Glacier landslide cascading hazards pose threats to communities and infrastructure,affected by complex processes including the amplification of mass flow volume through erosion and entrainment,transformation of hazard...Glacier landslide cascading hazards pose threats to communities and infrastructure,affected by complex processes including the amplification of mass flow volume through erosion and entrainment,transformation of hazard types,ice-water phase change,and enhanced mobility of the mass flow.Scientifically simulating these physical phenomena proves challenging.This study introduces GMFA(glacier mass flow analysis),an integrated numerical model that advances the field by:(1)proposing depth-averaged fluctuation energy and internal energy equations,(2)incorporating the ice-water phase change and the entrainment-deposition process,and(3)capturing their effects on mass flow runout characteristics.The model employs the finite volume method to solve the multi-physics coupled governing equations,enabling efficient large-scale simulations.The model is verified through three numerical tests covering flow dynamics,temperature evolution,and thermo-hydro-mechanical runout processes.The model is applied to analyze a hazard chain that occurred on 10 September 2020 on the Tibetan Plateau.The multi-scenario simulation results indicate an entrained mass volume of(4.95±0.11)×10^(5)m^(3),and a ratio of entrained mass volume to source material volume of 0.44.The solid concentration decreases from 0.6-0.7 to 0.1-0.15 with increasing runout distance,indicating a transition from avalanche to debris flood.The internal energy rises by(3-4)×10^(3)kJ/m^(3),driving rapid ice melting from 0.1 to 0.2 to near-zero concentration.The model effectively quantifies volume amplification,ice-water phase changes,and multi-hazard transformations.This model pushes the geoscience frontier,extending computational capability from single-to multi-hazard simulations and providing a powerful tool for analyzing glacier cascading hazards.展开更多
Microbial communities play indispensable roles in the biogeochemical cycling of river ecosystems.However,the response patterns of microbial community diversity,niche breadth,and assembly to rainfall disturbances in co...Microbial communities play indispensable roles in the biogeochemical cycling of river ecosystems.However,the response patterns of microbial community diversity,niche breadth,and assembly to rainfall disturbances in complex mountainous riverine reservoirs remain inadequately understood.We employed high-throughput sequencing of 16S and 18S ribosomal RNA genes,along with multivariate statistical methods to systematically investigate prokaryotic and eukaryotic microorganisms in the riverine Zhaoshandu Reservoir,Wenzhou,Zhejiang,East China.Results show significant temporal heterogeneity in both prokaryotic and eukaryotic microbial communities,with eukaryotic microbes showing more pronounced temporal variation.Canonical correspondence analysis revealed that rainfall and water temperature were the key drivers shaping microbial communities.Additionally,eukaryotic microorganisms exhibited a more pronounced response to rainfall and water temperature compared to prokaryotes.Modified stochasticity ratio model indicated that deterministic processes predominantly governed microbial community assembly,with stronger deterministic processes in eukaryotic compared to prokaryotic microorganisms.Rainfall has significantly altered water quality,notably increasing phosphorus concentration in the water column.Total phosphorus and total nitrogen showed significant correlations with the niche breadth of prokaryotic and eukaryotic microorganisms,and phosphorus nutrients served as keystones and playing indispensable roles in their co-occurrence networks.A structural equation model confirmed the notable impacts of rainfall and water temperature on microbial community diversity,further revealing that rainfall indirectly influenced the niche breadth and co-occurrence relationships of microbial communities by altering phosphorus concentrations.The findings underscore the influence of rainfall and water temperature on microbial distribution,highlighting the sensitivity of riverine reservoir ecosystems to climate change.展开更多
Tajikistan contains the majority of Central Asia’s glaciers,which cover about 6.00%of the national territory;their rapid shrinkage poses a significant threat to regional water resource security.However,glacier monito...Tajikistan contains the majority of Central Asia’s glaciers,which cover about 6.00%of the national territory;their rapid shrinkage poses a significant threat to regional water resource security.However,glacier monitoring in Tajikistan was interrupted after 1991,creating a substantial gap in understanding the current state and temporal evolution of these glaciers.Based on glacier inventory data,in situ measurements,and published literature,this study examined the present status and recent variations of glaciers in Tajikistan through data integration and validation,literature collation and comparative analysis,and the application of Geographic Information System(GIS)spatial analysis techniques.As of 2023,Tajikistan possesses a total of 11,528 glaciers,encompassing an area of 7624.48(±305.58)km2.Small glaciers dominate in number,whereas large glaciers account for the majority of the total