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Uncertainty qualification of aerodynamic performance of a swept wing with ice accretion
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作者 Xiaogang XU Yang ZHANG +3 位作者 Yang ZHANG Hui WANG Tianbo WANG Gang CHEN 《Chinese Journal of Aeronautics》 2025年第6期272-286,共15页
The ice accretion on the wing surface of aircraft significantly impacts flight safety.Providing a precise safety assessment by examining flight characteristics and meteorological conditions is challenging.Based on dif... The ice accretion on the wing surface of aircraft significantly impacts flight safety.Providing a precise safety assessment by examining flight characteristics and meteorological conditions is challenging.Based on different swept angles,the experimental data from the icing wind tunnel establish the geometric link between the position of the wingspan and the shape of ice accretion at the leading edge.The correlation analysis and Sobol sensitivity are used to study the uncertainty of single variable.Simultaneously,the polynomial chaos method is employed to study the uncertainty of multiple variables.The results indicate significant correlation between the angle of attack and lift and drag coefficients.The influence of height and velocity on sensitivity is negligible,with the aerodynamic characteristics mostly dependent on the geometric attributes of the ice structure.The uncertainty propagation framework established can accurately assess the impact of swept angle on the aerodynamic parameters of the icing wing,and the predicted findings fall within a 95%confidence interval. 展开更多
关键词 Ice accretion Safetyassessment Correlation analysis Sobol sensitivity Polynomial chaotic method Sweptangle
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基于改进有限时间的电力系统混沌控制
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作者 王红君 李淑一 +1 位作者 赵辉 陶纪中 《天津理工大学学报》 2025年第1期64-69,共6页
在某些特殊条件下,电力系统会受影响产生混沌振荡现象,影响电网的安全稳定运行。比如,电力系统在运行过程中产生过多的无功功率将会导致电压相角偏移,从而进一步引发电力系统混沌振荡现象。通过对电力系统相对电角度和相对角速度的调控... 在某些特殊条件下,电力系统会受影响产生混沌振荡现象,影响电网的安全稳定运行。比如,电力系统在运行过程中产生过多的无功功率将会导致电压相角偏移,从而进一步引发电力系统混沌振荡现象。通过对电力系统相对电角度和相对角速度的调控和观测,可以实现电力系统稳定性的控制。文中首先对二阶电力系统模型(model of second order power system, MSOPS)进行混沌振荡的动力学分析,综合利用反步法和固定时间控制器等方法,设计了一种改进有限时间(finite-time, FT)的控制器,既实现了对电力系统混沌振荡的抑制又减轻了计算负担、提升系统收敛速度。最后采用MATLAB软件进行数值仿真表明:文中提出的控制策略能够快速抑制电力系统的混沌状态,验证了控制方法的鲁棒性和快速性。 展开更多
关键词 电力系统 有限时间 混沌控制 反步法
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准PR调节H6结构并网逆变器的非线性行为
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作者 陶慧 艾朋伟 +1 位作者 贺国帅 王坤 《电机与控制学报》 北大核心 2025年第1期100-110,共11页
准比例谐振(QPR)控制能有效抑制网侧电压波动带来的干扰,研究该控制下H6结构并网逆变器的动力学行为,并对系统出现的混沌现象进行控制。首先根据系统的工作原理,利用频闪映射法建立系统离散迭代模型。然后结合分岔图、折叠图、时域波形... 准比例谐振(QPR)控制能有效抑制网侧电压波动带来的干扰,研究该控制下H6结构并网逆变器的动力学行为,并对系统出现的混沌现象进行控制。首先根据系统的工作原理,利用频闪映射法建立系统离散迭代模型。然后结合分岔图、折叠图、时域波形以及频谱图等分析系统的非线性行为,发现系统存在着Hopf分岔、倍周期分岔以及边界碰撞分岔等丰富的动力学行为,并给出了各参数的稳定工作范围。之后引入二阶带阻滤波器对进入混沌状态的系统进行控制,结果表明二阶带阻滤波器具有很好的控制效果,并提高了输入电压E、滤波电感L的稳定工作域。最后通过半实物仿真平台进行了实验验证,研究所得结论可为准PR调节下H6结构并网逆变器的实际工程设计及调试提供理论依据。 展开更多
关键词 并网逆变器 非线性行为 混沌控制 准比例谐振 频闪映射法 分岔图
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基于主被动分解法的微纳激光混沌系统的复用同步实现
