Presented is a multiple model soft sensing method based on Affinity Propagation （AP）, Gaussian process （GP） and Bayesian committee machine （BCM）. AP clustering arithmetic is used to cluster training samples acco...Presented is a multiple model soft sensing method based on Affinity Propagation （AP）, Gaussian process （GP） and Bayesian committee machine （BCM）. AP clustering arithmetic is used to cluster training samples according to their operating points. Then, the sub-models are estimated by Gaussian Process Regression （GPR）. Finally, in order to get a global probabilistic prediction, Bayesian committee mactnne is used to combine the outputs of the sub-estimators. The proposed method has been applied to predict the light naphtha end point in hydrocracker fractionators. Practical applications indicate that it is useful for the online prediction of quality monitoring in chemical processes.展开更多
Accurate classification and prediction of future traffic conditions are essential for developing effective strategies for congestion mitigation on the highway systems. Speed distribution is one of the traffic stream p...Accurate classification and prediction of future traffic conditions are essential for developing effective strategies for congestion mitigation on the highway systems. Speed distribution is one of the traffic stream parameters, which has been used to quantify the traffic conditions. Previous studies have shown that multi-modal probability distribution of speeds gives excellent results when simultaneously evaluating congested and free-flow traffic conditions. However, most of these previous analytical studies do not incorporate the influencing factors in characterizing these conditions. This study evaluates the impact of traffic occupancy on the multi-state speed distribution using the Bayesian Dirichlet Process Mixtures of Generalized Linear Models (DPM-GLM). Further, the study estimates the speed cut-point values of traffic states, which separate them into homogeneous groups using Bayesian change-point detection (BCD) technique. The study used 2015 archived one-year traffic data collected on Florida’s Interstate 295 freeway corridor. Information criteria results revealed three traffic states, which were identified as free-flow, transitional flow condition (congestion onset/offset), and the congested condition. The findings of the DPM-GLM indicated that in all estimated states, the traffic speed decreases when traffic occupancy increases. Comparison of the influence of traffic occupancy between traffic states showed that traffic occupancy has more impact on the free-flow and the congested state than on the transitional flow condition. With respect to estimating the threshold speed value, the results of the BCD model revealed promising findings in characterizing levels of traffic congestion.展开更多
This paper investigates the navigational performance of Global Positioning System(GPS)using the variational Bayesian(VB)based robust filter with interacting multiple model(IMM)adaptation as the navigation processor.Th...This paper investigates the navigational performance of Global Positioning System(GPS)using the variational Bayesian(VB)based robust filter with interacting multiple model(IMM)adaptation as the navigation processor.The performance of the state estimation for GPS navigation processing using the family ofKalman filter(KF)may be degraded due to the fact that in practical situations the statistics of measurement noise might change.In the proposed algorithm,the adaptivity is achieved by estimating the timevarying noise covariance matrices based onVB learning using the probabilistic approach,where in each update step,both the system state and time-varying measurement noise were recognized as random variables to be estimated.The estimation is iterated recursively at each time to approximate the real joint posterior distribution of state using the VB learning.One of the two major classical adaptive Kalman filter(AKF)approaches that have been proposed for tuning the noise covariance matrices is the multiple model adaptive estimate(MMAE).The IMM algorithm uses two or more filters to process in parallel,where each filter corresponds to a different dynamic or measurement model.The robust Huber’s M-estimation-based extended Kalman filter(HEKF)algorithm integrates both merits of the Huber M-estimation methodology and EKF.The robustness is enhanced by modifying the filter update based on Huber’s M-estimation method in the filtering framework.The proposed algorithm,referred to as the interactive multi-model based variational Bayesian HEKF(IMM-VBHEKF),provides an effective way for effectively handling the errors with time-varying and outlying property of non-Gaussian interference errors,such as the multipath effect.Illustrative examples are given to demonstrate the navigation performance enhancement in terms of adaptivity and robustness at the expense of acceptable additional execution time.展开更多
基金Supported by the National High Technology Research and Development Program of China (2006AA040309)National BasicResearch Program of China (2007CB714000)
文摘Presented is a multiple model soft sensing method based on Affinity Propagation （AP）, Gaussian process （GP） and Bayesian committee machine （BCM）. AP clustering arithmetic is used to cluster training samples according to their operating points. Then, the sub-models are estimated by Gaussian Process Regression （GPR）. Finally, in order to get a global probabilistic prediction, Bayesian committee mactnne is used to combine the outputs of the sub-estimators. The proposed method has been applied to predict the light naphtha end point in hydrocracker fractionators. Practical applications indicate that it is useful for the online prediction of quality monitoring in chemical processes.
文摘Accurate classification and prediction of future traffic conditions are essential for developing effective strategies for congestion mitigation on the highway systems. Speed distribution is one of the traffic stream parameters, which has been used to quantify the traffic conditions. Previous studies have shown that multi-modal probability distribution of speeds gives excellent results when simultaneously evaluating congested and free-flow traffic conditions. However, most of these previous analytical studies do not incorporate the influencing factors in characterizing these conditions. This study evaluates the impact of traffic occupancy on the multi-state speed distribution using the Bayesian Dirichlet Process Mixtures of Generalized Linear Models (DPM-GLM). Further, the study estimates the speed cut-point values of traffic states, which separate them into homogeneous groups using Bayesian change-point detection (BCD) technique. The study used 2015 archived one-year traffic data collected on Florida’s Interstate 295 freeway corridor. Information criteria results revealed three traffic states, which were identified as free-flow, transitional flow condition (congestion onset/offset), and the congested condition. The findings of the DPM-GLM indicated that in all estimated states, the traffic speed decreases when traffic occupancy increases. Comparison of the influence of traffic occupancy between traffic states showed that traffic occupancy has more impact on the free-flow and the congested state than on the transitional flow condition. With respect to estimating the threshold speed value, the results of the BCD model revealed promising findings in characterizing levels of traffic congestion.
基金This work has been partially supported by the Ministry of Science and Technology,Taiwan[Grant Numbers MOST 108-2221-E-019-013 and MOST 109-2221-E-019-010].
文摘This paper investigates the navigational performance of Global Positioning System(GPS)using the variational Bayesian(VB)based robust filter with interacting multiple model(IMM)adaptation as the navigation processor.The performance of the state estimation for GPS navigation processing using the family ofKalman filter(KF)may be degraded due to the fact that in practical situations the statistics of measurement noise might change.In the proposed algorithm,the adaptivity is achieved by estimating the timevarying noise covariance matrices based onVB learning using the probabilistic approach,where in each update step,both the system state and time-varying measurement noise were recognized as random variables to be estimated.The estimation is iterated recursively at each time to approximate the real joint posterior distribution of state using the VB learning.One of the two major classical adaptive Kalman filter(AKF)approaches that have been proposed for tuning the noise covariance matrices is the multiple model adaptive estimate(MMAE).The IMM algorithm uses two or more filters to process in parallel,where each filter corresponds to a different dynamic or measurement model.The robust Huber’s M-estimation-based extended Kalman filter(HEKF)algorithm integrates both merits of the Huber M-estimation methodology and EKF.The robustness is enhanced by modifying the filter update based on Huber’s M-estimation method in the filtering framework.The proposed algorithm,referred to as the interactive multi-model based variational Bayesian HEKF(IMM-VBHEKF),provides an effective way for effectively handling the errors with time-varying and outlying property of non-Gaussian interference errors,such as the multipath effect.Illustrative examples are given to demonstrate the navigation performance enhancement in terms of adaptivity and robustness at the expense of acceptable additional execution time.
