This paper summarizes the long term and decadal time scale fluctuations of atmospheric circulation in the Southern(Hemisphere)middle and high latitudes.The long time series of Antarctic Oscillation Indices(AOIs)were e...This paper summarizes the long term and decadal time scale fluctuations of atmospheric circulation in the Southern(Hemisphere)middle and high latitudes.The long time series of Antarctic Oscillation Indices(AOIs)were established for January.April.July and October based on the historical sea level pressure maps and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis surface pressure data set.It was found that the AOI of January had upward trend at a rate of 1.17 hPa/100 a.and July had downward trend at a rate of—1.49 hPa/100 a since 1871.The method of wavelet analysis was applied to detect the low frequency characteristics of AOIs,and it is clear that there are decadal variations in the time scale of about 20—30 years in all 4 indices.Since the averaged value of 4 months could explain most variance of annual AOI.thus it is reasonable using the mean AOI of January,April,July and October to represent the annual AOI.The value of annual AOI was much lower in periods of about 1894—1901.1910—1935,and was much higher in periods of about 1880 —1893,1936—1945.The positive anomalies were remarkable since 1980s.Power spectra of modeled AOIs from Hadley Center Control Integration(HCCI)were compared with the observations,it is found that the interannual time scale frequencies were more significant than decadal frequencies.But.there also had the possibility for generating weak deeadal fluctuations in some special months and years by Hasselmann mechanism.展开更多
基金This research is supported by the National Key Developing Program for Basic Sciences under Grant G1998040900 the National Natural Science Foundation of China grant to Beijing Normal University.
文摘This paper summarizes the long term and decadal time scale fluctuations of atmospheric circulation in the Southern(Hemisphere)middle and high latitudes.The long time series of Antarctic Oscillation Indices(AOIs)were established for January.April.July and October based on the historical sea level pressure maps and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis surface pressure data set.It was found that the AOI of January had upward trend at a rate of 1.17 hPa/100 a.and July had downward trend at a rate of—1.49 hPa/100 a since 1871.The method of wavelet analysis was applied to detect the low frequency characteristics of AOIs,and it is clear that there are decadal variations in the time scale of about 20—30 years in all 4 indices.Since the averaged value of 4 months could explain most variance of annual AOI.thus it is reasonable using the mean AOI of January,April,July and October to represent the annual AOI.The value of annual AOI was much lower in periods of about 1894—1901.1910—1935,and was much higher in periods of about 1880 —1893,1936—1945.The positive anomalies were remarkable since 1980s.Power spectra of modeled AOIs from Hadley Center Control Integration(HCCI)were compared with the observations,it is found that the interannual time scale frequencies were more significant than decadal frequencies.But.there also had the possibility for generating weak deeadal fluctuations in some special months and years by Hasselmann mechanism.