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作者 穆鹏华 王译乔 +1 位作者 贺鹏飞 徐源 《物理学报》 北大核心 2025年第5期69-77,共9页
纳米激光器(NL)是实现光集成的重要光学元件,近年来成为研究热点之一.然而,对于NL在混沌同步方向上的研究仍较为稀少.本文提出一种基于NL的双路激光混沌复用系统,并详细研究了其同步性能.研究中还创新性地引入了主被动分解法,通过主动... 纳米激光器(NL)是实现光集成的重要光学元件,近年来成为研究热点之一.然而,对于NL在混沌同步方向上的研究仍较为稀少.本文提出一种基于NL的双路激光混沌复用系统,并详细研究了其同步性能.研究中还创新性地引入了主被动分解法,通过主动和被动信号的分解实现高效的信号处理和复用.具体而言,通过建立速率方程模型,探究了NL两个关键参数(Purcell因子F、自发辐射耦合因子β)、系统参数、单参数失配以及多参数同时失配对同步性能的影响.结果表明,通过合理选择系统的参数配置,两主激光器可以在较大的参数范围内保持较低的相关性,同时确保主从激光器间保持高品质的混沌同步,满足混沌复用系统的条件.此外,单参数失配对主激光器间同步性的影响具有差异性,但对配对激光器的同步性影响较小;多参数失配时,系统仍能在广泛的参数失配范围内满足两主激光器混沌输出的“伪正交性”要求.本文结果不仅验证了所提系统的可行性,还充分体现了主动被动分解法在推动NL混沌同步研究中的重要价值,为该领域的发展提供了新思路. 展开更多
关键词 纳米激光器 混沌同步 主被动分解法 混沌复用
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基于混沌映射和AES算法的嵌入式远程数据加密自动化传输方法 被引量:2
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作者 陈奕航 刘登强 《电子设计工程》 2025年第2期106-111,共6页
针对保障嵌入式远程数据安全的目的,研究基于混沌映射和AES算法的嵌入式远程数据加密自动化传输方法。通过构建混沌映射和AES算法的嵌入式远程数据加密自动化传输模型,结合扫描技术聚合数据并使用混沌映射优化AES算法的密钥机制,实现安... 针对保障嵌入式远程数据安全的目的,研究基于混沌映射和AES算法的嵌入式远程数据加密自动化传输方法。通过构建混沌映射和AES算法的嵌入式远程数据加密自动化传输模型,结合扫描技术聚合数据并使用混沌映射优化AES算法的密钥机制,实现安全连接和加密传输。实验结果表明,该方法敏感度均在3.0~3.5之间,有效实现不同数据类型的加密和保障数据安全;窃取后数据量较少,降低破解概率;平均节点丢失率为0.98%,提升了嵌入式远程数据加密自动化传输能力。 展开更多
关键词 混沌映射 AES算法 嵌入式 远程数据加密 自动化传输方法 二维混沌映射
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基于Copula函数和混沌展开式法的结构可靠性分析
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作者 赵贺 张鑫仁 +1 位作者 居英杰 贺向东 《组合机床与自动化加工技术》 北大核心 2025年第8期87-91,97,共6页
传统可靠性分析方法通常依赖于正态性及稳健性等统计假设,在数据偏态或分布未知的情况下,这些假设可能导致模型的偏差与稳健性不足。为此,提出了一种基于中心矩信息的多项式混沌展开(polynomial chaos expansion,PCE)方法,以避免特定分... 传统可靠性分析方法通常依赖于正态性及稳健性等统计假设,在数据偏态或分布未知的情况下,这些假设可能导致模型的偏差与稳健性不足。为此,提出了一种基于中心矩信息的多项式混沌展开(polynomial chaos expansion,PCE)方法,以避免特定分布假设并增强模型的普适性与准确性。利用随机变量的前四阶中心矩信息,通过最小二乘法拟合PCE系数,生成满足已知矩特征的随机样本。通过将未知分布的随机变量表示为标准正态变量的多项式组合,有效捕捉了随机变量的高阶矩特性,同时避免了对带宽或参数选择的依赖,实现了样本生成的一致性与稳健性。此外,将PCE与Copula函数结合,使得该方法能够灵活刻画多变量之间的复杂依赖结构,在系统可靠性分析中展现出优良的适应性与精度。数值算例验证了该方法在不确定性分析及复杂相关结构建模中的有效性,为未知分布条件下的可靠性分析提供了一种通用且精确的解决方案。 展开更多
关键词 可靠性 多项式混沌展开 中心矩 最小二乘法 COPULA
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基于改进麻雀算法及人工势场法的路径规划 被引量:1
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作者 范县成 凌新宇 +1 位作者 余叶青 黄洪斌 《齐齐哈尔大学学报(自然科学版)》 2025年第4期1-8,16,共9页
针对麻雀搜索算法(SSA)存在依赖初始种群、收敛效率低、在全局规划方面动态避障能力差等缺点,提出一种基于改进麻雀算法及人工势场法的路径规划算法。因麻雀算法的不足,引入融合Cat混沌映射策略初始化种群、比例系数动态调整发现者数量... 针对麻雀搜索算法(SSA)存在依赖初始种群、收敛效率低、在全局规划方面动态避障能力差等缺点,提出一种基于改进麻雀算法及人工势场法的路径规划算法。因麻雀算法的不足,引入融合Cat混沌映射策略初始化种群、比例系数动态调整发现者数量、平滑策略删除冗余节点。针对未知动态避障问题,融合人工势场法,并解决人工势场法陷入局部最小与目标不可达问题。仿真表明,改进麻雀算法相对于SSA,最短距离、转折次数、收敛迭代次数分别减少13.03%,72.72%,84.74%,算法性能明显提升。改进人工势场法能够避免目标不可达和最小值问题,融合算法能够解决未知动态环境下的路径规划以及动态避障问题,可以迅速适应环境变化,表现出优异的路径规划能力,增强机器人在实际应用中的安全性和可靠性。 展开更多
关键词 Cat混沌映射 SSA 人工势场法 路径规划 动态环境
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基于GAN密钥生成模型的数字图像加密算法优化
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作者 夏群 丁小峰 夏珍 《计算机仿真》 2025年第1期229-232,334,共5页
针对目前数字图像加密领域中存在的图像加密效果不佳、解密后图像清晰度降低等问题,提出基于GAN密钥生成模型的数字图像加密算法优化方法。通过细胞神经网络超混沌系统生成随机混沌序列,通过Wasserstien距离和惩罚梯度对生成对抗网络模... 针对目前数字图像加密领域中存在的图像加密效果不佳、解密后图像清晰度降低等问题,提出基于GAN密钥生成模型的数字图像加密算法优化方法。通过细胞神经网络超混沌系统生成随机混沌序列,通过Wasserstien距离和惩罚梯度对生成对抗网络模型实行优化处理;将随机混沌序列输入至改进后的生成对抗网络中获取密钥,并结合实时动态置乱方法和随机相位傅里叶变换方法实现数字图像的加密处理。实验结果表明,所提算法的数字图像加解密效果更好、安全系数更高,是一种适用于实际应用的图像处理方法。 展开更多
