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全新世千年尺度大洪水沉积记录与ENSO驱动的极端气候变化 被引量:5
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作者 陈聪 郑艳伟 +9 位作者 郑卓 宗永强 黄康有 Barry V.ROLETT 彭环环 张潇 汤永杰 万秋池 章桂芳 rachid chedaddi 《中国科学:地球科学》 CSCD 北大核心 2023年第11期2575-2590,共16页
重建全新世大洪水的历史是探讨过去极端气候变化以及预测未来潜在自然灾害风险的关键内容.珠江水系是中国南方最大的河流系统,珠江三角洲曾被认为是世界上受洪水和风暴潮灾害影响最为脆弱的地区之一.然而,迄今为止在中国南方地区缺少千... 重建全新世大洪水的历史是探讨过去极端气候变化以及预测未来潜在自然灾害风险的关键内容.珠江水系是中国南方最大的河流系统,珠江三角洲曾被认为是世界上受洪水和风暴潮灾害影响最为脆弱的地区之一.然而,迄今为止在中国南方地区缺少千年尺度的洪水地质记录研究,从而难以从认识过去的角度来检验对未来百年甚至千年一遇大洪水灾害预测的可信度.本研究在珠江干流(西江)下游发现了一系列发育在厚层黑色泥炭腐木堆积中的灰白色黏土夹层,根据沉积序列对比、沉积物特征和物源分析结果,确定为洪水沉积.对每个洪水沉积层采用AMS14C方法进行了精确定年,揭示出西江下游在距今6000年以来至少发生了7次千年一遇规模的超级大洪水,平均再现期约为855年.西江流域特大洪水事件的发生均对应于较强的ENSO活动期,表明东亚夏季风减弱和ENSO增强是引发中国南方异常高降水和特大洪水灾害的重要原因.此外,珠江下游特大洪水事件的发生与中国中东部降水减少在时间上大致耦合,反映了全新世后半期中国东部经向分布的降水“三极”模式显著增强.在过去2100年,人类土地利用增强和森林破坏导致当地的原始植被生态系统迅速退化,水土流失导致大洪水的破坏力和灾难性增大,特别是宋代以后的洪水沉积层中含有丰富的水稻型禾本科花粉,反映洪水曾经淹没了大面积农用土地.此外,全新世古洪水事件不仅对流域内的人类生存造成危害,同时还影响着区域文明的演化.本研究揭露了全新世一系列千年一遇的特大洪水历史,证明了热带太平洋的海-气相互作用与亚热带季风气候变化对东亚降水异常的重要性,研究结果为预测未来的极端气候变化和洪水灾害提供了有价值的重要证据. 展开更多
关键词 全新世大洪水 亚洲季风 ENSO 植被变化 早期农业 西江下游
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Holocene millennial-scale megaflood events point to ENSO-driven extreme climate changes 被引量:2
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作者 Cong CHEN Yanwei ZHENG +9 位作者 Zhuo ZHENG Yongqiang ZONG Kangyou HUANG Barry VROLETT Huanhuan PENG Xiao ZHANG Yongjie TANG Qiuchi WAN Guifang ZHANG rachid chedaddi 《Science China Earth Sciences》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2023年第11期2530-2545,共16页
Reconstructing the Holocene megaflood history is a key component of understanding the mechanism of past climate change and assessing the potential impact of future catastrophic events.The Pearl River is the longest wa... Reconstructing the Holocene megaflood history is a key component of understanding the mechanism of past climate change and assessing the potential impact of future catastrophic events.The Pearl River is the longest watercourse in southern China,and its lower reach has been identified as one of the world's most vulnerable regions for flood exposure.However,there is a complete lack of millennial-scale geological records of paleomegafloods for the future prediction of once-in-a-hundred(even once-in-a-thousand)year floods in southern China.Here,we identified a series of paleomegaflood deposits interbedded with wood-rich peat layers in the lower West Pearl River area.All paleoflood layers have been well dated using AMS~(14)C dating method.According to the regional correlation of the flood sequence,sediment characteristics and provenance analysis,there have been at least 7 megafloods corresponding to once-in-a-thousand-year events in the lower reaches of the West Pearl River during the past 6000 years,with an average return period of approximately 855 years.The identified paleomegafloods were coeval with periods of strong El Ni?o-Southern Oscillation(ENSO),indicating that weakening of the Asian summer monsoon,associated with enhanced ENSO variability,may have triggered abnormally high precipitation leading to flooding of exceptional magnitude in southern China.In addition,the most prominent paleomegafloods identified in the lower Pearl River coincided with intervals of lower precipitation and fewer storms in central-eastern China,indicating the intensification of the meridional“tripole”pattern of precipitation across eastern China during the latter half of the Holocene.Increased land use and deforestation over the last 2000 years have resulted in soil loss and rapid degradation of local primeval forest ecosystems,leading to more catastrophic flooding.Large amounts of rice pollen in the uppermost flood layer during the Song Dynasty indicate that this megaflood may have inundated a large area of cultivated land.The periodic occurrence of Holocene megafloods not only caused damage to human existence,but also affected the evolution of local civilization.This study reveals for the first time a series of Holocene millennial-scale megafloods and sheds new light on the importance of atmosphere-ocean interactions in the tropical Pacific and monsoon subtropical climate dynamics for precipitation anomalies in East Asia.Our data yield valuable information for future research into climate extremes and hazard prevention. 展开更多
关键词 Holocene megaflood Asian monsoon ENSO Vegetation change Early farming West Pearl River
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