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Assessing the spatiotemporal changes and drivers of ecological security by integrating ecosystem health and ecosystem services in Loess Plateau, China
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作者 HUI Le WANG Hao +4 位作者 LIU Jiamin TANG Butian LI Zongshan ZHANG Liwei JIAO Lei 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 2025年第3期459-482,共24页
Understanding the local ecological security status and its underlying drivers can be used as an effective reference for balancing ecosystem development with societal needs. This study assesses the ecological security ... Understanding the local ecological security status and its underlying drivers can be used as an effective reference for balancing ecosystem development with societal needs. This study assesses the ecological security of the Loess Plateau(LP) by integrating ecosystem health and ecosystem services, explores the varying impacts of ecosystem structure, quality, and services on ecological security index(ESI), and identifies the key driving factors of ESI using the Geodetector model. The results show that:(1) the average ESI indicates a relatively safe ecological status in LP with a significant increase in ESI observed in 50.21% of the region, largely due to the ecological restoration programs.(2) Natural factors predominantly influence ESI, although human factors play a significant role in the earthy-rocky mountain region and plateau wind-sand region.(3) The interactions between driving factors have a much greater impact on ESI than any single factor, with the interactions between precipitation and human factors being the most influential combination. This study provides a novel perspective on assessing ecological security in LP. We recommend that future ecological restoration efforts should consider the varying roles of ecosystem structure, quality, and services in ESI while tailoring strategies to the primary driving factors based on local conditions. 展开更多
关键词 ecological security spatiotemporal changes driving mechanism Geodetector Loess Plateau
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Ecological risks linked with ecosystem services in the upper reach of the Yellow River under global changes
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作者 Ruowei Li Jian Sun +7 位作者 Guodong Han Zixuan Qi Yunhui Li Junhe Chen Wen He Mengqi Zhang Chaowei Han Jieji Duo 《Journal of Integrative Agriculture》 2025年第3期966-983,共18页
There is growing interest in introducing ecological risks(ERs)and ecosystem services(ESs)into environmental policies and practices.However,the integration of ESs and ERs into actual decision-making remains insufficien... There is growing interest in introducing ecological risks(ERs)and ecosystem services(ESs)into environmental policies and practices.However,the integration of ESs and ERs into actual decision-making remains insufficient.We simulated the spatiotemporal dynamics of ESs(e.g.,carbon storage,water yield,habitat quality,and soil conservation)and ERs in the upper reach of the Yellow River(URYR)from 2000 to 2100.Additionally,we explored their relationships by combining the InVEST model and a landscape ecological risk model with CMIP6 data.Our main findings showed that regional ERs change in response to land use and environmental dynamics.Specifically,the ER area decreased by 27,673 m^(2)during 2000-2020,but it is projected to increase by 13,273,438,and 68 m^(2)under the SSP1-2.6,SSP2-4.5,and SSP5-8.5 scenarios,respectively.We also observed remarkable spatial differences in ESs and ERs between past and future scenarios.For instance,the source area of the URYR exhibited high ESs and low ERs(P<0.001),while the ESs and ERs are declining and increasing,respectively,in the northeastern URYR(P<0.05).Finally,we proposed a spatial optimization framework to improve ESs and reduce ERs,which will support regional sustainable development. 展开更多
关键词 climate change CMIP6 Yellow River basin Tibetan Plateau adaptive management sustainable development
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Spatial and Temporal Changes and Influencing Factors of Ecosystem Service Value in Jingzhou City Based on Land Use Change
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作者 GAO Yanpeng WANG Wanxi 《Journal of Landscape Research》 2025年第1期35-42,共8页
This study investigated the spatio-temporal variation characteristics of ecosystem service value(ESV)alongside its driving influencing factors,thereby offering valuable theoretical insights for the sustainable develop... This study investigated the spatio-temporal variation characteristics of ecosystem service value(ESV)alongside its driving influencing factors,thereby offering valuable theoretical insights for the sustainable development of Jingzhou City,Hubei Province.Based on the land use data for Jingzhou City from 2000 to 2020,this study quantified the value of the ecological environment using the equivalent factor method.Furthermore,it analyzed and elucidated the spatio-temporal heterogeneity and driving mechanisms of ecosystem services in Jingzhou City.The results indicated that between 2000 and 2020,cultivated land(66.40%)and water area(18.82%)were the predominant land use types in Jingzhou City.The areas of water area and construction land exhibited a growth trend during this period.Construction land had the highest rate of land use change,followed by water area and cultivated land.Land use transitions primarily occurred between cultivated land and water area,as well as between cultivated land and construction land.The total value of ecosystem services in Jingzhou City increased by 165.07%from 2000 to 2020.ESV exhibited an upward trend from 2000 to 2015,followed by a gradual decline from 2015 to 2020.The ranking of individual ecosystem services,in descending order,was as follows:regulation services,supporting services,provisioning services,and cultural services.High-value ESV areas were predominantly situated in the water area of Lake Honghu,while low-value regions were mainly found in the cultivated land in the central and western parts of Jingzhou City.The spatial differentiation of ESV in Jingzhzou City was influenced by both natural and socio-economic factors,with natural factors exerting a more significant impact than socioeconomic factors.Specifically,the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index(NDVI)was the dominant environmental factor,while GDP plays a synergistic role. 展开更多
