Based on datasets from the International Best-Track Archive for Climate Stewardship(IBTrACS)and the fifth major global reanalysis produced by ECMWF(ERA5),the authors found that 29%of tropical cyclones(TCs)in the weste...Based on datasets from the International Best-Track Archive for Climate Stewardship(IBTrACS)and the fifth major global reanalysis produced by ECMWF(ERA5),the authors found that 29%of tropical cyclones(TCs)in the western North Pacific underwent extratropical transition(ET)from 1979 to 2022,with the frequency of ET events showing a slow decreasing trend.The extratropical transition tropical cyclones(ETCs)are classified into four clusters using the k-means clustering method based on their track patterns:recurving ETCs,westward ETCs,northwestward ETCs,and abnormal track ETCs.The transition process of recurving ETCs mostly occurs after the recurvature is completed,while 63.7%of the westward ETCs complete their transition after landfall.Abnormal track ETCs undergo transition over high-latitude oceans.Northwestward ETCs have the longest duration and slowest transition speed during the ET period,resulting in a prolonged impact.The ET process occurs at the edges of the western Pacific subtropical high(WPSH),with higher frequency during westward extension and lower during eastward retreat.While westward ETCs transition through surface friction effects,others complete ET in the northwest baroclinic zone of the WPSH.展开更多
The duration of the extratropical transition(ET)of tropical cyclones(TCs)is often closely associated with disaster intensity.Therefore,it is essential to understand the key factors that influence ET duration.Using the...The duration of the extratropical transition(ET)of tropical cyclones(TCs)is often closely associated with disaster intensity.Therefore,it is essential to understand the key factors that influence ET duration.Using the TC best-track data and reanalysis data,this study investigates the structural characteristics and key influencing factors of ET duration in the western North Pacific(WNP)during 1981–2022.Results show that,compared to TCs that undergo ET rapidly(≤12 h),TCs that experience ET slowly(≥24 h)undergo a more prolonged and complex ET process,maintaining a warm core and an upright structure for extended periods.By contrast,TCs undergoing rapid transition experience structural disintegration within 6–12 h after ET onset.Further analysis reveals that TCs with longer ET durations are characterized by stronger warm cores,more abundant moisture,weaker environmental vertical wind shear,slower translation speeds,and a longer residence time over warmer sea surface temperatures(SSTs),all of which support the maintenance of axisymmetric structures with strong warm cores.Environmental and structural factors,including cold-air intensity,vertical wind shear,TC translation speed,SST,relative humidity,TC intensity,the radius of 17 m s^(-1)wind,mean sea level pressure,and the radius of maximum wind,are found to exist significant correlation with ET duration.Cold-air intensity exhibited the highest correlation(r=–0.35),followed by TC translation speed and SST.A relative importance analysis shows that the environmental factors play a more substantial role than the internal TC structure,accounting for about 19.23%of the variance,with TC translation speed and cold-air effects explaining 11.68%.Based on the nine factors,a statistical forecasting model was developed,which shows considerable skill in predicting ET duration.展开更多
Extratropical transition(ET)is one of the last phases of tropical cyclones(TCs)and corresponds to the structural change from a tropical system to an extratropical system characterized by pronounced asymmetric distribu...Extratropical transition(ET)is one of the last phases of tropical cyclones(TCs)and corresponds to the structural change from a tropical system to an extratropical system characterized by pronounced asymmetric distributions of heavy rainfall and strong wind.This study analyzes the statistical characteristics of ET events involving TCs over the western North Pacific(WNP)during 1981–2022.The analysis employs the Cyclone Phase Space(CPS)method to evaluate the accuracy of the fifth-generation reanalysis from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts(ERA5)in identifying ET based on different TC center definitions.Results show that defining the TC center by the minimum sea level pressure yields the most accurate ET identification.Subsequently,the study investigates several characteristics of ET events in the WNP.It is found that TCs undergoing ET(ETTCs)primarily form in the region of 125°–155°E,10°–25°N,with ET typically initiating between 30°–40°N and completing between 35°–50°N.These ETTCs predominantly occur from April to December,with peak activity observed from August to October.Additionally,the average duration of the ET process is 18.5 h,with longer durations observed from August to October,displaying a roughly 6-year cycle.Spatially,ET events with longer durations tend to occur at lower latitudes.Correspondingly,TCs initiating their ET phase at lower latitudes are typically stronger and larger,and they also experience longer ET durations.展开更多
The North Pacific storm track(NPST)is a high-frequency area of extratropical cyclones and an important channel for water vapor and energy transfer between low and mid–high latitudes.Previous weather and dynamic studi...The North Pacific storm track(NPST)is a high-frequency area of extratropical cyclones and an important channel for water vapor and energy transfer between low and mid–high latitudes.Previous weather and dynamic studies in this region have made significant progress,but due to the lack of ocean surface rainfall observation data,there is a lack of statistical research on precipitation in this area.In this study,statistical research on the spatiotemporal distribution characteristics of NPST rainfall was conducted based on GPM DPR(Global Precipitation Measurement Dual-frequency Precipitation Radar)observation data and ERA5 atmospheric parameters,and analysis and explanations are provided based on the atmospheric parameters.The study found that,compared to low-pressure systems,pressure gradients have a greater impact on cyclone activity and rainfall distribution.This feature,along with the meridional distribution of high atmospheric water vapor in the North Pacific Ocean and low in the north,collectively leads to the offset of high-frequency rainfall areas relative to storm tracks.The distribution of sea surface temperatures in the North Pacific Ocean affects the zonal distribution of storm tracks,causing weather disturbances and precipitation along the storm tracks to exhibit a northward extension from west to east.This study deepens our understanding of the role of NPST in global-scale water vapor and energy balance,and is of great significance for improving the prediction accuracy of climate models with respect to rainfall generated by extratropical cyclones.展开更多
The rapid intensification(RI)magnitude of tropical cyclones(TCs)over the western North Pacific(WNP)exhibits significant interannual variability and is influenced by multiple factors across various scales.These factors...The rapid intensification(RI)magnitude of tropical cyclones(TCs)over the western North Pacific(WNP)exhibits significant interannual variability and is influenced by multiple factors across various scales.These factors primarily include:interannual factors—sea surface temperature(SST)in key regions of the WNP,eastern Indian Ocean SST,El Niño-Southern Oscillation(ENSO),South Pacific Subtropical Dipole(SPSD),and western Pacific teleconnection;decadal factors—Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation(AMO)and Pacific Decadal Oscillation(PDO);and longer-term factor—global warming.This study systematically analyzes these factors and their potential impacts,quantitatively assessing their relative importance.A statistical prediction model for the WNP TC-RI magnitude is developed based on ridge regression methods.The results indicate that the influence of these factors on the RI magnitude is closely related to the large-scale thermodynamic and dynamic conditions.Among them,the SPSD plays the most critical role in the interannual variability of the RI magnitude,followed by global warming and the AMO.Further analysis reveals that the statistical prediction model based on multiple factors demonstrates good predictive skill for the interannual variability of the TC RI magnitude.展开更多