关键词 改进生成对抗网络 秘钥生成 随机混沌序列 随机相位傅里叶变换方法 图像加密算法
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基于改进DE-SQP算法的运载火箭轨迹优化方法研究 被引量:1
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作者 郭晶晶 王建华 +1 位作者 于沫尧 项月 《战术导弹技术》 北大核心 2025年第1期94-103,共10页
针对多约束条件下运载火箭轨迹优化问题,提出一种融合改进差分进化算法和序列二次规划算法的轨迹DE-SQP优化方法。建立运载火箭质心运动模型和各项约束条件的数学表征模型;该创新设计改进差分进化算法生成初值,并利用序列二次规划方法... 针对多约束条件下运载火箭轨迹优化问题,提出一种融合改进差分进化算法和序列二次规划算法的轨迹DE-SQP优化方法。建立运载火箭质心运动模型和各项约束条件的数学表征模型;该创新设计改进差分进化算法生成初值,并利用序列二次规划方法快速局部寻优的组合优化策略。引入Chebyshev混沌映射,生成分布更为均匀且探索性更强的初始种群,同时融合反向学习策略,有效增加种群的多样性并加速收敛过程,利用改进差分进化算法生成优化轨迹的初值。基于序列二次规划方法显著的局部搜索能力,进一步在轨迹初值的基础上精准寻优,完成运载火箭轨迹的优化求解。数值仿真表明,改进的DE-SQP算法具有较强的全局优化和局部精确搜索能力,可以有效解决运载火箭轨迹优化问题,为相关理论研究和工程应用提供参考和技术支持。 展开更多
关键词 差分进化算法 Chebyshev混沌映射 反向学习 DE-SQP组合优化 伪谱法 轨迹优化
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混沌优化决策树下水轮发电机组局部放电检测 被引量:1
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作者 田云 王荣 +1 位作者 赵娅 邹佳成 《计算机仿真》 2025年第1期96-100,共5页
水轮发电机组A、B、C相的局放量差异较大,局放频次不同,导致局部放电准确检测难度较大。为此,提出混沌优化决策树下水轮发电机组局部放电检测方法。提取水轮发电机组脉冲信号脉冲等效长度与等效速度特征,融合时域特征与频域特征;建立决... 水轮发电机组A、B、C相的局放量差异较大,局放频次不同,导致局部放电准确检测难度较大。为此,提出混沌优化决策树下水轮发电机组局部放电检测方法。提取水轮发电机组脉冲信号脉冲等效长度与等效速度特征,融合时域特征与频域特征;建立决策树分割水轮发电机组脉冲信号特征集;引入混沌海鸥优化算法优化决策树,结合混沌映射与鲸鱼算法展开决策树参数优化,将机组时频特征输入到优化后的决策树中,实现水轮发电机组局部放电检测。仿真结果表明,所提方法应用后,可准确地完成局放量检测与局放频次检测,具有较优的检测效果。 展开更多
关键词 时频信号 小波变换方法 决策树算法 局部放电检测 混沌优化
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A new look at the response surface method for reliability analysis using chaos theory 被引量:2
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作者 Ding Youliang, Li Aiqun and Deng Yang College of Civil Engineering, Southeast University, Nanjing 210096, China Lecturer Professor PhD Student 《Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Vibration》 SCIE EI CSCD 2008年第3期329-335,共7页
To overcome excessive computation errors and convergence failures encountered in an iterative calculation of the reliability index using the response surface method (RSM) for some nonlinear limit state functions, th... To overcome excessive computation errors and convergence failures encountered in an iterative calculation of the reliability index using the response surface method (RSM) for some nonlinear limit state functions, this study investigates an essential factor based on chaotic dynamics theory. The bifurcation diagrams of the reliability index are presented for some typical nonlinear limit state functions, and the computation results from the mapping functions due to the RSM iterations show the complicated dynamic phenomena such as the periodic oscillation, as well as bifurcation and chaos. From the numerical examples, it is concluded that the parameter of selection range fplays an important role in the convergence of the RSM iteration, and an improved RSM iterative algorithm is proposed with regard to the incorporation of the iterative sequential function of selection rangef The proposed method is shown to be efficient and to yield accurate results. 展开更多
关键词 structural reliability response surface method chaotic dynamics convergence failure selection range NONLINEARITY
