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Bayesian and Monte Carlo approaches to estimating uncertainty for the measurement of the bound-state β^(-) decay of^(205)Tl^(81+)
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作者 G.Leckenby M.Trassinelli +47 位作者 Rui-jiu Chen R.S.Sidhu J.Glorius M.S.Sanjari Yu.A.Litvinov M.Bai F.Bosch C.Brandau T.Dickel I.Dillmann D.Dmytriiev t.faestermann O.Forstner B.Franczak H.Geissel R.Gernhäuser Bing-shui Gao C.J.Griffin A.Gumberidze E.Haettner R.Heß P.-M.Hillenbrand P.Kienle W.Korten Ch.Kozhuharov N.Kuzminchuk S.Litvinov E.B.Menz T.Morgenroth C.Nociforo F.Nolden N.Petridis U.Popp S.Purushothaman R.Reifarth C.Scheidenberger U.Spillmann M.Steck Th.Stöhlker Y.K.Tanaka S.Trotsenko L.Varga Meng Wang H.Weick P.J.Woods T.Yamaguchi Yu-hu Zhang Jian-wei Zhao 《Chinese Physics C》 2025年第11期189-198,共10页
The measurement of the bound-state decay of^(205)Tl at the Experimental Storage Ring(ESR)at GSI,Darmstadt,has recently been reported,with substantial impact on the use of^(205)Pb as an early Solar System chronometer a... The measurement of the bound-state decay of^(205)Tl at the Experimental Storage Ring(ESR)at GSI,Darmstadt,has recently been reported,with substantial impact on the use of^(205)Pb as an early Solar System chronometer and on the low-energy measurement of the solar neutrino spectrum via the LOREX project.Owing to the technical challenges in producing a high-purity^(205)T^(l81+)secondary beam,a robust statistical method was developed to estimate the variation in the contaminant^(205)Pb^(81+)produced in the fragmentation reaction,which was subsequently transmitted and stored in the ESR.Here,we show that Bayesian and Monte Carlo methods produce comparable estimates for the contaminant variation,each with unique advantages and challenges given the complex statistical problems for this experiment.We recommend the adoption of such methods in future experiments that exhibit unknown statistical fluctuations. 展开更多
关键词 bound-stateβdecay heavy-ion storage rings uncertainty estimation Bayesian methods Monte Carlo methods
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