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SEIR Mathematical Model for Influenza-Corona Co-Infection with Treatment and Hospitalization Compartments and Optimal Control Strategies
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作者 Muhammad Imran Brett McKinney azhar iqbal kashif butt 《Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences》 2025年第2期1899-1931,共33页
The co-infection of corona and influenza viruses has emerged as a significant threat to global public health due to their shared modes of transmission and overlapping clinical symptoms.This article presents a novel ma... The co-infection of corona and influenza viruses has emerged as a significant threat to global public health due to their shared modes of transmission and overlapping clinical symptoms.This article presents a novel mathematical model that addresses the dynamics of this co-infection by extending the SEIR(Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered)framework to incorporate treatment and hospitalization compartments.The population is divided into eight compartments,with infectious individuals further categorized into influenza infectious,corona infectious,and co-infection cases.The proposed mathematical model is constrained to adhere to fundamental epidemiological properties,such as non-negativity and boundedness within a feasible region.Additionally,the model is demonstrated to be well-posed with a unique solution.Equilibrium points,including the disease-free and endemic equilibria,are identified,and various properties related to these equilibrium points,such as the basic reproduction number,are determined.Local and global sensitivity analyses are performed to identify the parameters that highly influence disease dynamics and the reproduction number.Knowing the most influential parameters is crucial for understanding their impact on the co-infection’s spread and severity.Furthermore,an optimal control problem is defined to minimize disease transmission and to control strategy costs.The purpose of our study is to identify the most effective(optimal)control strategies for mitigating the spread of the co-infection with minimum cost of the controls.The results illustrate the effectiveness of the implemented control strategies in managing the co-infection’s impact on the population’s health.This mathematical modeling and control strategy framework provides valuable tools for understanding and combating the dual threat of corona and influenza co-infection,helping public health authorities and policymakers make informed decisions in the face of these intertwined epidemics. 展开更多
关键词 Influenza-corona co-infection stability analysis sensitivity analysis TREATMENT self-precaution optimal control
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Investigating the Role of Antimalarial Treatment and Mosquito Nets in Malaria Transmission and Control through Mathematical Modeling
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作者 azhar iqbal kashif butt Tariq Ismaeel +4 位作者 Sara Khan Muhammad Imran Waheed Ahmad Ismail Abdulrashid Muhammad Sajid Riaz 《Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences》 2025年第9期3463-3492,共30页
Malaria is a significant global health challenge.This devastating disease continues to affect millions,especially in tropical regions.It is caused by Plasmodium parasites transmitted by female Anopheles mosquitoes.Thi... Malaria is a significant global health challenge.This devastating disease continues to affect millions,especially in tropical regions.It is caused by Plasmodium parasites transmitted by female Anopheles mosquitoes.This study introduces a nonlinear mathematical model for examining the transmission dynamics of malaria,incorporating both human and mosquito populations.We aim to identify the key factors driving the endemic spread of malaria,determine feasible solutions,and provide insights that lead to the development of effective prevention and management strategies.We derive the basic reproductive number employing the next-generation matrix approach and identify the disease-free and endemic equilibrium points.Stability analyses indicate that the disease-free equilibrium is locally and globally stable when the reproductive number is below one,whereas an endemic equilibrium persists when this threshold is exceeded.Sensitivity analysis identifies the most influential mosquito-related parameters,particularly the bite rate and mosquito mortality,in controlling the spread of malaria.Furthermore,we extend our model to include a treatment compartment and three disease-preventive control variables such as antimalaria drug treatments,use of larvicides,and the use of insecticide-treated mosquito nets for optimal control analysis.The results show that optimal use of mosquito nets,use of larvicides for mosquito population control,and treatment can lower the basic reproduction number and control malaria transmission with minimal intervention costs.The analysis of disease control strategies and findings offers valuable information for policymakers in designing cost-effective strategies to combat malaria. 展开更多
关键词 MALARIA mathematical modeling optimal control mosquito nets anti-malaria drugs stability and sensitivity analysis
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