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Relationship between topographic variables and live aboveground tree biomass on a large temperate forest plot
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作者 Dawn Lemke Luben Dimov +3 位作者 Helen Czech Patience Knight William Finch Richard Condit 《Forest Ecosystems》 2025年第5期813-821,共9页
Understanding local variation in forest biomass allows for a better evaluation of broad-scale patterns and interpretation of forest ecosystems’role in carbon dynamics.This study focuses on patterns of aboveground tre... Understanding local variation in forest biomass allows for a better evaluation of broad-scale patterns and interpretation of forest ecosystems’role in carbon dynamics.This study focuses on patterns of aboveground tree biomass within a fully censused 20 ha forest plot in a temperate forest of northern Alabama,USA.We evaluated the relationship between biomass and topography using ridge and valley landforms along with digitally derived moisture and solar radiation indices.Every live woody stem over 1 cm diameter at breast height within this plot was mapped,measured,and identified to species in 2019-2022,and diameter data were used along with speciesspecific wood density to map the aboveground biomass at the scale of 20 m×20 m quadrats.The aboveground tree biomass was 211 Mg·ha^(-1).Other than small stream areas that experienced recent natural disturbances,the total stand biomass was not associated with landform or topographic indices.Dominant species,in contrast,had strong associations with topography.American beech(Fagus grandifolia)and yellow-poplar(Liriodendron tulipfera)dominated the valley landform,with 37% and 54% greater biomass in the valley than their plot average,respectively.Three other dominant species,white oak(Quercus alba),southern shagbark hickory(Carya carolinaeseptentrionalis),and white ash(Fraxinus americana),were more abundant on slopes and benches,thus partitioning the site.Of the six dominant species,only sugar maple(Acer saccharum)was not associated with landform.Moreover,both topographic wetness and potential radiation indices were significant predictors of dominant species biomass within each of the landforms.The study highlights the need to consider species when examining forest productivity in a range of site conditions. 展开更多
关键词 Aboveground tree biomass Paint rock forest dynamics plot Topographic wetness index(TWI) Potential radiation Landform position index
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Spatial and temporal analysis of beta diversity in the Barro Colorado Island forest dynamics plot, Panama 被引量:7
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作者 Pierre Legendre Richard Condit 《Forest Ecosystems》 SCIE CSCD 2019年第1期76-86,共11页
Background: Ecologists are interested in assessing the spatial and temporal variation in ecological surveys repeated over time. This paper compares the 1985 and 2015 surveys of the Barro Colorado Forest Dynamics plot(... Background: Ecologists are interested in assessing the spatial and temporal variation in ecological surveys repeated over time. This paper compares the 1985 and 2015 surveys of the Barro Colorado Forest Dynamics plot(BCI), Panama,divided into 1250(20 m × 20 m) quadrats.Methods, spatial analysis: Total beta diversity was measured as the total variance of the Hellinger-transformed community data throughout the BCI plot. Total beta was partitioned into contributions of individual sites(LCBD indices), which were tested for significance and mapped.Results, spatial analysis: LCBD indices indicated the sites with exceptional community composition. In 1985,they were mostly found in the swamp habitat. In the 2015 survey, none of the swamp quadrats had significant LCBDs.What happened to the tree community in the interval?Methods, temporal analysis: The dissimilarity in community composition in each quadrat was measured between time 1(1985) and time 2(2015). Temporal Beta Indices(TBI) were computed from abundance and presence-absence data and tested for significance. TBI indices can be decomposed into B = species(or abundances-per-species) losses and C = species(or abundances-per-species) gains. B-C plots were produced; they display visually the relative importance of the loss and gain components, through time, across the sites.Results, temporal analysis: In BCI, quadrats with significant TBI indices were found in the swamp area, which is shrinking in importance due to changes to the local climate. A published habitat classification divided the BCI forest plot into six habitat zones. Graphs of the B and C components were produced for each habitat group. Group 4(the swamp) was dominated by species(and abundances-per-species) gains whereas the five other habitat groups were dominated by losses, some groups more than others.Conclusions: We identified the species that had changed the most in abundances in the swamp between T1 and T2.This analysis supported the hypothesis that the swamp is drying out and is invaded by species from the surrounding area. Analysis of the B and C components of temporal beta diversity bring us to the heart of the mechanisms of community change through time: losses(B) and gains(C) of species, losses and gains of individuals of various species. TBI analysis is especially interesting in species-rich communities where we cannot examine the changes in every species individually. 展开更多
