Solar energy is a pivotal clean energy source in the transition to carbon neutrality from fossil fuels.However,the intermittent and stochastic characteristics of solar radiation pose challenges for accurate simulation...Solar energy is a pivotal clean energy source in the transition to carbon neutrality from fossil fuels.However,the intermittent and stochastic characteristics of solar radiation pose challenges for accurate simulation and prediction.Accurately simulating and predicting solar radiation and its variability are crucial for optimizing solar energy utilization.This study conducted simulation experiments using the WRF-Solar model from 25 June to 25 July 2022,to evaluate the accuracy and performance of the simulated solar radiation across China.The simulations covered the whole country with a grid spacing of 27 km and were compared with ground observation network data from the Chinese Ecosystem Research Network.The results indicated that WRF-Solar can accurately capture the spatiotemporal patterns of global horizontal irradiance over China,but there is still an overestimation of solar radiation,and the model underestimates the total cloud cover.The root-mean-square error ranged from 92.83 to 188.13 W m^(-2) and the mean bias(MB)ranged from 21.05 to 56.22 W m^(-2).The simulation showed the smallest MB at Lhasa on the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau,while the largest MB was observed in Southeast China.To enhance the accuracy of solar radiation simulation,the authors compared the Fast All-sky Radiation Model for Solar with the Rapid Radiative Transfer Model for General Circulation Models and found that the former provides better simulation.展开更多
The WRF model with chemistry （WRF-Chem） was employed to simulate the impacts of anthropogenic aerosols on summer precipitation over the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration in China. With the aid of a high-reso...The WRF model with chemistry （WRF-Chem） was employed to simulate the impacts of anthropogenic aerosols on summer precipitation over the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration in China. With the aid of a high-resolution gridded inventory of anthropogenic emissions of trace gases and aerosols, we conducted relatively long-term regional simulations, considering direct, semi-direct and indirect effects of the aerosols. Comparing the results of sensitivity experiments with and without emissions, it was found that anthropogenic aerosols tended to enhance summer precipitation over the metropolitan areas. Domain-averaged rainfall was increased throughout the day, except for the time around noon. Aerosols shifted the precipitation probability distribution from light or moderate to extreme rain. Further analysis showed that the anthropogenic aerosol radiative forcing had a cooling effect at the land surface, but a warming effect in the atmosphere. However, enhanced convective strength and updrafts accompanied by water vapor increases and cyclone-like wind shear anomalies were found in the urban areas. These responses may originate from cloud microphysical effects of aerosols on convection, which were identified as the primary cause for the summer rainfall enhancement.展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China[grant number 42175132]the National Key R&D Program[grant number 2020YFA0607802]the CAS Information Technology Program[grant number CAS-WX2021SF-0107-02]。
文摘Solar energy is a pivotal clean energy source in the transition to carbon neutrality from fossil fuels.However,the intermittent and stochastic characteristics of solar radiation pose challenges for accurate simulation and prediction.Accurately simulating and predicting solar radiation and its variability are crucial for optimizing solar energy utilization.This study conducted simulation experiments using the WRF-Solar model from 25 June to 25 July 2022,to evaluate the accuracy and performance of the simulated solar radiation across China.The simulations covered the whole country with a grid spacing of 27 km and were compared with ground observation network data from the Chinese Ecosystem Research Network.The results indicated that WRF-Solar can accurately capture the spatiotemporal patterns of global horizontal irradiance over China,but there is still an overestimation of solar radiation,and the model underestimates the total cloud cover.The root-mean-square error ranged from 92.83 to 188.13 W m^(-2) and the mean bias(MB)ranged from 21.05 to 56.22 W m^(-2).The simulation showed the smallest MB at Lhasa on the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau,while the largest MB was observed in Southeast China.To enhance the accuracy of solar radiation simulation,the authors compared the Fast All-sky Radiation Model for Solar with the Rapid Radiative Transfer Model for General Circulation Models and found that the former provides better simulation.
基金supported by the Strategic Priority Research Program-Climate Change:Carbon Budget and Relevant Issuesof the Chinese Academy of Sciences(Grant No.XDA05090207)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.41275108 and 41105051)
文摘The WRF model with chemistry （WRF-Chem） was employed to simulate the impacts of anthropogenic aerosols on summer precipitation over the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration in China. With the aid of a high-resolution gridded inventory of anthropogenic emissions of trace gases and aerosols, we conducted relatively long-term regional simulations, considering direct, semi-direct and indirect effects of the aerosols. Comparing the results of sensitivity experiments with and without emissions, it was found that anthropogenic aerosols tended to enhance summer precipitation over the metropolitan areas. Domain-averaged rainfall was increased throughout the day, except for the time around noon. Aerosols shifted the precipitation probability distribution from light or moderate to extreme rain. Further analysis showed that the anthropogenic aerosol radiative forcing had a cooling effect at the land surface, but a warming effect in the atmosphere. However, enhanced convective strength and updrafts accompanied by water vapor increases and cyclone-like wind shear anomalies were found in the urban areas. These responses may originate from cloud microphysical effects of aerosols on convection, which were identified as the primary cause for the summer rainfall enhancement.
