Objectives This study aimed to explore the lagged and cumulative effects of risk factors on disability in older adults using distributed lag non-linear models(DLNMs).Methods We utilized data from the China Health and ...Objectives This study aimed to explore the lagged and cumulative effects of risk factors on disability in older adults using distributed lag non-linear models(DLNMs).Methods We utilized data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study(CHARLS).After feature selection via Elastic Net Regularization,we applied DLNMs to evaluate the lagged effects of risk factors.Disability was defined as the presence of any difficulties in basic activities of daily living(BADL).The cumulative relative risk(CRR)was calculated by summing the lag-specific risk estimates,representing the cumulative disability risk over the specified lag period.Effect modifications and sensitivity analyses were also performed.Results This study included a total of 2,318 participants.Early-phase lag factors,such as the difficulty in stooping(CRR=3.58;95%CI:2.31-5.55;P<0.001)and walking(CRR=2.77;95%CI:1.39-5.55;P<0.001),exerted the strongest effects immediately upon occurrence.Mid-phase lag factors,such as arthritis(CRR=1.51;95%CI:1.10-2.06;P=0.001),showed a resurgence in disability risk within 2-3 years.Late-phase lag factors,including depressive symptoms(CRR=2.38;95%CI:1.30-4.35;P<0.001)and elevated systolic blood pressure(CRR=1.64;95%CI:1.06-2.79;P=0.02),exhibited significant long-term cumulative risks.Conversely,grip strength(CRR=0.80;95%CI:0.54-0.95;P=0.02)and social participation(CRR=0.89;95%CI:0.73-0.99;P=0.04)were significant protective factors.Conclusions The findings underscore the importance of tailored interventions that account for various lag characteristics of different factors to effectively mitigate disability risk.Future studies should explore the underlying biological and sociological mechanisms of these lagged effects,identify intervention strategies that target risk factors with different lagged patterns,and evaluate their effectiveness.展开更多
In the era of massive data,the study of distributed data is a significant topic.Model averaging can be effectively applied to distributed data by combining information from all machines.For linear models,the model ave...In the era of massive data,the study of distributed data is a significant topic.Model averaging can be effectively applied to distributed data by combining information from all machines.For linear models,the model averaging approach has been developed in the context of distributed data.However,further investigation is needed for more complex models.In this paper,the authors propose a distributed optimal model averaging approach based on multivariate additive models,which approximates unknown functions using B-splines allowing each machine to have a different smoothing degree.To utilize the information from the covariance matrix of dependent errors in multivariate multiple regressions,the authors use the Mahalanobis distance to construct a Mallows-type weight choice criterion.The criterion can be computed by transmitting information between the local machines and the center machine in two steps.The authors demonstrate the asymptotic optimality of the proposed model averaging estimator when the covariates are subject to uncertainty,and obtain the convergence rate of the weight vector to the theoretically optimal weights.The results remain novel even for additive models with a single response variable.The numerical examples show that the proposed method yields good performance.展开更多
Nonlinear static procedures are widely adopted in structural engineering practice for seismic performance assessment due to their simplicity and computational efficiency.However,their reliability depends heavily on ho...Nonlinear static procedures are widely adopted in structural engineering practice for seismic performance assessment due to their simplicity and computational efficiency.However,their reliability depends heavily on how the nonlinear behaviour of structural components is represented.The recent earthquakes in Albania(2019)and Türkiye(2023)have underscored the need for accurate assessment techniques,particularly for older reinforced concrete buildings with poor detailing.This study quantifies the discrepancies between default and user-defined component modelling in pushover analysis of pre-modern reinforced concrete structures,analysing two representative low-and mid-rise reinforced concrete frame buildings.The lumped plasticity approach incorporates moment-rotation relationships derived from actual member properties and reinforcement configurations,while the distributed plasticity approach uses software-generated default properties based on modern codes.Results show that the distributed plasticity models systematically overestimate both the strength and the deformation capacity by up to 35%compared to lumped plasticity models,especially in buildings with poor detailing and low concrete strength.These findings demonstrate that default software procedures,widely used in practice but not validated for pre-modern structures,produce dangerously unconservative seismic performance estimates.The study provides quantitative evidence of the critical need for tailored modelling strategies that reflect the actual conditions of the existing building stock.展开更多
To improve the theoretical prediction accuracy of static mechanical quantities in MEMS cantilever beams for microwave power detection chips,a distributed static model is proposed based on the deflection equation.An an...To improve the theoretical prediction accuracy of static mechanical quantities in MEMS cantilever beams for microwave power detection chips,a distributed static model is proposed based on the deflection equation.An analytical frame-work is established through the precise characterization of cantilever beam bending.The framework can accurately extract key electromechanical parameters,and the correlation between these parameters and geometric changes is systematically studied.Results show that the pull-in voltage increases with the gap but decreases with the length.The predicted pull-in voltage indi-cates a relative error of only 6.5%between the distributed static model and the simulation,which is significantly lower than that of the other two models.The overload power and sensitivity are also analyzed to facilitate performance trade-offs in chip design.The measured return loss varies between-66.46 and-10.56 dB over the 8-12 GHz frequency band,exhibiting a charac-teristic V-shaped trend.Moreover,the measured sensitivity of 66.5 fF/W closely matches the theoretical value of 69.3 fF/W,show-ing a relative error of 5.6%.These findings confirm that the distributed model outperforms the other two in terms of both accu-racy and physical realism,thereby providing important reference for the design of microwave power detection chips.展开更多
Characterized by special morphologic,geographic,hydrologic,and societal behaviors,the water resources management of the Mediterranean catchment often shows a higher level of complexity including security issues of wat...Characterized by special morphologic,geographic,hydrologic,and societal behaviors,the water resources management of the Mediterranean catchment often shows a higher level of complexity including security issues of water supply,inundation risks,and environment management under the perspective of climate change.To have a comprehensive understanding of the Mediterranean water-cycle system,a deterministic distributed hydrologic modeling approach has been developed and presented in this study based on an application in the Var catchment(2800 km^(2))located at the French Mediterranean region.A 1D and 2D coupled model of MIKE SHE and MIKE 11 has been set up under a series of hypotheses to represent the whole hydrologic and hydrodynamic processes including rainfall-runoff,snow-melting,channel flow,overland flow,and the water exchange between land surface and unsaturated/saturated zones.The developed model was first calibrated with 4 years daily records from 2008 to 2011,then to be validated and further run within hourly time interval to produce detailed representation of the catchment water-cycle from 2012 to 2014.The deterministic distributed modeling approach presented in this study is able to represent its complicated water-cycle and used for supporting the decision‐making process of the water resources management of the catchment.展开更多