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Global bifurcations and multi-pulse chaotic dynamics of rectangular thin plate with one-to-one internal resonance
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作者 李双宝 张伟 《Applied Mathematics and Mechanics(English Edition)》 SCIE EI 2012年第9期1115-1128,共14页
Global bifurcations and multi-pulse chaotic dynamics for a simply supported rectangular thin plate are studied by the extended Melnikov method. The rectangular thin plate is subject to transversal and in-plane excitat... Global bifurcations and multi-pulse chaotic dynamics for a simply supported rectangular thin plate are studied by the extended Melnikov method. The rectangular thin plate is subject to transversal and in-plane excitation. A two-degree-of-freedom nonlinear nonautonomous system governing equations of motion for the rectangular thin plate is derived by the von Karman type equation and the Galerkin approach. A one-to- one internal resonance is considered. An averaged equation is obtained with a multi-scale method. After transforming the averaged equation into a standard form, the extended Melnikov method is used to show the existence of multi-pulse chaotic dynamics, which can be used to explain the mechanism of modal interactions of thin plates. A method for calculating the Melnikov function is given without an explicit analytical expression of homoclinic orbits. Furthermore, restrictions on the damping, excitation, and detuning parameters are obtained, under which the multi-pulse chaotic dynamics is expected. The results of numerical simulations are also given to indicate the existence of small amplitude multi-pulse chaotic responses for the rectangular thin plate. 展开更多
关键词 rectangular thin plate global bifurcation multi-pulse chaotic dynamics extended Melnikov method
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Linearly Coupled Synchronization of the New Chaotic Systems
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作者 LU Jun-an ZHOU Jin LI Yi-tian 《Wuhan University Journal of Natural Sciences》 EI CAS 2005年第6期993-996,共4页
This paper investigates synchronization within the new systems, which we denote as Liu system in this paper. New stability criteria for synchronization of linearly coupled Liu systems are attained using the Lyapunov m... This paper investigates synchronization within the new systems, which we denote as Liu system in this paper. New stability criteria for synchronization of linearly coupled Liu systems are attained using the Lyapunov method. Some sufficient conditions for synchronization are concluded through rigorous mathematical theory, which can be further applied to more chaotic systems. Moreover, numerical simulations are given to show the effectiveness of our synchronization criterions. 展开更多
关键词 linearly synchronization coupled synchronization chaotic system Lyapunov method
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Breaking chaotic shift key communication via adaptive key identification 被引量:1
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作者 任海鹏 韩崇昭 刘丁 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2008年第4期1202-1208,共7页