Bomb cyclones are rapidly deepening extratropical cyclones predominantly found in midlatitude regions.These extreme events are particularly frequent over the North Pacific(NP),posing significant societal and environme...Bomb cyclones are rapidly deepening extratropical cyclones predominantly found in midlatitude regions.These extreme events are particularly frequent over the North Pacific(NP),posing significant societal and environmental risks.Currently,our understanding of the variability of bomb cyclones over the NP remains limited.This study analyzes the variations in multiple NP bomb cyclone characteristics from 1980 onward using four major reanalysis datasets.The results show a weakening trend of bomb cyclones since the beginning of the 21st century,which is characterized by significant reductions in maximum near-surface wind speeds,increases in minimum sea level pressure,and slower deepening rates.Further analysis reveals that the observed weakening trend of bomb cyclones is closely linked to a reduction in maximum 850 hPa Eady growth rate,driven primarily by reduced vertical wind shear within the 30°-45°N latitudinal band.Furthermore,our findings indicate that the Aleutian Low acts to modulate the meridional air temperature gradient over the midlatitude NP,which is corroborated by climate model outputs.This modulation provides a pathway for the Aleutian Low to affect low-level baroclinicity and thus bomb cyclone characteristics.These results have important implications for future projections of bomb cyclone activity over the NP,aiding in risk assessment and mitigating the impacts of these extreme events.展开更多
This study investigates the size characteristics and related temporal variations of tropical cyclones(TCs)over the Western North Pacific(WNP)and those affecting East China(EC)using Joint Typhoon Warning Center(JTWC)da...This study investigates the size characteristics and related temporal variations of tropical cyclones(TCs)over the Western North Pacific(WNP)and those affecting East China(EC)using Joint Typhoon Warning Center(JTWC)data during 2001-20.The average size of EC TCs is found to be similar to that over the WNP.Furthermore,the annual maximum lifetime maximum size(LMS)of EC TCs shows a statistically significant increasing trend,implying a more severe impact on the EC region.Composite analyses of intensity and size variation over the entire lifetime of TCs,before and after re-curvature,and before and after rapid intensification(RI),show that there are significant differences between them in some key areas:(1)The intensity begins to rapidly decrease after the TC has reached its highest intensity,but the size remains quasi-constant;(2)When a TC recurves south of 15°N or north of 30°N,the variation trend for both intensity and size are broadly similar before and after curvature,but their variation trends are opposite when the recurvature occurs between 15°-30°N;(3)After RI,the intensity reaches its peak value within 24 h,whereas the size reaches its LMS after30-48 h.A significant correlation is also found between the rate of change in intensity and that of size during the development stage,with a correlation coefficient of 0.67 and 0.73 for TCs in the WNP and EC,respectively.However,no significant correlation exists during the weakening stage.展开更多
Neon flying squid Ommastrephes batramii is widely distributed in the North Pacific Ocean, which has become the main fishing species for Chinese squid jigging fleets since 1993. Many authors have made the studies on th...Neon flying squid Ommastrephes batramii is widely distributed in the North Pacific Ocean, which has become the main fishing species for Chinese squid jigging fleets since 1993. Many authors have made the studies on the fields of fishing ground and its environment conditions. However, the squid catch per fishing vessel attained the highest level of about 550 t in 2004. In this paper, the catch and its distribution in 2004 would be compared with the previous year. Based on the catch data from Chinese squid jigging vessels and sea surface temperature with the format of 1 °latitude by 1 °longitude from May to November in 2004, the distribution maps were drawn by Marine explorer 4.0. The results show that the production in the east waters to 160°E was low during May and July. During October and November, the production in the waters from 150°E to 160°E was relatively higher, which occupied 62.5 percent of the total catch. During November, the production in the west waters to 150°E was also low. The highest CPUE area located in the west waters to 150°E, the next was the area from 150°E to 160°E and the lowest CPUE area located in the east waters to 160°E. The SST in the fishing ground seems to change seasonally. The suitable SST for each month is as follows： 12-14 ℃ in May, 15 ℃ - 16 ℃ in June, 14 ℃ - 16 ℃ in July, 18 ℃ - 19 ℃ in August, 16 ℃ -17 ℃ in September, 15 ℃- 16 ℃ in October and 12 ℃ - 13 ℃ in November. The result of K-S test shows that the above monthly suitable SST is considered as the indicator of looking for the main fishing ground.展开更多
Using a statistical model for simulating tropical cyclone （TC） formation and a trajectory model for simulating TC tracks, the influence of the El Nino-Southern Oscillation （ENSO） on the peak-season （July-Septembe...Using a statistical model for simulating tropical cyclone （TC） formation and a trajectory model for simulating TC tracks, the influence of the El Nino-Southern Oscillation （ENSO） on the peak-season （July-September） TC prevailing tracks in the western North Pacific basin is assessed based on 14 selected El Nino and 14 selected La Nina years during the period 1950-2007. It is found that the combination of statistical formation model and a trajectory model can simulate well the primary features of TC prevailing tracks on the interannual timescale. In the El Nino years, the significant enhancement of TC activity primarily occurs south of 20°N, especially east of 130°E. TCs that take the northwestward prevailing track and affect East Asia, including Taiwan Island, the Chinese mainland, Korea, and Japan, tend to move more westward in the El Nino years, while taking a more northward track in the La Nina years. Numerical simulations confirm that the ENSO-related changes in large-scale steering flows and TC formation locations can have a considerable influence on TC prevailing tracks.展开更多
During El Niño events, the warm anomalies in the eastern tropical Pacific are seen to occur in conjunction with prominent warm anomalies in the North Pacific SSTs off the west coast of North America as well a...During El Niño events, the warm anomalies in the eastern tropical Pacific are seen to occur in conjunction with prominent warm anomalies in the North Pacific SSTs off the west coast of North America as well as with cold anomalies in the central North Pacific. This kind of North Pacific response to ENSO is examined in observational data and IPSL air-sea coupled model simulations. Analyses based on observational data and the model output data both support the hypothesis of an “atmospheric bridge concept”, i.e., the atmospheric response to ENSO, in turn, forces the extra-tropical SST anomalies associated with the El Ninno event, thereby serving as a bridge between the tropical and extra-tropical Pacific. Regarding the mechanism responsible for this, the ocean dynamical response to the atmospheric forcing is suggested to be active, while the contribution of latent heat flux is also significant. The role of solar radiation, longwave radiation, and sensible heat flux are of minor importance however, as indicated in the model. Further analysis shows that the North Pacific mode, which is linearly independent of ENSO, resembles the El Niño-type SST mode in the northern Pacific, i.e. both take the pattern of a zonally-oriented dipole in the subtropical Pacific, though differ slightly in the location of the anomaly center. The coupling between the North Pacific mode and the atmosphere is found to be mainly via air-sea heat flux exchange in the model. Both solar radiation and longwave radiation play important roles, while the contribution of latent heat flux is nearly negligible.展开更多