A chance-constrained energy dispatch model based on the distributed stochastic model predictive control(DSMPC)approach for an islanded multi-microgrid system is proposed.An ambiguity set considering the inherent uncer...A chance-constrained energy dispatch model based on the distributed stochastic model predictive control(DSMPC)approach for an islanded multi-microgrid system is proposed.An ambiguity set considering the inherent uncertainties of renewable energy sources(RESs)is constructed without requiring the full distribution knowledge of the uncertainties.The power balance chance constraint is reformulated within the framework of the distributionally robust optimization(DRO)approach.With the exchange of information and energy flow,each microgrid can achieve its local supply-demand balance.Furthermore,the closed-loop stability and recursive feasibility of the proposed algorithm are proved.The comparative results with other DSMPC methods show that a trade-off between robustness and economy can be achieved.展开更多
In this paper,we investigate the periodic traveling wave solutions problem for a single population model with advection and distributed delay.By the bifurcation analysis method,we can obtain periodic traveling wave so...In this paper,we investigate the periodic traveling wave solutions problem for a single population model with advection and distributed delay.By the bifurcation analysis method,we can obtain periodic traveling wave solutions for this model under the influence of advection term and distributed delay.The obtained results indicate that weak kernel and strong kernel can both deduce the existence of periodic traveling wave solutions.Finally,we apply the main results in this paper to Logistic model and Nicholson’s blowflies model.展开更多
The word“spatial”fundamentally relates to human existence,evolution,and activity in terrestrial and even celestial spaces.After reviewing the spatial features of many areas,the paper describes basics of high level m...The word“spatial”fundamentally relates to human existence,evolution,and activity in terrestrial and even celestial spaces.After reviewing the spatial features of many areas,the paper describes basics of high level model and technology called Spatial Grasp for dealing with large distributed systems,which can provide spatial vision,awareness,management,control,and even consciousness.The technology description includes its key Spatial Grasp Language(SGL),self-evolution of recursive SGL scenarios,and implementation of SGL interpreter converting distributed networked systems into powerful spatial engines.Examples of typical spatial scenarios in SGL include finding shortest path tree and shortest path between network nodes,collecting proper information throughout the whole world,elimination of multiple targets by intelligent teams of chasers,and withstanding cyber attacks in distributed networked systems.Also this paper compares Spatial Grasp model with traditional algorithms,confirming universality of the former for any spatial systems,while the latter just tools for concrete applications.展开更多
Well logging technology has accumulated a large amount of historical data through four generations of technological development,which forms the basis of well logging big data and digital assets.However,the value of th...Well logging technology has accumulated a large amount of historical data through four generations of technological development,which forms the basis of well logging big data and digital assets.However,the value of these data has not been well stored,managed and mined.With the development of cloud computing technology,it provides a rare development opportunity for logging big data private cloud.The traditional petrophysical evaluation and interpretation model has encountered great challenges in the face of new evaluation objects.The solution research of logging big data distributed storage,processing and learning functions integrated in logging big data private cloud has not been carried out yet.To establish a distributed logging big-data private cloud platform centered on a unifi ed learning model,which achieves the distributed storage and processing of logging big data and facilitates the learning of novel knowledge patterns via the unifi ed logging learning model integrating physical simulation and data models in a large-scale functional space,thus resolving the geo-engineering evaluation problem of geothermal fi elds.Based on the research idea of“logging big data cloud platform-unifi ed logging learning model-large function space-knowledge learning&discovery-application”,the theoretical foundation of unified learning model,cloud platform architecture,data storage and learning algorithm,arithmetic power allocation and platform monitoring,platform stability,data security,etc.have been carried on analysis.The designed logging big data cloud platform realizes parallel distributed storage and processing of data and learning algorithms.The feasibility of constructing a well logging big data cloud platform based on a unifi ed learning model of physics and data is analyzed in terms of the structure,ecology,management and security of the cloud platform.The case study shows that the logging big data cloud platform has obvious technical advantages over traditional logging evaluation methods in terms of knowledge discovery method,data software and results sharing,accuracy,speed and complexity.展开更多
The work proposes a distributed Kalman filtering(KF)algorithm to track a time-varying unknown signal process for a stochastic regression model over network systems in a cooperative way.We provide the stability analysi...The work proposes a distributed Kalman filtering(KF)algorithm to track a time-varying unknown signal process for a stochastic regression model over network systems in a cooperative way.We provide the stability analysis of the proposed distributed KF algorithm without independent and stationary signal assumptions,which implies that the theoretical results are able to be applied to stochastic feedback systems.Note that the main difficulty of stability analysis lies in analyzing the properties of the product of non-independent and non-stationary random matrices involved in the error equation.We employ analysis techniques such as stochastic Lyapunov function,stability theory of stochastic systems,and algebraic graph theory to deal with the above issue.The stochastic spatio-temporal cooperative information condition shows the cooperative property of multiple sensors that even though any local sensor cannot track the time-varying unknown signal,the distributed KF algorithm can be utilized to finish the filtering task in a cooperative way.At last,we illustrate the property of the proposed distributed KF algorithm by a simulation example.展开更多
