In this paper, ocean-atmosphere coupled regimes are identified on the basis of SVD analysis, cluster analysis and composite analysis. The coupled regimes in cold seasons are identified as the clusters of the ocean-atm...In this paper, ocean-atmosphere coupled regimes are identified on the basis of SVD analysis, cluster analysis and composite analysis. The coupled regimes in cold seasons are identified as the clusters of the ocean-atmosphere coupled states in a low dimensional phase space spanned by the first four SVD modes. Three coupled regimes are found. The first two coupled regimes reflect the ENSO episodes and the accompanying PNA patterns. The third regime, i.e., EAWM regime, is characterized by the strong EAWM activity and the specific SST anomaly. The composite analysis gives further evidences to the identification of EAWM regime and also demonstrates the dynamical process of its formation. The anomaly pattern of the tropical Pacific SSTA in the strong EAWM year differs significantly from that of the La Nina year.展开更多
Based on the data analysis, this study further explores the characteristics of East Asian winter monsoon (hereafter, EAWM, for brevity) as well as the related air-sea-land system, and illustrates how and to what degre...Based on the data analysis, this study further explores the characteristics of East Asian winter monsoon (hereafter, EAWM, for brevity) as well as the related air-sea-land system, and illustrates how and to what degree anomalous signals of the subsequent Asian summer monsoon are rooted in the preceding EAWM activity. We identified an important air-sea coupled mode, i.e., the EAWM mode illustrated in Section 3. In cold seasons, strong EAWM-related air-sea two-way interaction is responsible for the development and persistence of the SSTA pattern of EAWM mode. As a consequence, the key regions, i.e., the western Pacific and South China Sea (hereafter, SCS, for brevity), are dominated by such an SSTA pattern from the winter to the following summer. In the strong EAWM years, the deficient snow cover dominates eastern Tibetan Plateau in winter, and in spring, this anomaly pattern is further strengthened and extended to the northwestern side of Tibetan Plateau. Thus, the combined effect of strong EAWM-related SSTA and Tibetan snow cover constitutes an important factor in modulating the Asian monsoon circulation. The active role of the EAWM activity as well as the related air-sea-land interaction would, in the subsequent seasons, lead to: 1) the enhancement of SCS monsoon and related stronger rainfall; 2) the northward displacement of subtropical high during Meiyu period and the related deficient rainfall over Meiyu rainband; 3) above-normal precipitation over the regions from northern Japan to northeastern China in summer; 4) more rainfall over the Arabian Sea and Northeast India, while less rainfall over southwest India and the Bay of Bengal. The strong EAWM-related air-sea interaction shows, to some degree, precursory signals to the following Asian summer monsoon. However, the mechanism for the variability of Indian summer monsoon subsequent to the strong EAWM years remains uncertain.展开更多
基于1959～2013年的观测和再分析资料以及10.7 cm （2800MHz）太阳射电通量资料,本文分析了太阳活动变化与东亚冬季气候的相关关系,分析结果表明：太阳活动变化与东亚冬季大气环流有较好的相关性,且在太阳活动的强、弱时期该相关关系存...基于1959～2013年的观测和再分析资料以及10.7 cm （2800MHz）太阳射电通量资料,本文分析了太阳活动变化与东亚冬季气候的相关关系,分析结果表明：太阳活动变化与东亚冬季大气环流有较好的相关性,且在太阳活动的强、弱时期该相关关系存在很大差异,在强太阳活动时期太阳活动变化与东亚冬季气候的联系更为显著,而在弱太阳活动时期二者之间的直接联系微弱,这表明太阳活动变化对东亚冬季气候的影响具有非对称性特征.在太阳活动较强的时期,随着太阳活动的增强,东亚中高纬对流层中层的大气环流倾向纬向型,东亚大槽减弱,850 hPa出现异常偏南风,地面上西伯利亚高压以及冬季风减弱,东亚大部分地区气温显著偏高;而在太阳活动较弱的时期,太阳活动的年际差异与东亚冬季大气环流之间几乎不存在显著联系.分析太阳活动较强和较弱时期纬向平均纬向风的差异发现,其间平流层行星波活动、热带西北太平洋海表温度的差异可能是造成这种非对称影响的重要原因.在强太阳活动时期,平流层行星波在太阳活动的异常增强年有异常的从极地向赤道的水平传播,高纬地区E-P通量（Eliassen-Palm flux）异常辐散,导致中高纬西风及北极涛动（AO）增强,同时热带西北太平洋海温异常偏冷,海陆热力差异缩小,大气环流经向度减弱,东亚冬季风偏弱.展开更多
文摘In this paper, ocean-atmosphere coupled regimes are identified on the basis of SVD analysis, cluster analysis and composite analysis. The coupled regimes in cold seasons are identified as the clusters of the ocean-atmosphere coupled states in a low dimensional phase space spanned by the first four SVD modes. Three coupled regimes are found. The first two coupled regimes reflect the ENSO episodes and the accompanying PNA patterns. The third regime, i.e., EAWM regime, is characterized by the strong EAWM activity and the specific SST anomaly. The composite analysis gives further evidences to the identification of EAWM regime and also demonstrates the dynamical process of its formation. The anomaly pattern of the tropical Pacific SSTA in the strong EAWM year differs significantly from that of the La Nina year.