关键词 Land use change Ecosystem service value Temporal and spatial variations Geographical detector Jingzhou City
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Exploring the spatiotemporal heterogeneity of vegetation changes in subtropical humid karst region under CO_(2)fertilization 被引量:1
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作者 CHEN Meng ZHOU Qiuwen +1 位作者 PENG Dawei YAN Weihong 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 2025年第1期65-87,共23页
Terrestrial ecosystems heavily depend on vegetation,which responds to carbon dioxide(CO_(2))fertilization in hot and humid regions.The subtropical humid karst region is a hot and humid region;whether and to what exten... Terrestrial ecosystems heavily depend on vegetation,which responds to carbon dioxide(CO_(2))fertilization in hot and humid regions.The subtropical humid karst region is a hot and humid region;whether and to what extent CO_(2)fertilization affects vegetation changes in such regions remains unclear.In this study,we investigated the degree to which CO_(2)fertilization influences vegetation changes,along with their spatial and temporal differences,in the subtropical humid karst region using time-lag effect analysis,a random forest model,and multiple regression analysis.Results showed that CO_(2)fertilization plays an important role in vegetation changes,exhibiting clear spatial variations across different geomorphological zones,with its degree of influence ranging mainly between 11%and 25%.The highest contribution of CO_(2)fertilization was observed in the karst basin and non-karstic region,whereas the lowest contribution was found in the karst plateau region.Previous studies have primarily attributed vegetation changes in subtropical humid karst region to ecological engineering,leading to an overestimation of its contribution to these changes.The findings of this study enhance the understanding of the mechanism of vegetation changes in humid karst region and provide theoretical and practical insights for ecological and environmental protection in these regions. 展开更多
关键词 KARST vegetation changes NDVI driving factors carbon dioxide FERTILIZATION
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Changes in source contributions to the oxidative potential of PM_(2.5)in urban Xiamen,China 被引量:1
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作者 Jia-Min Li Si-Min Zhao +3 位作者 Qi-Yu Miao Shui-Ping Wu Jie Zhang James J.Schwab 《Journal of Environmental Sciences》 2025年第3期342-357,共16页
The toxicity of PM_(2.5)does not necessarily change synchronously with its mass concentration.In this study,the chemical composition(carbonaceous species,water-soluble ions,and metals)and oxidative potential(dithiothr... The toxicity of PM_(2.5)does not necessarily change synchronously with its mass concentration.In this study,the chemical composition(carbonaceous species,water-soluble ions,and metals)and oxidative potential(dithiothreitol assay,DTT)of PM_(2.5)were investigated in 2017/2018 and 2022 in Xiamen,China.The decrease rate of volume-normalized DTT(DTTv)(38%)was lower than that of PM_(2.5)(55%)between the two sampling periods.However,the mass-normalized DTT(DTTm)increased by 44%.Clear seasonal patterns with higher levels in winter were found for PM_(2.5),most chemical constituents and DTTv but not for DTTm.The large decrease in DTT activity(84%−92%)after the addition of EDTA suggested that watersoluble metals were the main contributors to DTT in Xiamen.The increased gap between the reconstructed and measured DTTv and the stronger correlations between the reconstructed/measured DTT ratio and carbonaceous species in 2022were observed.The decrease rates of the hazard index(32.5%)and lifetime cancer risk(9.1%)differed from those of PM_(2.5)and DTTv due to their different main contributors.The PMF-MLR model showed that the contributions(nmol/(min·m^(3)))of vehicle emission,coal+biomass burning,ship emission and secondary aerosol to DTTv in 2022 decreased by 63.0%,65.2%,66.5%,and 22.2%,respectively,compared to those in 2017/2018,which was consistent with the emission reduction of vehicle exhaust and coal consumption,the adoption of low-sulfur fuel oil used on board ships and the reduced production of WSOC.However,the contributions of dust+sea salt and industrial emission increased. 展开更多
关键词 Chemical composition Oxidative potential Interannual change PMF-MLR Source apportionment
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Layout configuration and joint scheduling optimization of green-grey-blue integrated system for urban stormwater management:Current status and future directions
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作者 DUAN Tingting LI Pengfeng +4 位作者 KHU Soonthiam HUANG Peng TIAN Tengfei LIU Qian ZHANG Yuting 《水利水电技术(中英文)》 北大核心 2025年第7期77-108,共32页