This paper proposes an adaptive parameter identification method for breaking chaotic shift key communication from the transmitted signal in public channel. The sensitive dependence property of chaos on parameter misma... This paper proposes an adaptive parameter identification method for breaking chaotic shift key communication from the transmitted signal in public channel. The sensitive dependence property of chaos on parameter mismatch is used for chaos adaptive synchronization and parameter identification. An index function about the synchronization error is defined and conjugate gradient method is used to minimize the index function and to search the transmitter's parameter (key). By using proposed method, secure key is recovered from transmitted signal generated by low dimensional chaos and hyper chaos switching communication. Multi-parameters can also be identified from the transmitted signal with noise. 展开更多
关键词 chaotic shift key adaptive synchronization conjugate gradient method parameter identification
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NOISE-INDUCED CHAOTIC MOTIONS IN HAMILTONIAN SYSTEMS WITH SLOW-VARYING PARAMETERS
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作者 王双连 郭乙木 甘春标 《Acta Mechanica Sinica》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2001年第3期281-288,共8页
This paper studies chaotic motions in quasi-integrable Hamiltonian systems with slow-varying parameters under both harmonic and noise excitations. Based on the dynamic theory and some assumptions of excited noises, an... This paper studies chaotic motions in quasi-integrable Hamiltonian systems with slow-varying parameters under both harmonic and noise excitations. Based on the dynamic theory and some assumptions of excited noises, an extended form of the stochastic Melnikov method is presented. Using this extended method, the homoclinic bifurcations and chaotic behavior of a nonlinear Hamiltonian system with weak feed-back control under both harmonic and Gaussian white noise excitations are analyzed in detail. It is shown that the addition of stochastic excitations can make the parameter threshold value for the occurrence of chaotic motions vary in a wider region. Therefore, chaotic motions may arise easily in the system. By the Monte-Carlo method, the numerical results for the time-history and the maximum Lyapunov exponents of an example system are finally given to illustrate that the presented method is effective. 展开更多
关键词 Hamiltonian system slow-varying parameter Gaussian white noise stochastic Melnikov method chaotic motion
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H∞ synchronization of chaotic neural networks with time-varying delays 被引量:1
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作者 O. M. Kwon M. J. Park +2 位作者 Ju H. Park S. M. Lee E. J. Cha 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2013年第11期244-252,共9页
