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A model of regional economic development with increasing returns
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作者 QIAN Edward Y. YAO Yao-jun CHEN Gary 《Journal of Zhejiang University-Science A(Applied Physics & Engineering)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2007年第1期164-170,共7页
This paper develops mathematically and empirically tractable regional and interregional model of economic devel-opment with increasing returns to scale (IRS) under the neoclassical assumptions. A one-sector, two-regio... This paper develops mathematically and empirically tractable regional and interregional model of economic devel-opment with increasing returns to scale (IRS) under the neoclassical assumptions. A one-sector, two-region model in which one region exhibits IRS is presented and the whole nation presents constant returns to scale. The development of the local IRS economy is shown to be constrained to a “moving equilibrium” path. The preliminary empirical results are sufficiently supportive of the argument to encourage further research along the lines of the model. In particular, the neoclassical model does not predict negative coefficients on the real rental value of capital in regressions explaining population or employment relative to that in the nation. 展开更多
关键词 Economic development increasing returns Moving equilibrium
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Key technologies for increasing production based on the best practices of major shale oil and gas basins 被引量:1
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作者 Jon Jincai Zhang Zhihui Fan 《Energy Geoscience》 2025年第3期1-14,共14页
Key technologies that make productivity increase are revealed through analyzing the best practices and production data in major shale basins of North America.Trends of the key technologies and optimization designs for... Key technologies that make productivity increase are revealed through analyzing the best practices and production data in major shale basins of North America.Trends of the key technologies and optimization designs for shale oil and gas development are summarized and analyzed based on drilling and completion operations and well data.These technologies mainly include:(1)Optimizing well design and hydraulic fracturing design,including reducing cluster spacing,increasing proppant and fracturing fluid volumes,optimizing horizontal well lateral length and fracture stage length.The most effective method is to reduce cluster spacing to an optimized length.The second most effective method is to optimally increase proppant volumes.(2)Placing horizontal wells in the sweet spots and drilling the wells parallel or close to the minimum horizontal stress direction.(3)Using cube development with optimized well spacing to maximize resource recovery and reduce well interferences.Plus,in-situ stress impacts on hydraulic fracture propagation and hydrocarbon production are addressed.Determination of formation breakdown pressure is studied by considering the impacts of in-situ stresses,drilling and perforation directions.Whether or not the hydraulic fracturing can generate orthogonal fracture networks is also discussed.The key technologies and optimization design parameters proposed in this paper can be applied to guide new well placement,drilling and completion designs,and hydraulic fracture operations to increase productivity. 展开更多
关键词 Shale oil and gas Productivity increase Well design optimization In-situ stresses Hydraulic fracturing Cluster spacing and proppant Cube development
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A novel intelligent optimization and guidance method for blast furnace oriented to increasing yield of hot metal
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作者 Yi-fan Duan Ran Liu +6 位作者 Xiao-jie Liu Hong-wei Li Xin Li Hong-yang Li Jun Zhao Hao-nan Wang Qing Lv 《Journal of Iron and Steel Research International》 2025年第11期3790-3816,共27页
In the traditional blast furnace(BF)ironmaking process in China,a notable deviation exists between the theoretical and actual yield of hot metal,leading to unexpected iron loss and restricting the improvement of produ... In the traditional blast furnace(BF)ironmaking process in China,a notable deviation exists between the theoretical and actual yield of hot metal,leading to unexpected iron loss and restricting the improvement of production capacity,which cannot adapt to the increasingly intensified smelting rhythm.Focusing on a BF in a Chinese steel enterprise,a deep neural network algorithm was designed to model the impact of multiple parameters on actual yield of hot metal in a single BF smelting cycle,successfully accomplishing the theoretical computation and real-time prediction of yield of hot metal for subsequent,unknown BF smelting cycle.Test results show that the proposed algorithm demonstrates an impressive prediction accuracy of 86.7% within an error range of±10 t and can swiftly