Metropolis-Hastings algorithms are slowed down by the computation of complex target distributions. To solve this problem, one can use the delayed acceptance Metropolis-Hastings algorithm (MHDA) of Christen and Fox (20...Metropolis-Hastings algorithms are slowed down by the computation of complex target distributions. To solve this problem, one can use the delayed acceptance Metropolis-Hastings algorithm (MHDA) of Christen and Fox (2005). However, the acceptance rate of a proposed value will always be less than in the standard Metropolis-Hastings. We can fix this problem by using the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm with delayed rejection (MHDR) proposed by Tierney and Mira (1999). In this paper, we combine the ideas of MHDA and MHDR to propose a new MH algorithm, named the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm with delayed acceptance and rejection (MHDAR). The new algorithm reduces the computational cost by division of the prior or likelihood functions and increase the acceptance probability by delay rejection of the second stage. We illustrate those accelerating features by a realistic example.展开更多
Aiming to solve the steering instability and hysteresis of agricultural robots in the process of movement,a fusion PID control method of particle swarm optimization(PSO)and genetic algorithm(GA)was proposed.The fusion...Aiming to solve the steering instability and hysteresis of agricultural robots in the process of movement,a fusion PID control method of particle swarm optimization(PSO)and genetic algorithm(GA)was proposed.The fusion algorithm took advantage of the fast optimization ability of PSO to optimize the population screening link of GA.The Simulink simulation results showed that the convergence of the fitness function of the fusion algorithm was accelerated,the system response adjustment time was reduced,and the overshoot was almost zero.Then the algorithm was applied to the steering test of agricultural robot in various scenes.After modeling the steering system of agricultural robot,the steering test results in the unloaded suspended state showed that the PID control based on fusion algorithm reduced the rise time,response adjustment time and overshoot of the system,and improved the response speed and stability of the system,compared with the artificial trial and error PID control and the PID control based on GA.The actual road steering test results showed that the PID control response rise time based on the fusion algorithm was the shortest,about 4.43 s.When the target pulse number was set to 100,the actual mean value in the steady-state regulation stage was about 102.9,which was the closest to the target value among the three control methods,and the overshoot was reduced at the same time.The steering test results under various scene states showed that the PID control based on the proposed fusion algorithm had good anti-interference ability,it can adapt to the changes of environment and load and improve the performance of the control system.It was effective in the steering control of agricultural robot.This method can provide a reference for the precise steering control of other robots.展开更多
Accurate prediction of flood events is important for flood control and risk management.Machine learning techniques contributed greatly to advances in flood predictions,and existing studies mainly focused on predicting...Accurate prediction of flood events is important for flood control and risk management.Machine learning techniques contributed greatly to advances in flood predictions,and existing studies mainly focused on predicting flood resource variables using single or hybrid machine learning techniques.However,class-based flood predictions have rarely been investigated,which can aid in quickly diagnosing comprehensive flood characteristics and proposing targeted management strategies.This study proposed a prediction approach of flood regime metrics and event classes coupling machine learning algorithms with clustering-deduced membership degrees.Five algorithms were adopted for this exploration.Results showed that the class membership degrees accurately determined event classes with class hit rates up to 100%,compared with the four classes clustered from nine regime metrics.The nonlinear algorithms(Multiple Linear Regression,Random Forest,and least squares-Support Vector Machine)outperformed the linear techniques(Multiple Linear Regression and Stepwise Regression)in predicting flood regime metrics.The proposed approach well predicted flood event classes with average class hit rates of 66.0%-85.4%and 47.2%-76.0%in calibration and validation periods,respectively,particularly for the slow and late flood events.The predictive capability of the proposed prediction approach for flood regime metrics and classes was considerably stronger than that of hydrological modeling approach.展开更多