关键词 BETA DIVERSITY B-C plotS BCI forest dynamics plot Space-time analysis Temporal BETA DIVERSITY
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Optimal plot design in a multipurpose forest inventory 被引量:1
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作者 Helena M.Henttonen Annika Kangas 《Forest Ecosystems》 SCIE CSCD 2016年第1期37-50,共14页
Background: We explore the factors affecting the optimal plot design (size and type as well as the subsample tree selection strategies within a plot) and their relative importance in defining the optimal plot desig... Background: We explore the factors affecting the optimal plot design (size and type as well as the subsample tree selection strategies within a plot) and their relative importance in defining the optimal plot design in amultipurpose forest inventory. The factors include time used to lay out the plot and to make the tree measurements within the plot, the between-plot variation of each of the variables of interest in the area, and the measurement and model errors for the different variables. Methods: We simulate different plot types and sizes and subsample tree selection strategies on measuredtest areas from North Lapland. The plot types used are fixed-radius, concentric and relascope plots. Weselect the optimal type and size first at plot level using a cost-plus-loss approach and then at cluster level byminimizing the weighted standard error with fixed budget. Results: As relascope plots are ve~/efficient at the plot level for volume and basal area, and fixed-radius plots for stems per ha, the optimal plot type strongly depends on the relative importance of these variables. The concentric plot seems to be a good compromise between these two in many cases. The subsample tree selection strategy was more important in selecting optimal plot than many other factors. In cluster level, the most important factor is the transfer time between plots. Conclusions: While the optimal radius of plots and other parameters were sensitive to the measurement times and other cost factors, the concentric plot type was optimal in almost all studied cases. Subsample tree measurement strategies need further studies, as they were an important cost factor. However, their importance to the precision was not as clear. 展开更多
关键词 SAMPLE plot forest inventory MEASUREMENT COST LOSS
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A Survey of Mycorrhizal Colonization in the 50-ha Korup Forest Dynamic Plot in Cameroon
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作者 Eneke Esoeyang Tambe Bechem George Bindeh Chuyong Belinda Tengu Fon 《American Journal of Plant Sciences》 2014年第10期1403-1415,共13页
A study was carried out in the 50-ha Korup Forest Dynamic Plot in South West Cameroon, to evaluate the diversity of mycorrhizal associations as well as to determine the effect of habitat types on the type of mycorrhiz... A study was carried out in the 50-ha Korup Forest Dynamic Plot in South West Cameroon, to evaluate the diversity of mycorrhizal associations as well as to determine the effect of habitat types on the type of mycorrhizal association. A total of 781 individual trees belonging to 51 families, 165 genera and 252 tree species, were sampled from the four habitat types found in the plot: low drier, hill slope, ridge top and wetland complexes. In each habitat type, all stems ≤ 1 cm depth at breast height had already been tagged, measured, mapped and identified to the species level. Root samples were collected, cleared, stained and examined microscopically for mycorrhizal type. Of the total number of species sampled, 248 (98.41%) formed mycorrhizal associations with only 4 (1.59%) being non mycorrhizal. For mycorrhizal trees, 232 (93.55%) formed exclusively arbuscular mycorrhiza, 10 (4.03%) formed ectomycorrhiza, while 6 (2.42%) formed both ecto- and arbuscular mycorrhiza. The ridge top harbored the least number (152) of mycorrhizal trees while the low drier area harbored the most number (266) of mycorrhizal trees. Although habitat effect was not significant in influencing mycorrhizal colonization of tree species, some tree species did show aggregated patterns in particular habitats. 展开更多
关键词 Korup forest DYNAMIC plot ARBUSCULAR MYCORRHIZA ECTOMYCORRHIZA Cameroon
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Assessment of the State of Forests Based on Joint Statistical Processing of Sentinel-2B Remote Sensing Data and the Data from Network of Ground-Based ICP-Forests Sample Plots
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作者 Alexander S. Alekseev Dmitry M. Chernikhovskii 《Open Journal of Ecology》 2022年第8期513-528,共16页
