Deformation prediction for extra-high arch dams is highly important for ensuring their safe operation.To address the challenges of complex monitoring data,the uneven spatial distribution of deformation,and the constru...Deformation prediction for extra-high arch dams is highly important for ensuring their safe operation.To address the challenges of complex monitoring data,the uneven spatial distribution of deformation,and the construction and optimization of a prediction model for deformation prediction,a multipoint ultrahigh arch dam deformation prediction model,namely,the CEEMDAN-KPCA-GSWOA-KELM,which is based on a clustering partition,is pro-posed.First,the monitoring data are preprocessed via variational mode decomposition(VMD)and wavelet denoising(WT),which effectively filters out noise and improves the signal-to-noise ratio of the data,providing high-quality input data for subsequent prediction models.Second,scientific cluster partitioning is performed via the K-means++algorithm to precisely capture the spatial distribution characteristics of extra-high arch dams and ensure the consistency of deformation trends at measurement points within each partition.Finally,CEEMDAN is used to separate monitoring data,predict and analyze each component,combine the KPCA(Kernel Principal Component Analysis)and the KELM(Kernel Extreme Learning Machine)optimized by the GSWOA(Global Search Whale Optimization Algorithm),integrate the predictions of each component via reconstruction methods,and precisely predict the overall trend of ultrahigh arch dam deformation.An extra high arch dam project is taken as an example and validated via a comparative analysis of multiple models.The results show that the multipoint deformation prediction model in this paper can combine data from different measurement points,achieve a comprehensive,precise prediction of the deformation situation of extra high arch dams,and provide strong technical support for safe operation.展开更多
The integration of digital twin(DT)technology with microseismic(MS)monitoring for evaluating the dynamic response of high-arch dams remains under-explored.This paper investigates the application of MS monitoring on th...The integration of digital twin(DT)technology with microseismic(MS)monitoring for evaluating the dynamic response of high-arch dams remains under-explored.This paper investigates the application of MS monitoring on the Dagangshan high-arch dam during its normal water storage operating period to assess potential damage.The study analyzes the MS characteristics of the dam during the Luding earthquake(Ms=6.8).A framework for constructing a damage driven DT model of a high-arch dam is proposed.The DT model is capable of self-updating its mechanical parameters based on MS data.Seismic response calculations are conducted utilizing cloud computing,allowing for the direct presentation of results within the DT model.The results indicate a high-risk area of the Dagangshan arch dam,characterized by significantMS deformation,primarily centered on the arch crown beam.This zone encompasses dam sections Nos.5-6,10-11,13-16,and 19-20,all located above 1030 m elevation.Under seismic loading,the arch dam exhibits a back-and-forth movement along the river,ultimately reaching a stable state.Following the earthquake,the stress state of the dam does not experience substantial changes.The average relative error between numerical results and measured peak ground acceleration values is 17%when considering the cumulative effect of damage,compared to 36%when neglecting this effect.This study presents a more reliable approach for assessing the state of dams.展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.52069029,52369026)the Belt and Road Special Foundation of National Key Laboratory of Water Disaster Preven-tion(Grant No.2023490411)+2 种基金the Yunnan Agricultural Basic Research Joint Special General Project(Grant Nos.202501BD070001-060,202401BD070001-071)Construction Project of the Yunnan Key Laboratory of Water Security(No.20254916CE340051)the Youth Talent Project of“Xingdian Talent Support Plan”in Yunnan Province(Grant No.XDYC-QNRC-2023-0412).
文摘Deformation prediction for extra-high arch dams is highly important for ensuring their safe operation.To address the challenges of complex monitoring data,the uneven spatial distribution of deformation,and the construction and optimization of a prediction model for deformation prediction,a multipoint ultrahigh arch dam deformation prediction model,namely,the CEEMDAN-KPCA-GSWOA-KELM,which is based on a clustering partition,is pro-posed.First,the monitoring data are preprocessed via variational mode decomposition(VMD)and wavelet denoising(WT),which effectively filters out noise and improves the signal-to-noise ratio of the data,providing high-quality input data for subsequent prediction models.Second,scientific cluster partitioning is performed via the K-means++algorithm to precisely capture the spatial distribution characteristics of extra-high arch dams and ensure the consistency of deformation trends at measurement points within each partition.Finally,CEEMDAN is used to separate monitoring data,predict and analyze each component,combine the KPCA(Kernel Principal Component Analysis)and the KELM(Kernel Extreme Learning Machine)optimized by the GSWOA(Global Search Whale Optimization Algorithm),integrate the predictions of each component via reconstruction methods,and precisely predict the overall trend of ultrahigh arch dam deformation.An extra high arch dam project is taken as an example and validated via a comparative analysis of multiple models.The results show that the multipoint deformation prediction model in this paper can combine data from different measurement points,achieve a comprehensive,precise prediction of the deformation situation of extra high arch dams,and provide strong technical support for safe operation.
文摘当前300 m级高拱坝的抗震性能评估已经普遍采用基于坝体-地基动力相互作用的分析模型,然而,包含地基的分析模型底部地震动输入边界的水平空间尺度可以达到几千米,空间跨度大,显然不应忽略地震动在模型水平外边界上的不均匀性,尤其是在近断层地震动作用下。为研究模型外边界均匀地震动输入对拱坝动力响应的影响,以某270 m高度的高拱坝为例,采用ETA(Event Tree Analysis)方法对比分析了均匀输入和考虑行波效应的非均匀输入对拱坝位移、应力和损伤响应的影响。研究发现,相对于均匀输入得到的拱坝应力响应结果,考虑行波效应的拱坝应力响应部分区域的最大拱向应力增大,而最大梁向应力减小,且地震动输入侧的应力增大明显;相对于均匀输入,考虑行波输入的坝体损伤响应规律主要是对坝面上的损伤有所减小,而对拱端处及坝底的损伤有所增大;从坝顶相对坝底的最大位移可以看出,行波输入相对于均匀输入的坝顶位移增大明显,且从空间上来看,在靠近左岸的坝体坝顶位移向上游增大明显,坝顶位移随着向右岸移动而不断减小,靠近右岸的坝体坝顶位移向下游增大明显。
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.52379098 and 42122052)the Liaoning XingLiao Talent Program(Grant No.XLYC2203008).
文摘The integration of digital twin(DT)technology with microseismic(MS)monitoring for evaluating the dynamic response of high-arch dams remains under-explored.This paper investigates the application of MS monitoring on the Dagangshan high-arch dam during its normal water storage operating period to assess potential damage.The study analyzes the MS characteristics of the dam during the Luding earthquake(Ms=6.8).A framework for constructing a damage driven DT model of a high-arch dam is proposed.The DT model is capable of self-updating its mechanical parameters based on MS data.Seismic response calculations are conducted utilizing cloud computing,allowing for the direct presentation of results within the DT model.The results indicate a high-risk area of the Dagangshan arch dam,characterized by significantMS deformation,primarily centered on the arch crown beam.This zone encompasses dam sections Nos.5-6,10-11,13-16,and 19-20,all located above 1030 m elevation.Under seismic loading,the arch dam exhibits a back-and-forth movement along the river,ultimately reaching a stable state.Following the earthquake,the stress state of the dam does not experience substantial changes.The average relative error between numerical results and measured peak ground acceleration values is 17%when considering the cumulative effect of damage,compared to 36%when neglecting this effect.This study presents a more reliable approach for assessing the state of dams.