[Objective]Under the combined impact of climate change and urbanization,urban rainstorm flood disasters occur frequently,seriously restricting urban safety and sustainable development.Relying on traditional grey infra... [Objective]Under the combined impact of climate change and urbanization,urban rainstorm flood disasters occur frequently,seriously restricting urban safety and sustainable development.Relying on traditional grey infrastructure such as pipe networks for urban stormwater management is not enough to deal with urban rainstorm flood disasters under extreme rainfall events.The integration of green,grey and blue systems(GGB-integrated system)is gradually gaining recognition in the field of global flood prevention.It is necessary to further clarify the connotation,technical and engineering implementation strategies of the GGB-integrated system,to provide support for the resilient city construction.[Methods]Through literature retrieval and analysis,the relevant research and progress related to the layout optimization and joint scheduling optimization of the GGBintegrated system were systematically reviewed.In response to existing limitations and future engineering application requirements,key supporting technologies including the utilization of overground emergency storage spaces,safety protection of underground important infrastructure and multi-departmental collaboration,were proposed.A layout optimization framework and a joint scheduling framework for the GGB-integrated system were also developed.[Results]Current research on layout optimization predominantly focuses on the integration of green system and grey system,with relatively fewer studies incorporating blue system infrastructure into the optimization process.Moreover,these studies tend to be on a smaller scale with simpler scenarios,which do not fully capture the complexity of real-world systems.Additionally,optimization objective tend to prioritize environmental and economic goals,while social and ecological factors are less frequently considered.Current research on joint scheduling optimization is often limited to small-scale plots,with insufficient attention paid to the entire system.There is a deficiency in method for real-time,automated determination of optimal control strategies for combinations of multiple system facilities based on actual rainfall-runoff processes.Additionally,the application of emergency facilities during extreme conditions is not sufficiently addressed.Furthermore,both layout optimization and joint scheduling optimization lack consideration of the mute feed effect of flood and waterlogging in urban,watershed and regional scales.[Conclusion]Future research needs to improve the theoretical framework for layout optimization and joint scheduling optimization of GGB-integrated system.Through the comprehensive application of the Internet of things,artificial intelligence,coupling model development,multi-scale analysis,multi-scenario simulation,and the establishment of multi-departmental collaboration mechanisms,it can enhance the flood resilience of urban areas in response to rainfall events of varying intensities,particularly extreme rainfall events. 展开更多
关键词 excessive rainfall runoff green-grey-blue integrated system emergency response intelligent control optimization framework multi-departmental collaboration climate change flood
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Runoff changes and influencing factors in the Nyang River Basin in Xizang
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作者 CAO Liang DONG Shi +2 位作者 WANG Yuyan LI Xingran CAO Pengxi 《Journal of Mountain Science》 2025年第10期3706-3720,共15页
This study aims to construct a large-scale hydrological Variable Infiltration Capacity(VIC)model based on temperature and precipitation at high altitudes,while elucidating the applicability of the model for hydrologic... This study aims to construct a large-scale hydrological Variable Infiltration Capacity(VIC)model based on temperature and precipitation at high altitudes,while elucidating the applicability of the model for hydrological simulation and analyzing the factors affecting runoff volume.Runoff volume and runoff depth were simulated using the VIC model and its performance was evaluated.Meanwhile,the factors affecting runoff volume were analyzed using Spearman correlation.The following model sensitivity parameters were obtained based on the China Natural Runoff Grid Point Dataset(CNRD v1.0):The variable infiltration curve parameter was 0.3,the Dsmax fraction where non-linear baseflow begins was 0.02,the maximum baseflow velocity was 15 mm/d,the maximum soil moisture where non-linear baseflow occurred was 0.7,the second soil moisture layer thickness was 0.3,and the thickness of the third soil moisture layer was 1.5.The surface runoff values in the Nyang River basin were similar in the first and fourth quarters(1.05–2.27 mm and 2.38–4.77 mm,respectively),and the surface runoff values were similar in the second and third quarters when the surface runoff was greater(23.46–52.20 mm and 60.59–85.63 mm,respectively).Watershed area,temperature,and precipitation significantly influenced the amount of runoff from the Nyang River.The applicability of the model to the Nyang River basin was confirmed using two different rate models.In some areas,precipitation and temperature did not have a dominating influence on runoff.Although the VIC model has significant advantages in runoff simulation,it requires a wealth of meteorological,soil,and hydrological data that may be difficult to obtain in some areas. 展开更多
关键词 Runoff changes Nyang river VIC model Meteorological changes Spearman correlation
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Spatiotemporal Variations in Climatic Factors,Catchment Characteristic Induced Runoff Changes with Multi-Time Scales across the Contiguous United States