The research was carried out on the territory of the Karelian Isthmus of the Leningrad Region using Sentinel-2B images and data from a network of ground sample plots. The ground sample plots are located in the studied... The research was carried out on the territory of the Karelian Isthmus of the Leningrad Region using Sentinel-2B images and data from a network of ground sample plots. The ground sample plots are located in the studied territory mainly in a regular manner, laid and surveyed according to the ICP-Forests methodology with some additions. The total area of the sample plots is a small part of the entire study area. One of the objectives of the study was to determine the possibility of using the k-NN (nearest neighbor method) to assess the state of forests throughout the whole studied territory by joint statistical processing of data from ground sample plots and Sentinel-2B imagery. The data of the ground-based sample plots were divided into 2 equal parts, one for the application of the k-NN method, the second for checking the results of the method application. The systematic error in determining the mean damage class of the tree stands on sample plots by the k-NN method turned out to be zero, the random error is equal to one point. These results offer a possibility to determine the state of the forest in the entire study area. The second objective of the study was to examine the possibility of using the short-wave vegetation index (SWVI) to assess the state of forests. As a result, a close statistically reliable dependence of the average score of the state of plantations and the value of the SWVI index was established, which makes it possible to use the established relationship to determine the state of forests throughout the studied territory. The joint use and statistical processing of remotely sensed data and ground-based test areas by the two studied methods make it possible to assess the state of forests throughout the large studied area within the image. The results obtained can be used to monitor the state of forests in large areas and design appropriate forestry protective measures. 展开更多
关键词 Remote Sensing Sentinel-2B Imagery ICP-forest Sample plot Tree Stand Damage Class k-NN (Nearest Neighbor Method) Vegetation Index SWVI Nonlinear Regression Systematic Error Random Error
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Sample Plot Change in the Seventh Review of Continuous National Forest Inventory in Zigui County
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作者 Zhongmei DENG Jiaxuan XIANG +3 位作者 Jun SONG Xueyong QIN Dongwei WANG Lei ZHOU 《Asian Agricultural Research》 2016年第2期61-63,共3页
The following qualitative conclusions of forest resources in Zigui can be drawn by the research on 73 plots and 5 vegetation plots:forest area is increasing; forest growing stock is increasing; the adjustment of fores... The following qualitative conclusions of forest resources in Zigui can be drawn by the research on 73 plots and 5 vegetation plots:forest area is increasing; forest growing stock is increasing; the adjustment of forest category structure is constantly improved; forest quality has been improving; stand structure is optimized continuously; biodiversity has initially appeared. 展开更多
关键词 NATIONAL forest INVENTORY The seventh review in Zigui SAMPLE plot CHANGE
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Coarse woody debris features of a warm temperate deciduous broad-leaved forest,northern China 被引量:2
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作者 Fang Ma Liwen Zhuang +1 位作者 Shunzhong Wang Weiguo Sang 《Journal of Forestry Research》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2021年第3期1105-1114,共10页
Stocking and structural composition of a deciduous broad-leaved forest were determined to predict coarse woody debris quantity by quantifying the empirical relationships between these two attributes.The most ecologica... Stocking and structural composition of a deciduous broad-leaved forest were determined to predict coarse woody debris quantity by quantifying the empirical relationships between these two attributes.The most ecologically significant families by stem density were Salicaceae,Betulaceae,Fagaceae,and Aceraceae.P opulus davidiana was the most dominant species followed by B etula dahurica,Quercus mongolica,and Acer mono.The four species accounted for 69.5%of total stems.Numerous small-diameter species characterized the coarse woody debris showing a reversed J-shaped distribution.The coarse debris of P.davidiana,B.dahurica,and Q.mongolica mainly comprised the 10–20 cm size class,whereas A.mono debris was mainly in the 5–10 cm size class.The spatial patterns of different size classes of coarse woody debris were analyzed using the g-function to determine the size of the tree at its death.The results indicate that the spatial patterns at the 0–50 m scale shifted gradually from an aggregated to a random pattern.For some species,the larger coarse debris might change from an aggregated to a random distribution more easily.Given the importance of coarse woody debris in forest ecosystems,its composition and patterns can improve understanding of community structure and dynamics.The aggregation pattern might be due to density dependence and self-thinning effects,as well as by succession and mortality.The four dominant species across the different size classes showed distinct aggregated distribution features at different spatial scales.This suggests a correlation between the dominant species population,size class,and aggregated distribution of coarse woody debris. 展开更多