Anomalous patterns of the atmospheric circulation and climate are studied corresponding to the two basic interdecadal variation modes of sea surface temperature (SST) in the North Pacific, namely, the 25-35-year mode ...Anomalous patterns of the atmospheric circulation and climate are studied corresponding to the two basic interdecadal variation modes of sea surface temperature (SST) in the North Pacific, namely, the 25-35-year mode and the 7-10-year mode. Results clearly indicate that corresponding to the positive and negative phases of the interdecadal modes of SST anomaly (SSTA) in the North Pacific, the anomalous patterns of the atmospheric circulation and climate are approximately out of phase, fully illustrating the important role of the interdecadal modes of SST. Since the two interdecadal modes of SSTA in the North Pacific have similar horizontal structures, their impacts on the atmospheric circulation and climate are also analogous. The impact of the interdecadal modes of the North Pacific SST on the atmospheric circulation is barotropic at middle latitudes and baroclinic in tropical regions.展开更多
There is a well-known seesaw pattern of precipitation between the tropical western North Pacific(WNP) and the Yangtze River basin(YRB) during summer. This study identified that this out-of-phase relationship experienc...There is a well-known seesaw pattern of precipitation between the tropical western North Pacific(WNP) and the Yangtze River basin(YRB) during summer. This study identified that this out-of-phase relationship experiences a subseasonal change;that is, the relationship is strong during early summer but much weaker during mid-summer. We investigated the large-scale circulation anomalies responsible for the YRB rainfall anomalies on the subseasonal timescale. It was found that the YRB rainfall is mainly affected by the tropical circulation anomalies during early summer, i.e., the anticyclonic or cyclonic anomaly over the subtropical WNP associated with the precipitation anomalies over the tropical WNP. During mid-summer, the YRB rainfall is mainly affected by the extratropical circulation anomalies in both the lower and upper troposphere. In the lower troposphere, the northeasterly anomaly north of the YRB favors heavier rainfall over the YRB by intensifying the meridional gradient of the equivalent potential temperature over the YRB. In the upper troposphere, the meridional displacement of the Asian westerly jet and the zonally oriented teleconnection pattern along the jet also affect the YRB rainfall. The subseasonal change in the WNP–YRB precipitation relationship illustrated by this study has important implications for the subseasonalto-seasonal forecasting of the YRB rainfall.展开更多
This paper describes the access to, and the content, characteristics, and potential applications of the tropical cyclone(TC) database that is maintained and actively developed by the China Meteorological Administratio...This paper describes the access to, and the content, characteristics, and potential applications of the tropical cyclone(TC) database that is maintained and actively developed by the China Meteorological Administration, with the aim of facilitating its use in scientific research and operational services. This database records data relating to all TCs that have passed through the western North Pacific(WNP) and South China Sea(SCS) since 1949. TC data collection has expanded over recent decades via continuous TC monitoring using remote sensing and specialized field detection techniques,allowing collation of a multi-source TC database for the WNP and SCS that covers a long period, with wide coverage and many observational elements. This database now comprises a wide variety of information related to TCs, such as historical or real-time locations(i.e., best track and landfall), intensity, dynamic and thermal structures, wind strengths, precipitation amounts, and frequency. This database will support ongoing research into the processes and patterns associated with TC climatic activity and TC forecasting.展开更多
In this study, we investigated the influence of the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) on the interannual variability of tropical cyclone (TC) activity over the western North Pacific (WNP) during autumn (September November) fr...In this study, we investigated the influence of the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) on the interannual variability of tropical cyclone (TC) activity over the western North Pacific (WNP) during autumn (September November) from 1961 2015. We found the number of TCs making landfall in China to be significantly negatively correlated with the IOD index, which can be attributed to shifts in the location of TC formation together with the abnormal steering flow at 500 hPa. During negative IOD autumns, TC genesis regions move obviously westward due to the westward retreat of the WNP monsoon trough. The TC activity is remarkably enhanced near South China coastal areas, which is due to a contiguous 500-hPa subtropical ridge. In contrast, during positive IOD autumns, TC genesis positions obviously shift eastward and more TCs tend to exhibit recurvature around 130 E or a westward path south of 15 N led by an equatorward movement of the 500-hPa subtropical ridge with a break near 125 E. In our examination of large-scale circula- tion, we found a pair of equator-symmetric anticyclones in the lower troposphere resulting from variations in the large-scale Walker circulation induced by the anomalous sea surface temperature (SST) associated with a positive IOD. The resulting Philippines anti- cyclonic anomalies are closely related to the variability of the monsoon trough over the WNP region. Furthermore, the variations in the steering flow can be explained by the suppressed (enhanced) convective activities around the Philippines and the weakened (strengthened) local meridional circulation over East Asia in positive (negative) IOD years.展开更多
A comparative study between the output of the Flexible Global Climate Model Version 1.0 （FGCM- 1.0） and the observations is performed. At 500 hPa, the geopotential height of FGCM is similar to the observations, but ...A comparative study between the output of the Flexible Global Climate Model Version 1.0 （FGCM- 1.0） and the observations is performed. At 500 hPa, the geopotential height of FGCM is similar to the observations, but in the North Pacific the model gives lower values, and the differences are most significant over the northern boundary of the Pacific. In a net heat flux comparison, the spatial patterns of the two are similar in winter, but more heat loss appears to the east of Japan in FGCM than in COADS. On the interannual timescale, strong （weak） Kuroshio transports to the east of Taiwan lead the increasing （decreasing） net heat flux, which is centered over the Kuroshio Extension region, by 1-2 months, with low （high） pressure anomaly responses appearing at 500 hPa over the North Pacific （north of 25°N） in winter. The northward heat transport of the Kuroshio is one of the important heat sources to support the warming of the atmosphere by the ocean and the formation of the low pressure anomaly at 500 hPa over the North Pacific in winter.展开更多
