 t,23 118 t).The catch in 2011(24 100 t) is higher than the MSY values and the relative fishing mortality ratio(F_(2011)/F_(MSY)) is higher than 1.0.The results of CTDDM were analyzed to verify the proposed methodology and provide reference information for the sustainable management of the southern Atlantic albacore stock.The CTDDM treats the recruitment,the growth,and the mortality rates as all varying continuously over time and fills gaps between ASPM and SPM in this stock assessment.展开更多
A generalized continuous time random walk model which is dependent on environmental damping is proposed in which the two key parameters of the usual random walk theory: the jumping distance and the waiting time, are ...A generalized continuous time random walk model which is dependent on environmental damping is proposed in which the two key parameters of the usual random walk theory: the jumping distance and the waiting time, are replaced by two new ones: the pulse velocity and the flight time. The anomalous diffusion of a free particle which is characterized by the asymptotical mean square displacement (x^2(t)) - t^a is realized numerically and analysed theoretically, where the value of the power index a is in a region of 0 〈 a 〈 2. Particularly, the damping leads to a sub-diffusion when the impact velocities are drawn from a Gaussian density function and the super-diffusive effect is related to statistical extremes, which are called rare-though-dominant events.展开更多
The generalized master equation for the space-time coupled continuous time random walk is derived analytically, in which the space-time coupling is considered through the correlated function 9(t) ~ t^γ, 0 ≤ γ 〈...The generalized master equation for the space-time coupled continuous time random walk is derived analytically, in which the space-time coupling is considered through the correlated function 9(t) ~ t^γ, 0 ≤ γ 〈 2, and the probability density function ω(t) of a particle's waiting time t follows a power law form for large t: ω(t) ~t^-(1+α), 0 〈 α 〈 1. The results indicate that the expressions of the generalized master equation are determined by the correlation exponent 7 and the long-tailed index α of the waiting time. Moreover, the diffusion results obtained from the generalized master equation are in accordance with the previous known results and the numerical simulation results.展开更多
The present paper aims to show the impact of continuous time calculation on life insurance pricing and reserving in the Algerian context. The discrete time approach allows insurance companies to facilitate calculation...The present paper aims to show the impact of continuous time calculation on life insurance pricing and reserving in the Algerian context. The discrete time approach allows insurance companies to facilitate calculation process but with less accuracy. This approach implies constancy of death quotients during a year. However, the death risk is a continuous function in time. For more accuracy and equity in pricing, calculation needs to consider the exact dates of different payments and also a continuous capitalization process. This gives more adequate premium with fewer hypotheses. This work shows how insurers can propose more adequate pricing using the same actuarial life table.展开更多
In the analysis and design for linear systems in the form of state space,it is undisputed that state responses play a fundamentally important role.For continuous-time linear time-invariant(CT-LTI)systems,the well-know...In the analysis and design for linear systems in the form of state space,it is undisputed that state responses play a fundamentally important role.For continuous-time linear time-invariant(CT-LTI)systems,the well-known result is that the state responses are given in terms of matrix exponential functions[1].For discrete-time linear time-invariant(DT-LTI)systems,the state responses are expressed in terms of matrix power functions[1].展开更多
BACKGROUND Stroke is the leading cause of adult lifelong disability worldwide.A stroke is an acute cerebrovascular disease with a variety of causes and corresponding clinical symptoms.Around 75%of surviving stroke pat...BACKGROUND Stroke is the leading cause of adult lifelong disability worldwide.A stroke is an acute cerebrovascular disease with a variety of causes and corresponding clinical symptoms.Around 75%of surviving stroke patients experience impaired nerve function,and some suffer from traumatic fractures,which can lead to special care needs.AIM To determine the effect of timing theory continuous care,with resistance training,on the rehabilitation and mental health of caregivers and stroke patients with traumatic fractures.METHODS Between January 2017 to March 2021,we selected 100 hospital admissions with post-stroke hemiplegia complicated with a traumatic fracture.Two participant groups were created:(1)Control group:given resistance training;and(2)Observation group:given timing theory continuous care combined with resistance training.The degree of satisfaction and differences in bone and phosphorus metabolism indexes between the two groups were compared.The self-perceived burden scale(SPBS)and caregiver burden questionnaire were used to evaluate the psychological health of patients and caregivers.The Harris hip function score,ability of daily living(ADL)scale,and global quality of life questionnaire(GQOL-74)were used to evaluate hip function,ability of daily living,and quality of life.RESULTS Data were collected prior to and after intervention.Alkaline phosphatase(ALP),osteocalcin,and vitamin D3 in the observation group and control group increased after intervention(P<0.05),and carboxy-terminal peptide of type I collagenβSpecial sequence(β-CTX)decreased(P<0.05).ALP and osteocalcin in the observation group were higher than in the control group(P<0.05).There was no significant difference inβ-CTX and vitamin D3 between the two groups(P>0.05).The SPBS score of the observation group was lower and the ADL score was higher than the control group.The burden score was lower and the Harris hip function and GQOL-74 scores were higher than that of the control group(P<0.05).The observation group’s satisfaction rating was 94.00%,which was higher than the rating from the control group(P<0.05).CONCLUSION Timing theory continuous nursing with resistance training can reduce hip dysfunction in stroke patients with a traumatic fracture and enhance quality of life and mental health of patients and caregivers.展开更多