关键词 Tree mortality DIVERSITY Size class forest dynamic plot
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Fine-scale activity patterns of large-and medium-sized mammals in a deciduous broadleaf forest in the Qinling Mountains,China 被引量:2
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作者 Yuke Zhang Xiangbo He +3 位作者 Xuehua Liu Melissa Songer Haishan Dang Quanfa Zhang 《Journal of Forestry Research》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2021年第6期2709-2717,共9页
The composition of animal species and interactions among them are widely known to shape ecological communities and fine-scale(e.g.,<1 km)monitoring of animal communities is essential for understanding the relations... The composition of animal species and interactions among them are widely known to shape ecological communities and fine-scale(e.g.,<1 km)monitoring of animal communities is essential for understanding the relationships among animals and plants.Although the co-existence of large-and medium-sized species has been studied across different scales,research on fine-scale interactions of herbivores in deciduous broadleaf forests is limited.Camera trapping of large-and medium-sized mammals was carried out over a 1 year period within a 25 ha deciduous broadleaf forest dynamics plot in the Qinling Mountains,China.Fourteen species of large-and medium-sized mammals,including six carnivores,six ungulates,one primate and one rodent species were found.Kernel density estimations were used to analyse the diel or 24 h activity patterns of all species with more than 40 independent detections and general linear models were developed to explore the spatial relationships among the species.The combination of overlapping diel activity patterns and spatial associations showed obvious niche separation among six species:giant panda(Ailuropoda melanoleuca David),takin(Budorcas taxicolor Hodgson),Reeves’s muntjac(Muntiacus reevesi Ogilby),tufted deer(Elaphodus cephalophus Milne-Edwards),Chinese serow(Capricornis milneedwardsii David)and wild boar(Sus scrofa Linnaeus).Long-term fine-scale monitoring is useful for providing information about the co-existence of species and their interactions.The results demonstrate the importance for fine-scale monitoring of animals and plants for improving understanding of species interactions and community dynamics. 展开更多
关键词 Large-and medium-sized mammals Fine-scale interaction Camera trapping Spatiotemporal patterns forest dynamics plots Qinling mountains
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Drivers of the differentiation between broad-leaved trees and shrubs in the shift from evergreen to deciduous leaf habit in forests of eastern Asian subtropics 被引量:1
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作者 Yi Jin Hong Qian 《Plant Diversity》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2023年第5期535-543,共9页
In eastern Asian subtropical forests,leaf habit shifts from evergreen to deciduous broad-leaved woody plants toward higher latitudes.This shift has been largely explained by the greater capacity of deciduous broad-lea... In eastern Asian subtropical forests,leaf habit shifts from evergreen to deciduous broad-leaved woody plants toward higher latitudes.This shift has been largely explained by the greater capacity of deciduous broad-leaved plants to respond to harsh climatic conditions(e.g.,greater seasonality).The advantages of deciduous leaf habit over evergreen leaf habit in more seasonal climates have led us to hypothesize that leaf habits would shift in response to climate changes more conspicuously in forest canopy trees than in forest understory shrubs.Furthermore,we hypothesize that in the forests of the subtropics,plants at higher latitudes,regardless of growth form,would better tolerate seasonal harsh climates,and hence show less differentiation in leaf habit shift,compared to those at lower latitudes.To test these two hypotheses,we modelled the proportion of deciduous broad-leaved species and the incidence of deciduous and evergreen broad-leaved species in woody angiosperm species compositions of ten largesized forest plots distributed in the Chinese subtropics.We found that the rate of leaf habit shift along a latitudinal gradient was higher in forest trees than in forest shrubs.We also found that the differentiation in leaf habit shift between trees and shrubs is greater at lower latitudes(i.e.,warmer climates)than at higher latitudes(i.e.,colder climates).These findings indicate that specialized forest plants are differentially affected by climate in distinct forest strata in a manner dependent on latitudinal distribution.These differences in forest plant response to changes in climate suggest that global climate warming will alter growth forms and geographical distributions and ranges of forests. 展开更多
关键词 Functional trait Leaf life span forest dynamics plot Latitudinal gradient
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Biomass increment and mortality losses in tropical secondary forests of Hainan, China 被引量:1