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作者 Xinglong Gong Shuping Du +1 位作者 Fengyu Li Yibo Ding 《Journal of Earth Science》 2025年第1期146-160,共15页
Previous works were mainly concentrated on long-term average runoff alterations,and extreme temperatures and watershed conditions are little analyzed.In this study,we collected gauged river flow and meteorological dat... Previous works were mainly concentrated on long-term average runoff alterations,and extreme temperatures and watershed conditions are little analyzed.In this study,we collected gauged river flow and meteorological data time series from 1916 to 2015 and 1941 to 2015 across the contiguous United States(CONUS)for 188 catchments to investigate the temporal trends and spatial features of runoff changes at multi-time scales.We also analyzed the relationships between runoff changes and climatic factors.Median descriptive statistics and Budyko coupled climate elasticity methods were used to calculate runoff elasticity in each time scale.The original Mann-Kendall trend test was used to test their trend significance in four time-scale(11,20,40,and 60 a),respectively.The results show that the trend of runoff changes is more significant in high time scales;total changes are heterogeneous over CONUS.After the 1970s,increases of up to 27%decade-1 were mainly concentrated in the mid-northern regions.Maximum temperature and catchment characteristics are vital factors for runoff alteration;runoff changes are independent of rainfall,and wet regions tend to have lower changes.These findings could help develop better regional water resource planning and management. 展开更多
关键词 catchment characteristics climate change slipping window runoff changes trend analysis runoff elasticity
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Dynamic changes of gravity field before the Luding Ms6.8 earthquake and its crustal material migration characteristics
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作者 Qingqing Tan Chongyang Shen +5 位作者 Jiapei Wang Xiong Yang Wen Jin Minghui Zhang Hongbo Tan Guangliang Yang 《Geodesy and Geodynamics》 2025年第2期214-222,共9页
On September 5, 2022, an earthquake of magnitude M_(S)6.8 occurred in Luding County, Sichuan Province.This earthquake occurred at the key part of the southeast-clockwise extrusion of material on the eastern margin of ... On September 5, 2022, an earthquake of magnitude M_(S)6.8 occurred in Luding County, Sichuan Province.This earthquake occurred at the key part of the southeast-clockwise extrusion of material on the eastern margin of the Qinghai Plateau, the Y-shaped confluence of the Xianshuihe, Longmenshan and Anninghe fault zones. In this study, the three-dimensional dynamic crustal density changes in the earthquake area are obtained by the typical gravity change data from 2019 to 2022 before the earthquake and gravity inversion by growing bodies. The results indicate that gravity changes presented an obvious fourquadrant and gradient belt distribution in the Luding area before the earthquake. The threedimensional density horizontal slices show that small density changes occurred at the epicenter in the mid-to-upper crust between 2019.9-2020.9 and 2019.9-2021.9. At the same time, the surrounding areas exhibited a positive and negative quadrant distribution. These observations indicate that the source region was likely in a stable locked state, with locking-in shear forces oriented in the NW and NE directions. From 2021.9 to 2022.8, the epicentral region showed negative density changes, indicating that the source region was in the expansion stage, approaching a near-seismic state. The three-dimensional density vertical slices reveal a southeastward migration of positive and negative densities near the epicenter and on the western of the Xianshuihe Fault Zone, indicating that the material is flowing out to the southeast. The observed local negative density changes at the epicenter along the Longmenshan Fault Zone are likely associated with the NE-oriented extensional stress shown by the seismic source mechanism. The above results can provide a basis for interpreting pre-earthquake gravity and density changes,thereby contributing to the advancement of earthquake precursor theory. 展开更多
关键词 Luding earthquake Gravity changes Three-dimensional density changes Gravity inversion
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A Study on the Diagnostic Ability of MRI for Modic Changes and Endplate Sclerosis in the Lumbar Spine
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作者 Tuanmao Guo Yuan Xiao Yanli Xing 《Journal of Clinical and Nursing Research》 2025年第8期147-152,共6页
Objective:To investigate the diagnostic value of magnetic resonance imaging(MRI)in patients with Modic changes and endplate sclerosis of the lumbar spine.Methods:A total of 66 patients with lumbar spine diseases who u... Objective:To investigate the diagnostic value of magnetic resonance imaging(MRI)in patients with Modic changes and endplate sclerosis of the lumbar spine.Methods:A total of 66 patients with lumbar spine diseases who underwent MRI and CT diagnostic examinations at the hospital from May 2024 to April 2025 were included in this study.The MRI findings of Modic changes were compared between Type I and Type II patients,and the presence or absence of endplate sclerosis signals and the HU value ratio on CT were analyzed.The pathological characteristics of Modic changes in Type I and Type II patients were observed.The imaging features of Modic changes in patients with lumbar spine diseases were analyzed.Results:Modic changes were present in 34 patients,with a total of 204 endplates evaluated,of which 74 were affected.MRI classification showed:Type I in 8 cases(10.81%),Type I/II mixed in 10 