基金This work was jointly supported by Key Project of Chinese Academy of Sciences (KZCX2-203), Na-tional Natural Science Foundatio
文摘Based on the data analysis, this study further explores the characteristics of East Asian winter monsoon (hereafter, EAWM, for brevity) as well as the related air-sea-land system, and illustrates how and to what degree anomalous signals of the subsequent Asian summer monsoon are rooted in the preceding EAWM activity. We identified an important air-sea coupled mode, i.e., the EAWM mode illustrated in Section 3. In cold seasons, strong EAWM-related air-sea two-way interaction is responsible for the development and persistence of the SSTA pattern of EAWM mode. As a consequence, the key regions, i.e., the western Pacific and South China Sea (hereafter, SCS, for brevity), are dominated by such an SSTA pattern from the winter to the following summer. In the strong EAWM years, the deficient snow cover dominates eastern Tibetan Plateau in winter, and in spring, this anomaly pattern is further strengthened and extended to the northwestern side of Tibetan Plateau. Thus, the combined effect of strong EAWM-related SSTA and Tibetan snow cover constitutes an important factor in modulating the Asian monsoon circulation. The active role of the EAWM activity as well as the related air-sea-land interaction would, in the subsequent seasons, lead to: 1) the enhancement of SCS monsoon and related stronger rainfall; 2) the northward displacement of subtropical high during Meiyu period and the related deficient rainfall over Meiyu rainband; 3) above-normal precipitation over the regions from northern Japan to northeastern China in summer; 4) more rainfall over the Arabian Sea and Northeast India, while less rainfall over southwest India and the Bay of Bengal. The strong EAWM-related air-sea interaction shows, to some degree, precursory signals to the following Asian summer monsoon. However, the mechanism for the variability of Indian summer monsoon subsequent to the strong EAWM years remains uncertain.
文摘基于1959～2013年的观测和再分析资料以及10.7 cm （2800MHz）太阳射电通量资料,本文分析了太阳活动变化与东亚冬季气候的相关关系,分析结果表明：太阳活动变化与东亚冬季大气环流有较好的相关性,且在太阳活动的强、弱时期该相关关系存在很大差异,在强太阳活动时期太阳活动变化与东亚冬季气候的联系更为显著,而在弱太阳活动时期二者之间的直接联系微弱,这表明太阳活动变化对东亚冬季气候的影响具有非对称性特征.在太阳活动较强的时期,随着太阳活动的增强,东亚中高纬对流层中层的大气环流倾向纬向型,东亚大槽减弱,850 hPa出现异常偏南风,地面上西伯利亚高压以及冬季风减弱,东亚大部分地区气温显著偏高;而在太阳活动较弱的时期,太阳活动的年际差异与东亚冬季大气环流之间几乎不存在显著联系.分析太阳活动较强和较弱时期纬向平均纬向风的差异发现,其间平流层行星波活动、热带西北太平洋海表温度的差异可能是造成这种非对称影响的重要原因.在强太阳活动时期,平流层行星波在太阳活动的异常增强年有异常的从极地向赤道的水平传播,高纬地区E-P通量（Eliassen-Palm flux）异常辐散,导致中高纬西风及北极涛动（AO）增强,同时热带西北太平洋海温异常偏冷,海陆热力差异缩小,大气环流经向度减弱,东亚冬季风偏弱.
