Bayesian regularized BP neural network（BRBPNN） technique was applied in the chlorophyll-α prediction of Nanzui water area in Dongting Lake. Through BP network interpolation method, the input and output samples of t...Bayesian regularized BP neural network（BRBPNN） technique was applied in the chlorophyll-α prediction of Nanzui water area in Dongting Lake. Through BP network interpolation method, the input and output samples of the network were obtained. After the selection of input variables using stepwise/multiple linear regression method in SPSS i1.0 software, the BRBPNN model was established between chlorophyll-α and environmental parameters, biological parameters. The achieved optimal network structure was 3-11-1 with the correlation coefficients and the mean square errors for the training set and the test set as 0.999 and 0.000？8426, 0.981 and 0.0216 respectively. The sum of square weights between each input neuron and the hidden layer of optimal BRBPNN models of different structures indicated that the effect of individual input parameter on chlorophyll- α declined in the order of alga amount 〉 secchi disc depth（SD） 〉 electrical conductivity （EC）. Additionally, it also demonstrated that the contributions of these three factors were the maximal for the change of chlorophyll-α concentration, total phosphorus（TP） and total nitrogen（TN） were the minimal. All the results showed that BRBPNN model was capable of automated regularization parameter selection and thus it may ensure the excellent generation ability and robustness. Thus, this study laid the foundation for the application of BRBPNN model in the analysis of aquatic ecological data（chlorophyll-α prediction） and the explanation about the effective eutrophication treatment measures for Nanzui water area in Dongting Lake.展开更多
The effective and timely diagnosis and treatment of ocular diseases are key to the rapid recovery of patients.Today,the mass disease that needs attention in this context is cataracts.Although deep learning has signifi...The effective and timely diagnosis and treatment of ocular diseases are key to the rapid recovery of patients.Today,the mass disease that needs attention in this context is cataracts.Although deep learning has significantly advanced the analysis of ocular disease images,there is a need for a probabilistic model to generate the distributions of potential outcomes and thusmake decisions related to uncertainty quantification.Therefore,this study implements a Bayesian Convolutional Neural Networks(BCNN)model for predicting cataracts by assigning probability values to the predictions.It prepares convolutional neural network(CNN)and BCNN models.The proposed BCNN model is CNN-based in which reparameterization is in the first and last layers of the CNN model.This study then trains them on a dataset of cataract images filtered from the ocular disease fundus images fromKaggle.The deep CNN model has an accuracy of 95%,while the BCNN model has an accuracy of 93.75% along with information on uncertainty estimation of cataracts and normal eye conditions.When compared with other methods,the proposed work reveals that it can be a promising solution for cataract prediction with uncertainty estimation.展开更多
Biological data in fishery ecology have complex structures and are highly heterogeneous.Catch per unit effort(CPUE)estimated from fishery-dependent data are often used to characterize abundance indices(AI)of fish spec...Biological data in fishery ecology have complex structures and are highly heterogeneous.Catch per unit effort(CPUE)estimated from fishery-dependent data are often used to characterize abundance indices(AI)of fish species,which is critical in fish stock assessment.However,additional considerations need to be undertaken to ensure robust estimation because of the latently complicated structures in fishery-dependent data.Here,we elaborated the process of constructing multi-output artificial neural network models to standardize CPUE for heterogeneous fishing operations and applied it to the skipjack tuna(Katsuwonus pelamis)in the western and central Pacific Ocean(WCPO).Seasonal,spatial,and environmental factors were input variables,and the CPUE of four types of skipjack tuna fisheries were set as output variables.The optimal structure for multi-output neural network was evaluated by systematic comparison in 100 runs hold-out cross-validation.The results showed that the final multi-output neural network model with high accuracy can predict the spatial and temporal trends of skipjack tuna abundance.展开更多
