For over two decades the international community has been perplexed by the Korean nuclear issue.A clear-eye is needed to see that“no”is the realistic answer to these questions:Will the DPRK give up nuclear capabilit...For over two decades the international community has been perplexed by the Korean nuclear issue.A clear-eye is needed to see that“no”is the realistic answer to these questions:Will the DPRK give up nuclear capability completely?Will the US resolve the issue with force?Can the DPRK collapse under maximum pressure?On the other hand,what could happen if Six-Party Talks resumed and the international community would“acquiesce”in a nuclear DPRK?Arguing the slippery slope that others in Northeast Asia will become nuclear is delusional:Japan and the ROK are unlikely to join the nuclear arms race.The most plausible next step is that the DPRK holds on to its hard-won nuclear capability,the international community acquiesces,and Six-Party Talks resume.It is an opportunity for China to play a leading role in resolving the nuclear issue and advancing Northeast Asian diplomacy.展开更多
基金the phased result of a research project International Security Governance and New Type of International Relations (Project No. 3262016T01),sponsored by the University of International Relations
文摘For over two decades the international community has been perplexed by the Korean nuclear issue.A clear-eye is needed to see that“no”is the realistic answer to these questions:Will the DPRK give up nuclear capability completely?Will the US resolve the issue with force?Can the DPRK collapse under maximum pressure?On the other hand,what could happen if Six-Party Talks resumed and the international community would“acquiesce”in a nuclear DPRK?Arguing the slippery slope that others in Northeast Asia will become nuclear is delusional:Japan and the ROK are unlikely to join the nuclear arms race.The most plausible next step is that the DPRK holds on to its hard-won nuclear capability,the international community acquiesces,and Six-Party Talks resume.It is an opportunity for China to play a leading role in resolving the nuclear issue and advancing Northeast Asian diplomacy.