This paper deals with a stochastic representation of the rainfall process. The analysis of a rainfall time series shows that cumulative representation of a rainfall time series can be modeled as a non-Gaussian random ...This paper deals with a stochastic representation of the rainfall process. The analysis of a rainfall time series shows that cumulative representation of a rainfall time series can be modeled as a non-Gaussian random walk with a log-normal jump distribution and a time-waiting distribution following a tempered a-stable probability law. Based on the random walk model, a fractional Fokker-Planck equation (FFPE) with tempered a-stable waiting times was obtained. Through the comparison of observed data and simulated results from the random walk model and FFPE model with tempered a-stable waiting times, it can be concluded that the behavior of the rainfall process is globally reproduced, and the FFPE model with tempered a-stable waiting times is more efficient in reproducing the observed behavior.展开更多
Quantitative safety assessment of safety systems plays an important role in decision making at all stages of system lifecycle, i.e., design, deployment and phase out. Most safety assessment methods consider only syste...Quantitative safety assessment of safety systems plays an important role in decision making at all stages of system lifecycle, i.e., design, deployment and phase out. Most safety assessment methods consider only system parameters, such as configuration, hazard rate, coverage, repair rate, etc. along with periodic proof-tests (or inspection). Not considering demand rate will give a pessimistic safety estimate for an application with low demand rate such as nuclear power plants, chemical plants, etc. In this paper, a basic model of IEC 61508 is used. The basic model is extended to incorporate process demand and behavior of electronic- and/or computer-based system following diagnosis or proof-test. A new safety index, probability of failure on actual demand (PFAD) based on extended model and demand rate is proposed. Periodic proof-test makes the model semi-Markovian, so a piece-wise continuous time Markov chain (CTMC) based method is used to derive mean state probabilities of elementary or aggregated state. Method to determine probability of failure on demand (PFD) (IEC 61508) and PFAD based on these state probabilities are described. In example, safety indices of PFD and PFAD are compared.展开更多
This paper presents a simplified Markov model to evaluate the reliability of phased-mission system(PMS). The time cost and storage requirement are very huge for traditional Markov model to analyze the PMS reliability ...This paper presents a simplified Markov model to evaluate the reliability of phased-mission system(PMS). The time cost and storage requirement are very huge for traditional Markov model to analyze the PMS reliability as the number of components increases to a large scale. The states merging method proposed in this paper can account for the PMS with subsystems consisting of identical components, and similar PMSs are common in real-world systems. The simplified Markov model by states merging has smaller number of system states, compared with the traditional one. Furthermore, for the above subsystems, the size of our model increases only linearly as the number of components increases, while the size of the traditional model exponentially increases.Finally, the effectiveness and correctness of our approach are analyzed by comparing with the traditional Markov method.展开更多
As a payload support system deployed on satellites,the turntable system is often switched among different working modes during the on-orbit operation,which can experience great state changes.In each mode,the missions ...As a payload support system deployed on satellites,the turntable system is often switched among different working modes during the on-orbit operation,which can experience great state changes.In each mode,the missions to be completed are different,consecutive and non-over-lapping,from which the turntable system can be considered to be a phased-mission system(PMS).Reliability analysis for PMS has been widely studied.However,the system mode cycle characteristic has not been taken into account before.In this paper,reliability analysis method of the satellite turntable system is proposed considering its multiple operation modes and mode cycle characteristic.Firstly,the multi-valued decision diagrams(MDD)manipulation rules between two adjacent mission cycles are proposed.On this basis,MDD models for the turntable system in different states are established and the reliability is calculated using the continuous time Markov chains(CTMC)method.Finally,the comparative study is carried out to show the effectiveness of our proposed method.展开更多
Dynamically reconfigurable Field Programmable Gate Array(dr-FPGA) based electronic systems on board mission-critical systems are highly susceptible to radiation induced hazards that may lead to faults in the logic or ...Dynamically reconfigurable Field Programmable Gate Array(dr-FPGA) based electronic systems on board mission-critical systems are highly susceptible to radiation induced hazards that may lead to faults in the logic or in the configuration memory. The aim of our research is to characterize self-test and repair processes in Fault Tolerant(FT) dr-FPGA systems in the presence of environmental faults and explore their interrelationships. We develop a Continuous Time Markov Chain(CTMC) model that captures the high level fail-repair processes on a dr-FPGA with periodic online Built-In Self-Test(BIST) and scrubbing to detect and repair faults with minimum latency. Simulation results reveal that given an average fault interval of 36 s, an optimum self-test interval of 48.3 s drives the system to spend 13% of its time in self-tests, remain in safe working states for 76% of its time and face risky fault-prone states for only 7% of its time. Further, we demonstrate that a well-tuned repair strategy boosts overall system availability, minimizes the occurrence of unsafe states, and accommodates a larger range of fault rates within which the system availability remains stable within 10% of its maximum level.展开更多
