This study investigates the changes in inter-annual summer precipitation and the relationship with the atmospheric general circulation in the Sahara Desert occurred in the last 40 years (1971-2010). The results show t...This study investigates the changes in inter-annual summer precipitation and the relationship with the atmospheric general circulation in the Sahara Desert occurred in the last 40 years (1971-2010). The results show that the summer precipitation undergone in drought recovery with a strong abrupt change at the end of 20th century. This change in Sahara precipitation is subsequently accompanied with the changes in the atmospheric circulation. The Sahara drought recovery is associated with a significant warming in the tropical and extratropical sea surface temperature, which led to the increase in moisture budget of the tropical African monsoon. The remarkable features such as the strengthening in Arctic high and mid-latitude upper level westerly wind, weakening in subpolar low and upper tropospheric zonal wind over North Africa have shown a distinct relationship with the Sahara precipitation changes.展开更多
Rainfall variability dominates livelihoods in all countries of Saharan Africa.To better understand the processes involved in Sahara precipitation changes,we used the Global Precipitation Climatology Center(GPCC)datase...Rainfall variability dominates livelihoods in all countries of Saharan Africa.To better understand the processes involved in Sahara precipitation changes,we used the Global Precipitation Climatology Center(GPCC)dataset to examine dry and wet seasonal trends in the Sahara region from 1979 to 2016.We also used the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts(ECMWF)to evaluate the general atmospheric circulation associated with seasonal change of Sahara precipitation.The Mann-Kendall test and Theil sens'slope estimator methods were adopted to test and estimate the significance and weight of precipitation trend,respectively.The results revealed that Sahara precipitation has increased significantly.The seasonal evaluation shows a positive trend of 0.42 mm/decade and 1.43 mm/decade in JAS(June,August,and September)seasons for the northern and southern Saharan Desert,respectively.Moreover,the JFMA(January,February,March,and April)period shows a negative trend but not statistically significant.An examination of the general circulation and moisture transport changes suggested an increase of rainfall in southern Sahara.The wet period is also driven by northward penetration of moisture originating from the Sahel region,African Easterly Jet(AEJ),and weakening in the upper tropospheric zonal wind.Summer rainfall has also been likely associated with positive anomalies of sea surface temperature(SST)in the North Tropical Atlantic(NTA)and the Mediterranean Sea.展开更多
文摘This study investigates the changes in inter-annual summer precipitation and the relationship with the atmospheric general circulation in the Sahara Desert occurred in the last 40 years (1971-2010). The results show that the summer precipitation undergone in drought recovery with a strong abrupt change at the end of 20th century. This change in Sahara precipitation is subsequently accompanied with the changes in the atmospheric circulation. The Sahara drought recovery is associated with a significant warming in the tropical and extratropical sea surface temperature, which led to the increase in moisture budget of the tropical African monsoon. The remarkable features such as the strengthening in Arctic high and mid-latitude upper level westerly wind, weakening in subpolar low and upper tropospheric zonal wind over North Africa have shown a distinct relationship with the Sahara precipitation changes.
基金funded by the National Key R&D Program of China(No.2017YFC0404305)National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.41801015,No.41771252)+3 种基金the Foundation for Excellent Young Scholars of Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources NIEER Chinese Academy of Sciences,CAS(No.51Y851D61)the Major Program of the Natural Science Foundation of Gansu province,China(No.18JR4RA002)Science and Technology Program of Gansu Province,China(18JR2RA026)the Chinese Academy of Sciences-The World Academy of Sciences(CAS-TWAS)President's Fellowship programme。
文摘Rainfall variability dominates livelihoods in all countries of Saharan Africa.To better understand the processes involved in Sahara precipitation changes,we used the Global Precipitation Climatology Center(GPCC)dataset to examine dry and wet seasonal trends in the Sahara region from 1979 to 2016.We also used the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts(ECMWF)to evaluate the general atmospheric circulation associated with seasonal change of Sahara precipitation.The Mann-Kendall test and Theil sens'slope estimator methods were adopted to test and estimate the significance and weight of precipitation trend,respectively.The results revealed that Sahara precipitation has increased significantly.The seasonal evaluation shows a positive trend of 0.42 mm/decade and 1.43 mm/decade in JAS(June,August,and September)seasons for the northern and southern Saharan Desert,respectively.Moreover,the JFMA(January,February,March,and April)period shows a negative trend but not statistically significant.An examination of the general circulation and moisture transport changes suggested an increase of rainfall in southern Sahara.The wet period is also driven by northward penetration of moisture originating from the Sahel region,African Easterly Jet(AEJ),and weakening in the upper tropospheric zonal wind.Summer rainfall has also been likely associated with positive anomalies of sea surface temperature(SST)in the North Tropical Atlantic(NTA)and the Mediterranean Sea.