Viscosity is one of the important thermophysical properties of liquid aluminum alloys,which influences the characteristics of mold filling and solidification and thus the quality of castings.In this study,315 sets of ...Viscosity is one of the important thermophysical properties of liquid aluminum alloys,which influences the characteristics of mold filling and solidification and thus the quality of castings.In this study,315 sets of experimental viscosity data collected from the literatures were used to develop the viscosity prediction model.Back-propagation(BP)neural network method was adopted,with the melt temperature and mass contents of Al,Si,Fe,Cu,Mn,Mg and Zn solutes as the model input,and the viscosity value as the model output.To improve the model accuracy,the influence of different training algorithms and the number of hidden neurons was studied.The initial weight and bias values were also optimized using genetic algorithm,which considerably improve the model accuracy.The average relative error between the predicted and experimental data is less than 5%,confirming that the optimal model has high prediction accuracy and reliability.The predictions by our model for temperature-and solute content-dependent viscosity of pure Al and binary Al alloys are in very good agreement with the experimental results in the literature,indicating that the developed model has a good prediction accuracy.展开更多
Dephosphorization is essential content in the steelmaking process,and the process after the converter has no dephosphorization function.Therefore,phosphorus must be removed to the required level in the converter proce...Dephosphorization is essential content in the steelmaking process,and the process after the converter has no dephosphorization function.Therefore,phosphorus must be removed to the required level in the converter process.In order to better control the end-point phosphorus content of basic oxygen furnace(BOF),a prediction model of end-point phosphorus content for BOF based on monotone-constrained backpropagation(BP)neural network was established.Through the theoretical analysis of the dephosphorization process,ten factors that affect the end-point phosphorus content were determined as the input variables of the model.The correlations between influencing factors and end-point phosphorus content were determined as the constraint condition of the model.200 sets of data were used to verify the accuracy of the model,and the hit ratios in the range of±0.005%and±0.003%are 94%and 74%,respectively.The fit coefficient of determination of the predicted value and the actual value is 0.8456,and the root-mean-square error is 0.0030;the predictive accuracy is better than that of ordinary BP neural network,and this model has good interpretability.It can provide useful reference for real production and also provide a new approach for metallurgical predictive modeling.展开更多
An isothermal compressive experiment using Gleeble 1500 thermal simulator was studied to acquire flow stress at different deformation temperatures, strains and strain rates. The artificial neural networks with the err...An isothermal compressive experiment using Gleeble 1500 thermal simulator was studied to acquire flow stress at different deformation temperatures, strains and strain rates. The artificial neural networks with the error back propagation(BP) algorithm was used to establish constitutive model of 2519 aluminum alloy based on the experiment data. The model results show that the systematical error is small(δ=3.3%) when the value of objective function is 0.2, the number of nodes in the hidden layer is 5 and the learning rate is 0.1. Flow stresses of the material under various thermodynamic conditions are predicted by the neural network model, and the predicted results correspond with the experimental results. A knowledge-based constitutive relation model is developed.展开更多
According to the neural network theory, combined with the technical characteristicsof the hole-by-hole detonation technology, a BP network model on the forecast forblasting vibration parameters was built.Taking the de...According to the neural network theory, combined with the technical characteristicsof the hole-by-hole detonation technology, a BP network model on the forecast forblasting vibration parameters was built.Taking the deep hole stair demolition in a mine asan experimental object and using the raw information and the blasting vibration monitoringdata collected in the process of the hole-by-hole detonation, carried out some training andapplication work on the established BP network model through the Matlab software, andachieved good effect.Also computed the vibration parameter with the empirical formulaand the BP network model separately.After comparing with the actual value, it is discoveredthat the forecasting result by the BP network model is close to the actual value.展开更多
This paper develops a joint model utilizing the principal component analysis(PCA)and the back propagation(BP)neural network model optimized by the Levenberg Marquardt(LM)algorithm,and as an application of the joint mo...This paper develops a joint model utilizing the principal component analysis(PCA)and the back propagation(BP)neural network model optimized by the Levenberg Marquardt(LM)algorithm,and as an application of the joint model to investigate the damages caused by typhoons for a coastal province,Fujian Province,China in 2005-2015(latest).First,the PCA is applied to analyze comprehensively the relationship between hazard factors,hazard bearing factors and disaster factors.Then five integrated indices,overall disaster level,typhoon intensity,damaged condition of houses,medical rescue and self-rescue capability,are extracted through the PCA;Finally,the BP neural network model,which takes the principal component scores as input and is optimized by the LM algorithm,is implemented to forecast the comprehensive loss of typhoons.It is estimated that an average annual loss of 138.514 billion RMB occurred for 2005-2015,with a maximum loss of 215.582 in 2006 and a decreasing trend since 2010 though the typhoon intensity increases.The model was validated using three typhoon events and it is found that the error is less than 1%.These results provide information for the government to increase medical institutions and medical workers and for the communities to promote residents’self-rescue capability.展开更多
