In this study,based on MERRA-2 reanalysis data and a multi-algorithm integrated atmospheric river(AR)iden-tification method,the authors reveal the cross-seasonal regulation mechanism of El Niño-Southern Oscillati...In this study,based on MERRA-2 reanalysis data and a multi-algorithm integrated atmospheric river(AR)iden-tification method,the authors reveal the cross-seasonal regulation mechanism of El Niño-Southern Oscillation(ENSO)on winter-spring AR activities in East Asia.The results show that ENSO asymmetrically modulates AR ac-tivity through teleconnection and hysteresis effects,and has significant enhancement/inhibition effects on ARs in different regions.At the onset of El Niño,enhanced southwesterly flow at the western edge of the western Pacific subtropical high(WPSH)leads to enhanced AR activity in the western Pacific,and anomalous southerly winds in the Indian Ocean promote northward transport of water vapor in the Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal.With a three-month lag,the weakening and eastward retreat of the WPSH weakens the low-latitude AR activity,but persistent southerly winds in the Bay of Bengal maintain the AR activity over Southwest China.The mid-to high-latitude AR response exhibits delayed dynamics,initially dominated by the synergistic effect of the southward deviation of the upper-air rapids and the low-level convergence(double-rapid-flow effect)and later modulated by the Pacific-North American teleconnection(PNA)-triggered East Asian ridge,which enhances the precipitation efficiency through prolonged frontal activity and enhanced cold-warm airmass convergence.Overall,El Niño promotes the development of low-and midlatitude AR activity in East Asia,while La Niña promotes(maritime continental)AR activity in the tropics.This study establishes the“ENSO teleconnection→circulation adjust-ment→East Asian AR response”chain,revealing a cross-seasonal lagged response mechanisms of East Asian AR activity,and provides a theoretical basis for winter and spring climate prediction and extreme precipitation forecasting.展开更多
Tight sandstone reservoirs represent a pivotal unconventional oil and gas production target.The upper section of the deeply buried Huagang Formation in the Xihu Depression is abundant in hydrocarbons and forms a tight...Tight sandstone reservoirs represent a pivotal unconventional oil and gas production target.The upper section of the deeply buried Huagang Formation in the Xihu Depression is abundant in hydrocarbons and forms a tight reservoir.It exhibits substantial diagenetic variability and strong heterogeneity in sand bodies,which is reflected in variations in physical properties and grain size.Through integrated geological analysis,including rock thin sections,scanning electron microscopy,X-ray diffraction,well logging and production test data,we investigated the diagenesis,reservoir formation mechanisms,and controlling factors of high-quality reservoirs within the superposed sandstone bodies exceeding 100 m thick in the deeper Huagang Formation.We also studied the formation characteristics of these ultrathick sandstones,clarifying that diagenesis and post-depositional modification are crucial for developing high-quality reservoirs in this formation.Our findings indicate that the sandstone underwent compaction,cementation(by chlorite,calcite and quartz),dissolution(of K-feldspar and carbonate cement),and authigenic clay mineral cementation(such as illite,chlorite,kaolinite).Multiple dissolution zones are present within the thick sandstone units.The distribution of these dissolution zones is mainly controlled by temperature and sandstone composition.With increasing temperature,acidic fluids derived from coal-bearing strata and early hydrocarbon source rocks promoted feldspar dissolution.The thick sandstone units in different intervals of varying depths are at various diagenetic stages.The petrophysical zoning of the reservoir is collectively controlled by diagenetic facies dominated by sedimentation,compaction,and dissolution processes.These findings provide valuable guidance and reference for oil and gas exploration and development in this area,particularly within the ultra-thick sandstone layers.展开更多
Debate has persisted over whether the metamorphic basement of the Zhoushan Islands,easternmost Cathaysia Block,is Precambrian.Here,representative metamorphic rocks from the Qushan Islands were investigated using petro...Debate has persisted over whether the metamorphic basement of the Zhoushan Islands,easternmost Cathaysia Block,is Precambrian.Here,representative metamorphic rocks from the Qushan Islands were investigated using petrography,mineral chemistry,phase equilibria modeling and SHRIMP zircon U-Pb dating to constrain their metamorphic evolution and tectonic significance.Both the pelitic granulites(garnet-kyanite-perthite-biotite-quartz)and the mafic granulites(garnet-clinopyroxene-amphibole-plagioclase-quartz)reached high-pressure granulite-facies conditions of 1.2-1.4 GPa/820-900℃,and recorded three metamorphic stages along a clockwise P-T path with post-peak isothermal decompression.This trajectory indicated rapid exhumation of thickened continental crust during collisional orogeny.Metamorphic ages of 254±3 Ma,262±4 Ma and 259±3 Ma were obtained for mafic granulite,pelitic granulite and marble,respectively,and were consistent with the emplacement age of 259±4 Ma for a pegmatite vein.Detrital zircons in metasediments spanned 2706-330 Ma,which constrained the latest deposition to~330 Ma;thus represented mid-Paleozoic sediment metamorphosed during the late Paleozoic rather than Precambrian basement.We conclude that the Indosinian tectonothermal event in the Cathaysia Block had originated from late Paleozoic-early Mesozoic collisional orogeny between the South China Plate to the north and the Indochina Block to the south.展开更多