Quantile regression(QR)has become an important tool to measure dependence of response variable's quantiles on a number of predictors for heterogeneous data,especially heavy-tailed data and outliers.However,it is q...Quantile regression(QR)has become an important tool to measure dependence of response variable's quantiles on a number of predictors for heterogeneous data,especially heavy-tailed data and outliers.However,it is quite challenging to make statistical inference on distributed high-dimensional QR with missing data due to the distributed nature,sparsity and missingness of data and nondifferentiable quantile loss function.To overcome the challenge,this paper develops a communicationefficient method to select variables and estimate parameters by utilizing a smooth function to approximate the non-differentiable quantile loss function and incorporating the idea of the inverse probability weighting and the penalty function.The proposed approach has three merits.First,it is both computationally and communicationally efficient because only the first-and second-order information of the approximate objective function are communicated at each iteration.Second,the proposed estimators possess the oracle property after a limited number of iterations without constraint on the number of machines.Third,the proposed method simultaneously selects variables and estimates parameters within a distributed framework,ensuring robustness to the specified response probability or propensity score function of the missing data mechanism.Simulation studies and a real example are used to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed methodologies.展开更多
This study examined non-uniform loading in goaf cantilever rock masses via testing,modeling,and mechanical analysis to solve instantaneous fracture and section buckling from mining abutment pressure.The study investig...This study examined non-uniform loading in goaf cantilever rock masses via testing,modeling,and mechanical analysis to solve instantaneous fracture and section buckling from mining abutment pressure.The study investigates the non-uniform load gradient effect on fracture characteristics,including load characteristics,fracture location,fracture distribution,and section roughness.A digital model for fracture interface buckling analysis was developed,elucidating the influence of non-uniform load gradients on Fracture Interface Curvature(FIC),Buckling Rate of Change(BRC),and Buckling Domain Field(BDF).The findings reveal that nonlinear tensile stress concentration and abrupt tensile-compressive-shear strain mutations under non-uniform loading are fundamental mechanisms driving fracture path buckling in cantilever rock mass structures.The buckling process of rock mass under non-uniform load can be divided into two stages:low load gradient and high gradient load.In the stage of low gradient load,the buckling behavior is mainly reflected in the compression-shear fracture of the edge.In the stage of high gradient load,a buckling band along the loading direction is gradually formed in the rock mass.These buckling principles establish a theoretical basis for accurately characterizing bearing fractures,fracture interface instability,and vibration sources within overlying cantilever rock masses in goaf.展开更多
Rural domestic sewage treatment is critical for environmental protection.This study defines the spatial pattern of villages from the perspective of rural sewage treatment and develops an integrated decision-making sys...Rural domestic sewage treatment is critical for environmental protection.This study defines the spatial pattern of villages from the perspective of rural sewage treatment and develops an integrated decision-making system to propose a sewage treatment mode and scheme suitable for local conditions.By considering the village spatial layout and terrain factors,a decision tree model of residential density and terrain type was constructed with accuracies of 76.47%and 96.00%,respectively.Combined with binary classification probability unit regression,an appropriate sewage treatment mode for the village was determined with 87.00%accuracy.The Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP),combined with the Technique for Order Preference(TOPSIS)by Similarity to an Ideal Solution model,formed the basis for optimal treatment process selection under different emission standards.Verification was conducted in 542 villages across three counties of the Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region,focusing on the standard effluent effect(0.3773),low investment cost(0.3196),and high standard effluent effect(0.5115)to determine the best treatment process for the same emission standard under different needs.The annual environmental and carbon emission benefits of sewage treatment in these villages were estimated.This model matches village density,geographic feature,and social development level,and provides scientific support and a theoretical basis for rural sewage treatment decision-making.展开更多
The intracontinental subduction of a>200-km-long section of the Tajik-Tarim lithosphere beneath the Pamir Mountains is proposed to explain nearly 30 km of shortening in the Tajik fold-thrust belt and the Pamir upli...The intracontinental subduction of a>200-km-long section of the Tajik-Tarim lithosphere beneath the Pamir Mountains is proposed to explain nearly 30 km of shortening in the Tajik fold-thrust belt and the Pamir uplift.Seismic imaging revealed that the upper slab was scraped and that the lower slab had subducted to a depth of>150 km.These features constitute the tectonic complexity of the Pamirs,as well as the thermal subduction mechanism involved,which remains poorly understood.Hence,in this study,high-resolution three-dimensional(3D)kinematic modeling is applied to investigate the thermal structure and geometry of the subducting slab beneath the Pamirs.The modeled slab configuration reveals distinct along-strike variations,with a steeply dipping slab beneath the southern Pamirs,a more gently inclined slab beneath the northern Pamirs,and apparent upper slab termination at shallow depths beneath the Pamirs.The thermal field reveals a cold slab core after delamination,with temperatures ranging from 400℃to 800℃,enveloped by a hotter mantle reaching~1400℃.The occurrence of intermediate-depth earthquakes aligns primarily with colder slab regions,particularly near the slab tear-off below the southwestern Pamirs,indicating a strong correlation between slab temperature and seismicity.In contrast,the northern Pamirs exhibit reduced seismicity at depth,which is likely associated with thermal weakening and delamination.The central Pamirs show a significant thermal anomaly caused by a concave slab,where the coldest crust does not descend deeply,further suggesting crustal detachment or mechanical failure.The lateral asymmetry in slab temperature possibly explains the mechanism of lateral tearing and differential slab-mantle coupling.展开更多
As the environmental problems become increasingly serious,distributed electrical propulsion systems with higher aerodynamic efficiency and lower pollution emission have received extensive attention in recent years.The...As the environmental problems become increasingly serious,distributed electrical propulsion systems with higher aerodynamic efficiency and lower pollution emission have received extensive attention in recent years.The distributed electrical propulsion usually employs the new aero-propulsion integrated configuration.A simulation strategy for internal and external flow coupling based on the combination of lifting line theory and body force method is proposed.The lifting line theory and body force method as source term are embedded into the Navier-Stokes formulation.The lift and drag characteristics of the aero-propulsion coupling configuration are simulated.The results indicate that the coupling configuration has the most obvious lift augmentation at 12°angle of attack,which can provide an 11.11%increase in lift for the airfoil.At 0°angle of attack,the pressure difference on the lip parts provides the thrust component,which results in a lower drag coefficient.Additionally,the failure impact of a ducted fan at the middle or edge on aerodynamics is investigated.For the two failure conditions,the lift of the coupling configuration is decreased significantly by 27.85%and 26.14%respectively,and the lip thrust is decreased by 70.74%and 56.48%respectively.展开更多