In this paper, we set up continuous time model with Poisson Process to analyze demand of investment-oriented life insurance. Individual life time is assumed random, and he is received fixed income, investment-oriented...In this paper, we set up continuous time model with Poisson Process to analyze demand of investment-oriented life insurance. Individual life time is assumed random, and he is received fixed income, investment-oriented life insurance is an important financial asset under this model. Dynamic programming is applied to analyze this problem. The optimal explicit solutions are obtained in the case of CRRA utilities, and draw its demand curve with numerical simulation.展开更多
Mediterranean forest communities are particularly diverse but at risk due to their sensitivity to global warming.Understanding the long-term vulnerability of Mediterranean vegetation to climate change is crucial for c...Mediterranean forest communities are particularly diverse but at risk due to their sensitivity to global warming.Understanding the long-term vulnerability of Mediterranean vegetation to climate change is crucial for conservation and management purposes.Studies on past changes of forest communities in response to climate change at ecologically meaningful resolutions(i.e.,decadal time scales) are therefore essential,but still very rare.The Holocene thermal maximum(HTM;ca.10,000-5,000 cal years before the present(BP)) may be used to study species and community responses to warmer conditions than during recent decades.We performed highresolution multiproxy palaeoecological analyses on sediments from crater Lake Mezzano in central Italy to reconstruct vegetation,diversity,and fire dynamics between 8,450 and 7,050 cal years BP.Ordination,crosscorrelation,and species-response analyses were used to investigate the response of Mediterranean forest communities to HTM climate warming,human impact,and fire.Vegetational changes prior to 7,450 cal years BP were driven by climate.Fagus sylvatica spread into mixed deciduous oak forests during the Early Holocene in response to declining seasonality(cooler summers and warmer winters).Subsequently,Fagus sylvatica declined and evergreen Quercus ilex expanded after 8,200 cal years BP when the climate became warmer.Although reduced,Fagus sylvatica remained important together with deciduous oaks.The co-existence of Fagus sylvatica and evergreen Quercus forests is extremely rare today.Human impact significantly affected forest vegetation after7,450 cal years BP,when Neolithic agricultural activities became important,ultimately extirpating these special communities but fostering the overall biodiversity.However,their past occurrence in several central Italian calderas during the HTM suggests that these environments provided habitats that permitted the thriving of cooltemperate forests of Fagus sylvatica under mesomediterranean conditions,with summers ca.1-2℃ warmer than today.Cool and moist calderas may thus become increasingly important for maintaining Mediterranean mesophilous forest species under global warming conditions.展开更多
The polaron problem is a very old problem in condensed matter physics that dates back to the thirties,but still remains largely unsolved today,especially when electron–electron interaction is taken into consideration...The polaron problem is a very old problem in condensed matter physics that dates back to the thirties,but still remains largely unsolved today,especially when electron–electron interaction is taken into consideration.The presence of both electron–electron and electron–phonon interactions in the problem invalidates most existing numerical methods,which are either computationally too expensive or simply intractable.The continuous-time quantum Monte Carlo(CTQMC)methods could tackle this problem,but they are only effective on the imaginarytime axis.In this work,we present a method based on tensor networks and the path integral formalism to solve polaron impurity problems.As both the electron and phonon baths can be integrated out via the Feynman–Vernon influence functional in the path integral formalism,our method is free of bath discretization error.It can also flexibly work on imaginary time,Keldysh contour,and L-shaped Kadanoff contour.In addition,our method can naturally resolve several long-existing challenges:(i)non-diagonal hybridization function;(ii)measuring multi-time correlations beyond single-particle Green’s functions.We demonstrate the effectiveness and accuracy of our method with extensive numerical examples against analytic solutions,exact diagonalization,and CTQMC.We also perform full-fledged real-time calculations that have never been done before to our knowledge,which could serve as a benchmarking baseline for future method developments.展开更多