area.Over the past two decades,the glacier count has decreased by 2014,and the total area has decreased by 628.98 km2,corresponding to an average annual reduction rate of 0.33%.Regional shrinkage rates range from 4.10%to 22.28%.Glaciers have undergone accelerated mass loss during the past 20 a;only those on the northeastern Pamir Plateau exhibit a weak positive mass balance.Observations of typical monitored glaciers also reveal intensified melting and retreat,consistent with regional trends.In light of the recent acceleration of glacier shrinkage in Tajikistan,focused measures should be implemented to strengthen glacier monitoring,enhance public awareness of glacier preservation,and promote the sustainable development and utilization of glacier tourism.These findings bridge the knowledge gap regarding the spatiotemporal dynamics of Tajikistan’s glaciers over recent decades and provide essential data support for regional water resource management.展开更多
基金supports from the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.U20A20112)the Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong SAR Government,China(Grant Nos.T22-606/23-R and 16206923).
文摘Glacier landslide cascading hazards pose threats to communities and infrastructure,affected by complex processes including the amplification of mass flow volume through erosion and entrainment,transformation of hazard types,ice-water phase change,and enhanced mobility of the mass flow.Scientifically simulating these physical phenomena proves challenging.This study introduces GMFA(glacier mass flow analysis),an integrated numerical model that advances the field by:(1)proposing depth-averaged fluctuation energy and internal energy equations,(2)incorporating the ice-water phase change and the entrainment-deposition process,and(3)capturing their effects on mass flow runout characteristics.The model employs the finite volume method to solve the multi-physics coupled governing equations,enabling efficient large-scale simulations.The model is verified through three numerical tests covering flow dynamics,temperature evolution,and thermo-hydro-mechanical runout processes.The model is applied to analyze a hazard chain that occurred on 10 September 2020 on the Tibetan Plateau.The multi-scenario simulation results indicate an entrained mass volume of(4.95±0.11)×10^(5)m^(3),and a ratio of entrained mass volume to source material volume of 0.44.The solid concentration decreases from 0.6-0.7 to 0.1-0.15 with increasing runout distance,indicating a transition from avalanche to debris flood.The internal energy rises by(3-4)×10^(3)kJ/m^(3),driving rapid ice melting from 0.1 to 0.2 to near-zero concentration.The model effectively quantifies volume amplification,ice-water phase changes,and multi-hazard transformations.This model pushes the geoscience frontier,extending computational capability from single-to multi-hazard simulations and providing a powerful tool for analyzing glacier cascading hazards.
基金Supported by the Zhejiang Provincial Natural Science Foundation of China(No.LD21C030001)the Key Research and Development Program of National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.2021YFE0112000)+1 种基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.32371634,31970219)the Scientific Research Project of the Shanghai Municipal Bureau of Ecology and Environment(No.202409)。
文摘Microbial communities play indispensable roles in the biogeochemical cycling of river ecosystems.However,the response patterns of microbial community diversity,niche breadth,and assembly to rainfall disturbances in complex mountainous riverine reservoirs remain inadequately understood.We employed high-throughput sequencing of 16S and 18S ribosomal RNA genes,along with multivariate statistical methods to systematically investigate prokaryotic and eukaryotic microorganisms in the riverine Zhaoshandu Reservoir,Wenzhou,Zhejiang,East China.Results show significant temporal heterogeneity in both prokaryotic and eukaryotic microbial communities,with eukaryotic microbes showing more pronounced temporal variation.Canonical correspondence analysis revealed that rainfall and water temperature were the key drivers shaping microbial communities.Additionally,eukaryotic microorganisms exhibited a more pronounced response to rainfall and water temperature compared to prokaryotes.Modified stochasticity ratio model indicated that deterministic processes predominantly governed microbial community assembly,with stronger deterministic processes in eukaryotic compared to prokaryotic microorganisms.Rainfall has significantly altered water quality,notably increasing phosphorus concentration in the water column.Total phosphorus and total nitrogen showed significant correlations with the niche breadth of prokaryotic and eukaryotic microorganisms,and phosphorus nutrients served as keystones and playing indispensable roles in their co-occurrence networks.A structural equation model confirmed the notable impacts of rainfall and water temperature on microbial community diversity,further revealing that rainfall indirectly influenced the niche breadth and co-occurrence relationships of microbial communities by altering phosphorus concentrations.The findings underscore the influence of rainfall and water temperature on microbial distribution,highlighting the sensitivity of riverine reservoir ecosystems to climate change.
