The object of this study is to propose a statistical model for predicting the Expected Path Length (expected number of steps the attacker will take, starting from the initial state to compromise the security goal—EPL...The object of this study is to propose a statistical model for predicting the Expected Path Length (expected number of steps the attacker will take, starting from the initial state to compromise the security goal—EPL) in a cyber-attack. The model we developed is based on utilizing vulnerability information along with having host centric attack graph. Utilizing the developed model, one can identify the interaction among the vulnerabilities and individual variables (risk factors) that drive the Expected Path Length. Gaining a better understanding of the relationship between vulnerabilities and their interactions can provide security administrators a better view and an understanding of their security status. In addition, we have also ranked the attributable variables and their contribution in estimating the subject length. Thus, one can utilize the ranking process to take precautions and actions to minimize Expected Path Length.展开更多
提出一种基于攻击图的多智能代理(Agent)的网络安全风险评估模型.首先,提出了基于多Agent的风险评估架构并给出了主Agent和子Agent的主要模块的功能设计,以网络中主机上的组件为基本节点,采用多Agent协同工作的方式构建攻击图.其次,定...提出一种基于攻击图的多智能代理(Agent)的网络安全风险评估模型.首先,提出了基于多Agent的风险评估架构并给出了主Agent和子Agent的主要模块的功能设计,以网络中主机上的组件为基本节点,采用多Agent协同工作的方式构建攻击图.其次,定义五种风险指数并给出网络安全风险指数的计算方法.最后,基于Java的Agent开发框架(Java Agent Development Framework,JADE)实现了该评估模型,通过对仿真网络的风险评估验证了此模型的可行性和有效性.展开更多
文摘The object of this study is to propose a statistical model for predicting the Expected Path Length (expected number of steps the attacker will take, starting from the initial state to compromise the security goal—EPL) in a cyber-attack. The model we developed is based on utilizing vulnerability information along with having host centric attack graph. Utilizing the developed model, one can identify the interaction among the vulnerabilities and individual variables (risk factors) that drive the Expected Path Length. Gaining a better understanding of the relationship between vulnerabilities and their interactions can provide security administrators a better view and an understanding of their security status. In addition, we have also ranked the attributable variables and their contribution in estimating the subject length. Thus, one can utilize the ranking process to take precautions and actions to minimize Expected Path Length.
文摘提出一种基于攻击图的多智能代理(Agent)的网络安全风险评估模型.首先,提出了基于多Agent的风险评估架构并给出了主Agent和子Agent的主要模块的功能设计,以网络中主机上的组件为基本节点,采用多Agent协同工作的方式构建攻击图.其次,定义五种风险指数并给出网络安全风险指数的计算方法.最后,基于Java的Agent开发框架(Java Agent Development Framework,JADE)实现了该评估模型,通过对仿真网络的风险评估验证了此模型的可行性和有效性.