This paper proposes an equivalent modeling method for photovoltaic(PV)power stations via a particle swarm optimization(PSO)K-means clustering(KMC)algorithm with passive filter parameter clustering to address the compl...This paper proposes an equivalent modeling method for photovoltaic(PV)power stations via a particle swarm optimization(PSO)K-means clustering(KMC)algorithm with passive filter parameter clustering to address the complexities,simulation time cost and convergence problems of detailed PV power station models.First,the amplitude–frequency curves of different filter parameters are analyzed.Based on the results,a grouping parameter set for characterizing the external filter characteristics is established.These parameters are further defined as clustering parameters.A single PV inverter model is then established as a prerequisite foundation.The proposed equivalent method combines the global search capability of PSO with the rapid convergence of KMC,effectively overcoming the tendency of KMC to become trapped in local optima.This approach enhances both clustering accuracy and numerical stability when determining equivalence for PV inverter units.Using the proposed clustering method,both a detailed PV power station model and an equivalent model are developed and compared.Simulation and hardwarein-loop(HIL)results based on the equivalent model verify that the equivalent method accurately represents the dynamic characteristics of PVpower stations and adapts well to different operating conditions.The proposed equivalent modeling method provides an effective analysis tool for future renewable energy integration research.展开更多
Existing feature selection methods for intrusion detection systems in the Industrial Internet of Things often suffer from local optimality and high computational complexity.These challenges hinder traditional IDS from...Existing feature selection methods for intrusion detection systems in the Industrial Internet of Things often suffer from local optimality and high computational complexity.These challenges hinder traditional IDS from effectively extracting features while maintaining detection accuracy.This paper proposes an industrial Internet ofThings intrusion detection feature selection algorithm based on an improved whale optimization algorithm(GSLDWOA).The aim is to address the problems that feature selection algorithms under high-dimensional data are prone to,such as local optimality,long detection time,and reduced accuracy.First,the initial population’s diversity is increased using the Gaussian Mutation mechanism.Then,Non-linear Shrinking Factor balances global exploration and local development,avoiding premature convergence.Lastly,Variable-step Levy Flight operator and Dynamic Differential Evolution strategy are introduced to improve the algorithm’s search efficiency and convergence accuracy in highdimensional feature space.Experiments on the NSL-KDD and WUSTL-IIoT-2021 datasets demonstrate that the feature subset selected by GSLDWOA significantly improves detection performance.Compared to the traditional WOA algorithm,the detection rate and F1-score increased by 3.68%and 4.12%.On the WUSTL-IIoT-2021 dataset,accuracy,recall,and F1-score all exceed 99.9%.展开更多
Impact craters are important for understanding the evolution of lunar geologic and surface erosion rates,among other functions.However,the morphological characteristics of these micro impact craters are not obvious an...Impact craters are important for understanding the evolution of lunar geologic and surface erosion rates,among other functions.However,the morphological characteristics of these micro impact craters are not obvious and they are numerous,resulting in low detection accuracy by deep learning models.Therefore,we proposed a new multi-scale fusion crater detection algorithm(MSF-CDA)based on the YOLO11 to improve the accuracy of lunar impact crater detection,especially for small craters with a diameter of<1 km.Using the images taken by the LROC(Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter Camera)at the Chang’e-4(CE-4)landing area,we constructed three separate datasets for craters with diameters of 0-70 m,70-140 m,and>140 m.We then trained three submodels separately with these three datasets.Additionally,we designed a slicing-amplifying-slicing strategy to enhance the ability to extract features from small craters.To handle redundant predictions,we proposed a new Non-Maximum Suppression with Area Filtering method to fuse the results in overlapping targets within the multi-scale submodels.Finally,our new MSF-CDA method achieved high detection performance,with the Precision,Recall,and F1 score having values of 0.991,0.987,and 0.989,respectively,perfectly addressing the problems induced by the lesser features and sample imbalance of small craters.Our MSF-CDA can provide strong data support for more in-depth study of the geological evolution of the lunar surface and finer geological age estimations.This strategy can also be used to detect other small objects with lesser features and sample imbalance problems.We detected approximately 500,000 impact craters in an area of approximately 214 km2 around the CE-4 landing area.By statistically analyzing the new data,we updated the distribution function of the number and diameter of impact craters.Finally,we identified the most suitable lighting conditions for detecting impact crater targets by analyzing the effect of different lighting conditions on the detection accuracy.展开更多