complete the training and convergence process in 32.5 s.By integrating prediction results with Nomogram,a regulatory mechanism was engineered to minimize the deviation between theoretical and actual yield of hot metal.This mechanism ensures the yield enhancement of hot metal through dynamic adjustments of BF operational parameters.Industrial-scale application experiments confirmed that the intelligent operation and optimization system,developed in the laboratory,can maintain the yield deviation of hot metal within a stable range of 30 t,achieving a maximum reduction in iron loss rate of 17.65%compared to that before system operation.The findings provide robust support for the yield increase and efficiency improvement of the experimental BF. 展开更多
关键词 Blast furnace Production increase Dynamic adjustment Blast furnace operational parameter Hot metal yield Intelligent algorithm
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Impact of aerosol-radiation interaction and heterogeneous chemistry on the winter decreasing PM_(2.5)and increasing O_(3)in Eastern China 2014–2020
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作者 Yasong Li Tijian Wang +4 位作者 Qin’geng Wang Mengmeng Li Yawei Qu Hao Wu Min Xie 《Journal of Environmental Sciences》 2025年第5期469-483,共15页
In the context of the prevalent winter air quality issues in China marked by declining PM_(2.5)and rising O_(3),this study employed amodified WRF-Chem model to examine the aerosol radiation interaction(ARI),heterogene... In the context of the prevalent winter air quality issues in China marked by declining PM_(2.5)and rising O_(3),this study employed amodified WRF-Chem model to examine the aerosol radiation interaction(ARI),heterogeneous chemistry(AHC),and their combined impact(ALL)on the variations in O_(3)and PM_(2.5)during the 2014–2020 in eastern China.Our analysis confirmed that ARI curtailed O_(3)while elevating PM_(2.5).AHC reduced O_(3)through heterogeneous absorption of NOx and hydroxideswhile notably fostering fine-grained sulfate,resulting in a PM_(2.5)increase.Emission reductions mitigated the inhibitory impact of ARI on meteorological fields and photolysis rates.Emission reduction individually without aerosol feedback led to a 5.43 ppb O_(3)increase and a 22.89μg/m^(3)PM_(2.5)decrease.ARI and AHC amplified the emission-reduction-induced(ERI)O_(3)rise by 1.83 and 0.31 ppb,respectively.The response of ARI to emission diminution brought about a modest PM_(2.5)increase of 0.31μg/m^(3).Conversely,AHC,acting as the primary contributor,caused a noteworthy PM_(2.5)decrease of 4.60μg/m^(3).As efforts concentrate on reducing PM_(2.5),the promotion of ARI on PM_(2.5)counterbalanced the efficacy of emission reduction and the AHC-induced strengthening of PM_(2.5)decrease.The ALL magnified the ERI O_(3)increase by 38.9%and PM_(2.5)decrease by 18.7%.Sensitivity experiments with different degrees of emission reduction demonstrated a consistent linear relationship between the ALL-induced enhancement of O_(3)increase and PM_(2.5)decrease to the ERI PM_(2.5)decline.Our investigation revealed the complex connection between emissions and aerosol feedback in influencing air quality. 展开更多
关键词 Aerosol-radiation interaction Heterogeneous chemistry O_(3)increase PM_(2.5)decrease Emission reduction
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Existence of Solutions for Volterra Singular Integral Equations in the Class of Exponentially Increasing Functions
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作者 ZHANG Wen-wen LI Ping-run 《Chinese Quarterly Journal of Mathematics》 2025年第2期135-147,共13页
The goal of this paper is to investigate the theory of Noether solvability for Volterra singular integral equations(VSIEs)with convolution and Cauchy kernels in a more general function class.To obtain the analytic sol... The goal of this paper is to investigate the theory of Noether solvability for Volterra singular integral equations(VSIEs)with convolution and Cauchy kernels in a more general function class.To obtain the analytic solutions,we transform such equations into boundary value problems with discontinuous coefficients by the properties of Fourier analysis.In view of the analytical Riemann-Hilbert method,the generalized Liouville theorem and Sokhotski-Plemelj formula,we get the uniqueness and existence of solutions for such problems,and study the asymptotic property of solutions at nodes.Therefore,this paper improves the theory of singular integral equations and boundary value problems. 展开更多
关键词 Volterra singular integral equations The theory of Noether solvability The class of exponentially increasing functions Riemann-Hilbert method
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The Effects of Increasing Production of Endophytes Phomopsis B3 on Rice 被引量:18
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作者 戴传超 袁志林 +2 位作者 杨启银 史青山 李霞 《Agricultural Science & Technology》 CAS 2008年第1期39-42,48,共5页