The best track dataset of tropical cyclones in the western North Pacific （WNP） and the South China Sea （SCS） from 1977 to 2005 during the satellite era, the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis dataset and the extended reconstruc...The best track dataset of tropical cyclones in the western North Pacific （WNP） and the South China Sea （SCS） from 1977 to 2005 during the satellite era, the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis dataset and the extended reconstructed sea surface temperature dataset are employed in this study. The main climatological characteristics of tropical cyclone formation over the WNP and the SCS are compared. It is found that there is obviously different for the locations of tropical cyclone origins, achieving the lowest central pressure and termination points between over the WNP and over the SCS. The annual number of tropical cyclones forming over the SCS is obviously less than over the WNP, and there is a significant negative correlation with the correlation coefficient being - 0.36 at the 5% significance level between over the WNP and over the SCS. The mean speed of tropical cyclone moving is 6.5 m/s over the WNP and 4.6 m/s over the SCS. The mean lowest central pressure of tropical cyclones is obviously weaker over the SCS than over the WNP. The tropical cyclone days per year, mean total distance and total displacement of tropical cyclone traveled over the WNP are all obviously longer than those over the SCS. Tropical cyclone may intensify to Saffir - Simpson hurricane scale 5 over the WNP, but no tropical cyclone can intensify to Saffir - Simpson hurricane scale 3 over the SCS. The changing ranges of the radii （R15,R16） of the 15.4 m/s winds them and the 25.7 m/s winds over the WNP are obviously wider than those over the SCS, and the median values of the radii over the WNP are also larger than those over the SCS. For the same intensity of tropical cyclones, both radii have larger medians over the WNP than over the SCS. The correlations of annual mean tropical cyclone size parameters between over the WNP and over the SCS are not significant. At the same time, the asymmetric radii of tropical cyclones over the WNP are different from those over the SCS.展开更多
The Miami Isopycnal Coordinate Ocean Model (MICOM) is adopted to simulate the intevdecadal variability in the Pacific Ocean with most emphasis on regime shifts in the North Pacific. The computational domain covers 60&...The Miami Isopycnal Coordinate Ocean Model (MICOM) is adopted to simulate the intevdecadal variability in the Pacific Ocean with most emphasis on regime shifts in the North Pacific. The computational domain covers 60°N to 40°S with an enclosed boundary condition for momentum flux, whereas there are thermohalirie fluxes across the southern end as a restoring term. In addition, sea surface salinity of the model relaxes to the climatological season cycle, which results in climatological fresh water fluxes. Surface forcing functions from January 1945 through December 1998 are derived from the Comprehensive Ocean and Atmospheric Data Set (COADS). Such a numerical experiment reproduces the observed evolution of the interdecadal variability in the heat content over the upper 400-m layer by a two-year lag. Subduction that occurs at the ventilated thermocline in the central North Pacific is also been simulated and the subducted signals propagate from 35°N to 25°N, taking about 8 to 10 years, in agreement with the expendable Bathy Thermograph observation over recent decades. Interdecadal signals take a southwest-ward and downward path rather than westward propagation, meaning they are less associated with the baroclinic planetary waves. During travel, the signals appear to conserve potential vorticity. Therefore, the ventilated thermocline and related subduction are probably the fundamental physics for interdecadal variability in the mid-latitude subtropics of the North Pacific.展开更多
The features of 30-60-day convection oscillations over the subtropical western North Pacific （WNP） were investigated, along with the degree of tropical-subtropical linkage between the oscillations over the WNP durin...The features of 30-60-day convection oscillations over the subtropical western North Pacific （WNP） were investigated, along with the degree of tropical-subtropical linkage between the oscillations over the WNP during summer 1998. It was found that 30-60-day oscillations were extremely strong in that summer over both the subtropical and tro]~ical WNP, providing a unique opportunity to study the behavior of subtropical oscillations and their relationship to tropical oscillations. Further analyses indicated that 30-60-day oscillations propagate westwards over the subtropical WNP and reach eastern China. In addition, 30-60-day oscillations in the subtropics are affected by those over the South China Sea （SCS） and tropical WNP through two mechanisms： （1） direct propagation from the tropics into the subtropics; and （2） a seesaw pattern between the tropics and subtropics, with the latter being predominant.展开更多
This study documents a weakening of the relationship between the spring Arctic Oscillation （AO） and the following summer tropical cyclone （TC） formation frequency over the eastern part （150°-180°E） of ...This study documents a weakening of the relationship between the spring Arctic Oscillation （AO） and the following summer tropical cyclone （TC） formation frequency over the eastern part （150°-180°E） of the western North Pacific （WNP）. The relationship is strong and statistically significant during 1968-1986, but becomes weak during 1989-2007. The spring AO- related SST, atmospheric dynamic, and thermodynamic conditions are compared between the two epochs to understand the possible reasons for the change in the relationship. Results indicate that the spring AO leads to an E1 Nifio-like SST anomaly, lower-level anomalous cyclonic circulation, upper-level anomalous anticyclonic circulation, enhanced ascending motion, and a positive midlevel relative humidity anomaly in the tropical western-central Pacific during 1968-1986, whereas the AOrelated anomalies in the above quantities are weak during 1989-2007. Hence, the large-scale dynamic and thermodynamic anomalies are more favorable for TC formation over the eastern WNP during 1968-1986 than during 1989-2007.展开更多
The three-dimensional structure and the seasonal variation of the North Pacific meridional overturning circulation （NPMOC） are analyzed based on the Simple Ocean Data Assimilation data and Argo profiling float data....The three-dimensional structure and the seasonal variation of the North Pacific meridional overturning circulation （NPMOC） are analyzed based on the Simple Ocean Data Assimilation data and Argo profiling float data. The NPMOC displays a multi-cell structure with four cells in the North Pacific altogether. The TC and the STC are a strong clockwise meridional cell in the low latitude ocean and a weaker clockwise meridional cell between 7°N and 18°N, respectively, while the DTC and the subpolar cell are a weaker anticlockwise meridional cell between 3°N and 15°N and a weakest anticlockwise meridional cell between 35°N and 50°N, respectively. The DTC, the TC and the STC are all of very strong seasonal variations. As to the DTC, the southward transport is strongest in fall and weakest in spring. For the TC, the northward transport is strongest in winter and weakest in spring, while the southward transport is strongest in fall and weakest in spring, which is associated with the strong southward fiow of the DTC in fall. As the STC, the northward transport is strongest in winter and weakest in summer, while the southward transport is strongest in summer and weakest in spring. This seasonal difference may be associated with the DTC. The zonal wind stress and the east-west slope of sea level play important roles in the seasonal variations of the TC, the STC and the DTC.展开更多
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China [grant number 2023YFF0807000]。
文摘Based on datasets from the International Best-Track Archive for Climate Stewardship(IBTrACS)and the fifth major global reanalysis produced by ECMWF(ERA5),the authors found that 29%of tropical cyclones(TCs)in the western North Pacific underwent extratropical transition(ET)from 1979 to 2022,with the frequency of ET events showing a slow decreasing trend.The extratropical transition tropical cyclones(ETCs)are classified into four clusters using the k-means clustering method based on their track patterns:recurving ETCs,westward ETCs,northwestward ETCs,and abnormal track ETCs.The transition process of recurving ETCs mostly occurs after the recurvature is completed,while 63.7%of the westward ETCs complete their transition after landfall.Abnormal track ETCs undergo transition over high-latitude oceans.Northwestward ETCs have the longest duration and slowest transition speed during the ET period,resulting in a prolonged impact.The ET process occurs at the edges of the western Pacific subtropical high(WPSH),with higher frequency during westward extension and lower during eastward retreat.While westward ETCs transition through surface friction effects,others complete ET in the northwest baroclinic zone of the WPSH.