针对短采样宽带信号近似最大似然(approximated maximum likelihood,AML)方位估计计算量大的问题,将马尔科夫链-蒙特卡罗方法与近似最大似然方位估计相结合,提出一种基于Metropolis-Hastings抽样的近似最大似然方位估计方法(AMLMH)。该...针对短采样宽带信号近似最大似然(approximated maximum likelihood,AML)方位估计计算量大的问题,将马尔科夫链-蒙特卡罗方法与近似最大似然方位估计相结合,提出一种基于Metropolis-Hastings抽样的近似最大似然方位估计方法(AMLMH)。该方法将AML算法的空间谱函数作为信号的概率分布函数,并利用Metropolis-Hastings抽样方法从该概率分布函数中抽样。研究结果表明,AMLMH方法不但保持了原近似最大似然方位估计方法的优良性能,而且减小了计算量。展开更多
Bayes统计学能够从空中楼阁的理论广泛地落地于自然科学、经济学和社会学等领域,得益于计算机技术和马尔可夫链蒙特卡洛(Markov chain Monte Carlo,简称MCMC)法的发展。文章介绍了MCMC方法在Bayes推断中的应用,主要讨论了MCMC方法中的...Bayes统计学能够从空中楼阁的理论广泛地落地于自然科学、经济学和社会学等领域,得益于计算机技术和马尔可夫链蒙特卡洛(Markov chain Monte Carlo,简称MCMC)法的发展。文章介绍了MCMC方法在Bayes推断中的应用,主要讨论了MCMC方法中的独立抽样和随机游走抽样的Metropolis-Hastings(M-H)算法,利用可读性较强的Matlab程序来实现两种抽样算法,并给出了详细的程序实施过程,分析了两种抽样的优缺点。模拟分析结果表明:独立抽样M-H算法比较容易实施,但是要求建议分布和后验分布的吻合度较高,否则计算效率低下,而且模拟效果不理想;随机游走抽样的M-H算法不需要建议分布接近后验分布,模拟效果也比较好,因此,克服了独立抽样算法的不足,适用范围更广。展开更多
The ocean bottom seismograph(OBS)is a powerful device deployed on the seafloor for acquiring marine seismic data,capable of detecting the multi-scale Earth’s interiors from submarine sediments to the mantle.Due to th...The ocean bottom seismograph(OBS)is a powerful device deployed on the seafloor for acquiring marine seismic data,capable of detecting the multi-scale Earth’s interiors from submarine sediments to the mantle.Due to the frequent use of free-fall deployment,it is challenging to accurately track its precise position.Additionally,the internal crystal oscillator clock of the OBS has limited accuracy,resulting in clock drift for long-term work on the seabed.To improve the reliability of OBS detections,it is crucial to calculate the precise OBS location and time correction.Focusing on accurately determining OBS position and timing,this study developed a positioning method that integrates time correction based on the Markov Chain Monte Carlo(MCMC)algorithm,utilizing travel times of direct water waves triggered by two-dimensional(2-D)shot lines or three-dimensional(3-D)airgun arrays.This newly developed method can simultaneously estimate accurate OBS location and time correction,incorporating bathymetric data into the inversion procedures to improve sampling efficiency and enhance the reliability of the final results.Synthetic tests with appropriate noise levels are performed independently to evaluate the feasibility and reliability of our method,indicating that it is robust enough to determine OBS location and time correction precisely.Finally,we use travel-time data recorded at three OBSs deployed in the Southwest Indian Ridge to relocate locations and calculate time corrections.The results exhibit high consistency when using 2-D and 3-D shot data,indicating that high-resolution bathymetric data plays a fingerprint role in inversion to evaluate precise OBS location and time correction.展开更多
A fast MUltiple SIgnal Classification (MUSIC) spectrum peak search algorithm is devised, which regards the power of the MUSIC spectrum function as target distribution up to a constant of proportionality, and uses Metr...A fast MUltiple SIgnal Classification (MUSIC) spectrum peak search algorithm is devised, which regards the power of the MUSIC spectrum function as target distribution up to a constant of proportionality, and uses Metropolis-Hastings (MH) sampler, one of the most popular Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) techniques, to sample from it. The proposed method reduces greatly the tremendous computation and storage costs in conventional MUSIC techniques i.e., about two and four orders of magnitude in computation and storage costs under the conditions of the experiment in the paper respectively.展开更多
This paper mainly talks about a popular approach of volatility of a GARCH-type model in R, while the disturbances are independent and have identical Student-t distribution. It uses the Metropolis-Hastings method to pe...This paper mainly talks about a popular approach of volatility of a GARCH-type model in R, while the disturbances are independent and have identical Student-t distribution. It uses the Metropolis-Hastings method to perform the computations and gives the programs in details in R.展开更多
Precisely estimating the state of health(SOH)of lithium-ion batteries is essential for battery management systems(BMS),as it plays a key role in ensuring the safe and reliable operation of battery systems.However,curr...Precisely estimating the state of health(SOH)of lithium-ion batteries is essential for battery management systems(BMS),as it plays a key role in ensuring the safe and reliable operation of battery systems.However,current SOH estimation methods often overlook the valuable temperature information that can effectively characterize battery aging during capacity degradation.Additionally,the Elman neural network,which is commonly employed for SOH estimation,exhibits several drawbacks,including slow training speed,a tendency to become trapped in local minima,and the initialization of weights and thresholds using pseudo-random numbers,leading to unstable model performance.To address these issues,this study addresses the challenge of precise and effective SOH detection by proposing a method for estimating the SOH of lithium-ion batteries based on differential thermal voltammetry(DTV)and an SSA-Elman neural network.Firstly,two health features(HFs)considering temperature factors and battery voltage are extracted fromthe differential thermal voltammetry curves and incremental capacity curves.Next,the Sparrow Search Algorithm(SSA)is employed to optimize the initial weights and thresholds of the Elman neural network,forming the SSA-Elman neural network model.To validate the performance,various neural networks,including the proposed SSA-Elman network,are tested using the Oxford battery aging dataset.The experimental results demonstrate that the method developed in this study achieves superior accuracy and robustness,with a mean absolute error(MAE)of less than 0.9%and a rootmean square error(RMSE)below 1.4%.展开更多