In this paper, we investigate the problem of H∞ synchronization for chaotic neural networks with time-varying delays. A new model of the networks with disturbances in both master and slave systems is presented. By co... In this paper, we investigate the problem of H∞ synchronization for chaotic neural networks with time-varying delays. A new model of the networks with disturbances in both master and slave systems is presented. By constructing a suitable Lyapunov–Krasovskii functional and using a reciprocally convex approach, a novel H∞ synchronization criterion for the networks concerned is established in terms of linear matrix inequalities (LMIs) which can be easily solved by various effective optimization algorithms. Two numerical examples are given to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed method. 展开更多
关键词 chaotic neural networks time-varying delays H∞ synchronization Lyapunov method
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融合历史记忆的单纯形引导鲸鱼优化算法 被引量:2
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作者 杜晓昕 周薇 +2 位作者 王波 王振飞 张剑飞 《齐齐哈尔大学学报(自然科学版)》 2024年第2期40-44,50,共6页
针对鲸鱼优化算法存在易陷入局部最优、收敛速度慢等缺点,提出一种融合历史记忆的单纯形引导鲸鱼优化算法。首先,为了避免初始化种群过于集中而陷入局部最优,提出了使用混沌映射对初始化种群进行改进,增加了种群多样性;其次,为了解决算... 针对鲸鱼优化算法存在易陷入局部最优、收敛速度慢等缺点,提出一种融合历史记忆的单纯形引导鲸鱼优化算法。首先,为了避免初始化种群过于集中而陷入局部最优,提出了使用混沌映射对初始化种群进行改进,增加了种群多样性;其次,为了解决算法收敛精度低和收敛速度慢的问题,提出了融合历史记忆的单纯形引导策略,利用单纯形法和构建的历史记忆表求解出一个虚拟最优解作为下次随机搜索阶段的引导者,帮助种群在前期的勘探过程中进行细致地搜索;最后提出一种新的非线性参数策略,平衡算法的开发和勘探能力。将算法应用于12个典型的复杂函数优化问题,并与其他5种智能算法比较,实验结果表明,改进后的算法在收敛精度与速度方面均为第一,具有良好的全局搜索能力和局部开发能力。 展开更多
关键词 鲸鱼优化算法 混沌映射 单纯形法 非线性参数
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Hopf bifurcation control of a Pan-like chaotic system 被引量:1
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作者 Liang Zhang Jia-Shi Tang Qin Han 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2018年第9期374-379,共6页
This paper is concerned with the Hopf bifurcation control of a modified Pan-like chaotic system. Based on the Routh-Hurwtiz theory and high-dimensional Hopf bifurcation theory, the existence and stability of the Hopf ... This paper is concerned with the Hopf bifurcation control of a modified Pan-like chaotic system. Based on the Routh-Hurwtiz theory and high-dimensional Hopf bifurcation theory, the existence and stability of the Hopf bifurcation depending on selected values of the system parameters are studied. The region of the stability for the Hopf bifurcation is investigated.By the hybrid control method, a nonlinear controller is designed for changing the Hopf bifurcation point and expanding the range of the stability. Discussions show that with the change of parameters of the controller, the Hopf bifurcation emerges at an expected location with predicted properties and the range of the Hopf bifurcation stability is expanded. Finally,numerical simulation is provided to confirm the analytic results. 展开更多
关键词 Hopf bifurcation control Pan-like chaotic system Routh-Hurwtiz hybrid control method stability control high-dimensional Hopf bifurcation
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NONLINEAR DYNAMICAL BIFURCATION AND CHAOTIC MOTION OF SHALLOW CONICAL LATTICE SHELL
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作者 王新志 韩明君 +1 位作者 赵艳影 赵永刚 《Applied Mathematics and Mechanics(English Edition)》 SCIE EI 2006年第5期661-666,共6页
