Based on the past related research work,a new analogy-dynamical monthly predic- tion model is established with the operational dynamic extended-range forecast model T63L16 (hereafter T63) as a dynamic kernel.The month...Based on the past related research work,a new analogy-dynamical monthly predic- tion model is established with the operational dynamic extended-range forecast model T63L16 (hereafter T63) as a dynamic kernel.The monthly mean circulation predicition with T63 is considered as a control experiment,and the prediction with the analogy-dynamical model as a contrast one.It is found that the anal- ogy-dynamical model has more precise forecast skill than the T63 model through monthly mean numerical prediction experiment.展开更多
文摘Based on the past related research work,a new analogy-dynamical monthly predic- tion model is established with the operational dynamic extended-range forecast model T63L16 (hereafter T63) as a dynamic kernel.The monthly mean circulation predicition with T63 is considered as a control experiment,and the prediction with the analogy-dynamical model as a contrast one.It is found that the anal- ogy-dynamical model has more precise forecast skill than the T63 model through monthly mean numerical prediction experiment.