Soil compressibility parameters are important indicators in the geotechnical field and are affected by various factors such as natural conditions and human interference.When the sample size is too large,conventional m...Soil compressibility parameters are important indicators in the geotechnical field and are affected by various factors such as natural conditions and human interference.When the sample size is too large,conventional methods require massive human and financial resources.In order to reasonably simulate the compressibility parameters of the sample,this paper firstly adopts the correlation analysis to select seven influencing factors.Each of the factors has a high correlation with compressibility parameters.Meanwhile,the proportion of the weights of the seven factors in the Bayesian neural network is analyzed based on Garson theory.Secondly,an output model of the compressibility parameters of BR-BP silty clay is established based on Bayesian regularized BP neural network.Finally,the model is used to simulate the measured compressibility parameters.The output results are compared with the measured values and the output results of the traditional LM-BP neural network.The results show that the model is more stable and has stronger nonlinear fitting ability.The output of the model is basically consistent with the actual value.Compared with the traditional LMBP neural network model,its data sensitivity is enhanced,and the accuracy of the output result is significantly improved,the average value of the relative error of the compression coefficient is reduced from 15.54%to 6.15%,and the average value of the relative error of the compression modulus is reduced from 6.07%to 4.62%.The results provide a new technical method for obtaining the compressibility parameters of silty clay in this area,showing good theoretical significance and practical value.展开更多
Ever since the appearance of"Implementation Measures for Suspending and Terminating the Listing of Loss-making Companies"in 2001,the delisting system has emerged.However,the proportion of delisted companies ...Ever since the appearance of"Implementation Measures for Suspending and Terminating the Listing of Loss-making Companies"in 2001,the delisting system has emerged.However,the proportion of delisted companies in China has never exceeded 1% each year.The number of delisted companies in the security market is far less than the number of companies with financial distress.The capital market lacks a good delisting system and investors lack risk identification capabilities.Financial risk is directly related to delisting risk.Therefore,an early warning model of financial distress prediction for China.s stock market can provide guidance to stakeholders such as listed companies and capital markets.This paper first explains the immature delisting system of China.s capital market and the overall high risk of listed companies.financial distress.Then,the paper further elaborates previous research on financial distress prediction model of listed companies and analyzes the advantages and disadvantages of different models.This paper chooses the Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP)to screen out the main factors that affect the risk of financial distress.The main factors are included in Logistic regression model and BP neural network model for predicting financial distress of listed companies.The overall effect of two models are assessed and compared.Finally,this paper proposes policy implications according to empirical results.展开更多
In terms of 34-year monthly mean temperature series in 1946-1979,the multi-level maPPing model of neural netWork BP type was applied to calculate the system's fractual dimension Do=2'8,leading tO a three-level...In terms of 34-year monthly mean temperature series in 1946-1979,the multi-level maPPing model of neural netWork BP type was applied to calculate the system's fractual dimension Do=2'8,leading tO a three-level model of this type with ixj=3x2,k=l,and the 1980 monthly mean temperture predichon on a long-t6rm basis were prepared by steadily modifying the weighting coefficient,making for the correlation coefficient of 97% with the measurements.Furthermore,the weighhng parameter was modified for each month of 1980 by means of observations,therefore constrcuhng monthly mean temperature forecasts from January to December of the year,reaching the correlation of 99.9% with the measurements.Likewise,the resulting 1981 monthly predictions on a long-range basis with 1946-1980 corresponding records yielded the correlahon of 98% and the month-tO month forecasts of 99.4%.展开更多
