[Objective] Study on the spatial distribution of summer precipitation patterns and interannual and interdecadal variability. [Method] The summer precipitation patterns were obtained from standard field of summer preci...[Objective] Study on the spatial distribution of summer precipitation patterns and interannual and interdecadal variability. [Method] The summer precipitation patterns were obtained from standard field of summer precipitation data for 160 observation stations in China during 1951 -2000 by the utilization of empirical orthogonal function （EOF）, and characteristics of interannual and interdecadal variability were analyzed. [Result] The summer precipitation mainly distributes in eastern part of China; The 1 st, 2nd and 3rd EOF modes of spatial distribution are especially remarkable as well consistent with the results of previous reports about three rainfall patterns from analysis on the percentages of precipitation anomaly of summer. [Conclusion] There exists interannual and interdecadal variability for summer precipitation in China.展开更多
This study explores the impact of winter sea surface temperature(SST)anomalies in the Southern Indian Ocean on summer precipitation patterns in China,utilizing data from reanalysis sources and Coupled Model Intercompa...This study explores the impact of winter sea surface temperature(SST)anomalies in the Southern Indian Ocean on summer precipitation patterns in China,utilizing data from reanalysis sources and Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6(CMIP6)models.The results reveal that the Southern Indian Ocean Dipole(SIOD),characterized by contrasting SST anomalies in the northeast and southwest regions,acts as a predictor for Chinese summer precipitation patterns,namely floods in the south and drought in the north.In a positive SIOD event,the southwestern Indian Ocean exhibits warmer SSTs,while the northeastern region remains cooler.A negative SIOD event shows the opposite pattern.During the positive phase of the SIOD,the winter SST distribution strengthens the 850-hPa cross-equatorial airflow,generating a robust low-level westerly jet that enhances water vapor transport to the Bay of Bengal(BoB).These air-sea interactions maintain lower SSTs in the northeastern region,which significantly increase the land-sea temperature contrast in the Northern Hemisphere during spring and summer.This strengthened thermal gradient intensifies the southwest monsoon,establishing a strong convergence zone near the South China Sea and amplifying monsoon-driven precipitation in South China.Additionally,CMIP6 models,such as NorESM2-LM and NorCPM1,which accurately simulate the SIOD pattern,effectively capture the seasonal response of cross-equatorial airflow driven by SST anomalies of Southern Indian Ocean.The result highlights the essential role of cross-equatorial airflow generated by the SIOD in forecasting crossseasonal precipitation patterns.展开更多
文摘[Objective] Study on the spatial distribution of summer precipitation patterns and interannual and interdecadal variability. [Method] The summer precipitation patterns were obtained from standard field of summer precipitation data for 160 observation stations in China during 1951 -2000 by the utilization of empirical orthogonal function （EOF）, and characteristics of interannual and interdecadal variability were analyzed. [Result] The summer precipitation mainly distributes in eastern part of China; The 1 st, 2nd and 3rd EOF modes of spatial distribution are especially remarkable as well consistent with the results of previous reports about three rainfall patterns from analysis on the percentages of precipitation anomaly of summer. [Conclusion] There exists interannual and interdecadal variability for summer precipitation in China.
基金Guangdong Major Project of Basic and Applied Basic Research(2020B0301030004)National Natural Science Foundation of China(U2442202)+1 种基金Key Innovation Team of China Meteorological Administration“Climate Change Detection and Response”(CMA2022ZD03)National Key Research and Development Program of China(2023YFF0805104)。
文摘This study explores the impact of winter sea surface temperature(SST)anomalies in the Southern Indian Ocean on summer precipitation patterns in China,utilizing data from reanalysis sources and Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6(CMIP6)models.The results reveal that the Southern Indian Ocean Dipole(SIOD),characterized by contrasting SST anomalies in the northeast and southwest regions,acts as a predictor for Chinese summer precipitation patterns,namely floods in the south and drought in the north.In a positive SIOD event,the southwestern Indian Ocean exhibits warmer SSTs,while the northeastern region remains cooler.A negative SIOD event shows the opposite pattern.During the positive phase of the SIOD,the winter SST distribution strengthens the 850-hPa cross-equatorial airflow,generating a robust low-level westerly jet that enhances water vapor transport to the Bay of Bengal(BoB).These air-sea interactions maintain lower SSTs in the northeastern region,which significantly increase the land-sea temperature contrast in the Northern Hemisphere during spring and summer.This strengthened thermal gradient intensifies the southwest monsoon,establishing a strong convergence zone near the South China Sea and amplifying monsoon-driven precipitation in South China.Additionally,CMIP6 models,such as NorESM2-LM and NorCPM1,which accurately simulate the SIOD pattern,effectively capture the seasonal response of cross-equatorial airflow driven by SST anomalies of Southern Indian Ocean.The result highlights the essential role of cross-equatorial airflow generated by the SIOD in forecasting crossseasonal precipitation patterns.