基金National Key R&D Program of China(2022YFC3004200)Science and Technology Commission of Shanghai Municipality,China(23DZ1204703)。
文摘The duration of the extratropical transition(ET)of tropical cyclones(TCs)is often closely associated with disaster intensity.Therefore,it is essential to understand the key factors that influence ET duration.Using the TC best-track data and reanalysis data,this study investigates the structural characteristics and key influencing factors of ET duration in the western North Pacific(WNP)during 1981–2022.Results show that,compared to TCs that undergo ET rapidly(≤12 h),TCs that experience ET slowly(≥24 h)undergo a more prolonged and complex ET process,maintaining a warm core and an upright structure for extended periods.By contrast,TCs undergoing rapid transition experience structural disintegration within 6–12 h after ET onset.Further analysis reveals that TCs with longer ET durations are characterized by stronger warm cores,more abundant moisture,weaker environmental vertical wind shear,slower translation speeds,and a longer residence time over warmer sea surface temperatures(SSTs),all of which support the maintenance of axisymmetric structures with strong warm cores.Environmental and structural factors,including cold-air intensity,vertical wind shear,TC translation speed,SST,relative humidity,TC intensity,the radius of 17 m s^(-1)wind,mean sea level pressure,and the radius of maximum wind,are found to exist significant correlation with ET duration.Cold-air intensity exhibited the highest correlation(r=–0.35),followed by TC translation speed and SST.A relative importance analysis shows that the environmental factors play a more substantial role than the internal TC structure,accounting for about 19.23%of the variance,with TC translation speed and cold-air effects explaining 11.68%.Based on the nine factors,a statistical forecasting model was developed,which shows considerable skill in predicting ET duration.
基金Science and Technology Commission of Shanghai Municipality,China(23DZ1204703)。
文摘Extratropical transition(ET)is one of the last phases of tropical cyclones(TCs)and corresponds to the structural change from a tropical system to an extratropical system characterized by pronounced asymmetric distributions of heavy rainfall and strong wind.This study analyzes the statistical characteristics of ET events involving TCs over the western North Pacific(WNP)during 1981–2022.The analysis employs the Cyclone Phase Space(CPS)method to evaluate the accuracy of the fifth-generation reanalysis from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts(ERA5)in identifying ET based on different TC center definitions.Results show that defining the TC center by the minimum sea level pressure yields the most accurate ET identification.Subsequently,the study investigates several characteristics of ET events in the WNP.It is found that TCs undergoing ET(ETTCs)primarily form in the region of 125°–155°E,10°–25°N,with ET typically initiating between 30°–40°N and completing between 35°–50°N.These ETTCs predominantly occur from April to December,with peak activity observed from August to October.Additionally,the average duration of the ET process is 18.5 h,with longer durations observed from August to October,displaying a roughly 6-year cycle.Spatially,ET events with longer durations tend to occur at lower latitudes.Correspondingly,TCs initiating their ET phase at lower latitudes are typically stronger and larger,and they also experience longer ET durations.
基金funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.42275140,42230612,91837310,41675041,and 92037000)the Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research(STEP)program(Grant No.2019QZKK0104)。
文摘The North Pacific storm track(NPST)is a high-frequency area of extratropical cyclones and an important channel for water vapor and energy transfer between low and mid–high latitudes.Previous weather and dynamic studies in this region have made significant progress,but due to the lack of ocean surface rainfall observation data,there is a lack of statistical research on precipitation in this area.In this study,statistical research on the spatiotemporal distribution characteristics of NPST rainfall was conducted based on GPM DPR(Global Precipitation Measurement Dual-frequency Precipitation Radar)observation data and ERA5 atmospheric parameters,and analysis and explanations are provided based on the atmospheric parameters.The study found that,compared to low-pressure systems,pressure gradients have a greater impact on cyclone activity and rainfall distribution.This feature,along with the meridional distribution of high atmospheric water vapor in the North Pacific Ocean and low in the north,collectively leads to the offset of high-frequency rainfall areas relative to storm tracks.The distribution of sea surface temperatures in the North Pacific Ocean affects the zonal distribution of storm tracks,causing weather disturbances and precipitation along the storm tracks to exhibit a northward extension from west to east.This study deepens our understanding of the role of NPST in global-scale water vapor and energy balance,and is of great significance for improving the prediction accuracy of climate models with respect to rainfall generated by extratropical cyclones.
基金Guangdong Major Project of Basic and Applied Basic Research(2020B0301030004)National Natural Science Foundation of China(41875114)Science and Technology Commission of Shanghai Municipality,China(23DZ1204703)。
文摘The rapid intensification(RI)magnitude of tropical cyclones(TCs)over the western North Pacific(WNP)exhibits significant interannual variability and is influenced by multiple factors across various scales.These factors primarily include:interannual factors—sea surface temperature(SST)in key regions of the WNP,eastern Indian Ocean SST,El Niño-Southern Oscillation(ENSO),South Pacific Subtropical Dipole(SPSD),and western Pacific teleconnection;decadal factors—Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation(AMO)and Pacific Decadal Oscillation(PDO);and longer-term factor—global warming.This study systematically analyzes these factors and their potential impacts,quantitatively assessing their relative importance.A statistical prediction model for the WNP TC-RI magnitude is developed based on ridge regression methods.The results indicate that the influence of these factors on the RI magnitude is closely related to the large-scale thermodynamic and dynamic conditions.Among them,the SPSD plays the most critical role in the interannual variability of the RI magnitude,followed by global warming and the AMO.Further analysis reveals that the statistical prediction model based on multiple factors demonstrates good predictive skill for the interannual variability of the TC RI magnitude.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.42030410)the Laoshan Laboratory(Grant Nos.LSKJ202202404 and LSKJ202202403)+1 种基金the Startup Foundation for Introducing Tal-ent of NUIST,Jiangsu Innovation Research Group(Grant No.JSS-CTD202346)the Jiangsu Funding Program for Excellent Post-doctoral Talent(Grant No.2023ZB690).
