This paper presents a refined method for estimating the annual extreme wave heights at a coastal or offshore project site on the basis of the data acquired at some nearby routine hydrographic stations. This method is ...This paper presents a refined method for estimating the annual extreme wave heights at a coastal or offshore project site on the basis of the data acquired at some nearby routine hydrographic stations. This method is based on the orthogonality principle in linear mean square estimation of stochastic processes. The error of the method is analyzed and compared with that of the conventional method. It is found that the method is able to effectively reduce the error so long as some feasible measures are adopted. A simulated test of the method has been conducted in a large scale wind wave flume. The test results are in good agreement with those given by theoretical error analysis. A scheme to implement the method is proposed on the basis of error analysis. The scheme is so designed as to reduce the estimation error as far as possible. This method is also suitable to utilizing satellite wave data for the estimation.展开更多
Two kinds of methods for determining seismic parameters are presented, that is, the potential seismic source zoning method and grid-spatially smoothing method. The Gaussian smoothing method and the modified Gaussian s...Two kinds of methods for determining seismic parameters are presented, that is, the potential seismic source zoning method and grid-spatially smoothing method. The Gaussian smoothing method and the modified Gaussian smoothing method are described in detail, and a comprehensive analysis of the advantages and disadvantages of these methods is made. Then, we take centrai China as the study region, and use the Gaussian smoothing method and potential seismic source zoning method to build seismic models to calculate the mean annual seismic rate. Seismic hazard is calculated using the probabilistic seismic hazard analysis method to construct the ground motion acceleration zoning maps. The differences between the maps and these models are discussed and the causes are investigated. The results show that the spatial smoothing method is suitable for estimating the seismic hazard over the moderate and low seismicity regions or the hazard caused by background seismicity; while the potential seismic source zoning method is suitable for estimating the seismic hazard in well-defined seismotectonics. Combining the spatial smoothing method and the potential seismic source zoning method with an integrated account of the seismicity and known seismotectonics is a feasible approach to estimate the seismic hazard in moderate and low seismicity regions.展开更多
As the main part of the transmission line, the conductor is responsible for the long-distance transmission of electric energy. It should not only ensure the safe operation, but also minimize the loss. The proper selec...As the main part of the transmission line, the conductor is responsible for the long-distance transmission of electric energy. It should not only ensure the safe operation, but also minimize the loss. The proper selection of conductors is of great significance to the construction, safe operation, environmental and economic benefits of the power grid. Entering the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, peak carbon dioxide emissions, Carbon Neutralization have been listed as one of the key tasks of the next central economic work conference. It is increasingly urgent to reasonably control carbon emissions and build a low-carbon economy and ecological harmonious development. As the lifeline of the country, power transmission lines account for a large proportion of the construction scale and energy consumption. Therefore, energy conservation and emission reduction are crucial. This study considers the carbon emission index method in the annual fee usage concept, and reasonably quantifies the carbon emission into the whole operation of the project as an analysis factor. In the study, carbon emissions are integrated into the cost management of annual fee, and the optimal scheme is selected from the overall consideration of comprehensive benefits such as technology, ecological environment and economy.展开更多
The geomagnetic night-time values were used to estimate the electromagnetic response function Q1 for half-year period. If the spatial structure of the source field can be described by the approximation, one can estim...The geomagnetic night-time values were used to estimate the electromagnetic response function Q1 for half-year period. If the spatial structure of the source field can be described by the approximation, one can estimate the Q1 value using the single-station Z/H method. This technique enables us to carry out regional deep gcomagnetic sounding by the method. The data used for analyses are geomagnetic night-time values for about, typically, 26 years from 5 good-quality stations and for several years from 34 stations distributed over the globe. The results indicate that the night-time values yield more reliable response estimates for half-year period compared to the usual estimates obtained from daily means. It implies that the approximation for the night-time fields holds good for the half-year period, but the daily means are not suitable for estimating the response function of the semi-annual variations by using the single-station method. Source field analyses for daily means data and night-time means data have also been carried out in this paper.展开更多