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作者 Junfu Zhao Chunsheng He +6 位作者 Chunlin Qi Xu Wang Haiyan Deng Chunxin Wang Haiwei Liu Lianyan Yang Zhenghong Tan 《Journal of Forestry Research》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2019年第2期647-655,共9页
Secondary forests, created after heavy logging,are an important part of China's forests. We investigated forest biomass and its accumulation rate in 38 plots in a tropical secondary forest on Hainan Island. These ... Secondary forests, created after heavy logging,are an important part of China's forests. We investigated forest biomass and its accumulation rate in 38 plots in a tropical secondary forest on Hainan Island. These secondary forests are moderate carbon sinks, averaging1.96–2.17 t C ha-1 a-1. Biomass increment is largely by medium-sized(10–35 m) trees. Tree mortality accounts for almost 30% of the biomass and plays a negligible role in biomass accumulation estimates. Mortality rate is highly dependent on tree size. For small trees and seedlings, it is related to competition due to elevated irradiance after logging. Regarding prospective biomass and rates of accumulation, recovery is not as rapid as in secondary forests of cleared land. Therefore, tropical forests are susceptible to logging operations and need careful forest management. 展开更多
关键词 Tropical secondary forest management Carbon SINK INVENTORY Dynamic plot LOGGING
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The Spatial-Temporal Heterogeneity of Understory Light Availability in a Temperate Forest of North China
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作者 Jie Li Ziyu Zhou +2 位作者 Yun Chen Qiusheng Yang Carlos Alberto Busso 《Phyton-International Journal of Experimental Botany》 SCIE 2021年第6期1633-1644,共12页
The spatial-temporal variation of understory light availability has important influences on species diversity and community assembly.However,the distribution characteristics and influencing factors of understory light... The spatial-temporal variation of understory light availability has important influences on species diversity and community assembly.However,the distribution characteristics and influencing factors of understory light availability have not been fully elucidated,especially in temperate deciduous,broad-leaved forests.In this study,the understory light availability was monitored monthly(May–October)in a temperate deciduous,broad-leaved forest in Henan Province,China.Differences in the light availability among different months and habitat types were statistically analyzed using Kruskal–Wallis method,respectively.Partial least squares path modeling(PLS-PM)was used to explore the direct and/or indirect effects of stand structure,dominant species and topographic factors on the light environment.Results showed that there were differences in light environments among the four habitat types and during the studied six months.The PLS-PM results showed that the stand structure and the dominant species were negatively correlated with the light environment,and the path coefficient values were−0.089(P=0.042)and−0.130(P=0.004),respectively.Our result indicated that the understory light availability exhibit a distinct spatial and temporal heterogeneity in temperate deciduous,broad-leaved forest of north China.The characteristics of woody plant community,especially the abundance of one of the dominant plant species,were the important factors affecting the understory light availability. 展开更多
关键词 Dominant species forest canopy stand structure forest dynamic monitoring plot
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海南尖峰岭热带山地雨林64 ha次生林动态监测样地群落结构特征 被引量:2
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作者 李艳朋 陈洁 +1 位作者 卢春洋 许涵 《生物多样性》 北大核心 2025年第2期23-35,共13页
热带雨林在物种多样性保护和减缓全球气候变暖等方面发挥着重要作用。为探究热带次生林群落结构特征,本文以海南尖峰岭热带山地雨林次生林为研究对象,通过分析2020–2021年在典型区域建设的64ha次生林动态监测样地群落调查数据,分析了... 热带雨林在物种多样性保护和减缓全球气候变暖等方面发挥着重要作用。为探究热带次生林群落结构特征,本文以海南尖峰岭热带山地雨林次生林为研究对象,通过分析2020–2021年在典型区域建设的64ha次生林动态监测样地群落调查数据,分析了样地内胸径≥5.0 cm木本植株的物种多样性、重要值、径级结构和空间分布格局等指标。结果表明:(1)样地内共记录到152,958个胸径≥5.0 cm的存活植株,隶属于65科153属262种,其中稀有种、偶见种和常见种分别为80、113和69种。(2)样地内重要值大于1.00%的物种共有24种,排名前5位的依次为米槠(Castanopsis carlesii)、白颜树(Gironniera subaequalis)、海南韶子(Nephelium topengii)、厚壳桂(Cryptocarya chinensis)和红柯(Lithocarpus fenzelianus)。壳斗科、樟科和山矾科为优势科,锥属(Castanopsis)、山矾属(Symplocos)和柯属(Lithocarpus)为优势属。(3)样地内独立植株平均胸径为13.00 cm,径级分布总体呈倒“J”形,表明群落更新良好且处于相对稳定状态。(4)样地内的优势种在1–100 m尺度上表现为聚集分布,且表现为一定程度的生境偏好,表明生态位分化机制对于热带山地雨林生物多样性维持具有重要作用。本研究阐明了热带山地雨林次生林的群落结构特征,研究结果有助于为热带次生林物种多样性的保护和管理提供科学依据。 展开更多
关键词 海南尖峰岭 次生林 森林动态监测样地 群落结构 空间分布格局
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Application of SWAT99.2 to sensitivity analysis of water balance components in unique plots in a hilly region
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作者 Jun-feng Dai Jia-zhou Chen +3 位作者 Guo-an Lu Larry C. Brown Lei Gan Qin-xue Xu 《Water Science and Engineering》 EI CAS CSCD 2017年第3期209-216,共8页