Complex network models are frequently employed for simulating and studyingdiverse real-world complex systems.Among these models,scale-free networks typically exhibit greater fragility to malicious attacks.Consequently...Complex network models are frequently employed for simulating and studyingdiverse real-world complex systems.Among these models,scale-free networks typically exhibit greater fragility to malicious attacks.Consequently,enhancing the robustness of scale-free networks has become a pressing issue.To address this problem,this paper proposes a Multi-Granularity Integration Algorithm(MGIA),which aims to improve the robustness of scale-free networks while keeping the initial degree of each node unchanged,ensuring network connectivity and avoiding the generation of multiple edges.The algorithm generates a multi-granularity structure from the initial network to be optimized,then uses different optimization strategies to optimize the networks at various granular layers in this structure,and finally realizes the information exchange between different granular layers,thereby further enhancing the optimization effect.We propose new network refresh,crossover,and mutation operators to ensure that the optimized network satisfies the given constraints.Meanwhile,we propose new network similarity and network dissimilarity evaluation metrics to improve the effectiveness of the optimization operators in the algorithm.In the experiments,the MGIA enhances the robustness of the scale-free network by 67.6%.This improvement is approximately 17.2%higher than the optimization effects achieved by eight currently existing complex network robustness optimization algorithms.展开更多
Accurate short-term wind power forecast technique plays a crucial role in maintaining the safety and economic efficiency of smart grids.Although numerous studies have employed various methods to forecast wind power,th...Accurate short-term wind power forecast technique plays a crucial role in maintaining the safety and economic efficiency of smart grids.Although numerous studies have employed various methods to forecast wind power,there remains a research gap in leveraging swarm intelligence algorithms to optimize the hyperparameters of the Transformer model for wind power prediction.To improve the accuracy of short-term wind power forecast,this paper proposes a hybrid short-term wind power forecast approach named STL-IAOA-iTransformer,which is based on seasonal and trend decomposition using LOESS(STL)and iTransformer model optimized by improved arithmetic optimization algorithm(IAOA).First,to fully extract the power data features,STL is used to decompose the original data into components with less redundant information.The extracted components as well as the weather data are then input into iTransformer for short-term wind power forecast.The final predicted short-term wind power curve is obtained by combining the predicted components.To improve the model accuracy,IAOA is employed to optimize the hyperparameters of iTransformer.The proposed approach is validated using real-generation data from different seasons and different power stations inNorthwest China,and ablation experiments have been conducted.Furthermore,to validate the superiority of the proposed approach under different wind characteristics,real power generation data fromsouthwestChina are utilized for experiments.Thecomparative results with the other six state-of-the-art prediction models in experiments show that the proposed model well fits the true value of generation series and achieves high prediction accuracy.展开更多
文摘Metropolis-Hastings algorithms are slowed down by the computation of complex target distributions. To solve this problem, one can use the delayed acceptance Metropolis-Hastings algorithm (MHDA) of Christen and Fox (2005). However, the acceptance rate of a proposed value will always be less than in the standard Metropolis-Hastings. We can fix this problem by using the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm with delayed rejection (MHDR) proposed by Tierney and Mira (1999). In this paper, we combine the ideas of MHDA and MHDR to propose a new MH algorithm, named the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm with delayed acceptance and rejection (MHDAR). The new algorithm reduces the computational cost by division of the prior or likelihood functions and increase the acceptance probability by delay rejection of the second stage. We illustrate those accelerating features by a realistic example.