Random walk algorithms are crucial for sampling and approximation problems in statistical physics and theoretical computer science.The mixing property is necessary for Markov chains to approach stationary distribution...Random walk algorithms are crucial for sampling and approximation problems in statistical physics and theoretical computer science.The mixing property is necessary for Markov chains to approach stationary distributions and is facilitated by walks.Quantum walks show promise for faster mixing times than classical methods but lack universal proof,especially in finite group settings.Here,we investigate the continuous-time quantum walks on Cayley graphs of the dihedral group D_(2n)for odd n,generated by the smallest inverse closed symmetric subset.We present a significant finding that,in contrast to the classical mixing time on these Cayley graphs,which typically takes at least orderΩ(n^(2)log(1/2∈)),the continuous-time quantum walk mixing time on D_(2n)is of order O(n(log n)^(5)log(1/∈)),achieving a quadratic improvement over the classical case.Our paper advances the general understanding of quantum walk mixing on Cayley graphs,highlighting the improved mixing time achieved by continuous-time quantum walks on D_(2n).This work has potential applications in algorithms for a class of sampling problems based on non-abelian groups.展开更多
气温衍生品是天气衍生品交易中最活跃的合约之一,确定合理预测气温动态变化的模型,是气温衍生品开发设计的基础。考虑到气温在时间变化上具有趋势性、季节性和周期性等特点,文中使用了以O-U均值回复过程为基础的Continuous Time Autoreg...气温衍生品是天气衍生品交易中最活跃的合约之一,确定合理预测气温动态变化的模型,是气温衍生品开发设计的基础。考虑到气温在时间变化上具有趋势性、季节性和周期性等特点,文中使用了以O-U均值回复过程为基础的Continuous Time Autoregressive Model(CAR)模型、Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average(SARIMA)模型和小波神经网络算法,并选择漠河、北京、乌鲁木齐、芜湖、昆明和海口具有地域性代表的城市气温进行拟合,使用无偏绝对百分比误差、绝对百分比误差和平均绝对比例误差检验指标检验了模型的预测精度。研究结果表明,小波神经网络算法在预测6个城市的无偏绝对百分比误差、绝对百分比误差和平均绝对比例误差的值最小;同时,相比CAR模型、SARIMA模型,其预测效果最优。因此,小波神经网络算法能够很好地拟合气温数据的变化,可以为我国气温天气衍生品的定价提供一定的指导。展开更多
A novel methodology is presented for simultaneously optimizing synthesis and cleaning schedule of flexible heat exchanger network(HEN)by genetic/simulated annealing algorithms(GA/SA).Through taking into account the ef...A novel methodology is presented for simultaneously optimizing synthesis and cleaning schedule of flexible heat exchanger network(HEN)by genetic/simulated annealing algorithms(GA/SA).Through taking into account the effect of fouling process on optimal network topology,a preliminary network structure possessing two-fold oversynthesis is obtained by means of pseudo-temperature enthalpy(T-H)diagram approach prior to simultaneous optimization.Thus,the computational complexity of this problem classified as NP(Non-deterministic Polynomial)-complete can be significantly reduced.The promising matches resulting from preliminary synthesis stage are further optimized in parallel with their heat exchange areas and cleaning schedule.In addition,a novel continu- ous time representation is introduced to subdivide the given time horizon into several variable-size intervals according to operating periods of heat exchangers,and then flexible HEN synthesis can be implemented in dynamic manner.A numerical example is provided to demonstrate that the presented strategy is feasible to decrease the total annual cost(TAC)and further improve network flexibility,but even more important,it may be applied to solve large-scale flexible HEN synthesis problems.展开更多
A wide bandwidth continuous time sigma delta ADC is implemented in 130 nm CMOS. A detailed nonidealities analysis (excess loop delay, clock jitter, finite gain and GBW, comparator offset and DAC mismatch) is perform...A wide bandwidth continuous time sigma delta ADC is implemented in 130 nm CMOS. A detailed nonidealities analysis (excess loop delay, clock jitter, finite gain and GBW, comparator offset and DAC mismatch) is performed developed in Matlab/Simulink. This design is targeted for wide bandwidth applications such as video or wireless base-stations. A third-order continuous time sigma delta modulator comprises a third-order RC operational- amplifier-based loop filter and 3-bit internal quantizer operated at 512 MHz clock frequency. The sigma delta ADC achieves 60 dB SNR and 59.3 dB SNDR over a 16-MHz signal band at an OSR of 16. The power consumption of the CT sigma delta modulator is 22 mW from the 1.2-V supply.展开更多
A 28/56 Gb/s NRZ/PAM-4 dual-mode transceiver(TRx)designed in a 28-nm complementary metal-oxide-semiconduc-tor(CMOS)process is presented in this article.A voltage-mode(VM)driver featuring a 4-tap reconfigurable feed-fo...A 28/56 Gb/s NRZ/PAM-4 dual-mode transceiver(TRx)designed in a 28-nm complementary metal-oxide-semiconduc-tor(CMOS)process is presented in this article.A voltage-mode(VM)driver featuring a 4-tap reconfigurable feed-forward equal-izer(FFE)is employed in the quarter-rate transmitter(TX).The half-rate receiver(RX)incorporates a continuous-time linear equal-izer(CTLE),a 3-stage high-speed slicer with multi-clock-phase sampling,and a clock and data recovery(CDR).The experimen-tal results show that the TRx operates at a maximum speed of 56 Gb/s with chip-on board(COB)assembly.The 28 Gb/s NRZ eye diagram shows a far-end vertical eye opening of 210 mV with an output amplitude of 351 mV single-ended and the 56 Gb/s PAM-4 eye diagram exhibits far-end eye opening of 33 mV(upper-eye),31 mV(mid-eye),and 28 mV(lower-eye)with an output amplitude of 353 mV single-ended.The recovered 14 GHz clock from the RX exhibits random jitter(RJ)of 469 fs and deterministic jitter(DJ)of 8.76 ps.The 875 Mb/s de-multiplexed data features 593 ps horizontal eye opening with 32.02 ps RJ,at bit-error rate(BER)of 10-5(0.53 UI).The power dissipation of TX and RX are 125 and 181.4 mW,respectively,from a 0.9-V sup-ply.展开更多
基金supported by the region Haute-Normandie Project(Nos.CPER-SER-DDSMRI 2013,2014 and CPER-SER-SEL 2015)
文摘The goal of this paper is to propose a unique control method that permits the evolution of both timed continuous Petri net (TCPN) and T-timed discrete Petri net (T-TDPN) from an initial state to a desired one. Model predictive control (MPC) is a robust control scheme against perturbation and a consistent real-time constraints method. Hence, the proposed approach is studied using the MPC. However, the computational complexity may prevent the use of the MPC for large systems and for large prediction horizons. Then, the proposed approach provides some new techniques in order to reduce the high computational complexity; among them one is taking constant control actions during the prediction.