After insufflating extended endophytes phomopsis B3 ferment diluent on seedling bed of rice, the effect of microbial inoculum on rice growth was studied. The investigation result of seedlings before transplanting seed... After insufflating extended endophytes phomopsis B3 ferment diluent on seedling bed of rice, the effect of microbial inoculum on rice growth was studied. The investigation result of seedlings before transplanting seedling showed that leaf age,the number of green leaves,the number of tiller of individual plant and the weight of per 100 fresh plants in microbial inoculum treatment group increased 0.11,0.12 ,0. 03 and 2.6 g respectively compared with those of control group. 20 days after transplanting, increased tiller number in microbial inoculum treatment group was 55 500 hm^2 more than that in control group. 30 days after transplanting, tiller number in microbial inoculum treatment group was 42 000 hm^2 more than that in control group. In harvest season, the yield ,weight of I 0130 grain and seed-setting rate increased 300 kg/hm2, 0. 7 g and 0. 23% respectively compared with these in control group. The result of preliminary study demonstrated that microbial inoculum confected by endophytes phomopsis B3 could increase the number of strong seedling and yield. 展开更多
关键词 ENDOPHYTES PHOMOPSIS RICE Yield increasing Strong seedling
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Construction controlling and strength increasing characteristics of locally developed epoxy asphalt mixture 被引量:7
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作者 陈春 钱振东 陈磊磊 《Journal of Southeast University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2011年第1期61-64,共4页
The construction controlling elements,including construction performance at low ambient temperatures,reserved time ranges,and the strength increasing rule,for locally developed epoxy asphalt mixture(LDEAM) are studi... The construction controlling elements,including construction performance at low ambient temperatures,reserved time ranges,and the strength increasing rule,for locally developed epoxy asphalt mixture(LDEAM) are studied through laboratory tests.Air void and Marshall stability are chosen as the performance measures for evaluating the construction quality.The wheel rolling test is used to simulate the actual construction situations,while the Marshall test and the Brookfield viscosity test are adopted to study the strength increasing rule.The experimental results reveal that the LDEAM can be constructed under a low ambient temperature condition of 10℃,and its longest reserved time is 70 min at a reserved temperature of 120℃.Test also shows that the strength of the LDEAM increases with time and temperature before cured.Finally,the theoretical reason for the strength increasing rule is analyzed on the basis of the organic chemistry theory. 展开更多
关键词 construction characteristics locally developed epoxy asphalt strength increasing characteristics
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Performance of bottleneck shifting for remanufacturing system considering returns' quality grading 被引量:2
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作者 郑玉巧 苏春 +1 位作者 曹白雪 施杨梅 《Journal of Southeast University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2015年第4期516-521,共6页
Aimed at the remanufacturing system, the effect of the uncertainty of returns' quality on bottleneck shifting is investigated. A novel definition of bottleneck station is presented and the probability of a station be... Aimed at the remanufacturing system, the effect of the uncertainty of returns' quality on bottleneck shifting is investigated. A novel definition of bottleneck station is presented and the probability of a station becoming a bottleneck is also given. By calculating the effective output, the effective operation time (EOT) and the ratio of EOT of each station, the system's current bottleneck of effective output time is determined. By calculating the probability coefficient of variation and index of bottleneck shifting, the quantitative performance of bottleneck shifting is obtained. Discrete event simulation and the experiment design method are adopted to simulate the system, in which the proportion of quality grading, repair rates and process routes are considered. The case study shows that the uncertainty of returns' quality greatly increases the probability of bottleneck shifting, and with the increase of the discrete degree of the returns' repair rate, the bottleneck shifting phenomenon is more obvious. Furthermore, bottleneck shifting is closely related to the process route of the dominating returns' quality grade. 展开更多
关键词 bottleneck shifting REMANUFACTURING returns quality grading UNCERTAINTY
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Price and retailer's service level decision in a supply chain under consumer returns 被引量:3
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作者 刘健 王海燕 《Journal of Southeast University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2013年第2期217-221,共5页