文摘Aiming to solve the steering instability and hysteresis of agricultural robots in the process of movement,a fusion PID control method of particle swarm optimization(PSO)and genetic algorithm(GA)was proposed.The fusion algorithm took advantage of the fast optimization ability of PSO to optimize the population screening link of GA.The Simulink simulation results showed that the convergence of the fitness function of the fusion algorithm was accelerated,the system response adjustment time was reduced,and the overshoot was almost zero.Then the algorithm was applied to the steering test of agricultural robot in various scenes.After modeling the steering system of agricultural robot,the steering test results in the unloaded suspended state showed that the PID control based on fusion algorithm reduced the rise time,response adjustment time and overshoot of the system,and improved the response speed and stability of the system,compared with the artificial trial and error PID control and the PID control based on GA.The actual road steering test results showed that the PID control response rise time based on the fusion algorithm was the shortest,about 4.43 s.When the target pulse number was set to 100,the actual mean value in the steady-state regulation stage was about 102.9,which was the closest to the target value among the three control methods,and the overshoot was reduced at the same time.The steering test results under various scene states showed that the PID control based on the proposed fusion algorithm had good anti-interference ability,it can adapt to the changes of environment and load and improve the performance of the control system.It was effective in the steering control of agricultural robot.This method can provide a reference for the precise steering control of other robots.
基金National Key Research and Development Program of China,No.2023YFC3006704National Natural Science Foundation of China,No.42171047CAS-CSIRO Partnership Joint Project of 2024,No.177GJHZ2023097MI。
文摘Accurate prediction of flood events is important for flood control and risk management.Machine learning techniques contributed greatly to advances in flood predictions,and existing studies mainly focused on predicting flood resource variables using single or hybrid machine learning techniques.However,class-based flood predictions have rarely been investigated,which can aid in quickly diagnosing comprehensive flood characteristics and proposing targeted management strategies.This study proposed a prediction approach of flood regime metrics and event classes coupling machine learning algorithms with clustering-deduced membership degrees.Five algorithms were adopted for this exploration.Results showed that the class membership degrees accurately determined event classes with class hit rates up to 100%,compared with the four classes clustered from nine regime metrics.The nonlinear algorithms(Multiple Linear Regression,Random Forest,and least squares-Support Vector Machine)outperformed the linear techniques(Multiple Linear Regression and Stepwise Regression)in predicting flood regime metrics.The proposed approach well predicted flood event classes with average class hit rates of 66.0%-85.4%and 47.2%-76.0%in calibration and validation periods,respectively,particularly for the slow and late flood events.The predictive capability of the proposed prediction approach for flood regime metrics and classes was considerably stronger than that of hydrological modeling approach.
基金supported by the Research Project of China Southern Power Grid(No.056200KK52222031).