We present a comprehensive description and benchmark evaluation of the global–regional chemical transport model called the Emission and Atmospheric Processes Integrated and Coupled Community(EPICC)model.The framework...We present a comprehensive description and benchmark evaluation of the global–regional chemical transport model called the Emission and Atmospheric Processes Integrated and Coupled Community(EPICC)model.The framework incorporates(1)grid configuration,(2)transport dynamics,(3)chemical mechanisms,(4)aerosol processes,(5)wet/dry deposition parameterizations,and(6)heterogeneous chemistry treatments associated with sulfate,nitrous acid(HONO)chemistry,and aerosol/cloud–photolysis interactions(APIs/CPIs).Openly shared with the atmospheric research community,the model facilitates integration of advanced physicochemical schemes to enhance simulation accuracy.Globally,the model demonstrates realistic representations of ozone(O_(3))and aerosol optical depth.The EPICC model generally demonstrates robust performance in simulating regional concentrations of O_(3) and PM_(2.5)(and its components)in China.It successfully captures vertical profiles of both global and regional O_(3).Notably,the model mitigates frequently reported sulfate underestimations in highly industrialized regions of China.The model accurately captures two regional severe pollution episodes observed in eastern China(January/June 2021).Sensitivity experiments highlight the critical roles of heterogeneous chemical mechanisms associated with sulfate,HONO chemistry,APIs,and CPIs in capturing PM_(2.5) and O_(3) concentrations in China.Improved sulfate mechanisms result in an increase of approximately 32.4%(2.8μg m^(−3))in simulated winter sulfate concentrations when observations exceed 10μg m^(−3).Enhanced HONO elevates winter O_(3) and PM_(2.5) by≤20 and≤10μg m^(−3),respectively.Overall,CPIs dominate over APIs in improving O_(3) and PM_(2.5) simulations across China.Locally,APIs mitigate PM_(2.5) and O_(3) discrepancies in the Sichuan Basin.Seasonal cloud–chemistry coupling explains the weaker impact of PM_(2.5) in summer.展开更多
Material phase-transition represents a significant phenomenon and mechanism in the context of hypervelocity protection.This study presents a thorough analysis of the phase-transition phenomena induced by shock pressur...Material phase-transition represents a significant phenomenon and mechanism in the context of hypervelocity protection.This study presents a thorough analysis of the phase-transition phenomena induced by shock pressure as the shock wave propagates initially to the rear of the projectile.The shock wave that induces a phase-transition is commonly referred to as a macroscopic phase-transition wave,whereas the interface that separates the distinct phases is referred to as macroscopic phase-boundary.The contact interface between the spherical projectile and the thin plate,characterized by its curved surface,plays a significant role in the nonlinear propagation and evolution of wave systems.The pressure distribution along the central axis of a spherical projectile is derived in accordance with the linear decay law observed for axial pressure.On this basis,a quadratic function is employed to characterize the trend of changes in wave front pressure,thereby facilitating the establishment of a model for wave front pressure distribution.Using the phase-transition pressure criterion for materials,the wave front phase evolution process is derived,and the macroscopic phase-boundary is determined.Based on the geometric propagation model(GPM)and the pressure distribution of the wave front,a phase geometric propagation model(PGPM)is proposed.The phase distribution of a spherical projectile impacting a thin plate is obtained by theoretical methods.The accuracy of the PGPM is subsequently validated through a comparison of its results with those obtained from numerical simulations.展开更多
Distributed learning is a well-established method for estimation tasks over extensively distributed datasets.However,non-randomly stored data can introduce bias into local parameter estimates,leading to significant pe...Distributed learning is a well-established method for estimation tasks over extensively distributed datasets.However,non-randomly stored data can introduce bias into local parameter estimates,leading to significant performance degradation in classical distributed algorithms.In this paper,the authors propose a novel Distributed Quasi-Newton Pilot(DQNP)method for distributed learning with non-randomly distributed data.The proposed approach accommodates both randomly and non-randomly distributed data settings and imposes no constraints on the uniformity of local sample sizes.Additionally,it avoids the need to transfer the Hessian matrix or compute its inversion,thereby greatly reducing computational and communication complexity.The authors theoretically demonstrate that the resulting estimator achieves statistical efficiency under mild conditions.Extensive numerical experiments on synthetic and real-world data validate the theoretical findings and illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.展开更多
Model evaluation using benchmark datasets is an important method to measure the capability of large language models(LLMs)in specific domains,and it is mainly used to assess the knowledge and reasoning abilities of LLM...Model evaluation using benchmark datasets is an important method to measure the capability of large language models(LLMs)in specific domains,and it is mainly used to assess the knowledge and reasoning abilities of LLMs.Therefore,in order to better assess the capability of LLMs in the agricultural domain,Agri-Eval was proposed as a benchmark for assessing the knowledge and reasoning ability of LLMs in agriculture.The assessment dataset used in Agri-Eval covered seven major disciplines in the agricultural domain:crop science,horticulture,plant protection,animal husbandry,forest science,aquaculture science,and grass science,and contained a total of 2283 questions.Among domestic general-purpose LLMs,DeepSeek R1 performed best with an accuracy rate of 75.49%.In the realm of international general-purpose LLMs,Gemini 2.0 pro exp 0205 standed out as the top performer,achieving an accuracy rate of 74.28%.As an LLMs in agriculture vertical,Shennong V2.0 outperformed all the LLMs in China,and the answer accuracy rate of agricultural knowledge exceeded that of all the existing general-purpose LLMs.The launch of Agri-Eval helped the LLM developers to comprehensively evaluate the model's capability in the field of agriculture through a variety of tasks and tests to promote the development of the LLMs in the field of agriculture.展开更多
In this paper,we establish and study a single-species logistic model with impulsive age-selective harvesting.First,we prove the ultimate boundedness of the solutions of the system.Then,we obtain conditions for the asy...In this paper,we establish and study a single-species logistic model with impulsive age-selective harvesting.First,we prove the ultimate boundedness of the solutions of the system.Then,we obtain conditions for the asymptotic stability of the trivial solution and the positive periodic solution.Finally,numerical simulations are presented to validate our results.Our results show that age-selective harvesting is more conducive to sustainable population survival than non-age-selective harvesting.展开更多
基金supported by ScientificResearch Fund of National Health Commission of the People’s Republic of China-Major Science and Technology Program for Medicine and Health in Zhejiang Province(WKJ-ZJ-2406).