To investigate the optimal retail price and service level in a supply chain under consumer returns, a consumer returns model under the retailer's service provision is built. The optimal decision results and optimal p... To investigate the optimal retail price and service level in a supply chain under consumer returns, a consumer returns model under the retailer's service provision is built. The optimal decision results and optimal profits are obtained in the vertical integration game and the manufacturer Stackelberg game, respectively. Through comparing the optimal profits with service provision with those of no service provision, the boundary conditions that the retailer's service should be provided are derived. The results show that in the manufacturer Stackelberg game, the optimal profit of the retailer and the manufacturer with service is always superior to that of a no service provision. However, in the vertical integration game, the supply chain can only benefit from the service under certain conditions. Finally, through numerical examples, the impacts of the cost for providing services and the consumer return rate on the optimal decisions are analyzed. 展开更多
关键词 pricing decision service level consumer returns Stackelberg game vertical integration
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DUAL RANDOM MODEL OF INCREASING ANNUITY 被引量:6
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作者 He Wenjiong Zhang YiEconomic College & Science College, Zhejiang Univ.(Xixi Campus),Hangzhou 310028. 《Applied Mathematics(A Journal of Chinese Universities)》 SCIE CSCD 2001年第4期430-438,共9页
The dual random models about the life insurance and social pension insurance have received considerable attention in the recent articles on actuarial theory and applications. This paper discusses a general kind of inc... The dual random models about the life insurance and social pension insurance have received considerable attention in the recent articles on actuarial theory and applications. This paper discusses a general kind of increasing annuity based on its force of interest accumulation function as a general random process. The dual random model of the present value of the benefits of the increasing annuity has been set, and their moments have been calculated under certain conditions. 展开更多
关键词 increasing annuity random model independent increment process.
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The Relative Impact of Regional Scale Land Cover Change and Increasing CO_2 over China 被引量:10
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作者 MeiZHAO AndrewJ.PITMAN 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2005年第1期58-68,共11页
A series of 17-yr equilibrium simulations using the NCAR COM3 (T42resolution) were performed to investigate the regional scale impacts of land cover change andincreasing CO_2 over China. Simulations with natural and c... A series of 17-yr equilibrium simulations using the NCAR COM3 (T42resolution) were performed to investigate the regional scale impacts of land cover change andincreasing CO_2 over China. Simulations with natural and current land cover at CO_2 levels of 280,355, 430, and 505 ppmv were conducted. Results show statistically significant changes in majorclimate fields (e.g. temperature and surface wind speed) on a 15-yr average following land coverchange. We also found increases in the maximum temperature and in the diurnal temperature range dueto land cover change. Increases in CO_2 affect both the maximum and minimum temperature so thatchanges in the diurnal range are small. Both land cover change and CO_2 change also impact thefrequency distribution of precipitation with increasing CO_2 tending to lead to more intenseprecipitation and land cover change leading to less intense precipitation―indeed, the impact ofland cover change typically had the opposite effect versus the impacts of CO_2. Our results providesupport for the inclusion of future land cover change scenarios in long-term transitory climatemodelling experiments of the 21st Century. Our results also support the inclusion of land surfacemodels that can represent future land cover changes resulting from an ecological response to naturalclimate variability or increasing CO_2. Overall, we show that land cover change can have asignificant impact on the regional scale climate of China, and that regionally, this impact is of asimilar magnitude to increases in CO_2 of up to about 430 ppmv. This means that that the impact ofland cover change must be accounted for in detection and attribution studies over China. 展开更多
关键词 land cover change CO_2 level surface air temperature intensity ofprecipitation return value
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SIMULATING THE RESPONSE OF NON-UNIFORMITY OF PRECIPITATION EXTREMES OVER CHINA TO CO_2 INCREASING BY MIROC_HIRES MODEL 被引量:4
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作者 朱坚 黄丹青 +1 位作者 周鹏 林惠娟 《Journal of Tropical Meteorology》 SCIE 2013年第4期331-339,共9页