文摘This paper proposes an equivalent modeling method for photovoltaic(PV)power stations via a particle swarm optimization(PSO)K-means clustering(KMC)algorithm with passive filter parameter clustering to address the complexities,simulation time cost and convergence problems of detailed PV power station models.First,the amplitude–frequency curves of different filter parameters are analyzed.Based on the results,a grouping parameter set for characterizing the external filter characteristics is established.These parameters are further defined as clustering parameters.A single PV inverter model is then established as a prerequisite foundation.The proposed equivalent method combines the global search capability of PSO with the rapid convergence of KMC,effectively overcoming the tendency of KMC to become trapped in local optima.This approach enhances both clustering accuracy and numerical stability when determining equivalence for PV inverter units.Using the proposed clustering method,both a detailed PV power station model and an equivalent model are developed and compared.Simulation and hardwarein-loop(HIL)results based on the equivalent model verify that the equivalent method accurately represents the dynamic characteristics of PVpower stations and adapts well to different operating conditions.The proposed equivalent modeling method provides an effective analysis tool for future renewable energy integration research.
基金supported by the Major Science and Technology Programs in Henan Province(No.241100210100)Henan Provincial Science and Technology Research Project(No.252102211085,No.252102211105)+3 种基金Endogenous Security Cloud Network Convergence R&D Center(No.602431011PQ1)The Special Project for Research and Development in Key Areas of Guangdong Province(No.2021ZDZX1098)The Stabilization Support Program of Science,Technology and Innovation Commission of Shenzhen Municipality(No.20231128083944001)The Key scientific research projects of Henan higher education institutions(No.24A520042).
文摘Existing feature selection methods for intrusion detection systems in the Industrial Internet of Things often suffer from local optimality and high computational complexity.These challenges hinder traditional IDS from effectively extracting features while maintaining detection accuracy.This paper proposes an industrial Internet ofThings intrusion detection feature selection algorithm based on an improved whale optimization algorithm(GSLDWOA).The aim is to address the problems that feature selection algorithms under high-dimensional data are prone to,such as local optimality,long detection time,and reduced accuracy.First,the initial population’s diversity is increased using the Gaussian Mutation mechanism.Then,Non-linear Shrinking Factor balances global exploration and local development,avoiding premature convergence.Lastly,Variable-step Levy Flight operator and Dynamic Differential Evolution strategy are introduced to improve the algorithm’s search efficiency and convergence accuracy in highdimensional feature space.Experiments on the NSL-KDD and WUSTL-IIoT-2021 datasets demonstrate that the feature subset selected by GSLDWOA significantly improves detection performance.Compared to the traditional WOA algorithm,the detection rate and F1-score increased by 3.68%and 4.12%.On the WUSTL-IIoT-2021 dataset,accuracy,recall,and F1-score all exceed 99.9%.
基金the National Key Research and Development Program of China(Grant No.2022YFF0711400)which provided valuable financial support and resources for my research and made it possible for me to deeply explore the unknown mysteries in the field of lunar geologythe National Space Science Data Center Youth Open Project(Grant No.NSSDC2302001),which has not only facilitated the smooth progress of my research,but has also built a platform for me to communicate and cooperate with experts in the field.
文摘Impact craters are important for understanding the evolution of lunar geologic and surface erosion rates,among other functions.However,the morphological characteristics of these micro impact craters are not obvious and they are numerous,resulting in low detection accuracy by deep learning models.Therefore,we proposed a new multi-scale fusion crater detection algorithm(MSF-CDA)based on the YOLO11 to improve the accuracy of lunar impact crater detection,especially for small craters with a diameter of<1 km.Using the images taken by the LROC(Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter Camera)at the Chang’e-4(CE-4)landing area,we constructed three separate datasets for craters with diameters of 0-70 m,70-140 m,and>140 m.We then trained three submodels separately with these three datasets.Additionally,we designed a slicing-amplifying-slicing strategy to enhance the ability to extract features from small craters.To handle redundant predictions,we proposed a new Non-Maximum Suppression with Area Filtering method to fuse the results in overlapping targets within the multi-scale submodels.Finally,our new MSF-CDA method achieved high detection performance,with the Precision,Recall,and F1 score having values of 0.991,0.987,and 0.989,respectively,perfectly addressing the problems induced by the lesser features and sample imbalance of small craters.Our MSF-CDA can provide strong data support for more in-depth study of the geological evolution of the lunar surface and finer geological age estimations.This strategy can also be used to detect other small objects with lesser features and sample imbalance problems.We detected approximately 500,000 impact craters in an area of approximately 214 km2 around the CE-4 landing area.By statistically analyzing the new data,we updated the distribution function of the number and diameter of impact craters.Finally,we identified the most suitable lighting conditions for detecting impact crater targets by analyzing the effect of different lighting conditions on the detection accuracy.