文摘Bomb cyclones are rapidly deepening extratropical cyclones predominantly found in midlatitude regions.These extreme events are particularly frequent over the North Pacific(NP),posing significant societal and environmental risks.Currently,our understanding of the variability of bomb cyclones over the NP remains limited.This study analyzes the variations in multiple NP bomb cyclone characteristics from 1980 onward using four major reanalysis datasets.The results show a weakening trend of bomb cyclones since the beginning of the 21st century,which is characterized by significant reductions in maximum near-surface wind speeds,increases in minimum sea level pressure,and slower deepening rates.Further analysis reveals that the observed weakening trend of bomb cyclones is closely linked to a reduction in maximum 850 hPa Eady growth rate,driven primarily by reduced vertical wind shear within the 30°-45°N latitudinal band.Furthermore,our findings indicate that the Aleutian Low acts to modulate the meridional air temperature gradient over the midlatitude NP,which is corroborated by climate model outputs.This modulation provides a pathway for the Aleutian Low to affect low-level baroclinicity and thus bomb cyclone characteristics.These results have important implications for future projections of bomb cyclone activity over the NP,aiding in risk assessment and mitigating the impacts of these extreme events.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China under(Grant No.U2142206)the Shanghai Natural Science Foundation(21ZR1477300)+1 种基金Shanghai Science and Technology Commission Project(23DZ1204701)National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.42075056)。
文摘This study investigates the size characteristics and related temporal variations of tropical cyclones(TCs)over the Western North Pacific(WNP)and those affecting East China(EC)using Joint Typhoon Warning Center(JTWC)data during 2001-20.The average size of EC TCs is found to be similar to that over the WNP.Furthermore,the annual maximum lifetime maximum size(LMS)of EC TCs shows a statistically significant increasing trend,implying a more severe impact on the EC region.Composite analyses of intensity and size variation over the entire lifetime of TCs,before and after re-curvature,and before and after rapid intensification(RI),show that there are significant differences between them in some key areas:(1)The intensity begins to rapidly decrease after the TC has reached its highest intensity,but the size remains quasi-constant;(2)When a TC recurves south of 15°N or north of 30°N,the variation trend for both intensity and size are broadly similar before and after curvature,but their variation trends are opposite when the recurvature occurs between 15°-30°N;(3)After RI,the intensity reaches its peak value within 24 h,whereas the size reaches its LMS after30-48 h.A significant correlation is also found between the rate of change in intensity and that of size during the development stage,with a correlation coefficient of 0.67 and 0.73 for TCs in the WNP and EC,respectively.However,no significant correlation exists during the weakening stage.
文摘Neon flying squid Ommastrephes batramii is widely distributed in the North Pacific Ocean, which has become the main fishing species for Chinese squid jigging fleets since 1993. Many authors have made the studies on the fields of fishing ground and its environment conditions. However, the squid catch per fishing vessel attained the highest level of about 550 t in 2004. In this paper, the catch and its distribution in 2004 would be compared with the previous year. Based on the catch data from Chinese squid jigging vessels and sea surface temperature with the format of 1 °latitude by 1 °longitude from May to November in 2004, the distribution maps were drawn by Marine explorer 4.0. The results show that the production in the east waters to 160°E was low during May and July. During October and November, the production in the waters from 150°E to 160°E was relatively higher, which occupied 62.5 percent of the total catch. During November, the production in the west waters to 150°E was also low. The highest CPUE area located in the west waters to 150°E, the next was the area from 150°E to 160°E and the lowest CPUE area located in the east waters to 160°E. The SST in the fishing ground seems to change seasonally. The suitable SST for each month is as follows： 12-14 ℃ in May, 15 ℃ - 16 ℃ in June, 14 ℃ - 16 ℃ in July, 18 ℃ - 19 ℃ in August, 16 ℃ -17 ℃ in September, 15 ℃- 16 ℃ in October and 12 ℃ - 13 ℃ in November. The result of K-S test shows that the above monthly suitable SST is considered as the indicator of looking for the main fishing ground.
基金supported by the Typhoon Research Project (2009CB421503) of the National Basic Research Program (the 973 Program) of Chinathe National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFCGrant No. 408750387)+2 种基金the Social Commonwealth Research Program of the Ministry of Science and Technology of the People’s Republic of China (GYHY200806009)The research project was funded by the Colleges and Universities in Jiangsu Province Graduate Study Innovation Plan (CX09B 224Z)ZHOU Weican was supported by the Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster Pro-gram (KLME 060206)
文摘Using a statistical model for simulating tropical cyclone （TC） formation and a trajectory model for simulating TC tracks, the influence of the El Nino-Southern Oscillation （ENSO） on the peak-season （July-September） TC prevailing tracks in the western North Pacific basin is assessed based on 14 selected El Nino and 14 selected La Nina years during the period 1950-2007. It is found that the combination of statistical formation model and a trajectory model can simulate well the primary features of TC prevailing tracks on the interannual timescale. In the El Nino years, the significant enhancement of TC activity primarily occurs south of 20°N, especially east of 130°E. TCs that take the northwestward prevailing track and affect East Asia, including Taiwan Island, the Chinese mainland, Korea, and Japan, tend to move more westward in the El Nino years, while taking a more northward track in the La Nina years. Numerical simulations confirm that the ENSO-related changes in large-scale steering flows and TC formation locations can have a considerable influence on TC prevailing tracks.
