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Modelling the Effect of Self-Immunity and the Impacts of Asymptomatic and Symptomatic Individuals on COVID-19 Outbreak 被引量:1
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作者 M.H.A.Biswas M.A.Islam +5 位作者 S.Akter S.Mandal M.S.Khatun S.A.Samad A.K.Paul m.r.khatun 《Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences》 SCIE EI 2020年第12期1033-1060,共28页
COVID-19 is one of themost highly infectious diseases ever emerged and caused by newly discovered severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2(SARS-CoV-2).It has already led the entire world to health and economic ... COVID-19 is one of themost highly infectious diseases ever emerged and caused by newly discovered severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2(SARS-CoV-2).It has already led the entire world to health and economic crisis.It has invaded the whole universe all most every way.The present study demonstrates with a nine mutually exclusive compartmental model on transmission dynamics of this pandemic disease(COVID-19),with special focus on the transmissibility of symptomatic and asymptomatic infection from susceptible individuals.Herein,the compartmental model has been investigated with mathematical analysis and computer simulations in order to understand the dynamics of COVID-19 transmission.Initially,mathematical analysis of the model has been carried out in broadly by illustrating some well-known methods including exactness,equilibrium and stability analysis in terms of basic reproduction number.We investigate the sensitivity of the model with respect to the variation of the parameters’values.Furthermore,computer simulations are performed to illustrate the results.Our analysis reveals that the death rate from coronavirus disease increases as the infection rate increases,whereas infection rate extensively decreases with the increase of quarantined individuals.The quarantined individuals also lead to increase the concentration of recovered individuals.However,the infection rate of COVID-19 increases more surprisingly as the rate of asymptomatic individuals increases than that of the symptomatic individuals.Moreover,the infection rate decreases significantly due to increase of self-immunity rate. 展开更多
关键词 COVID-19 asymptomatic and symptomatic individuals selfimmunity mathematical model basic reproductive ratio numerical simulations
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Explainability enhanced liver disease diagnosis technique using tree selection and stacking ensemble-based random forest model
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作者 Mohammad Mamun Safiul Haque Chowdhury +2 位作者 Muhammad Minoar Hossain m.r.khatun Sadiq Iqbal 《Informatics and Health》 2025年第1期17-40,共24页
Background:Liver disease(LD)significantly impacts global health,requiring accurate diagnostic methods.This study aims to develop an automated system for LD prediction using machine learning(ML)and explainable artifici... Background:Liver disease(LD)significantly impacts global health,requiring accurate diagnostic methods.This study aims to develop an automated system for LD prediction using machine learning(ML)and explainable artificial intelligence(XAI),enhancing diagnostic precision and interpretability.Methods:This research systematically analyzes two distinct datasets encompassing liver health indicators.A combination of preprocessing techniques,including feature optimization methods such as Forward Feature Selection(FFS),Backward Feature Selection(BFS),and Recursive Feature Elimination(RFE),is applied to enhance data quality.After that,ML models,namely Support Vector Machines(SVM),Naive Bayes(NB),Random Forest(RF),K-nearest neighbors(KNN),Decision Trees(DT),and a novel Tree Selection and Stacking Ensemble-based RF(TSRF),are assessed in the dataset to diagnose LD.Finally,the ultimate model is selected based on incorporating cross-validation and evaluation through performance metrics like accuracy,precision,specificity,etc.,and efficient XAI methods express the ultimate model’s interoperability.Findings:The analysis reveals TSRF as the most effective model,achieving a peak accuracy of 99.92%on Dataset-1 without feature optimization and 88.88%on Dataset-2 with RFE optimization.XAI techniques,including SHAP and LIME plots,highlight key features influencing model predictions,providing insights into the reasoning behind classification outcomes.Interpretation:The findings highlight TSRF’s potential in improving LD diagnosis,using XAI to enhance transparency and trust in ML models.Despite high accuracy and interpretability,limitations such as dataset bias and lack of clinical validation remain.Future work focuses on integrating advanced XAI,diversifying datasets,and applying the approach in clinical settings for reliable diagnostics. 展开更多
关键词 Liver disease DIAGNOSIS Machine learning Explainable artificial intelligence(XAI) Feature optimization
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