Recent years we have witnessed the rapid growth of social commerce in China, but many users are not willing to trust and use social commerce. So improving consumers’ trust and purchase intention has become a crucial ...Recent years we have witnessed the rapid growth of social commerce in China, but many users are not willing to trust and use social commerce. So improving consumers’ trust and purchase intention has become a crucial factor in the success of social commerce. Business factors, environment factors and social factors including twelve secondary indexes build up a social commerce trust evaluation model. Questionnaires are handed out to collect twelve secondary indexes scores as input of BP neural network and composite score of trust as output. Model simulation shows that both training samples and test samples have low level of average error and standard deviation, which certify that the model has good stability and it is a good method for evaluating social commerce trust.展开更多
A momentum BP neural network model （MBPNNM） was constructed to retrieve the water depth information for the South Channel of the Yangtze River Estuary using the relationship between the reflectance derived from Land...A momentum BP neural network model （MBPNNM） was constructed to retrieve the water depth information for the South Channel of the Yangtze River Estuary using the relationship between the reflectance derived from Landsat 7 satellite data and the water depth information. Results showed that MBPNNM, which exhibited a strong capability of nonlinear mapping, allowed the water depth information in the study area to be retrieved at a relatively high level of accuracy. Affected by the sediment concentration of water in the estuary, MBPNNM enabled the retrieval of water depth of less than 5 meters accurately. However, the accuracy was not ideal for the water depths of more than 10 meters.展开更多
Two traditional methods for compensating function model errors, the method of adding systematic parameters and the least-squares collection method, are introduced. A proposed method based on a BP neural network （call...Two traditional methods for compensating function model errors, the method of adding systematic parameters and the least-squares collection method, are introduced. A proposed method based on a BP neural network （called the H-BP algorithm） for compensating function model errors is put forward. The function model is assumed as y =f（x1, x2,… ,xn）, and the special structure of the H-BP algorithm is determined as （ n ＋ 1） ×p × 1, where （n ＋ 1） is the element number of the input layer, and the elements are xl, x2,…, xn and y＇ （ y＇ is the value calculated by the function model）; p is the element number of the hidden layer, and it is usually determined after many tests; 1 is the dement number of the output layer, and the element is △y = y0-y＇（y0 is the known value of the sample）. The calculation steps of the H-BP algorithm are introduced in detail. And then, the results of three methods for compensating function model errors from one engineering project are compared with each other. After being compensated, the accuracy of the traditional methods is about ± 19 mm, and the accuracy of the H-BP algorithm is ± 4. 3 mm. It shows that the proposed method based on a neural network is more effective than traditional methods for compensating function model errors.展开更多
Conventional artificial neural networks used to solve electrical resistivity imaging （ERI） inversion problem suffer from overfitting and local minima. To solve these problems, we propose to use a pruning Bayesian ne...Conventional artificial neural networks used to solve electrical resistivity imaging （ERI） inversion problem suffer from overfitting and local minima. To solve these problems, we propose to use a pruning Bayesian neural network （PBNN） nonlinear inversion method and a sample design method based on the K-medoids clustering algorithm. In the sample design method, the training samples of the neural network are designed according to the prior information provided by the K-medoids clustering results; thus, the training process of the neural network is well guided. The proposed PBNN, based on Bayesian regularization, is used to select the hidden layer structure by assessing the effect of each hidden neuron to the inversion results. Then, the hyperparameter αk, which is based on the generalized mean, is chosen to guide the pruning process according to the prior distribution of the training samples under the small-sample condition. The proposed algorithm is more efficient than other common adaptive regularization methods in geophysics. The inversion of synthetic data and field data suggests that the proposed method suppresses the noise in the neural network training stage and enhances the generalization. The inversion results with the proposed method are better than those of the BPNN, RBFNN, and RRBFNN inversion methods as well as the conventional least squares inversion.展开更多
