Precise and timely prediction of crop yields is crucial for food security and the development of agricultural policies.However,crop yield is influenced by multiple factors within complex growth environments.Previous r...Precise and timely prediction of crop yields is crucial for food security and the development of agricultural policies.However,crop yield is influenced by multiple factors within complex growth environments.Previous research has paid relatively little attention to the interference of environmental factors and drought on the growth of winter wheat.Therefore,there is an urgent need for more effective methods to explore the inherent relationship between these factors and crop yield,making precise yield prediction increasingly important.This study was based on four type of indicators including meteorological,crop growth status,environmental,and drought index,from October 2003 to June 2019 in Henan Province as the basic data for predicting winter wheat yield.Using the sparrow search al-gorithm combined with random forest(SSA-RF)under different input indicators,accuracy of winter wheat yield estimation was calcu-lated.The estimation accuracy of SSA-RF was compared with partial least squares regression(PLSR),extreme gradient boosting(XG-Boost),and random forest(RF)models.Finally,the determined optimal yield estimation method was used to predict winter wheat yield in three typical years.Following are the findings:1)the SSA-RF demonstrates superior performance in estimating winter wheat yield compared to other algorithms.The best yield estimation method is achieved by four types indicators’composition with SSA-RF)(R^(2)=0.805,RRMSE=9.9%.2)Crops growth status and environmental indicators play significant roles in wheat yield estimation,accounting for 46%and 22%of the yield importance among all indicators,respectively.3)Selecting indicators from October to April of the follow-ing year yielded the highest accuracy in winter wheat yield estimation,with an R^(2)of 0.826 and an RMSE of 9.0%.Yield estimates can be completed two months before the winter wheat harvest in June.4)The predicted performance will be slightly affected by severe drought.Compared with severe drought year(2011)(R^(2)=0.680)and normal year(2017)(R^(2)=0.790),the SSA-RF model has higher prediction accuracy for wet year(2018)(R^(2)=0.820).This study could provide an innovative approach for remote sensing estimation of winter wheat yield.yield.展开更多
Safety patrol inspection in chemical industrial parks is a complex multi-objective task with multiple degrees of freedom.Traditional pointer instruments with advantages like high reliability and strong adaptability to...Safety patrol inspection in chemical industrial parks is a complex multi-objective task with multiple degrees of freedom.Traditional pointer instruments with advantages like high reliability and strong adaptability to harsh environment,are widely applied in such parks.However,they rely on manual readings which have problems like heavy patrol workload,high labor cost,high false positives/negatives and poor timeliness.To address the above problems,this study proposes a path planning method for robot patrol in chemical industrial parks,where a path optimization model based on improved iterated local search and random variable neighborhood descent(ILS-RVND)algorithm is established by integrating the actual requirements of patrol tasks in chemical industrial parks.Further,the effectiveness of the model and algorithm is verified by taking real park data as an example.The results show that compared with GA and ILS-RVND,the improved algorithm reduces quantification cost by about 24%and saves patrol time by about 36%.Apart from shortening the patrol time of robots,optimizing their patrol path and reducing their maintenance loss,the proposed algorithm also avoids the untimely patrol of robots and enhances the safety factor of equipment.展开更多
The purpose of this study was to address the challenges in predicting and classifying accuracy in modeling Container Dwell Time (CDT) using Artificial Neural Networks (ANN). This objective was driven by the suboptimal...The purpose of this study was to address the challenges in predicting and classifying accuracy in modeling Container Dwell Time (CDT) using Artificial Neural Networks (ANN). This objective was driven by the suboptimal outcomes reported in previous studies and sought to apply an innovative approach to improve these results. To achieve this, the study applied the Fusion of Activation Functions (FAFs) to a substantial dataset. This dataset included 307,594 container records from the Port of Tema from 2014 to 2022, encompassing both import and transit containers. The RandomizedSearchCV algorithm from Python’s Scikit-learn library was utilized in the methodological approach to yield the optimal activation function for prediction accuracy. The results indicated that “ajaLT”, a fusion of the Logistic and Hyperbolic Tangent Activation Functions, provided the best prediction accuracy, reaching a high of 82%. Despite these encouraging findings, it’s crucial to recognize the study’s limitations. While Fusion of Activation Functions is a promising method, further evaluation is necessary across different container types and port operations to ascertain the broader applicability and generalizability of these findings. The original value of this study lies in its innovative application of FAFs to CDT. Unlike previous studies, this research evaluates the method based on prediction accuracy rather than training time. It opens new avenues for machine learning engineers and researchers in applying FAFs to enhance prediction accuracy in CDT modeling, contributing to a previously underexplored area.展开更多