cases(13.51%),Type II in 51 cases(68.92%),and Type II/III mixed in 5 cases(6.76%).In CT reconstruction images,26 endplates with Modic changes on MRI showed sclerosis in the vertebral body,presenting high-density sclerotic features.These sclerotic areas did not exhibit distinct signal characteristics on MRI but pathologically demonstrated Type II Modic changes concurrently with fatty degeneration and sclerosis;In patients with Modic changes of Type I and Type II,regardless of the presence or absence of endplate sclerosis,the sagittal T1/T2 signal intensity ratio showed no statistically significant difference(P>0.05).However,the HU value ratio in Type II changes with sclerotic regions(2.74±0.61)was significantly higher than that in regions without sclerosis(1.16±0.23),with a statistically significant difference(P<0.05).Conclusion:CT reconstruction images of patients with lumbar Modic changes clearly demonstrate endplate sclerosis,a phenomenon closely associated with the bone marrow repair process.MRI has limited sensitivity for detecting sclerosis,potentially due to the following factors:first,differences in the radiographic characterization of endplate mineral content;second,the specific influence of different Modic types on signal intensity.This suggests that MRI classification should be combined with CT features for comprehensive interpretation. 展开更多
关键词 Magnetic resonance imaging CT Lumbar spine Modic changes Endplate sclerosis Diagnostic value
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Study on the Historical Changes,Characteristics,and Implementation Challenges of Uzbekistan’s Language Policy
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作者 DING Xueling HU Jianqiang 《Cultural and Religious Studies》 2025年第5期233-241,共9页
Language policies are of great significance to a nation’s stability,unity,and development.Uzbekistan’s language policies have reflected the political,economic,and cultural dynamics of different periods throughout hi... Language policies are of great significance to a nation’s stability,unity,and development.Uzbekistan’s language policies have reflected the political,economic,and cultural dynamics of different periods throughout historical changes,influencing social structures and ethnic relations.This paper summarizes the characteristics of Uzbekistan’s language policies in different eras:During the Tsarist Russian period,the Russification of language policies hindered the development of local languages;in the Soviet era,policies adopted a dual approach,promoting both Russian and prioritizing ethnic languages;after independence,Uzbekistan established Uzbek as the state language and emphasized foreign language education.The current language policy in Uzbekistan presents a complex landscape:While emphasizing the dominant role of the national language helps preserve its heritage,it may easily spark ethnic and political tensions;promoting pluralism and inclusivity brings benefits but faces challenges in balancing language statuses,resource allocation,management,and communication;modernization efforts encounter difficulties in standardizing dialects and foreign loanwords;and in international exchanges,there is a need to balance relations with global lingua francas.In conclusion,Uzbekistan’s language policies have undergone unique transformations and face numerous challenges.In-depth research is crucial for improving the country’s policies and enhancing China-Uzbekistan cooperation.Proactive measures are needed to address these challenges,ensuring the sustainability of language policies and fostering greater national prosperity. 展开更多
关键词 Uzbekistan language policy historical changes implementation challenges medical diplomacy
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Temporal changes in computed tomography findings of a persimmon bezoar:A case report
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作者 Masaya Iwamuro Tomoki Yoshikawa +4 位作者 Tomohiro Kamio Shoichiro Hirata Katsunori Matsueda Daisuke Kametaka Motoyuki Otsuka 《World Journal of Clinical Cases》 2025年第18期72-77,共6页
BACKGROUND Gastric bezoars are masses of indigestible material that accumulate in the stomach,causing nausea,abdominal pain,and vomiting.Persimmon bezoars(diospyrobezoars),which comprise tannins and fibers from persim... BACKGROUND Gastric bezoars are masses of indigestible material that accumulate in the stomach,causing nausea,abdominal pain,and vomiting.Persimmon bezoars(diospyrobezoars),which comprise tannins and fibers from persimmons,are relatively rare but may cause significant gastric complications,including gastric outlet obstruction or ileus.Although computed tomography(CT)is a useful ima-ging tool,diagnosing bezoars can be challenging because their density is similar to that of food debris and gastric content.CASE SUMMARY Here,we report the case of a 72-year-old woman with a persimmon bezoar that was diagnosed using serial CT imaging and confirmed by endoscopy.CT perfor-med over several months revealed changes in the internal structure and density of the bezoar,suggesting progressive hardening.The patient had a history of a par-tial gastrectomy and excessive persimmon consumption,both of which are risk factors for bezoar formation.Endoscopic fragmentation of the bezoar successfully resolved symptoms.CONCLUSION Gastric bezoars,particularly persimmon bezoars,present diagnostic challenges because of their variable imaging characteristics.Serial CT can document tem-poral changes in bezoar density,potentially reflecting changes in hardness.Early diagnosis and endoscopic treatment are essential for effective management,particularly in patients with predisposing factors.This case underscores the im-portance of considering bezoars in the differential diagnosis of gastric masses,and highlights the value of CT for monitoring changes in bezoar characteristics over time. 展开更多
