Since the 21st century,the Huang–Huai–Hai River Basin(HHHRB)in China has experienced increased frequency and severity of drought–flood abrupt alternation(DFAA)events during early summer,characterized by droughts in...Since the 21st century,the Huang–Huai–Hai River Basin(HHHRB)in China has experienced increased frequency and severity of drought–flood abrupt alternation(DFAA)events during early summer,characterized by droughts in June followed by floods in July.The 2024 event was the most severe since 1981.This study demonstrates that such compound extreme events are closely linked to anomalous subseasonal evolution of large-scale atmospheric circulation.During the drought phase,the East Asian subtropical westerly jet(EAJ)shifts southward,and the western Pacific subtropical high(WPSH)exhibits anomalous strengthening with its western ridge line displaced southward.The flood phase is characterized by acceleration of the EAJ,westward extension of the WPSH,and enhanced southwestern moisture transport from the western Pacific.Beyond these typical features,the 2024 early summer circulation exhibited unique characteristics:Anomalous northeastward intensification of the WPSH facilitated merged moisture influx from both the Indian Ocean and the western Pacific along the southeast pathway into the HHHRB in July,resulting in the highest net moisture inflow at the southern boundary of the HHHRB since 1981.The synergistic effects of multiple factors primarily explain the exceptionally intense DFAA event in 2024.展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China[grant numbers U2142207 and U2342205]the National Key R&D Program of China[grant number 2024YFC3013100]China Meteorological Administration(CMA)Youth Innovation Team[CMA2024QN06].
文摘Since the 21st century,the Huang–Huai–Hai River Basin(HHHRB)in China has experienced increased frequency and severity of drought–flood abrupt alternation(DFAA)events during early summer,characterized by droughts in June followed by floods in July.The 2024 event was the most severe since 1981.This study demonstrates that such compound extreme events are closely linked to anomalous subseasonal evolution of large-scale atmospheric circulation.During the drought phase,the East Asian subtropical westerly jet(EAJ)shifts southward,and the western Pacific subtropical high(WPSH)exhibits anomalous strengthening with its western ridge line displaced southward.The flood phase is characterized by acceleration of the EAJ,westward extension of the WPSH,and enhanced southwestern moisture transport from the western Pacific.Beyond these typical features,the 2024 early summer circulation exhibited unique characteristics:Anomalous northeastward intensification of the WPSH facilitated merged moisture influx from both the Indian Ocean and the western Pacific along the southeast pathway into the HHHRB in July,resulting in the highest net moisture inflow at the southern boundary of the HHHRB since 1981.The synergistic effects of multiple factors primarily explain the exceptionally intense DFAA event in 2024.
