BACKGROUND The prevalence and mortality rates of gastric carcinoma are disproportionately elevated in China,with the disease's intricate and varied characteristics further amplifying its health impact.Precise fore...BACKGROUND The prevalence and mortality rates of gastric carcinoma are disproportionately elevated in China,with the disease's intricate and varied characteristics further amplifying its health impact.Precise forecasting of overall survival(OS)is of paramount importance for the clinical management of individuals afflicted with this malignancy.AIM To develop and validate a nomogram model that provides precise gastric cancer prevention and treatment guidance and more accurate survival outcome prediction for patients with gastric carcinoma.METHODS Data analysis was conducted on samples collected from hospitalized gastric cancer patients between 2018 and 2020.Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator,univariate,and multivariate Cox regression analyses were employed to identify independent prognostic factors.A nomogram model was developed to predict gastric cancer patient outcomes.The model's predictability and discriminative ability were evaluated via receiver operating characteristic curves.To evaluate the clinical utility of the model,Kaplan-Meier and decision curve analyses were performed.RESULTS A total of ten independent prognostic factors were identified,including body mass index,tumor-node-metastasis(TNM)stage,radiation,chemotherapy,surgery,albumin,globulin,neutrophil count,lactate dehydrogenase,and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio.The area under the curve(AUC)values for the 1-,3-,and 5-year survival prediction in the training set were 0.843,0.850,and 0.821,respectively.The AUC values were 0.864,0.820,and 0.786 for the 1-,3-,and 5-year survival prediction in the validation set,respectively.The model exhibited strong discriminative ability,with both the time AUC and time C-index exceeding 0.75.Compared with TNM staging,the model demonstrated superior clinical utility.Ultimately,a nomogram was developed via a web-based interface.CONCLUSION This study established and validated a novel nomogram model for predicting the OS of gastric cancer patients,which demonstrated strong predictive ability.Based on these findings,this model can aid clinicians in implementing personalized interventions for patients with gastric cancer.展开更多
BACKGROUND Oesophageal cancer is a significant health concern worldwide,with high inci-dence and mortality rates.In China,the disease burden is particularly high,accounting for a substantial proportion of oesophageal ...BACKGROUND Oesophageal cancer is a significant health concern worldwide,with high inci-dence and mortality rates.In China,the disease burden is particularly high,accounting for a substantial proportion of oesophageal cancer cases and related deaths worldwide.AIM To explore the relationship between the mortality rate of oesophageal cancer patients and insurance type,out-of-pocket ratio,and the joint effects of insurance type and out-of-pocket ratio.METHODS The χ^(2) test was used to analyze patients’demographic and clinical characteristics.Multivariate logistic regression,the Cox proportional hazard model,and the competitive risk model were used to calculate the cumulative hazard ratios(HRs)of all-cause death and oesophageal cancer-specific death among patients with different types of insurance and out-of-pocket ratios.RESULTS Compared with patients covered by basic medical insurance for urban and rural residents,patients covered by urban employee basic medical insurance for urban workers(UEBMI)had a 23.30%increased risk of oesophageal cancer-specific death[HR=1.233,95%confidence interval(CI):1.093-1.391,P<0.005].Compared with patients in the low out-of-pocket ratio group,patients in the high out-of-pocket ratio group had a 25.80%reduction in the risk of oesophageal cancer-specific death(HR=0.742,95%CI:0.6555-0.84,P<0.005).With each 10%increase in the out-of-pocket ratio,the risk of oesophageal cancer-specific death decreased by 10.10%in patients covered by UEBMI.However,the risk of oesophageal cancer-specific death increased by 26.90%in patients in the high out-of-pocket ratio group.CONCLUSION This study reveals the relationships of the specific mortality rate of patients with oesophageal cancer with the out-of-pocket ratio and medical insurance types as well as their combined effects.This study provides practical suggestions and guidance for the formulation of relevant policies in this area.展开更多
文摘BACKGROUND The prevalence and mortality rates of gastric carcinoma are disproportionately elevated in China,with the disease's intricate and varied characteristics further amplifying its health impact.Precise forecasting of overall survival(OS)is of paramount importance for the clinical management of individuals afflicted with this malignancy.AIM To develop and validate a nomogram model that provides precise gastric cancer prevention and treatment guidance and more accurate survival outcome prediction for patients with gastric carcinoma.METHODS Data analysis was conducted on samples collected from hospitalized gastric cancer patients between 2018 and 2020.Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator,univariate,and multivariate Cox regression analyses were employed to identify independent prognostic factors.A nomogram model was developed to predict gastric cancer patient outcomes.The model's predictability and discriminative ability were evaluated via receiver operating characteristic curves.To evaluate the clinical utility of the model,Kaplan-Meier and decision curve analyses were performed.RESULTS A total of ten independent prognostic factors were identified,including body mass index,tumor-node-metastasis(TNM)stage,radiation,chemotherapy,surgery,albumin,globulin,neutrophil count,lactate dehydrogenase,and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio.The area under the curve(AUC)values for the 1-,3-,and 5-year survival prediction in the training set were 0.843,0.850,and 0.821,respectively.The AUC values were 0.864,0.820,and 0.786 for the 1-,3-,and 5-year survival prediction in the validation set,respectively.The model exhibited strong discriminative ability,with both the time AUC and time C-index exceeding 0.75.Compared with TNM staging,the model demonstrated superior clinical utility.Ultimately,a nomogram was developed via a web-based interface.CONCLUSION This study established and validated a novel nomogram model for predicting the OS of gastric cancer patients,which demonstrated strong predictive ability.Based on these findings,this model can aid clinicians in implementing personalized interventions for patients with gastric cancer.
基金Supported by the Chongqing Science and Health Joint Medical Research Project,No.2024MSXM065.
文摘BACKGROUND Oesophageal cancer is a significant health concern worldwide,with high inci-dence and mortality rates.In China,the disease burden is particularly high,accounting for a substantial proportion of oesophageal cancer cases and related deaths worldwide.AIM To explore the relationship between the mortality rate of oesophageal cancer patients and insurance type,out-of-pocket ratio,and the joint effects of insurance type and out-of-pocket ratio.METHODS The χ^(2) test was used to analyze patients’demographic and clinical characteristics.Multivariate logistic regression,the Cox proportional hazard model,and the competitive risk model were used to calculate the cumulative hazard ratios(HRs)of all-cause death and oesophageal cancer-specific death among patients with different types of insurance and out-of-pocket ratios.RESULTS Compared with patients covered by basic medical insurance for urban and rural residents,patients covered by urban employee basic medical insurance for urban workers(UEBMI)had a 23.30%increased risk of oesophageal cancer-specific death[HR=1.233,95%confidence interval(CI):1.093-1.391,P<0.005].Compared with patients in the low out-of-pocket ratio group,patients in the high out-of-pocket ratio group had a 25.80%reduction in the risk of oesophageal cancer-specific death(HR=0.742,95%CI:0.6555-0.84,P<0.005).With each 10%increase in the out-of-pocket ratio,the risk of oesophageal cancer-specific death decreased by 10.10%in patients covered by UEBMI.However,the risk of oesophageal cancer-specific death increased by 26.90%in patients in the high out-of-pocket ratio group.CONCLUSION This study reveals the relationships of the specific mortality rate of patients with oesophageal cancer with the out-of-pocket ratio and medical insurance types as well as their combined effects.This study provides practical suggestions and guidance for the formulation of relevant policies in this area.