Andrew Wangota,a 48-year-old Ugandan farmer,has been using agrivoltaics technology,a solar technology that uses agricultural land for both food production and solar power generation,on his farm in Bunashimolo Parish,B...Andrew Wangota,a 48-year-old Ugandan farmer,has been using agrivoltaics technology,a solar technology that uses agricultural land for both food production and solar power generation,on his farm in Bunashimolo Parish,Bukyiende Subcounty in Uganda where he has been cultivating plantain,coffee and Irish potatoes for the past 16 years.展开更多
Climate change poses significant risks to agriculture,particularly in East Asia,a major crop-producing region.This study evaluates the effectiveness of near-term climate predictions in forecasting agricultural thermal...Climate change poses significant risks to agriculture,particularly in East Asia,a major crop-producing region.This study evaluates the effectiveness of near-term climate predictions in forecasting agricultural thermal conditions in East Asia for up to five years.We compare temperature-based agroclimatic indicators from atmospheric reanalysis data with the firstyear prediction of the Decadal Prediction System version 4(DePreSys4),initialized annually from November 1960 to 2024.Our analysis reveals that first-year predictions accurately represent observed spatial climatological patterns,although trends in agroclimatic indicators based on daily maximum temperature are overestimated.High skill scores are observed in predicting the beginning of the growing season,frost-free days,agricultural hot days,and heat intensity in major cropping regions.However,the end of the growing season is less predictable due to longer lead times.Notably,five-year average predictions show higher skill than first-year predictions due to smoothed interannual variability.These improved climate predictions enable farmers and policymakers to make informed decisions about crop selection and agricultural infrastructure.展开更多
Shorebirds migrate long-distances along the East Asian-Australasian Flyway(EAAF),exhibiting distinct spatiotemporal fluctuations in population dynamics.Because of habitat degradation and population declines at key sto...Shorebirds migrate long-distances along the East Asian-Australasian Flyway(EAAF),exhibiting distinct spatiotemporal fluctuations in population dynamics.Because of habitat degradation and population declines at key stopover sites along the EAAF,the South Korea's coastal wetlands have gained increasing attention for their ecological value.This study analyzed the shorebird population dynamics across 35 coastal wetlands in South Korea from 2016 to 2024 using data from the National Marine Ecosystem Monitoring Program.For the timeseries analysis,we employed three indicators:seasonal chan ges in abundance,short-term fluctuations(Fi),and long-term trends,assessed using the TRends and Indices for Monitoring data(TRIM)model.Abundance,species richness,and Shannon diversity indices were assessed across the regions during spring and autumn.The TRIM results revealed significant population increases in both seasons("Strong increase"in spring and"Moderate increase"in autumn).Species-level trends indicated notable increases in large-bodied shorebirds,including globally threatened species such as the Far Eastern Curlew(Numenius madagascariensis).Eurasian Curlew(N.arquata),and Eurasian Oystercatcher(Haematopus ostralegus),whereas other species showed variable responses.The Yellow Sea region(Gyeonggi,Chungcheong,and Western Jeolla)showed high biodiversity indices in spring,which may be associated with time-minimization strategies,whereas autumn patterns were characterized by more flexible and selective stopover use,possibly related to energy-minimization strategies.The East Coast and Jeju regions showed the lowest biodiversity indices.Furthermore,community-level analyses using Non-metric Multidimensional Scaling(NMDS)and PERMANOVA revealed distinct clustering of bird assemblages by macro-region and season,confirming significant spatial differentiation in community composition.These findings contrast with the broader declining trends reported across the EAAF and suggest that South Korea's coastal wetlands may serve as stable alternative stopover habitats,potentially supporting the redistribution or recovery of some species.This study highlights the importance of transboundary cooperation and region-specific habitat management that reflects local ecological contexts for effective conservation.展开更多