The nonlinear dynamical equations of axle symmetry are established by the method of quasi-shells for three-dimensional shallow conical single-layer lattice shells. The compatible equations are given in geometrical non... The nonlinear dynamical equations of axle symmetry are established by the method of quasi-shells for three-dimensional shallow conical single-layer lattice shells. The compatible equations are given in geometrical nonlinear range. A nonlinear differential equation containing the second and the third order nonlinear items is derived under the boundary conditions of fixed and clamped edges by the method of Galerkin. The problem of bifurcation is discussed by solving the Floquet exponent. In order to study chaotic motion, the equations of free oscillation of a kind of nonlinear dynamics system are solved. Then an exact solution to nonlinear free oscillation of the shallow conical single-layer lattice shell is found as well. The critical conditions of chaotic motion are obtained by solving Melnikov functions, some phase planes are drawn by using digital simulation proving the existence of chaotic motion. 展开更多
关键词 lattice shell the method of quasi-shell BIFURCATION chaotic motion
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Dynamics of a Bertrand Duopoly Game of the Greek Oil Market and Application of the d-Backtest Method
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作者 Georges Sarafopoulos Evaggelos Drimpetas +1 位作者 Kosmas Papadopoulos Dimitrios Vezeris 《Applied Mathematics》 2021年第11期1097-1117,共21页
This work presents the complexity that emerges in a Bertrand duopoly between two companies in the Greek oil market, one of which is semi-public and the other is private. The game uses linear demand functions for diffe... This work presents the complexity that emerges in a Bertrand duopoly between two companies in the Greek oil market, one of which is semi-public and the other is private. The game uses linear demand functions for differentiated products from the existing literature and asymmetric cost functions that arose after approaches using the published financial reports of the two oil companies (Hellenic Petroleum and Motor Oil). The game is based on the assumption of homogeneous players who are characterized by bounded rationality and follow an adjustment mechanism. The players’ decisions for each time period are expressed by two difference equations. A dynamical analysis of the game’s discrete dynamical system is made by finding the equilibrium positions and studying their stability. Numerical simulations include bifurcation diagrams and strange attractors. Lyapunov numbers’ graphs and sensitivity analysis in initial conditions prove the algebraic results and reveal the complexity and chaotic behavior of the system focusing on the two parameters k<sub>1</sub> and k<sub>2</sub> (speed of adjustment for each player). The d-Backtest method is applied through which an attempt is made to control the chaos that appears outside the stability space in order to return to the locally asymptotically stable Nash equilibrium for the system. 展开更多
关键词 Duopoly Game Discrete Dynamical System Nash Equilibrium STABILITY BIFURCATION chaotic Behavior d-Backtest method
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