Rockfall hazards pose significant risks to both cultural heritage and populated areas,necessitating comprehensive assessment methodologies.Despite extensive research on rockfalls,only a small number of studies have di...Rockfall hazards pose significant risks to both cultural heritage and populated areas,necessitating comprehensive assessment methodologies.Despite extensive research on rockfalls,only a small number of studies have directly compared empirical methods with modelling approaches.This study investigated rockfalls in five settlements within the Cappadocia region of Türkiye,employing both empirical methods and advanced three-dimensional(3D)probabilistic modeling.The energy line angle approach was applied to identify rockfall propagation zones,while high-resolution digital surface models derived from unmanned aerial vehicle(UAV)imagery facilitated detailed 3D rockfall simulations.Cappadocia’s unique geological setting—comprising alternating layers of ignimbrites and weaker fluviolacustrine deposits—renders it highly susceptible to rockfalls intensified by wetting-drying and freeze-thaw cycles.Results indicate that rockfall propagation characteristics vary markedly between settlements:Göre and Tatlarin exhibit shorter runout distances due to basalt-dominated slopes,whereas Akköy,SoğanlıandŞahinefendi display longer trajectories associated with welded ignimbrites.Empirical cone propagation analyses correspond broadly with field observations,but variations in energy line angles(23°-33°)highlight the necessity for site-specific calibration.Comparative evaluations demonstrate that 3D probabilistic modeling better captures local-scale block dynamics and identifies high-risk areas affected by topographic and structural features such as rockfall ditches.These findings emphasize the importance of integrating empirical and 3D approaches to improve hazard zoning,optimize mitigation structures and guide the protection of Cappadocia’s unique cultural heritage landscape.展开更多
Rock slope stability is of great concern along highway routes as stability problems on cut slopes may cause fatal events as well as loss of property.In rock slope engineering,stability evaluations are commonly perform...Rock slope stability is of great concern along highway routes as stability problems on cut slopes may cause fatal events as well as loss of property.In rock slope engineering,stability evaluations are commonly performed by means of analytical or numerical analyses,principally considering the factor of safety concept.As a matter of fact,the probabilistic assessment of slope stability is progressively getting popularity due to difficulties in assigning the most appropriate values to design parameters in analytical or numerical methods.Additionally,the effect of heterogeneities in rock masses and discontinuities on the analysis results is minimized through the probabilistic concept.In this study,slope stability of high and steep sedimentary rock cut slopes along a state highway in AdilcevazBitlis(Turkey) was evaluated on the basis of probabilistic approach using the Slope Stability Probability Classification(SSPC) system.The probabilistic assessment indicates major slope stability problems because of discontinuity controlled and discontinuity orientation independent mass movements.Almost all studied cut slopes suffer from orientation-independent stability problems with very low stability probabilities.Additionally,the probability of planar and toppling failures issignificantly high with respect to the SSPC system.The stability problems along the investigated rock slopes were also verified by field reconnaissance.Remedial measures such as slope re-design and reinforcement at the studied locations should be taken to prevent hazardous events along the highway.On the other hand,the probabilistic approach may be a useful tool during rock slope engineering to overcome numerous uncertainties when probabilistic and analytic results are compared.展开更多
基金financially supported by The Scientific and Technological Research Council of Türkiye(T??B1TAK)with the project number 121C420。
文摘Rockfall hazards pose significant risks to both cultural heritage and populated areas,necessitating comprehensive assessment methodologies.Despite extensive research on rockfalls,only a small number of studies have directly compared empirical methods with modelling approaches.This study investigated rockfalls in five settlements within the Cappadocia region of Türkiye,employing both empirical methods and advanced three-dimensional(3D)probabilistic modeling.The energy line angle approach was applied to identify rockfall propagation zones,while high-resolution digital surface models derived from unmanned aerial vehicle(UAV)imagery facilitated detailed 3D rockfall simulations.Cappadocia’s unique geological setting—comprising alternating layers of ignimbrites and weaker fluviolacustrine deposits—renders it highly susceptible to rockfalls intensified by wetting-drying and freeze-thaw cycles.Results indicate that rockfall propagation characteristics vary markedly between settlements:Göre and Tatlarin exhibit shorter runout distances due to basalt-dominated slopes,whereas Akköy,SoğanlıandŞahinefendi display longer trajectories associated with welded ignimbrites.Empirical cone propagation analyses correspond broadly with field observations,but variations in energy line angles(23°-33°)highlight the necessity for site-specific calibration.Comparative evaluations demonstrate that 3D probabilistic modeling better captures local-scale block dynamics and identifies high-risk areas affected by topographic and structural features such as rockfall ditches.These findings emphasize the importance of integrating empirical and 3D approaches to improve hazard zoning,optimize mitigation structures and guide the protection of Cappadocia’s unique cultural heritage landscape.
基金financially supported by the Scientific Research Projects Office of YüzüncüYil University(YYU-BAP,Project Number 2012-FBEYL48)
文摘Rock slope stability is of great concern along highway routes as stability problems on cut slopes may cause fatal events as well as loss of property.In rock slope engineering,stability evaluations are commonly performed by means of analytical or numerical analyses,principally considering the factor of safety concept.As a matter of fact,the probabilistic assessment of slope stability is progressively getting popularity due to difficulties in assigning the most appropriate values to design parameters in analytical or numerical methods.Additionally,the effect of heterogeneities in rock masses and discontinuities on the analysis results is minimized through the probabilistic concept.In this study,slope stability of high and steep sedimentary rock cut slopes along a state highway in AdilcevazBitlis(Turkey) was evaluated on the basis of probabilistic approach using the Slope Stability Probability Classification(SSPC) system.The probabilistic assessment indicates major slope stability problems because of discontinuity controlled and discontinuity orientation independent mass movements.Almost all studied cut slopes suffer from orientation-independent stability problems with very low stability probabilities.Additionally,the probability of planar and toppling failures issignificantly high with respect to the SSPC system.The stability problems along the investigated rock slopes were also verified by field reconnaissance.Remedial measures such as slope re-design and reinforcement at the studied locations should be taken to prevent hazardous events along the highway.On the other hand,the probabilistic approach may be a useful tool during rock slope engineering to overcome numerous uncertainties when probabilistic and analytic results are compared.