The Mailong gold deposit is located in the eastern section of the East Kunlun orogenic belt and is one of the recently discovered important gold polymetallic deposits in the Qinhai Gouli region.The primary host rocks ...The Mailong gold deposit is located in the eastern section of the East Kunlun orogenic belt and is one of the recently discovered important gold polymetallic deposits in the Qinhai Gouli region.The primary host rocks of the Mailong gold deposit consist of intermediate-acid intrusive rocks from the Varisian and Indosinian periods,as well as the Precambrian Jinshuikou Group,with mineralization controlled by northeast and northwest faults.The alteration of the host rocks is mainly characterized by silicification,sericitization,chloritization,and carbonatization.Based on the cross-cutting relationships of the veins,the hydrothermal mineralization of the gold deposit can be categorized into three stages:the quartz-pyrite stage,the quartzpolymetallic sulfide stage,and the quartz-carbonate stage.Microthermometry of fluid inclusions indicates that the Mailong gold deposit belongs to a low-density(0.73–0.86 g/cm3),medium-temperature(240–340℃),and medium-salinity(4.01–10.74 wt%NaCl)NaCl-CO2-H2O fluid system.The C-H-O isotopic analysis suggests that the mineralizing fluids is derived from magmatic water,with later contributions from atmospheric precipitation.In-situ S isotopic results indicate that the mineralizing materials mainly derive from igneous rocks.A comprehensive analysis concludes that the Mailong gold deposit is a mesothermal hydrothermal vein-type gold deposit controlled by structural factors.展开更多
The study of back-arc sedimentary basins is key to understanding oceanic and continental geodynamic processes and mechanisms.The East China Sea Shelf Basin(ECSSB),a back-arc sedimentary basin in a continent-ocean tran...The study of back-arc sedimentary basins is key to understanding oceanic and continental geodynamic processes and mechanisms.The East China Sea Shelf Basin(ECSSB),a back-arc sedimentary basin in a continent-ocean transition zone of the western Pacific Ocean,exhibits remarkable differences in terms of the tectonic deformation characteristics of the basin and the evolutionary features of its sags.These features have led to varied understandings of deep dynamic mechanisms driving the evolution of the basin.In this study,which is based on a detailed interpretation of two-dimensional multichannel seismic data from the ECSSB,the tectonic deformation of the basin is analyzed and the tectonic evolutionary process of the basin is reconstructed.The above research work combines plate convergence processes and deep crust-mantle interactions to explore the controlling factors and deep dynamic mechanisms of the tectonic deformation in the ECSSB.The results of this study indicate that there are significant differences in tectonic deformation between the southern and northern parts of the basin and that the deformation is characterized by eastward migration.Deep crust-mantle interactions are coupled with the development of these differences.The tectonic deformation of the ECSSB is driven by the interactions of the paleo-Pacific,Pacific,Indian,and Philippine Sea Plates with the Eurasian Plate,which have shaped the tectonic pattern of the ECSSB,resulting in east-west zoning,north-south blocking,and pronounced spatiotemporal variability in tectonic deformation.This research provides new insights into the differential development of sags within the ECSSB and provides an important reference for studying back-arc sedimentary basins.展开更多
The Middle East has long been in turmoil,and the new round of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict has further highlighted the urgency of security governance in the region.The Global Security Initiative(GSI)proposed by Ch...The Middle East has long been in turmoil,and the new round of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict has further highlighted the urgency of security governance in the region.The Global Security Initiative(GSI)proposed by China provides theoretical guidance and practical paths for China’s participation in Middle East security governance.China’s engagement in Middle East security governance not only meets the expectations of Middle East countries but also fully demonstrates its responsibility as a major country,which is of great significance for China to explore participation in global security governance and address the global security deficit.展开更多
The number of newly diagnosed breast cancer cases and related deaths is the highest among female malignancies in nearly all countries1.The estimated annual percentage change in mortality increased by an average of 0.2...The number of newly diagnosed breast cancer cases and related deaths is the highest among female malignancies in nearly all countries1.The estimated annual percentage change in mortality increased by an average of 0.29%to 0.75%per year from 1990 to 2019 in low-and middle-Social Demographic Index(SDI)countries.In contrast,the estimated annual percentage change in mortality decreased by an average of 1.52%per year in high SDI countries2due to early diagnosis and treatment.Most East Asian countries have not seen evidence of a reduction in breast cancer mortality1.展开更多
The increase in frequency and intensity of Extreme High-temperature Events(EHEs)over Central-Eastern China(CEC)in recent decades has severely impacted social development and livelihoods.Using observation and reanalysi...The increase in frequency and intensity of Extreme High-temperature Events(EHEs)over Central-Eastern China(CEC)in recent decades has severely impacted social development and livelihoods.Using observation and reanalysis datasets,this study explores the effect of the East Asian subtropical westerly jet stream(EAJ)on the CEC EHEs for the summers spanning 1979–2020.Considering its general relative location to the right side of the upper-level jet stream exit region,CEC would theoretically suffer more EHEs with a stronger and northwardly-shifted EAJ in summer due to the likelihood of abnormal subsidence induced by the EAJ.However,such an EAJ–EHE connection has been unstable over the past four decades but has displayed an evident interdecadal change.Before the late 1990s,the interannual variation of the EAJ was manifested mainly by its meridional displacement in the northeastern part of East Asia;thus,the atmospheric responses were essentially located to the east of CEC,exerting less of an influence on the CEC EHEs.However,since the late 1990s,the EAJ variation has featured an intensity change in its center over the northwest portion of the CEC,which has resulted in a westward shift in atmospheric responses to cover the CEC region.Therefore,the EAJ could potentially affect the summer CEC EHEs during 2000–21.Our findings offer support for an in-depth understanding of the formation mechanisms of extreme weather/climate events of this nature and thus provide a scientific reference for seasonal climate predictions.展开更多