文摘Objectives This study aimed to explore the lagged and cumulative effects of risk factors on disability in older adults using distributed lag non-linear models(DLNMs).Methods We utilized data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study(CHARLS).After feature selection via Elastic Net Regularization,we applied DLNMs to evaluate the lagged effects of risk factors.Disability was defined as the presence of any difficulties in basic activities of daily living(BADL).The cumulative relative risk(CRR)was calculated by summing the lag-specific risk estimates,representing the cumulative disability risk over the specified lag period.Effect modifications and sensitivity analyses were also performed.Results This study included a total of 2,318 participants.Early-phase lag factors,such as the difficulty in stooping(CRR=3.58;95%CI:2.31-5.55;P<0.001)and walking(CRR=2.77;95%CI:1.39-5.55;P<0.001),exerted the strongest effects immediately upon occurrence.Mid-phase lag factors,such as arthritis(CRR=1.51;95%CI:1.10-2.06;P=0.001),showed a resurgence in disability risk within 2-3 years.Late-phase lag factors,including depressive symptoms(CRR=2.38;95%CI:1.30-4.35;P<0.001)and elevated systolic blood pressure(CRR=1.64;95%CI:1.06-2.79;P=0.02),exhibited significant long-term cumulative risks.Conversely,grip strength(CRR=0.80;95%CI:0.54-0.95;P=0.02)and social participation(CRR=0.89;95%CI:0.73-0.99;P=0.04)were significant protective factors.Conclusions The findings underscore the importance of tailored interventions that account for various lag characteristics of different factors to effectively mitigate disability risk.Future studies should explore the underlying biological and sociological mechanisms of these lagged effects,identify intervention strategies that target risk factors with different lagged patterns,and evaluate their effectiveness.
基金supported by Youth Academic Innocation Team Construction project of Capital University of Economics and Business under Grant No.QNTD202303supported by the Beijing Outstanding Young Scientist Program under Grant No.JWZQ20240101027the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant Nos.12031016,12531012 and 12426308。
文摘In the era of massive data,the study of distributed data is a significant topic.Model averaging can be effectively applied to distributed data by combining information from all machines.For linear models,the model averaging approach has been developed in the context of distributed data.However,further investigation is needed for more complex models.In this paper,the authors propose a distributed optimal model averaging approach based on multivariate additive models,which approximates unknown functions using B-splines allowing each machine to have a different smoothing degree.To utilize the information from the covariance matrix of dependent errors in multivariate multiple regressions,the authors use the Mahalanobis distance to construct a Mallows-type weight choice criterion.The criterion can be computed by transmitting information between the local machines and the center machine in two steps.The authors demonstrate the asymptotic optimality of the proposed model averaging estimator when the covariates are subject to uncertainty,and obtain the convergence rate of the weight vector to the theoretically optimal weights.The results remain novel even for additive models with a single response variable.The numerical examples show that the proposed method yields good performance.
文摘Nonlinear static procedures are widely adopted in structural engineering practice for seismic performance assessment due to their simplicity and computational efficiency.However,their reliability depends heavily on how the nonlinear behaviour of structural components is represented.The recent earthquakes in Albania(2019)and Türkiye(2023)have underscored the need for accurate assessment techniques,particularly for older reinforced concrete buildings with poor detailing.This study quantifies the discrepancies between default and user-defined component modelling in pushover analysis of pre-modern reinforced concrete structures,analysing two representative low-and mid-rise reinforced concrete frame buildings.The lumped plasticity approach incorporates moment-rotation relationships derived from actual member properties and reinforcement configurations,while the distributed plasticity approach uses software-generated default properties based on modern codes.Results show that the distributed plasticity models systematically overestimate both the strength and the deformation capacity by up to 35%compared to lumped plasticity models,especially in buildings with poor detailing and low concrete strength.These findings demonstrate that default software procedures,widely used in practice but not validated for pre-modern structures,produce dangerously unconservative seismic performance estimates.The study provides quantitative evidence of the critical need for tailored modelling strategies that reflect the actual conditions of the existing building stock.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(61904089)the Province Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu(BK20190731).
文摘To improve the theoretical prediction accuracy of static mechanical quantities in MEMS cantilever beams for microwave power detection chips,a distributed static model is proposed based on the deflection equation.An analytical frame-work is established through the precise characterization of cantilever beam bending.The framework can accurately extract key electromechanical parameters,and the correlation between these parameters and geometric changes is systematically studied.Results show that the pull-in voltage increases with the gap but decreases with the length.The predicted pull-in voltage indi-cates a relative error of only 6.5%between the distributed static model and the simulation,which is significantly lower than that of the other two models.The overload power and sensitivity are also analyzed to facilitate performance trade-offs in chip design.The measured return loss varies between-66.46 and-10.56 dB over the 8-12 GHz frequency band,exhibiting a charac-teristic V-shaped trend.Moreover,the measured sensitivity of 66.5 fF/W closely matches the theoretical value of 69.3 fF/W,show-ing a relative error of 5.6%.These findings confirm that the distributed model outperforms the other two in terms of both accu-racy and physical realism,thereby providing important reference for the design of microwave power detection chips.
基金supported by the National Key R&D Program of China(No.2023YFC3006702)the Natural Science Foundation of Beijing Municipality(IS23117).