Although many sensitivity analyses using the soil and water assessment tool(SWAT) in a complex watershed have been conducted, little attention has been paid to the application potential of the model in unique plots. I... Although many sensitivity analyses using the soil and water assessment tool(SWAT) in a complex watershed have been conducted, little attention has been paid to the application potential of the model in unique plots. In addition, sensitivity analysis of percolation and evapotranspiration with SWAT has seldom been undertaken. In this study, SWAT99.2 was calibrated to simulate water balance components for unique plots in Southern China from 2000 to 2001, which included surface runoff, percolation, and evapotranspiration. Twenty-one parameters classified into four categories, including meteorological conditions, topographical characteristics, soil properties, and vegetation attributes, were used for sensitivity analysis through one-at-a-time(OAT) sampling to identify the factor that contributed most to the variance in water balance components. The results were shown to be different for different plots, with parameter sensitivity indices and ranks varying for different water balance components. Water balance components in the broad-leaved forest and natural grass plots were most sensitive to meteorological conditions, less sensitive to vegetation attributes and soil properties, and least sensitive to topographical characteristics. Compared to those in the natural grass plot, water balance components in the broad-leaved forest plot demonstrated higher sensitivity to the maximum stomatal conductance(GSI) and maximum leaf area index(BLAI). 展开更多
关键词 forest and GRASS plotS WATER balance Sensitivity analysis Soil and WATER assessment tool (SWAT) One-at-a-time (OAT) method
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基于机器学习算法构建新型冠状病毒感染重症病人的死亡预测模型 被引量:1
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作者 桑珍珍 李勇 《安徽医药》 2025年第4期747-753,I0003,I0004,共9页
目的探讨影响新型冠状病毒感染(novel coronavirus pneumonia;别名corona virus disease 2019,COVID-19)重症病人预后的危险因素,建立预测模型并进行验证,进而准确地评估COVID-19重症病人的不良预后。方法收集2022年11月1日至2023年7月... 目的探讨影响新型冠状病毒感染(novel coronavirus pneumonia;别名corona virus disease 2019,COVID-19)重症病人预后的危险因素,建立预测模型并进行验证,进而准确地评估COVID-19重症病人的不良预后。方法收集2022年11月1日至2023年7月1日沧州市中心医院收治的526例COVID-19重症病人的临床指标与结局(院内28 d内死亡或存活)。用于R软件“caret”包,将526例病人按7∶3的比例拆分为两组:训练集(n=369)用于模型训练,测试集(n=157)用于模型验证。利用极端梯度提升(XGBoost)、随机森林(RF)2种机器学习算法构建病人临床结局的预测模型,应用SHAP进行XGBoost模型可解释性分析,分别得出影响病人预后的变量。将RF和XGBoost得出的变量取交集得到差异有统计学意义的变量,进而构建决策树模型。最后,在训练集和测试集上利用受试者操作特征曲线(ROC曲线)、曲线下面积(AUC)评估所决策树模型的预测性能。结果通过XGBoost模型得到与院内死亡相关的变量15个,随机森林模型得到与院内死亡相关的变量23个,两种模型取交集得到13个与院内死亡相关性最强的重要变量(白细胞介素-6、N端脑钠肽前体、白蛋白、超敏肌钙蛋白I、淋巴细胞、血乳酸、α-羟丁氨酸、肌酸激酶同工酶、动脉血氧分压、年龄、尿素氮、血红蛋白、乳酸脱氢酶)。用这13个重要变量构建决策树模型,得出2个与病人死亡最相关的变量(白细胞介素-6、淋巴细胞),死亡组病人的白细胞介素-6为155.48(42.81,691.3)ng/L,显著高于存活组15.38(10.51,31.11)ng/L(Z=37387.50,P<0.001)。死亡组病人的淋巴细胞为5.4(3.3,12.6)%,显著低于存活组13.5(8.62,22.28)%(Z=10584.50,P<0.001)。在训练集上的决策树模型预测COVID-19重症病人死亡的AUC为0.86,在测试集上的AUC为0.84。结论基于XGBoost和随机森林这2种机器学习方法构建的决策树模型能够更准确地评估COVID-19重症病人的不良预后。 展开更多
关键词 机器学习 新型冠状病毒感染 森林图 人工智能 极端梯度提升(XGBoost) 预后 预测模型
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A two-scale approach for estimating forest aboveground biomass with optical remote sensing images in a subtropical forest of Nepal 被引量:2
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作者 Upama A.Koju Jiahua Zhang +4 位作者 Shashish Maharjan Sha Zhang Yun Bai Dinesh B.I.P.Vijayakumar Fengmei Yao 《Journal of Forestry Research》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2019年第6期2119-2136,共18页
Forests account for 80%of the total carbon exchange between the atmosphere and terrestrial ecosystems.Thus,to better manage our responses to global warming,it is important to monitor and assess forest aboveground carb... Forests account for 80%of the total carbon exchange between the atmosphere and terrestrial ecosystems.Thus,to better manage our responses to global warming,it is important to monitor and assess forest aboveground carbon and forest aboveground biomass(FAGB).Different levels of detail are needed to estimate FAGB at local,regional and national scales.Multi-scale remote sensing analysis from high,medium and coarse spatial resolution data,along with field sampling,is one approach often used.However,the methods developed are still time consuming,expensive,and inconvenient for systematic monitoring,especially for developing countries,as they require vast numbers of field samples for upscaling.Here,we recommend a convenient two-scale approach to estimate FAGB that was tested in our study sites.The study was conducted in the Chitwan district of Nepal using GeoEye-1(0.5 m),Landsat(30 m)and Google Earth very high resolution(GEVHR)Quickbird(0.65 m)images.For the local scale(Kayerkhola watershed),tree crowns of the area were delineated by the object-based image analysis technique on GeoEye images.An overall accuracy of 83%was obtained in the delineation of tree canopy cover(TCC)per plot.A TCC vs.FAGB model was developed based on the TCC estimations from GeoEye and FAGB measurements from field sample plots.A coefficient of determination(R2)of 0.76 was obtained in the modelling,and a value of 0.83 was obtained in the validation of the model.To upscale FAGB to the entire district,open source GEVHR images were used as virtual field plots.We delineated their TCC values and then calculated FAGB based on a TCC versus FAGB model.Using the multivariate adaptive regression splines machine learning algorithm,we