Greenhouse gas(GHG)emssions from fossil fuel consumption are driving global climate change.This study applied the fully modified ordinary least squares(FMOLS)model and pairwise panel Granger causality test to explore ...Greenhouse gas(GHG)emssions from fossil fuel consumption are driving global climate change.This study applied the fully modified ordinary least squares(FMOLS)model and pairwise panel Granger causality test to explore the relationships of GHG emissions with gross domestic product(GDP),population,urbanization,natural resource rents,foreign direct investment(FDI),and renewable energy consumption in 12 Middle East and North Africa(MENA)countries(Algeria,Bahrain,Comoros,Djibouti,Egypt,Qatar,Somalia,Saudi Arabia,Syria,the United Arab Emirates,Tunisia,and Yemen)from 1990 to 2023.Due to the limited data on renewable energy after 2020,the coverage of renewable energy consumption is from 1990 to 2021.Findings showed that Saudi Arabia,Egypt,Algeria,the United Arab Emirates,and Qatar are the top 5 GHG emitters in the MENA region,with the GHG emissions of the energy sector rising fastest among all sectors.Results also indicated that a 1.00%increase in GDP,population,urbanization,natural resource rents,and FDI raises GHG emissions by 0.48%,0.61%,0.86%,0.29%,and 0.11%,respectively.Conversely,a 1.00%increase in renewable energy consumption reduces GHG emissions by 0.13%.Effective policies promoting renewable energy investment and the adoption of renewable energy could significantly reduce electricity costs and GHG emissions,contributing to achieving climate goals,such as net-zero emissions and environmental sustainability.Additionally,the increase of renewable energy consumption and technology development would improve energy efficiency,create jobs,and stimulate economic growth in the MENA region.This study recommends tailored policy instruments to support the transition to low-emission technologies and strategies.展开更多
[Objective]As hydrogen energy has gained new momentum recently,analyzing the economic and social impacts of developing a hydrogen energy sector can inform further policy formation and investment decision making in thi...[Objective]As hydrogen energy has gained new momentum recently,analyzing the economic and social impacts of developing a hydrogen energy sector can inform further policy formation and investment decision making in this regard.[Method]Considering the increasingly important role of East Asia Summit(EAS)region in both economic growth and green energy transition,this paper developed a demand-driven model for the hydrogen energy supply chains to comprehensively and quantitatively evaluate the economic and social impacts hydrogen energy development in the EAS region.[Result]This model provides estimates of the capital investment required,the number of new jobs created,the potential carbon emissions reduction,the subsidies needed in the early stages of development,and the impacts on key energy security indicators.[Conclusion]This study find that hydrogen energy development has a significant job creation effect,and that the total investment and the fiscal burden appear to be manageable for countries in the EAS region.In addition to substantial carbon emissions reduction,positive social impacts also include general improvements in energy security indicators.展开更多
In the western segment of the East Kunlun Orogen(WEKO),muscovite granite and garnet granite from the Hureguole intrusion exhibit zircon U-Pb ages of 435-442 Ma.Geochemically,these rocks contain high concentrations of ...In the western segment of the East Kunlun Orogen(WEKO),muscovite granite and garnet granite from the Hureguole intrusion exhibit zircon U-Pb ages of 435-442 Ma.Geochemically,these rocks contain high concentrations of SiO_(2),K_(2)O and Al_(2)O_(3),with low concentrations of TiO_(2)and MgO,indicating a peraluminous high-K calc-alkaline affinity.They are enriched in Rb,Th,U and LREE,depleted in Eu,Ba,Sr and Ti,being classified as S-type granites.Negative whole-rockε_(Nd)(t)values(-9.8 to-9.1)and zirconε_(Hf)(t)values(-11.6 to-8.2)for those granites indicate that they were derived from partial melting of pelitic rocks in the Paleoproterozoic Baishahe Formation of the Jinshuikou Group.Based on the collected zircon ages,Cambrian-Devonian magmatic activity in the WEKO was divided into three stages:early(446-520 Ma),middle(427-441 Ma)and late(372-424 Ma)stages.Statistically,whole-rock Nd and zircon Hf isotope data(ε_(Nd)(t)/T_(DM)^(Nd),ε_(Hf)(t)/T_(DMC)^(Hf))from Paleozoic igneous rocks in the WEKO reveal a magma source that was initially dominated by depleted mantle components in the northward subduction stage of the Proto-Tethy an Ocean plate(446-520 Ma),shifting to predominantly crustal sources during the closure period of the North Qimantagh back-arc basin(427-441 Ma),then to crust-mantle mixed sources in the post-collision stage(372-424 Ma).展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China[grant number 41830964]the Natural Science Foundation of Hunan Province[grant number 2023JJ40666]。