文摘Characterized by special morphologic,geographic,hydrologic,and societal behaviors,the water resources management of the Mediterranean catchment often shows a higher level of complexity including security issues of water supply,inundation risks,and environment management under the perspective of climate change.To have a comprehensive understanding of the Mediterranean water-cycle system,a deterministic distributed hydrologic modeling approach has been developed and presented in this study based on an application in the Var catchment(2800 km^(2))located at the French Mediterranean region.A 1D and 2D coupled model of MIKE SHE and MIKE 11 has been set up under a series of hypotheses to represent the whole hydrologic and hydrodynamic processes including rainfall-runoff,snow-melting,channel flow,overland flow,and the water exchange between land surface and unsaturated/saturated zones.The developed model was first calibrated with 4 years daily records from 2008 to 2011,then to be validated and further run within hourly time interval to produce detailed representation of the catchment water-cycle from 2012 to 2014.The deterministic distributed modeling approach presented in this study is able to represent its complicated water-cycle and used for supporting the decision‐making process of the water resources management of the catchment.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.U24B20156)the National Defense Basic Scientific Research Program of China(No.JCKY2021204B051)the National Laboratory of Space Intelligent Control of China(Nos.HTKJ2023KL502005 and HTKJ2024KL502007)。
文摘A chance-constrained energy dispatch model based on the distributed stochastic model predictive control(DSMPC)approach for an islanded multi-microgrid system is proposed.An ambiguity set considering the inherent uncertainties of renewable energy sources(RESs)is constructed without requiring the full distribution knowledge of the uncertainties.The power balance chance constraint is reformulated within the framework of the distributionally robust optimization(DRO)approach.With the exchange of information and energy flow,each microgrid can achieve its local supply-demand balance.Furthermore,the closed-loop stability and recursive feasibility of the proposed algorithm are proved.The comparative results with other DSMPC methods show that a trade-off between robustness and economy can be achieved.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(12261050)Science and Technology Project of Department of Education of Jiangxi Province(GJJ2201612 and GJJ211027)Natural Science Foundation of Jiangxi Province of China(20212BAB202021)。
文摘In this paper,we investigate the periodic traveling wave solutions problem for a single population model with advection and distributed delay.By the bifurcation analysis method,we can obtain periodic traveling wave solutions for this model under the influence of advection term and distributed delay.The obtained results indicate that weak kernel and strong kernel can both deduce the existence of periodic traveling wave solutions.Finally,we apply the main results in this paper to Logistic model and Nicholson’s blowflies model.
文摘The word“spatial”fundamentally relates to human existence,evolution,and activity in terrestrial and even celestial spaces.After reviewing the spatial features of many areas,the paper describes basics of high level model and technology called Spatial Grasp for dealing with large distributed systems,which can provide spatial vision,awareness,management,control,and even consciousness.The technology description includes its key Spatial Grasp Language(SGL),self-evolution of recursive SGL scenarios,and implementation of SGL interpreter converting distributed networked systems into powerful spatial engines.Examples of typical spatial scenarios in SGL include finding shortest path tree and shortest path between network nodes,collecting proper information throughout the whole world,elimination of multiple targets by intelligent teams of chasers,and withstanding cyber attacks in distributed networked systems.Also this paper compares Spatial Grasp model with traditional algorithms,confirming universality of the former for any spatial systems,while the latter just tools for concrete applications.
基金supported By Grant (PLN2022-14) of State Key Laboratory of Oil and Gas Reservoir Geology and Exploitation (Southwest Petroleum University)。
文摘Well logging technology has accumulated a large amount of historical data through four generations of technological development,which forms the basis of well logging big data and digital assets.However,the value of these data has not been well stored,managed and mined.With the development of cloud computing technology,it provides a rare development opportunity for logging big data private cloud.The traditional petrophysical evaluation and interpretation model has encountered great challenges in the face of new evaluation objects.The solution research of logging big data distributed storage,processing and learning functions integrated in logging big data private cloud has not been carried out yet.To establish a distributed logging big-data private cloud platform centered on a unifi ed learning model,which achieves the distributed storage and processing of logging big data and facilitates the learning of novel knowledge patterns via the unifi ed logging learning model integrating physical simulation and data models in a large-scale functional space,thus resolving the geo-engineering evaluation problem of geothermal fi elds.Based on the research idea of“logging big data cloud platform-unifi ed logging learning model-large function space-knowledge learning&discovery-application”,the theoretical foundation of unified learning model,cloud platform architecture,data storage and learning algorithm,arithmetic power allocation and platform monitoring,platform stability,data security,etc.have been carried on analysis.The designed logging big data cloud platform realizes parallel distributed storage and processing of data and learning algorithms.The feasibility of constructing a well logging big data cloud platform based on a unifi ed learning model of physics and data is analyzed in terms of the structure,ecology,management and security of the cloud platform.The case study shows that the logging big data cloud platform has obvious technical advantages over traditional logging evaluation methods in terms of knowledge discovery method,data software and results sharing,accuracy,speed and complexity.
基金supported in part by Sichuan Science and Technology Program under Grant No.2025ZNSFSC151in part by the Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences under Grant No.XDA27030201+1 种基金the Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No.U21B6001in part by the Natural Science Foundation of Tianjin under Grant No.24JCQNJC01930.
文摘The work proposes a distributed Kalman filtering(KF)algorithm to track a time-varying unknown signal process for a stochastic regression model over network systems in a cooperative way.We provide the stability analysis of the proposed distributed KF algorithm without independent and stationary signal assumptions,which implies that the theoretical results are able to be applied to stochastic feedback systems.Note that the main difficulty of stability analysis lies in analyzing the properties of the product of non-independent and non-stationary random matrices involved in the error equation.We employ analysis techniques such as stochastic Lyapunov function,stability theory of stochastic systems,and algebraic graph theory to deal with the above issue.The stochastic spatio-temporal cooperative information condition shows the cooperative property of multiple sensors that even though any local sensor cannot track the time-varying unknown signal,the distributed KF algorithm can be utilized to finish the filtering task in a cooperative way.At last,we illustrate the property of the proposed distributed KF algorithm by a simulation example.
基金supported by the National Key R&D Program of China under Grant No.2022YFA1003701the Open Research Fund of Yunnan Key Laboratory of Statistical Modeling and Data Analysis,Yunnan University under Grant No.SMDAYB2023004。
文摘Quantile regression(QR)has become an important tool to measure dependence of response variable's quantiles on a number of predictors for heterogeneous data,especially heavy-tailed data and outliers.However,it is quite challenging to make statistical inference on distributed high-dimensional QR with missing data due to the distributed nature,sparsity and missingness of data and nondifferentiable quantile loss function.To overcome the challenge,this paper develops a communicationefficient method to select variables and estimate parameters by utilizing a smooth function to approximate the non-differentiable quantile loss function and incorporating the idea of the inverse probability weighting and the penalty function.The proposed approach has three merits.First,it is both computationally and communicationally efficient because only the first-and second-order information of the approximate objective function are communicated at each iteration.Second,the proposed estimators possess the oracle property after a limited number of iterations without constraint on the number of machines.Third,the proposed method simultaneously selects variables and estimates parameters within a distributed framework,ensuring robustness to the specified response probability or propensity score function of the missing data mechanism.Simulation studies and a real example are used to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed methodologies.