基金Supported by the Special Fund of Chinese Central Government for Basic Scientific Research Operations in Commonweal Research Institutes(No.201022001)
文摘A continuous time delay-difference model(CTDDM) has been established that considers continuous time delays of biological processes.The southern Atlantic albacore(Thunnus alalunga) stock is the one of the commercially important tuna population in the marine world.The age structured production model(ASPM) and the surplus production model(SPM) have already been used to assess the albacore stock.However,the ASPM requires detailed biological information and the SPM lacks the biological realism.In this study,we focus on applying a CTDDM to the southern Atlantic albacore(T.alalunga) species,which provides an alternative method to assess this fishery.It is the first time that CTDDM has been provided for assessing the Atlantic albacore(T.alalunga) fishery.CTDDM obtained the 80%confidence interval of MSY(maximum sustainable yield) of(21 510 t,23 118 t).The catch in 2011(24 100 t) is higher than the MSY values and the relative fishing mortality ratio(F_(2011)/F_(MSY)) is higher than 1.0.The results of CTDDM were analyzed to verify the proposed methodology and provide reference information for the sustainable management of the southern Atlantic albacore stock.The CTDDM treats the recruitment,the growth,and the mortality rates as all varying continuously over time and fills gaps between ASPM and SPM in this stock assessment.
基金supported by the Scientific Research Foundation of Sichuan University for Young Teachers,China (GrantNo. 2009SCU11120)
文摘A generalized continuous time random walk model which is dependent on environmental damping is proposed in which the two key parameters of the usual random walk theory: the jumping distance and the waiting time, are replaced by two new ones: the pulse velocity and the flight time. The anomalous diffusion of a free particle which is characterized by the asymptotical mean square displacement (x^2(t)) - t^a is realized numerically and analysed theoretically, where the value of the power index a is in a region of 0 〈 a 〈 2. Particularly, the damping leads to a sub-diffusion when the impact velocities are drawn from a Gaussian density function and the super-diffusive effect is related to statistical extremes, which are called rare-though-dominant events.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant Nos 11605003 and 11547231
文摘The generalized master equation for the space-time coupled continuous time random walk is derived analytically, in which the space-time coupling is considered through the correlated function 9(t) ~ t^γ, 0 ≤ γ 〈 2, and the probability density function ω(t) of a particle's waiting time t follows a power law form for large t: ω(t) ~t^-(1+α), 0 〈 α 〈 1. The results indicate that the expressions of the generalized master equation are determined by the correlation exponent 7 and the long-tailed index α of the waiting time. Moreover, the diffusion results obtained from the generalized master equation are in accordance with the previous known results and the numerical simulation results.
文摘The present paper aims to show the impact of continuous time calculation on life insurance pricing and reserving in the Algerian context. The discrete time approach allows insurance companies to facilitate calculation process but with less accuracy. This approach implies constancy of death quotients during a year. However, the death risk is a continuous function in time. For more accuracy and equity in pricing, calculation needs to consider the exact dates of different payments and also a continuous capitalization process. This gives more adequate premium with fewer hypotheses. This work shows how insurers can propose more adequate pricing using the same actuarial life table.
基金supported by the Preeminent Youth Team Project of Guangdong Provincial Natural Science Foundation(Grant No.2024B1515040008)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.62173112)+3 种基金the Shenzhen Science and Technology Program(Grant No.RCJC20210609104400005)the Science Center Program of National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.62188101)the Joint Funds of the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.U2013203)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(Grant No.HIT.OCEF.2023051)。
文摘In the analysis and design for linear systems in the form of state space,it is undisputed that state responses play a fundamentally important role.For continuous-time linear time-invariant(CT-LTI)systems,the well-known result is that the state responses are given in terms of matrix exponential functions[1].For discrete-time linear time-invariant(DT-LTI)systems,the state responses are expressed in terms of matrix power functions[1].