The response of non-uniformity of precipitation extremes over China to doubled CO2has been analyzed using the daily precipitation simulated by a coupled general circulation model,MIROC_Hires.The major conclusions are ... The response of non-uniformity of precipitation extremes over China to doubled CO2has been analyzed using the daily precipitation simulated by a coupled general circulation model,MIROC_Hires.The major conclusions are as follows:under the CO2increasing scenario(SRES A1B),the climatological precipitation extremes are concentrated over the southern China,while they are uniformly distributed over the northern China.For interannual variability,the concentration of precipitation extremes is small over the southern China,but it is opposite over the northern China.The warming effects on the horizontal and vertical scales are different over the northern and southern part of China.Furthermore,the atmospheric stability is also different between the two parts of China.The heterogeneous warming is one of the possible reasons for the changes in non-uniformity of precipitation extremes over China. 展开更多
关键词 precipitation EXTREMES concentration density and PERIOD CO2 INCREASE asymmetric pattern
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Effects of returns on composition,microstructure and mechanical properties of GH4169 superalloy 被引量:3
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作者 Yong-liang Pu Sheng-zhong Kou +3 位作者 Zhi-dong Zhang Tian-wen Dong Xiao-fan Guo Hong-xia Qu 《China Foundry》 SCIE 2017年第4期244-250,共7页
To recycle the returned alloy effectively, effects of returns proportion on alloy composition, microstructure and compression properties of superalloy GH4169 were studied by means of scanning electron microscopy(SEM),... To recycle the returned alloy effectively, effects of returns proportion on alloy composition, microstructure and compression properties of superalloy GH4169 were studied by means of scanning electron microscopy(SEM), energy dispersive spectroscopy(EDS) and thermal-mechanical simulator. The results show that returns addition has no significant effect on the main alloy elements content and the principle precipitates, but increases the volume fraction of Al_2O_3 inclusions, resulting in the increase of oxygen level of GH4169 alloy. Returns addition does not change the elastic and plastic deformation process at room temperature or at 1,150 °C, but high returns proportion GH4169 alloy shows improved compression strength and yield strength. The alloy with 100% returns shows a maximum compression strength 1,153.45 MPa at room temperature, while the alloy with 80% returns has a maximum value 69.3 MPa at 1,150 °C. Returns addition increases fluctuation range and reduces the stability of yield strength and compression strength of GH4169 alloy at room temperature. It is noted that the volume fraction and the size of Al_2O_3, and the fraction of Laves phase reach their maximum values in the GH4169 alloy with 60% returns, which exhibits maximum yield strength of 516.65 MPa at room temperature and 62.17 MPa at 1,150 °C. 展开更多
关键词 SUPERALLOY returns PROPORTION COMPOSITION MICROSTRUCTURE MECHANICAL PROPERTIES
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Survey on Influence of Tourism Development on Ensuring Supply and Increasing Income of Farmers in Nyingchi 被引量:3
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作者 Hongmei GONG Lianjiu SONG 《Asian Agricultural Research》 2015年第8期48-52 56,56,共6页
Tourism is an essential industry promoting economic development of Nyingchi and also plays a great role in national economy. Increasing people's income and improving living conditions are starting points of promot... Tourism is an essential industry promoting economic development of Nyingchi and also plays a great role in national economy. Increasing people's income and improving living conditions are starting points of promoting tourism development. This survey indicates that tourism in Nyingchi develops rapidly,growth rate of tourists is slightly lower than growth rate of income,and per capita tourist consumption is also increasing. Comparative analysis indicates that tourist resources,traffic condition,tourism propaganda intensity,development intensity of relevant products,and seasonal factor have significant influence on ensuring supply and increasing income of farmers. Further analysis shows that low educational level,weak basic tourism knowledge,backward tourism sanitation,and lagging tourist service infrastructure are major problems and obstacles. Resource advantages of scenic spots,setting foot on structural adjustment of characteristic industry,developing specialized farmer cooperatives and leading enterprises,and deeply exploring intension of tourist culture are major approaches for ensuring supply and increasing income of farmers. In sum,it is urgent and important to strengthen ability of ensuring supply and increasing income in improving people's living conditions and promoting tourism development. 展开更多
