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Stability evaluation of the tunnel portal slope based on improved unascertained measure method
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作者 ZHANG Cengceng HUANG Shibing +1 位作者 ZHENG Luobin LI Wen 《Journal of Mountain Science》 2025年第6期2261-2275,共15页
The stability of the tunnel portal slope is crucial for ensuring safe tunnel construction.Thus,a sound stability evaluation is of significance.Given the unique geological characteristics of tunnel portal slopes,it is ... The stability of the tunnel portal slope is crucial for ensuring safe tunnel construction.Thus,a sound stability evaluation is of significance.Given the unique geological characteristics of tunnel portal slopes,it is necessary to establish a specific evaluation indicator system that differs from those used for ordinary slopes.Based on the unascertained measure method,uncertainties in the indicator are addressed by introducing the left and right half cloud asymmetric cloud model to optimize the linear membership function.The subjectivity of confidence criterion level identification is also improved by using the Euclidean distance method.Thus,a stability evaluation model for the tunnel portal slope is established based on the improved unascertained measure method.Finally,using the collected tunnel portal slope data,the results of four evaluation methods are compared with the safety factor levels.The evaluation methods include the traditional unascertained measure method,the method improved by using the left and right half cloud asymmetric cloud model,the method improved by using the Euclidean distance method,and the method improved by using both the left and right half cloud asymmetric cloud model and the Euclidean distance method.The results show that the accuracy rates of these four methods are 50%,55%,85%,and 90%,respectively.Among them,the joint improvement method has the slightest deviation,with only one level,while the other three methods had deviations of two levels.This result verifies the stability and effectiveness of the joint improvement method,providing a reference for tunnel portal slope stability evaluation. 展开更多
关键词 Tunnel portal slope Stability evaluation Improved unascertained measure method left and right half cloud asymmetric cloud model Euclidean distance method
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基于云模型的黄河故道砀山酥梨气候适宜性分析 被引量:14
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作者 李德 周文麟 +1 位作者 孙义 孙惠合 《中国农业气象》 CSCD 北大核心 2017年第5期308-320,共13页
选取黄河故道砀山酥梨代表性产地砀山县为样点,利用梨树物候期长期定位观测资料和气象监测数据,基于云模型理论建立了光、温、水气候适宜度。采用加权综合法和几何平均法,确定不同物候期和年际气候适宜度。结果表明,日照适宜度可由左半... 选取黄河故道砀山酥梨代表性产地砀山县为样点,利用梨树物候期长期定位观测资料和气象监测数据,基于云模型理论建立了光、温、水气候适宜度。采用加权综合法和几何平均法,确定不同物候期和年际气候适宜度。结果表明,日照适宜度可由左半云,气温与降水适宜度可由梯形云来刻画。综合气候适宜度与梨果实际单产、气候产量和单株产量的相关系数分别为0.4452(P<0.05)、0.3734和0.5620(P<0.01)。1961-2015年,砀山酥梨气候适宜度变化趋势不明显,但1961-1989年和1990-2010年分别为气候适宜度偏高与偏低时段,1987年为气候适宜度累计距平最大年份。研究期间,气温适宜度呈极显著增加趋势,每10a约增加0.0274。日照与降水适宜度无明显变化趋势,降水适宜度平均值比日照和气温适宜度低,且变异系数是日照和气温适宜度变异系数的4倍。各物候期气候适宜度未呈现趋势性变化,但萌芽期和花期的气候适宜度偏低,在0.50~0.53,且变异系数较大,在45.0~57.0。其它物候期气候适宜度和变异系数相对偏小。在气候变化背景下,气温升高对梨果生长有利,砀山酥梨生产中应加强萌芽-花期的管理,以增强梨树的气候适宜性。 展开更多
关键词 云模型 梯形云 左半云 光、温、水气候适宜度 砀山酥梨
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