By using alternating current plasma arc welding,the influences were studied of such parameters as welding curent,arc voltage,welding speed,wire feed rate,and magnitude of ion gas flow on front melting width,wdle rei...By using alternating current plasma arc welding,the influences were studied of such parameters as welding curent,arc voltage,welding speed,wire feed rate,and magnitude of ion gas flow on front melting width,wdle reinforcement,and back melting width of LF6 aluminum alloy.Model of the formation of welding seam in alternating current plasma arc welding of aluminum was set up with the method of artificial neural neural network - BP algorithm. Qyakuty of formation was consequently predicted and evaluated.The experimental result shows that,compared with other modeling methods,artificial network model can be used to more accurately predict formation of weld,and to guide the production practice.展开更多
文摘Bayesian regularized BP neural network（BRBPNN） technique was applied in the chlorophyll-α prediction of Nanzui water area in Dongting Lake. Through BP network interpolation method, the input and output samples of the network were obtained. After the selection of input variables using stepwise/multiple linear regression method in SPSS i1.0 software, the BRBPNN model was established between chlorophyll-α and environmental parameters, biological parameters. The achieved optimal network structure was 3-11-1 with the correlation coefficients and the mean square errors for the training set and the test set as 0.999 and 0.000？8426, 0.981 and 0.0216 respectively. The sum of square weights between each input neuron and the hidden layer of optimal BRBPNN models of different structures indicated that the effect of individual input parameter on chlorophyll- α declined in the order of alga amount 〉 secchi disc depth（SD） 〉 electrical conductivity （EC）. Additionally, it also demonstrated that the contributions of these three factors were the maximal for the change of chlorophyll-α concentration, total phosphorus（TP） and total nitrogen（TN） were the minimal. All the results showed that BRBPNN model was capable of automated regularization parameter selection and thus it may ensure the excellent generation ability and robustness. Thus, this study laid the foundation for the application of BRBPNN model in the analysis of aquatic ecological data（chlorophyll-α prediction） and the explanation about the effective eutrophication treatment measures for Nanzui water area in Dongting Lake.
基金Saudi Arabia for funding this work through Small Research Group Project under Grant Number RGP.1/316/45.
文摘The effective and timely diagnosis and treatment of ocular diseases are key to the rapid recovery of patients.Today,the mass disease that needs attention in this context is cataracts.Although deep learning has significantly advanced the analysis of ocular disease images,there is a need for a probabilistic model to generate the distributions of potential outcomes and thusmake decisions related to uncertainty quantification.Therefore,this study implements a Bayesian Convolutional Neural Networks(BCNN)model for predicting cataracts by assigning probability values to the predictions.It prepares convolutional neural network(CNN)and BCNN models.The proposed BCNN model is CNN-based in which reparameterization is in the first and last layers of the CNN model.This study then trains them on a dataset of cataract images filtered from the ocular disease fundus images fromKaggle.The deep CNN model has an accuracy of 95%,while the BCNN model has an accuracy of 93.75% along with information on uncertainty estimation of cataracts and normal eye conditions.When compared with other methods,the proposed work reveals that it can be a promising solution for cataract prediction with uncertainty estimation.
基金supported by the National Key R&D Program of China(No.2023YFD2401303).
文摘Biological data in fishery ecology have complex structures and are highly heterogeneous.Catch per unit effort(CPUE)estimated from fishery-dependent data are often used to characterize abundance indices(AI)of fish species,which is critical in fish stock assessment.However,additional considerations need to be undertaken to ensure robust estimation because of the latently complicated structures in fishery-dependent data.Here,we elaborated the process of constructing multi-output artificial neural network models to standardize CPUE for heterogeneous fishing operations and applied it to the skipjack tuna(Katsuwonus pelamis)in the western and central Pacific Ocean(WCPO).Seasonal,spatial,and environmental factors were input variables,and the CPUE of four types of skipjack tuna fisheries were set as output variables.The optimal structure for multi-output neural network was evaluated by systematic comparison in 100 runs hold-out cross-validation.The results showed that the final multi-output neural network model with high accuracy can predict the spatial and temporal trends of skipjack tuna abundance.
