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MM5/WRF气象场模拟差异对CMAQ空气质量预报效果的影响 被引量:34
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作者 程兴宏 徐祥德 +1 位作者 丁国安 李德平 《环境科学研究》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2009年第12期1411-1419,共9页
评估了为公共多尺度空气质量模式(CMAQ)提供气象输入场的第五代NCAR/Penn State中尺度(MM5)模式与天气研究和预报(WRF)模式模拟的多种气象要素的准确性;比较了2个模式提供的气象场对华北地区SO2和NO2源同化反演效果及其质量浓度预报的差... 评估了为公共多尺度空气质量模式(CMAQ)提供气象输入场的第五代NCAR/Penn State中尺度(MM5)模式与天气研究和预报(WRF)模式模拟的多种气象要素的准确性;比较了2个模式提供的气象场对华北地区SO2和NO2源同化反演效果及其质量浓度预报的差异;分析了相对湿度和边界层高的变化对ρ(SO2),ρ(NO2)预报的影响及其物理机制.结果表明:WRF模式模拟的各气象要素准确性优于MM5模式,其中MM5模式对相对湿度和边界层高度的模拟值与实测值的偏差较明显,而WRF模式的模拟值与实测值较接近;相对湿度和边界层高度参数是影响CMAQ空气质量预报的关键气象要素,这2个参数的变化对ρ(SO2)和ρ(NO2)的预报有显著影响,因此,对2个参数的改进可显著减小预报误差;ρ(SO2)模拟误差减小的主要原因是垂直输送和质量调整过程对ρ(SO2)的贡献减小;而ρ(NO2)模拟误差减小的主要原因是化学反应过程对ρ(NO2)的贡献明显减小. 展开更多
关键词 MM5/WRF气象场 CMAQ源同化模型 ρ(SO2)和ρ(NO2)预报 影响差异 积分过程率分析
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基于卫星亮温资料同化对2009年热带风暴“浪卡”的数值研究 被引量:5
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作者 邹力 王云峰 +2 位作者 姜勇强 吕梅 邹勋 《气象科学》 北大核心 2016年第3期366-373,共8页
本文利用三维变分同化系统(WRFDA),设计了4个同化试验方案,将ATOVS卫星亮温资料直接同化到中尺度数值模式(WRF)中,研究同化ATOVS不同卫星亮温资料对2009年04号热带风暴"浪卡"数值模拟的影响。结果表明,直接同化卫星亮温资料... 本文利用三维变分同化系统(WRFDA),设计了4个同化试验方案,将ATOVS卫星亮温资料直接同化到中尺度数值模式(WRF)中,研究同化ATOVS不同卫星亮温资料对2009年04号热带风暴"浪卡"数值模拟的影响。结果表明,直接同化卫星亮温资料能够改善初始场结构(大气流场、温度场),尤其是对西太平洋反气旋系统,进而提高对热带气旋路径的模拟精度。同化不同类型的ATOVS卫星亮温资料对于热带气旋的移动路径有着不同程度的改善,其中以HIRS3和HIRS4资料同化对热带气旋移动路径改善效果最好。 展开更多
关键词 热带气旋模拟 ATOVS卫星亮温资料 WRF模式 三维变分资料同化
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Brown planthopper Nilaparvata lugens was concentrated at the rear of the typhoon Soudelor in Eastern China in August 2015 被引量:6
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作者 Jian Ma Ye-Chen Wang +6 位作者 Yan-Yue Hu Ming-Hong Lu Gui-Jun Wan Fa-Jun Chen Wan-Cai Liu Bao-Ping Zhai Gao Hu 《Insect Science》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2018年第5期916-926,共11页
Sometimes, extreme weather is vital for the population survival of migratory insects by causing sudden population collapse or outbreak. Several studies have shown that rice planthopper migration was significantly infl... Sometimes, extreme weather is vital for the population survival of migratory insects by causing sudden population collapse or outbreak. Several studies have shown that rice planthopper migration was significantly influenced by typhoons in eastern Asia. Most typhoons occur in the summer, especially in August. In August, brown planthopper Nilaparvata lugens (Stal) migrates northward or southward depending on wind direc- tion, and thus typhoons can potentially influence its migration process and population distribution. However, this has not yet been studied. This paper reported a case study on the effects of Typhoon Soudelor on the summer migration of N. lugens in eastern China in 2015. The migration pathways of N. lugens were reconstructed for the period under the influence of a typhoon by calculating the trajectories and migration events in eight counties of the Yangtze River Valley region with ancillary information. Trajectory mod- elling showed that most migrants took short distance migrations (less than 200 km) under the influence of the Typhoon Soudelor. Numerous N. lugens migrants were concentrated and deposited at the rear of the typhoon during the last 5 days of Typhoon Soudelor on August 9-13 due to horizontal convergence, and this led to an outbreak population. These results indicated that the N. lugens population was redistributed by the typhoon in the sum- mer and that the population dynamics at the rear of a typhoon should be kept under close surveillance. This study provided insight into migratory organisms adapting to atmospheric features. 展开更多
关键词 insect migration Nilaparvata lugens trajectory analysis TYPHOON wrfmodel
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