基金This work was jointly supported by the Innovation Project of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (KZCX2- 108, ZKCX2-SW-210) and the National Key Progamme for Developing Basic Sciences (G200007850-2). Additional financial support from the National Natural Sci
文摘During El Niño events, the warm anomalies in the eastern tropical Pacific are seen to occur in conjunction with prominent warm anomalies in the North Pacific SSTs off the west coast of North America as well as with cold anomalies in the central North Pacific. This kind of North Pacific response to ENSO is examined in observational data and IPSL air-sea coupled model simulations. Analyses based on observational data and the model output data both support the hypothesis of an “atmospheric bridge concept”, i.e., the atmospheric response to ENSO, in turn, forces the extra-tropical SST anomalies associated with the El Ninno event, thereby serving as a bridge between the tropical and extra-tropical Pacific. Regarding the mechanism responsible for this, the ocean dynamical response to the atmospheric forcing is suggested to be active, while the contribution of latent heat flux is also significant. The role of solar radiation, longwave radiation, and sensible heat flux are of minor importance however, as indicated in the model. Further analysis shows that the North Pacific mode, which is linearly independent of ENSO, resembles the El Niño-type SST mode in the northern Pacific, i.e. both take the pattern of a zonally-oriented dipole in the subtropical Pacific, though differ slightly in the location of the anomaly center. The coupling between the North Pacific mode and the atmosphere is found to be mainly via air-sea heat flux exchange in the model. Both solar radiation and longwave radiation play important roles, while the contribution of latent heat flux is nearly negligible.
基金supported by the National Key Programme for Developing Basic Sciences(G1998040900)the Chinese Academy of Sciences(KZCX2-203).
文摘Anomalous patterns of the atmospheric circulation and climate are studied corresponding to the two basic interdecadal variation modes of sea surface temperature (SST) in the North Pacific, namely, the 25-35-year mode and the 7-10-year mode. Results clearly indicate that corresponding to the positive and negative phases of the interdecadal modes of SST anomaly (SSTA) in the North Pacific, the anomalous patterns of the atmospheric circulation and climate are approximately out of phase, fully illustrating the important role of the interdecadal modes of SST. Since the two interdecadal modes of SSTA in the North Pacific have similar horizontal structures, their impacts on the atmospheric circulation and climate are also analogous. The impact of the interdecadal modes of the North Pacific SST on the atmospheric circulation is barotropic at middle latitudes and baroclinic in tropical regions.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 41320104007)
文摘There is a well-known seesaw pattern of precipitation between the tropical western North Pacific(WNP) and the Yangtze River basin(YRB) during summer. This study identified that this out-of-phase relationship experiences a subseasonal change;that is, the relationship is strong during early summer but much weaker during mid-summer. We investigated the large-scale circulation anomalies responsible for the YRB rainfall anomalies on the subseasonal timescale. It was found that the YRB rainfall is mainly affected by the tropical circulation anomalies during early summer, i.e., the anticyclonic or cyclonic anomaly over the subtropical WNP associated with the precipitation anomalies over the tropical WNP. During mid-summer, the YRB rainfall is mainly affected by the extratropical circulation anomalies in both the lower and upper troposphere. In the lower troposphere, the northeasterly anomaly north of the YRB favors heavier rainfall over the YRB by intensifying the meridional gradient of the equivalent potential temperature over the YRB. In the upper troposphere, the meridional displacement of the Asian westerly jet and the zonally oriented teleconnection pattern along the jet also affect the YRB rainfall. The subseasonal change in the WNP–YRB precipitation relationship illustrated by this study has important implications for the subseasonalto-seasonal forecasting of the YRB rainfall.
基金supported by the Key Projects of the National Key R&D Program (Grant No. 2018YFC1506300)the Key Program for International S&T Cooperation Projects of China (Grant No. 2017YFE0107700)。
文摘This paper describes the access to, and the content, characteristics, and potential applications of the tropical cyclone(TC) database that is maintained and actively developed by the China Meteorological Administration, with the aim of facilitating its use in scientific research and operational services. This database records data relating to all TCs that have passed through the western North Pacific(WNP) and South China Sea(SCS) since 1949. TC data collection has expanded over recent decades via continuous TC monitoring using remote sensing and specialized field detection techniques,allowing collation of a multi-source TC database for the WNP and SCS that covers a long period, with wide coverage and many observational elements. This database now comprises a wide variety of information related to TCs, such as historical or real-time locations(i.e., best track and landfall), intensity, dynamic and thermal structures, wind strengths, precipitation amounts, and frequency. This database will support ongoing research into the processes and patterns associated with TC climatic activity and TC forecasting.
基金supported by Open Fund of the Key Laboratory of Ocean Circulation and Waves (No. KLOCW 1902)Chinese Academy of Sciences and the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 41505050)
文摘In this study, we investigated the influence of the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) on the interannual variability of tropical cyclone (TC) activity over the western North Pacific (WNP) during autumn (September November) from 1961 2015. We found the number of TCs making landfall in China to be significantly negatively correlated with the IOD index, which can be attributed to shifts in the location of TC formation together with the abnormal steering flow at 500 hPa. During negative IOD autumns, TC genesis regions move obviously westward due to the westward retreat of the WNP monsoon trough. The TC activity is remarkably enhanced near South China coastal areas, which is due to a contiguous 500-hPa subtropical ridge. In contrast, during positive IOD autumns, TC genesis positions obviously shift eastward and more TCs tend to exhibit recurvature around 130 E or a westward path south of 15 N led by an equatorward movement of the 500-hPa subtropical ridge with a break near 125 E. In our examination of large-scale circula- tion, we found a pair of equator-symmetric anticyclones in the lower troposphere resulting from variations in the large-scale Walker circulation induced by the anomalous sea surface temperature (SST) associated with a positive IOD. The resulting Philippines anti- cyclonic anomalies are closely related to the variability of the monsoon trough over the WNP region. Furthermore, the variations in the steering flow can be explained by the suppressed (enhanced) convective activities around the Philippines and the weakened (strengthened) local meridional circulation over East Asia in positive (negative) IOD years.
基金The authors would like to thank Prof.Zhengyu Liu,Mr.Wei Liu and Mr.Wu Shu for giving good suggestions and comments.This work was jointly supported by an open project of LASG,the Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.40333030 and 40231004)the National Key Programme(G2000078502).
文摘A comparative study between the output of the Flexible Global Climate Model Version 1.0 （FGCM- 1.0） and the observations is performed. At 500 hPa, the geopotential height of FGCM is similar to the observations, but in the North Pacific the model gives lower values, and the differences are most significant over the northern boundary of the Pacific. In a net heat flux comparison, the spatial patterns of the two are similar in winter, but more heat loss appears to the east of Japan in FGCM than in COADS. On the interannual timescale, strong （weak） Kuroshio transports to the east of Taiwan lead the increasing （decreasing） net heat flux, which is centered over the Kuroshio Extension region, by 1-2 months, with low （high） pressure anomaly responses appearing at 500 hPa over the North Pacific （north of 25°N） in winter. The northward heat transport of the Kuroshio is one of the important heat sources to support the warming of the atmosphere by the ocean and the formation of the low pressure anomaly at 500 hPa over the North Pacific in winter.