基金the GM Research Foundation,China(No.GAC2094)Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Advanced Metallic Materials,China(No.BM2007204)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities,China(No.2242016K40011)。
文摘Viscosity is one of the important thermophysical properties of liquid aluminum alloys,which influences the characteristics of mold filling and solidification and thus the quality of castings.In this study,315 sets of experimental viscosity data collected from the literatures were used to develop the viscosity prediction model.Back-propagation(BP)neural network method was adopted,with the melt temperature and mass contents of Al,Si,Fe,Cu,Mn,Mg and Zn solutes as the model input,and the viscosity value as the model output.To improve the model accuracy,the influence of different training algorithms and the number of hidden neurons was studied.The initial weight and bias values were also optimized using genetic algorithm,which considerably improve the model accuracy.The average relative error between the predicted and experimental data is less than 5%,confirming that the optimal model has high prediction accuracy and reliability.The predictions by our model for temperature-and solute content-dependent viscosity of pure Al and binary Al alloys are in very good agreement with the experimental results in the literature,indicating that the developed model has a good prediction accuracy.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.51974023)Key R&D Program Projects in Jiangxi Province(20171ACE50020).
文摘Dephosphorization is essential content in the steelmaking process,and the process after the converter has no dephosphorization function.Therefore,phosphorus must be removed to the required level in the converter process.In order to better control the end-point phosphorus content of basic oxygen furnace(BOF),a prediction model of end-point phosphorus content for BOF based on monotone-constrained backpropagation(BP)neural network was established.Through the theoretical analysis of the dephosphorization process,ten factors that affect the end-point phosphorus content were determined as the input variables of the model.The correlations between influencing factors and end-point phosphorus content were determined as the constraint condition of the model.200 sets of data were used to verify the accuracy of the model,and the hit ratios in the range of±0.005%and±0.003%are 94%and 74%,respectively.The fit coefficient of determination of the predicted value and the actual value is 0.8456,and the root-mean-square error is 0.0030;the predictive accuracy is better than that of ordinary BP neural network,and this model has good interpretability.It can provide useful reference for real production and also provide a new approach for metallurgical predictive modeling.
文摘An isothermal compressive experiment using Gleeble 1500 thermal simulator was studied to acquire flow stress at different deformation temperatures, strains and strain rates. The artificial neural networks with the error back propagation(BP) algorithm was used to establish constitutive model of 2519 aluminum alloy based on the experiment data. The model results show that the systematical error is small(δ=3.3%) when the value of objective function is 0.2, the number of nodes in the hidden layer is 5 and the learning rate is 0.1. Flow stresses of the material under various thermodynamic conditions are predicted by the neural network model, and the predicted results correspond with the experimental results. A knowledge-based constitutive relation model is developed.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(50778107)
文摘According to the neural network theory, combined with the technical characteristicsof the hole-by-hole detonation technology, a BP network model on the forecast forblasting vibration parameters was built.Taking the deep hole stair demolition in a mine asan experimental object and using the raw information and the blasting vibration monitoringdata collected in the process of the hole-by-hole detonation, carried out some training andapplication work on the established BP network model through the Matlab software, andachieved good effect.Also computed the vibration parameter with the empirical formulaand the BP network model separately.After comparing with the actual value, it is discoveredthat the forecasting result by the BP network model is close to the actual value.
文摘This paper develops a joint model utilizing the principal component analysis(PCA)and the back propagation(BP)neural network model optimized by the Levenberg Marquardt(LM)algorithm,and as an application of the joint model to investigate the damages caused by typhoons for a coastal province,Fujian Province,China in 2005-2015(latest).First,the PCA is applied to analyze comprehensively the relationship between hazard factors,hazard bearing factors and disaster factors.Then five integrated indices,overall disaster level,typhoon intensity,damaged condition of houses,medical rescue and self-rescue capability,are extracted through the PCA;Finally,the BP neural network model,which takes the principal component scores as input and is optimized by the LM algorithm,is implemented to forecast the comprehensive loss of typhoons.It is estimated that an average annual loss of 138.514 billion RMB occurred for 2005-2015,with a maximum loss of 215.582 in 2006 and a decreasing trend since 2010 though the typhoon intensity increases.The model was validated using three typhoon events and it is found that the error is less than 1%.These results provide information for the government to increase medical institutions and medical workers and for the communities to promote residents’self-rescue capability.