基金support provided by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.52274077)the Natural Science Foundation of Henan(No.242300421072)+2 种基金the Youth Elite Teachers Cultivation Program for Higher Education Institutions in Henan Province(No.2024GGJS036)the Funds for Distinguished Young Scholars of Henan Polytechnic University(No.J2023-3)the Young Core Teacher Funding Scheme of Henan Polytechnic University(No.2023XQG-09).
文摘This study examined non-uniform loading in goaf cantilever rock masses via testing,modeling,and mechanical analysis to solve instantaneous fracture and section buckling from mining abutment pressure.The study investigates the non-uniform load gradient effect on fracture characteristics,including load characteristics,fracture location,fracture distribution,and section roughness.A digital model for fracture interface buckling analysis was developed,elucidating the influence of non-uniform load gradients on Fracture Interface Curvature(FIC),Buckling Rate of Change(BRC),and Buckling Domain Field(BDF).The findings reveal that nonlinear tensile stress concentration and abrupt tensile-compressive-shear strain mutations under non-uniform loading are fundamental mechanisms driving fracture path buckling in cantilever rock mass structures.The buckling process of rock mass under non-uniform load can be divided into two stages:low load gradient and high gradient load.In the stage of low gradient load,the buckling behavior is mainly reflected in the compression-shear fracture of the edge.In the stage of high gradient load,a buckling band along the loading direction is gradually formed in the rock mass.These buckling principles establish a theoretical basis for accurately characterizing bearing fractures,fracture interface instability,and vibration sources within overlying cantilever rock masses in goaf.
基金supported by the Central Government Guiding Local Science and Technology Development Fund Project(No.2024SZY0343)the Joint Research Program for Ecological Conservation and High Quality Development of the Yellow River Basin(No.2022-YRUC-01-050205)+2 种基金the Higher Education Scientific Research Project of Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region(No.NJZZ23078)the project of Inner Mongolia"Prairie Talents"Engineering Innovation Entrepreneurship Talent Team,the Major Projects of Erdos Science and Technology(No.2022EEDSKJZDZX015)the Innovation Team of the Inner Mongolia Academy of Science and Technology(No.CXTD2023-01-016).
文摘Rural domestic sewage treatment is critical for environmental protection.This study defines the spatial pattern of villages from the perspective of rural sewage treatment and develops an integrated decision-making system to propose a sewage treatment mode and scheme suitable for local conditions.By considering the village spatial layout and terrain factors,a decision tree model of residential density and terrain type was constructed with accuracies of 76.47%and 96.00%,respectively.Combined with binary classification probability unit regression,an appropriate sewage treatment mode for the village was determined with 87.00%accuracy.The Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP),combined with the Technique for Order Preference(TOPSIS)by Similarity to an Ideal Solution model,formed the basis for optimal treatment process selection under different emission standards.Verification was conducted in 542 villages across three counties of the Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region,focusing on the standard effluent effect(0.3773),low investment cost(0.3196),and high standard effluent effect(0.5115)to determine the best treatment process for the same emission standard under different needs.The annual environmental and carbon emission benefits of sewage treatment in these villages were estimated.This model matches village density,geographic feature,and social development level,and provides scientific support and a theoretical basis for rural sewage treatment decision-making.
基金the Chinese Academy of Sciences Pioneer Hundred Talents Program and the Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research Program(Grant No.2019QZKK0708)supported by a MEXT(Ministry of Education,Culture,Sports,Science and Technology)KAKENHI(Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research)grant(Grant No.21H05203)Kobe University Strategic International Collaborative Research Grant(Type B Fostering Joint Research).
文摘The intracontinental subduction of a>200-km-long section of the Tajik-Tarim lithosphere beneath the Pamir Mountains is proposed to explain nearly 30 km of shortening in the Tajik fold-thrust belt and the Pamir uplift.Seismic imaging revealed that the upper slab was scraped and that the lower slab had subducted to a depth of>150 km.These features constitute the tectonic complexity of the Pamirs,as well as the thermal subduction mechanism involved,which remains poorly understood.Hence,in this study,high-resolution three-dimensional(3D)kinematic modeling is applied to investigate the thermal structure and geometry of the subducting slab beneath the Pamirs.The modeled slab configuration reveals distinct along-strike variations,with a steeply dipping slab beneath the southern Pamirs,a more gently inclined slab beneath the northern Pamirs,and apparent upper slab termination at shallow depths beneath the Pamirs.The thermal field reveals a cold slab core after delamination,with temperatures ranging from 400℃to 800℃,enveloped by a hotter mantle reaching~1400℃.The occurrence of intermediate-depth earthquakes aligns primarily with colder slab regions,particularly near the slab tear-off below the southwestern Pamirs,indicating a strong correlation between slab temperature and seismicity.In contrast,the northern Pamirs exhibit reduced seismicity at depth,which is likely associated with thermal weakening and delamination.The central Pamirs show a significant thermal anomaly caused by a concave slab,where the coldest crust does not descend deeply,further suggesting crustal detachment or mechanical failure.The lateral asymmetry in slab temperature possibly explains the mechanism of lateral tearing and differential slab-mantle coupling.
基金the funding support from the Taihang Laboratory,China(No.D2024-1-0201).
文摘As the environmental problems become increasingly serious,distributed electrical propulsion systems with higher aerodynamic efficiency and lower pollution emission have received extensive attention in recent years.The distributed electrical propulsion usually employs the new aero-propulsion integrated configuration.A simulation strategy for internal and external flow coupling based on the combination of lifting line theory and body force method is proposed.The lifting line theory and body force method as source term are embedded into the Navier-Stokes formulation.The lift and drag characteristics of the aero-propulsion coupling configuration are simulated.The results indicate that the coupling configuration has the most obvious lift augmentation at 12°angle of attack,which can provide an 11.11%increase in lift for the airfoil.At 0°angle of attack,the pressure difference on the lip parts provides the thrust component,which results in a lower drag coefficient.Additionally,the failure impact of a ducted fan at the middle or edge on aerodynamics is investigated.For the two failure conditions,the lift of the coupling configuration is decreased significantly by 27.85%and 26.14%respectively,and the lip thrust is decreased by 70.74%and 56.48%respectively.