关键词 Computed tomography Endoscopic treatment Gastric bezoar Persimmon bezoar Temporal changes Case report
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Mapping Fear-Related Neural Activity and Circuitry Changes Following Prophylactic Administration of(R,S)-Ketamine and(2S,6S)-Hydroxynorketamine
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作者 Minzhu Li Li Cheng 《Neuroscience Bulletin》 2025年第5期925-928,共4页
Fear memory,a predictive and protective mechanism in potentially hostile environments,elicits defensive behavioral responses that have evolved to help organisms avoid harm and ensure survival.However,excessive fear me... Fear memory,a predictive and protective mechanism in potentially hostile environments,elicits defensive behavioral responses that have evolved to help organisms avoid harm and ensure survival.However,excessive fear memories may contribute to the onset of various psychological disorders,such as panic disorder,phobias,and post-traumatic stress disorder(PTSD). 展开更多
关键词 fear memories prophylactic administration psychological disorderssuch fear memorya fear related circuitry changes panic disorderphobiasand neural activity
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New Global Ideological Trends in the Era of Unprecedented Changes and China’s Diplomatic Responses
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作者 Lu Jing Lin Yiping 《China International Studies》 2025年第2期5-31,共27页
Transformations of the world unseen in a century are unfolding at a faster pace.Changes of the world,of our times,and of the historical trajectory are taking place in ways like never before.As the new round of technol... Transformations of the world unseen in a century are unfolding at a faster pace.Changes of the world,of our times,and of the historical trajectory are taking place in ways like never before.As the new round of technological revolution and industrial transformation advances,the international power structure and world order are undergoing tectonic realignments and constantly being reshaped.The protracted Ukraine crisis and the escalating Palestinian-Israeli conflict exemplify the intensification of major-power strategic rivalries and geopolitical conflicts.At the same time,non-traditional security issues are getting severe and more deeply intertwined with traditional security.Challenges such as climate change,cybersecurity,energy security,and food security are becoming critical global issues which confront humanity with unprecedented threats and herald a new era of instability and transformation for the world’s development. 展开更多
关键词 world transformations tectonic realignments industrial transformation technological revolution global ideological trends ukraine crisis Chinas diplomatic responses unprecedented changes
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Variability of long-term terrestrial water storage changes and its environmental effects in the Three Rivers Source Region,China
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作者 LU Houliang ZUO Huimin +2 位作者 ZHOU Han JIAO Yufei HU Xiaonong 《Journal of Mountain Science》 2025年第7期2439-2457,共19页
Climate change and anthropogenic activities have driven significant terrestrial water storage changes(TWSC)in the Three Rivers Source Region(TRSR),exerting profound impacts on freshwater availability across China and ... Climate change and anthropogenic activities have driven significant terrestrial water storage changes(TWSC)in the Three Rivers Source Region(TRSR),exerting profound impacts on freshwater availability across China and broader Asia.However,long-term TWSC characterization remains challenging due to limited observational data in this alpine region.Here,we integrate GRACE observations(2002-2020),ERA5-Land reanalysis,and GLDAS data to reconstruct TWSC using two methods:(1)the water balance method(PER)and(2)the component summation method(SS),applied to three input datasets(ERA5-Land,GLDAS,and their average,GLER).Comparative analysis reveals that the SS method applied to GL-ER yields the highest consistency with GRACE-derived TWSC.Using this optimal approach,we extend the analysis to 1951~2020,uncovering spatiotemporal TWSC patterns.Although annual TWSC trends appear negligible due to strong seasonality,we introduce the intra-year TWSC fluctuation(TWSCF)index to quantify cumulative variability.A significant(p<0.05)transition occurred in 1980,with TWSCF shifting from a declining trend(-0.39 mm/yr)to an increasing trend(0.56 mm/yr),primarily driven by soil moisture changes.However,Hurst exponent analysis suggests this upward trend may not persist.Drought and vegetation assessments indicate concurrent wetting and greening in the TRSR.TWSC correlates strongly with meteorological drought,acting as a reliable drought indicator while its linkage with vegetation dynamics suggests a potential contribution to greening.Our findings provide a robust framework for understanding long-term TWSC evolution and its hydrological-ecological interactions under climate change. 展开更多
关键词 Three Rivers Source Region Terrestrial water storage changes GRACE Dataset reconstruction Mutation analysis
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Effects of wind field and buoyancy fluxes on Antarctic Slope Current changes
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作者 Mingjie Ji Ling Du 《Acta Oceanologica Sinica》 2025年第3期102-116,共15页