基金This project is sponsored by the Basic scientific research business funding project of Institute of Seismic Prediction,CEA(2018 IESLZ06)the Natural Science Foundation of China(51778590)Earthquake Science and Technology Spark Project(XH20057)。
文摘Soil compressibility parameters are important indicators in the geotechnical field and are affected by various factors such as natural conditions and human interference.When the sample size is too large,conventional methods require massive human and financial resources.In order to reasonably simulate the compressibility parameters of the sample,this paper firstly adopts the correlation analysis to select seven influencing factors.Each of the factors has a high correlation with compressibility parameters.Meanwhile,the proportion of the weights of the seven factors in the Bayesian neural network is analyzed based on Garson theory.Secondly,an output model of the compressibility parameters of BR-BP silty clay is established based on Bayesian regularized BP neural network.Finally,the model is used to simulate the measured compressibility parameters.The output results are compared with the measured values and the output results of the traditional LM-BP neural network.The results show that the model is more stable and has stronger nonlinear fitting ability.The output of the model is basically consistent with the actual value.Compared with the traditional LMBP neural network model,its data sensitivity is enhanced,and the accuracy of the output result is significantly improved,the average value of the relative error of the compression coefficient is reduced from 15.54%to 6.15%,and the average value of the relative error of the compression modulus is reduced from 6.07%to 4.62%.The results provide a new technical method for obtaining the compressibility parameters of silty clay in this area,showing good theoretical significance and practical value.
文摘Ever since the appearance of"Implementation Measures for Suspending and Terminating the Listing of Loss-making Companies"in 2001,the delisting system has emerged.However,the proportion of delisted companies in China has never exceeded 1% each year.The number of delisted companies in the security market is far less than the number of companies with financial distress.The capital market lacks a good delisting system and investors lack risk identification capabilities.Financial risk is directly related to delisting risk.Therefore,an early warning model of financial distress prediction for China.s stock market can provide guidance to stakeholders such as listed companies and capital markets.This paper first explains the immature delisting system of China.s capital market and the overall high risk of listed companies.financial distress.Then,the paper further elaborates previous research on financial distress prediction model of listed companies and analyzes the advantages and disadvantages of different models.This paper chooses the Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP)to screen out the main factors that affect the risk of financial distress.The main factors are included in Logistic regression model and BP neural network model for predicting financial distress of listed companies.The overall effect of two models are assessed and compared.Finally,this paper proposes policy implications according to empirical results.
文摘In terms of 34-year monthly mean temperature series in 1946-1979,the multi-level maPPing model of neural netWork BP type was applied to calculate the system's fractual dimension Do=2'8,leading tO a three-level model of this type with ixj=3x2,k=l,and the 1980 monthly mean temperture predichon on a long-t6rm basis were prepared by steadily modifying the weighting coefficient,making for the correlation coefficient of 97% with the measurements.Furthermore,the weighhng parameter was modified for each month of 1980 by means of observations,therefore constrcuhng monthly mean temperature forecasts from January to December of the year,reaching the correlation of 99.9% with the measurements.Likewise,the resulting 1981 monthly predictions on a long-range basis with 1946-1980 corresponding records yielded the correlahon of 98% and the month-tO month forecasts of 99.4%.
文摘Recent years we have witnessed the rapid growth of social commerce in China, but many users are not willing to trust and use social commerce. So improving consumers’ trust and purchase intention has become a crucial factor in the success of social commerce. Business factors, environment factors and social factors including twelve secondary indexes build up a social commerce trust evaluation model. Questionnaires are handed out to collect twelve secondary indexes scores as input of BP neural network and composite score of trust as output. Model simulation shows that both training samples and test samples have low level of average error and standard deviation, which certify that the model has good stability and it is a good method for evaluating social commerce trust.