基金Under the auspices of National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.52079103)。
文摘Precise and timely prediction of crop yields is crucial for food security and the development of agricultural policies.However,crop yield is influenced by multiple factors within complex growth environments.Previous research has paid relatively little attention to the interference of environmental factors and drought on the growth of winter wheat.Therefore,there is an urgent need for more effective methods to explore the inherent relationship between these factors and crop yield,making precise yield prediction increasingly important.This study was based on four type of indicators including meteorological,crop growth status,environmental,and drought index,from October 2003 to June 2019 in Henan Province as the basic data for predicting winter wheat yield.Using the sparrow search al-gorithm combined with random forest(SSA-RF)under different input indicators,accuracy of winter wheat yield estimation was calcu-lated.The estimation accuracy of SSA-RF was compared with partial least squares regression(PLSR),extreme gradient boosting(XG-Boost),and random forest(RF)models.Finally,the determined optimal yield estimation method was used to predict winter wheat yield in three typical years.Following are the findings:1)the SSA-RF demonstrates superior performance in estimating winter wheat yield compared to other algorithms.The best yield estimation method is achieved by four types indicators’composition with SSA-RF)(R^(2)=0.805,RRMSE=9.9%.2)Crops growth status and environmental indicators play significant roles in wheat yield estimation,accounting for 46%and 22%of the yield importance among all indicators,respectively.3)Selecting indicators from October to April of the follow-ing year yielded the highest accuracy in winter wheat yield estimation,with an R^(2)of 0.826 and an RMSE of 9.0%.Yield estimates can be completed two months before the winter wheat harvest in June.4)The predicted performance will be slightly affected by severe drought.Compared with severe drought year(2011)(R^(2)=0.680)and normal year(2017)(R^(2)=0.790),the SSA-RF model has higher prediction accuracy for wet year(2018)(R^(2)=0.820).This study could provide an innovative approach for remote sensing estimation of winter wheat yield.yield.
基金the National Key R&D Plan of China(No.2021YFE0105000)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.52074213)+1 种基金the Shaanxi Key R&D Plan Project(No.2021SF-472)the Yulin Science and Technology Plan Project(No.CXY-2020-036).
文摘Safety patrol inspection in chemical industrial parks is a complex multi-objective task with multiple degrees of freedom.Traditional pointer instruments with advantages like high reliability and strong adaptability to harsh environment,are widely applied in such parks.However,they rely on manual readings which have problems like heavy patrol workload,high labor cost,high false positives/negatives and poor timeliness.To address the above problems,this study proposes a path planning method for robot patrol in chemical industrial parks,where a path optimization model based on improved iterated local search and random variable neighborhood descent(ILS-RVND)algorithm is established by integrating the actual requirements of patrol tasks in chemical industrial parks.Further,the effectiveness of the model and algorithm is verified by taking real park data as an example.The results show that compared with GA and ILS-RVND,the improved algorithm reduces quantification cost by about 24%and saves patrol time by about 36%.Apart from shortening the patrol time of robots,optimizing their patrol path and reducing their maintenance loss,the proposed algorithm also avoids the untimely patrol of robots and enhances the safety factor of equipment.
文摘The purpose of this study was to address the challenges in predicting and classifying accuracy in modeling Container Dwell Time (CDT) using Artificial Neural Networks (ANN). This objective was driven by the suboptimal outcomes reported in previous studies and sought to apply an innovative approach to improve these results. To achieve this, the study applied the Fusion of Activation Functions (FAFs) to a substantial dataset. This dataset included 307,594 container records from the Port of Tema from 2014 to 2022, encompassing both import and transit containers. The RandomizedSearchCV algorithm from Python’s Scikit-learn library was utilized in the methodological approach to yield the optimal activation function for prediction accuracy. The results indicated that “ajaLT”, a fusion of the Logistic and Hyperbolic Tangent Activation Functions, provided the best prediction accuracy, reaching a high of 82%. Despite these encouraging findings, it’s crucial to recognize the study’s limitations. While Fusion of Activation Functions is a promising method, further evaluation is necessary across different container types and port operations to ascertain the broader applicability and generalizability of these findings. The original value of this study lies in its innovative application of FAFs to CDT. Unlike previous studies, this research evaluates the method based on prediction accuracy rather than training time. It opens new avenues for machine learning engineers and researchers in applying FAFs to enhance prediction accuracy in CDT modeling, contributing to a previously underexplored area.