关键词 Nyingchi TOURISM Ensuring supply and increasing in
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Regioselective oxidation of tetracycline by permanganate through alternating susceptible moiety and increasing electron donating ability 被引量:3
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作者 Xiaohua Jiang William AJefferson +6 位作者 Dean Song Hanyang Cheng Fengmin Li Zhimin Qiang Aiqian Zhang Huijuan Liu Jiuhui Qu 《Journal of Environmental Sciences》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2020年第1期281-288,共8页
Permanganate has attracted much attention in wide range of chemistry and particularly in degradation of environmental pollutants.However,few studies have discussed the feature of regioselective reactivity of permangan... Permanganate has attracted much attention in wide range of chemistry and particularly in degradation of environmental pollutants.However,few studies have discussed the feature of regioselective reactivity of permanganate with specific moiety of the target compound.Herein,we studied the reaction between permanganate and tetracycline that is an emerging micropollutant with different species containing several electron-rich groups.The second-order rate constants increased from 6.0 to 9.0 and could be quantitatively modeled by considering the speciation of both reactants,yielding kTC0=11.7(mol/L)^-1 sec^-1,kTC-=35.7(mol/L)^-1 sec^-1,kTC2-=43.1(mol/L)^-1 sec^-1 for individual reaction channels.Degradation products were then identified as the hydroxylated and demethylated compounds.The result suggested a rate-limiting step of simple hydroxylation at the phenolic and/or alkene moieties,while the demethylation should be caused by the unavoidably formed manganese oxide via single electron oxidation.This is supported by the DFT calculation,indicating the primary oxidation of phenolic group of TC0 with activation barrier of 44.5 kcal/mol and of alkene group of TC-and TC2-with activation barriers of 44.0 and 43.4 kcal/mol,respectively.This is in agreement with the experimental results,implying the alternation of regioselectivity associated with the deprotonation process.The result was further supported by performing the Fukui function and electrostatic potential analysis,reflecting the more probable site and better electron donating tendency beneficial to the permanganate oxidation. 展开更多
关键词 Permanganate oxidation of tetracycline Regioselective reactivity Rate-limiting hydroxylation step Altered susceptible moiety Increased electronegativity
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The chaotic behavior among the oil prices, expectation of investors and stock returns: TAR-TR-GARCH copula and TAR-TR-TGARCH copula 被引量:3
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作者 Melike Bildirici 《Petroleum Science》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2019年第1期217-228,共12页
This paper has two aims. The first one is to investigate the existence of chaotic structures in the oil prices, expectations of investors and stock returns by combining the Lyapunov exponent and Kolmogorov entropy, an... This paper has two aims. The first one is to investigate the existence of chaotic structures in the oil prices, expectations of investors and stock returns by combining the Lyapunov exponent and Kolmogorov entropy, and the second one is to analyze the dependence behavior of oil prices, expectations of investors and stock returns from January 02, 1990, to June06, 2017. Lyapunov exponents and Kolmogorov entropy determined that the oil price and the stock return series exhibited chaotic behavior. TAR-TR-GARCH and TAR-TR-TGARCH copula methods were applied to study the co-movement among the selected variables. The results showed significant evidence of nonlinear tail dependence between the volatility of the oil prices, the expectations of investors and the stock returns. Further, upper and lower tail dependence and comovement between the analyzed series could not be rejected. Moreover, the TAR-TR-GARCH and TAR-TR-TGARCH copula methods revealed that the volatility of oil price had crucial effects on the stock returns and on the expectations of investors in the long run. 展开更多
关键词 Oil price Expectations of INVESTORS - Stock returns Chaos Lyapunov exponent Kolmogorov entropy TAR-TR-GARCH and TAR-TR-TGARCH COPULA methods
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China's Latest Moon Mission Returns New Lunar Rocks 被引量:5
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作者 Mitch Leslie 《Engineering》 SCIE EI 2021年第5期544-546,共3页
After a quick visit to the Moon in December 2020,China’s Chang'e 5 mission has delivered back to Earth the first new specimens of lunar rock and soil since 1976[1].Scooped from a volcanic location not sampled bef... After a quick visit to the Moon in December 2020,China’s Chang'e 5 mission has delivered back to Earth the first new specimens of lunar rock and soil since 1976[1].Scooped from a volcanic location not sampled before,the material may provide insights into the Moon's evolution and the history of the solar system.The mission also demonstrates a new level of technical sophistication for the Chinese space program and provides a blueprint for future expeditions to return samples from other bodies in the solar system,said Jim Head,a professor of geological sciences at Brown University in Providence,RI,USA. 展开更多