文摘针对短采样宽带信号近似最大似然(approximated maximum likelihood,AML)方位估计计算量大的问题,将马尔科夫链-蒙特卡罗方法与近似最大似然方位估计相结合,提出一种基于Metropolis-Hastings抽样的近似最大似然方位估计方法(AMLMH)。该方法将AML算法的空间谱函数作为信号的概率分布函数,并利用Metropolis-Hastings抽样方法从该概率分布函数中抽样。研究结果表明,AMLMH方法不但保持了原近似最大似然方位估计方法的优良性能,而且减小了计算量。
文摘Bayes统计学能够从空中楼阁的理论广泛地落地于自然科学、经济学和社会学等领域,得益于计算机技术和马尔可夫链蒙特卡洛(Markov chain Monte Carlo,简称MCMC)法的发展。文章介绍了MCMC方法在Bayes推断中的应用,主要讨论了MCMC方法中的独立抽样和随机游走抽样的Metropolis-Hastings(M-H)算法,利用可读性较强的Matlab程序来实现两种抽样算法,并给出了详细的程序实施过程,分析了两种抽样的优缺点。模拟分析结果表明:独立抽样M-H算法比较容易实施,但是要求建议分布和后验分布的吻合度较高,否则计算效率低下,而且模拟效果不理想;随机游走抽样的M-H算法不需要建议分布接近后验分布,模拟效果也比较好,因此,克服了独立抽样算法的不足,适用范围更广。
基金The National Key Research and Development Program of China under contract No.2021YFC3101404the National Natural Science Foundation of China under contract Nos 42106068,42376052,42276064 and 42276075+1 种基金the Foundation of State Key Laboratory of Submarine Geoscience under contract No.sglkfkt2025-2the Zhejiang Provincial Natural Science Foundation of China under contract No.LZ23D060004.
文摘The ocean bottom seismograph(OBS)is a powerful device deployed on the seafloor for acquiring marine seismic data,capable of detecting the multi-scale Earth’s interiors from submarine sediments to the mantle.Due to the frequent use of free-fall deployment,it is challenging to accurately track its precise position.Additionally,the internal crystal oscillator clock of the OBS has limited accuracy,resulting in clock drift for long-term work on the seabed.To improve the reliability of OBS detections,it is crucial to calculate the precise OBS location and time correction.Focusing on accurately determining OBS position and timing,this study developed a positioning method that integrates time correction based on the Markov Chain Monte Carlo(MCMC)algorithm,utilizing travel times of direct water waves triggered by two-dimensional(2-D)shot lines or three-dimensional(3-D)airgun arrays.This newly developed method can simultaneously estimate accurate OBS location and time correction,incorporating bathymetric data into the inversion procedures to improve sampling efficiency and enhance the reliability of the final results.Synthetic tests with appropriate noise levels are performed independently to evaluate the feasibility and reliability of our method,indicating that it is robust enough to determine OBS location and time correction precisely.Finally,we use travel-time data recorded at three OBSs deployed in the Southwest Indian Ridge to relocate locations and calculate time corrections.The results exhibit high consistency when using 2-D and 3-D shot data,indicating that high-resolution bathymetric data plays a fingerprint role in inversion to evaluate precise OBS location and time correction.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.60172028).
文摘A fast MUltiple SIgnal Classification (MUSIC) spectrum peak search algorithm is devised, which regards the power of the MUSIC spectrum function as target distribution up to a constant of proportionality, and uses Metropolis-Hastings (MH) sampler, one of the most popular Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) techniques, to sample from it. The proposed method reduces greatly the tremendous computation and storage costs in conventional MUSIC techniques i.e., about two and four orders of magnitude in computation and storage costs under the conditions of the experiment in the paper respectively.
文摘This paper mainly talks about a popular approach of volatility of a GARCH-type model in R, while the disturbances are independent and have identical Student-t distribution. It uses the Metropolis-Hastings method to perform the computations and gives the programs in details in R.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(NSFC)under Grant(No.51677058).
