Heatwaves are becoming increasingly frequent and severe,posing escalating risks to ecosystems and human well-being.While soil moisture(SM)deficits are recognized as important contributors to heatwave amplification,the...Heatwaves are becoming increasingly frequent and severe,posing escalating risks to ecosystems and human well-being.While soil moisture(SM)deficits are recognized as important contributors to heatwave amplification,their spatially heterogeneous impacts across the Northern Hemisphere remain insufficiently understood.In this study,we analyze ERA5 reanalysis data(1980-2022)to investigate trends in heatwave frequency,intensity,and duration,as well as their sensitivity to SM variability.Our results show robust increases in heatwave occurrence(0.76 events per decade),intensity(0.81℃per decade),and average duration(0.40 days per decade),with extreme events,as represented by maximum intensity and duration,rising at even faster rates(2.18℃per decade and 0.83 days per decade,respectively).Strong negative correlations are observed between SM deficits and heatwave metrics,with the magnitude of this relationship varying across land cover types and heatwave severity levels.Quantile regression reveals that SM reductions have a greater impact at higher quantiles for most indicators.Cropland exhibits the highest sensitivity to SM anomalies,whereas forests show more resilience due to their superior water retention capacities.These findings underscore the crucial role of land-atmosphere interactions in shaping heatwave extremes,providing a scientific basis for enhancing early warning and adaptation strategies in the context of ongoing climate change.展开更多
基金National Key Research and Development Plan of China,No.2023YFF0805703National Natural Science Foundation of China,No.42271268。
文摘Heatwaves are becoming increasingly frequent and severe,posing escalating risks to ecosystems and human well-being.While soil moisture(SM)deficits are recognized as important contributors to heatwave amplification,their spatially heterogeneous impacts across the Northern Hemisphere remain insufficiently understood.In this study,we analyze ERA5 reanalysis data(1980-2022)to investigate trends in heatwave frequency,intensity,and duration,as well as their sensitivity to SM variability.Our results show robust increases in heatwave occurrence(0.76 events per decade),intensity(0.81℃per decade),and average duration(0.40 days per decade),with extreme events,as represented by maximum intensity and duration,rising at even faster rates(2.18℃per decade and 0.83 days per decade,respectively).Strong negative correlations are observed between SM deficits and heatwave metrics,with the magnitude of this relationship varying across land cover types and heatwave severity levels.Quantile regression reveals that SM reductions have a greater impact at higher quantiles for most indicators.Cropland exhibits the highest sensitivity to SM anomalies,whereas forests show more resilience due to their superior water retention capacities.These findings underscore the crucial role of land-atmosphere interactions in shaping heatwave extremes,providing a scientific basis for enhancing early warning and adaptation strategies in the context of ongoing climate change.
