Deformation prediction for extra-high arch dams is highly important for ensuring their safe operation.To address the challenges of complex monitoring data,the uneven spatial distribution of deformation,and the constru...Deformation prediction for extra-high arch dams is highly important for ensuring their safe operation.To address the challenges of complex monitoring data,the uneven spatial distribution of deformation,and the construction and optimization of a prediction model for deformation prediction,a multipoint ultrahigh arch dam deformation prediction model,namely,the CEEMDAN-KPCA-GSWOA-KELM,which is based on a clustering partition,is pro-posed.First,the monitoring data are preprocessed via variational mode decomposition(VMD)and wavelet denoising(WT),which effectively filters out noise and improves the signal-to-noise ratio of the data,providing high-quality input data for subsequent prediction models.Second,scientific cluster partitioning is performed via the K-means++algorithm to precisely capture the spatial distribution characteristics of extra-high arch dams and ensure the consistency of deformation trends at measurement points within each partition.Finally,CEEMDAN is used to separate monitoring data,predict and analyze each component,combine the KPCA(Kernel Principal Component Analysis)and the KELM(Kernel Extreme Learning Machine)optimized by the GSWOA(Global Search Whale Optimization Algorithm),integrate the predictions of each component via reconstruction methods,and precisely predict the overall trend of ultrahigh arch dam deformation.An extra high arch dam project is taken as an example and validated via a comparative analysis of multiple models.The results show that the multipoint deformation prediction model in this paper can combine data from different measurement points,achieve a comprehensive,precise prediction of the deformation situation of extra high arch dams,and provide strong technical support for safe operation.展开更多
The integration of digital twin(DT)technology with microseismic(MS)monitoring for evaluating the dynamic response of high-arch dams remains under-explored.This paper investigates the application of MS monitoring on th...The integration of digital twin(DT)technology with microseismic(MS)monitoring for evaluating the dynamic response of high-arch dams remains under-explored.This paper investigates the application of MS monitoring on the Dagangshan high-arch dam during its normal water storage operating period to assess potential damage.The study analyzes the MS characteristics of the dam during the Luding earthquake(Ms=6.8).A framework for constructing a damage driven DT model of a high-arch dam is proposed.The DT model is capable of self-updating its mechanical parameters based on MS data.Seismic response calculations are conducted utilizing cloud computing,allowing for the direct presentation of results within the DT model.The results indicate a high-risk area of the Dagangshan arch dam,characterized by significantMS deformation,primarily centered on the arch crown beam.This zone encompasses dam sections Nos.5-6,10-11,13-16,and 19-20,all located above 1030 m elevation.Under seismic loading,the arch dam exhibits a back-and-forth movement along the river,ultimately reaching a stable state.Following the earthquake,the stress state of the dam does not experience substantial changes.The average relative error between numerical results and measured peak ground acceleration values is 17%when considering the cumulative effect of damage,compared to 36%when neglecting this effect.This study presents a more reliable approach for assessing the state of dams.展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.52069029,52369026)the Belt and Road Special Foundation of National Key Laboratory of Water Disaster Preven-tion(Grant No.2023490411)+2 种基金the Yunnan Agricultural Basic Research Joint Special General Project(Grant Nos.202501BD070001-060,202401BD070001-071)Construction Project of the Yunnan Key Laboratory of Water Security(No.20254916CE340051)the Youth Talent Project of“Xingdian Talent Support Plan”in Yunnan Province(Grant No.XDYC-QNRC-2023-0412).
文摘Deformation prediction for extra-high arch dams is highly important for ensuring their safe operation.To address the challenges of complex monitoring data,the uneven spatial distribution of deformation,and the construction and optimization of a prediction model for deformation prediction,a multipoint ultrahigh arch dam deformation prediction model,namely,the CEEMDAN-KPCA-GSWOA-KELM,which is based on a clustering partition,is pro-posed.First,the monitoring data are preprocessed via variational mode decomposition(VMD)and wavelet denoising(WT),which effectively filters out noise and improves the signal-to-noise ratio of the data,providing high-quality input data for subsequent prediction models.Second,scientific cluster partitioning is performed via the K-means++algorithm to precisely capture the spatial distribution characteristics of extra-high arch dams and ensure the consistency of deformation trends at measurement points within each partition.Finally,CEEMDAN is used to separate monitoring data,predict and analyze each component,combine the KPCA(Kernel Principal Component Analysis)and the KELM(Kernel Extreme Learning Machine)optimized by the GSWOA(Global Search Whale Optimization Algorithm),integrate the predictions of each component via reconstruction methods,and precisely predict the overall trend of ultrahigh arch dam deformation.An extra high arch dam project is taken as an example and validated via a comparative analysis of multiple models.The results show that the multipoint deformation prediction model in this paper can combine data from different measurement points,achieve a comprehensive,precise prediction of the deformation situation of extra high arch dams,and provide strong technical support for safe operation.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.52379098 and 42122052)the Liaoning XingLiao Talent Program(Grant No.XLYC2203008).
文摘The integration of digital twin(DT)technology with microseismic(MS)monitoring for evaluating the dynamic response of high-arch dams remains under-explored.This paper investigates the application of MS monitoring on the Dagangshan high-arch dam during its normal water storage operating period to assess potential damage.The study analyzes the MS characteristics of the dam during the Luding earthquake(Ms=6.8).A framework for constructing a damage driven DT model of a high-arch dam is proposed.The DT model is capable of self-updating its mechanical parameters based on MS data.Seismic response calculations are conducted utilizing cloud computing,allowing for the direct presentation of results within the DT model.The results indicate a high-risk area of the Dagangshan arch dam,characterized by significantMS deformation,primarily centered on the arch crown beam.This zone encompasses dam sections Nos.5-6,10-11,13-16,and 19-20,all located above 1030 m elevation.Under seismic loading,the arch dam exhibits a back-and-forth movement along the river,ultimately reaching a stable state.Following the earthquake,the stress state of the dam does not experience substantial changes.The average relative error between numerical results and measured peak ground acceleration values is 17%when considering the cumulative effect of damage,compared to 36%when neglecting this effect.This study presents a more reliable approach for assessing the state of dams.