文摘BACKGROUND Stroke is the leading cause of adult lifelong disability worldwide.A stroke is an acute cerebrovascular disease with a variety of causes and corresponding clinical symptoms.Around 75%of surviving stroke patients experience impaired nerve function,and some suffer from traumatic fractures,which can lead to special care needs.AIM To determine the effect of timing theory continuous care,with resistance training,on the rehabilitation and mental health of caregivers and stroke patients with traumatic fractures.METHODS Between January 2017 to March 2021,we selected 100 hospital admissions with post-stroke hemiplegia complicated with a traumatic fracture.Two participant groups were created:(1)Control group:given resistance training;and(2)Observation group:given timing theory continuous care combined with resistance training.The degree of satisfaction and differences in bone and phosphorus metabolism indexes between the two groups were compared.The self-perceived burden scale(SPBS)and caregiver burden questionnaire were used to evaluate the psychological health of patients and caregivers.The Harris hip function score,ability of daily living(ADL)scale,and global quality of life questionnaire(GQOL-74)were used to evaluate hip function,ability of daily living,and quality of life.RESULTS Data were collected prior to and after intervention.Alkaline phosphatase(ALP),osteocalcin,and vitamin D3 in the observation group and control group increased after intervention(P<0.05),and carboxy-terminal peptide of type I collagenβSpecial sequence(β-CTX)decreased(P<0.05).ALP and osteocalcin in the observation group were higher than in the control group(P<0.05).There was no significant difference inβ-CTX and vitamin D3 between the two groups(P>0.05).The SPBS score of the observation group was lower and the ADL score was higher than the control group.The burden score was lower and the Harris hip function and GQOL-74 scores were higher than that of the control group(P<0.05).The observation group’s satisfaction rating was 94.00%,which was higher than the rating from the control group(P<0.05).CONCLUSION Timing theory continuous nursing with resistance training can reduce hip dysfunction in stroke patients with a traumatic fracture and enhance quality of life and mental health of patients and caregivers.
文摘This paper deals with a stochastic representation of the rainfall process. The analysis of a rainfall time series shows that cumulative representation of a rainfall time series can be modeled as a non-Gaussian random walk with a log-normal jump distribution and a time-waiting distribution following a tempered a-stable probability law. Based on the random walk model, a fractional Fokker-Planck equation (FFPE) with tempered a-stable waiting times was obtained. Through the comparison of observed data and simulated results from the random walk model and FFPE model with tempered a-stable waiting times, it can be concluded that the behavior of the rainfall process is globally reproduced, and the FFPE model with tempered a-stable waiting times is more efficient in reproducing the observed behavior.
文摘Quantitative safety assessment of safety systems plays an important role in decision making at all stages of system lifecycle, i.e., design, deployment and phase out. Most safety assessment methods consider only system parameters, such as configuration, hazard rate, coverage, repair rate, etc. along with periodic proof-tests (or inspection). Not considering demand rate will give a pessimistic safety estimate for an application with low demand rate such as nuclear power plants, chemical plants, etc. In this paper, a basic model of IEC 61508 is used. The basic model is extended to incorporate process demand and behavior of electronic- and/or computer-based system following diagnosis or proof-test. A new safety index, probability of failure on actual demand (PFAD) based on extended model and demand rate is proposed. Periodic proof-test makes the model semi-Markovian, so a piece-wise continuous time Markov chain (CTMC) based method is used to derive mean state probabilities of elementary or aggregated state. Method to determine probability of failure on demand (PFD) (IEC 61508) and PFAD based on these state probabilities are described. In example, safety indices of PFD and PFAD are compared.
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.71401172)
文摘This paper presents a simplified Markov model to evaluate the reliability of phased-mission system(PMS). The time cost and storage requirement are very huge for traditional Markov model to analyze the PMS reliability as the number of components increases to a large scale. The states merging method proposed in this paper can account for the PMS with subsystems consisting of identical components, and similar PMSs are common in real-world systems. The simplified Markov model by states merging has smaller number of system states, compared with the traditional one. Furthermore, for the above subsystems, the size of our model increases only linearly as the number of components increases, while the size of the traditional model exponentially increases.Finally, the effectiveness and correctness of our approach are analyzed by comparing with the traditional Markov method.
基金co-supported by the Natural Science Foundation of China(No.61833016)the Shaanxi Out-standing Youth Science Foundation(No.2020JC-34)+1 种基金the Shaanxi Science and Technology Innovation Team(No.2022TD-24)the Natural Science Foundation of Heilongjiang Province of China(No.LH2021F038).