基金National Key Scientific and Technological Infrastructure project “Earth System Science Numerical Simulator Facility” (EarthLab)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 92044302)the National Key Research Development Program of China (Grant No. 2022YFC3700703)
文摘We present a comprehensive description and benchmark evaluation of the global–regional chemical transport model called the Emission and Atmospheric Processes Integrated and Coupled Community(EPICC)model.The framework incorporates(1)grid configuration,(2)transport dynamics,(3)chemical mechanisms,(4)aerosol processes,(5)wet/dry deposition parameterizations,and(6)heterogeneous chemistry treatments associated with sulfate,nitrous acid(HONO)chemistry,and aerosol/cloud–photolysis interactions(APIs/CPIs).Openly shared with the atmospheric research community,the model facilitates integration of advanced physicochemical schemes to enhance simulation accuracy.Globally,the model demonstrates realistic representations of ozone(O_(3))and aerosol optical depth.The EPICC model generally demonstrates robust performance in simulating regional concentrations of O_(3) and PM_(2.5)(and its components)in China.It successfully captures vertical profiles of both global and regional O_(3).Notably,the model mitigates frequently reported sulfate underestimations in highly industrialized regions of China.The model accurately captures two regional severe pollution episodes observed in eastern China(January/June 2021).Sensitivity experiments highlight the critical roles of heterogeneous chemical mechanisms associated with sulfate,HONO chemistry,APIs,and CPIs in capturing PM_(2.5) and O_(3) concentrations in China.Improved sulfate mechanisms result in an increase of approximately 32.4%(2.8μg m^(−3))in simulated winter sulfate concentrations when observations exceed 10μg m^(−3).Enhanced HONO elevates winter O_(3) and PM_(2.5) by≤20 and≤10μg m^(−3),respectively.Overall,CPIs dominate over APIs in improving O_(3) and PM_(2.5) simulations across China.Locally,APIs mitigate PM_(2.5) and O_(3) discrepancies in the Sichuan Basin.Seasonal cloud–chemistry coupling explains the weaker impact of PM_(2.5) in summer.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.12432018,12372346)the Innovative Research Groups of the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.12221002)National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.12302493)。
文摘Material phase-transition represents a significant phenomenon and mechanism in the context of hypervelocity protection.This study presents a thorough analysis of the phase-transition phenomena induced by shock pressure as the shock wave propagates initially to the rear of the projectile.The shock wave that induces a phase-transition is commonly referred to as a macroscopic phase-transition wave,whereas the interface that separates the distinct phases is referred to as macroscopic phase-boundary.The contact interface between the spherical projectile and the thin plate,characterized by its curved surface,plays a significant role in the nonlinear propagation and evolution of wave systems.The pressure distribution along the central axis of a spherical projectile is derived in accordance with the linear decay law observed for axial pressure.On this basis,a quadratic function is employed to characterize the trend of changes in wave front pressure,thereby facilitating the establishment of a model for wave front pressure distribution.Using the phase-transition pressure criterion for materials,the wave front phase evolution process is derived,and the macroscopic phase-boundary is determined.Based on the geometric propagation model(GPM)and the pressure distribution of the wave front,a phase geometric propagation model(PGPM)is proposed.The phase distribution of a spherical projectile impacting a thin plate is obtained by theoretical methods.The accuracy of the PGPM is subsequently validated through a comparison of its results with those obtained from numerical simulations.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No.12271034the Open Fund Project of Key Laboratory of Market Regulation under Grant No.2023SYSKF02003。
文摘Distributed learning is a well-established method for estimation tasks over extensively distributed datasets.However,non-randomly stored data can introduce bias into local parameter estimates,leading to significant performance degradation in classical distributed algorithms.In this paper,the authors propose a novel Distributed Quasi-Newton Pilot(DQNP)method for distributed learning with non-randomly distributed data.The proposed approach accommodates both randomly and non-randomly distributed data settings and imposes no constraints on the uniformity of local sample sizes.Additionally,it avoids the need to transfer the Hessian matrix or compute its inversion,thereby greatly reducing computational and communication complexity.The authors theoretically demonstrate that the resulting estimator achieves statistical efficiency under mild conditions.Extensive numerical experiments on synthetic and real-world data validate the theoretical findings and illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.
文摘Model evaluation using benchmark datasets is an important method to measure the capability of large language models(LLMs)in specific domains,and it is mainly used to assess the knowledge and reasoning abilities of LLMs.Therefore,in order to better assess the capability of LLMs in the agricultural domain,Agri-Eval was proposed as a benchmark for assessing the knowledge and reasoning ability of LLMs in agriculture.The assessment dataset used in Agri-Eval covered seven major disciplines in the agricultural domain:crop science,horticulture,plant protection,animal husbandry,forest science,aquaculture science,and grass science,and contained a total of 2283 questions.Among domestic general-purpose LLMs,DeepSeek R1 performed best with an accuracy rate of 75.49%.In the realm of international general-purpose LLMs,Gemini 2.0 pro exp 0205 standed out as the top performer,achieving an accuracy rate of 74.28%.As an LLMs in agriculture vertical,Shennong V2.0 outperformed all the LLMs in China,and the answer accuracy rate of agricultural knowledge exceeded that of all the existing general-purpose LLMs.The launch of Agri-Eval helped the LLM developers to comprehensively evaluate the model's capability in the field of agriculture through a variety of tasks and tests to promote the development of the LLMs in the field of agriculture.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(12261018)Universities Key Laboratory of Mathematical Modeling and Data Mining in Guizhou Province(2023013)。
文摘In this paper,we establish and study a single-species logistic model with impulsive age-selective harvesting.First,we prove the ultimate boundedness of the solutions of the system.Then,we obtain conditions for the asymptotic stability of the trivial solution and the positive periodic solution.Finally,numerical simulations are presented to validate our results.Our results show that age-selective harvesting is more conducive to sustainable population survival than non-age-selective harvesting.