developed a model from the relationship between the FAGB of GEVHR virtual plots with predictor parameters from Landsat 8 bands and vegetation indices.The model was then used to extrapolate FAGB to the entire district.This approach considerably reduced the need for field data and commercial very high resolution imagery while achieving two-scale forest information and FAGB estimates at high resolution(30 m)and accuracy(R2=0.76 and 0.7)with minimal error(RMSE=64 and 38 tons ha-1)at local and regional scales.This methodology is a promising technique for cost-effective FAGB and carbon estimations and can be replicated with limited resources and time.The method is especially applicable for developing countries that have low budgets for carbon estimations,and it is also applicable to the Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation(REDD?)monitoring reporting and verification processes. 展开更多
关键词 forest ABOVEGROUND biomass Google Earth IMAGERY MULTI-SCALE remote sensing Virtual plot Optical IMAGERY
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STUDIES ON FOREST WATER CYCLING
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作者 周晓峰 王传宽 +1 位作者 李庆夏 金永岩 《Journal of Northeast Forestry University》 SCIE CAS CSCD 1995年第3期89-95,共7页
Principal ideas, research approaches and installations in both Liangshui and Maoershan Ecological Stations were diseussed. Significance of comparability and synchronous detennination in research methods were stressed.... Principal ideas, research approaches and installations in both Liangshui and Maoershan Ecological Stations were diseussed. Significance of comparability and synchronous detennination in research methods were stressed. Comparison analysis was done on the results gained from diferent methods. Adaptive mechanisms of Mongolian oak (Quercus mongolica) to drought and unproductive sites wer expounded through hydrological cycling studies. Surface runoff and flood peak were decreased and the developing processes of flood peak were postponed or delayed because of the presence of huge forest canopy and forest floor. However, the conclusions of forest influences on total runoff,especially in spring and in the dry season t are significant to agricultul practices in notheast China and turned out contrary for satershed sizes or different approaches, which should be studied further. 展开更多
关键词 forest water cycling Controlled paired-watershed approach Runoff plot Comparbility Synchronous determination
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Lifespan of tropical trees from seed to 1-cm diameter
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作者 Richard Condit Andrés Hernández +5 位作者 Oswaldo Calderón Rolando Pérez Salomón Aguilar Liza S.Comita Stephen P.Hubbell S.Joseph Wright 《Forest Ecosystems》 2025年第3期551-560,共10页
Background The full lifespan of long-lived trees includes a seedling phase,during which a seed germinates and grows to a size large enough to be measured in forest inventories.Seedling populations are usually studied ... Background The full lifespan of long-lived trees includes a seedling phase,during which a seed germinates and grows to a size large enough to be measured in forest inventories.Seedling populations are usually studied separately from adult trees,and the seedling lifespan,from seed to sapling,is poorly known.In the 50-ha Barro Colorado forest plot,we started intensive censuses of seeds and seedlings in 1994 in order to merge seedling and adult demography and document complete lifespans.Methods In 17 species abundant in seedling censuses,we subdivided populations into six size classes from seed to 1cm dbh,including seeds plus five seedling stages.The smallest seedling class was subdivided by age.Censuses in two consecutive years provided transition matrices describing the probability that a seedling in one stage moved to another one year later.For each species,we averaged the transition matrix across 25 censuses and used it to project the seedling lifespan,from seed until 1cm dbh or death.Results The predicted mean survival rate of seeds to 1cm dbh varied 1000-fold across species,from 2.9×10^(−6)to 4.4×10^(−3);the median was 2.0×10^(−4).The seedling lifespan,or the average time it takes a seed to grow to 1cm dbh,varied across species from 5.1 to 53.1 years,with a median of 20.3 years.In the median species,the 10%fastest-growing seeds would reach 1cm dbh in 9.0 years,and the slowest 10%in 34.6 years.Conclusions Combining seedling results with our previous study of lifespan after 1cm dbh,we estimate that the focal species have full lifespans varying from 41 years in a gap-demanding pioneer to 320 years in one shade-tolerant species.Lifetime demography can contribute precise survival rates and lifespans to forestry models. 展开更多
关键词 survival rate document complete lifespansmethods species variation forest plot seedling stage demographic transition merge seedling adult demography tree growth
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Determinants of generalized anxiety and construction of a predictive model in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease
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作者 Yi-Pu Zhao Wei-Hua Liu Qun-Cheng Zhang 《World Journal of Psychiatry》 2025年第2期48-58,共11页
BACKGROUND Patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease(COPD)frequently experience exacerbations requiring multiple hospitalizations over prolonged disease courses,which predispose them to generalized anxiety d... BACKGROUND Patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease(COPD)frequently experience exacerbations requiring multiple hospitalizations over prolonged disease courses,which predispose them to generalized anxiety disorder(GAD).This comorbidity exacerbates breathing difficulties,activity limitations,and social isolation.While previous studies predominantly employed the GAD 7-item scale for screening,this approach is somewhat subjective.The current literature on predictive models for GAD risk in patients with COPD is limited.AIM To construct and validate a GAD risk prediction model to aid healthcare professionals in preventing the onset of GAD.METHODS This retrospective analysis encompassed patients with COPD treated at our institution from July 2021 to February 2024.The patients were categorized into a modeling(MO)group and a validation(VA)group in a 7:3 ratio on the basis of the occurrence of GAD.Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were utilized to construct the risk prediction model,which was visualized using forest plots.The model’s performance was evaluated using Hosmer-Lemeshow(H-L)goodness-of-fit test and receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve analysis.RESULTS A total of 271 subjects were included,with 190 in the MO group and 81 in the VA group.GAD was identified in 67 patients with COPD,resulting in a prevalence rate of 24.72%(67/271),with 49 cases(18.08%)in the MO group and 18 cases(22.22%)in the VA group.Significant differences were observed between patients with and without GAD in terms of educational level,average household income,smoking history,smoking index,number of exacerbations in the past year,cardiovascular comorbidities,disease knowledge,and personality traits(P<0.05).Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that lower education levels,household income<3000 China yuan,smoking history,smoking index≥400 cigarettes/year,≥two exacerbations in the past year,cardiovascular comorbidities,complete lack of disease information,and introverted personality were significant risk factors for GAD in the MO group(P<0.05).ROC analysis indicated that the area under the curve for predicting GAD in the MO and VA groups was 0.978 and 0.960.The H-L test yieldedχ^(2) values of 6.511 and 5.179,with P=0.275 and 0.274.Calibration curves demonstrated good agreement between predicted and actual GAD occurrence risks.CONCLUSION The developed predictive model includes eight independent risk factors:Educational level,household income,smoking history,smoking index,number of exacerbations in the past year,presence of cardiovascular comorbidities,level of disease knowledge,and personality traits.This model effectively predicts the onset of GAD in patients with COPD,enabling early identification of high-risk individuals and providing a basis for early preventive interventions by nursing staff. 展开更多
关键词 Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease Generalized anxiety disorder Predictive model Determinants analysis forest plot
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百花山油松人工林动态监测样地物种组成与群落结构 被引量:1
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作者 程瑞明 许格希 +6 位作者 贾磊 丁易 房子怡 谢博 赵震 刘璐静 李黛青 《北京林业大学学报》 北大核心 2025年第8期101-110,共10页
【目的】通过监测油松种群和群落动态,为华北地区人工林质量提升和生物多样性研究提供基础数据支持。【方法】以北京百花山自然保护区油松林为研究对象,选择50年生人工林建立5.2hm2动态监测样地,参考中国森林生物多样性监测网络的统一标... 【目的】通过监测油松种群和群落动态,为华北地区人工林质量提升和生物多样性研究提供基础数据支持。【方法】以北京百花山自然保护区油松林为研究对象,选择50年生人工林建立5.2hm2动态监测样地,参考中国森林生物多样性监测网络的统一标准,对样地内胸径≥1cm的所有木本植物进行了挂牌、调查和统计,分析样地内木本植物的物种区系、径级组成及空间分布格局。【结果】样地内胸径≥1cm的木本植物共计9242株,其中活立木7145株,隶属15科22属23种。其中,66.66%的科和63.64%的属具有温带植物区系的特点。有5个物种的重要值>5%,分别为油松、槲树、黑桦、土庄绣线菊和华北落叶松,其重要值总和95.44%,稀有种和偶见种分别有8种和10种。优势种的种群空间分布格局以聚集分布为主。【结论】百花山油松人工林动态监测样地物种多样性较高,油松自疏过程为其他先锋树种提供生态位,导致群落优势种群空间分布呈聚集模式。本研究为后续开展油松人工林质量精准提升和多样性维持机制研究提供本底数据支撑。 展开更多
关键词 油松人工林 森林动态样地 径级分布 空间格局 北京百花山
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基于数据聚类及特征提取的高炉操作炉型 被引量:4
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作者 吴亚明 黄云 +3 位作者 陶林和 吴志慷 蔡学斌 左海滨 《钢铁》 北大核心 2025年第3期45-55,共11页
合理操作炉型是高炉长寿、稳定顺行和获得良好经济技术指标的关键。基于某钢厂高炉生产数据,探究高炉炉型优化方法,为高炉操作提供科学指导。首先采用孤独森林法和箱型图法对数据进行噪声识别和处理,并基于主成分分析(PCA)进行降维,消... 合理操作炉型是高炉长寿、稳定顺行和获得良好经济技术指标的关键。基于某钢厂高炉生产数据,探究高炉炉型优化方法,为高炉操作提供科学指导。首先采用孤独森林法和箱型图法对数据进行噪声识别和处理,并基于主成分分析(PCA)进行降维,消除噪声和数据冗余,为后续聚类分析提供高质量的数据基础。随后,对比了K-means和DBSCAN 2种聚类算法的应用效果。K-means算法在聚类簇数为14时得到最佳轮廓系数,表明高炉炉型可分为14类;DBSCAN算法在邻域半径Eps和最小邻域样本数min_samples为6.25和2时表现出更低的戴维森堡丁指数,聚类效果最佳,并能有效识别任意形状的聚类,尤其适合处理高炉生产数据的复杂性和非线性特征。为了评估不同炉型的优劣,建立了基于生产指标综合评分的操作炉型评价方法,选取焦比、燃料比、产量和铁损作为关键绩效指标,并赋予不同的权重。结果表明,第4类炉型在高炉操作指标方面表现最优,可作为合理炉型的操作目标。为了实现高炉炉型优化,利用随机森林法探究了高炉操作参数与炉型之间的隐式关系,确定了影响炉型的关键特征参数,包括布料矩阵参数、透气性指数、煤气利用率和标准风速等。通过分析炉型演变过程和高炉参数变化趋势,发现炉型恶化主要与透气性下降有关,进而导致气流分布不均、煤气利用率降低和压差上升。建立了优化高炉炉型管理的新方法,可为现场人员提供有价值的数据分析和操作指导,有助于提高高炉操作水平,降低能耗和成本,实现高炉长寿、稳定顺行和高效生产。 展开更多
关键词 操作炉型 聚类分析 主成分分析 DBSCAN法 K-means法 异常值识别 孤独森林法 箱型图法
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