Accurate short-term wind power forecast technique plays a crucial role in maintaining the safety and economic efficiency of smart grids.Although numerous studies have employed various methods to forecast wind power,th...Accurate short-term wind power forecast technique plays a crucial role in maintaining the safety and economic efficiency of smart grids.Although numerous studies have employed various methods to forecast wind power,there remains a research gap in leveraging swarm intelligence algorithms to optimize the hyperparameters of the Transformer model for wind power prediction.To improve the accuracy of short-term wind power forecast,this paper proposes a hybrid short-term wind power forecast approach named STL-IAOA-iTransformer,which is based on seasonal and trend decomposition using LOESS(STL)and iTransformer model optimized by improved arithmetic optimization algorithm(IAOA).First,to fully extract the power data features,STL is used to decompose the original data into components with less redundant information.The extracted components as well as the weather data are then input into iTransformer for short-term wind power forecast.The final predicted short-term wind power curve is obtained by combining the predicted components.To improve the model accuracy,IAOA is employed to optimize the hyperparameters of iTransformer.The proposed approach is validated using real-generation data from different seasons and different power stations inNorthwest China,and ablation experiments have been conducted.Furthermore,to validate the superiority of the proposed approach under different wind characteristics,real power generation data fromsouthwestChina are utilized for experiments.Thecomparative results with the other six state-of-the-art prediction models in experiments show that the proposed model well fits the true value of generation series and achieves high prediction accuracy.展开更多
It is important to achieve an efficient home energy management system(HEMS)because of its role in promoting energy saving and emission reduction for end-users.Two critical issues in an efficient HEMS are identificatio...It is important to achieve an efficient home energy management system(HEMS)because of its role in promoting energy saving and emission reduction for end-users.Two critical issues in an efficient HEMS are identification of user behavior and energy management strategy.However,current HEMS methods usually assume perfect knowledge of user behavior or ignore the strong correlations of usage habits with different applications.This can lead to an insuffi-cient description of behavior and suboptimal management strategy.To address these gaps,this paper proposes non-intrusive load monitoring(NILM)assisted graph reinforcement learning(GRL)for intelligent HEMS decision making.First,a behavior correlation graph incorporating NILM is introduced to represent the energy consumption behavior of users and a multi-label classification model is used to monitor the loads.Thus,efficient identification of user behavior and description of state transition can be achieved.Second,based on the online updating of the behavior correlation graph,a GRL model is proposed to extract information contained in the graph.Thus,reliable strategy under uncer-tainty of environment and behavior is available.Finally,the experimental results on several datasets verify the effec-tiveness of the proposed model.展开更多
基金supported by Yunnan Provincial Basic Research Project(202401AT070344,202301AT070443)National Natural Science Foundation of China(62263014,52207105)+1 种基金Yunnan Lancang-Mekong International Electric Power Technology Joint Laboratory(202203AP140001)Major Science and Technology Projects in Yunnan Province(202402AG050006).
文摘Accurate short-term wind power forecast technique plays a crucial role in maintaining the safety and economic efficiency of smart grids.Although numerous studies have employed various methods to forecast wind power,there remains a research gap in leveraging swarm intelligence algorithms to optimize the hyperparameters of the Transformer model for wind power prediction.To improve the accuracy of short-term wind power forecast,this paper proposes a hybrid short-term wind power forecast approach named STL-IAOA-iTransformer,which is based on seasonal and trend decomposition using LOESS(STL)and iTransformer model optimized by improved arithmetic optimization algorithm(IAOA).First,to fully extract the power data features,STL is used to decompose the original data into components with less redundant information.The extracted components as well as the weather data are then input into iTransformer for short-term wind power forecast.The final predicted short-term wind power curve is obtained by combining the predicted components.To improve the model accuracy,IAOA is employed to optimize the hyperparameters of iTransformer.The proposed approach is validated using real-generation data from different seasons and different power stations inNorthwest China,and ablation experiments have been conducted.Furthermore,to validate the superiority of the proposed approach under different wind characteristics,real power generation data fromsouthwestChina are utilized for experiments.Thecomparative results with the other six state-of-the-art prediction models in experiments show that the proposed model well fits the true value of generation series and achieves high prediction accuracy.
基金supported by State Grid Corporation of China Project“Research on Coordinated Strategy of Multi-type Controllable Resources Based on Collective Intelligence in an Energy”(5100-202055479A-0-0-00).
文摘It is important to achieve an efficient home energy management system(HEMS)because of its role in promoting energy saving and emission reduction for end-users.Two critical issues in an efficient HEMS are identification of user behavior and energy management strategy.However,current HEMS methods usually assume perfect knowledge of user behavior or ignore the strong correlations of usage habits with different applications.This can lead to an insuffi-cient description of behavior and suboptimal management strategy.To address these gaps,this paper proposes non-intrusive load monitoring(NILM)assisted graph reinforcement learning(GRL)for intelligent HEMS decision making.First,a behavior correlation graph incorporating NILM is introduced to represent the energy consumption behavior of users and a multi-label classification model is used to monitor the loads.Thus,efficient identification of user behavior and description of state transition can be achieved.Second,based on the online updating of the behavior correlation graph,a GRL model is proposed to extract information contained in the graph.Thus,reliable strategy under uncer-tainty of environment and behavior is available.Finally,the experimental results on several datasets verify the effec-tiveness of the proposed model.
