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河南省畜禽粪便的耕地污染及其未来风险预测 被引量:7
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作者 吴荣康 潘芳慧 +3 位作者 常佳悦 张星 tibamba matthew 王友保 《浙江大学学报(农业与生命科学版)》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2021年第2期233-242,共10页
全面分析2008—2017年河南省畜禽粪便的耕地污染并预测其未来风险,以期为河南省合理安排畜禽养殖业结构,进行畜禽养殖粪便污染整治工作提供理论依据。依据2008—2017年河南省畜禽养殖数据和耕地面积数据,分析近10年河南省畜禽粪便量、... 全面分析2008—2017年河南省畜禽粪便的耕地污染并预测其未来风险,以期为河南省合理安排畜禽养殖业结构,进行畜禽养殖粪便污染整治工作提供理论依据。依据2008—2017年河南省畜禽养殖数据和耕地面积数据,分析近10年河南省畜禽粪便量、猪粪当量、耕地污染负荷情况,并对未来做出预测。结果表明:近10年河南省猪粪当量的排放量、耕地总氮负荷量、耕地总磷负荷量以及畜禽粪便耕地负荷污染风险指数均有所下降;近10年畜禽粪便污染风险较高的城市主要有平顶山、鹤壁、许昌和漯河,且2017年鹤壁和漯河的畜禽粪便污染风险高,应加强对畜禽粪便的管控与处理。预计在未来,河南省猪的养殖量将迅速增加,到2025年,漯河的预警级别将由Ⅱ级变成Ⅲ级,到2030年,开封和濮阳的预警级别将由Ⅱ级变成Ⅲ级,因此,应重点加强对河南省开封、濮阳和漯河的畜禽粪便污染的防控。 展开更多
关键词 畜禽粪便 耕地污染 风险预测 河南省
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Effect and Risk Assessment of Animal Manure Pollution on Huaihe River Basin, China
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作者 WANG Youbao PAN Fanghui +4 位作者 CHANG Jiayue WU Rongkang tibamba matthew LU Xuecheng ZHANG Xinxi 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2021年第4期751-764,共14页
Currently the deteriorated water quality for Huaihe River Basin(HRB) in China was still serious because of the negative influence multiple pollution sources including animal manure. However, little attention was paid ... Currently the deteriorated water quality for Huaihe River Basin(HRB) in China was still serious because of the negative influence multiple pollution sources including animal manure. However, little attention was paid to the potential risk of animal manure for farmland and water quality of HRB. This study was quantified and forecasted animal manure risk and its spatiotemporal variations in HRB from 2008 to 2018, through pollution discharge coefficient method and pollution load calculation, combined with kriging interpolation method of ArcGIS technology, based on statistics principle. All the data were originated from livestock and poultry breeding in HRB from 2008 to 2018. The future risk of farmland and water environment in HRB was further forecasted. The results indicated that the livestock and poultry manure has become a key pollution source causing a negative influence on farmland and water quality owing to a large amount of animal manure production without efficient recycle utilization. The chemical oxygen demand(COD) and total nitrogen(TN) discharge of animal manure in HRB almost accounted for 17.00% and 39.00% of the whole COD and TN discharge in China. The diffusion concentration of TN and TP in those regions of Shangqiu, Zhoukou, Heze, Zhumadian, Luohe, Jining, Xuchang,Kaifeng, Taian and Zhengzhou of HRB has exceeded the threshold value 10.00 mg/L of TN and 0.08 mg/L of TP, causing water eutrophication and cancer villages. The assessment of farmland and water quality risk revealed that Zhumadian, Zhoukou, Shangqiu, Taian, Jining, Heze, Linyi and Rizhao belonged to high risk areas in HRB, which were still obtained high farmland and water quality risk index in 2030. The results provided insight into an important significance of sustainable balance of livestock and poultry development and ecosystem in HRB. 展开更多
关键词 Huaihe River Basin(HRB) China animal manure farmland load diffusion concentration risk assessment
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