Annual production and life cycle of five dominant species of Chironomidae (Chironomus plumosus, Cryptochironomus sp.,Tokunagayusurika akamusi, Procladius sp.,Clinotanypus sp.) were studied with samples collected month...Annual production and life cycle of five dominant species of Chironomidae (Chironomus plumosus, Cryptochironomus sp.,Tokunagayusurika akamusi, Procladius sp.,Clinotanypus sp.) were studied with samples collected monthly from April, 1996 to March, 1997 in Houhu Lake at four stations. Based on instar-frequency data,C. plumosus was univoltine, while the other four were bivoltine. Production rates in grams wet weight m?2a?1 calculated by the size-frequency method wereC. plumosus, 2.170;Cryptochironomus sp., 0.602;T. akamusi, 3.160;Procladius sp., 0.964;Clinotanypus sp., 0.390. Their P/B ratios were 3.9, 4.9, 4.4, 5.3 and 6.6, respectively.展开更多
Mann-Kendall method and minimum variance method are used in this study to analyze the mean value variable-point of the runoff data observed by Fushan Hydrological Station in the Dagujia River basin from 1966 to 2004. ...Mann-Kendall method and minimum variance method are used in this study to analyze the mean value variable-point of the runoff data observed by Fushan Hydrological Station in the Dagujia River basin from 1966 to 2004. Based on the results, the runoff time is divided into four periods with the similar hydrological variation character. The annual runoff distribution characters in the Dagujia River basin are discussed by using the non-uniform coefficients, concentration degree and concentration period, variation range, etc. The results indicate that: (1) River runoff is very unevenly distributed throughout the year in Dagujia River. About 90% of runoff is in the period from June to October, while the runoff from November to April of the next year is lower. (2) The annual runoff distribution characters during 1966-1971 are very similar to that of 1982-1996, and the runoff of 1972-1981 is almost similar to that of 1997-2004. (3) The annual runoff distribution characters have changed obviously during 1997-2004 compared with the other periods, which makes it more difficult to exploit and use the water resource in the future.展开更多
In this paper,we study the abnormal stock price returns of the top 10 stocks in the Chinese stock market in terms of total market capitalization before and after the release of their annual reports in the past 10 year...In this paper,we study the abnormal stock price returns of the top 10 stocks in the Chinese stock market in terms of total market capitalization before and after the release of their annual reports in the past 10 years,using the event study method implemented by the Event Study package of the Alpha Library under Python,using a market model to estimate normal returns.The results find that and most of the events have insider phenomenon.展开更多
The main objective of this study is to generate accurate synthetic hourly solar radiation data by using an easily accessible open source data.In this regard,a new approach is proposed for estimation of synthetic hourl...The main objective of this study is to generate accurate synthetic hourly solar radiation data by using an easily accessible open source data.In this regard,a new approach is proposed for estimation of synthetic hourly global solar radiation during the day by utilizing only annual solar energy data.First time in literature,a model has been developed for prediction hourly and daily solar radiation based on annual solar energy parameter in this study.Parameters of the model were generated and tested for Turkey and one of them was presented as a case study within this paper.Long term measured hourly horizontal solar irradiance data from a network of Turkish meteorological stations was used to calibrate the model function.The predictions are compared with the solar data available in literature for Turkey.The advanced simple new model is utilized in open source computer program and has the potential to be adapted to other countries.展开更多
文摘This paper presents a refined method for estimating the annual extreme wave heights at a coastal or offshore project site on the basis of the data acquired at some nearby routine hydrographic stations. This method is based on the orthogonality principle in linear mean square estimation of stochastic processes. The error of the method is analyzed and compared with that of the conventional method. It is found that the method is able to effectively reduce the error so long as some feasible measures are adopted. A simulated test of the method has been conducted in a large scale wind wave flume. The test results are in good agreement with those given by theoretical error analysis. A scheme to implement the method is proposed on the basis of error analysis. The scheme is so designed as to reduce the estimation error as far as possible. This method is also suitable to utilizing satellite wave data for the estimation.
基金sponsored by the National Key Technology R&D Program,China (2006BAC13B01)
文摘Two kinds of methods for determining seismic parameters are presented, that is, the potential seismic source zoning method and grid-spatially smoothing method. The Gaussian smoothing method and the modified Gaussian smoothing method are described in detail, and a comprehensive analysis of the advantages and disadvantages of these methods is made. Then, we take centrai China as the study region, and use the Gaussian smoothing method and potential seismic source zoning method to build seismic models to calculate the mean annual seismic rate. Seismic hazard is calculated using the probabilistic seismic hazard analysis method to construct the ground motion acceleration zoning maps. The differences between the maps and these models are discussed and the causes are investigated. The results show that the spatial smoothing method is suitable for estimating the seismic hazard over the moderate and low seismicity regions or the hazard caused by background seismicity; while the potential seismic source zoning method is suitable for estimating the seismic hazard in well-defined seismotectonics. Combining the spatial smoothing method and the potential seismic source zoning method with an integrated account of the seismicity and known seismotectonics is a feasible approach to estimate the seismic hazard in moderate and low seismicity regions.