文摘As a payload support system deployed on satellites,the turntable system is often switched among different working modes during the on-orbit operation,which can experience great state changes.In each mode,the missions to be completed are different,consecutive and non-over-lapping,from which the turntable system can be considered to be a phased-mission system(PMS).Reliability analysis for PMS has been widely studied.However,the system mode cycle characteristic has not been taken into account before.In this paper,reliability analysis method of the satellite turntable system is proposed considering its multiple operation modes and mode cycle characteristic.Firstly,the multi-valued decision diagrams(MDD)manipulation rules between two adjacent mission cycles are proposed.On this basis,MDD models for the turntable system in different states are established and the reliability is calculated using the continuous time Markov chains(CTMC)method.Finally,the comparative study is carried out to show the effectiveness of our proposed method.
文摘Dynamically reconfigurable Field Programmable Gate Array(dr-FPGA) based electronic systems on board mission-critical systems are highly susceptible to radiation induced hazards that may lead to faults in the logic or in the configuration memory. The aim of our research is to characterize self-test and repair processes in Fault Tolerant(FT) dr-FPGA systems in the presence of environmental faults and explore their interrelationships. We develop a Continuous Time Markov Chain(CTMC) model that captures the high level fail-repair processes on a dr-FPGA with periodic online Built-In Self-Test(BIST) and scrubbing to detect and repair faults with minimum latency. Simulation results reveal that given an average fault interval of 36 s, an optimum self-test interval of 48.3 s drives the system to spend 13% of its time in self-tests, remain in safe working states for 76% of its time and face risky fault-prone states for only 7% of its time. Further, we demonstrate that a well-tuned repair strategy boosts overall system availability, minimizes the occurrence of unsafe states, and accommodates a larger range of fault rates within which the system availability remains stable within 10% of its maximum level.
文摘In this paper, we set up continuous time model with Poisson Process to analyze demand of investment-oriented life insurance. Individual life time is assumed random, and he is received fixed income, investment-oriented life insurance is an important financial asset under this model. Dynamic programming is applied to analyze this problem. The optimal explicit solutions are obtained in the case of CRRA utilities, and draw its demand curve with numerical simulation.
基金funded by the Swiss National Science Foundation(SNF 200020_182084).
文摘Mediterranean forest communities are particularly diverse but at risk due to their sensitivity to global warming.Understanding the long-term vulnerability of Mediterranean vegetation to climate change is crucial for conservation and management purposes.Studies on past changes of forest communities in response to climate change at ecologically meaningful resolutions(i.e.,decadal time scales) are therefore essential,but still very rare.The Holocene thermal maximum(HTM;ca.10,000-5,000 cal years before the present(BP)) may be used to study species and community responses to warmer conditions than during recent decades.We performed highresolution multiproxy palaeoecological analyses on sediments from crater Lake Mezzano in central Italy to reconstruct vegetation,diversity,and fire dynamics between 8,450 and 7,050 cal years BP.Ordination,crosscorrelation,and species-response analyses were used to investigate the response of Mediterranean forest communities to HTM climate warming,human impact,and fire.Vegetational changes prior to 7,450 cal years BP were driven by climate.Fagus sylvatica spread into mixed deciduous oak forests during the Early Holocene in response to declining seasonality(cooler summers and warmer winters).Subsequently,Fagus sylvatica declined and evergreen Quercus ilex expanded after 8,200 cal years BP when the climate became warmer.Although reduced,Fagus sylvatica remained important together with deciduous oaks.The co-existence of Fagus sylvatica and evergreen Quercus forests is extremely rare today.Human impact significantly affected forest vegetation after7,450 cal years BP,when Neolithic agricultural activities became important,ultimately extirpating these special communities but fostering the overall biodiversity.However,their past occurrence in several central Italian calderas during the HTM suggests that these environments provided habitats that permitted the thriving of cooltemperate forests of Fagus sylvatica under mesomediterranean conditions,with summers ca.1-2℃ warmer than today.Cool and moist calderas may thus become increasingly important for maintaining Mediterranean mesophilous forest species under global warming conditions.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.12104328)。
文摘The polaron problem is a very old problem in condensed matter physics that dates back to the thirties,but still remains largely unsolved today,especially when electron–electron interaction is taken into consideration.The presence of both electron–electron and electron–phonon interactions in the problem invalidates most existing numerical methods,which are either computationally too expensive or simply intractable.The continuous-time quantum Monte Carlo(CTQMC)methods could tackle this problem,but they are only effective on the imaginarytime axis.In this work,we present a method based on tensor networks and the path integral formalism to solve polaron impurity problems.As both the electron and phonon baths can be integrated out via the Feynman–Vernon influence functional in the path integral formalism,our method is free of bath discretization error.It can also flexibly work on imaginary time,Keldysh contour,and L-shaped Kadanoff contour.In addition,our method can naturally resolve several long-existing challenges:(i)non-diagonal hybridization function;(ii)measuring multi-time correlations beyond single-particle Green’s functions.We demonstrate the effectiveness and accuracy of our method with extensive numerical examples against analytic solutions,exact diagonalization,and CTQMC.We also perform full-fledged real-time calculations that have never been done before to our knowledge,which could serve as a benchmarking baseline for future method developments.