文摘Precisely estimating the state of health(SOH)of lithium-ion batteries is essential for battery management systems(BMS),as it plays a key role in ensuring the safe and reliable operation of battery systems.However,current SOH estimation methods often overlook the valuable temperature information that can effectively characterize battery aging during capacity degradation.Additionally,the Elman neural network,which is commonly employed for SOH estimation,exhibits several drawbacks,including slow training speed,a tendency to become trapped in local minima,and the initialization of weights and thresholds using pseudo-random numbers,leading to unstable model performance.To address these issues,this study addresses the challenge of precise and effective SOH detection by proposing a method for estimating the SOH of lithium-ion batteries based on differential thermal voltammetry(DTV)and an SSA-Elman neural network.Firstly,two health features(HFs)considering temperature factors and battery voltage are extracted fromthe differential thermal voltammetry curves and incremental capacity curves.Next,the Sparrow Search Algorithm(SSA)is employed to optimize the initial weights and thresholds of the Elman neural network,forming the SSA-Elman neural network model.To validate the performance,various neural networks,including the proposed SSA-Elman network,are tested using the Oxford battery aging dataset.The experimental results demonstrate that the method developed in this study achieves superior accuracy and robustness,with a mean absolute error(MAE)of less than 0.9%and a rootmean square error(RMSE)below 1.4%.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(11971211,12171388).
文摘Complex network models are frequently employed for simulating and studyingdiverse real-world complex systems.Among these models,scale-free networks typically exhibit greater fragility to malicious attacks.Consequently,enhancing the robustness of scale-free networks has become a pressing issue.To address this problem,this paper proposes a Multi-Granularity Integration Algorithm(MGIA),which aims to improve the robustness of scale-free networks while keeping the initial degree of each node unchanged,ensuring network connectivity and avoiding the generation of multiple edges.The algorithm generates a multi-granularity structure from the initial network to be optimized,then uses different optimization strategies to optimize the networks at various granular layers in this structure,and finally realizes the information exchange between different granular layers,thereby further enhancing the optimization effect.We propose new network refresh,crossover,and mutation operators to ensure that the optimized network satisfies the given constraints.Meanwhile,we propose new network similarity and network dissimilarity evaluation metrics to improve the effectiveness of the optimization operators in the algorithm.In the experiments,the MGIA enhances the robustness of the scale-free network by 67.6%.This improvement is approximately 17.2%higher than the optimization effects achieved by eight currently existing complex network robustness optimization algorithms.
基金supported by Yunnan Provincial Basic Research Project(202401AT070344,202301AT070443)National Natural Science Foundation of China(62263014,52207105)+1 种基金Yunnan Lancang-Mekong International Electric Power Technology Joint Laboratory(202203AP140001)Major Science and Technology Projects in Yunnan Province(202402AG050006).
文摘Accurate short-term wind power forecast technique plays a crucial role in maintaining the safety and economic efficiency of smart grids.Although numerous studies have employed various methods to forecast wind power,there remains a research gap in leveraging swarm intelligence algorithms to optimize the hyperparameters of the Transformer model for wind power prediction.To improve the accuracy of short-term wind power forecast,this paper proposes a hybrid short-term wind power forecast approach named STL-IAOA-iTransformer,which is based on seasonal and trend decomposition using LOESS(STL)and iTransformer model optimized by improved arithmetic optimization algorithm(IAOA).First,to fully extract the power data features,STL is used to decompose the original data into components with less redundant information.The extracted components as well as the weather data are then input into iTransformer for short-term wind power forecast.The final predicted short-term wind power curve is obtained by combining the predicted components.To improve the model accuracy,IAOA is employed to optimize the hyperparameters of iTransformer.The proposed approach is validated using real-generation data from different seasons and different power stations inNorthwest China,and ablation experiments have been conducted.Furthermore,to validate the superiority of the proposed approach under different wind characteristics,real power generation data fromsouthwestChina are utilized for experiments.Thecomparative results with the other six state-of-the-art prediction models in experiments show that the proposed model well fits the true value of generation series and achieves high prediction accuracy.
