In this paper,we present a new precipitation model based on a multi-factor Ornstein-Uhlenbeck approach of pure-jump type.In this setup,we derive a representation for the related precipitation swap price process and in...In this paper,we present a new precipitation model based on a multi-factor Ornstein-Uhlenbeck approach of pure-jump type.In this setup,we derive a representation for the related precipitation swap price process and infer its risk-neutral time dynamics.We further deduce a pricing formula for European options written on the prccipitation swap and obtain the minimal variance hedging portfolio in the underlying weather market.In the second part of the paper,we provide a precipitation swap price representation under future information modeled by an initially enlarged filtration.We finally derive a formula for the associated information premium and investigate minimal variance hedging of prccipitation dcrivatives undcr futurc information.展开更多
文摘In this paper,we present a new precipitation model based on a multi-factor Ornstein-Uhlenbeck approach of pure-jump type.In this setup,we derive a representation for the related precipitation swap price process and infer its risk-neutral time dynamics.We further deduce a pricing formula for European options written on the prccipitation swap and obtain the minimal variance hedging portfolio in the underlying weather market.In the second part of the paper,we provide a precipitation swap price representation under future information modeled by an initially enlarged filtration.We finally derive a formula for the associated information premium and investigate minimal variance hedging of prccipitation dcrivatives undcr futurc information.