The Antarctic Slope Current(ASC)links the processes occurring in the coast area with the global ocean by modulating the flow across the continental slope,which influences global overturning circulation and the mass ba... The Antarctic Slope Current(ASC)links the processes occurring in the coast area with the global ocean by modulating the flow across the continental slope,which influences global overturning circulation and the mass balance of the Antarctic ice shelves.This paper aims to explore the effects of wind and buoyancy fluxes on the long-term changes in the ASC using observation and reanalysis datasets.From 1993 to 2022,the ASC accelerated in all seasons,particularly in austral autumn,and was accompanied with the advancement of the strong flow.The positive buoyancy flux anomaly generates a low-density anomaly,which is accumulated by the prevailing surface easterly,maintaining a sharp density front along the continental slope.The heat flux intensifies the positive trend of buoyancy flux in summer and autumn,increasing the input of the lighter density anomaly into the ocean and advancing the strong flow of ASC.Compared with the annual mean,the additional acceleration of the ASC in autumn is mainly due to the contribution of the barotropic component,which could be explained by the local momentum input from the weakly enhanced local surface wind.The acceleration of the ASC is primarily driven by the positive trend of the buoyancy flux,while the influence of the wind on its seasonal variability becomes more significant due to the contribution of the local surface wind in autumn. 展开更多
关键词 polar easterly buoyancy fluxes long-term changes Antarctic Slope Current(ASC)
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Historical and future climate changes impact global solar photovoltaic power potential:Role of key meteorological variables
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作者 Chang Liu Lei Chen +4 位作者 Ke Li Xipeng Jin Xi Chen Wenhao Qiao Hong Liao 《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》 2025年第6期58-64,共7页
Renewable energy,especially solar power,is vital for mitigating global warming,while climate change also impacts solar photovoltaic potential(PVpot).This study analyzes historical(1985–2014)and future(2015–2100)clim... Renewable energy,especially solar power,is vital for mitigating global warming,while climate change also impacts solar photovoltaic potential(PVpot).This study analyzes historical(1985–2014)and future(2015–2100)climate effects on PVpot,and quantifies contributions from changed radiation,temperature,and wind speed.Historically,global PVpot increased by 0.42‰,with notable rises in eastern China(+7.1‰)and southern Europe(+3.5‰).By the end of the century,increased radiation-induced PVpot(+1.27‰)offsets temperatureinduced PVpot loss(−0.54‰)under SSP1-2.6,yielding a net PVpot increase(+0.74‰).Under SSP2-4.5,the temperature-induced PVpot decline(−1.50‰)drives the final PVpot reduction(−1.15‰).Under SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5,combined radiation-induced(−1.94‰and−1.99‰)and temperature-induced PVpot changes(−2.67‰and−3.41‰)result in significant PVpot declines(−4.57‰and−5.31‰).Regional analysis reveals that eastern China(+0.7‰to+8.6‰),southern Europe(+0.3‰to+2.5‰),and Northwest South America(+0.6‰to+2.1‰)retain positive changes in future PVpot across all climate scenarios,which may be due to reduced aerosols and cloud cover,suggesting these areas can remain suitable for photovoltaic installations despite climate changes.In contrast,temperature-driven PVpot declines over the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau(−9.1‰to−4.3‰)and northern Africa(−9.3‰to−4.9‰)under future high-emission scenarios indicate that these historically advantageous regions will become less suitable for solar energy deployment.The findings underscore that climate changes driven by sustainable development pathways will generate more PVpot in the future for better global warming mitigation. 展开更多
关键词 Solar photovoltaic power potential Climate change Meteorological impact Historical and future change
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The enthalpy changes for hydrogenation/dehydrogenation of Mg-based alloys
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作者 Yan Zheng Shenglan Yang +7 位作者 Bin Hu Yangfan Lu Yan Yang Kai Tang Qun Luo Bin Liu Qian Li Fusheng Pan 《Journal of Magnesium and Alloys》 2025年第7期2959-2977,共19页
Magnesium-based hydrogen storage materials are promising candidates for hydrogen storage due to their high storage density and environmentally friendly properties.However,the high dehydrogenation enthalpy change(appro... Magnesium-based hydrogen storage materials are promising candidates for hydrogen storage due to their high storage density and environmentally friendly properties.However,the high dehydrogenation enthalpy change(approximately 75 kJ/mol H_(2))and high dehydrogenation temperature(573 K at 0.1 MPa)of MgH_(2),limits the engineering application of Mg/MgH_(2) as a hydrogen storage material.This work reviews the prediction models and methods of enthalpy changes for hydriding/dehydriding(H/D)reactions in order to find out the ideas and ways to reduce them.The mechanism behind the improvement methods mainly includes two aspects,weakening Mg-H bond and compensating heat of reaction.Proceed from this,the experimental methods and enthalpy data as well as calculated values of enthalpy changes were compared systematically.Elements such as Ti,Nb,V,etc.,with a small electronegativity difference compared to Mg,can reduce the hydrogenation and dehydrogenation enthalpy changes by forming strong Metal-H or Metal-Mg bonds.In addition,this review concludes with an outlook on the remaining challenge issues and prospects. 展开更多
关键词 Magnesium-based hydrogen storage materials THERMODYNAMICS Hydrogenation and dehydrogenation enthalpy changes Theoretical methods