基金supported by the Key-Area Research and Development Program of Guang-Dong Province(Grant No.2018B030326001)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(U1801661)Shenzhen Science and Technology Program(KQTD20200820113010023)。
文摘Random walk algorithms are crucial for sampling and approximation problems in statistical physics and theoretical computer science.The mixing property is necessary for Markov chains to approach stationary distributions and is facilitated by walks.Quantum walks show promise for faster mixing times than classical methods but lack universal proof,especially in finite group settings.Here,we investigate the continuous-time quantum walks on Cayley graphs of the dihedral group D_(2n)for odd n,generated by the smallest inverse closed symmetric subset.We present a significant finding that,in contrast to the classical mixing time on these Cayley graphs,which typically takes at least orderΩ(n^(2)log(1/2∈)),the continuous-time quantum walk mixing time on D_(2n)is of order O(n(log n)^(5)log(1/∈)),achieving a quadratic improvement over the classical case.Our paper advances the general understanding of quantum walk mixing on Cayley graphs,highlighting the improved mixing time achieved by continuous-time quantum walks on D_(2n).This work has potential applications in algorithms for a class of sampling problems based on non-abelian groups.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (20976022) and Dalian University of Technology for Constructing Interdiscipline 'Energy+X'. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The authors gratefully acknowledge financial support from Lanzhou Petrochemical Company, PetroChina Company Limited.
文摘A novel methodology is presented for simultaneously optimizing synthesis and cleaning schedule of flexible heat exchanger network(HEN)by genetic/simulated annealing algorithms(GA/SA).Through taking into account the effect of fouling process on optimal network topology,a preliminary network structure possessing two-fold oversynthesis is obtained by means of pseudo-temperature enthalpy(T-H)diagram approach prior to simultaneous optimization.Thus,the computational complexity of this problem classified as NP(Non-deterministic Polynomial)-complete can be significantly reduced.The promising matches resulting from preliminary synthesis stage are further optimized in parallel with their heat exchange areas and cleaning schedule.In addition,a novel continu- ous time representation is introduced to subdivide the given time horizon into several variable-size intervals according to operating periods of heat exchangers,and then flexible HEN synthesis can be implemented in dynamic manner.A numerical example is provided to demonstrate that the presented strategy is feasible to decrease the total annual cost(TAC)and further improve network flexibility,but even more important,it may be applied to solve large-scale flexible HEN synthesis problems.
基金Project supported by the National Science and Technology Major Projects,China(No.2010ZX03006-003-02)
文摘A wide bandwidth continuous time sigma delta ADC is implemented in 130 nm CMOS. A detailed nonidealities analysis (excess loop delay, clock jitter, finite gain and GBW, comparator offset and DAC mismatch) is performed developed in Matlab/Simulink. This design is targeted for wide bandwidth applications such as video or wireless base-stations. A third-order continuous time sigma delta modulator comprises a third-order RC operational- amplifier-based loop filter and 3-bit internal quantizer operated at 512 MHz clock frequency. The sigma delta ADC achieves 60 dB SNR and 59.3 dB SNDR over a 16-MHz signal band at an OSR of 16. The power consumption of the CT sigma delta modulator is 22 mW from the 1.2-V supply.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant 62174132the Fundamental Research Funds for Central Universities under Grant xzy022022060.
文摘A 28/56 Gb/s NRZ/PAM-4 dual-mode transceiver(TRx)designed in a 28-nm complementary metal-oxide-semiconduc-tor(CMOS)process is presented in this article.A voltage-mode(VM)driver featuring a 4-tap reconfigurable feed-forward equal-izer(FFE)is employed in the quarter-rate transmitter(TX).The half-rate receiver(RX)incorporates a continuous-time linear equal-izer(CTLE),a 3-stage high-speed slicer with multi-clock-phase sampling,and a clock and data recovery(CDR).The experimen-tal results show that the TRx operates at a maximum speed of 56 Gb/s with chip-on board(COB)assembly.The 28 Gb/s NRZ eye diagram shows a far-end vertical eye opening of 210 mV with an output amplitude of 351 mV single-ended and the 56 Gb/s PAM-4 eye diagram exhibits far-end eye opening of 33 mV(upper-eye),31 mV(mid-eye),and 28 mV(lower-eye)with an output amplitude of 353 mV single-ended.The recovered 14 GHz clock from the RX exhibits random jitter(RJ)of 469 fs and deterministic jitter(DJ)of 8.76 ps.The 875 Mb/s de-multiplexed data features 593 ps horizontal eye opening with 32.02 ps RJ,at bit-error rate(BER)of 10-5(0.53 UI).The power dissipation of TX and RX are 125 and 181.4 mW,respectively,from a 0.9-V sup-ply.