文摘The best track dataset of tropical cyclones in the western North Pacific （WNP） and the South China Sea （SCS） from 1977 to 2005 during the satellite era, the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis dataset and the extended reconstructed sea surface temperature dataset are employed in this study. The main climatological characteristics of tropical cyclone formation over the WNP and the SCS are compared. It is found that there is obviously different for the locations of tropical cyclone origins, achieving the lowest central pressure and termination points between over the WNP and over the SCS. The annual number of tropical cyclones forming over the SCS is obviously less than over the WNP, and there is a significant negative correlation with the correlation coefficient being - 0.36 at the 5% significance level between over the WNP and over the SCS. The mean speed of tropical cyclone moving is 6.5 m/s over the WNP and 4.6 m/s over the SCS. The mean lowest central pressure of tropical cyclones is obviously weaker over the SCS than over the WNP. The tropical cyclone days per year, mean total distance and total displacement of tropical cyclone traveled over the WNP are all obviously longer than those over the SCS. Tropical cyclone may intensify to Saffir - Simpson hurricane scale 5 over the WNP, but no tropical cyclone can intensify to Saffir - Simpson hurricane scale 3 over the SCS. The changing ranges of the radii （R15,R16） of the 15.4 m/s winds them and the 25.7 m/s winds over the WNP are obviously wider than those over the SCS, and the median values of the radii over the WNP are also larger than those over the SCS. For the same intensity of tropical cyclones, both radii have larger medians over the WNP than over the SCS. The correlations of annual mean tropical cyclone size parameters between over the WNP and over the SCS are not significant. At the same time, the asymmetric radii of tropical cyclones over the WNP are different from those over the SCS.
基金supported by the IARC-Frontier Research System for Global Changethe National Natural Science Foundation of China(40136010)the Chinese Academy of Sciences(KZCX2-205 and KZCX2-203).
文摘The Miami Isopycnal Coordinate Ocean Model (MICOM) is adopted to simulate the intevdecadal variability in the Pacific Ocean with most emphasis on regime shifts in the North Pacific. The computational domain covers 60°N to 40°S with an enclosed boundary condition for momentum flux, whereas there are thermohalirie fluxes across the southern end as a restoring term. In addition, sea surface salinity of the model relaxes to the climatological season cycle, which results in climatological fresh water fluxes. Surface forcing functions from January 1945 through December 1998 are derived from the Comprehensive Ocean and Atmospheric Data Set (COADS). Such a numerical experiment reproduces the observed evolution of the interdecadal variability in the heat content over the upper 400-m layer by a two-year lag. Subduction that occurs at the ventilated thermocline in the central North Pacific is also been simulated and the subducted signals propagate from 35°N to 25°N, taking about 8 to 10 years, in agreement with the expendable Bathy Thermograph observation over recent decades. Interdecadal signals take a southwest-ward and downward path rather than westward propagation, meaning they are less associated with the baroclinic planetary waves. During travel, the signals appear to conserve potential vorticity. Therefore, the ventilated thermocline and related subduction are probably the fundamental physics for interdecadal variability in the mid-latitude subtropics of the North Pacific.
基金supported by the National Basic Research Program of China(Grant No2010CB950403)by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.U0933603)
文摘The features of 30-60-day convection oscillations over the subtropical western North Pacific （WNP） were investigated, along with the degree of tropical-subtropical linkage between the oscillations over the WNP during summer 1998. It was found that 30-60-day oscillations were extremely strong in that summer over both the subtropical and tro]~ical WNP, providing a unique opportunity to study the behavior of subtropical oscillations and their relationship to tropical oscillations. Further analyses indicated that 30-60-day oscillations propagate westwards over the subtropical WNP and reach eastern China. In addition, 30-60-day oscillations in the subtropics are affected by those over the South China Sea （SCS） and tropical WNP through two mechanisms： （1） direct propagation from the tropics into the subtropics; and （2） a seesaw pattern between the tropics and subtropics, with the latter being predominant.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.41461164005,41275001 and 41230527)
文摘This study documents a weakening of the relationship between the spring Arctic Oscillation （AO） and the following summer tropical cyclone （TC） formation frequency over the eastern part （150°-180°E） of the western North Pacific （WNP）. The relationship is strong and statistically significant during 1968-1986, but becomes weak during 1989-2007. The spring AO- related SST, atmospheric dynamic, and thermodynamic conditions are compared between the two epochs to understand the possible reasons for the change in the relationship. Results indicate that the spring AO leads to an E1 Nifio-like SST anomaly, lower-level anomalous cyclonic circulation, upper-level anomalous anticyclonic circulation, enhanced ascending motion, and a positive midlevel relative humidity anomaly in the tropical western-central Pacific during 1968-1986, whereas the AOrelated anomalies in the above quantities are weak during 1989-2007. Hence, the large-scale dynamic and thermodynamic anomalies are more favorable for TC formation over the eastern WNP during 1968-1986 than during 1989-2007.
基金Supported by the National Basic Research Development Program of China(973 Program)under contract Nos 2007CB816002,2007CB816005the innovative key project of Chinese Academy of Sciences under contract No.KZCXZ-YW-201
文摘The three-dimensional structure and the seasonal variation of the North Pacific meridional overturning circulation （NPMOC） are analyzed based on the Simple Ocean Data Assimilation data and Argo profiling float data. The NPMOC displays a multi-cell structure with four cells in the North Pacific altogether. The TC and the STC are a strong clockwise meridional cell in the low latitude ocean and a weaker clockwise meridional cell between 7°N and 18°N, respectively, while the DTC and the subpolar cell are a weaker anticlockwise meridional cell between 3°N and 15°N and a weakest anticlockwise meridional cell between 35°N and 50°N, respectively. The DTC, the TC and the STC are all of very strong seasonal variations. As to the DTC, the southward transport is strongest in fall and weakest in spring. For the TC, the northward transport is strongest in winter and weakest in spring, while the southward transport is strongest in fall and weakest in spring, which is associated with the strong southward fiow of the DTC in fall. As the STC, the northward transport is strongest in winter and weakest in summer, while the southward transport is strongest in summer and weakest in spring. This seasonal difference may be associated with the DTC. The zonal wind stress and the east-west slope of sea level play important roles in the seasonal variations of the TC, the STC and the DTC.