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Co-seismic P-wave velocity changes of 2023 Türkiye Earthquake Doublet
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作者 Xiaotian Xue Shunping Pei +5 位作者 Zhi Wang Hanlin Liu Wei Liu Lei Li Jiawei Li Qian Hua 《Earthquake Science》 2025年第3期263-272,共10页
On February 6,2023,the Türkiye Earthquake Doublet,consisting of two major earthquakes with magnitudes of M_(W)7.8 and M_(W)7.5,respectively,occurred within 9 h and devastated the Kahramanmaraşprovince in southwes... On February 6,2023,the Türkiye Earthquake Doublet,consisting of two major earthquakes with magnitudes of M_(W)7.8 and M_(W)7.5,respectively,occurred within 9 h and devastated the Kahramanmaraşprovince in southwest Turkey.The geodynamic background of this area is exceedingly complicated owing to the combined action of the Anatolian Plate and the neighboring Eurasian,African,and Arabian plates,which contain many faults,the most prominent of which is the East Anatolian Fault Zone(EAFZ).These two earthquakes occurred on the Pazarcık Segment(PAZ.S)of the EAFZ and theÇardak Fault(CAR.F).The investigation of co-seismic changes in the velocity structure of the subterranean medium inside the focus area is critical for our understanding of earthquake ruptures.We chose 51572 travel times before the earthquake doublet from January 1,2014,to February 5,2023,and 88371 travel times after the earthquakes from February 6 to March 5,2023,and utilized time-lapse tomography to derive the co-seismic changes in P-wave velocity.The results demonstrated that the P-wave velocity decreased around the center zone,with considerable surface displacement from the two earthquakes caused by rock breakup and stress release.The P-wave velocity increased in two areas:east of the Pazarcik Earthquake,where the Bozova Fault is located,and west of the Elbistan Earthquake.We believe that these two locations are compression zones generated by the strike-slip surface displacement.Similarly,the decrease in velocity in the areas adjacent to the Malatya Fault(MAL.F)and between the Amanos Segment(AM.S)of the EAFZ and the Savur Fault(SA.F)shows that these two locations were exposed to tension as a result of the co-seismic horizontal displacement on the surface.This study showed that in addition to the area close to the epicenter,the large earthquake can affect the velocity structure of faults far away from the main shock. 展开更多
关键词 2023 Türkiye Earthquake Doublet co-seismic velocity changes time-lapse tomography surface horizontal displacement
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Effects of Future Climate and Cropland Use Changes on Rice Potential Yields in Hainan Island, China
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作者 PU Luoman XIANG Mengjun 《Chinese Geographical Science》 2025年第3期438-453,共16页
Rapid climate and cropland use changes in recent decades have posed major challenges to food security in China.Hainan Is-land is the only tropical island in China and is blessed with natural conditions for crop produc... Rapid climate and cropland use changes in recent decades have posed major challenges to food security in China.Hainan Is-land is the only tropical island in China and is blessed with natural conditions for crop production.This study first simulates the climate scenarios of Hainan Island for 2030,2040 and 2050 under the four Socio-economic Pathways(SSPs)based on the climate models in ScenarioMIP of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6(CMIP6),and then simulates the land use scenarios of Hainan Island for 2030,2040 and 2050 based on the Cellular Automata(CA)-Markov model.Finally,based on the Global Agro-Ecological Zones(GAEZ)model,the rice potential yield in Hainan Island for 2030,2040 and 2050 are simulated,and the effects of future climate and cropland use changes on rice potential yields are investigated.The results show that:1)from 2020 to 2050,mean maximum temperature first decreases and then increases,while mean minimum temperature increase sharply followed by a leveling off under the four SSPs.Precipitation decreases and then increases under other three SSPs except SSP2-4.5.Net solar radiation increases continuously under SSP1-2.6,2-4.5,and 5-8.5,and has the lowest simulated values under SSP3-7.0.Mean wind speed increases continuously under SSP1-2.6,fluctuates more under SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5,and increases slowly and then decreases sharply under SSP3-7.0.Relative humidity basically decreases continuously under the four SSPs.2)Areas of paddy field are 302.49 thousand,302.41 thousand and 302.71 thou-sand ha for 2030,2040 and 2050,respectively,all less than that in 2020.Paddy field is mainly converted into built-up land and wood-land.As for the conversion of other land types to paddy field,woodland is the main source.3)Under the effects of future climate and cropland use changes,the mean potential productions in Hainan Island under the four SSPs increase 1.17 million,1.13 million and 1.11 million t,respectively,and the mean potential yields increase 3873.21,3766.71 and 3672.38 kg/ha,respectively for the three periods.The largest increases in mean rice potential production and mean potential yield are 1.21 million t and 4008.00 kg/ha,1.16 million t and 3846.65 kg/ha,as well as 1.13 million t and 3732.75 kg/ha,respectively under SSP 3-7.0,indicating that SSP3-7.0 is the most suitable scenario for rice growth.This study could provide scientific basis for crop planting planning and agricultural policy adjustment. 展开更多
关键词 rice potential yield climate change cropland use change Global Agro-Ecological Zones(GAEZ)model CA-Markov mod-el Hainan Island China
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