文摘As the main part of the transmission line, the conductor is responsible for the long-distance transmission of electric energy. It should not only ensure the safe operation, but also minimize the loss. The proper selection of conductors is of great significance to the construction, safe operation, environmental and economic benefits of the power grid. Entering the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, peak carbon dioxide emissions, Carbon Neutralization have been listed as one of the key tasks of the next central economic work conference. It is increasingly urgent to reasonably control carbon emissions and build a low-carbon economy and ecological harmonious development. As the lifeline of the country, power transmission lines account for a large proportion of the construction scale and energy consumption. Therefore, energy conservation and emission reduction are crucial. This study considers the carbon emission index method in the annual fee usage concept, and reasonably quantifies the carbon emission into the whole operation of the project as an analysis factor. In the study, carbon emissions are integrated into the cost management of annual fee, and the optimal scheme is selected from the overall consideration of comprehensive benefits such as technology, ecological environment and economy.
文摘The geomagnetic night-time values were used to estimate the electromagnetic response function Q1 for half-year period. If the spatial structure of the source field can be described by the approximation, one can estimate the Q1 value using the single-station Z/H method. This technique enables us to carry out regional deep gcomagnetic sounding by the method. The data used for analyses are geomagnetic night-time values for about, typically, 26 years from 5 good-quality stations and for several years from 34 stations distributed over the globe. The results indicate that the night-time values yield more reliable response estimates for half-year period compared to the usual estimates obtained from daily means. It implies that the approximation for the night-time fields holds good for the half-year period, but the daily means are not suitable for estimating the response function of the semi-annual variations by using the single-station method. Source field analyses for daily means data and night-time means data have also been carried out in this paper.
文摘Annual production and life cycle of five dominant species of Chironomidae (Chironomus plumosus, Cryptochironomus sp.,Tokunagayusurika akamusi, Procladius sp.,Clinotanypus sp.) were studied with samples collected monthly from April, 1996 to March, 1997 in Houhu Lake at four stations. Based on instar-frequency data,C. plumosus was univoltine, while the other four were bivoltine. Production rates in grams wet weight m?2a?1 calculated by the size-frequency method wereC. plumosus, 2.170;Cryptochironomus sp., 0.602;T. akamusi, 3.160;Procladius sp., 0.964;Clinotanypus sp., 0.390. Their P/B ratios were 3.9, 4.9, 4.4, 5.3 and 6.6, respectively.
基金This work is supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Shandong Province(Grant No.Q02E03).
文摘Mann-Kendall method and minimum variance method are used in this study to analyze the mean value variable-point of the runoff data observed by Fushan Hydrological Station in the Dagujia River basin from 1966 to 2004. Based on the results, the runoff time is divided into four periods with the similar hydrological variation character. The annual runoff distribution characters in the Dagujia River basin are discussed by using the non-uniform coefficients, concentration degree and concentration period, variation range, etc. The results indicate that: (1) River runoff is very unevenly distributed throughout the year in Dagujia River. About 90% of runoff is in the period from June to October, while the runoff from November to April of the next year is lower. (2) The annual runoff distribution characters during 1966-1971 are very similar to that of 1982-1996, and the runoff of 1972-1981 is almost similar to that of 1997-2004. (3) The annual runoff distribution characters have changed obviously during 1997-2004 compared with the other periods, which makes it more difficult to exploit and use the water resource in the future.
文摘In this paper,we study the abnormal stock price returns of the top 10 stocks in the Chinese stock market in terms of total market capitalization before and after the release of their annual reports in the past 10 years,using the event study method implemented by the Event Study package of the Alpha Library under Python,using a market model to estimate normal returns.The results find that and most of the events have insider phenomenon.
文摘The main objective of this study is to generate accurate synthetic hourly solar radiation data by using an easily accessible open source data.In this regard,a new approach is proposed for estimation of synthetic hourly global solar radiation during the day by utilizing only annual solar energy data.First time in literature,a model has been developed for prediction hourly and daily solar radiation based on annual solar energy parameter in this study.Parameters of the model were generated and tested for Turkey and one of them was presented as a case study within this paper.Long term measured hourly horizontal solar irradiance data from a network of Turkish meteorological stations was used to calibrate the model function.The predictions are compared with the solar data available in literature for Turkey.The advanced simple new model is utilized in open source computer program and has the potential to be adapted to other countries.