文摘In this study,based on MERRA-2 reanalysis data and a multi-algorithm integrated atmospheric river(AR)iden-tification method,the authors reveal the cross-seasonal regulation mechanism of El Niño-Southern Oscillation(ENSO)on winter-spring AR activities in East Asia.The results show that ENSO asymmetrically modulates AR ac-tivity through teleconnection and hysteresis effects,and has significant enhancement/inhibition effects on ARs in different regions.At the onset of El Niño,enhanced southwesterly flow at the western edge of the western Pacific subtropical high(WPSH)leads to enhanced AR activity in the western Pacific,and anomalous southerly winds in the Indian Ocean promote northward transport of water vapor in the Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal.With a three-month lag,the weakening and eastward retreat of the WPSH weakens the low-latitude AR activity,but persistent southerly winds in the Bay of Bengal maintain the AR activity over Southwest China.The mid-to high-latitude AR response exhibits delayed dynamics,initially dominated by the synergistic effect of the southward deviation of the upper-air rapids and the low-level convergence(double-rapid-flow effect)and later modulated by the Pacific-North American teleconnection(PNA)-triggered East Asian ridge,which enhances the precipitation efficiency through prolonged frontal activity and enhanced cold-warm airmass convergence.Overall,El Niño promotes the development of low-and midlatitude AR activity in East Asia,while La Niña promotes(maritime continental)AR activity in the tropics.This study establishes the“ENSO teleconnection→circulation adjust-ment→East Asian AR response”chain,revealing a cross-seasonal lagged response mechanisms of East Asian AR activity,and provides a theoretical basis for winter and spring climate prediction and extreme precipitation forecasting.
基金funded by the National Science and Technology Major Project(No.2016ZX05027-004)General Department Project of Shanghai Branch of CNOOC(China)Limited(No.KJ2022-JYZJ-SH01)。
文摘Tight sandstone reservoirs represent a pivotal unconventional oil and gas production target.The upper section of the deeply buried Huagang Formation in the Xihu Depression is abundant in hydrocarbons and forms a tight reservoir.It exhibits substantial diagenetic variability and strong heterogeneity in sand bodies,which is reflected in variations in physical properties and grain size.Through integrated geological analysis,including rock thin sections,scanning electron microscopy,X-ray diffraction,well logging and production test data,we investigated the diagenesis,reservoir formation mechanisms,and controlling factors of high-quality reservoirs within the superposed sandstone bodies exceeding 100 m thick in the deeper Huagang Formation.We also studied the formation characteristics of these ultrathick sandstones,clarifying that diagenesis and post-depositional modification are crucial for developing high-quality reservoirs in this formation.Our findings indicate that the sandstone underwent compaction,cementation(by chlorite,calcite and quartz),dissolution(of K-feldspar and carbonate cement),and authigenic clay mineral cementation(such as illite,chlorite,kaolinite).Multiple dissolution zones are present within the thick sandstone units.The distribution of these dissolution zones is mainly controlled by temperature and sandstone composition.With increasing temperature,acidic fluids derived from coal-bearing strata and early hydrocarbon source rocks promoted feldspar dissolution.The thick sandstone units in different intervals of varying depths are at various diagenetic stages.The petrophysical zoning of the reservoir is collectively controlled by diagenetic facies dominated by sedimentation,compaction,and dissolution processes.These findings provide valuable guidance and reference for oil and gas exploration and development in this area,particularly within the ultra-thick sandstone layers.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(42072223)Geological Survey project(DD20221649,DD20231429).
文摘Debate has persisted over whether the metamorphic basement of the Zhoushan Islands,easternmost Cathaysia Block,is Precambrian.Here,representative metamorphic rocks from the Qushan Islands were investigated using petrography,mineral chemistry,phase equilibria modeling and SHRIMP zircon U-Pb dating to constrain their metamorphic evolution and tectonic significance.Both the pelitic granulites(garnet-kyanite-perthite-biotite-quartz)and the mafic granulites(garnet-clinopyroxene-amphibole-plagioclase-quartz)reached high-pressure granulite-facies conditions of 1.2-1.4 GPa/820-900℃,and recorded three metamorphic stages along a clockwise P-T path with post-peak isothermal decompression.This trajectory indicated rapid exhumation of thickened continental crust during collisional orogeny.Metamorphic ages of 254±3 Ma,262±4 Ma and 259±3 Ma were obtained for mafic granulite,pelitic granulite and marble,respectively,and were consistent with the emplacement age of 259±4 Ma for a pegmatite vein.Detrital zircons in metasediments spanned 2706-330 Ma,which constrained the latest deposition to~330 Ma;thus represented mid-Paleozoic sediment metamorphosed during the late Paleozoic rather than Precambrian basement.We conclude that the Indosinian tectonothermal event in the Cathaysia Block had originated from late Paleozoic-early Mesozoic collisional orogeny between the South China Plate to the north and the Indochina Block to the south.