基金the Key Program of National Natural Science Foundation （Project No.50339010） the Huaihe Valley 0pen Fund Project （No.Hx2007）.
文摘A momentum BP neural network model （MBPNNM） was constructed to retrieve the water depth information for the South Channel of the Yangtze River Estuary using the relationship between the reflectance derived from Landsat 7 satellite data and the water depth information. Results showed that MBPNNM, which exhibited a strong capability of nonlinear mapping, allowed the water depth information in the study area to be retrieved at a relatively high level of accuracy. Affected by the sediment concentration of water in the estuary, MBPNNM enabled the retrieval of water depth of less than 5 meters accurately. However, the accuracy was not ideal for the water depths of more than 10 meters.
基金The National Basic Research Program of China(973 Program)(No.2006CB705501)the National High Technology Research and Development Program of China (863 Program)(No.2007AA12Z228)
文摘Two traditional methods for compensating function model errors, the method of adding systematic parameters and the least-squares collection method, are introduced. A proposed method based on a BP neural network （called the H-BP algorithm） for compensating function model errors is put forward. The function model is assumed as y =f（x1, x2,… ,xn）, and the special structure of the H-BP algorithm is determined as （ n ＋ 1） ×p × 1, where （n ＋ 1） is the element number of the input layer, and the elements are xl, x2,…, xn and y＇ （ y＇ is the value calculated by the function model）; p is the element number of the hidden layer, and it is usually determined after many tests; 1 is the dement number of the output layer, and the element is △y = y0-y＇（y0 is the known value of the sample）. The calculation steps of the H-BP algorithm are introduced in detail. And then, the results of three methods for compensating function model errors from one engineering project are compared with each other. After being compensated, the accuracy of the traditional methods is about ± 19 mm, and the accuracy of the H-BP algorithm is ± 4. 3 mm. It shows that the proposed method based on a neural network is more effective than traditional methods for compensating function model errors.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.41374118)the Research Fund for the Higher Education Doctoral Program of China(Grant No.20120162110015)+3 种基金the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation(Grant No.2015M580700)the Hunan Provincial Natural Science Foundation,the China(Grant No.2016JJ3086)the Hunan Provincial Science and Technology Program,China(Grant No.2015JC3067)the Scientific Research Fund of Hunan Provincial Education Department,China(Grant No.15B138)
文摘Conventional artificial neural networks used to solve electrical resistivity imaging （ERI） inversion problem suffer from overfitting and local minima. To solve these problems, we propose to use a pruning Bayesian neural network （PBNN） nonlinear inversion method and a sample design method based on the K-medoids clustering algorithm. In the sample design method, the training samples of the neural network are designed according to the prior information provided by the K-medoids clustering results; thus, the training process of the neural network is well guided. The proposed PBNN, based on Bayesian regularization, is used to select the hidden layer structure by assessing the effect of each hidden neuron to the inversion results. Then, the hyperparameter αk, which is based on the generalized mean, is chosen to guide the pruning process according to the prior distribution of the training samples under the small-sample condition. The proposed algorithm is more efficient than other common adaptive regularization methods in geophysics. The inversion of synthetic data and field data suggests that the proposed method suppresses the noise in the neural network training stage and enhances the generalization. The inversion results with the proposed method are better than those of the BPNN, RBFNN, and RRBFNN inversion methods as well as the conventional least squares inversion.
文摘By using alternating current plasma arc welding,the influences were studied of such parameters as welding curent,arc voltage,welding speed,wire feed rate,and magnitude of ion gas flow on front melting width,wdle reinforcement,and back melting width of LF6 aluminum alloy.Model of the formation of welding seam in alternating current plasma arc welding of aluminum was set up with the method of artificial neural neural network - BP algorithm. Qyakuty of formation was consequently predicted and evaluated.The experimental result shows that,compared with other modeling methods,artificial network model can be used to more accurately predict formation of weld,and to guide the production practice.