关键词 RETURN MOON INSIGHT
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Forecasting increasing rate of power consumption based on immune genetic algorithm combined with neural network 被引量:1
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作者 杨淑霞 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2008年第S2期327-330,共4页
Considering the factors affecting the increasing rate of power consumption, the BP neural network structure and the neural network forecasting model of the increasing rate of power consumption were established. Immune... Considering the factors affecting the increasing rate of power consumption, the BP neural network structure and the neural network forecasting model of the increasing rate of power consumption were established. Immune genetic algorithm was applied to optimizing the weight from input layer to hidden layer, from hidden layer to output layer, and the threshold value of neuron nodes in hidden and output layers. Finally, training the related data of the increasing rate of power consumption from 1980 to 2000 in China, a nonlinear network model between the increasing rate of power consumption and influencing factors was obtained. The model was adopted to forecasting the increasing rate of power consumption from 2001 to 2005, and the average absolute error ratio of forecasting results is 13.521 8%. Compared with the ordinary neural network optimized by genetic algorithm, the results show that this method has better forecasting accuracy and stability for forecasting the increasing rate of power consumption. 展开更多
关键词 IMMUNE GENETIC algorithm neural network power CONSUMPTION increasing RATE FORECAST
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Modeling the Roles of Precipitation Increasing in Glacier Systems Responding to Climate Warming—Taking Xinjiang Glaciated Region as Example 被引量:3
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作者 WANG Xin XIE Zichu +3 位作者 LIU Shiyin TAO Jianjun HAN Yongshun YANG Yuelong 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2005年第4期306-312,共7页
The studies on prediction of climate in Xinjiang almost show that the precipitation would increase in the coming 50 years, although there were surely some uncertainties in precipitation predictions. On the basis of th... The studies on prediction of climate in Xinjiang almost show that the precipitation would increase in the coming 50 years, although there were surely some uncertainties in precipitation predictions. On the basis of the structure of glacier system and nature of equilibrium line altitude at steady state (ELAo), a functional model of the glacier system responding to climate changes was established, and it simultaneously involved the rising of summer mean temperature and increasing of mean precipitation. The results from the functional model under the climatic scenarios with temperature increasing rates of 0.01, 0.03 and 0.05 K/year indicated that the precipitation increasing would play an evident role in glacier system responding to climate change: if temperature become 1 ℃ higher, the precipitation would be increased by 10%, which can slow down the glaciers retreating rate in the area by 4 %, accelerate runoff increasing rate by 8 % and depress the ELAo rising gradient by 24 m in northern Xinjiang glacier system where semi-continental glaciers dominate, while it has corresponding values of only 1%, 5 % and 18m respectively in southern Xinjiang glacier system, where extremely continental glaciers dominate. 展开更多
关键词 Glacier system climate warming precipitation increasing role
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The Buffer Capability of the Ocean to Increasing Atmospheric CO_2 被引量:7
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作者 徐永福 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 1992年第4期501-510,共10页
The CO_2-seawater system and the method for calculating the partial pressure of CO2 (pCO2) in seawater are studied. The buffer capability of the ocean to increasing atmospheric CO2 is expressed in terms of the differe... The CO_2-seawater system and the method for calculating the partial pressure of CO2 (pCO2) in seawater are studied. The buffer capability of the ocean to increasing atmospheric CO2 is expressed in terms of the differential buffer factor and buffer index. Dissolutions of aragonite and calcite have a significant inffluence on the differential buffer factor. The trend of change in the buffer factor is obtained by a box model. 展开更多
关键词 The Buffer Capability of the Ocean to increasing Atmospheric CO2 CO
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