文摘Andrew Wangota,a 48-year-old Ugandan farmer,has been using agrivoltaics technology,a solar technology that uses agricultural land for both food production and solar power generation,on his farm in Bunashimolo Parish,Bukyiende Subcounty in Uganda where he has been cultivating plantain,coffee and Irish potatoes for the past 16 years.
基金supported by a National Research Foundation of Korea(NRF)grant funded by the Korean government(MSIT)(Grant No.RS-2024-00342219)the Korea Meteorological Administration Research and Development Program(Grant No.RS-2025-02313090)S.-Y.JUN and B.-J.PARK were supported by Korea Polar Research Institute(KOPRI)grants funded by the Ministry of Oceans and Fisheries(Grant No.KOPRI PE25010).
文摘Climate change poses significant risks to agriculture,particularly in East Asia,a major crop-producing region.This study evaluates the effectiveness of near-term climate predictions in forecasting agricultural thermal conditions in East Asia for up to five years.We compare temperature-based agroclimatic indicators from atmospheric reanalysis data with the firstyear prediction of the Decadal Prediction System version 4(DePreSys4),initialized annually from November 1960 to 2024.Our analysis reveals that first-year predictions accurately represent observed spatial climatological patterns,although trends in agroclimatic indicators based on daily maximum temperature are overestimated.High skill scores are observed in predicting the beginning of the growing season,frost-free days,agricultural hot days,and heat intensity in major cropping regions.However,the end of the growing season is less predictable due to longer lead times.Notably,five-year average predictions show higher skill than first-year predictions due to smoothed interannual variability.These improved climate predictions enable farmers and policymakers to make informed decisions about crop selection and agricultural infrastructure.
文摘Shorebirds migrate long-distances along the East Asian-Australasian Flyway(EAAF),exhibiting distinct spatiotemporal fluctuations in population dynamics.Because of habitat degradation and population declines at key stopover sites along the EAAF,the South Korea's coastal wetlands have gained increasing attention for their ecological value.This study analyzed the shorebird population dynamics across 35 coastal wetlands in South Korea from 2016 to 2024 using data from the National Marine Ecosystem Monitoring Program.For the timeseries analysis,we employed three indicators:seasonal chan ges in abundance,short-term fluctuations(Fi),and long-term trends,assessed using the TRends and Indices for Monitoring data(TRIM)model.Abundance,species richness,and Shannon diversity indices were assessed across the regions during spring and autumn.The TRIM results revealed significant population increases in both seasons("Strong increase"in spring and"Moderate increase"in autumn).Species-level trends indicated notable increases in large-bodied shorebirds,including globally threatened species such as the Far Eastern Curlew(Numenius madagascariensis).Eurasian Curlew(N.arquata),and Eurasian Oystercatcher(Haematopus ostralegus),whereas other species showed variable responses.The Yellow Sea region(Gyeonggi,Chungcheong,and Western Jeolla)showed high biodiversity indices in spring,which may be associated with time-minimization strategies,whereas autumn patterns were characterized by more flexible and selective stopover use,possibly related to energy-minimization strategies.The East Coast and Jeju regions showed the lowest biodiversity indices.Furthermore,community-level analyses using Non-metric Multidimensional Scaling(NMDS)and PERMANOVA revealed distinct clustering of bird assemblages by macro-region and season,confirming significant spatial differentiation in community composition.These findings contrast with the broader declining trends reported across the EAAF and suggest that South Korea's coastal wetlands may serve as stable alternative stopover habitats,potentially supporting the redistribution or recovery of some species.This study highlights the importance of transboundary cooperation and region-specific habitat management that reflects local ecological contexts for effective conservation.
基金Supported by Qinghai Provincial Geological Exploration Special Fund Project(No.2023085029KY004).
文摘The Mailong gold deposit is located in the eastern section of the East Kunlun orogenic belt and is one of the recently discovered important gold polymetallic deposits in the Qinhai Gouli region.The primary host rocks of the Mailong gold deposit consist of intermediate-acid intrusive rocks from the Varisian and Indosinian periods,as well as the Precambrian Jinshuikou Group,with mineralization controlled by northeast and northwest faults.The alteration of the host rocks is mainly characterized by silicification,sericitization,chloritization,and carbonatization.Based on the cross-cutting relationships of the veins,the hydrothermal mineralization of the gold deposit can be categorized into three stages:the quartz-pyrite stage,the quartzpolymetallic sulfide stage,and the quartz-carbonate stage.Microthermometry of fluid inclusions indicates that the Mailong gold deposit belongs to a low-density(0.73–0.86 g/cm3),medium-temperature(240–340℃),and medium-salinity(4.01–10.74 wt%NaCl)NaCl-CO2-H2O fluid system.The C-H-O isotopic analysis suggests that the mineralizing fluids is derived from magmatic water,with later contributions from atmospheric precipitation.In-situ S isotopic results indicate that the mineralizing materials mainly derive from igneous rocks.A comprehensive analysis concludes that the Mailong gold deposit is a mesothermal hydrothermal vein-type gold deposit controlled by structural factors.