基金supported by the National Key R&D Plan“Inter-governmental International Science&Technology Innovation Cooperation”Key Specialized Program,China(2025YFE0102800)the Program of the State Key Laboratory of Cryospheric Science and Frozen Soil Engineering,Chinese Academy of Sciences(CSFSE-ZZ-2403).
文摘Tajikistan contains the majority of Central Asia’s glaciers,which cover about 6.00%of the national territory;their rapid shrinkage poses a significant threat to regional water resource security.However,glacier monitoring in Tajikistan was interrupted after 1991,creating a substantial gap in understanding the current state and temporal evolution of these glaciers.Based on glacier inventory data,in situ measurements,and published literature,this study examined the present status and recent variations of glaciers in Tajikistan through data integration and validation,literature collation and comparative analysis,and the application of Geographic Information System(GIS)spatial analysis techniques.As of 2023,Tajikistan possesses a total of 11,528 glaciers,encompassing an area of 7624.48(±305.58)km2.Small glaciers dominate in number,whereas large glaciers account for the majority of the total area.Over the past two decades,the glacier count has decreased by 2014,and the total area has decreased by 628.98 km2,corresponding to an average annual reduction rate of 0.33%.Regional shrinkage rates range from 4.10%to 22.28%.Glaciers have undergone accelerated mass loss during the past 20 a;only those on the northeastern Pamir Plateau exhibit a weak positive mass balance.Observations of typical monitored glaciers also reveal intensified melting and retreat,consistent with regional trends.In light of the recent acceleration of glacier shrinkage in Tajikistan,focused measures should be implemented to strengthen glacier monitoring,enhance public awareness of glacier preservation,and promote the sustainable development and utilization of glacier tourism.These findings bridge the knowledge gap regarding the spatiotemporal dynamics of Tajikistan’s glaciers over recent decades and provide essential data support for regional water resource management.
文摘阿尼玛卿山发育有多条跃动冰川,但目前该地区冰川跃动触发机理尚不明朗.本文利用多源卫星遥感影像和气象数据,监测和分析阿尼玛卿山冰川2000—2023年间的边界变化、2000—2020年间的厚度变化以及2015—2023年间的表面流速变化,探讨该地区冰川的跃动触发机理.结果表明阿尼玛卿山有四条冰川在2000年以后出现过跃动,分别是维格勒当雄冰川、耶合龙冰川、晓玛沟冰川和曲什安22号冰川.维格勒当雄冰川于2017—2021年间发生了一次典型的热转化控制型跃动.晓玛沟冰川上游冰体在2004—2019年间发生四次崩塌,大量冰岩碎屑物加载在冰舌上,增加冰舌的剪切应力,导致冰舌先跃动后滑塌.曲什安22号冰川在2018—2021年间发生两次崩塌,分离的冰岩碎屑物同样加载在冰舌上,导致冰舌发生跃动;截至2023年夏季,崩落的冰岩碎屑物以及移动时裹挟的冰面物质累积在距离末端约1000 m的冰舌段,冰舌段流速仍然保持在30 cm·d^(−1)左右.综合来看,曲什安22号冰川未来可能发生滑塌.耶合龙冰川在2000年4月至2002年8月间发生过一次跃动,末端前进了约1000 m.