基金the Laoshan Laboratory(No.LSKJ202203401)the Geological Survey Projects of the China Geological Survey(Nos.DD20221723,DD20243116)+2 种基金the Natural Science Foundation of Shandong Province(No.ZR2023MD047)the Major Basic Research Project of Shandong Province(No.ZR2021ZD09)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.42476077)。
文摘The study of back-arc sedimentary basins is key to understanding oceanic and continental geodynamic processes and mechanisms.The East China Sea Shelf Basin(ECSSB),a back-arc sedimentary basin in a continent-ocean transition zone of the western Pacific Ocean,exhibits remarkable differences in terms of the tectonic deformation characteristics of the basin and the evolutionary features of its sags.These features have led to varied understandings of deep dynamic mechanisms driving the evolution of the basin.In this study,which is based on a detailed interpretation of two-dimensional multichannel seismic data from the ECSSB,the tectonic deformation of the basin is analyzed and the tectonic evolutionary process of the basin is reconstructed.The above research work combines plate convergence processes and deep crust-mantle interactions to explore the controlling factors and deep dynamic mechanisms of the tectonic deformation in the ECSSB.The results of this study indicate that there are significant differences in tectonic deformation between the southern and northern parts of the basin and that the deformation is characterized by eastward migration.Deep crust-mantle interactions are coupled with the development of these differences.The tectonic deformation of the ECSSB is driven by the interactions of the paleo-Pacific,Pacific,Indian,and Philippine Sea Plates with the Eurasian Plate,which have shaped the tectonic pattern of the ECSSB,resulting in east-west zoning,north-south blocking,and pronounced spatiotemporal variability in tectonic deformation.This research provides new insights into the differential development of sags within the ECSSB and provides an important reference for studying back-arc sedimentary basins.
文摘The Middle East has long been in turmoil,and the new round of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict has further highlighted the urgency of security governance in the region.The Global Security Initiative(GSI)proposed by China provides theoretical guidance and practical paths for China’s participation in Middle East security governance.China’s engagement in Middle East security governance not only meets the expectations of Middle East countries but also fully demonstrates its responsibility as a major country,which is of great significance for China to explore participation in global security governance and address the global security deficit.
基金supported by the Tencent Sustainable Social Value Inclusive Health Lab and through the Chong Qing Tencent Sustainable Development Foundation“Comprehensive Prevention and Control Demonstration Project for Eliminating Cervical Cancer and Breast Cancer in Low Health Resource Areas of China”(Grant No.SD20240904145730)。
文摘The number of newly diagnosed breast cancer cases and related deaths is the highest among female malignancies in nearly all countries1.The estimated annual percentage change in mortality increased by an average of 0.29%to 0.75%per year from 1990 to 2019 in low-and middle-Social Demographic Index(SDI)countries.In contrast,the estimated annual percentage change in mortality decreased by an average of 1.52%per year in high SDI countries2due to early diagnosis and treatment.Most East Asian countries have not seen evidence of a reduction in breast cancer mortality1.
基金supported by the Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No:42105025,42075189,42275036,and 42430610)the National Key R&D Program of China under Grant 2021YFA0718000+3 种基金the China Meteorological Administration Youth Innovation Team(CMA2023QN15)China Meteorological Administration Key Innovation Team(CMA2024ZD07)the development fund of South China Sea Institute of Oceanology of the Chinese Academy of Sciences(SCSIO202203 and SCSIO202208)the Open Research Fund of the State Key Laboratory of Tropical Oceanography(South China Sea Institute of Oceanology,Chinese Academy of Sciences)(LTO2110)。
文摘The increase in frequency and intensity of Extreme High-temperature Events(EHEs)over Central-Eastern China(CEC)in recent decades has severely impacted social development and livelihoods.Using observation and reanalysis datasets,this study explores the effect of the East Asian subtropical westerly jet stream(EAJ)on the CEC EHEs for the summers spanning 1979–2020.Considering its general relative location to the right side of the upper-level jet stream exit region,CEC would theoretically suffer more EHEs with a stronger and northwardly-shifted EAJ in summer due to the likelihood of abnormal subsidence induced by the EAJ.However,such an EAJ–EHE connection has been unstable over the past four decades but has displayed an evident interdecadal change.Before the late 1990s,the interannual variation of the EAJ was manifested mainly by its meridional displacement in the northeastern part of East Asia;thus,the atmospheric responses were essentially located to the east of CEC,exerting less of an influence on the CEC EHEs.However,since the late 1990s,the EAJ variation has featured an intensity change in its center over the northwest portion of the CEC,which has resulted in a westward shift in atmospheric responses to cover the CEC region.Therefore,the EAJ could potentially affect the summer CEC EHEs during 2000–21.Our findings offer support for an in-depth understanding of the formation mechanisms of extreme weather/climate events of this nature and thus provide a scientific reference for seasonal climate predictions.
基金the support provided by the King Fahd University of Petroleum & Minerals (KFUPM) for facilitating this research
文摘Greenhouse gas(GHG)emssions from fossil fuel consumption are driving global climate change.This study applied the fully modified ordinary least squares(FMOLS)model and pairwise panel Granger causality test to explore the relationships of GHG emissions with gross domestic product(GDP),population,urbanization,natural resource rents,foreign direct investment(FDI),and renewable energy consumption in 12 Middle East and North Africa(MENA)countries(Algeria,Bahrain,Comoros,Djibouti,Egypt,Qatar,Somalia,Saudi Arabia,Syria,the United Arab Emirates,Tunisia,and Yemen)from 1990 to 2023.Due to the limited data on renewable energy after 2020,the coverage of renewable energy consumption is from 1990 to 2021.Findings showed that Saudi Arabia,Egypt,Algeria,the United Arab Emirates,and Qatar are the top 5 GHG emitters in the MENA region,with the GHG emissions of the energy sector rising fastest among all sectors.Results also indicated that a 1.00%increase in GDP,population,urbanization,natural resource rents,and FDI raises GHG emissions by 0.48%,0.61%,0.86%,0.29%,and 0.11%,respectively.Conversely,a 1.00%increase in renewable energy consumption reduces GHG emissions by 0.13%.Effective policies promoting renewable energy investment and the adoption of renewable energy could significantly reduce electricity costs and GHG emissions,contributing to achieving climate goals,such as net-zero emissions and environmental sustainability.Additionally,the increase of renewable energy consumption and technology development would improve energy efficiency,create jobs,and stimulate economic growth in the MENA region.This study recommends tailored policy instruments to support the transition to low-emission technologies and strategies.
文摘[Objective]As hydrogen energy has gained new momentum recently,analyzing the economic and social impacts of developing a hydrogen energy sector can inform further policy formation and investment decision making in this regard.[Method]Considering the increasingly important role of East Asia Summit(EAS)region in both economic growth and green energy transition,this paper developed a demand-driven model for the hydrogen energy supply chains to comprehensively and quantitatively evaluate the economic and social impacts hydrogen energy development in the EAS region.[Result]This model provides estimates of the capital investment required,the number of new jobs created,the potential carbon emissions reduction,the subsidies needed in the early stages of development,and the impacts on key energy security indicators.[Conclusion]This study find that hydrogen energy development has a significant job creation effect,and that the total investment and the fiscal burden appear to be manageable for countries in the EAS region.In addition to substantial carbon emissions reduction,positive social impacts also include general improvements in energy security indicators.
基金funded by the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation(Grant No.2019M663959XB)the Geological Survey and Development Bureau of Qinghai Province 2019 Geological Survey Project(2019[45])the Key Laboratory of Deep Dynamics of the Ministry of Natural Resources,Open Research Project 2019。
文摘In the western segment of the East Kunlun Orogen(WEKO),muscovite granite and garnet granite from the Hureguole intrusion exhibit zircon U-Pb ages of 435-442 Ma.Geochemically,these rocks contain high concentrations of SiO_(2),K_(2)O and Al_(2)O_(3),with low concentrations of TiO_(2)and MgO,indicating a peraluminous high-K calc-alkaline affinity.They are enriched in Rb,Th,U and LREE,depleted in Eu,Ba,Sr and Ti,being classified as S-type granites.Negative whole-rockε_(Nd)(t)values(-9.8 to-9.1)and zirconε_(Hf)(t)values(-11.6 to-8.2)for those granites indicate that they were derived from partial melting of pelitic rocks in the Paleoproterozoic Baishahe Formation of the Jinshuikou Group.Based on the collected zircon ages,Cambrian-Devonian magmatic activity in the WEKO was divided into three stages:early(446-520 Ma),middle(427-441 Ma)and late(372-424 Ma)stages.Statistically,whole-rock Nd and zircon Hf isotope data(ε_(Nd)(t)/T_(DM)^(Nd),ε_(Hf)(t)/T_(DMC)^(Hf))from Paleozoic igneous rocks in the WEKO reveal a magma source that was initially dominated by depleted mantle components in the northward subduction stage of the Proto-Tethy an Ocean plate(446-520 Ma),shifting to predominantly crustal sources during the closure period of the North Qimantagh back-arc basin(427-441 Ma),then to crust-mantle mixed sources in the post-collision stage(372-424 Ma).
